S&P 500 Slides Fourth Straight Day as Oil Prices, Yields Surge

US stocks fell for a fourth straight day, their longest slide since June, as the relentless climb in oil prices and fresh evidence of sticky inflation boosted Treasury yields and bets the Federal Reserve will lift interest rates.

The S&P 500 Index dropped 0.6% on Thursday to the lowest since July, while the Nasdaq 100 Index shed 1.1%. With tensions in the Middle East flaring, West Texas Intermediate crude oil surged around 7% to about $103 a barrel, the highest since May.

Treasury yields rose across maturities, with 10-year rates topping 4.9%, a multiyear high. Yields climbed further on Thursday afternoon after the US government purchased less 10- to 20-year securities than investors anticipated in Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s first expanded buyback operation. The VIX rose a point to 18, the volatility gauge’s highest level in more than a month.

See more: The Real Benchmark Isn’t the S&P 500. It’s Your Client’s Plan.

A report Thursday showed the US producer price index rose 0.4% in August from July — the most since May. Earlier, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said the region’s inflation would remain well above target into 2027.

“A hot US PPI print and a hawkish-sounding Christine Lagarde both speak to a reality that points to the possibility a global central bank rate-hike cycle may be in the offing, which does not support risk assets today or in the short term,” said Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM US LLP.

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Investors will look next to Friday’s report on US consumer prices, which will help set expectations for next week’s Fed decision. On Thursday, traders boosted expectations for a hike next week to about 70% and fully priced in a move by October.

“Yields and oil probably need to come down in order for stocks to work,” said Stephanie Roth, Wolfe Research’s chief economist. That could happen, for example, if Friday’s inflation data were to “come in quite soft.”