Bloomberg News
Vanguard’s VOO Hits $1 Trillion of Assets in ETF Industry First
A seemingly endless appetite for buying US stock dips has propelled Vanguard Group’s S&P 500-tracking ETF past $1 trillion in assets, making it the first fund of its kind to reach a milestone once thought unimaginable for the ETF industry.
Dimon to Pitch JPMorgan’s Ultra-Rich Clients on SpaceX IPO
JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon plans to discuss the upcoming SpaceX initial public offering with thousands of the bank’s high-net-worth clients, part of an unprecedented nationwide push in coordination with the rocket maker’s leaders.
Cliffwater Private Credit Fund Stung by 17% Redemption Requests
Cliffwater LLC’s flagship private credit fund capped redemptions at 5% in the second quarter after investors looked to pull about 17% of shares, in a sign of enduring pressure on the $1.8 trillion market.
Druckenmiller Leads Wall Street’s Return to Argentine Stocks
Foreign investors led by the likes of Stanley Druckenmiller and major Wall Street banks are returning to Argentine stocks this year after some had exited ahead of 2025’s volatile midterm election cycle.
Wellington to Buy Hartford Funds for $1.9 Billion in Wealth Push
Wellington Management Co. agreed to buy the asset-management division of Hartford Insurance Group Inc. as the Boston-based investment firm pushes ahead with a wealth expansion.
A 180% Crypto Rally Shows New Investing Era as Bitcoin Stumbles
As billions of dollars leave Bitcoin and Ether funds, money is flowing into a corner of crypto that promises something investors have long struggled to find in digital assets: a clearer path from economic activity to token value.
FS KKR Sells $900 Million Bonds in Rare Junk-Rated BDC Deal
A private credit fund jointly managed by Future Standard and KKR & Co. sold $900 million of junk bonds on Monday, according to people familiar with the matter, in a rare high-yield offering by a publicly traded credit fund.
Blackstone Ties Up With Nippon Life on Private Credit Investment
Blackstone Inc. has entered an agreement to provide Nippon Life Insurance Co. with investment services, adding to an increasing number of tie-ups between private investment firms and Japanese insurers.
AI Funding Boom Reaches Muni Market With Google-Tied Bond Sale
Google parent Alphabet Inc. is poised to enter the municipal-bond market’s prepaid energy space by participating in a $1 billion transaction out of California, a major development in the evolution of a booming segment.
Company Pension Funds Stuffed With Bonds Ease Up on Debt Buying
A key source of demand for corporate bonds may be fading now that managers of company pension funds have more than enough money on hand to pay their retirees.
AI Fuels $280 Billion Cybersecurity Rally as Earnings Test Looms
Investors are about to get a read on the durability of the soaring rally in cybersecurity stocks when two of the industry’s major players report earnings in the coming days.
SpaceX Wants a Fee Cut From IPO Bankers Targeting $500 Million Windfall
Elon Musk’s SpaceX is negotiating to pay razor-thin fees to Wall Street firms handling its IPO — but banks are still likely to rake in about $500 million from the record-setting market debut.
Biggest US Nuclear Fuel Enricher Is Scaling Up in Bet on AI Boom
The announced expansion comes as the US races to provide huge amounts of electricity for AI data centers, with nuclear power emerging as one of the big winners. The Trump administration is pushing to quadruple output from nuclear plants which will require a leap in uranium fuel production to meet the challenge.
Wall Street Dumps Crash Hedges as Most-Shorted Stocks Jump 30%
Caution has become the most expensive position on Wall Street. A hot inflation reading this week — sending the annual gauge to its highest in about three years — landed alongside fresh strikes in the Persian Gulf and enduring expectations that the Federal Reserve may need to keep policy tight.
SpaceX Needs to Get to $5 Quadrillion to Rival Mag Seven Magic
It’s not often that investors encounter something truly new in markets. But they will soon when Space Exploration Technologies Corp., OpenAI and Anthropic PBC go public with trillion-dollar valuations, or close to it. No company listed in the US has ever come to market so extravagantly priced — by a long shot.
Guess Who’s Got an AI Edge in a Tough Job Market?
Mentioning artificial intelligence to the graduating class of 2026 has been sure to get you booed. And why not? Fresh graduates have spent the past few years being told about the wonders of AI and watched seniors struggle to get a toehold in the labor market.
Company Pension Funds Stuffed With Bonds Ease Up on Debt Buying
The industry is entering a more customized phase of liability-driven investing, he said. While earlier stages focused on adding duration and raising fixed-income allocations, better-funded plans are now tinkering at the margins to more precisely match their holdings with their obligations.
US Futures Rise as Traders Remain Hopeful of US-Iran Peace Deal
US stocks headed for a positive open on Monday as traders remained hopeful that Washington and Tehran would strike a peace deal, even amid a rise in oil prices.
Nvidia Is Taking On Intel and AMD With New AI Chip for Computers
Nvidia Corp. is entering the PC market with a new chip aimed at loosening the stranglehold of Intel Corp. technology in that arena and modernizing the machines for the AI era.
MassMutual, Nationwide Reach $6 Billion Life Risk-Transfer Dea
Massachusetts Mutual Life Insurance Co. agreed to have Nationwide Mutual Insurance Co. reinsure a book of life insurance policies, freeing up about $6 billion of reserves.
Dollar’s Monthly Rise Leaves Strategists Wary of More Gains
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index is up 0.7% so far in May, as investors ramped up bets that the Federal Reserve will raise rates by early 2027, boosting the appeal of US assets. The gauge is on track for only its fourth monthly gain since the greenback’s 2025 downtrend began.
Vietnam Is Asia’s Rising Power to Watch
If you want a blueprint for how countries can survive this era of great power rivalry, look no further than Vietnam.
Rocket, Satellite Stocks Surge as SpaceX IPO Fuels Euphoria
Growing excitement around the burgeoning space economy is increasingly favoring companies positioned to benefit not only from Elon Musk’s SpaceX filing for a public offering, but also from rising enthusiasm for space exploration and increased funding.
AI’s Grip on Emerging Markets Fuels Rise in Stock-Picking ETFs
Large asset managers are rolling out a wave of actively managed emerging-market ETFs, pitching them as alternatives to benchmarks increasingly dominated by AI stocks.
Treasuries’ Oil-Driven Selloff Stalls as Inflation Gauge Slows
Treasuries rallied back to be little-changed on the day, erasing earlier declines spurred by higher oil prices, after a key US inflation gauge rose less than expected.
Retail Stocks Surge With US Shoppers Surprising Wall Street
Shares of retailers spanning Kohl’s Corp. to Best Buy Co. and Dollar Tree Inc. rose on Thursday amid optimism that shoppers are still spending when they see what they want at the right price.
US Funding Markets Are Flooded With Cash That’s Here to Stay
An abundance of cash in US funding markets appears to be driven by deeper structural shifts that are unlocking billions of dollars in balance-sheet capacity at the biggest banks, Wall Street strategists say.
Polymarket’s Losers Are Discovering an Age-Old Truth
Coverage of prediction platform Polymarket has recently converged on a single statistic, delivered with the cadence of a verdict: Most users lose money. The top 1% of accounts capture roughly three-quarters of the gains, while most traders since 2022 are underwater.
Memory Chip Frenzy Sends SK Hynix, Micron Into $1 Trillion Club
The breakneck surge in memory-chip stocks is intensifying, sending the market capitalizations of SK Hynix Inc. and Micron Technology Inc. above $1 trillion for the first time, as investors bet the AI boom will lead to a sustained revaluation of the industry.
India’s Richest Civic Body Plans Nearly $1 Billion Muni Bonds
Despite the pickup, India’s municipal paper still makes up for less than 1% of the total rupee bond sales. By comparison, the segment represents 7% of the overall bond market in the US, according to CareEdge Ratings’ January report.
Jefferies Says Investors Boost ‘Nuclear Exposure’: ESG Investing
Almost two-thirds of fund managers permit some level of “nuclear exposure,” with 34% allowing investments in nuclear weaponry, according to Jefferies Financial Group Inc.’s fourth-annual ESG and defense survey.
Apple is Giving Intel’s Turnaround Some Momentum
The White House’s decision to take a 9.9% stake in Intel Corp. is looking like very shrewd business indeed. Since the government bought in at $20.47 a share last August, the American chipmaker’s surging stock price has delivered the US a $43 billion return.
SpaceX Writes Tesla’s Future in the Stars
The SpaceX initial public offering prospectus is more than 400 pages of rocket fuel-grade ambition. It is also an extended warning for investors in Tesla Inc. who aren’t named Elon Musk.
Honeywell-Backed Quantinuum Seeks to Raise $1.05 Billion in IPO
Quantinuum Inc., a quantum computing company backed by Honeywell International Inc., is seeking to raise $1.05 billion in its US initial public offering, capitalizing on investor enthusiasm for the technology.
PGIM Backs $4 Billion of US Land-Bank Deals in Asset-Based Push
Prudential Financial Inc.’s asset-management arm has financed about $4 billion of land-banking projects through a partnership with Domain Real Estate Partners, part of a push to gain exposure to the US homebuilding industry.
Bond Market Ushers in Warsh Era With Bets on 2026 Hike
As Kevin Warsh takes the helm at the Federal Reserve, bond investors are betting he’ll prioritize the central bank’s inflation-fighting credibility over President Donald Trump’s push for lower interest rates.
Banks Need to Prepare for a High-Speed Run
It’s been more than three years since Silicon Valley Bank lost a quarter of its deposits in a day, kicking off a string of bank rescues. The shocking speed of that run was attributed, in part, to the rapid spread of information on social media and the efficiency of digital banking.
Hedge Funds Are Losing Their Edge in a World of ETFs
I’ve lost count of the praise heaped on US hedge funds for their “historic performance” in April on artificial intelligence-related bets and alleged foresight of a ceasefire in the Iran war.
Musk Is Leading SpaceX Into the Conglomerate Trap
Elon Musk has bucked the trend of industrial conglomerate breakups, including such illustrious companies as General Electric and Honeywell International Inc., and decided to form a somewhat unwieldy company that makes rockets, spacecraft, satellites, antennas, modems and now computer chips. With SpaceX’s purchase of Musk’s xAI in February, the world’s leading space company was married to an AI startup and the X social media platform.
America’s Small-Business Boom Comes Without New Jobs
While US financial markets brace for what could be the three biggest initial public offerings ever, most entrepreneurship in the US is headed in the opposite direction: New businesses are shrinking.
Inflation Is a Tax on AI’s Unfettered Spending Spree
There is a growing risk of economic overheating in the US as the artificial intelligence boom expands beyond semiconductors and spills into the broader economy — never mind the tame wage growth and house prices that would typically point in the opposite direction.
Don’t Just Build Smaller Houses, Get People to Like Them
The average size of a single-family house built in the 1960s was about 1,500 square feet, and homes within multifamily units were about 800 square feet. Now those figures are more than 2,000 square feet and more than 1,200 square feet, respectively.
AI-Fueled Rally Puts S&P 500 on Track for Eighth Weekly Gain
US stocks advanced as investors struck an upbeat tone ahead of a long holiday weekend, with optimism fueled by hopes for resolution of hostilities in the Middle East, resilient economic data and relentless enthusiasm for artificial intelligence-linked trades.
Goldman Says Hedge Funds Took Profit on Huge Chip-Stock Rally
Hedge funds have been selling the scorching rally in US semiconductor stocks to book profits, while keeping their overall exposure to the AI theme, according to traders at Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
A Simple Way to Avoid Messes Like the Anthropic Shares Shock
Even if armchair investors are fleeing private credit or panicking that their unlisted shares in Anthropic PBC are now invalid, the long-term trend is clear: Public markets keep losing ground to private funds.
Why Foreigners Are Fleeing the World’s Best Stock Rally
At first glance, the retreat of foreign asset managers is ominous. Signs of a domestic retail frenzy are everywhere. Cash deposits in local brokerage accounts have reached 137 trillion won ($91 billion), a two-third jump from six months ago.
Google Is Trying to Integrate Too Much AI Too Quickly
At Google’s developer conference, which is being held near its Mountain View, California, headquarters this week, Chief Executive Officer Sundar Pichai started his keynote by emphasizing the remarkable reach of Google’s services. Thirteen have more than a billion users, he said, and five of them have more than 3 billion.
High Bond Yields Are What America Needs in the AI Era
There’s a whiff of panic among investors these days. US Treasury yields have climbed to levels unseen in more than a year at the same time as a furious rally has left stocks near all-time highs. Surely, both moves can’t coexist for long, goes the narrative.
The Race to Offer Compute Futures to Masses Has Already Started
Wall Street is racing to turn computing power into a tradable commodity with the first ETFs being filed even before the futures contracts they would track have started to trade.
Nvidia Tells Skeptical Investors AI Is Ready to Go Mainstream
Nvidia Corp., facing more investor skepticism, used its latest quarterly report to tout progress in diversifying the company, which aims to rely less on the giant data center operators that have fueled its runaway growth.
Home Buyers Hammered as War-Fueled Bond Rout Drives Rates Higher
Najimah Roberson, a lifelong renter, spent the past two years searching around Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, for a home she could afford — getting outbid nearly 30 times along the way.
SpaceX Going Public Is Igniting Wall Street’s Own Race to Orbit
Space has evolved from a niche corner of the stock market into an area that offers the potential for diversity and growth. The euphoria around SpaceX’s market entry is driving fresh investor flows into the sector. Since the news of the offering first became public in early December, smaller space and related stocks have soared.
Value Stocks With Earnings Strength Post 3,500% Run Since 2000
Turns out, loading up on technology giants isn’t the only route to better returns. Value companies, too, stand a decent chance of trouncing the market — as long as several conditions are met.
Nvidia Earnings Are Set to Make or Break the Chip Stock Rally
For much of the year, chip stocks have been powering the market higher. Now, Nvidia Corp.’s earnings have a chance to confirm that the rally has more room to run — or add another brick to investors’ wall of worry.
Jeff Currie Says AI Boom Sets Up Commodities for Decade-Long Run
Veteran strategist Jeff Currie said the world is in the early stages of a commodity supercycle that may last another decade or more as the artificial intelligence buildout collides with chronic underinvestment in energy and materials capacity.
Texas Fund Revealed as Big Backer of State Street Credit ETF
The Texas Permanent School Fund bought more than 29 million shares totaling about $740 million worth of the State Street IG Public & Private Credit ETF, trading under the ticker PRIV, in the first quarter, according to a filing Friday.
Investors Flock to Commodity ETFs as Iran War Fuels Energy Inflation
Investors are pouring money into commodities funds as the US-Iran war stokes inflation, according to Invesco Ltd.
NACHO Is On, But Memory Chipmakers' Rally Isn’t Over
The nothing-burger that came out of the Xi-Trump summit drove home a new reality for global investors. The NACHO trade, which stands for “not a chance Hormuz opens,” is on. Prospects of prolonged inflation have risen, sending global bond yields higher and the US dollar stronger.
Powell Was Great. The Federal Reserve’s Policy Messaging Was Not
Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell steps down this month after proving himself an exemplary public servant. Compelled to deal with a president intent on telling the central bank what to do, his response was exactly right. Reluctant to confront the White House until he had no choice, he then did so firmly, without needless drama or any trace of ego.
Altman ‘Won’ the Musk Trial But May Have Lost Wall Street
We’ve all been in meetings that “could have been an email,” so why not have a jury trial that could have been an AI prompt?
I Have Seen the Future of Physical AI in Dusty West Texas
I was in West Texas recently to witness firsthand the emerging practical applications of artificial intelligence. What I saw bolstered my conviction about the technology’s progress and the need to mold it rather than resist the change.
Inflation Uptick Is Starting to Send Sell Signals to Stock Bulls
Investors were forced to pay attention Friday, when the most interest-rate sensitive corners of the market saw big plunges in an ugly market selloff. The small-cap Russell 2000 Index dropped 2.4% for the biggest single-day decline since November.
NextEra to Buy Dominion for $67 Billion to Form Power Giant
NextEra Energy Inc. agreed to pay about $67 billion in stock for Dominion Energy Inc. in the biggest power acquisition ever, creating a giant utility extending from Florida to the data centers clustered in Virginia.
Bond Selloff Stalls on Report of Progress in US-Iran Talks
Yields on US bonds dipped as much as three basis points Monday after Iran’s semi-official Tasnim reported that Washington proposed a temporary waiver on Iran oil sanctions until the final agreement, citing a source close to the negotiation team.
Google’s Own AI Researchers Jockey for Access to Its Computing
In the race to build the infrastructure that powers artificial intelligence, Alphabet Inc.’s Google has an enviable position: The company has a healthy cloud computing business, makes its own chips, and has struck deals to share them with companies like Anthropic PBC and Meta Platforms Inc.
In This Job Market, Women Have the Upper Hand
America is fast becoming a country with two economies: a stagnant one for men and a growing one for women. So far this year, the US has created more than 165,000 private-sector jobs, and 72% of them went to women. To some extent this reflects a structural change in the economy, as growth is in industries more likely to employ women, such as healthcare.
Stock Futures Slide as Inflation Jitters Bring Rally to a Halt
Rising bond yields curbed traders’ appetite for risky bets early Friday, sending stocks lower following a weeks-long record-setting rally driven by a rush of cash into all things artificial intelligence.
Global Bond Selloff Worsens as Rising Oil Prices Spook Investors
Investors shed government bonds around the world, propelling borrowing costs to multi-year highs from Japan to the US amid intensifying fears that war-driven inflation will force central banks to pursue higher interest rates.
Forget Grok. Musk's AI Edge Is Infrastructure, Not Software
Elon Musk’s ambitions for artificial intelligence are coming together in a former vacuum-cleaner factory in Memphis, Tennessee.
Investors Benefit From More Financial Data, Not Less
With stocks near all-time highs, the need for change is hardly obvious. Proponents argue that requiring fewer reports will reduce the time and cost of compliance. Some blame an increase in disclosure demands over the last three decades for a sharp decline in the number of public companies.
Amazon’s AI Success Sends Stock Racing Toward $3 Trillion Club
Investors are growing increasingly optimistic about Amazon.com Inc.’s position in artificial intelligence, lighting a fire under the stock and sending the company’s market capitalization soaring toward the rarefied $3 trillion level.
How Long Can the US Be the Oil Supplier of Last Resort?
In today’s war-torn market, both are the supplier of last resort. One provides dollars; the other barrels. But that’s where the similarities end. The central bank can print the currency at ease; the drillers cannot.
Ford Is Becoming an AI Stock — Sort Of
Ford Motor Co. has finally hit upon an electric strategy that shouldn’t lose money. The key element is that it doesn’t involve vehicles — not for now, anyway.
Apollo’s Pricing Plan Will Transform Private Credit
Apollo Global Management Inc. announced last week that it will soon provide daily pricing for its private credit. It may not sound like a big move, but its decision to lift the veil on these assets could be the most impactful development in financial markets and investing in a long time.
BlackRock Says Increased Downgrades Looming for State Borrowers
State revenues are softening, and rainy day fund capacity has declined for the first time since the Great Recession, he wrote in his second quarter outlook report released Wednesday. The end of pandemic-era stimulus programs, slowing tax collections and rising costs are all adding to the weakness.
Stock Futures Signal Rebound as Dip Buyers Snap Up Tech Shares
US equity futures pushed higher early Wednesday as traders snapped up technology shares after a pullback in the group, with enthusiasm around strong earnings outweighing a resurgence in inflation.
Nuclear Power’s Second Revolution Needs More Fuel
The nuclear power industry is booming. With electricity demand surging, dozens of nations have set a goal of tripling the world’s capacity by 2050. And the US, which has the biggest fission fleet, is pushing to quadruple output from its reactors.
Google Debuts Android ‘Googlebook’ Laptop Platform, Reentering Hot Market
Alphabet Inc.’s Google introduced a new high-end laptop segment called "Googlebook" that will run Android and prominently showcase Gemini artificial intelligence. Hardware partners Dell Technologies Inc., Lenovo Group Ltd. and HP Inc. will debut models built on the platform in the coming months.
Mamdani Scraps Property Tax Hike, Counts Second-Home Revenue
Mamdani called the pied-à-terre tax and the change in the unincorporated business tax credit, which would mostly affect affluent taxpayers, “common-sense measures.” He said the city is working with Albany on plans to administer the second-home levy.
Nvidia’s CEO Joins Trump in China With AI in the Spotlight
Nvidia Corp. co-founder Jensen Huang joined US President Donald Trump on his visit to China as a last-minute addition, thrusting AI and technology into the spotlight before a high-stakes Beijing summit.
AI’s Big Guns Have a Serious Inflation Problem
AI infrastructure costs just keep on rising. Big tech firms are likely to invest several trillion dollars over the next few years to satisfy your ChatGPT and Claude habit.
Wall Street Puts Blockchain to Work in $13 Trillion Repo Market
The nearly $13 trillion market isn’t the flashiest outpost on Wall Street, but it’s the vital plumbing that keeps the money flowing. Through repurchase agreements, or repos, firms exchange Treasuries for cash — typically overnight — providing the short‑term funding that underpins trading, settlement and market‑making across the financial system.
Investors Bet on Xi-Trump Summit to Extend Trade-Truce Rally
China investors are counting on the summit between Xi Jinping and Donald Trump to deliver just enough to sustain the detente trade underpinning stocks and the yuan.
Copper Shrugs Off Middle East Uncertainty to Eye Record High
Copper headed toward its highest close ever — and other metals advanced — as traders shrugged off the apparent deadlock between the US and Iran to join a broader rally for risk assets.
Oil Climbs as Hormuz Stays Shut After Trump Rebuffs Iran’s Offer
Oil rose after US President Donald Trump rejected Iran’s response to his latest peace proposal, prolonging the effective closure of the crucial Strait of Hormu
Retail Is Flooding Into the Chipmaker Rally as Moves Get Extreme
Retail traders largely sat out a record-setting advance in chip stocks in April. Now they’re diving in just as worries mount that the group’s rally may be losing steam.
AI Chipmaker Cerebras Systems Seeks $4.8 Billion in Upsized IPO
Cerebras Systems Inc. increased the size of its initial public offering, now seeking to raise as much as $4.8 billion, as demand for the artificial intelligence chipmaker and data center operator’s shares continues to build
Trump Accounts Are a New Way to Redistribute Wealth
Putting money directly into Trump accounts is fundamentally different: It goes directly to the beneficiaries. Whether it will be more effective at improving prosperity or reducing populist anger is unclear. The public/nonprofit model can be better targeted and address specific societal needs, such as hunger or education.
Gundlach Takes Longshot Bet in Case of US Debt Restructuring
DoubleLine Capital’s Jeffrey Gundlach is repositioning some of his funds for the extreme scenario that the US government could choose to restructure its debt in response to a potential future recession.
US Stocks Near Record High on Payrolls Beat, Gaining Chip Stocks
US stocks were on track for a record closing high, buoyed by semiconductor stocks, strong monthly payrolls figures and a US-Iran ceasefire that appeared intact even with overnight clashes near the Strait of Hormuz.
US Jobs Rise 115,000 in Strongest Two-Month Gain Since 2024
US employers added more jobs than expected for a second month and the unemployment rate held steady in April, indicating the labor market is holding up despite rising energy costs sparked by the Iran war.
Buffett’s Big Bets Will Haunt the Abel Era at Berkshire
Warren Buffett shared his usual wisdoms about patience, diligence, prudence and kindness in a CNBC interview the morning of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.’s annual meeting last Saturday, the first in many decades that the oracle did not lead. But the sign that hung above him spoke loudest.
Where to Invest Now That Moon Race 2.0 Is Here
The Artemis II mission was a glorious moment for space exploration and a sign of a potential $1 trillion investment boom in the global space industry over the next decade.
BlackRock Touts ETFs as Liquidity Antidote to Private Exposure
Exchange-traded funds can be the source of liquidity that retail investors need after ramping up exposure to private assets, BlackRock Inc. executives wrote in a report.
Quant Model Shows Rally in Stocks Is Approaching ‘Manic’ Level
An historic surge in US stocks has pushed equities to fresh highs, yet signs of overheating sentiment suggest that the rally may be entering a slower phase.
Data Centers Aren’t the Enemy — They’re the Future
For a bunch of unremarkable warehouses, they’re generating a lot of controversy. Data centers — low-slung facilities that house the server racks and energy systems that underpin the digital economy — have become a heated issue on the campaign trail. Politicians from both parties are pushing bills to restrict them. Some want a nationwide “moratorium.” That would be a historic mistake.
Wall Street Readies Data Center IPOs as AI-Linked Debuts Surge
Wall Street banks are getting ready to raise billions of dollars taking data center companies public, even after IPO investors have already piled into anything that looks like a bet on artificial intelligence spending.
Solar in Space Is a Solution in Search of a Problem
The thinking behind space solar makes some sense: The sun doesn’t always shine on Earth, which means solar panels on the ground aren’t always gathering energy. There are no clouds to block the sun in space, so aside from a couple of times per year around the equinoxes, panels in GEO are constantly bombarded with solar rays.
European Banks Are Leaving the Markets to the Americans
Sometimes small changes speak loudly. Deutsche Bank AG’s new chief financial officer, Raja Akram, put the German lender’s consumer and asset management businesses before its corporate and investment banking units in his first earnings presentation last week.
Time to Fight the Fed? Stocks Rally Faces Dashed Rate-Cut Hopes
Is good news about the economy bad news for the stock market once again?
Muni Bond Funds Draw $22 Billion in Fastest Pace Since 2021
Investors are piling into municipal bonds at the fastest rate in five years, drawn by attractive yields and the promise of a safe harbor from recent market volatility.
SpaceX Flags at Least $55 Billion Investment in Chip Plant
SpaceX also is ramping up its spending. The company said in April it’s struck an agreement for the right to acquire artificial intelligence startup Cursor for $60 billion later this year, or to pay $10 billion for the companies’ work together.
Microsoft in Talks to Ax Energy Pledge Amid Data Center Boom
Microsoft Corp. may shelve one of the industry’s most ambitious clean-energy targets as it tries to remove hurdles that could hold it back in the race to power data centers, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
Overpaid CEOs Are the Wrong Target for Affordability Warriors
Affordability is a major problem that is finally getting the attention it needs. As important is directing that attention at the root cause of America’s cost-of-living crisis: inadequate wages.
‘Made in Europe’ Won’t Make Europe Competitive
Throughout Europe, companies are facing a quandary: How can they afford immense investments in decarbonization when a combination of now-surging energy prices, Chinese overproduction and US tariffs threatens to undermine their existing businesses?
Meta Taps Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan for New Data Center Deal
Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase & Co. are leading the process, according to people familiar with the matter. A large majority of the financing is expected to be in the form of debt, with the rest equity, the people said, asking not to be identified discussing private information.
Berkshire Investors Praise Greg Abel at Post-Buffett Meeting
Abel, known as a shrewd operator who’s always looking for ways to improve profits at the $1 trillion conglomerate’s varied businesses, said he had just one thought at the time: The company had already shelled out the money to book the arena for the annual meeting in 2026.
Amazon’s Freight Rivals Won’t Just Roll Over
There’s no doubt that Amazon will begin to take market share now that it has declared that its third-party logistics business is here to stay. This move allays concerns among potential customers that Amazon’s offerings wouldn’t be permanent or would take a back seat to its own volume during periods of peak freight.
Beware the Bubble — in the Bond Market
There is also a popular notion that bond traders can see the future, that they know what inflation will be or if a recession is coming. But bond markets are often wrong. And they may be wrong now because bond yields are low relative to the risks the economy faces.
Apple Is Winning the AI Spending Game by Not Playing It
It may be a cliche to invoke the pick-and-shovel sellers of the California Gold Rush, but what better way is there to frame what’s happening to Apple Inc.?
Alphabet Returns to Euro Debt Market for Latest AI Megabond Deal
Alphabet Inc. is selling its biggest-ever euro-denominated bond and tapping the Canadian dollar debt market just months after record-breaking deals in other currencies, showing the huge funding needs of its ambitions in artificial intelligence.
‘Ultimate Dip-Buyers’ of Stocks Remain Strong as Buybacks Surge
As the first-quarter reporting season winds down, companies are emerging from an earnings-related blackout. About 40% of corporates are currently in the so-called open buyback window, which is expected to remain open until June 12, according to Goldman Sachs’s buyback desk.
FedEx, UPS Shares Tumble on Amazon’s ‘Watershed’ Logistics Move
US transportation stocks plunged Monday morning after Amazon.com Inc. announced expanded logistics offerings that will turn it into a major competitor for parcel carriers and air freight companies, and also impact truckers and third-party brokers.
Big Tech Earnings Show Split Between AI Trade Winners and Losers
The world’s biggest technology companies posted strong earnings last week, showing that the artificial intelligence boom is alive and well. But in the stock market, investors are getting more granular as they try to divvy up the winners and losers in the AI trade.
The Bond ETF Sales Pitch Is Only Half the Story
The part of the bond ETF complex that’s growing fastest isn’t that part. It’s the active and outcome-oriented funds — multisector strategies, flexible income vehicles, securitized credit funds, options-overlay products — that charge 0.30 to 1 percentage point and promise more yield, less duration, or both. And the marketing pitch behind them quietly elides something important.
Taxing the Wealthy Won’t Reduce Their Power
It’s happening. California looks likely to put a “one-time” tax of 5% on wealth above $1 billion on the ballot in November, and polls suggest it could pass — despite opposition from some economists (not so surprising) and Democratic politicians (more so).
A $34 Billion Private Equity Exit Is Going to Be a Long Slog
One of private equity’s biggest challenges right now is getting money back to investors. Advent and Cinven have just made a small dent in the industry’s mountain of unsold assets by agreeing the sale of TK Elevator to Finland’s Kone Oyj.
More Wall Street Leverage Won’t Help Main Street
Streamlining the rules is undoubtedly appealing. The new proposal would do this, in part, by allowing the largest banks to use one method to calculate the risk of their assets instead of two, as currently required. That makes sense as far as it goes. Yet other requirements — including leverage ratios and certain capital surcharges — are being loosened or otherwise made more bank-friendly at the same time.
Taxing Artificial Intelligence Would Be a Big Mistake
Artificial intelligence might be the most transformative technology ever devised. Exactly how its effects will work through the economy is impossible to say, but serious disruption of one kind or another seems likely. Millions of jobs — in the end, maybe most jobs — could radically change, and many will disappear entirely.
Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon Expand Classified Military AI Use
The Pentagon has struck agreements with four more technology companies for expanded use of advanced artificial intelligence tools on classified military networks, according to a Defense Department statement and two defense officials briefed on the matter.
Trump to Sign Order to Expand Access to Retirement Plans
President Donald Trump will sign an executive order aimed at expanding access to retirement plans for workers whose employers don’t offer that benefit, according to a White House official, a bid to refocus the administration’s messaging on economic issues.
An OpenAI Bubble Is Not an AI Bubble
The OpenAI bubble was inflated thanks to the company’s first-mover advantage from the almost accidental success of ChatGPT. That launch, OpenAI’s first huge viral moment, made it the fastest-growing consumer tech product in history — 100 million users within two months. Extraordinary sums of venture capital followed, and the company is now worth $852 billion. Quickly placed on its shoulders was the fate of the industry.
Jamie Dimon Is Competing With Everyone. He’s Not Alone
When Jamie Dimon turned to competitive threats in his shareholder letter this year, the chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co. did something unusual: He named some. Citadel Securities LLC and Revolut Ltd. were two of the firms Dimon picked out.
Lilly Boosts Sales View to $85 Billion on Obesity-Drug Surge
Eli Lilly & Co. surprised Wall Street by raising its annual sales and profit forecast, as demand for obesity medications soared and thousands of patients started taking its new weight-loss pill before advertising for the drug had even begun.
Meta Needs to Stop Spending as If It’s a Cloud Giant
The AI hyperscalers are lumped together for obvious reasons, but after the four largest reported their earnings on Wednesday night, it became abundantly clear that one of these big-spending giants is not like the others.
Berkshire’s Ailing Share Price Clouds Abel’s First Annual Meeting as CEO
Days before his first annual meeting as the chief executive officer of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., Greg Abel is facing a problem that seldom confronted his legendary predecessor: a floundering stock price.
US Jobless Claims Plunge to 189,000, Lowest Since 1969
Applications for US unemployment benefits plunged to the lowest level in decades, a sign that job-cut announcements have not yet meaningfully translated into layoffs.
US GDP Rose 2% in Early 2026 in Sign of Economy’s Resilience
Inflation-adjusted gross domestic product increased an annualized 2% in the first quarter after the longest-ever federal government shutdown limited growth in the closing months of 2025, according to an initial estimate issued Thursday by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Meta Looks to Raise as Much as $25 Billion With Jumbo Bond Sale
Meta Platforms Inc. is looking to sell between $20 billion and $25 billion of investment-grade bonds, according to people with knowledge of the transaction, as the Facebook parent boosts spending on infrastructure for the artificial intelligence boom.
OpenAI Is Shedding Baggage. Now It Needs a Jury’s Help
The stakes for OpenAI are existential at worst and a serious burden at best as it seeks to go public. In preparation, the company has taken spring cleaning to the next level — embarking on a culling of “side quests” like the video creator Sora, ending some science research and even putting on hold its plans for an erotic version of ChatGPT.
AI May Be the US Economy’s Only Hope
So the question is not whether innovation can drive growth. It’s how much growth innovation can drive. The falling population and heavy debt load mean productivity will need to increase GDP by at least 2.5%, maybe 3% depending on the path of interest rates.
Tech’s ‘New Normal’ Trade Pair: Long Chip Stock, Short Software
In a choppy year for tech investors, one trade has stood out as a success: buy chip stocks, sell software shares. And the divide between winners and losers is getting bigger as 2026 moves along.
America’s Bond-Market Privilege Is Disappearing as US Debt Soars
For much of the past few years, US Treasuries have failed to serve their traditional role as a sure-fire refuge from global market meltdowns.
Kalshi, Polymarket Face New Rival in Crypto’s Hottest Exchange
Hyperliquid, the decentralized crypto exchange that has emerged as one of the most active trading venues in digital assets, is proposing to add prediction markets to its platform — a direct challenge to Kalshi and Polymarket as the fast-growing sector draws new competitors.
Meme-Stock Casualty Plotkin Joins Rich Shifting Assets Into ETFs
Hedge fund manager turned NBA owner Gabe Plotkin, who shut his firm after a bruising showdown with meme-stock traders, is planning to convert some of his own assets into an ETF using a tactic that’s helped a slew of wealthy investors defer tax.
I Built an AI Trading Platform in Six Days. That’s Terrifying
A few weeks ago, I sat down at my laptop and built a trading platform. It connects to three financial exchanges. It ingests news from RSS feeds, web searches, Reddit and Twitter.
Is California a Harbinger of the AI Job Disruption?
If venture capital investment is a measure of the economic future, California would seem to have locked things up. In the first quarter of this year — by far the biggest quarter for US VC investment ever — an unheard-of 85% of the money went to California companies, according to the PitchBook-NVCA Venture Monitor. For all of 2025, California’s share was an also-unprecedented 60%.
Michael Burry’s Latest Bet Highlights Growing Concern of Melt-Up
Technology megacaps are pushing benchmark indexes to new records while the rest of the market is lagging behind. Traders can be forgiven for feeling like they’ve seen this movie before.
BlackRock Targets the Idle Cash Piling Up on Crypto Exchanges
BlackRock Inc. is bringing its roughly $2.5 billion money market fund to cryptocurrency exchange operator OKX, with Standard Chartered Plc holding the underlying assets — the latest sign that Wall Street infrastructure and digital-asset markets are converging.
Euro Equities Have Lost Their Va-Va-Voom
European stocks started the year much stronger than their US peers but the tantalizing prospect of the euro area clawing back some of its persistent gap in earnings growth, and the higher company valuations that come with it, looks to have slipped through its grasp again.
This Chip Supercycle Has One Collective Blind Spot
The chip industry seems to be the only game in town lately. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, known as the SOX, has risen 48% this year. Bourses in Taiwan, South Korea and Japan are riding the wave and hitting record highs, brushing away potential energy shocks from the military conflict over Iran.
Apple Grandmaster Tim Cook Is Playing 3D Chess With AI
Cook has spent 15 years focused on the King — the thousands of decisions about industrial design, manufacturing, and supply chains that make the iPhone an iPhone. Racing in AI would have meant counting pieces while leaving the King unguarded. Ballmer counted pieces, and it cost Microsoft $5.5 billion.
Bond Traders Eye Packed Week of Rate Decisions for Sell Signals
The world’s most important central banks will potentially hand investors fresh reasons to sell government bonds this week as policymakers find themselves forced to confront the risk of a war-driven inflation shock.
Emerging Stocks an Even Better Bargain After Best Rally in Years
On Monday, the index returned to record highs, eclipsing the previous peak hit before the war started in Iran. Yet, when compared with the US market, emerging-market shares screen as cheaper than at the start of the war, reinforcing the case for investors to add exposure.
United CEO Says He Weighed American Merger; Talks Have Ended
United Airlines Holdings Inc. Chief Executive Officer Scott Kirby confirmed he approached American Airlines Group Inc. and that talks have ended, laying out the virtues of a merger that he said could have strengthened corporate America and won approval from regulators.
US Stock Futures Flat as Traders Brace for Busy Earnings Week
US stock futures were little changed on Monday after a four-week rally, starting a busy week of corporate earnings and the US central bank’s policy meeting with a relative calm while investors monitor the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz amid stalled Iran peace talks.
Nvidia-Tied Data Center Taps Junk-Debt Market for $4.5 Billion
A data center developer is seeking $4.54 billion in junk-debt financing for an artificial intelligence project tied to Nvidia Corp., testing investor appetite after a recent surge in offerings.
The AI Job Apocalypse Is Being Delayed
There’s no shortage these days of stories, posts and videos warning of the robot armies readying to vacuum up white-collar jobs in technology, finance, marketing, you name it. And there’s no doubt that artificial intelligence is rapidly changing how we live and work. Amid all this, though, a relative calm has descended on the labor market and should persist for the rest of this year, at least.
More Corporate Power Can Help Solve the Affordability Crisis
Budget airlines are going broke. Spirit Airlines may go under or get a government bailout, and JetBlue is just barely avoiding bankruptcy this year. It didn’t need to be this way. They tried to merge in 2024, but the merger was blocked because President Joe Biden’s administration was concerned that greater consolidation would lead to higher prices.
The Oil Futures Market Is Lying to Us
The bigger the vacuum becomes, the longer it will take to refill those inventories whenever whatever passes for normality finally arrives. Oil prices along the curve would need to rise accordingly to encourage excess production — or, conversely, achieve the same outcome by destroying demand.
SpaceX Is Widening Its Competitive Moat Ahead of a Record IPO
Elon Musk’s SpaceX is no stranger to the stratosphere, and neither is its coming initial public offering.
AI Junk-Bond Binge Brings Rare Early Repayments to Sweeten Deals
As a more than $20 billion borrowing frenzy to build out data centers descended on the junk-bond market this year, some issuers offered up a rare sweetener: an early cash payback.
Amazon-Backed Nuclear Firm X-Energy Raises $1.02 Billion in IPO
X-Energy Inc., a nuclear energy firm that counts Amazon.com Inc. as a backer, raised $1.02 billion in an upsized US initial public offering that priced above the marketed range.
Global Bonds Set for Worst Week in a Month as US-Iran Risks Rise
Global bond markets are heading for their worst week in a month as investors grow increasingly uneasy about a stalemate between the US and Iran.
Intel Shares Set to Eclipse Dot-Com Peak on Sales Forecast
Intel Corp. shares are on track to hit their highest level ever after the chipmaker delivered a sales forecast that shattered Wall Street expectations.
JPMorgan Readies Fresh Private Credit Push After Needling Market
After years weighing how to dive deeper into private credit, JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s $4.3 trillion asset manager is committing to a strategy that will plow tens of billions of dollars into loans sourced by the firm’s commercial bankers.
Five Reasons Global Markets Are Surprisingly Resilient Despite War in Iran
Nearly two months into the conflict in Iran, global stock markets are staging a defiant rally. From the US to Taiwan and South Korea, a disconnect has emerged: while the geopolitical tensions remain high, equities are charging back toward all-time highs.
Intel’s $240 Billion Rally Slams Into a Potential Earnings Wall
Intel Corp. has been one of the hottest stocks in the market over the past 12 months, soaring more than 240% to the highest price since the dot-com bubble. But the rally is facing a potential roadblock in the company’s first-quarter earnings report due after the close Thursday.
American Airlines Lowers Earnings Goal as Fuel Bill Surges
American Airlines Group Inc. lowered its full-year earnings target, saying it may end 2026 with a loss as the carrier absorbs $4 billion in additional fuel costs from the war in Iran.
Vanguard Scoops Up Treasuries as Iran Conflict Lifts Yields
Vanguard is boosting its holdings of Treasuries, taking advantage of higher yields following the Middle East conflict to lock in rates and hedge against the risks of a potential growth slowdown.
Wall Street’s Bullish Stocks View Contrasts With Consumer Gloom
Stocks are trading near a record high, signaling Wall Street is learning to cope with lingering geopolitical risks. Main Street is struggling to catch up.
Tesla Shares Need New ‘Razzle-Dazzle’ as EVs Slow, AI Hype Cools
Investing pros say strong quarterly numbers that beat already lowered expectations aren’t likely to move the richly valued stock. Rather, Tesla needs one of two things to drag its shares out of their rut: Concrete signs of progress on its robotaxi plans or a shiny new object from Musk’s playbook that moves the goalposts for the company and resets the timer to show results.
Google Cloud Debuts New AI Chips, Tools for Building Agents
Google has emerged as one of the most successful makers of in-house AI chips in an industry dominated by Nvidia Corp. TPUs have become a hot commodity in Silicon Valley in recent months, and the company is looking to build on that momentum with the latest versions.
Apple’s Next CEO Ternus Inherits a Bold Gamble on Hardware
In announcing on Monday that John Ternus would be succeeding Tim Cook as chief executive officer of Apple Inc. this year, the company’s board made it clear: We’re a hardware company and we’re going with the hardware guy.
JPMorgan Aims for China Approval of Active ETF Launch This Year
JPMorgan Chase & Co. is working toward getting approval from Chinese securities regulators to launch actively managed exchange-traded funds in the country for the first time.
Pentagon Seeks $75 Billion for Drones in Record Defense Budget
The Pentagon’s largest-ever budget request earmarks $75 billion for drones and technologies to counter them, mainly for a massive increase for a little-known office working with US commandos to test and evaluate various systems, according to defense officials.
SoftBank Is Going All In on OpenAI, But at What Cost?
Would you buy OpenAI’s shares even though the transaction might expose you to a liquidity crunch? SoftBank Group Corp.’s founder Masayoshi Son did just that.
Bill Ackman Is Dangling the Chance of a Quick Buck
Billionaire money manager Bill Ackman is giving away a stake in his firm to investors who support his latest hedge-fund launch. This looks like a good deal. And so it should: If you’re selling a fund in the form of an initial public offering, you have to dangle the prospect of a quick buck.
Apple Bets New CEO John Ternus Will Bring Back Jobs-Era Decisiveness
Ternus will have a challenge when he officially takes the job in September. Even as he maintains Apple’s device empire — and its more than $400 billion in annual revenue — the executive will need to take chances, enter new product categories and find the company’s footing in artificial intelligence.
Why Are Workers Stuck? Not Enough Employers
What makes recessions so harmful to workers is the freezing of movement. The gears of the labor market — gears that are constantly shuffling workers from job to job to unemployment to job again — slow to a crawl.
Wall Street Strategists Bullish on the US Earnings Outlook
Strategists at some of Wall Street’s biggest banks are upbeat on the outlook for US earnings after a positive start to the first-quarter reporting season.
A Stock Trader’s Guide to a Fractured Economic World
Investors are set to pour more money into defense, energy and technology stocks as the Middle East war forces governments to prioritize security and become more self reliant.
Housing’s Spring Selling Season Is Here. It’s Not Looking Pretty
The housing industry had good reasons for optimism heading into 2026. Transactions were picking up after three listless years as improved affordability and decent inventory levels brought buyers back into the market.
To Make a Tech Unicorn, Mix a Few Workers With Some AI Hype
Sam Altman, the chief executive officer of OpenAI, said at a finance conference in October 2023 that he and his “CEO friends” were running a betting pool on when the first one-person billion-dollar company would be created thanks to artificial intelligence.
EQT Warns of Exit Risks for Alternative Energy Assets Held by PE
EQT AB, Europe’s biggest private equity firm, says the path to exiting investments in clean-energy developers and operators faces a growing number of hurdles.
Bitcoin’s Fragile Recovery Sets Up a Big Short-Squeeze Risk
Bitcoin’s recovery above $75,000 has a credibility problem: the traders with the most leverage don’t believe in it.
Stocks Rally as Oil Plunges on Reopening of Hormuz Strait
US stocks rallied Friday after Iran said it would open the Strait of Hormuz following the truce between Israel and Lebanon, promising to ease an oil shock that has shadowed the global economic outlook ever since President Donald Trump started the war seven weeks ago.
Intel Shares Soar to Highest Since 2000 on Turnaround Optimism
Intel Corp. shares leaped to their highest intraday level since the dot-com era on Friday as optimism that the chipmaker’s turnaround plan is working continues to grow.
How Much Finance Is Too Much for the US Economy?
During and immediately after the financial crisis of 2008, there was much talk and academic research about the rapid growth of the US financial sector over the preceding decades and whether that was good or bad.
The Cypherpunks Wanted to Destroy the Dollar. They Saved It Instead
For the first time, stablecoins have surpassed the Automated Clearing House (ACH) payments network in monthly transaction volume. According to blockchain analytics platform Artemis, stablecoins processed $7.2 trillion in February, topping the ACH’s $6.8 trillion.
Private Credit's Biggest User Is in an Even Worse Place
As private credit managers mount a spirited defense of their industry to discourage investors from fleeing, they’ve found at least one persuasive argument for why much of the cash they lent to software firms at the start of the decade shouldn’t be at risk.
The Iran War Has Fired Up Value Investing. But What Next?
The Iran war has created a reshuffle in investing. High-flying tech companies are out while unloved old economy names are getting a second look.
Atkins Faces Ticking Clock as He Reshapes Rules for Wall Street
When Paul Atkins took the helm of Wall Street’s top regulator, he came with a long to-do list: craft rules for the cryptocurrency industry, make initial public offerings “great again” and ease financial reporting for public companies.
Stock Rally Leaves Options Traders Readying for a Tech Rebound
A dramatic shift is underway in US equity markets. Stocks hit an all-time high Wednesday as Middle East peace hopes tamped down geopolitical anxiety, and derivatives traders who had pulled back from bullish bets are now racing to position for further gains in technology shares.
Anthropic’s Mythos Is a Wake-up Call For Everyone, Not Just Banks
Mythos, a new artificial intelligence model that Anthropic PBC has teased as too dangerous to release, looked at first like a problem for banks.
Why Aren’t Americans Working as Hard as They Used to?
I came across a statistic the other day that goes against the intuition of practically everyone in the US who has a job: Americans are working less than they did in the 1950s and ’60s. How is this possible, when we all feel chained to our desks or our phones?
Bitcoin Tests High End of Trading Range Amid Iran Optimism
Bitcoin trended toward the high end of its more than two-month trading range as risk assets rallied on optimism that the US can strike a deal with Iran to end their conflict.
How to Make Drilling for Oil Woke Again
With the US-Iran war demonstrating not just how captive the world economy remains to fossil fuels, but also how easily energy can be weaponized, whether to drill at home is becoming an even more pressing question for some countries.
S&P 500 on Pace for Record Close as Ceasefire Rally Continues
The S&P 500 Index is on track to close at its first record since January, as traders bid up stocks amid optimism over the ceasefire between the US and Iran and robust corporate fundamentals.
Wall Street Goes Bottom Fishing in Beaten-Down Software Stocks
Wall Street has gotten repeatedly burned calling a bottom in software stocks, which have been hit hard by fears that artificial intelligence will make the companies obsolete. But this week’s bounce is bringing some bottom-fishing investors back to the group on hopes that the worst may finally be over.
Pimco Buys All $400 Million of Bonds Sold by Blue Owl BDC
Pacific Investment Management Co. bought all $400 million of bonds issued Monday by a Blue Owl Capital Inc. private credit fund, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
BofA Discloses $20 Billion of Loans to Private-Credit Firms
Bank of America Corp. disclosed it has about $20 billion in private-credit exposure, as the bank and its Wall Street peers seek to calm concerns about the industry’s exposure to the asset class.
Morgan Stanley Says Capital Rule Rollback Boosted Trading Haul
Morgan Stanley’s traders got a boost from President Donald Trump’s deregulation agenda. In the first three months of the year, Morgan Stanley plowed capital that was freed up after US regulators relaxed a key rule into its prime brokerage division and its macro trading desks, according to Chief Financial Officer Sharon Yeshaya.
Novo Taps OpenAI to Speed Development of New Obesity Drugs
Novo Nordisk A/S will integrate OpenAI’s artificial intelligence across the company to accelerate drug development.
Treasuries Steady as Traders Assess War’s Inflation Risks
Treasuries traded steadily after a reading of US wholesale prices last month rose less than anticipated, affirming wagers that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least once this year even as the broader inflationary outlook remains murky amid the war in Iran.
JPMorgan Traders Blow Past Expectations With Record Haul
JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s traders posted their highest-ever quarterly revenue in the first three months of the year, with record stock-trading results boosting the total past the firm’s previous record by almost $2 billion.
BlackRock Sees Private Credit Tumult as Way to Take Market Share
BlackRock Inc. Chief Executive Officer Larry Fink sees increased demand for private credit from big institutional investors like insurers, even as retail clients grow skittish over the asset class and seek to redeem more of their shares.
This 401(k) Reform Plan Misses What Makes Pensions Work
Once upon a time, not so long ago, about a third of all American workers had a gold-plated pension: When they retired, someone paid them nearly their full salary for the rest of their lives. They didn’t have to worry about the market, or inflation, or running out of money.
Kalshi Is Half Right About Prediction Markets and Gambling
Sportsbooks profit from customer losses, making them structurally predatory. Kalshi, by contrast, operates as a peer-to-peer exchange: customers bet against each other, Kalshi takes fees from both sides, and the house has no stake in the outcome. It's a financial market, not a casino.
The End of the Petrostate Era Won’t Bring Peace
With the Middle East in flames and a fifth of the world’s supplies of oil and gas in limbo thanks to the uncertain status of the Strait of Hormuz, it’s tempting to imagine that a clean-energy world might leave such conflicts behind.
Wall Street Expects a Cautious Fed as T-Bill Purchases Wind Down
Wall Street strategists expect the Federal Reserve to take a slow and careful approach to winding down a program meant to help ease pressure in funding markets.
Morgan Stanley Says Earnings Shield S&P 500 From Iran War
Accelerating earnings are protecting the S&P 500 from deeper losses and masking a broader pullback in US equities, according to strategists at Morgan Stanley.
Intel’s $100 Billion April Rally Makes It Market’s Hottest Stock
Intel Corp. has quickly become one of the hottest stocks in the S&P 500 Index thanks to a nine-day surge that has added more than $100 billion in market value.
Bond Traders Cling to Bets on a Fed Rate Cut This Year After CPI
Bond traders held onto wagers that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates once this year after data confirmed that US inflation quickened in March as the Iran war led to higher gasoline prices.
Finance Titans Bet Mideast Resilience Will Outweigh War Fallout
Late last month, Blackstone Inc. announced the first inbound Gulf private equity deal since Iran started attacking Middle Eastern hubs, while Citigroup Inc.’s top boss fired off a 600-word memo underlining the bank’s enthusiasm for its business in the region.
US Stocks’ Seven-Day Rally Stalls Ahead of CPI, US-Iran Talks
US equity futures stalled after a seven-day rally as investors weighed whether a fragile truce between Washington and Tehran can hold, and oil headed for its biggest weekly loss in nine months.
Demand for Dollars in Swaps Ebbs Alongside Global Risks
By at least one metric in the $9.5 trillion foreign-exchange markets, demand for the dollar is ebbing amid the tenuous ceasefire between the US and Iran.
Bill Ackman Has Had a Vision of Musical Utopia
The idea that this would be enough for “new UMG” to almost double the current one’s valuation doesn’t add up at a time when artificial intelligence is creating doubts about the industry’s future. And it’s unlikely on its own to tempt dominant shareholders such as French tycoon Vincent Bollore. The proverbial fat lady has yet to sing.
Nvidia Shares Near Level Where Technical Traders See a Breakout
After months of sluggish returns, Nvidia Corp.’s stock is rallying again and close to breaking out of its narrow trading range, which market technicians see as a bullish signal.
Hormuz Traffic Still Blocked as Iran Tries to Formalize Control
Ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remained blocked Thursday, even as a handful of Chinese vessels lined up to escape, with a very fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran yet to improve traffic flows in the region.
A 1,300% Rally Turns a Tiny Shipping ETF Into an Iran War Gauge
Every twist in the Iran conflict — every ceasefire bet, every missile strike, every shift in tanker traffic — shows up almost instantly in a $65 million exchange-traded fund that most investors have never heard of.
Altman Is His Own Risk Factor in OpenAI’s Mega-IPO
In essence, the IPO is an acknowledgement that the ChatGPT-maker, which just raised $122 billion from investors at a valuation of $852 billion, needs what seems to be an endless amount of money to fund its race for artificial general intelligence.
Tesla's $44 Billion Swing Is More Than Just a Miss
Tesla Inc. and its Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk are a font of big numbers, real or imagined: A million robotaxis deployed, 20 million electric vehicles sold per year, “tens of billions” of Optimus robots stalking the Earth.
The US and Iran Have Blueprints for a Hormuz Deal
For centuries the so-called cannon shot rule determined who controlled the seas. The legal concept, codified by Dutch jurist Cornelius van Bynkershoek in 1702, was simple: The distance a cannonball reached from shore set the maritime boundary of a coastal state.
Global Bonds Jump as Ceasefire Sows Doubts Over Steep Rate Hikes
Global bonds surged Wednesday on news that the US and Iran had agreed to a ceasefire, pausing a war that roiled markets for weeks by delivering the worst oil shock in years.
US Stocks Rally on Ceasefire, Goldman Warns of Short Squeeze
US stocks rallied after President Donald Trump’s announcement of a two-week ceasefire in the Iran war spurred relief across markets.
European Stocks Stage Biggest Rally in a Year on Ceasefire Deal
European stocks soared the most in a year as investors rushed to buy stocks in the wake of the US and Iran agreeing to a two-week ceasefire in exchange for Tehran reopening the Strait of Hormuz.
Health Care Workers Are Reshaping the US Labor Market
Fresh data on the US labor market and new research from the Federal Reserve suggest that the conventional wisdom around employment growth being sluggish is wrong.
Cyber Stocks Look to Go From Losers to Winners
Cybersecurity stocks have sold off this year alongside the rest of the software sector, but with artificial intelligence increasing the potential threats from bad actors, investors risk missing out on the burgeoning demand for their services.
Wall Street Watchdogs Pull Back Amid Trump’s Deregulatory Push
Finance has been moving fast. From crypto to prediction betting to exchange-traded funds to private credit, new markets—and risks—are proliferating.
BlackRock, State Street Target Invesco’s $379 Billion Tech Grip
Wall Street’s biggest ETF issuers are circling Invesco Ltd.’s Nasdaq 100 franchise, threatening to end its near-exclusive hold on the index.
The K-Shaped Economy’s Defining Statistic Has Some Problems
The defining statistic of the so-called K-shaped economy is a little hard to define.
Sam Altman Is Ignoring a Secret Weapon for His IPO
Call it the season of IPO prep. Recent launches and announcements from OpenAI and arch rival Anthropic are aimed at laying the groundwork to go public in late 2026 or early 2027, and for OpenAI, which just closed a $122 billion funding round that values it at $852 billion.
New York City Can’t Afford Both Big Pensions and Free Buses
Cities such as New York and Chicago are in deep financial trouble. Broadly speaking, they have two options: Make the difficult but appropriate choice to raise taxes and reduce the scale of government, or continue to live in a state of denial, increasing their pension obligations while also promising their residents more services.
BlackRock Files to Challenge Invesco’s Nasdaq 100 ETF Monopoly
BlackRock Inc. is setting its sights on a corner of the $13.7 trillion US exchange-traded fund industry long controlled by Invesco Ltd: tracking the Nasdaq 100 Index.
SpaceX Heralds New Era of Mega IPOs. Buyers Beware
The next 12 months are expected to bring a bumper crop of mega initial public offerings to market. Billionaire Elon Musk’s rocket, satellite and AI company SpaceX has reportedly filed for a potentially record-breaking offering.
US Stocks Rise as Dip Buyers Return Amid Ceasefire Hopes
US equities and crude oil prices edged higher as investors focus on signs of a potential diplomatic push toward a ceasefire in the Iran war.
US Bonds Steady as Traders Bet War Uncertainty Keeps Fed on Hold
Bond traders kicked off the week betting that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates on hold for the coming year, with the Treasuries market holding steady ahead of President Donald Trump’s extended deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
Stock Traders Bet That Rates Market Is Wrong on Inflation Risk
The stock market is looking past the sharp interest rate hikes priced by Europe’s bond market, risking losses for investors backing the wrong outcome.
Coinbase, Cloudflare, Stripe Push to Shape Future of AI Money
Big names in crypto, payments and cloud infrastructure are racing to build the financial plumbing for a world in which AI agents — not humans — handle transactions on the internet.
The US Can’t Afford Lower Taxes Without Lower Spending
Less than two months ago, projections showed the US government on track to borrow some $2 trillion this year with budget deficits exceeding 5% of gross domestic product indefinitely. Since then, this dire outlook has worsened — thanks to the Supreme Court’s ruling on tariffs, the war with Iran, the prospect of slowing economic growth and rising interest rates.
Unilever's $45 Billion Food Sale Augurs a More Beautiful Future
Unilever Plc’s Fernando Fernandez haslucked out by selling the company’s food businesses, including Hellmann’s mayonnaise and Knorr stock cubes, to McCormick & Co. But Fernandez, who’s been chief executive officer for just over a year, shouldn’t squander his good fortune; he needs a clear vision for what comes next.
Private Credit’s Pain Will Be the Market’s Gain
When Edward Jenner inoculated an eight-year-old boy with cowpox in 1796, the principle was radical: Expose a healthy body to a mild, manageable version of harm, and it builds the defenses to survive something far worse. The cowpox patient never got smallpox. Markets work in much the same way.
Billionaire Nelson Peltz Plans AI Makeover for Janus Henderson
Now that Nelson Peltz has won a surprise bidding war for Janus Henderson Group Plc, the activist investor can start to revamp the $493 billion asset manager he has circled for years.
Lilly’s $7.8 Billion Bet Takes It Beyond Obesity Into Sleep
Eli Lilly & Co.’s Zepbound is helping to solve one of the most intractable health challenges of our time: Obesity. Now, the drugmaker hopes to crack another significant public health problem: Sleep disorders.
OpenAI Valued at $852 Billion After Completing $122 Billion Round
OpenAI has completed a deal to raise $122 billion from investors at an $852 billion valuation, marking the company’s largest funding round to date by far and bolstering its costly push for more chips, data centers and talent.
Boaz Weinstein's Hedge Fund Is Closing In On a Big Win
Hedge fund activist Boaz Weinstein is on the cusp of his most significant campaign victory yet — overhauling an investment trust whose claim to fame is an early bet on Elon Musk’s SpaceX rocket company. But the beleaguered target is doing a good job of trashing the prize pot.
The Iran War Is Reviving a Popular Trade in Japan
The Iran war is challenging Japan’s safe-haven assets, once again forcing domestic investors to seek better returns abroad.
Warren Buffett Warns He’s Watching Stability of Banking System
Warren Buffett cautioned that he’s seeing signs of fragility emerging in the banking system as it has become more connected to non-bank players.
‘Uninvestable’ Super Micro Sends Investors Racing to the Exits
On paper, Super Micro Computer Inc. is the type of company that Wall Street can’t get enough of, with soaring sales, an enviable list of partners like Nvidia Corp. and its placement at the center of the artificial intelligence boom.
Wild Charts Show Pain Points in S&P 500’s Worst Month Since 2022
Tech megacaps entered a correction, oil prices broke out, big-money funds retreated and small-lot investors showed waning conviction in buying the dip. While the war in Iran that triggered all that didn’t end a three-year bull run in US equities, it is shaking it to its core.
BlackRock to Launch Quant Fund Trading Singapore Stocks
BlackRock Inc. plans to launch a fund next month focused on large Southeast Asian stocks, according to people familiar with the matter, a move supporting Singapore’s drive to boost liquidity in the local market.
A Forgotten Crisis Explains Today’s Oil Shock
A Japanese oil tanker slips through the Strait of Hormuz in the dead of night, radio silenced to conceal its position. Iran secures a market for its crude in defiance of Western sanctions. The balance of the world’s energy trade switches from incumbent hegemons toward emerging powers.
Humans Can Decide Whether AI Kills or Creates Jobs
Does artificial intelligence herald soaring prosperity or mass unemployment, political breakdown and Orwellian subjection? Nobody, not even AI, can honestly say. Forced to guess, I’d predict some of both.
$100,000 in Social Security Benefits Is Too Much
When someone says a retiree is “living off Social Security,” it’s not usually $100,000 a year.
Bankers Aren't Letting the Iran War Get in the Way of a Deal
Financial markets have been relatively unaffected by the costly and senseless war the US and Israel are waging against Iran. But what’s really surprising is the ongoing boom in investment banking.
Millionaire-Tax Refugees Will Be Heading South Soon
A progressive rallying cry to tax the rich is being welcomed by traditionally Republican states, including Florida and Georgia, looking for a new pitch to draw migrants — especially wealthy migrants — from the coasts.
Big Tech Stocks Rout Is Flashing Signals of a Turnaround
The wreckage in large technology stocks that sent the Nasdaq 100 Index into a correction is flashing signs that have marked turning points for the group in the past.
JPMorgan, Pimco Say Bond Market Is Misjudging Slowdown Risk
Some of Wall Street’s biggest bond-fund managers say financial markets are underestimating the risk that the US war in Iran will cause a sharp slowdown in an already sputtering economy.
Government Bonds Rally Around the World on Slowdown Concerns
Sovereign bonds rose around the world as concern the Middle East conflict will derail global economic growth revived demand for beaten-down government debt.
Meta Faces $310 Billion Market Value Drop on Legal, AI Concerns
Meta Platforms Inc. was looking like the best Big Tech stock in the market when the year began. But investors’ fears of legal risks and heavy spending on artificial intelligence are bubbling to the surface, culminating in last week’s 11% rout.
Private Credit’s Angry Investors Are Showing Its Limits
Private credit managers are feeling sheepish. Some of their investors can’t get their money out as quickly as they’d like — and some may be quite angry about that.
Franklin Templeton Debuts ETFs That Trade in Crypto Wallets 24/7
Franklin Templeton is partnering with Ondo Finance to offer tokenized versions of its ETFs that trade around the clock through crypto wallets, bypassing the brokerage accounts and limited trading hours that have defined fund investing for decades.
Meet Eve, the AI Brain Behind an Ex-Coatue Trader’s New Fund
Eve oversees dozens of brainiac office hands; monitors countless earning calls; keeps tabs on CEOs; parses corporate filings; conducts due diligence; brainstorms stock picks.
Wall Street Says Stocks Are Too Cheap to Ignore as War Rages On
The war in Iran may be showing few signs of easing, but Wall Street strategists are encouraging investors to start buying stocks again.
Wall Street’s FX Roadmap Roiled by Dollar’s Best Run Since July
The dollar is on track for its best month since July as the conflict in the Middle East scrambles Wall Street’s playbook for the world’s dominant reserve currency.
Crypto Enters the Mortgage Market Via Fannie Mae-Eligible Loans
Crypto is moving deeper into the US financial system — this time through the mortgage market.
Gold Becomes More Useful as a Piggy Bank Than a Haven
Gold's reputation as the ultimate store of value has been tarnished by its 15% decline since the Iran conflict began. It's failed to act as a haven or a geopolitical hedge.
Private Credit Has an AI Recovery Problem
Private credit funds lent a lot of money to software companies at the beginning of the decade when they were being snapped up in a rush of expensive buyout deals. Now many of these tech businesses are braced for disruption by artificial intelligence, and some might end up defaulting on that debt.
How the Iran War Could Split the AI Boom in Two
The Iran war has laid bare a paradox: Gulf money is helping underwrite America’s effort to win the artificial intelligence race, and now the US has started a conflict that could destabilize those investments.
US Mortgage Rates Jump Further to Five-Month High of 6.43%
US mortgage rates climbed for a third straight week, pushing home-financing costs to the highest since October and dealing a blow to both purchasing and refinancing activity.
Bond Market Nears ‘Inflection Point’ After War-Related Selloff
A rush by bond traders to unwind US futures positions amid the selloff triggered by war in Iran is running its course, setting the stage for new wagers that will determine whether the rout reverses or deepens.
Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Sees S&P Profit Boom Despite Iran War
Even as war in the Middle East roiled markets this month, some investors are finding solace in Corporate America’s growth machine, which not only remains intact — but is showing signs of thriving.
Are US Recessions Going Extinct? That’s So 2003
The US economy looks amazingly resilient on the surface. Notwithstanding the two-month Covid-19 recession of 2020, the US hasn’t experienced a downturn since the end of the financial crisis in the middle of 2009.
AI Is Hitting the Sweet Part of the S-Curve
One of the most compelling theories about the future of artificial intelligence comes, oddly enough, from a 161-year-old paper about the coal industry. In 1865, the English economist William Stanley Jevons observed that improvements to the coal-fired steam engine had not reduced Britain’s coal consumption.
China’s $1.6 Trillion Fund Rekindles Ties With US Money Managers
China’s $1.57 trillion sovereign wealth fund - long one of the biggest backers of private equity firms in the world - is considering new allocations to US money managers just months after reducing its exposure to the world’s biggest economy.
Memory Is Wall Street’s Favorite Tech Trade as Mag 7 Disappoints
In the stock market’s volatile and uncertain start to the year, one trade has held strong: go long memory and storage.
Gold Steadies After Nine Days of Losses Fueled by Iran War
Gold steadied after a dramatic selloff that has pushed the metal down more than 15% since the start of the Middle East conflict.
BlackRock’s Rieder Seeks Cash for Hedge Fund After Fed Race
BlackRock Inc.’s Rick Rieder, the firm’s top bond-market executive who was passed over by President Donald Trump to be chair of the Federal Reserve, is pursuing investor cash for his first hedge fund in years.
Dimensional Grafts Vanguard’s Tax-Busting Model Onto Mutual Fund
Dimensional Fund Advisors is becoming the first asset manager to launch an exchange-traded fund share class of a mutual fund since Vanguard Group’s patent on the model expired nearly three years ago.
Private Credit Is Making Bank Investors Antsy, Too
Banks making loans to specialist fund managers instead of directly to companies is meant to act like a firebreak protecting traditional lenders against the risks of businesses going bust. But losses from financing private credit firms and other nonbank lenders are coming back to bite them — and it’s making their investors antsy.
Central Banks Won’t Be Riding to the Rescue This Time
Modern markets have gotten used to central bank support whenever the global economy wobbles. But as the world confronts a fresh energy shock unfolding against brittle labor markets, investors need to prepare themselves for the possibility that central bankers won’t have their backs — quite the opposite.
Powell to ’70s: Drop Dead
he shock to global oil supply this month has already been declared the greatest ever by the International Energy Agency, so it’s natural to draw parallels with the great shocks of the 1970s. But numerous other factors determine how serious the impact of any given hit to supply will be on the global economy.
Disney’s Iger Joins the Boomerang Club of Ho-Hum Returns
When Walt Disney Co. announced in November 2022 that Bob Iger would return as chief executive officer, the market took it as an auspicious sign. The stock jumped more than 6% on the news, its biggest increase in nearly two years.
Complacency Is Cracking as Goldman Clients Brace for Stocks Rout
Confidence among global stock-market investors, who largely kept their cool in the face of an escalating conflict in the Middle East, is starting to wear thin.
Generic Ozempic Is a Game Changer for China and India
The simultaneous patent expiry of Ozempic’s active ingredient in China and India on Friday is a watershed moment. Until now, the revolutionary weight-loss drugs have been available largely to people with means.
What’s March Without the Madness? Good for NCAA Business
March Madness is losing much of what made it mad. Signs of the shift were clear last year. Cinderella teams, the low-seeded upstarts that are supposed to deliver upsets and attention, didn’t surprise anyone.
US Stock Futures Drop as Traders Eye Longer War, Options Expiry
US futures extended a drop on Friday as earlier hopes for a quick resolution to the war in the Middle East faded. Meanwhile, traders braced for a historic amount of March options expiry.
Private Credit’s Biggest Players Go From Good to Bad to Worse
Public markets give a running commentary on the biggest players in private markets. Over the last year, this has gone from good to bad to worse. The sector’s long-term growth prospects may be more-or-less intact, but the next few years probably won’t feel that way.
Gen Xers Are Kings of an Uncertain Job Market
Amid uncertain times in the job market one thing stands out — Americans in their 50s are working like never before.
Google Ties Data Center to 20-Year Power Deal, Solar Investment
Alphabet Inc.’s Google is moving ahead with plans for a major data center in Michigan that features a 20-year electricity contract requiring it to cover the full expense of adding a haul of new clean power.
Gold and Silver Plunge as Iran War Damps Rate-Cut Hopes
Gold sank for a seventh session as the escalating war in the Middle East drove oil prices higher and reduced prospects for a US interest-rate cut in the near term. Silver slumped more than 10%.
Stock Traders’ Guide to Navigating Takaichi-Trump Summit
Japan’s equity investors will closely watch a meeting between President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi in Washington on Thursday for possible agreements on economic and military cooperation.
Private Credit Is Bad, But Not 2008 Bad
Now that investors are aware of withdrawal limits, they’ll have a greater incentive to always ask for the maximum, requiring further asset sales that will depress returns — which, in turn, will encourage more withdrawals.
Fed Holds Rates Steady, Still Projects One Rate Cut in 2026
Federal Reserve officials left interest rates unchanged and continued to expect one rate cut this year as they acknowledged increased uncertainty due to war in the Middle East.
‘EU Inc.’ Plan Seeks to Spur Startups to Rival US, China
The European Union has unveiled a red-tape-cutting plan dubbed “EU Inc.” to boost the emergence of companies that could compete on the world stage with US and Chinese rivals.
Homebuyers and Builders Look Ready for a Truce
There’s been no love lost between builders and buyers in the entry-level housing market over the past five years. Good news for one was invariably bad news for the other. But we finally seem to be hitting a sweet spot where both sides can be cautiously optimistic.
Investors Are Wondering If Stocks Have Seen the Worst of the War
It’s been a volatile stretch for US equities as Wall Street tries to wrap its arms around the war in Iran. But with the fighting now in its third week, investors are becoming more sanguine about the stock market as signs emerge that the worst may be over.
US Stock Futures Extend Rally Ahead of Fed Rate Decision
US stock futures extend a two-day rally as investors remain cautiously optimistic amid rising energy prices and before the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision.
Ambani’s $300 Billion Texas Hedge Is a Nod to MAGA
It took a war in Iran to reveal the full extent of billionaire Mukesh Ambani’s sway over the White House — and his centrality to mending the frayed US-India bilateral relationship.
Janus Henderson $2 Billion Leveraged Loan Sale Joins LBO Wave
JPMorgan Chase & Co. is leading a push by Wall Street banks to offload risky loans for acquisitions. The latest is a $2 billion debt sale to finance the purchase of asset manager Janus Henderson Group Plc by Nelson Peltz’s Trian Fund Management and General Catalyst.
Private Credit Is Entering Its Musical Chairs Phase
Every financial crisis has a moment — usually identified only in retrospect — when an obscure product intended to mitigate risk spreads through what author Rick Bookstaber called “tightly coupled” interconnections to cause widespread damage.
Morgan Stanley Sticks With June Rate Cut Call as Oil Surges
Morgan Stanley is sticking with a forecast that sees the Federal Reserve resuming interest rates cuts in June and delivering another reduction in September, even as soaring oil prices prompt traders to curb bets for how much policymakers will lower borrowing costs this year.
US Stock Futures Up as Investors Buy the Dip, Iran War Escalates
US stock futures rose Tuesday as investors buy the dip, signaling confidence in the markets even as Iran war tensions escalate.
The Fed's $200 Billion Bank Stimulus Poses a Big Risk
The Federal Reserve is about to give America’s biggest lenders an extra $200 billion of capital to play with. Later this week, US regulators will launch fresh proposals to update and, in some ways, loosen US capital rules that will fuel stock buybacks, lending and trading.
The US Is Flirting With Stagflation. What Kind?
The scariest portmanteau in macroeconomics is making a comeback in market discourse: stagflation.
Yardeni Turns Skeptical of Trusted Contrarian Stocks Buy Signal
The mood in the stock market by the end of last week was the type of stuff that contrarian investors dream about.
Data Centers Overtake Offices in US Construction-Spending Shift
Spending on data center projects in the US has exploded, surpassing offices for the first time at the end of last year. It’s a trend Matt Kunz saw early on when Meta Platforms Inc. built a computing hub outside Columbus, Ohio.
Yes, Americans Are Saving Enough for Retirement
One of my most longstanding and controversial opinions is that the move from defined-benefit pensions to defined-contribution pensions was a success. It’s an especially unpopular view amid stories of retirees who fall through the cracks and a grim market that is pruning many retirement accounts, if not retirement dreams.
Apollo's Private Credit Logic Is a Lot Like Goldman
Back in 2008, executives at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. were zealots for valuing their assets at exactly the prices where they could be sold. Critics said this fervor for fair value inflamed the financial crisis, while supporters argued it helped investors and lenders at least know where they stood.
Treasuries Volatility Gauge At Nine-Month High on War Effect
Volatility in US Treasuries jumped to a nine-month high as the Iran war fanned inflation concerns and upended traders’ expectations on the Federal Reserve’s policy path.
US Gamblers to Wager $3.3 Billion on March Madness Tournaments
Americans will legally wager $3.3 billion on the NCAA men’s and women’s basketball tournaments this year, the American Gaming Association said.
European Stocks Erase Losses as Oil Slips Below $100 a Barrel
European stocks rose Friday as oil prices slipped below $100 a barrel, following news reports of an Indian tanker’s passage from the Strait of Hormuz, a key shipping artery that’s been effectively shut amid the Iran war.
Tame CPI Still Spells Trouble for Fed’s Favored Inflation Gauge
A key measure of US inflation was tame at the start of the year. But another metric is shaping up to paint a very different picture.
Apollo Plans to Mark Private Credit Daily, Answering Critics
Apollo Global Management Inc. is ramping up efforts to give investors more regular insight into the value of its opaque private credit holdings, just as a spate of redemption requests from such funds rattles the wider market.
Bill Ackman’s Bid to Be More Like Buffett Is Finally Unfolding
His time horizon is infinite. His capital is permanent. And the rewards, he argues, should be enormous.
Guess Who Is Jinxing Emerging Markets?
For more than a decade, emerging markets have been a heartbreak for those who place their faith in developing countries. Since 2010, the benchmark MSCI Emerging Markets Index has not outperformed its US counterpart for two consecutive years.
In Leveraged Loan Selloff, Most Liquid Debt Gets Hit Hardest
Selling pressure for leveraged buyout loans has been high all year, amid fears that artificial intelligence will damage or even bankrupt the software companies that account for a fair chunk of the market.
Amazon’s Mega Bond Sale Is Cheap — For a Reason
Amazon.com Inc. has blown the primary market for new debt wide open just days after market volatility, sparked by soaring-then-plummeting oil prices, all but halted issuance. Its mega offering is priced cheaply, for a reason: Too much of a good thing is still too much.
World Races to Protect Oil Flows as Iran Attacks Continue
The US and Israel’s war on Iran is forcing world governments to intervene to shore up energy supplies, with ongoing missile fire from both sides disrupting flows through a key waterway.
Trump Says US to Get New Oil Refinery With Reliance Backing
President Donald Trump said the US will get its first new oil refinery in 50 years with the help of investment from India’s Reliance Industries Ltd.
Wall Street Tail-Risk Hedges Rally as Conflict Shakes Markets
For months, Wall Street’s panoply of risk-hedging strategies did little but lose money. Now, as uncertainty sparked by the war with Iran hits the market’s most popular trades, investors that loaded up on portfolio protection are being rewarded.
Trump Says Iran War to End ‘Soon,’ Easing Oil-Shock Concerns
President Donald Trump said the US and Israel are making significant progress in the war on Iran and could end the conflict “very soon,” cooling a surge in oil prices.
Busting the Myth of Treasuries as a Haven
Those are a lot of disappointments in a relatively short time. That also left some investors wondering if Treasuries are still the bear-market hedge they are touted to be — which prompted me to ask if they ever were. After digging into the data, I discovered a surprising answer: no.
The Euro Is Having a Worse War Than Its Peers
The European Central Bank can be forgiven for feeling nauseous as a massive global deleveraging of risk since the Iran war started has hit the euro area’s currency and interest-rate markets particularly hard.
Anthropic Is Bringing Something New to AI: The Power to Say No
Big Tech’s consolidation of power seemed a foregone conclusion even as Sam Altman’s OpenAI sparked an artificial intelligence boom with ChatGPT.
Iran Conflict Puts the Emerging-Markets Revival to the Test
Stocks and currencies have seen steep losses, with the MSCI equity index posting its biggest weekly drop in six years, and bond yields have jumped.
Gold Drops as Oil Surge Stokes Fears of Higher Interest Rates
Gold fell, pressured by a stronger US dollar and concern about the prospect of higher interest rates, as the war in the Middle East extended into a second week and oil rallied.
US Stocks Extend Declines as Oil Spike Fuels Inflation Concerns
US stocks dropped on Monday, continuing on from the biggest weekly drop since October, as the prospect of a prolonged war in Iran sent energy prices soaring and stoked fears over inflation.
Netflix Goes From M&A Loser to Market Winner Without Warner Deal
Netflix Inc.’s stock price is staging a dramatic reversal triggered by management’s decision to walk away from its proposed acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. late last month.
The Oil Pipelines That Could Decide the Iran War
Iran’s strategy in its war with the US and Israel is by now clear: Impose an intolerable economic cost on President Donald Trump, forcing him to abandon his “war of choice” as American gasoline prices surge. Is there any way the Islamic Republic’s blueprint for survival can fail?
Long-Trusted Haven Trades Are Failing as Gold, Treasuries Fall
Traditional safe havens — Treasuries, the yen, the Swiss franc, and gold — have offered investors no refuge as the Middle East conflict roiled markets this week.
For Energy, ESG Now Means Economics, Security and Geopolitics
With “energy dominance” comes great turbulence. President Donald Trump’s open-ended war against Iran reflects a US seemingly unconstrained by energy needs and ready to wield its own fossil fuels as instruments of power.
Bond Traders Scour Payrolls to Gauge Fed Path Amid Oil Rise
Bond investors, who have been focused on inflation since the Iran war began, say a surprise in the monthly US jobs report has the potential to upend their expectations for Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts.
This Isn’t an Energy Crisis — at Least Not Yet
Looking at the energy market with a wide-angle lens, I don’t see anything remotely approaching the pain of 2021-22, when the energy crisis label was appropriate for Europe. There’s nothing matching the contours of the 1990-91 shock, let alone the 1973-74 and 1979 crises.
US Stocks Flip Narrative, Beating Rest of World as War Drags On
US stocks have flipped the script for international investors since war erupted in the Mideast, handily outpacing the rest of the world after trailing their global peers badly last month.
Credit Traders Are Unwinding Their Gigantic Bullish Position
Credit investors are unwinding long positions worth tens of billions of dollars and jumping into hedging trades.
Prediction Markets Shouldn’t Be So Easy to Play
A great financial economist once tried to convince me that retail investors should not be allowed to buy individual stocks. I strenuously disagreed: Wasn’t this America, the country that encourages risk-taking? Why shut regular investors out of the chance to get rich?
Hormuz Is the Hidden Risk to the AI Economy
A world where we can cook up AI videos in seconds from the apps on our phones might seem remote from the physical realities of warfare in the seaways of the Persian Gulf. In fact, they’re closely intertwined.
US Yields Climb as Inflation Threat Imperils Fed Rate Cuts
Treasuries fell for a fourth day — lifting yields to the highest levels in several weeks — as rising oil prices ignited inflation expectations and dented the outlook for Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts.
Trafigura Said to Strike Deal to Buy Venezuela Gold in US Pact
The Trump administration has struck a deal that would see Venezuela’s state mining company sell as much as 1,000 kilograms of gold to commodities trader Trafigura, according to people familiar with the matter.
Iran War Punctures Strategy of ‘Sell America, Buy Asia’
The war in Iran is forcing investors to reevaluate one of their most profitable stock strategies, leading some to conclude that the “Sell America, Buy Asia” trade has reached an inflection point.
SEC Is Pushing Back Against New Wave of High-Leverage ETF Plans
The US Securities and Exchange Commission asked leveraged-ETF issuers not to move forward with a new wave of planned funds, using a rare group call Monday to renew its push against increasingly aggressive fund structures.
NYSE Owner Invests in Crypto Exchange at $25 Billion Valuation
Intercontinental Exchange Inc. is acquiring a stake in OKX in a deal that values the cryptocurrency exchange operator at $25 billion.
Why the Iran War Has Morphed Into Panic Selling in Asia
It turns out, the biggest financial victim of President Donald Trump’s decision to strike Iran is not the S&P 500, but equity markets across North Asia.
Stocks Attempt a Rebound on Iran Report, Solid Jobs Data
Stocks attempted a rebound Wednesday morning as traders seized on a report that Iranian officials had indirectly reached out to the US about potentially ending the conflict in the Middle East. New data pointing to steadiness in the US labor market also helped fuel gains.
Energy Stocks Rally Just Getting Going If Ukraine Lessons Hold
The last time an armed conflict upended the global energy economy, crude spiked past $100 and shares in oil and gas producers rallied for months. A similar trajectory might be unfolding as war rages in the Middle East.
Markets Have Evolved. So Should the SEC's Disclosure Rules
Decades of “regulatory creep” and onerous disclosure requirements have discouraged companies from going public, say leaders of the Securities and Exchange Commission. To revitalize American markets, they plan to pare back those demands, especially for smaller firms. “We need a reset,” Chairman Paul Atkins recently declared.
Bonds Are Still Safe — If You Know How to Pick Them
Most investors, from grandma to the mightiest sovereign wealth funds, own bonds to help steady their portfolio and provide a ready reserve for spending. So, it’s notable when prominent voices start questioning their safety.
Short Selling Is Making a Comeback
The public loves to hate short sellers, the investors who profit from declining securities’ values. Their bad reputation is mostly undeserved. In reality, many provide a valuable service, taking the other side of frauds and bubbles, and generally helping drive prices toward a semblance of fair value.
Trump Says US Will Escort, Insure Oil Tankers Amid Iran War
President Donald Trump said the US will provide insurance guarantees and naval escorts to ensure safe passage for oil tankers and other vessels through the Strait of Hormuz, aiming to head off a potential energy crisis caused by the war with Iran.
Oil Rally Builds as ‘Staggering’ Middle East War Jolts Energy
Oil surged for a second day as the US and Israel stepped up their war against Iran, with the sprawling conflict’s impact on energy assets in the Persian Gulf continuing to grow.
Gold Falls as Stronger Dollar Offsets Middle East Risk Premium
Gold sank after a four-day rally, as traders weighed the escalating war in the Middle East against the prospect of a stronger dollar and elevated inflation.
US Treasuries Extend Fall as Traders Slash Fed Rate-Cut Bets
US Treasuries slumped for a second day as surging oil prices prompted traders to slash bets on more than one Federal Reserve interest-rate cut this year.
Buffettology Without Buffett in Abel’s First Shareholder Letter
Greg Abel has passed his first test since taking over from Warren Buffett as Berkshire Hathaway Inc.’s new chief executive officer. In his introductory shareholder letter, he emphasizes that Berkshire’s culture runs far deeper than a single man. Yet, almost in the same breath, he tells us not to worry — after all, Buffett is still lurking around the office.
Private Credit is Sickly. Banks Aren't The Cure
Private credit firms are facing a major test, with mom-and-pop investors pulling their cash in fear of corporate defaults spiking and artificial intelligence destroying many of the software businesses that these funds have lent to.
Gas Prices Surge as Qatar Shuts World’s Largest LNG Export Plant
Qatar shut down liquefied natural gas production at the world’s largest export facility after it was targeted in an Iranian drone attack, sending European gas prices surging more than 50% and rattling global energy markets.
JPMorgan Tests ‘Art of the Possible’ in Leveraged Buyouts
When JPMorgan Chase & Co. took the lead last year in financing the $55 billion takeover of Electronic Arts Inc., a record-setting leveraged buyout, Wall Street saw it as a sign that a lucrative period of bankrolling super-sized private equity deals might come roaring back.
Amazon’s Extreme AI Spending Sends Stock to Worst Month in Years
Amazon.com Inc. may be a leader in the artificial intelligence race, but investors are increasingly unwilling to pay up for the cost of maintaining that position.
Emerging Assets Slump as Energy Costs Spike on Iran Conflict
Emerging-market currencies and stocks slumped as US and Israeli strikes on Iran are triggering a jump in energy prices and bring a rally in riskier assets to a screeching halt.
BlackRock’s GIP and EQT to Buy AES for $10.7 Billion
BlackRock Inc.’s Global Infrastructure Partners LP and EQT AB agreed to buy AES Corp. for about $10.7 billion in cash as the market heats up for power plant developers that can provide electricity for energy-hungry AI data centers.
Kalshi and Polymarket Are Economic Oracles
The rise of prediction markets offers statisticians and social scientists the kind of help that astronomers get from a new space telescope or particle physicists from a bigger supercollider. We finally get to test theories and resolve questions that people, held back by poor data, have been wrangling over for decades.
US Loans $26.5 Billion to Southern Co. for Power Projects
The Trump administration on Wednesday closed a $26.5 billion loan package for Southern Co. power projects in Georgia and Alabama amid rising concern about electricity price affordability and electricity-thirsty data centers.
OpenAI Finalizes $110 Billion Funding at $730 Billion Value
OpenAI has raised $110 billion in a deal that values the startup at $730 billion, representing the ChatGPT maker’s largest funding round to date and bolstering its costly push to secure more computing power and talent for AI development.
Oh No, Rationality Prevailed in the Warner Bros. Auction
It took a price of $111 billion, backed by $46 billion from tech billionaire Larry Ellison, plus the promise to pay $7 billion in compensation if the deal failed.
Nvidia Looks Like a Value Stock Even as Earnings Scream Growth
Nvidia Corp. has one of the strongest growth stories in the market after posting blowout earnings on Wednesday. So why is it trading at a level that looks like a value stock?
Best Month in a Year for Bonds Sends 10-Year Yield Below 4%
US bonds are wrapping up their best monthly performance in a year against a backdrop of rising global risks, with resurgent demand serving as proof that investors still see Treasuries as the premier haven in turbulent times.
GIP and EQT Are Nearing a Deal to Acquire Power Firm AES
BlackRock Inc.’s Global Infrastructure Partners LP and EQT AB are in advanced talks to acquire power company AES Corp., according to people familiar with the matter.
Nvidia’s Upbeat Sales Forecast Gets Lackluster Investor Response
Nvidia Corp.’s latest sales forecast drew a lukewarm response from investors, signaling that concerns over a potential bubble continue to weigh on the dominant maker of artificial intelligence processors.
AI Is Ripe for Disruption, Too: Gautam Mukunda
The frontier AI companies are building exactly the kind of cost structure Christensen warned about at a scale he could never have imagined. No companies in the history of capitalism have ever paid their employees like this.
World’s Top Money Managers Favor Emerging Markets, Citi Says
Global asset managers who collectively oversee more than $20 trillion of assets have grown more bullish across emerging-market equities, currencies, domestic bonds and credit, potentially offering fresh momentum to the sector’s record-busting rally.
Stock Investors Are Hedging a Drop. Strategists See a Buy Signal
The S&P 500 has been stuck in a range for the better part of four months, and investors are paying up to protect against the possibility that the next big move is down. To a growing number of strategists, that pessimism is cause to expect the opposite.
Janus Bidding War Begins as Victory Capital Tops Trian Offer
A bidding war for Janus Henderson Group Plc broke out Thursday as Victory Capital Holdings Inc. offered to buy the money manager for $57.04 a share, in a move that topped a previous offer from Nelson Peltz’s Trian Fund Management.
Nvidia’s 75% Margin Gives AI Rivals Something to Aim For
Thanks to Nvidia Corp.’s practice of reporting earnings outside of the typical cycle for technology companies, the question of whether the almost $5 trillion company will record strong demand in 2026 had already been safely answered well before its latest announcement on Wednesday.
AI Scare Trade Shatters Two Investing Myths
As investors digest the potential impact of artificial intelligence and debate whether this new technology will help or destroy existing businesses, a sharp divergence is occurring in global equities.
US Mortgage Rates Reach Lowest Since 2022, Spurs Refinancing
US mortgage rates slipped last week to the lowest level since 2022, generating more refinancing activity.
AI Threat Signals Investors Should Shift Bets to Builders — Not Coders, UBS Wealth CIO Says
The threat to software-backed businesses from artificial intelligence should prompt investors to shift focus from technology to companies that toil in the physical world, like miners, power producers and industrial firms, according to Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, global head of equities and chief investment officer for the Americas at UBS Wealth Management.
Nvidia Earnings Slam Into Market With No Patience for AI Hiccups
Nvidia Corp.’s earnings report on Wednesday afternoon comes at a critical time for the US stock market with investors increasingly nervous about the outlook for artificial intelligence.
AI Roundabout Isn’t a Replay of the Internet Bubble
Stripped to its essentials, finance is a race against time. What lies ahead of us is unknown, and the vast industry of banking and finance has developed to manage the risks that come with making commitments now that depend on an uncertain future.
Why Jamie Dimon’s Doubts on the Credit Market Are Well Founded
Corporate bonds are exposed to abrupt downside as liquidity providers are increasingly replaced by liquidity takers.
Harvard-Led Study Says AI Can Predict 71% of Active-Fund Trades
Day after day, Wall Street investors fret that artificial intelligence could disrupt white-collar industries by turning expert human judgment into code.
This AI Electricity Stopgap Needs a Big Caveat
The captains of artificial intelligence are an impatient lot. There’s good reason for the existence of the Silicon Valley cliché “move fast and break things.” They are certainly moving fast on the buildout of AI infrastructure, rolling out eye-popping spending budgets to buy computer chips and construct data centers to house them.
Ditch the Bitcoin Illusion and Tokenize Real Assets
An unintended consequence of the brutal bear market in Bitcoin has been to focus the blockchain industry’s attention where it is most needed: real-world assets.
The AI ‘Scare Trade’ Is Healthy for the Stock Market
It’s been a wild few months for software and other “middleman” stocks. First, there was “SaaSpocalypse,” in which investors dumped enterprise software purveyors that help companies manage accounts and internal workflows.
Listless US Stock Market Masks Record Volatility Beneath Surface
The placid surface of an equity market that’s treaded water for months is masking dramatic swings underneath, as stock moves whipsaw traders and threaten more turbulence ahead.
Do Androids Dream of Wall Street CEO Bonuses?
Pay for top bosses at the biggest US banks has reached new records in the past couple of years, surpassing even what chief executive officers got in the pre-crisis peak of 2007. Someday these vast rewards might run dry. After all, in the age of artificial intelligence, what is a CEO even for?
Trump Pegs New Tariffs to a Payments Crisis Experts Doubt
With his move to impose new global tariffs, US President Donald Trump isn’t just trying to repair a trade policy dismantled by a Supreme Court rebuke. He’s also declaring the world’s largest economy is facing a profound balance-of-payments crisis.
Warner Bros. Is Testing Larry Ellison's Pain Barrier
A tweak here, a twiddle there, and now possibly a 3% sweetener on the price. It’s all progress. But the billionaire Ellison family has yet to make an offer for Warner Bros Discovery Inc. that clearly beats the studio’s December deal with Netflix Inc.
Online Shopping Could Be AI’s Next Victim
Since the dawn of retail, merchants’ primary job has been to tempt human shoppers to part with their cash. Now they have a new customer to woo: the bots.
Trump’s Global Tariffs Struck Down by US Supreme Court
The US Supreme Court struck down President Donald Trump’s sweeping global tariffs, undercutting his signature economic policy and delivering his biggest legal defeat since he returned to the White House.
Goldman Raises US High-Grade Debt Sales View to $2.1 Trillion
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. has boosted its investment-grade bond sale forecasts for the US and Europe after a strong start to the year for issuance and on expectations of a stronger economic outlook.
College Graduates Are Down But Not Out in the Job Market
Maybe we really are headed into a future in which technological change reduces the demand for skilled labor rather than increasing it. But the job market hasn’t been turned upside down just yet.
Californians Deserve Better Than Economic Fairy Tales
California, like a careless heir who squanders a fortune, keeps menacing its top taxpayers. Unless lawmakers start showing some restraint, the state’s many economic strengths are likely to further erode.
Wall Street ETF Complex Muscles Into the Digital Dollar Market
A new class of digital money is reshaping how Americans move and store dollars — and Wall Street is racing to get a piece of it.
S&P 500 Advances As AI Jitters Ease, Data Shows Strong Economy
US equities rose Wednesday as a batch of reports confirming the strength of the American economy and a number of developments at the Big Tech giants reignited Wall Street’s excitement for the group.
America Has a Terminal Case of Fiscal Paralysis
Last week’s release of the Congressional Budget Office’s long-term budget projections prompted the merest murmur of concern. That’s America’s fiscal problem in a nutshell: It greets detailed and impeccably nonpartisan projections of looming financial catastrophe with a shrug. Tell us something we didn’t know. We’re busy right now.
I Chase Credit-Card Points. Bilt Changed My Mind.
It is hard to say if there is much economic benefit or cost to increased bank profits. On the one hand, it may allow banks to issue more credit to lower-income borrowers with worse credit.
Musk Is Beating China’s 203,000 Paper Satellites
If orbital space is the 21st century’s high seas, China looks to be preparing an armada. Government plans submitted late last year to the United Nations’ International Telecommunications Union, or ITU, promise a fleet of 203,000 satellites to be deployed by the mid-2030s.
Cathie Wood’s ARKK Takes Fresh Hit After Falling 50% Since Covid
Years after Cathie Wood became the face of pandemic-era investing euphoria, her flagship fund is marking a difficult milestone.
Early Lagarde Exit Set to Narrow Field in Race to Lead ECB
An early departure by Christine Lagarde could narrow the field of candidates vying to succeed her as European Central Bank president.
Private Credit Should Worry About a Singularity in Software Debt
Artificial intelligence fears have ripped through stock and bond markets, but investors in loans and private credit are still playing catch-up.
How Real Is a $1.6 Trillion AI Backlog?
If inquisitive investors wanted to measure the demand for AI with some actual numbers, one place they might look on the balance sheet is the line reading “remaining performance obligations,” known more simply as the backlog.
The AI Panic Ignores Something Important — the Evidence
Artificial intelligence is a genuinely useful technology, but its impact will be uneven, gradual and impossible to predict. That’s the boring truth, however unlikely it is to go viral.
Emerging Markets Waver Amid Thin Holiday Trading, Fed Anxiety
Emerging-market assets were little changed on Tuesday as traders weighed the recent optimism toward the asset class against a firmer US dollar and thinner trading volumes due to holidays in major markets.
Treasuries Rise as Stocks Jitters and Rate Bets Fuel Rally
Treasuries rose on Tuesday as investors bet on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at least twice this year and jitters over global technology shares boosted demand for safer assets.
Adani Plans to Invest $100 Billion in AI-Ready Data Centers
Adani Group plans to invest $100 billion by 2035 to develop green-powered, AI-ready data centers as billionaire Gautam Adani seeks to capitalize on India’s bid to emerge as a hub for artificial intelligence and cloud computing.
Josh Kushner’s Thrive Capital Raises $10 Billion in New Funding
Thrive Capital, the venture capital firm founded by Josh Kushner, has raised more than $10 billion — its largest fund ever, giving the firm an expanded war chest to invest in areas ranging from artificial intelligence applications and infrastructure to space, robotics and life sciences.
Nvidia Shares Go Cold Even as Big Tech Spending on AI Balloons
Big Tech keeps raising its spending plans for artificial intelligence infrastructure, yet shares of Nvidia Corp., one of the biggest beneficiaries of that flood of cash, have been largely stagnant for months.
Private Credit’s Software Bet Is Even Bigger Than It Appears
And so it goes in the world of private credit. Time and again, companies widely regarded as software firms are frequently labeled otherwise by lenders, a practice that raises fresh questions over the full extent of their exposure as the threat from artificial intelligence upends markets and rattles investors.
Bitcoin Traders Warn the $60,000 Mark Is a Liquidation Trigger
As Bitcoin struggles to climb out of its current funk, several indicators suggest any breach of the $60,000 level would unleash a fresh bout of extreme turbulence.
Tesla Is the Odd Man Out in the Magnificent Seven
If you want to build a technology giant, a car company is a tough place from which to start. In terms of competing in AI and potentially even chips, Tesla is up against the massive budgets of several other Magnificent 7 members, who can, nonetheless, cover their spending with operating cash flow.
A 3% Rule for Budget Deficits Would Be a Good Start
All but unnoticed last month, a bipartisan group of legislators introduced a resolution calling for Congress to keep budget deficits at no more than 3% of gross domestic product. Though not enough by itself to solve America’s fiscal problems, the proposal is a rare step in the right direction. It deserves strong support.
Stocks in OpenAI’s Orbit Get Second Look as Traders Eye Rebound
Artificial intelligence has made a lot of noise in the stock market lately, with bots from Alphabet Inc. and startups Anthropic and Altruist disrupting businesses from software to financial services.
AI Threatens the Finance Industry's Perpetual Profit Machine
Artificial intelligence doesn’t only threaten to put herds of software businesses out to pasture. Anthropic PBC’s schooling of its Claude models in financial modelling has also sent a cold shiver down the spines of bankers and analysts.
US Clean Energy Deals Face Financing Risk as Big Banks Hold Back
JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Morgan Stanley are among leading investment banks hesitating to provide a critical source of financing for US renewables projects.
Larry Fink’s Private Asset Bet Powers Global Family Office Boom
The ex-Credit Suisse bankers behind Global Infrastructure Partners are best-known for building one of the world’s largest investment firms. Now they’re also forging something else: family offices.
AI Can Be Transformational and Still Be a Bubble
It’s hard not to marvel at how America’s capital markets have rallied to finance the artificial intelligence boom. If all goes as expected, “hyperscalers” such as Meta Platforms Inc. will invest more than $3 trillion through 2030 in data and power infrastructure.
Silver’s Surge Suggests a Brighter Future for Solar
Silver’s conductivity makes it essential to photovoltaic modules, where thin printed contacts boost electrical output. About 196 million ounces was used by solar manufacturers last year. That’s equivalent to every gram used in jewelry, and represents about 17% of the global market.
Who’s On the Other Side of the Big AI Selloff?
Sell first, ask questions later. That was the stock market’s response to last week’s new artificial-intelligence tools that challenge the software, legal data and media industries. But bargain hunters seeking victims of indiscriminate selling may need patience waiting for a recovery.
Bitcoin Whales Are Buying Again as Other Investors Retreat
Bitcoin has just drawn fresh support from some of its largest holders, though the return of demand remains narrow enough to raise doubts about whether it marks a recovery or mere damage control.
Software Stocks Trade at Bargain Bin Prices After AI-Fueled Drop
Market pros increasingly think the punishment of software stocks over the past few weeks went too far, creating new bargains in shares that were beaten down in an indiscriminate selloff.
Geopolitics and AI to Fuel Volatility in 2026, JPMorgan Finds
Clashes between global powers will fuel further market swings over the coming year, according to a JPMorgan Chase & Co. survey, with developments in artificial intelligence also top of traders’ minds.
Weak Jobs Data Seen as Potential Catalyst to Push Stocks Higher
As Wall Street awaits a potentially consequential US employment report, some investors are counting on bad news for the economy turning into good news for stocks.
Booming Asian Markets Widen Their Lead Over US and Europe
In what is shaping up to be another blockbuster year, Asia’s markets are outpacing peers in the US and Europe, drawing global investors as extreme swings rattle assets from tech stocks to metals.
US Stock Turnover Tops $1 Trillion a Day Amid Trading Surge
US equity markets are moving more money than ever before, blowing past $1 trillion in shares traded each day as heavy volume becomes the new norm.
Alphabet Has Perfected the A-to-Z of Bond-Market Dominance
Alphabet Inc. has this week embarked on the next leg of its debt program to meet the voracious funding needs of its artificial intelligence program. Nothing quite signifies global domination like issuing bonds with ease across all of the world’s major bond markets and at a range of maturities, including the ultra-long arena that’s typically reserved for the most favored of borrowers.
AI Fear Grips Wall Street as a New Stock Market Reality Sets In
For months, investors have been growing increasingly anxious about how artificial intelligence will potentially transform the economy. Last week, those concerns suddenly spilled over into the stock market.
US Stocks Stall as Investors Digest Sluggish Retail Sales Data
US stocks were muted on Tuesday as investors examined the first of several key economic data releases this week in an attempt to find clues on the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate path.
Tech Volatility Underscores Push to Diversify in US Stock Market
The tech sector’s once relentless push higher in the US stock market has turned into a topsy-turvy ride, forcing investors to seek calmer waters where stodgy, old-economy companies ply their trades.
Alphabet Looks to Raise About $15 Billion From US Bond Sale
Alphabet Inc. is looking to raise about $15 billion from a US high-grade dollar bond sale, according to people with knowledge of the matter, adding to a borrowing spree by companies at the forefront of the artificial intelligence investment boom.
Hedge Funds Bet Against Pound as Starmer Crisis Deepens
Hedge funds are betting on more pound weakness as UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s future hangs in the balance.
Finance 101 Still Explains (Almost) Everything
Markets are efficient after all. This does not mean that prices are always “correct,” just that they generally reflect the available information. When investors learn that software firms’ products may be displaced by AI, their prices fall, as they did last week.
GLP-1 Pills Are Already Upending the Obesity-Drug Market
For the last year, any discussion of the obesity-drug market has come with an asterisk: Everything will change once pill versions of the popular GLP-1 drugs arrive. Those potentially cheaper alternative to injectables could mean a larger slice of the millions of Americans with obesity will try out the medicine.
Why Is the S&P 500's Next Big Target So Elusive?
The S&P 500 Index is in the midst of a tug-of-war. Companies are beating earnings per share estimates by significant margins and are set to deliver impressive 12% growth this reporting season.
Nvidia-Led Boom Set to Turn Chips Into Trillion-Dollar Industry
The semiconductor industry will reach $1 trillion in revenue this year for the first time ever, fueled by artificial intelligence and the spread of computer chips to virtually every part of the economy.
Emerging Market Assets Set for Worst Week Since November
Emerging market assets are heading for their worst week in more than two months, after increasingly volatile markets from commodities to technology stocks roiled investor sentiment.
Big Tech to Spend $650 Billion This Year as AI Race Intensifies
Four of the biggest US technology companies together have forecast capital expenditures that will reach about $650 billion in 2026 — a mind-boggling tide of cash earmarked for new data centers and all the gear housed within them.
Private Markets Face a Tense Moment With Retail Push on the Line
On an evening in late September, a few dozen wealth managers gathered at a $63 million French château-style mansion owned by Paris Hilton and venture capitalist Carter Reum in the exclusive Los Angeles enclave of Beverly Park.
Affordable Housing Starts in the Labor Market
The problem of housing affordability is much bigger than insufficient supply; it’s a mismatch with demand. And that demand is driven by income inequality that has seen soaring income growth at the top and tepid growth (or even stagnation) in the middle.
Anthropic Releases New Model That’s Adept at Financial Research
Anthropic is releasing a new version of its most powerful AI model that’s designed to carry out financial research, days after the company’s push into legal services upended the stocks of legacy software makers.
US Stocks Tumble as Tech Rout, Jobs Data Deepen Selloff
US stocks continued to slide on Thursday as technology shares fell and private jobs data revived worries of an economic slowdown.
Options Traders Pile Into Tech Hedges After Software Rout
The unrelenting selloff in software shares has left tech investors antsy enough that they’re starting to pony up for protection against yet another steep slide.
Amazon Cloud Sales in Focus After Microsoft’s $500 Billion Rout
All eyes will be Amazon.com Inc.’s cloud business when the technology giant reports earnings on Thursday, after shares of Microsoft Corp. plunged last week due in part to slowing growth at its key cloud-computing platform.
Vanguard CEO Ramji Poaches From Goldman, BlackRock for Key Roles
Vanguard Group Chief Executive Officer Salim Ramji is putting his imprint on the world’s second-largest asset manager by siphoning talent from Wall Street firms to fill key roles.
Google Backs Up $185 Billion in AI Spending With Receipts
As the company moves to integrate its Gemini chatbot into more products like Gmail and the Chrome browser, it is rapidly gaining popularity and eating away at ChatGPT’s market lead.
US Sticks With T-Bills, No Note-Bond Hike for Several Quarters
The US Treasury refrained from any major shift in its debt-issuance strategy, meeting dealers’ expectations in the face of speculation that officials might take steps to bring down longer-term borrowing costs.
Novo Chief Asks for Investors’ Patience as Shares Plunge
Novo Nordisk A/S’s chief executive officer asked investors to stick with him after a dire sales forecast caused a share price rout, saying a surge in prescriptions for cheaper obesity drugs will eventually revive growth.
Nvidia’s Doubts About OpenAI Are a Warning for Microsoft
In an industry numb to eye-watering AI bets, it takes a lot to make a chief executive hesitate. So Nvidia’s Jensen Huang blinking at one such commitment to OpenAI is worthy of notice.
Musk’s AI Startup Is a Payload SpaceX Can’t Afford
SpaceX has a big head start on the technology of reusable rockets, which drastically lowered launch costs and helped spawn a commercial space industry that is gaining momentum year by year.
Brookfield Taps Teskey to Be CEO of $1 Trillion Asset Manager
Brookfield Asset Management named Connor Teskey chief executive officer, marking the final step in Bruce Flatt’s long-held plans to replace himself at the helm of the $1 trillion asset manager.
Trump’s Surprise Trade Deal With India Resets Fractured Ties
President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Narendra Modi took a major step to reset fractured ties with a surprise deal on Monday to slash tariffs, bringing much-needed relief to India’s economy.
AI Leads Family Office Investment Themes, JPMorgan Says
Artificial intelligence tops the investment priority list for family offices globally, a survey from JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s private bank shows, though allocations lag and remain concentrated in public equities.
Some AI Gig Workers Make $1,000 an Hour. Can That Last?
A common proclamation made by tech leaders is that while artificial intelligence will destroy jobs, it will also create many new ones. But what kinds of new careers will AI spark? And, more importantly, will they last?
Trump Unveils $12 Billion Mineral Reserve to Counter China
President Donald Trump formally announced plans to launch a $12 billion critical minerals stockpile, in his latest effort to aid manufacturers while minimizing reliance on Chinese rare earths.
Private Credit Is Headed for a Software Shock
Warren Buffett has a great line on how hard it is to pick winners when major industrial change is afoot. “What you really should have done in 1905 or so, when you saw what was going to happen with the auto, is you should have gone short horses,” the Oracle of Omaha once said.
Crypto Exchanges Buckle as Stock Losses Mount Amid Exodus
Crypto’s latest downturn looks different on the surface. There are no spectacular scandals, no bankrupt exchange, no regulatory crackdown. Yet for the industry’s biggest trading platforms, the damage is starting to look uncomfortably familiar.
US Stocks Gain as Manufacturing Activity Expands Most Since 2022
US stocks advanced on Monday after stronger-than-expected manufacturing data outweighed lingering questions about the interest-rate outlook following President Donald Trump’s decision to pick Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair.
BlackRock, Pimco See Inflation Risks the Wider Market Doubts
Money managers at BlackRock Inc., Bridgewater Associates and Pacific Investment Management Co. are shoring up their portfolios against a fresh bout of inflation.
Japan’s Bond Market Has a Warning for America
Reality has a way of catching up with theory eventually, and now it has for Japan, whose long-term bond yields are rising as the yen is depreciating. The Japanese experience, it turns out, is not an excuse to run up lots of debt. It is a cautionary tale.
Affordable Housing Requires Tackling Insurance Costs
Buying a house is expensive enough these days. But the costs of owning one have been rising, too — not least because of soaring insurance premiums. As policymakers of both parties have made housing affordability a top priority in recent years, they’ve done far too little to address this crisis in the making.
Boeing Should Ignore the Siren Call of Maximizing Cash
The iconic American manufacturer of commercial aircraft is investing to increase production rates of the 737 Max and the 787. The finish line for certification of two Max variations is in sight this year, and the game-changing 777X is expected to clear regulatory hurdles next year.
Apple Gives Itself the Toughest Act to Follow
Apple Inc. had a very, very merry Christmas. “Unprecedented” demand for the latest iPhone pushed revenue for its top device up 23% year-on-year to a staggering $85.27 billion in the holiday quarter.
Florida Is Giving Housing Optimists Reason to Buzz Again
While much of the United States is ending January with bitterly cold weather, signs of a thaw are emerging in Florida’s housing market after years of stagnation. This is by no means an “all clear” signal.
What Does ‘Responsible Investing’ Even Mean Anymore?
If you play it safe and the fund doesn’t generate sufficient returns, it will require more contributions, often from taxpayers. But if you take too much risk, it could also go wrong and leave the fund without enough money. The task requires balancing risk and reward.
Gold Tops $5,500 as Record Rally Gains Pace on Debasement Trade
Gold surged to a record above $5,500 an ounce, extending a breakneck rally fueled by a weaker dollar and investor flight from sovereign bonds and currencies to a ninth day.
Fed Holds Rates as Window for Another Powell Cut Begins to Close
Jerome Powell has two more opportunities to adjust interest rates before his term as Federal Reserve chair ends — and he may not need them.
Apple Results to Give Clues on How Hard Memory Prices Are Biting
Apple Inc.’s stock is taking a hit as investors try to assess how much rapidly rising memory prices are eating into its bottom line. Investors will get a peek when the iPhone maker reports its earnings after the close Thursday.
Musk Is Fueling Tesla by Torching Piles of Cash
Elon Musk, ever attuned to the political zeitgeist, has updated Tesla Inc.’s mission to “amazing abundance.” It is the kind of hyperbole beloved of investors in the company he runs.
Microsoft Has Lost Its AI Sparkle: Dave Lee
Who could forget those heady days when Microsoft Corp. Chief Executive Officer Satya Nadella looked like the smartest man in tech? When ChatGPT emerged in late 2022, his decision to back OpenAI put Nadella’s company at the forefront of the AI boom.
Fed Holds Rates Steady, Nods to Stabilization in Jobless Rate
Federal Reserve officials left interest rates unchanged and pointed to improvements in the US economy as they signaled a more cautious approach to potential future adjustments.
Amazon to Cut 16,000 Corporate Positions to Trim Bureaucracy
Amazon.com Inc. is cutting 16,000 corporate jobs in an effort to remove layers of bureaucracy and “increase ownership,” becoming the latest company to target managers for layoffs in recent years.
Microsoft and Meta Earnings Put a Focus on Payoffs From AI Spending
Investors wondering about payoffs from the pile of cash being spent on artificial intelligence should get some clues when Microsoft Corp. and Meta Platforms Inc. post earnings after the close Wednesday.
Tether Is Shaking Up the Gold Market With Massive Metal Hoard
Over the past year, Tether has quietly become one of the biggest players in the global gold market — the embodiment of a meeting of the crypto and gold worlds whose shared distrust of government debt is a major factor behind the surge in prices to never-before-seen highs above $5,200 an ounce.
Mamdani Pushes for Tax Hikes on Wealthy New Yorkers to Fill Budget Gap
Mayor Zohran Mamdani is amping up pressure on Governor Kathy Hochul to hike taxes for the richest residents and corporations, asking the state to send billions more in aid to New York City as he faces mounting budget holes.
The AI Memory Crunch Is Coming for Your Wallet
One frustrating characteristic of the AI boom seems to be that everyone must pay for it, regardless of any interest in using it. For some, it will be through rising utility bills as data centers strain the grid.
Fed to Hold Rates as Political Storm Intensifies Around Powell
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to halt its interest-rate-cutting cycle this week, as a steadier jobs market restores a degree of consensus at the central bank after months of growing division.
Musk Is Wrong About AI and Retirement: You Still Need to Save
Put me down as an AI optimist. Artificial intelligence has the potential to transform the economy and make Americans richer, healthier and more productive. I’d bet money on it — in fact I have, through the shares I own in an index fund, which means I am long the US economy.
Venezuela’s Spectacular Bond Rally Runs Into a $170 Billion Reckoning
Venezuela’s bonds lingered for years in financial purgatory. Investors held them as a lottery-ticket-like bet on the improvement of a dysfunctional country. Most steered clear.
Anthropic’s Next Big AI Hit Could Also Bruise the Jobs Market
Anthropic PBC is finally having its own ChatGPT moment. A powerful new version of its Claude chatbot can now take actions on a computer, and the broad repercussions of that advance are impossible to predict.
Nuclear Startup Raises $140 Million to Boost Uranium Fuel Supply
Standard Nuclear Inc., a uranium startup, raised $140 million to boost production of fuel for advanced reactors in an effort to expand the US energy supply chain amid surging interest in fission power.
Blackstone Eyes More Hiring in Asia to Tap Private Market Demand
Blackstone Inc. is planning to hire more people across Asia to tap growing opportunities in private markets, said Ed Huang, the firm’s head of Asia Pacific private wealth.
Morgan Stanley, BofA See More in Best Carry Rally Since 2009
Investors selling the dollar to buy emerging-market currencies are off to a lucrative start to 2026, with strategists at top banks expecting such strategies to build further on last year’s 18% rally.
Furious Rally in US Defense Stocks Faces Earnings Reality Check
An increasingly unstable global geopolitical order has turbocharged stocks of military contractors in recent months. Now, with some of the biggest names in the industry set to report earnings this week, investors are eager for evidence that the rally is rooted in reality.
Mining Stocks Gain Globally as Hard-Asset Trade Gathers Pace
Mining stocks in Asia and Europe climbed with metals prices as investors rotated into hard assets, driven by a weakening dollar and growing unease over currencies, geopolitics and global fiscal risks.
It’s Groundhog Day for This Rally in Small Cap Stocks
The best growth opportunities are overwhelmingly found among highly scalable technology and communications companies. Many of them get started with the help of venture-capital funding and are already behemoths when they go public.
Dollar Pressure Mounts as Traders Reopen Debasement Debate
By asking New York traders to confirm the price of the Japanese yen against the dollar on Friday, US authorities handed investors yet another reason to sell the greenback.
US Is Canceling Almost $30 Billion in Biden-Era Energy Loans
The Trump administration said it’s canceling almost $30 billion of financing from the Energy Department’s green bank after reviewing transactions approved under former President Joe Biden.
China Tells Alibaba, Tech Firms to Ready Nvidia H200 Orders
Chinese officials have told the country’s largest tech firms including Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. they can prepare orders for Nvidia Corp.’s H200 AI chips, suggesting Beijing is close to formally approving imports of components essential to powering artificial intelligence.
‘This Time Is Different’: How AI Is Redefining the Memory Market
Memory and storage stocks are the market’s hottest trade, but investors aren’t sweating the companies’ suddenly elevated valuations as the buildout of artificial intelligence transforms their cyclical nature.
A $6 Billion Treasury ETF Becomes Test Bed for Tokenized Finance
Tokenized shares are conventional assets — stocks, bonds or private loans — whose ownership records are maintained using blockchain software, often with the goal of faster, more automated settlement behind the scenes.
Stocks Buoyed by AI Winners, Data as Geopolitical Risks Fade
US stocks extended gains on President Donald Trump’s retreat from tariff threats while traders’ appetite for artificial intelligence bets returned.
Wall Street Pulls Back From a Money-Spinning Bitcoin Trade
A quiet but telling shift is unfolding in the crypto derivatives market, as one of the most reliable money-making trades shows signs of breaking down.
Trend-Chasing Traders Soar Just as Market Whiplash Tests Models
Trend-following funds are starting 2026 with fresh momentum, outperforming stocks and bonds after a year of false starts.
BlackRock Emerging ETF Swells by Record $6 Billion Amid US Exits
Investors are pouring cash into emerging-market funds at a record pace as momentum builds for a rotation out of US assets.
Go Ahead and Resent Boomers But for the Right Reasons
There is a natural human tendency to assume that your generation has it harder than everyone else. Even by those standards, however, baby boomers (and some older millennials) are on the receiving end of an extraordinary amount of resentment.
Hedge Funds Have One More Myth to Bust
The $5 trillion hedge fund industry posted its best returns since the Global Financial Crisis last year, a welcoming reprieve for an asset class that has been overshadowed by the rise of private alternatives. Before declaring the worst is over however, boutique funds have one more myth to bust.
Netflix Shares Slide as Spending Mounts Amid Warner Deal
Netflix Inc. shares tumbled in early trading Wednesday after giving a disappointing forecast for earnings in the months ahead as it spends more on programming and works to close its $82.7 billion deal with Warner Bros. Discovery Inc.
US Home-Purchase Applications Climb to Highest Since 2023
US mortgage applications for home purchases climbed last week to the highest since January 2023, suggesting a further easing in financing costs is contributing to a thaw in the housing market.
Stocks Rebound as Trump Expounds on Greenland, Equity Market
US equities reversed early losses during Donald Trump’s speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos when the US president said he didn’t want to use excessive force to acquire Greenland
AI Needs a BYOG Model to Keep Power Bills Down
PJM is the name given to the largest regional US electricity grid, stretching from Chicago to the Chesapeake. It is also synonymous with the AI-power surge, being home to Virginia’s ‘datacenter alley’ and seeing recent big increases in bills tied to concerns that the electricity needs of artificial intelligence will swamp supply.
Crypto’s Future Will Be Sabotaged by Feeble Oversight
Bitcoin and other digital tokens, once touted as the uncontrolled and decentralized future of money, have proved to be lucrative tools for fraudsters, terrorists and rogue regimes.
Wells Fargo Plans to Move Wealth Headquarters to West Palm Beach
Wells Fargo & Co. is moving the headquarters for its wealth-management business to West Palm Beach, becoming the first big bank to run that operation from the heart of the wealth boom in South Florida.
Stocks Tumble, Volatility Jumps as Geopolitical Tensions Mount
As earnings season picks up steam, expectations remain high. Analysts forecast fourth-quarter S&P 500 earnings growth of about 8%, according to Bloomberg Intelligence, with investors focused on themes including artificial intelligence spending, oil-market volatility and tariff risks.
Sam Altman’s ‘Last Resort’ for ChatGPT Looks a Lot Like Facebook
OpenAI is ruling out the more obvious downsides for users of its free and $8-a-month ChatGPT Go tiers who will start seeing ads. Advertisers won’t influence the chatbot’s answers but rather post banners with images at the bottom of the screen.
Raiding Your 401(k) to Buy a House Should Be an Option
I have a confession, shameful as it may be for someone who has spent decades studying retirement policy and advising individuals and institutions on how to save for and think about retirement: When I bought my apartment a few years ago, I raided my retirement account for the down payment.
The US Treasury Market’s Inertia Is Nearing Historic Levels
The 10-year Treasury note’s yield is headed for a fifth straight week of minimal change, rivaling its longest stretch of inertia in the past two decades.
Trump Moves to Make Tech Giants Pay for Surging Power Costs
President Donald Trump and the governors of several US Northeastern states agreed to push for an emergency wholesale electricity auction that would compel technology companies to effectively fund new power plants.
JPMorgan Eclipses Dimensional as World’s Biggest Active ETF Firm
JPMorgan Asset Management has a new superlative: The firm now hails as the world’s largest issuer of actively managed exchange-traded funds.
Hottest Credit Markets Since ‘07 Spur Warning on Complacency
Global credit markets are running at their hottest in two decades, prompting some of the world’s biggest money managers including Aberdeen Investments and Pimco to warn against complacency.
Goldman and Morgan Stanley Stock Traders Must Be Peaking
Big banks’ share traders are raking it in right now. Sure, stock market indexes have been flying high, but it’s been far from certain in recent years that traditional Wall Street firms would reap the benefits with electronic market makers storming the zone.
Morgan Stanley Tops Investment-Banking Forecast on Debt Haul
Morgan Stanley’s debt bankers increased revenue 93% in the fourth quarter, by far the biggest jump on Wall Street and capping a record year for that business.
Stephen Ross Sees California Billionaire Tax as Palm Beach’s Gain
Billionaire Stephen Ross aims to position Florida’s Palm Beach County as the next Silicon Valley, calling the region a more business-friendly environment for tech investors and executives than California.
How Larry Ellison Can Get Warner to Play Ball
The billionaire Ellison family said this week that it will try to overhaul the board of Warner Bros Discovery Inc. unless the Hollywood studio engages with their $108 billion takeover bid. But winning support in a corporate fight won’t be easy as long as their offer contains holes.
Silver Falls After Trump Holds Off on Critical Mineral Tariffs
Silver pulled back from a record high as investors took profits after a blistering rally and as the US refrained from imposing import tariffs on critical minerals.
Goldman’s Stock Traders Beat Their Own Wall Street Record
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. blew through expectations for equities-trading revenue, posting an all-time Wall Street record of $4.31 billion in the final three months of last year.
BofA Tops Estimates as Trading Beats and Lending Revenue Rises
Bank of America Corp.’s equity traders posted their best fourth quarter ever as the company reaped the benefits of volatile markets and net interest income topped analysts’ estimates.
Blistering Metals Rally Sends Gold, Silver and Copper to Records
Metals extended their dramatic start to the year — with gold, silver, copper and tin all hitting record highs — as investors piled into the commodities as a red-hot alternative to more traditional assets.
Robotics Startup Skild AI Valued Above $14 Billion in New Funding Round
Skild AI Inc., a fast-rising startup that makes software to help robots learn to complete tasks, has secured about $1.4 billion in a new funding round that values the company at more than $14 billion, more than triple what it was worth just seven months ago.
Oil Hits $65 as Geopolitical Risks Swirl From Iran to Black Sea
Oil briefly rose above $65 a barrel for the first time since November after the US escalated pressure on Iran, while tankers were attacked near a vital terminal for Kazakh crude on Russia’s Black Sea coast.
JPMorgan Warns of ‘More Volatility’ Facing Energy Transition
The outlook for the global energy transition is likely to be more volatile than investors may have expected, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.
AI Volatility Rattles Stock Traders Chasing Next Wave of Winners
Artificial intelligence infrastructure has been a solid stock market bet over the past year, with many of 2025’s best performers in the S&P 500 Index falling into the category. But the trade is getting volatile as some of the perceived winners start taking hits.
US Treasuries Edge Lower as Traders Await CPI Inflation Reading
US Treasuries slipped Tuesday as traders looked to December’s inflation data for clues on how quickly the Federal Reserve may resume lowering borrowing costs this year.
Earnings Season to Put Wall Street’s Rotation Trade to the Test
Investors’ newfound affinity for companies that benefit most from an accelerating economy is in for a tough test as the latest earnings season kicks off.
Nvidia to Invest $1 Billion in AI Drug Laboratory With Eli Lilly
Nvidia Corp. plans to invest $1 billion over five years in a new laboratory with Eli Lilly & Co., aiming to speed up the use of artificial intelligence in the pharmaceutical industry.
Americans Are Right to Be Worried About the Labor Market
According to just about every significant economic indicator, including the December jobs numbers released Friday, the US economy is doing fine. Not great, mind you: Job growth stalled in 2025. But unemployment is low, gross domestic product growth is solid, and inflation is seemingly trending downward.
The Return of the IPO Could Spell Trouble for Private Equity
Going public used to be a sign that a company had made it. In the last decade or so, however, IPOs started to become a little … cringe.
Meta Taps Dina Powell McCormick for New Role Driving AI Buildout
Meta Platforms Inc. has appointed a former top adviser to US President Donald Trump to a newly created senior management role focused on partnering with governments and investors on AI.
The Productivity Boom Has Arrived. AI May Not Be the Reason
The US economy seems to be in the throes of one of its biggest bursts of productivity in decades, weighing on business labor costs and hastening the disinflation process.
Best Stock Trade of 2025 Keeps Running, Question Is for How Long
The hottest corner of the stock market in 2025 remains scorching in the new year, but the relentless momentum has some Wall Street pros wondering if a reversal is coming.
Nvidia's Backdoor Acquisition Won’t Be the Last
The key in both approaches will be to cleverly avoid the ire of regulators by trying not to trigger outbound investment rules when they buy Chinese firms, and by using hiring-and-licensing deals — known in the industry as acquihires — to avoid antitrust scrutiny when they grab competitors in the US and Europe.
Retail Crowd’s Buying Power Signals More Gains for US Stocks
Retail traders have extended a buying spree into the new year, following a record-setting performance in 2025, an analysis from JPMorgan Securities’ Arun Jain shows.
Stablecoin Transactions Rose to Record $33 Trillion in 2025
Stablecoin transactions reached unprecedented heights last year, buoyed by favorable policy in the US under pro-crypto President Donald Trump.
JPMorgan, Apple and Goldman Score a Rare Win-Win-Win
If you can’t get what you want, get what you need. It’s taken the best part of two years, but JPMorgan Chase & Co. has finally helped Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Apple Inc. do just that with the tech giant’s credit card.
Post-Maduro 124% Rally Stuns Venezuela’s Battered Stock Exchange
A stunning rally in Venezuelan assets after US forces removed president Nicolas Maduro from power has showcased how unprepared the local market is to absorb the new wave of attention.
Stocks Rise as Traders Weigh Jobs Data, Brace for Tariff Ruling
US equities edged higher on Friday, as December’s payrolls report did little to change the outlook for leaving interest rates on hold. Traders remain on alert for a possible Supreme Court ruling on whether President Donald Trump’s tariffs are legal.
AI ‘Fatigue’ Leaves Investors Focused on S&P’s Other 493 Stocks
Bets on artificial intelligence companies have dominated US equity markets for three years, powering a 78% gain. A growing number of investors are now wagering that run, led by the Magnificent Seven, is about to end.
Trump to Meet Energy Executives, Outline Plan for Venezuela
President Donald Trump is set to outline his vision for rebuilding Venezuela’s battered oil sector Friday in a meeting with representatives from 17 energy companies, including crude producers, refiners and commodity traders.
Alphabet Overtakes Apple, Becoming Second to Nvidia in Size
Alphabet Inc. has overtaken Apple Inc. to become the second-most valuable company by market capitalization, a reflection of how the Google parent has emerged as one of the most significant winners of artificial intelligence.
Obesity, M&A, Biotech Resurgence: A 2026 Guide to Health Stocks
The health-care corner of the US equity market has traditionally been viewed as defensive, thanks to steady growth and healthy dividend yields among the industry’s stalwarts. That narrative is changing.
Trump Bid to Ban Corporate Homebuying Blindsides Wall Street
Money managers like Blackstone Inc. and Pretium who binged on single-family rentals in the wake of the financial crisis took blow after blow as housing prices shot up. But the cohort has since cooled its buying, and the attacks slowed.
Fed’s Miran Wants 150 Points of Cuts in 2026 to Boost Jobs
Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran said he is looking for 150 basis points of interest-rate cuts this year to boost the labor market.
US Productivity Accelerates to Fastest Pace in Two Years
US labor productivity accelerated in the third quarter to the strongest pace in two years, adding to evidence that efficiency gains are suppressing inflationary pressures from wages.
SpaceX Is Under a Lot of Pressure Now. It’s Not Alone
SpaceX’s dominance of rocket launches and satellite broadband internet service was reaffirmed last month with news of an insider share sale that would value the company at $800 billion. There was even speculation that Elon Musk’s space venture might sell shares to the public this year with a target valuation of almost double that amount.
The Trends Dominating the Luxury Real Estate Market in 2026
The rich are increasingly looking for properties that can accommodate extended families, according to the 2026 Luxury Outlook report by Sotheby’s International Realty. Millennials and Gen Xers are driving the shift as they search for homes that work for both young children and aging parents.
Alaska Air Places Record Boeing Jet Order in Global Growth Push
Alaska Air Group Inc. is ordering 110 Boeing Co. aircraft, laying the groundwork for a global network with the largest investment in new planes in the airline’s history.
Leveraged Dogecoin? Not in the Banking System, Please
The speculation that has pushed its notional market capitalization beyond $20 billion — and that of all pure cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, to more than $2 trillion — is a social phenomenon that could end as suddenly as it arose.
Tesla Is Swapping Its EV Crown For Even More Promises
Tesla enters 2026 grappling with its loss of the global EV sales title to BYD and a persistent production surplus that has strained profit margins. Despite growth in its energy storage division, the company faces significant underutilization of its manufacturing capacity as premium vehicle sales lag behind previous years.
Bitcoin Options Traders Eye $100,000 After Year-End Meltdown
Bitcoin options are showing that traders are setting their sights on a return to the $100,000 price level amid optimism that investors will turn back to digital assets following the crypto market’s crash in the fourth quarter.
Nvidia CEO Says Rubin Chips Are on Track, Demand Is Strong
Nvidia Corp. Chief Executive Officer Jensen Huang said that the company’s highly anticipated Rubin data center processors are in production and customers will soon be able to try out the technology.
Crypto Latecomer Morgan Stanley Files for Bitcoin, Solana ETFs
Morgan Stanley filed for Bitcoin and Solana exchange-traded funds, marking its first foray into the popular corner of the funds world two years after the explosion of crypto-focused ETFs in the US brought them into the mainstream.
Americans Are Living in the Worst of All Tax Worlds
Taxes are a necessary fact of life. Although no one likes paying them, and they divert resources and cause waste, governments need revenue to provide essential (and some not-so-essential) services.
Five Questions About Money to Ponder in 2026
To resist the dollar’s assault and preserve monetary sovereignty, China has asked banks to start paying interest on e-CNY holdings in customer wallets from Jan. 1. Amid this superpower rivalry, nations must strive to preserve their unit of account — dollar, euro, yen, or yuan — from becoming a casualty of technological dominance.
Two Simple Ways to Fix Housing in America
President Donald Trump has promised to address housing-market dysfunction and a lack of affordability in 2026. While we don’t know what the White House has planned, previous talk has included a (much criticized) suggestion for 50-year mortgages and exhortations to builders to do their duty and build more housing.
Cathie Wood’s ARK Fintech ETF Defies 2025 Slump, Gaining 30% on AI Bet
Cathie Wood’s ARK Blockchain & Fintech Innovation ETF delivered a standout 29% return in 2025, defying an industry downturn by stretching the definition of “financial technology.”
Hedge Fund Tribeca Eyes Venezuela Gold Rush After 127% Gain
Hedge funds are racing to Caracas to scout assets following the high-stakes removal of Nicolás Maduro by the Trump administration. Investors view the potential reintegration of the oil-rich nation into the Western financial system as a historic opportunity for restructuring debt and infrastructure.
Chevron, US Oil Stocks Rally as Trump Vows Venezuela Revival
US oil stocks jumped in premarket trading on Monday after President Donald Trump pledged to revive the Venezuelan energy sector following the capture of Nicolás Maduro over the weekend.
‘Hectocorns’ Are Just One AI Flashpoint for 2026
In 2026, AI hectacorns might go public. That process, historians would tell you, was a harbinger for the dot-com bust as hopeless balance sheets were ignored in favor of overhyped promises that eventually collapsed.
US IPO Performance Lags S&P 500 in 2025 as Crypto, AI Deals Sink
US initial public offerings delivered underwhelming results in 2025 as equity-market volatility and increasing scrutiny around themes such as crypto and artificial intelligence hit some of the year’s most high-profile listings.
Bridgewater, D.E. Shaw Among Top Hedge Fund Gainers of 2025
Major hedge funds achieved historic returns in 2025 as tariff-driven market volatility created ideal conditions for macro and multi-strategy trading.
Saylor’s Strategy Faces ‘Sizable’ Fourth-Quarter Loss From Bitcoin Tumble
Michael Saylor has long noted that Bitcoin’s volatility “is a feature, not a bug” when pitching his cryptocurrency accumulator Strategy Inc.
Emerging-Market Stocks Scale Five-Year High Amid Tech Surge
Emerging-market stocks posted a strong start to 2026, following a $7.2 trillion annual rally, as Asia’s expanding role in artificial intelligence lifted Chinese technology shares to their biggest gains since September and pushed benchmarks in South Korea and Taiwan to record highs.
US Stocks Climb to Start 2026 and Revive Hopes for Santa Rally
The S&P 500 Index climbed at the open on Friday as investors bought tech stocks ahead of next week’s massive CES conference and cheered signs President Donald Trump was easing up on tariff policies.
Gold and Silver Advance to Open New Year as Index Selling Looms
Gold and silver rose as 2026 trading kicked off, building on their best annual performances since 1979.
US Treasuries Extend Gains After Posting Best Year Since 2020
US Treasuries rose on the first trading day of 2026, getting off to a positive start after notching their best annual return in five years.
Rationally Exuberant Markets Will Be Risking AI Mishaps in 2026
Investors were rationally exuberant in 2025. US consumers remained remarkably resilient, keeping the world's largest economy out of recession. The tariff blizzard waxed and waned, eventually settling at levies still compatible with maintaining global growth, albeit at an anemic level.
Books We Read in 2025 That Prepared Us for Tech’s Future
Trillions of dollars hang in the balance of two questions that dominated this year and loom perilously large over the next. “Will the artificial intelligence bubble burst?” and “Will China beat the US?”
The Quantum Era Crept Up While You Were Watching AI
Step aside, artificial intelligence. Another transformative technology with the potential to reshape industries and reorder geopolitical power is finally moving out of the lab: quantum.
The Housing Market Is Moving in Favor of Gen Z
Like previous generations, most young people are going to end up owning homes. The housing market is in transition, and despite the current lack of affordability, there’s compelling evidence that we’re grinding back toward more normal levels.
Every Wall Street Analyst Now Predicts a Stock Rally in 2026
At the big banks and the boutique investment shops, an optimistic consensus has taken hold: the US stock market will rally in 2026 for a fourth straight year, marking the longest winning streak in nearly two decades.
Bitcoin Whipsaws as Traders Brace for New Year Rebound
Bitcoin briefly topped the $90,000 mark on Monday before tumbling, leaving traders waiting on a potential breakout after the token missed a Santa rally that sent stocks to record highs.
SoftBank to Pay $4 Billion for Data Center Firm DigitalBridge
SoftBank Group Corp. agreed to acquire private equity firm DigitalBridge Group Inc. in a deal valuing the data center investor at $4 billion including debt.
Nvidia Reaches Technology Licensing Deal With Startup Groq
Nvidia Corp. agreed to a licensing deal with artificial intelligence startup Groq, furthering its investments in companies connected to the AI boom and gaining the right to add a new type of technology to its products.
Gold and Silver Smash Records Again as Rally Gathers Momentum
Gold, silver and platinum jumped to all-time highs to extend a historic end-of-year rally for precious metals, with support from escalating geopolitical tensions and US dollar weakness.
Five Reasons to Be Optimistic About the 2026 Economy
What will 2026 be like? There are reasons to be optimistic, as many were a year ago. Here are five of them.
Intel Shares Fall on Report Nvidia Halts Production Test
Intel Corp. shares fell in premarket trading Wednesday after a report said that Nvidia Corp. halted a test to use Intel’s production process to make advanced chips.
Copper Poised for Best Year Since 2009 After December Surge
Copper extended a powerful December rally that’s carried prices for the industrial metal to unprecedented highs above $12,000 a ton on fears over a tighter global market in 2026.
Good Climate News to End the Year
Planet-warming greenhouse gas emissions kept rising in 2025 and country pledges to cut them are nowhere near where they need to be to avoid catastrophic climate change, but there were silver linings too.
Gold Climbs Above $4,500 in Historic Rally for Precious Metals
Gold rose to an all-time high above $4,500 an ounce on escalating tensions in Venezuela and expectations for more US rate cuts. Silver and platinum also advanced to records.
Bitcoin Misses Out on Wall Street Cheer to Stall Near $87,000
As traditional markets move into the final days of the year with a burst of seasonal optimism, the world’s largest cryptocurrency has barely stirred. Bitcoin is trading around $87,370, pinned in a $85,000 to $90,000 range and showing little sign of life — an asset built on hype, volatility and disruption ending the year in a standstill.
Dollar’s Worst Slide Since 2017 Has Further to Go, Options Show
The dollar is heading for its weakest annual performance in eight years, and the options market is signaling that traders are preparing for more downside in the final sessions of 2025.
AI Funding to Drive Record Year for Top-Rated Company Bond Sales
Companies across the US and Europe are preparing to sell a record amount of high-grade bonds in 2026, testing investors’ appetite as yields drift lower.
Peak ETF Mania? Flows, Launches and Volume Shatter All Records
With less than two weeks to go, 2025 is set to be a record-breaking year for the $13 trillion US exchange-traded fund industry: new high-water marks in flows, launches and trading volume. It’s up for debate whether the next few years will be as kind.
Wall Street Sees Cyclicals Rallying as Economic Growth Picks Up
US economic growth is set to accelerate with cheaper oil. Federal Reserve rate cuts are likely with inflation cooling.
Gold and Silver Rise to Records on Rate-Cut Bets, Global Risks
Gold and silver rallied to all-time highs on escalating geopolitical tensions and prospects for more US rate cuts.
JPMorgan Is Exploring Crypto Trading for Institutional Clients
JPMorgan Chase & Co. is considering offering cryptocurrency trading to its institutional clients, as large banks around the world deepen their involvement in the asset class.
State Street Private Credit ETF Stalls in Year of Industry Snags
State Street Corp. seemed to perfectly time the private-markets wave, debuting a private credit exchange-traded fund in February months ahead of an executive order that aimed to push more investors into alternative assets.
Gold and Silver Hit All-Time Highs as Geopolitical Tensions Rise
Gold and silver soared to all-time highs, as escalating geopolitical tensions and bets on further US rate cuts added momentum to the best annual performance in more than four decades.
Americans Facing a Tough Job Market in 2025 Won’t Get a Break Next Year
This year was a difficult one for Americans looking for work. Forecasters don’t see much improvement in their prospects coming in 2026.
Invesco Unlocks $180 Million Windfall After QQQ Vote Passes
Owners of Invesco Ltd.’s famed tech fund QQQ voted to convert the product into an open-ended structure, a move that could unlock hundreds of millions in annual revenue for the asset manager.
At Goldman and Citadel Securities, the Santa Rally Has Believers
Traders who spent most of December wondering if the typical year-end “Santa Claus rally” was ever going to kick in may finally be getting what they’ve been waiting for.
Japan’s Rate Milestone Is Just One More Step
Three years ago Mustafa Ismael launched Karcsham Co., a Kenya-based company that resells Starlink devices and manages subscriptions for thousands of customers across a dozen African and Latin American countries.
Gold, Silver Near Record Highs as US Data Support Rate-Cut Bets
Gold and silver hovered near record highs, after slower-than-expected inflation in the US supported bets for more interest-rate cuts.
Treasuries Gain as US Inflation Data Bolsters Fed-Cut Bets
Treasuries gained across the curve as softer-than-forecast US inflation data led traders to step up bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest-rate next year.
Gold Hovers Near Record After CPI as Platinum Extends Rally
Gold traded near a record as investors assessed US inflation data that came in softer than expected. Platinum extended a breakneck rally that saw it surge close to $2,000 an ounce.
Tesla’s Musk Premium in Focus With SpaceX IPO on the Horizon
Tesla’s surging valuation reflects Wall Street’s immense faith in Elon Musk’s AI and robotics vision, even as the company’s core automotive fundamentals face significant pressure.
Bitcoin’s Silent Exodus Hits Crypto as Long-Time Buyers Cash Out
The crypto market is struggling to find its footing as Bitcoin’s most "diamond-handed" investors continue a massive exit, offloading billions in previously dormant tokens.
JPMorgan Quants Warn of ‘Extreme Crowding’ in Speculative Stocks
The latest bout of volatility in US equity markets highlights a risk that strategists at JPMorgan Chase & Co. have been warning about: “extreme crowding” in stocks that have rallied hard this year.
Speed Vs. Accuracy of US Jobs Data Rekindled After Shutdown
Here’s a shocker — if you give businesses more time to respond to a survey, chances are you’ll get more data back in return.
Biotech Share Sales in US Deliver Biggest Quarter Since 2021
US-listed biotechnology and pharmaceutical company share sales are staging a late-year revival, as mergers and acquisitions in the industry boost valuations and stoke additional demand.
Oracle’s $248 Billion Rent is Another AI ‘Bombshell’
Oracle Corp. shocked investors with the disclosure of $248 billion in future lease-payment commitments, primarily for AI data centers and cloud capacity, which are set to commence by its 2028 financial year but are not yet on its balance sheet.
Morgan Stanley Climbs Debt Rankings as Go-To Bank for AI Bonanza
As anxiety over an artificial-intelligence bubble reached a fever pitch in recent months, no Wall Street bank helped the industry power past the noise like Morgan Stanley.
Green Stocks Are Big Winners as Tech Boom Drives Energy Demand
Market participants said the longer-term outlook for the sector remains upbeat as power demand is too high to be met by Big Oil alone. And the rally this year is far from overdone, with the clean-energy stock gauge remaining about 73% below its 2007 peak.
The Biggest Leverage Risk Isn’t in the Market
Every time there’s a raging bull market in stocks, as there is now, people start worrying about too much leverage in the market, and for good reason. When investors chase stocks with borrowed money, bad things can happen.
Emerging Market Dollar Bond ETF Draws Biggest Haul Since 2023
Investors are gravitating to dollar bonds to ride the rally in emerging-markets, and have poured the most money in two years into a fund tracking the asset class.
Kalshi's Wild $11 Billion Ride Will Hit a Limit
Despite rapid growth, including significant trading volume increases, the company faces major challenges from competitors like Robinhood and Interactive Brokers, an ongoing association with gambling, and regulatory pushback regarding its classification as a financial-derivatives exchange.
The Bond Market Will Not Be Fooled
While the Federal Reserve is expected to cut short-term interest rates next year, these reductions are predicted to have minimal effect on long-term rates, such as the 10-year Treasury yield.
China Is ‘Rejecting’ Nvidia’s H200 Chips, Outfoxing US Strategy, Sacks Says
China has figured out the US strategy for allowing it to buy Nvidia Corp.’s H200 and is rejecting the AI chip in favor of domestically developed semiconductors, White House AI czar David Sacks said, citing news reports.
CLO Managers Bet Big on Buyout Revival to Lift Profits in 2026
A flare up in high-profile corporate buyouts is likely to spread into 2026, spurring demand for leveraged financing that could double by some estimates, according to debt managers.
Carry Trade Revival That Electrified EM Spurs 2026 Optimism
Emerging market carry trades, a popular strategy that returned about 17% in 2025, are widely expected to continue yielding gains in 2026 due to persistent interest rate gaps and a weakening US dollar.
Wall Street Sees AI Bubble Coming and Is Betting on What Pops It
It’s been three years since OpenAI set off euphoria over artificial intelligence with the release of ChatGPT. And while the money is still pouring in, so are the doubts about whether the good times can last.
How Resilient Will the US Consumer Be Without a Job?
Imagine headlines flashing news of 20,000 jobs lost each month from US payrolls. Consumer and investor sentiment would crater and the pressure on the Federal Reserve to keep cutting interest rates would be intense.
Trump Administration Plans to Boost Tax Break for Corporations
The Treasury Department is preparing to release a corporate tax workaround that would deliver large tax savings to companies including Salesforce Inc. and Qualcomm Inc.
Foreign Insiders Face SEC Stock Trade Disclosures Under Bill
Foreign corporate insiders would have to reveal when they buy or sell company stock under a provision included in the House-passed defense authorization bill, a move backers describe as closing a loophole that hurts US investors.
Warner Bros. Bidders Are Having a Rough Time
The dueling suitors for Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. have had a rough week. Will this rule out an auction? Don’t count on it.
Oil Holds Near Lowest Since October With Surplus in Focus
Oil held near its lowest close in almost two months, as concerns about an oversupply offset bullishness in wider financial markets.
Silver Heads for Weekly Gain of About 10% in Speculative Surge
Silver jumped for a fourth day, as exchange-traded fund inflows, momentum-following and physical market tightness pushed the white metal toward its best year since 1979.
Disney Invests $1 Billion in OpenAI, Strikes Licensing Deal
Walt Disney Co. agreed to invest $1 billion in OpenAI and license iconic characters like Mickey Mouse and Cinderella for use on the startup’s short-form, artificial intelligence video platform.
Gold Wavers as Traders Focus on Fed Outlook, China Demand
Gold wavered as traders mulled the Federal Reserve’s outlook for interest rates. Bullion gained as much as 0.5% in US trading before paring some gains, while Treasury yields and the dollar declined.
Treasuries Gain as Fed Cuts, Traders Wager on Two More in 2026
US Treasuries rose after the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by a quarter-point for a third straight meeting and left the door open to additional policy easing in 2026.
Oracle Shares Drop the Most Since 2001 on Mounting AI Spending
Oracle Corp. shares fell the most in more than 24 years after the company reported a jump in spending on AI data centers and other equipment, rising outlays that are taking longer to translate into cloud revenue than investors want.
Investors Turn to ‘Over Hated and Underweighted’ Energy Stocks
The rotation from technology stocks has investors, at long last, scouring one of the least loved corners of the market: energy producers.
Fed Cuts Rates With Three Dissents, Projects One Cut in 2026
After a "mini swoon" in November driven by AI bubble concerns, market tranquility has returned this December as investors await the Fed's widely anticipated 25 basis point rate cut and Chair Powell's subsequent remarks.
JPMorgan Seeks to Turn Muni Funds With $840 Million Into ETFs
JPMorgan Asset Management is seeking to convert two municipal-bond mutual funds with over $840 million of assets into ETFs in 2026, underscoring the growing popularity of the products.
Crypto Winter Squeezes Bitcoin Miners as AI Pivot Gains Urgency
The crypto downturn has pushed a slew of Bitcoin miners to the brink of unprofitability, prompting operators to scale back the energy-hungry machines that keep the blockchain running.
Inside Meta’s Pivot From Open Source to Money-Making AI Model
Following the disappointment of its open-source Llama 4 model, Meta's AI strategy is undergoing a major shift, with CEO Mark Zuckerberg now personally directing efforts toward monetizable models.
SpaceX IPO Plan Puts $2.9 Trillion of Listings On The Table
Despite controversial leadership and little to no profits, experts believe public stock investors will be highly eager to embrace these massive listings, potentially breaking the multi-year IPO rut. If SpaceX lists at its massive rumored valuation, it would catalyze a "massive trend of IPO activity," forcing similar giants like Stripe and ByteDance to follow suit.
Nuclear Stocks’ $566 Billion Rally Is Far From Over, Funds Say
Global fund managers expect the surge in nuclear stocks to continue, driven by energy demands that extend beyond the needs of artificial intelligence and an improving regulatory outlook worldwide.
US Treasury Yields Hit Multimonth Highs as Focus Shifts to Fed
Market focus is shifting to the Fed's 2026 outlook, as stubbornly elevated inflation and recent hawkish signals suggest the central bank may signal an "extended pause" after this cut. Consequently, traders have recently scaled back expectations for the total number of cuts next year, expecting the easing cycle to stop closer to 3.5% rather than the previously forecast 3%.
Warner Bros. Rival Bids Put Spotlight on Flagging Cable Networks
While Netflix Inc. and Paramount Skydance Corp. vie for President Donald Trump’s blessings in their competing bids for Warner Bros. Discovery Inc., investors have an irony to consider.
The Solution to Hedge Fund Leverage Isn’t More Market Risk
Regulators are finally starting to appreciate how much major government debt markets are being dominated by a handful of hedge funds. There’s a head of steam building around the issue.
America’s Biggest Power Firm Pivots Hard to Its Next Era
NextEra Energy, once the "tech darling" of the utility sector due to its vast renewables business, is pivoting its strategy to navigate political uncertainty and the booming power demands of Artificial Intelligence (AI).
Nvidia Wins Trump’s Approval to Sell H200 AI Chips in China
President Donald Trump has authorized Nvidia to export its H200 AI chip to China in exchange for a 25% tariff payment to the U.S. government, a decision that could potentially allow the company to regain billions in lost revenue from the Chinese market.
Apple’s Slow AI Pace Becomes a Strength as Market Grows Weary of Spending
Shares of Apple Inc. were battered earlier this year as the iPhone maker faced repeated complaints about its lack of an artificial intelligence strategy. But as the AI trade faces increasing scrutiny, that hesitance has gone from a weakness to a strength — and it’s showing up in the stock market.
Google and NextEra to Develop Data Centers With Power Plants
Alphabet Inc.'s Google Cloud and NextEra Energy Inc. have deepened their partnership by agreeing to develop new data centers specifically paired with electric power plants.
America Gets Retirement Wrong. Can Vanguard Fix That?
I’ve been a retirement economist for my entire adult life, and yet I am continually amazed at how America continues to get retirement saving so wrong. Now, finally, the world’s largest issuer of mutual funds is showing signs that it recognizes a major flaw in the system.
Bitcoin Options Show Traders Hunkering Down for Crypto Winter
Bitcoin options traders are currently betting that the largest cryptocurrency will remain range-bound in the near term, a sentiment reflected by higher open interest in short-dated contracts due to the selling of volatility.
Apple Rocked by Executive Departures, With Chip Chief at Risk of Leaving Next
Apple, long viewed as a model of stability, is currently undergoing one of the most tumultuous personnel shake-ups of CEO Tim Cook's tenure, with a sudden wave of exits from senior executives and key engineers reporting directly to him.
Grid Tech Stocks Are Poised to Soar Even Further Amid AI Bubble Fears
While some corners of energy markets have looked pretty frothy of late, one segment has Wall Street betting it won’t get trapped in a bubble: grid tech stocks
Wall Street Races to Cut Its Risk From AI’s Borrowing Binge
Wall Street is gearing up to lend massive amounts of money to the biggest players in artificial intelligence — and simultaneously trying to figure out how to protect itself from any bubble that its financing may be helping to inflate.
Economists See Two Fed Rate Cuts in 2026 Following December Move
Federal Reserve officials will vote to cut interest rates again next week to safeguard against rising risks of a sharp deterioration in the labor market, according to economists surveyed by Bloomberg.
State Street Looks to ETFs, Alternatives to Deepen Saudi Push
State Street Corp. is deepening its expansion in Saudi Arabia as it looks to cash in on booming demand for exchange-traded funds and growing appetite for alternative investments from clients including family offices.
Even If Fed Cuts Rates Again, US Economy May Not Get Much of a Boost
Federal Reserve officials are poised to cut interest rates again next week, but any benefit to the economy is likely to take much longer to show up than normal and may be blunted by factors that monetary policy can’t control.
Gold-Backed ETF Holdings Set Month-End Record as Metal Rises
Gold holdings in exchange-traded funds climbed to a month-end peak, a sign that investor inflows are continuing to add fuel to bullion’s scorching rally.
Netflix to Buy Warner Bros. in $72 Billion Cash, Stock Deal
Netflix Inc. agreed to buy Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. in a historic combination, joining the world’s dominant paid streaming service with one of Hollywood’s oldest and most revered studios.
Polymarket Recruiting for In-House Team That Trades With Customers
Polymarket has been recruiting new staff members for an internal market making team that could face off against customers on the company’s exchange, even though a similar feature has exposed its chief rival to criticism.
Private Credit Woes Should Put Banks on Notice
How worried should the US be about private credit? Already this year, more than 1 in 10 private credit borrowers are deferring cash interest payments and at least 45 firms have been taken over by their lenders, the most in six years.
Pimco Rejected ‘Sell America’ Talk and Won Big With US Bond Bet
Across April and May, the bond giant’s positions in 5- to 10-year Treasuries and mortgages were getting hammered. First, after President Donald Trump’s punitive “Liberation Day” tariffs, and then amid the burst of “Sell America” calls that followed.
The $3 Trillion Stablecoin Link That’s Got Wall Street Doubting
The passage of new US stablecoin legislation has intensified Wall Street debate over the tokens' potential to significantly boost the dollar and become a multi-trillion-dollar source of demand for short-dated Treasuries.
US Jobless Claims Fell to Three-Year Low Over Thanksgiving
While volatility around holidays makes the single week's number choppy, this trend supports the view that actual job losses remain limited, allaying concerns about a rapid deterioration of the labor market. The overall low-fire, low-hire market, however, has made it difficult for out-of-work Americans to find new employment.
Vanguard Plans Miami Expansion to Tap More Latin American Wealth
Vanguard, a major global asset manager, is planning to significantly expand its US offshore wealth services, primarily by tripling its team in Miami and growing in other US cities like Houston and California. This strategic move aims to cater to wealthy Latin Americans who increasingly seek to move their assets abroad, often preferring the US for its stability.
Meta’s Zuckerberg Plans Deep Cuts for Metaverse Efforts
Meta Platforms Inc.’s Mark Zuckerberg is expected to meaningfully cut resources for building the so-called metaverse, an effort that he once framed as the future of the company and the reason for changing its name from Facebook Inc.
Bond Investors Are Driving Governments Into Short-Term Debt
The UK and Japan are responding to investor demand to boost short-term borrowing, a shift in strategy that offers governments lower interest payments but exposes them to potentially costly rates swings at the time of debt rollovers.
SEC Halts High-Leveraged ETF Plans in Warning Over Risks
The US SEC has issued warning letters effectively blocking the launch of several high-octane ETFs designed to deliver three and five times the daily returns of stocks and cryptos. The regulator is concerned that these leveraged funds—which sought to exceed the current 2x leverage limit—have risk exposures that may violate SEC limits relative to their assets.
Goldman’s Molavi Says Bull and Bear Stock Drivers Set to Clash
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. macro trader Bobby Molavi likens the setup for stocks heading into the new year to a boxing match, where the bullish drivers of AI and stimulus measures confront bearish forces including stretched valuations and credit stress.
Japan’s Inflation-Proof ‘Stan Economy’ is Booming
Inflation is the number-one public concern in Japan. But one section of the economy is proving to be invulnerable to rising prices: pop idols, YouTubers and cartoon characters.
Boeing On Track to Generate Billions in Cash in 2026, CFO Says
Boeing Co. expects to generate cash on an annual basis in 2026, marking a significant turnaround in the planemaker’s finances as it prepares to boost monthly production rates and pushes ahead with certification for the much-delayed 777X jetliner.
Big Tech’s ‘Spend Little, Earn Lots’ Formula Is Threatened By AI
For two decades, the playbook for Big Tech was fairly simple and extremely successful: Create disruptive innovations, deliver blinding growth rates and keep a lid on spending.
Michael Saylor's Bitcoin Hype Machine Is Glitching Out
Here’s how Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin treasury company Strategy Inc. is supposed to work: The firm raises funds to buy Bitcoin; that buying drives up the price of Bitcoin; the share price of Strategy follows suit. Rinse and repeat
Think of College Like You Would a Junk Bond
The decision to attend college was a no-brainer during the second half of the 20th century. It almost assured higher earnings and job security. Tuition wasn’t even very expensive. None of this is true now.
Washington Must Break Its Promise on Social Security
If there’s one thing Democrats and Republicans have agreed on in recent years, it’s to ignore the rapidly deteriorating finances of Social Security and keep its unsustainable benefits intact. The longer they dither, the worse the problem will get.
Billionaire Benetton Family Forms Private-Market Investment Firm
The Benetton family’s holding company Edizione is setting up an alternative investment firm with about €3 billion ($3.5 billion) in assets under management as it seeks to grow its private markets.
Goldman Sachs to Pay $2 Billion for ETF Issuer Innovator Capital
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. will pay $2 billion to buy Innovator Capital Management, a deal that combines the bank with an issuer of a relatively new type of exchange-traded fund that has caught the attention and ire of some on Wall Street.
Private Credit ‘Hysteria’ Will Get Very Real Next Year
While outright defaults in the private credit sector remain low, analysts are increasingly concerned about the deteriorating outlook for repayment problems. When factoring in "selective defaults"—like borrowers adding interest to the loan (PIK loans) or extending maturities—the true default rate climbs to a significantly higher 4.6%.
A Historic Housing Disconnect Is Forcing Prices Down
When new homes start selling at a discount to re-sale houses, it’s time to sit up and pay attention. Apollo Global Management’s Chief Economist Torsten Slok noted the anomaly in a recent note , the first time it’s happened in more than five decades.
Global Stock Leaderboards Are Ruled by Europe in Rare Dominance
In the ranks of the world’s 20 best-performing stock markets this year, every second index is European.
Sam Altman’s Business Buddies Are Getting Stung
As investors start to take sides in the AI race, Sam Altman’s buddies are getting burned.
A Smaller Fed Balance Sheet Is Bringing Its Own Problems
The Federal Reserve's balance sheet has significantly shrunk from its peak of nearly $9 trillion in 2022, shifting the reserve environment from "abundant" to "ample." While some advocate for further reduction, arguing it would increase market volatility and allow for lower rates, this move would necessitate a major operational change in how the Fed conducts monetary policy and would not dramatically lower short-term rates.
Mercuria Metals Boss Says ‘This Is the Big One’ for Copper Bulls
Kostas Bintas, the high-profile head of metals at Mercuria Energy Group Ltd., has renewed his bullish prediction for copper prices as he warned that a rush to ship metal to the US risks draining the rest of the world’s inventories.
Frustration, Confusion Ripple Across Markets on CME Outage
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), a crucial hub for managing global risk, experienced a nine-hour trading halt due to a data center fault on Friday, disrupting markets from S&P 500 futures to crude oil. This major outage underscores the CME's integral role in global market machinery, where its platforms handle volumes exceeding 26 million derivatives contracts daily.
Nasdaq Seeks to Boost Trading Cap for Options on Top Bitcoin ETF
Nasdaq’s International Securities Exchange proposed quadrupling the daily trading limit for options tied to BlackRock Inc.’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF as demand from investors increases.
The Pension Revolution Is Better for Savers
This article argues that the pursuit of high returns by institutional investors, like insurers and pension funds, through illiquid and opaque private market investments is a repeating mistake that risks underfunding future liabilities.
Google Puts a Crack in Fortress Nvidia
The dominance of Jensen Huang and Nvidia in the AI hardware market is facing a significant challenge, signaling a shift in the industry's power dynamic. This is driven by news of Google potentially selling billions of dollars in its own Tensor Processing Units (TPUs) to Meta, following a similar major deal with Anthropic.
Tech Cowboys, Slow Your Credit Binge. But Don’t Stop.
With corporate bond spreads widening and Oracle Corp.’s credit default swap spiking to a multi-year high, Wall Street is getting worried that a flood of debt sales from Big Tech is overwhelming buyers and could blow up credit markets.
Ray Dalio’s Hedge Fund Bug Looks More Like a Feature
Multi-strategy hedge funds have been around for more than three decades. Will they make it to a half century? Ray Dalio, founder of 50-year-old hedge fund Bridgewater Associates has his doubts about this thriving subsector of asset management.
Google, the Sleeping Giant in Global AI Race, Now ‘Fully Awake’
Google, once seen as lagging after the launch of ChatGPT, is now surging in the AI race with its new Gemini 3 model winning praise and driving investor confidence.
Traders Crowd Into Fed Futures Targeting a December Rate Cut
Investor certainty about a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December has surged to approximately 80%, driven by signals from Fed officials and recent mixed economic data, especially regarding the labor market.
Hedge Funds Pile Into Health Stocks Leading Market in Rotation
As investors shift away from volatile artificial intelligence stocks, the health-care sector has emerged as the clear winner this month, with the S&P 500 Health Care Index up 10%. This rotation, fueled by aggressive buying from hedge funds and mutual funds, reflects investor interest in defensive value amid concerns over an AI stock bubble.
Kalshi Is Taking Aim at Stock Exchanges. Why Not?
Kalshi Inc.’s Chief Executive Officer Tarek Mansour got my attention when he claimed last week that prediction markets could rival stock exchanges in a few years. Of course, this does not mean that people will buy and sell stocks on Kalshi, but that prediction markets will be where information is aggregated and prices set, with the New York Stock Exchange and its ilk relegated to processing orders.
Three Years of AI Mania: How ChatGPT Reordered the Stock Market
The release of OpenAI's ChatGPT three years ago sparked an artificial intelligence mania on Wall Street, fundamentally reshaping the stock market landscape. This AI-driven frenzy has minted new market leaders, made the S&P 500 significantly more concentrated, and served as the dominant driving force behind the current bull market in US stocks.
US 10-Year Yield Falls Back Toward 4% Amid More Weak Jobs Data
Treasury yields edged lower, with the 10-year nearing 4%, as data affirming labor-market weakness and remarks from Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran bolstered expectations for an interest-rate cut next month.
Wall Street’s Macro Traders Eye Their Biggest Haul in 16 Years
Wall Street’s macro traders are headed for their best year since 2009 as clients rushed to place bets on changing interest rate policies by central banks around the world.
Nvidia-Google AI Chip Rivalry Escalates on Report of Meta Talks
Meta Platforms Inc. is in talks to spend billions on Google’s AI chips, the Information reported, adding to a monthslong share rally as the search giant has made the case it can rival Nvidia Corp. as a leader in artificial intelligence technology.
AI Is More Likely to Cause a Labor Shortage. Here’s Why.
The article argues that making productive use of AI requires strong critical thinking, statistical, and analytical abilities, a necessity challenged by weakening standards in math and reading in educational institutions.
Week of Bruising Volatility Tests Support Levels Across Stocks
A third straight week of market turbulence left US equity investors searching for any edge on how to position ahead of what is normally a strong seasonal stretch for stocks.
Big Tech’s AI Debt Wave Threatening to Swamp Credit Markets
A flood of debt sales from Big Tech risks overwhelming buyers and could weaken the credit market on both sides of the Atlantic.
Fed’s Waller Calls for December Cut, Then Meeting-By-Meeting
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he’s advocating an interest-rate cut in December, though the US central bank can probably take more of a meeting-by-meeting approach starting in January once it receives a flood of economic data.
Big Tech’s Debt Binge Raises Risk in Race to Create an AI World
The AI investment story is maturing, with major tech firms raising a record $108 billion in debt in 2025 to finance infrastructure, a sharp departure from previous cash-funded growth. This increased use of leverage and riskier financing mechanisms is generating concern among stock traders and contributing to rising market volatility.
Sun Life Plots Hiring Push to Strengthen Asset Division
Sun Life Financial Inc.’s newly unified asset-management division plans to hire about 20 senior executives as it looks to turn a collection of investment managers into a more coordinated global powerhouse.
S&P 500 Steadies as Alphabet Rises Amid Revived Fed-Cut Bets
The S&P 500 Index edged higher to start Friday, recovering some of the losses caused by recent concerns over stretched valuations and a potential AI bubble. The recovery was supported by remarks from Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams, who suggested there is room to lower interest rates soon. These comments immediately boosted market expectations for a December rate cut.
Berkshire’s Alphabet Buy Sure Doesn’t Sound Like Buffett
The article examines the high valuations of AI-focused tech giants like Alphabet and Nvidia, contrasting the risk of an "AI bubble" with their powerful profitability. While Berkshire Hathaway's new stake in Alphabet signals confidence, both companies require substantial future growth to justify their current multiples.
Big Tech’s Creative Financing Is Fooling No One
The article examines how tech giants like Meta are using massive, off-balance-sheet special-purpose vehicles to finance multi-billion dollar data centers. Despite these complex structures, large investors are treating the debt as a direct obligation of the tech company, leading to a subsequent sell-off of Meta’s publicly traded corporate bonds.
SEC’s Epic Post-Shutdown Filing Backlog Risks Stalling US IPOs
The end of the government shutdown left the SEC with an avalanche of paperwork, forcing staff to prioritize new company registration statements critical for initial public offerings (IPOs). More than a dozen companies had to revise their IPO timelines due to the delays, creating market uncertainty.
European Stocks Drop as Year’s Winners ASML, Siemens Energy Fall
European stocks fell, tracking their deepest weekly decline since August, as a risk-off mood hit some of this year’s top-performing technology shares. The decline was driven by investor concerns over lofty tech valuations and uncertainty regarding the US Federal Reserve’s next move on interest rates. The market slightly recovered after a Fed official hinted there was room for rate cuts in the near term.
Job and Housing Stresses Are Caught in a Vicious Loop
The continued slump in the housing market is now being compounded by a weakening U.S. labor market and a surge in mass layoffs. This labor uncertainty is making potential buyers reluctant to commit to purchases, even as affordability improves and mortgage rates stabilize. This dynamic is leading homebuilders to reduce construction and staffing, further worsening the job market.
BlackRock Seeks to Lean More on AI in Equities Business as DeSpirito Departs
BlackRock Inc.’s Tony DeSpirito, global chief investment officer of fundamental equities, is leaving the firm along with three other employees in that group as the asset manager shakes up its actively managed stock funds.
Bitcoin Daredevils Leave Market on Edge as Levered Bets Misfire
After peaking at just over $126,000 in early October, Bitcoin has dropped 30% — breaking through key thresholds, spooking ETF investors, and rattling holders big and small. One group in particular remains exposed: traders who bet on a rebound — and now find themselves underwater while paying for it.
Nvidia’s Upbeat Forecast Soothes Fears of AI Market Bubble
Nvidia Corp. delivered a surprisingly strong revenue forecast and pushed back on the idea that the AI industry is in a bubble, easing concerns that had spread across the tech sector.
Nvidia Needs Investors to Party Like It’s Not 1999
keep hearing some version of this argument: Yes, we’re in an AI bubble. But even in the dot-com crash, the best companies survived and made people rich. Just look at Amazon.com Inc.
Buffett’s Alphabet Blessing Puts Valuation Paradox Back in Focus
Just six months ago, Alphabet Inc. investors feared the company could be a casualty of the artificial intelligence revolution. But after a trillion-dollar rally those concerns have flipped, and now the biggest worry is if the stock is getting too expensive for its own good.
Rotation From Tech Leads Investors to Dividend-Paying Stocks
The result is the first sustained selloff for the group since April, with the Nasdaq 100 leading the broader market lower as investors ditch tech winners in favor of more defensive stocks. One of the beneficiaries: companies with juicy dividend payments.
The Credit Hazard Lurking in Your Retirement Funds
The growing list of US credit busts, from subprime auto lender Tricolor Holdings to Broadband Telecom Inc., raises a troubling question: If such “cockroaches” proliferate — if many more enterprises collapse under the weight of excessive debt — who will ultimately bear the losses?
Goal to Triple Nuclear Power Needs US and Europe to Match China
Thirty-three nations, including new signatories Senegal and Rwanda, have now committed to a global pledge to triple nuclear power capacity by 2050. The World Nuclear Association suggests this ambitious target of installing about 1,200 gigawatts is achievable if governments fully implement their promises. However, other forecasts indicate meeting this goal will be challenging given current capacity projections.
Does Mr. Big Short Really Get Value Investing… or AI?
Famed investor Michael Burry, popularized by The Big Short, is sparking new conversations after his firm decided to return outside capital. Recently bearish on the AI investment boom, Burry's Scion Asset Management purchased put options against major AI players like Nvidia and Palantir in the third quarter.
Nvidia Earnings Run Into a Market Suddenly Afraid of AI Spending
Wall Street will get a sense of where the billions of dollars being spent on artificial intelligence are going when Nvidia Corp. reports its earnings after the bell on Wednesday. How the sinking stock market will react is another question.
Google to Invest $40 Billion in New Data Centers in Texas
Alphabet Inc.’s Google plans to invest $40 billion in three new Texas data centers, part of an effort to add artificial intelligence computing power in a state that’s also drawn multibillion investments from competitors such as OpenAI and Anthropic PBC.
Google to Invest $40 Billion in New Data Centers in Texas
Alphabet Inc.’s Google plans to invest $40 billion in three new Texas data centers, part of an effort to add artificial intelligence computing power in a state that’s also drawn multibillion investments from competitors such as OpenAI and Anthropic PBC.
Booth’s DFA Gets Green Light for Tax-Busting Vanguard Design
The SEC has granted Dimensional Fund Advisors approval to adopt the dual share class fund structure, previously used exclusively by Vanguard to save investors billions in taxes. This decision, following the expiration of Vanguard's patent, marks a watershed moment for the $13 trillion US ETF industry and sets the stage for a wave of similar approvals for dozens of other money managers.
S&P 500 Eyes Longest Losing Run Since August on AI, Crypto Fears
US stocks sank, putting the S&P 500 Index on track for its longest slide since August, as a six-month rally shows signs of cracking following a $1.2 trillion selloff in cryptocurrencies and amid fears around stretched artificial-intelligence valuations.
Will AI Be an Economic Net Positive? Probably Not
The boom in artificial-intelligence investment is undoubtedly boosting both the US stock market and the broader economy right now. But what about the longer term? Will AI be a big net positive, delivering prosperity and solving the nation’s fiscal problems?
Does the US Now Have a Casino Economy? Yes and No:
There is a frenetic, sweaty-palm feel to the US economy lately. Markets are looking frothy and consumers are anxious, and meanwhile the gambling and stock markets are converging as people bet on all sorts of strange assets and events.
AI Is Writing Performance Reviews. What Could Go Wrong?
JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s decision to let managers use artificial intelligence to help write performance reviews stands to bring relief to one of bosses’ most dreaded annual tasks. It also raises questions as to whether bot-written reviews will make the process better or worse, especially for employees seeking meaningful feedback.
A Quiet Wall Street Force Fueled $17 Trillion Alternatives Boom
A small circle of investment consultants played a central role in the multi-trillion-dollar push into private markets, steering US pension funds toward private equity, real estate and hedge funds, according to a new study.
The Case for AI Is (Finally) Showing Up in Earnings
The artificial-intelligence boom is raging, fueled by a mad dash to add computing capacity. Tech giants are funneling billions of dollars to construction companies and industrial suppliers of equipment and power to build the vast data centers that the technology requires.
Jeffrey Gundlach Warns of ‘Garbage Lending’ as Private Credit Booms
In markets awash in “garbage lending” and unhealthy valuations, Jeffrey Gundlach is keeping his strategy simple: load up on cash and stay away from private credit.
Watch for This Toxic Trifecta Before the Next Financial Meltdown
Bankruptcies are a routine event for companies relying on large amounts of high-yield debt for their capital. Investors reserve much of the high income they receive in good times for the inevitable losses in bad times.
Bitcoin’s Bear Market Deepens as ETF Investors Yank $870 Million
Bitcoin fell below $95,000 for the first time in about six months as a bout of risk aversion sweeping across markets saw investors pull nearly $900 million from funds investing in the token.
Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson on Contrarian Calls And Conviction
Mike Wilson was uneasy, just as he likes it. It was April, and President Donald Trump’s trade war had roiled financial markets, making Morgan Stanley’s chief US equity strategist a sought-after TV guest.
Blackstone Hires Ex-Morgan Stanley Rainmaker Franck Petitgas
Blackstone Inc. has appointed former Morgan Stanley rainmaker Franck Petitgas to a top role in Europe as it prepares to invest $500 billion there over the next 10 years.
What Our Michael Burry Obsession Says About Us
Imagine I get extremely rich like Michael Burry on a contrarian short position. I’d immediately cash in my chips (but I wouldn’t tell anyone I was “semi-retiring” from the game).
Berkshire Hathaway Raises ¥210.1 Billion From Multi-Tranche Bond Sale
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. sold ¥210.1 billion ($1.4 billion) of yen-denominated bonds on Friday at a spread which was lower compared with its previous deal as global investors flock to Japan.
China’s Investment Crash Puzzles Economists and Threatens Growth
China’s collapsing investment is as unprecedented as it is hard to explain. A plunge estimated at more than 11% in October from a year earlier was the worst single-month performance since the initial Covid lockdowns at the start of 2020, official data showed on Friday.
Buffett’s Latest Letter Subtweets His Fellow Billionaires
There’s one thing Warren Buffett seems to credit for his success more than anything else: luck. He’s says he’s lucky to have spent most of his life in Omaha, raising a family and building a business smack in the middle of the country.
‘Cannibalization’ Fears Haunt Stockpickers Seeking ETF Lifeline
Investors are pouring money into active ETFs, but a closer look reveals a migration of assets into the wrapper instead of a resurgence in alpha-chasing bets.
US Stocks Slide as Government Reopens With Data Still Delayed
US equities dropped at the open, poised to snap a four-session winning streak, as investors continue to grapple with a lack of US economic data despite the end of the government shutdown.
AI Gains for Big Banks Pose a Competition Headache
Despite these successes, many finance executives struggle to quantify the actual return on AI, as the required spending on development, data clean-up, and rigorous testing is immense and mostly paid upfront.
This Is Why You Should Treat the Stock Rally With Skepticism
Stocks in the US seem unstoppable but investors shouldn’t be complacent because there are a number of markers suggesting the rally is more fragile than it seems.
An AI Bubble? The Bond Market Is Not Seeing One
As a debt-fueled AI investment boom takes off, especially in cloud and data centers, many are worried that a tech bubble is forming in the global economy.
Nuclear Startup Fermi Invokes Manhattan Project in AI Race
US efforts to develop artificial intelligence systems and the nuclear-energy infrastructure needed to power them are comparable to the World War II initiative to build the first atomic bomb, according to Fermi Inc., a power-plant developer planning a massive data-center campus in Texas.
Investors Now See Some Corporate Bonds as Safer Bets Than Government Debt
Investors are increasingly viewing bonds from large corporations like Microsoft and Siemens as safer than the sovereign debt of their home governments, a conclusion driven by a sharp contrast in fiscal management.
CEOs Sound Least Worried About an Economic Slowdown Since 2007
Company executives are sounding remarkably upbeat about the economy this earnings season, even as trade tensions linger and stock valuations look stretched.
‘Total Portfolio Approach’ Is Shaking Up How Trillions Get Managed
For decades, these institutional allocators took roughly the same approach to managing the vast piles of cash under their control: They diversified by divvying up the money across asset classes — for example 40% in stocks, 40% bonds and 20% alternatives — then stuck with it by rebalancing now and again when things got out of whack.
The AI Bubble Is Ignoring Michael Burry’s Fears
Costing tens of thousands of dollars each, Nvidia Corp.’s pioneering AI chips make up a hefty chunk of the $400 billion that Big Tech plans to invest this year — a bill expected to hit $3 trillion by 2029.
A 50-Year Mortgage? It’s Not a Terrible Idea
First, it would mean lower monthly payments, unless interest rates rise a lot. Yes, buyers who stay in their home for 50 years and pay off their mortgage over that time will pay much more in interest than they would have with a 30-year mortgage.
Dollar Carry Trades Set to Trounce World’s Booming Stock Markets
he dollar is regaining its crown as one of the world’s most appealing assets, defying talk of a “Sell America” trade that had raised troubling questions about the outlook for the global reserve currency.
Nasdaq Is ‘Staffing Up’ Ahead of ETF Share-Class Listing Deluge
In anticipation, Nasdaq is looking to add not only in the exchange-traded product group in the coming weeks, but also in the legal and compliance side, according to Giang Bui, head of US equities and exchange-traded products. The exchange hired Kristian D’Agostino as senior director of ETFs last week.
Apple’s Restraint Finds Fans as AI Spending Faces Scrutiny
The thesis is simple. Apple will benefit as it taps other companies’ models to deliver AI features to its millions of customers while avoiding much of the heavy spending required to develop its own capabilities, which is what many of its megacap peers are doing.
SoftBank Sells Nvidia Stake for $5.8 Billion to Fund AI Bets
SoftBank Group Corp. sold its entire stake in Nvidia Corp. for $5.83 billion to help bankroll AI investments, even as investors question the amount of capital pouring into a technology with uncertain returns.
In Defense of Property Taxes (I Know, I Know)
Getting rid of property taxes is a terrible idea. They are among the most economically efficient of taxes, meaning they don’t weigh on economic growth in the way that other taxes can.
Morgan Stanley Starts Research Product Focused on Private Firms
Morgan Stanley launched a dedicated research product covering private companies, joining rivals including JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Citigroup Inc. as investor interest in unlisted startups grows.
Want to Buy a Home? It’s OK to Wait Till You’re 40
If owning a home is still the American dream, then it is increasingly out of reach for many young Americans. The average age of a first-time homebuyer is now 40, up from 33 just a few years ago and 29 in 1981.
Nuclear Startup Backed by Luckey, Lockheed Raises $130 Million
Anduril Industries Inc. founder Palmer Luckey, Lockheed Martin Corp., Palantir Technology Inc.’s Shyam Sankar and other investors are putting $130 million into Valar Atomics, a nuclear startup that’s aiming to build thousands of advanced nuclear fission reactors within a decade.
What Will Trump Buy Next? Hunt Is On for White House Stock Picks
Adam Giddens used to mainly rely on screening services and social-media buzz when looking for stocks to buy. Lately, though, he’s turned his attention to a different kind of influencer: Donald Trump.
Pfizer Wins Obesity Drug Prize, With Trump Administration Assist
Pfizer Inc. Chief Executive Albert Bourla had long searched for an obesity drug to make up for dwindling sales of the pharma company’s aging blockbusters. Late Friday, after a dramatic bidding war, he learned he’d finally claimed his prize.
Boeing’s $1.1 Billion Crash Settlement Is a Second Chance
A sad chapter in Boeing Co.’s history closed on Thursday when a federal judge approved a non-prosecution agreement with the Department of Justice that drops criminal charges against the company for failures of its aircraft design and manufacturing process that led to two deadly crashes and an inflight accident that by miracle didn’t kill anyone.
AI Is Waging War on White-Collar Jobs. It Won’t End Well
In October 1996, at the last party conference before the election that would make him UK prime minister, Tony Blair tried to define the essence of New Labour. He started off by contrasting his party with the dying Conservative government, before summarizing his three priorities for power.
Keeping $23 Trillion in Private Assets Dark Is Asking for Trouble
This lack of transparency around private assets has helped the industry grow and innovate; it has also created a rapidly expanding multi-trillion-dollar black box that could pose systemic risks.
Everywhere All at Once Makes India a Safe AI Bet
Everyone is looking for the next big AI bet. They’re searching for energy-rich places that can run data centers cheaply, for bottlenecks in the semiconductor supply chain that will earn massive profits, or for companies that might own the next breakout algorithm.
AI Is Eating All the Earnings
For investors, a concentrated portfolio of equity-market winners tends to work just fine — until it doesn’t. At the moment, the S&P 500 is a case in point: Its earnings remain both spectacular and spectacularly concentrated around the artificial intelligence story.
The Fed’s New Patience Recognizes Reality
Investors’ certainty that the Federal Reserve would follow its recent interest-rate cut with another in December has evaporated.
Polymarket Volume Inflated by ‘Artificial’ Activity, Study Finds
The volume of activity on Polymarket, one of the most popular prediction markets, has been significantly inflated by so-called wash trading in which users rapidly buy and sell the same contracts, according to a new study by Columbia University researchers.
The Fed’s Wait-and-See Approach to AI Can’t Last
Financial markets are obsessed with AI, and the broader public is aware of its looming impact on jobs and wages. Yet for the Federal Reserve, the concern has barely registered.
Finally, an AI Device I Don’t Immediately Despise
Something remarkable happened the other day: I tried an AI device I didn’t instinctively loathe. It was a smart ring, created by two former Meta Platforms Inc. employees, that finally met some of the key criteria I think about when it comes to wearable tech and artificial intelligence, an intersection already fraught with failure and no shortage of justifiable anger.
Buffett and Barclays Market Indicators Send Warning to Stock Bulls
The US stock market has roared past every caution sign on its way to a dizzying 36% surge since the April lows. It’s now staring down one favored by investing legend Warren Buffett.
AstraZeneca Profit Beats Estimates on Cancer, Diabetes Drugs
AstraZeneca Plc’s profit rose more than analysts anticipated last quarter, buoyed by demand for its blockbuster cancer and diabetes drugs.
A Wistful Farewell to Warren Buffett’s Annual Letters
Innovation and influence are very distinct phenomena. Bob Dylan, for instance, didn’t invent folk music: He borrowed extensively from Woody Guthrie, Pete Seeger and others in the folk revival movement of the fifties and sixties, yet he became far more influential than any of them.
Private Equity Must Sell More Assets — at Whatever Price
The rebirth of private equity dealmaking has been supposedly just around the corner for well over a year. But even as investment bankers cheer a rush of mergers & acquisitions and the reopening of the market for initial public offerings, many financial sponsors are still struggling to catch the same wave.
How the Fed Can Change the K-Shaped Economy
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell agrees that there’s probably something to the claims of a K-shaped economy. But at last week’s press conference, he failed to note how the Fed has helped to create it — and the implications it has for monetary policy.
Palantir’s Alex Karp Is Stealing From Musk’s Playbook
There can be only one Highlander, but Palantir’s Alex Karp shows there can be multiple highly paid, outspoken chief executive officers of richly valued tech companies with cult followings and unsettling stores of political power. That still doesn’t guarantee it’s a durable model for success.
Meta Slumps on AI Spending, Echoing 2022 Metaverse Rout
The huge checks Meta Platforms Inc. is writing to support its artificial intelligence ambitions are reminding some investors of the massive metaverse outlays that crippled the stock just a few years ago.
US to Keep Note, Bond Sales Steady for at Least Several Quarters
The US Treasury indicated it’s not looking to boost sales of notes and bonds until well into next year, in a decision that will see the government increasingly rely on bills to fund the budget deficit.
Crypto’s Big-Money Backers Hit Hard as Stock Premiums Plunge
The trade was simple — and worked until it didn’t. Wrap crypto in a stock ticker. Call it innovation. Ride the wave.
Amazon’s Layoffs Show How AI Is Coming for India
Amazon.com Inc.’s latest global layoffs should come as a singular warning to India. For policymakers dealing with the world’s largest youth population, AI suddenly poses a very real risk to jobs, wages, and a white-collar future.
Yes, the Best Investment Bankers Are Worth Paying For
Recent dealmaking by OpenAI appears to raise an awkward question for mergers and acquisitions advisers: What value do you add?
Citigroup’s Gold Bullion Plan Shows High Prices Are Here to Stay
Nothing says gold is hot quite like a story that big US banks are considering getting back into the business of holding other people’s bullion.
Amazon Inks $38 Billion Deal With OpenAI For Nvidia Chips
Adding AWS as a key cloud provider can ease some pressure for OpenAI, especially as it continues to farm out more contracts to neocloud providers like CoreWeave, which operates at a much smaller scale than AWS.
The Shift to Shorter-Dated US Debt Is Only Getting Started
Investors are bracing for Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to lean more toward shorter maturities in the government’s funding mix to keep down long-term yields amid a mounting debt burden.
Gold Holds Near $4,000 as Traders Weigh US-China Trade Truce
Gold steadied near $4,000 an ounce as traders weighed a US-China trade truce that failed to quash concerns about long-term competition between the world’s two largest economies.
JPMorgan Leads $90 Million Investment in Texas Stock Exchange
JPMorgan Chase & Co. is leading a group that’s investing about $90 million in a second round of financing for the Texas Stock Exchange, giving a boost to the Dallas-based upstart as it angles for a piece of a market dominated by Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange.
Trump Pushes for a US-Led Digital Economy That’s Free of Tariffs
Tucked into President Donald Trump’s trade deals formalizing higher tariffs on goods from Asia this week are provisions for a global economic frontier the US wants to stay free of protectionism: digital commerce.
Novo, Pfizer Square Off Over Metsera in Obesity-Drug Tussle
Novo Nordisk A/S made an unsolicited bid for US biotech firm Metsera Inc., sparking a heated battle with Pfizer Inc. to get their hands on weight-loss treatments that both drugmakers want in order to regain lost ground in the booming market.
Rising Debt, Stock Valuations: These Charts Haunt Wall Street
US stocks are hovering near all-time highs, buoyed by the prospect of cooling trade tensions between the US and China as corporate America largely brushes off tariff pressures. But that doesn’t mean that Wall Street professionals will be sleeping easy this Halloween.
JPMorgan AM Sees Long Bond Revival as Supply Glut Ebbs
Long-dated bonds are looking more attractive as governments and central banks take steps to curb the glut in that segment of the market, according to JPMorgan Asset Management.
Amazon’s Cloud Unit Posts Fastest Growth Since 2022 on AI Pus
Amazon.com Inc.’s cloud unit posted the strongest growth rate in almost three years, reassuring investors who were concerned that the largest seller of rented computing power was losing ground to rivals. The shares surged.
Meta Defies AI Spending Gloom With Its Record-Breaking Bond Sale
Meta Platforms Inc. found record-shattering demand for its bond sale on Thursday even as its shares plunged, in a sign that bond investors are looking past any concerns about its artificial-intelligence spending plans.
Euro-Zone Inflation Dips Closer to 2% as ECB Holds Rates
Euro-area inflation eased slightly but stayed above 2%, backing the European Central Bank’s decision to keep borrowing costs where they are.
AI-Led Investments Are Driving US Economic Growth
There’s no official read on how fast the US economy grew last quarter, thanks to the government shutdown. But almost everyone reckons it was a healthy pace — and that’s largely thanks to AI.
Forget Gold. Aluminum Is the Real Metal of the Moment.
It lacks the effervescence of copper and the geopolitical allure of rare earths – yet aluminum is the metal of the moment. Key to modern life and everywhere in the global economy, it’s entering a make-or-break phase: Either the world is sleepwalking into a supply crisis or further into the hands of China. Or, more worryingly, both.
Trump-Xi Truce Buys Time in Broader Fight for Dominance and Leverage
US President Donald Trump emerged from his meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping beaming, labeling the conversation “truly great.”
Treasuries Slump as Powell Upends Market Bets on December Cut
Treasuries fell the most in nearly five months after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell cast doubt on a December interest-rate cut, even as a sagging labor market prompted policymakers to bring down borrowing costs Wednesday.
Watch These Five AI Signals Closely This Week
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s insistence this week that he did not “believe we’re in an AI bubble” is all well and good when you’re the man selling the finest shovels for the artificial-intelligence boom. But what of the companies that are expected to turn all that AI building into gold?
The Fed Must Pair the End of QT With a Pause in Rate Cuts
It’s important to remember that QT, at least in the current context, was never really a proactive policy. Rather, it’s the undoing of a policy — quantitative easing — that the Fed used to support markets and the economy during the Covid-19 pandemic.
Lazard Steps Into $450 Billion EM ETF Arena in Stock-Picking Bet
Lazard Asset Management is betting the newfound appetite for emerging-market assets is only just starting, launching its first-ever exchange-traded fund focused on the region as investors look for ways to ride a rebound in international markets.
Is the Fed’s Inflation Target Still 2%?
At the very least, whether to cut the policy rate today is a close call for a Fed committed to a 2% goal — a fact that’s sharply at odds with investors’ near-certainty that it will happen.
Nvidia Becomes First $5 Trillion Firm as AI Rally Picks Up Steam
Nvidia Corp. achieved a historic $5 trillion market capitalization on Wednesday as Chief Executive Officer Jensen Huang’s spree of deals catapults the artificial intelligence frenzy to new heights.
OpenAI and Microsoft Are Avoiding a Messy Breakup
By far the most finicky part of OpenAI’s necessary conversion into a for-profit company was reconciling its convoluted partnership with Microsoft Corp. With the year-end deadline fast approaching, they have made a deal both sides can live with for now, though it sets out the timeline for an eventual split.
The Fed’s $6 Trillion Balance Sheet Is About Right
The US Federal Reserve will soon face a crucial decision: What to do with the vast portfolio of securities it has amassed in its efforts to manage the economy?
China-US Trade Hopes Brings Millions Into Vanguard’s Emerging Markets ETF
Investors plowed cash into exchange-traded funds that buy China stocks last week amid optimism that it was nearing a trade deal with the US ahead of an upcoming meeting between the two countries’ respective leaders.
Stock Bulls See S&P 500 Rising Above 7,000 as Momentum Builds
Equity bulls are lining up to wager the S&P 500 will surge past 7,000 now that it looks as if a seasonal bout of volatility has passed.
The Fed Should Pause in Cutting Interest Rates
Investors expect the Federal Reserve to cut its policy rate on Oct. 29, and once more by the end of the year. Right now, amid enormous uncertainty about where the economy is headed, the case for cutting is weak. The Fed would be wiser to pause.
This is How the AI Stock Boom Plays Out
In the years after the internet stock boom-and-bust of the late 1990s and early 2000s, financial economists searched for more satisfying explanations of what had happened than “investors went crazy.”
Wall Street Shrugs Off Credit Worries Even as More Cracks Emerge
Top executives from across Wall Street dismissed fears of a brewing credit crisis — even as some of the industry’s biggest names set aside hundreds of millions more to cover potential losses.
US Signs $80 Billion Pact to Boost Nuclear in AI Drive
The US government agreed a $80 billion deal with Westinghouse Electric Co. to build large-scale nuclear reactors, the latest push to meet rising demand for electricity from artificial intelligence.
UBS Leaving Switzerland is Edging Closer to Reality
Money can’t buy you love and right now no one knows that better than UBS Group AG. Since the Swiss bank helpfully rescued its cockroach-riddled rival Credit Suisse in a state-brokered emergency takeover, its reward has been government plans to whack it with punishing new capital rules and a lagging stock price.
Trian Seeks Janus Henderson Buyout With General Catalyst
Trian and General Catalyst are looking to drive the next phase of growth at the firm with the help of AI, people familiar with the matter said, asking not to be identified discussing confidential information.
Good-But-Not-Great Inflation Data Should Keep the Fed Cautious
The latest inflation data was softer than anticipated and has locked in expectations for a couple of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts to close out 2025. But inflation is far from dead, and the labor market is far from collapsing — policymakers would be wise to proceed cautiously.
AI Bubble? The Real Danger Is Tight Credit Spreads
The question of the moment in markets is whether we are in an AI bubble, as stocks seem awfully expensive amid hopes that artificial intelligence will transform the economy. But there is another curiosity that is far more concerning: low credit spreads. That suggests a low-risk environment — which describes precisely nothing about this market.
Here Are the Key US-China Issues to Watch in Trump-Xi Summit
A meeting Thursday between Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping is set to be one of the key diplomatic events of the year, with the US-China economic relationship at stake following multiple rounds of escalating tensions and temporary truces.
Stocks Jump on Trade Progress to Kick Off Big Fed, Earnings Week
US stocks gained early Monday as the US and China homed in on a trade deal during a crucial week on Wall Street marked by Big Tech earnings and a Federal Reserve interest-rate decision.
Russia’s Oil Business Takes a Hit From Fight Between Top Traders
A rivalry at the heart of Russia's oil trade is threatening the crucial operations the Kremlin relies on to fund its war in Ukraine, just as the US cranks up the pressure on Moscow.
Jane Fraser Has Just Secured the Citigroup Throne
Jane Fraser’s elevation to chair as well as chief executive officer of Citigroup Inc. is a reward for progress and a bulwark against potential pretenders to her throne. Her restructuring of the lumbering and longtime dysfunctional beast that is the US’s third-largest bank by assets is taking time and is far from done.
US Retirees Will Get 2.8% Increase in 2026 Social Security Checks
Monthly checks for nearly 71 million Americans receiving Social Security benefits will increase by 2.8% next year, a slightly larger adjustment than seen in 2025.
JPMorgan Hires BofA’s Kevin Brunner as Global Chair of M&A
JPMorgan Chase & Co. has hired veteran technology dealmaker Kevin Brunner from Bank of America Corp. as a global chair of investment banking and mergers and acquisitions.
Intel Faces High Earnings Bar as Stock Soars and Cash Pours In
Investors will be looking beyond the bottom line in chipmaker Intel Corp.’s third-quarter earnings after a wave of investments from the White House, Nvidia Corp. and Softbank Group Corp. sent the stock soaring 86% in less than three months.
Vanguard, Index Investing’s High Priest, Makes Big Bet on Active
For half a century, Vanguard has been the high priest of passive investing. Its low-cost index funds have reshaped finance, humbled stockpickers, and made the Pennsylvania-based firm an $11.6 trillion behemoth.
Amazon’s AWS Shows Signs of Weakness as Competitors Charge Ahead
It’s no exaggeration to say Amazon.com Inc. invented the cloud business. Amazon Web Services took the corporate data center apart and split it into pieces, building pay-as-you go services delivered with remarkable speed and consistency.
US CPI Rises Less Than Expected, Keeping Fed on Track to Cut
The core consumer price index, excluding the often volatile food and energy categories, increased 0.2% from August, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data out Friday. That was restrained by the smallest increase in a key measure of housing costs since early 2021.
The Gold FOMO Trade Is Too Late
Gold resembles stocks more than bonds in terms of risk, although stocks have been better performers. Since 1968, gold has been about 20% more volatile than the S&P 500 while trailing it by 2.3 percentage points a year.
China Finds Costly New Way of Boosting Xi’s Global Yuan Push
China is leveraging its position as the world’s largest creditor to help broaden usage of the yuan, offering overseas borrowers the chance to benefit from economically-depressed interest rates at home by ditching the dollar.
Blackstone Profit Surges 48% as ‘Deal Dam’ Begins to Break
The world’s largest alternative asset manager sent the strongest signal yet that dealmaking is coming back. Blackstone Inc.’s distributable earnings surged 48% in the third quarter, fueled by a burst of investment exits from its private equity arm, the firm said Thursday.
OpenAI’s ‘Vibe Lifing’ Browser Won’t Hurt Google
In many respects, one could argue that ChatGPT’s primary function is to help gather user data to train its AI, bringing on a wealth of extra information on browsing habits that it doesn’t have access to now. That makes the product release worth it, even if market share stays minuscule.
Traders Brace for Lower Treasury Yields as Hedging Costs Rise
Bond traders are preparing for Treasury yields to drop further even as the 30-year reached its lowest level in six months on Tuesday.The cost of protection against a bigger decline in yields across the curve is rapidly rising, according to pricing of options wagers.
Tesla Investors Pivot to Dreams of AI Future as EV Sales to Slow
Tesla’s problem is that right now it’s a company that manufactures cars, trucks, solar panels and energy storage systems. Its AI vision is years, if not decades, away from generating sales, much less profits.
The Fed Might Be More Dovish Than Powell Thinks
Granted, the Fed’s monetary policy doesn’t directly determine economic growth. It operates by influencing broader financial conditions, which have eased a lot in the past year. Stock prices have risen, bond yields have declined and the dollar has weakened.
Google Unveils Quantum Computing Breakthrough with Willow Chip
Alphabet Inc.’s Google ran an algorithm on its “Willow” quantum-computing chip that can be repeated on similar platforms and outperform classical supercomputers, a breakthrough it said clears a path for useful applications of quantum technology within five years.
The Optimist’s Case for Mexico
David Arana always had a thing for numbers. That passion took him to MIT to study mathematics and later to New York, where he traded credit derivatives for Deutsche Bank AG.
BlackRock Is Pulling Bitcoin Whales Into Wall Street’s Orbit
A new generation of ETFs is giving the crypto rich a novel way to fold their digital fortunes into the regulated financial system — without selling, and through funds run by big asset managers like BlackRock Inc.
Vanguard Adds $1.4 Trillion S&P Funds to Investor Proxy Program
Vanguard Group is expanding its proxy voting program — designed to give shareholders a greater say on corporate resolutions at portfolio companies — to add the investment giant’s oldest index fund.
AI Boom Transforms Utilities From Haven to Soaring Growth Stocks
The artificial intelligence trade that has driven the S&P 500 Index to one record after another over the past few years is transforming traditionally sleepy utilities stocks into booming growth plays. Since the end of 2023, the utilities sector is up 44%, making it the third best-performing group in the S&P 500.
Morgan Stanley Says Sell Dollars in ‘Goldilocks’ Scenarios
Investors looking to profit from a “Goldilocks” environment where US stocks rally but Treasury market losses are contained should short the dollar, according to a new study published by Morgan Stanley.
Gold’s Historic Rise Comes With a Bonus for Emerging Markets
A relentless surge in the price of gold is delivering windfalls across emerging markets, boosting investor confidence in countries that mine and buy the metal.
Glass Half-Full Economy Has Rarely Looked So Good
Seldom has the middling been the cause of so much relief. Six months after the White House unveiled steep tariffs, the global economy has held up well — mainly by outperforming some doleful projections. There's been no recession. Forecasts have even been revised up a touch.
Apple Hits First Record of 2025 as iPhone Optimism Fuels Rebound
Apple Inc. shares hit their first record of 2025 on Monday after Loop Capital upgraded the stock to buy from hold, becoming the latest firm to cite positive iPhone demand trends.
Treasuries Rally Drives Home Haven Role as Credit Worries Swirl
All it took was a classic bout of haven buying to wake up a slumbering Treasuries market and drive benchmark yields to the lowest in months.
Top Goldman Banker Marsh, 49, to Leave After Nearly 20 Years
Prior to his most recent role, Marsh held several leadership positions including as head of the EMEA financing group, global co-head of credit finance and global co-head of the alternative capital solutions unit. He became a partner at Goldman in 2014 after joining the bank in 2006.
Gold’s ‘Semi-Rational’ Run Gives Wall Street Vertigo
Wall Street has finally capitulated to gold’s record-breaking run.
The S&P 500 Pop is Back From the Dead
Americans place a premium on elite and exclusive institutions. Many of us want to get into top-tier universities, pledge storied fraternities and, upon graduation, attain membership at Soho House.
Metals Traders Are Enjoying Their Most Profitable Year on Record
The world’s metal traders are enjoying their most profitable ever year, after a series of supply upheavals propelled prices toward record highs and drove huge shifts in metal moving across the globe.
The Era of the Illiquid Millionaire Is Here
Being a millionaire isn’t what it used to be. This isn’t a lament, it’s a fact: As Bloomberg News reported last week, almost one-fifth of US households have a net worth of more than $1 million. Fully one-third of them have gained that status since 2017.
Bitcoin Extends Slide as $600 Billion Erased Since Crypto Crash
After a week-long rout that erased hundreds of billions in digital-asset value, Bitcoin has again failed to live up to its billing as a safe harbor asset.
Man Group Assets Soar to a Record $214 Billion
Man Group Plc, the world’s largest publicly traded hedge fund, saw its assets soar to a record in the three months through September, as clients poured more money into long-only products and performance improved.
Brazil Can Help Beat China at Its Rare-Earths Game
In 1967, a helicopter from United States Steel Corp. carrying a team of geologists made an accidental discovery after landing in a remote corner of the Amazon rainforest: a giant iron-ore deposit that would become Carajás, one of the world’s richest mineral regions.
The Great Debasement Trade Is Mostly Just Hype
To start from the top, the dollar’s doing fine. Having appreciated 3% in the past month, it remains above its 40-year average. It still commands the lion’s share of currency trading and global central bank reserves, even if international investors are hedging more exposure.
Morgan Stanley Trades Like an All-Weather Bank
Bank of America Corp. and Morgan Stanley exposed a stock market puzzle on Wednesday. Both reported record third-quarter earnings following roaring results from rivals the day before.
Intel, AMD Equity Giveaways Send Stocks Soaring Despite Dilution
Issuing new shares is usually considered a recipe for souring sentiment as stockholders get diluted. But in this go-go artificial intelligence-crazed market, that logic has been turned upside down.
Schwab’s New Assets Rise 48% on Demand From Retail Investors
Charles Schwab Corp. reported third-quarter earnings that beat estimates as the firm benefited from a surge in retail investing activity.
Most-Sold Emerging Market Is Gripped by a Profit Crunch
In just two years, India has gone from being the best-loved emerging market to the most sold, and now investors are bracing themselves for yet another quarter of disappointing corporate earnings.
Big Banks are on Fire. Why is the Fed Eyeing More Fuel?
Big banks are flying. Traders and dealmakers at Citigroup Inc., Goldman Sachs Group Inc., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Wells Fargo & Co. enjoyed a roaring third quarter while lending grew, too.
Five Economic Lessons From a Nobel Winner This Year
As the world faces a future of lower growth, there is a temptation among policymakers to have the government take a more active role in the economy. Policy certainly has a role to play. But all governments should realize that abundance doesn’t come from better planning.
ETF Inflows Smash $1 Trillion Mark in Fastest Run on Record
Every market jolt this year — from April’s tariff scare to September’s tech pullback — has met the same reflex on Wall Street: more ETF buying. That collective impulse has now pushed US exchange-traded fund inflows past $1 trillion, the fastest asset haul the industry has ever seen.
Three Exaggerations About the US Economy Right Now
Sometimes there are economic narratives that don’t quite deserve a debunking — they have more than a kernel of truth to them — but rather demand an appropriate level of skepticism. Three such stories are widespread today.
Funds Chase New Private Credit Money in Emerging Market Bet
Asset managers are looking to raise new private credit funds aimed at emerging markets to capitalize on an explosion of financing deals in the sector this year.
Government Debt is a Global Problem
Finance ministers and central bankers, gathering in Washington for the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund, face a global trading system in disarray, uncertainty over the dollar’s standing and the likely course of interest rates, and financial markets that are (for now) unnervingly complacent.
The US Needs to Hasten Its Rare-Earth Independence
US manufacturing may now be at its most vulnerable after decades of ceding crucial mining and production activities to China in the pursuit of low costs and higher company profits, and robust government support will be needed to narrow the time for securing the manufacturing supply chain.
This Market Is Nothing Like the Dot-Com Bubble
A lot of people are watching this meteoric US stock market with amazement as it shakes off one worry after another – slowing labor market, sagging consumer sentiment, continuing trade uncertainty, geopolitical tensions and now a US government shutdown – on its way to new record highs.
China Flexes Superpower Status Using Rare Earths in Global Supply Chain Grab
China’s sweeping new restrictions on rare earth exports mark its first major effort to police the global flow of critical minerals it dominates, using the same playbook that allows the US to wield power far beyond its shores.
JPMorgan to Plow $1.5 Trillion Into US Security Industries
JPMorgan Chase & Co. vowed to funnel $1.5 trillion into industries that bolster US economic security and resiliency over the next 10 years — an initiative that will invest billions of dollars in companies and hire bankers and other professionals
BlackRock Hauls in $205 Billion as Private Assets Accelerate
BlackRock Inc. pulled in $205 billion of client money in the third quarter as the world’s largest fund manager expanded its footprint in private credit and alternative assets.
Wall Street Warns S&P 500 Dip Buyers of More Turbulence Ahead
Wall Street strategists have a warning for dip buyers tempted by Friday’s rout in US stocks: There could be more pain ahead, even as China and the United States are signaling openness to trade talks.
A Zombie Economy Could be America’s Future
Over the next decade, the US economy will face two big challenges: higher interest rates and AI-generated disruption. Each invites the same solution: policies to keep rates below their market level.
European Giants Are Trying a Radical Path to Stock Market Glory
The latest moves by European companies to list in the US are more radical than meets the eye. AstraZeneca Plc and TotalEnergies SE want to upgrade their existing US equity offering to stock from from quasi stock — a well-trodden path. But as ever, the devil is in the detail.
Corporate Blowups are Rattling Investors in Emerging Markets
Corporate bond routs from Sao Paulo to Istanbul are signaling to investors that the standout run in emerging markets may be starting to show some cracks.
Oracle Event is Chance to Show $400 Billion Stock Rally Has Legs
Oracle Corp. will get a chance this week to reassure investors that a rally, which has added roughly $400 billion in market value this year, is on a stable footing.
What’s the Difference Between the NYSE and Polymarket Anyway?
Polymarket is a rational system, with efficiency, security and incentives designed into the platform. But it may still see unanticipated problems.
AI Jobs Shock Is Coming and Firms Aren’t Ready, Klarna CEO Says
From technology firms to translators, the world has not faced up to the consequences of artificial intelligence wiping out swathes of jobs, according to one of AI’s biggest cheerleaders in finance.
Pfizer's Deal on Drug Prices Gets Closer to the Right Idea
American taxpayers spend billions of dollars annually supporting pharmaceutical development. Yet the US continues to pay more for medicine than any other country in the world.
The Big Dollar Short Is Becoming a Pain Trade for Investors
Betting against the dollar has been the dominant trade this year in the $9.6 trillion-a-day foreign-exchange market, but the wager is starting to stumble.
The Shutdown Exposes the Need to Privatize Air Traffic Control
The government shutdown is already beginning to impact air travel. Alarm bells are ringing about the air traffic controllers who are not being paid yet are expected to continue working. While members of Congress bicker, the snarls at airports and potential safety issues are coming like a downhill train that’s lost its brakes.
Treasuries Rise on Signs Government Shutdown Is Hurting Economy
Treasuries advanced Friday as traders reacted to evidence the US government shutdown may be curtailing economic activity.
Microsoft Forecasts Show Data Center Crunch Persisting Into 2026
Microsoft Corp.’s data-center crunch will continue for longer than the company has previously outlined, underscoring the software giant’s struggles to keep up with cloud demand.
Can an Airline Win by Going Small? Absolutely
In a tough US market for domestic flying that has put low-cost airlines on the ropes, one startup is rapidly growing revenue by tapping underserved markets through direct flights using smaller aircraft with business-class and basic seating.
AI Can Transform the Economy and Still Be a Bubble
How AI evolves is perhaps the biggest question looming over the future of both the stock market and the broader economy. The “magnificent seven” tech companies, all with big bets on AI, account for more than one third of the S&P 500 Index’s market capitalization, up from about a fifth at the end of 2022.
US Stablecoin Dream Is a Nightmare for China
A decade ago, stablecoins were conceived as a bridge for speculators to travel between risky digital assets like Bitcoin and the less turbulent world of fiat money. That is changing fast. In the hands of a crypto-loving Trump administration, these dollar clones are shaping up as a highway that will carry America’s influence around the world.
Smart AI Investing Isn’t About Chasing the Big One
How AI will reshape our lives is clouded with uncertainty. Researchers are debating what it means to achieve artificial general intelligence, or AGI, or whether the neural-network systems that drive chatbots like ChatGPT can lead us to that big prize.
Risky Bank Debt Is Rationally Exuberant
One obvious tweety bird is the riskiest type of bank debt, known as perpetual additional tier one bonds. These securities allow regulators to wipe out investors if a bank fails, but to compensate they offer the highest yields for lending to financial firms.
Gold Isn’t the Warning Ken Griffin Worries About
In the history of Wall Street, few have been as successful as Ken Griffin. Over the past three decades, he has built his Citadel hedge fund into a global financial behemoth, helping Griffin accumulate a personal net worth of about $48 billion. So when he makes a market call, it’s worth paying attention.
US Banks Are Taking Aim at a European Weak Spot
All’s fair in love and politics — and international bank capital rules. US financial watchdogs are making mischief with European standards that give lenders relief by treating the euro zone as a single domestic market.
Best Evidence Yet That the Dollar Isn’t Dead
To say the roof hasn’t caved in on the dollar is an understatement. Despite the doomsaying that was pervasive after the White House imposed sweeping tariffs, the greenback is as entrenched in the cogs of global finance as ever. If anything, its use is more pervasive.
The AI Spending Boom Is Massive But Not Unprecedented
The boom in capital expenditures related to generative artificial intelligence is generating lots of questions about whether it is sustainable.
Investors Place Bets on Trump Team’s Next Investment Target
First it was a $400-million stake in MP Materials Corp., a little-known miner of rare-earth materials.
S&P 500’s Torrid Rally Seen Having ‘More Fuel Left’ From AI, Fed
The rip-roaring rebound in US stocks from the brink of a bear market six months ago will go down in history for its speed and resilience. And bulls expecting the good times to continue have history on their side.
AI Power Boom Turns Nuclear Stocks Into the Market’s New Obsession
Nano Nuclear Energy Inc. has no revenue, no license from the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission and no operating power plant. Yet investors have driven its valuation past $2.3 billion, a figure that may be built more on optimism than fundamentals.
Reminder: Gold Is Not a Risk-Free Asset
The jaw-dropping spike in gold prices is a reminder of what primal creatures we humans are — especially the species among us known as active traders. But the surge should also remind us of the importance of calling on the more evolved parts of our brain.
OpenAI Launches Into Its Boring Is Beautiful Phase
Like having the hottest A-lister on your arm, being a company merely associated with the OpenAI hype machine can send your street cred soaring these days.
Wall Street Tests Regulators’ Risk Appetite With 3x ETF Bids
A trio of money managers want to sell exchange-traded funds that amp up swings in Tesla, Bitcoin and other assets to a rarely seen degree, setting the stage for another test of regulators’ tolerance for ultra-risky offerings.
EM Bond Bonanza Narrows Yield Gap Over Treasuries to 7-Year Low
The extra yield investors demand to own dollar bonds of emerging market sovereigns rather than US Treasuries has shrunk to the least in seven years — and the rally is set to run further.
Gold Steadies Near $4,000 as Investors Weigh US Shutdown, France
Gold steadied as the dollar edged higher, cooling a record-breaking rally that’s been further fueled by the US government shutdown and the political crisis in France.
Dot-Com Fears Rise with Tech Stocks Seeing $100 Billion Swings
Investors are excited about OpenAI’s expansion driving big gains in technology stocks, but a rising number of Wall Street pros fear that the wild pops that add tens of billions of dollars in value in mere minutes are signaling an unhealthy market reminiscent of the dot-com era.
Infrastructure Boom Propels $5.5 Billion Fundraise for Manulife
Rising investor appetite for digital infrastructure, energy and transportation assets boosted fundraising for Manulife Investment Management, which closed its largest-ever infrastructure fund with $5.5 billion.
Wealth Taxes Don’t Work No Matter Where They’re Imposed
Over the next decade, almost every rich country will have to face fiscal reality. All have expanded their welfare state to serve not only the needy but also the middle class, with expensive pensions, health care and worker benefits.
Boeing Said to Prepare to Hike 737 Output as Soon as October
Boeing Co. is guiding suppliers that 737 Max output could reach a 42-jet monthly tempo as soon as this month, according to people familiar with its plans, highlighting growing optimism at the planemaker as it works to win approval for the move from US regulators.
AMD Soars on OpenAI Deal Worth Tens of Billions of Dollars
Advanced Micro Devices Inc. shares surged after the chipmaker signed a deal with OpenAI for AI infrastructure that could generate tens of billions of dollars in new revenue.
AI Data Centers Give Private Credit Its Mojo Back
Private credit managers have proven their prowess in fundraising, but are falling short on dealmaking. With mountains of cash waiting to be deployed, they are latching onto the artificial intelligence data center boom, hoping to stay relevant as banks reclaim their dominant position in corporate lending.
Maybe the Fed Shouldn’t Be Cutting Interest Rates
Should the US Federal Reserve keep cutting interest rates? Markets certainly think it will: Futures prices suggest the federal funds rate will fall to about 3% by the end of 2026, from just above 4% now.
Spotify Might Just Prove That Two CEOs Are Better Than One
Most people buy into the adage that two heads are better than one — except when it comes to the very top of corporations.
The Housing Shortage Is Over (Sort Of)
There’s good news and bad news on the housing front: The buyers’ strike of the past three years is finally working, but the path to better affordability looks painful for many of those trying to sell a home, the construction industry and, ultimately, the US economy.
Buffett Got a Win-Win With Oxy’s $9.7 Billion Chemicals Deal
Over the past six years, Occidental Petroleum Corp. has morphed from being a large oil company with a reputation for discipline to an even larger oil company well on its way to becoming a business school case study in the perils of hubris.
Bezos Says AI Spending Boom Is a Bubble That Will Pay Off
Amazon.com Inc. Chairman Jeff Bezos said that the spending on artificial intelligence resembles an “industrial bubble” that could lead to lost investment but will also make society better off.
Pharma Stocks Eye Best Week in 16 Years as Trump Overhang Eases
Pharmaceutical stocks are poised to cap off their best week in 16 years as a drug-pricing and tariff deal with the US government helped ease an overhang that’s been weighing on the sector for most of the year.
DoubleLine Says Shutdown Adds Fuel to Popular Treasuries Trade
DoubleLine Capital says the popular strategy of betting on a steeper Treasury yield curve has plenty of room to run with the political gridlock in Washington only lending support to the trend.
Stock Bulls Can’t Get Enough of S&P as Rally Enters ‘Manic’ Zone
The louder the alarm bells are blaring about the stock-market rally getting excessive, the more investors appear to be tuning them out.
Vanguard Rivals Finally Get Hands on its Tax-Busting Fund Design
For more than two decades, US money managers have looked on enviously as Vanguard Group reaped the benefits of a unique structure that grafted the advantages of an ETF onto its biggest mutual funds.
Emerging Stocks Jump to 2021 High as AI Frenzy Fuels Tech Rally
Emerging-market equities extended their winning streak for a fourth day, climbing to the highest level since 2021 as artificial intelligence optimism — fueled by a landmark OpenAI share sale — lifted global sentiment.
OpenAI Valuation Soars to $500 Billion, Topping Musk’s SpaceX
OpenAI has completed a deal to help employees sell shares in the company at a $500 billion valuation, propelling the ChatGPT owner past Elon Musk’s SpaceX to become the world’s largest startup.
Boeing’s 737 Replacement Will Be Make-or-Break
A report that Boeing Co. is planning to build a clean-sheet design single-aisle aircraft to replace the 737, an aircraft platform first created in the 1960s, isn’t a surprise, but it does mark a milestone for the company’s recovery.
Tesla’s Soaring Stock Puts Focus on Sales Outlook in Robot Shift
Tesla Inc. shares climbed 33% in September as investors rallied around Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk’s renewed focus on the company. That’s drawing attention to whether the key third-quarter sales figures coming later this week will be strong enough to sustain the momentum.
Amazon Is Overhauling Its Devices to Take on Apple in the AI Era
When Amazon.com Inc. recruited longtime Microsoft Corp. product chief Panos Panay in 2023 to run its devices division, his new colleagues thought the e-commerce giant was preparing to take its consumer gadget line upscale.
JPMorgan's EA Debt Isn't the End for Private Credit
JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s $20 billion debt commitment for the record-breaking buyout of Electronic Arts Inc. is classic leveraged financing, which might seem surprising in a world overrun with private credit.
Warren Buffett Will Decide When It’s Time to Do a Rail Deal
Changing CEOs won’t change the fact that the decision to pursue a merger lies with BNSF and Berkshire. Buffett and his management team are unlikely to be impressed by threats of proxy fights nor shareholder-activist bullies.
The S&P 500 Index is Very Pricey. Adjust, Don’t Flee.
Always intense, the perennial debate over whether equities are too richly valued has become even more fervent of late.
European Stocks Are Set for Best September Gain in Six Years
European stocks were set to wrap up September with the best performance since 2019, as optimism around resilient US economic growth and lower interest rates lifted risk appetite.
US Tariffs Are Testing Modi’s Fiscal Frugality
Sometime in the coming months, the impact of US tariffs will begin to be felt in India — and it will not be pretty.
JPMorgan Files Plans to Put Private Credit Into an ETF Wrapper
JPMorgan Chase & Co. is the latest issuer attempting to fit private credit assets into a retail-friendly exchange-traded fund vehicle.
Don't Take the Federal Reserve's Next Move for Granted
As expected, the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate on Sept. 17 by a quarter of a percentage point. Officials had signaled the move in advance and Chair Jerome Powell explained the reasoning well enough.
The Era of Humanoid Robots is Here. The US Needs Control.
For an industry that’s only just getting started, there’s a lot of hype around humanoid robots.
New York Gets AstraZeneca Stock. UK Keeps Its Soul.
It’s not all bad news for the the UK stock market. AstraZeneca Plc has found a clever way of becoming a US-listed company without going all-American.
The Fed Needs to Keep It Simple
I take Jerome Powell at his word when he says that he and his colleagues at the Federal Reserve are determined to get inflation back to its 2% target.
How to Improve Inflation Targets Without Inciting the Bond Vigilantes
Too little attention was paid at the start of the decade to the likely hangover from a heady cocktail of cutting interest rates close to zero and increased bond buying via quantitative easing — at the same time as governments delivered a bucketload of fiscal stimulus.
US Stocks Edge Higher as Investors Await Key Data on US Economy
US stocks rose on Monday, as investors shrugged off the risks of a US government shutdown and turned their attention to economic data that may offer more insight about the pace of future interest-rate cuts.
The $100 Billion Nvidia-OpenAI Virtuous Circle Has an Ugly Side
Tech builders love a good feedback loop, and Nvidia Corp. and OpenAI have created a $100 billion one this week.
In JPMorgan’s Data Deal With Plaid, the Giants Cement Their Position
Online services have long had to contend with bot traffic, and your banking app is no exception. While most of us log on to our apps an average of two times every three days (at least according to Bank of America Corp. data), electronic intermediaries that pull data on behalf of third-party services are a lot more aggressive.
Foreigners Are Buying US Stocks at Record Pace Despite Trade War
As Donald Trump unleashed his trade war, mused about annexing Canada and generally roiled global sentiment toward the US last spring, worries mounted that foreign buyers would boycott American financial products.
Trump Plans New Tariff Push With 100% Rate on Patented Drugs
President Donald Trump announced a fresh round of tariffs on pharmaceuticals, heavy trucks and furniture, including a 100% duty on patented drugs unless the producer is building a manufacturing plant in the US.
Millions of Americans Are Becoming Economically Invisible
Many people are puzzled about the disconnect between how well the US economy is doing and how badly Americans feel about it.
US Economy Grows at Fastest Pace in Nearly Two Years on Consumer Spending
The US economy grew in the second quarter at the fastest pace in nearly two years as the government revised up its previous estimate of consumer spending.
Wall Street Eyes IPO Trackers as Newly Listed Stocks Top S&P 500
Stock bulls looking for the next hot Wall Street trade are increasingly turning to the busiest corner of the US market this year — initial public offerings.
Goldman Bets on European Revival to Drive Growth Outside the US
A pair of senior Goldman Sachs Group Inc. executives are betting that Europe’s long-awaited revival in infrastructure spending and dealmaking will help power regional growth at the Wall Street bank.
Intel is Seeking an Investment From Apple as Part of Its Comeback Bid
Intel Corp. has approached Apple Inc. about securing an investment in the ailing chipmaker, according to people familiar with the matter, part of efforts to bolster a business that’s now partially owned by the US government.
KKR, Blackstone Make $17 Billion Natural Gas Bet After AI Boost
Investment giants KKR & Co. and Blackstone Inc. are leading a combined $17 billion investment in the natural gas industry, marking a massive push of private funds into a sector helping to quench artificial intelligence firms’ relentless thirst for energy.
Alibaba Shares Soar After Hiking AI Budget Past $50 Billion
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.’s shares surged to their highest in nearly four years after revealing plans to ramp up AI spending past an original $50 billion-plus target, joining tech leaders pledging ever-greater sums toward a global race for technological breakthroughs.
The Fed’s Rate Path Is Too Cautious to Fix Housing
The Federal Reserve has long been able to depend on the housing boost from interest rate cuts juicing the US economy. This time looks different.
‘Frothy and Risky’ Rally in Profitless Tech Grows as Fed Eases
Bets that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting interest rates have fueled a rally in one of the riskiest corners of the technology sector, raising concerns about a potential painful reversal in the stocks.
OpenAI Expands Stargate With Five New Data Center Sites Across US
OpenAI plans to invest roughly $400 billion to develop five new US data center sites in partnership with Oracle Corp. and SoftBank Group Corp., marking the biggest push yet to fulfill an earlier pledge to spend a half-trillion dollars on artificial intelligence infrastructure in the country.
Amazon Is the Next Step in FedEx’s Bold Turnaround
After FedEx Corp. and Amazon.com Inc. went through a noisy divorce in 2019, it was a bit jarring to hear Brie Carere, FedEx’s chief customer officer, welcome back volume from the e-commerce giant with such open arms.
Nvidia, OpenAI Make $100 Billion Deal to Build Data Centers
Nvidia Corp. will invest as much as $100 billion in OpenAI to support new data centers and other artificial intelligence infrastructure, a blockbuster deal that underscores booming demand for AI tools like ChatGPT and the computing power needed to make them run.
Quant Trades Popularized by Ray Dalio Bounce Back With 19% Gain
Risk parity — the investing style popularized by Ray Dalio — is quietly bouncing back.
Morgan Stanley Taps Partner to Offer Crypto to E*Trade Clients
Morgan Stanley is partnering with cryptocurrency infrastructure provider Zerohash to let E*Trade clients trade popular coins beginning in the first half of next year.
Wall Street Strategists Chase S&P 500 Like Few Times in History
Sell-side strategists, who have rushed to upgrade their stock targets ever since the market rebounded from its early-year slide, keep underestimating the rally’s strength.
After 15% Gain, Traders See Fed Cuts Powering EM Bond Rally
Money managers and strategists are betting that the Federal Reserve’s shift back to cutting interest rates will pour fuel on the biggest emerging-market bond rally in years.
S&P 500 Rally Pauses After 27 Records This Year
A $15 trillion rally in US stocks from April lows took a breather at the start of a week that will bring a handful of Federal Reserve speakers and a key inflation measure.
Inflation Is the Lesser Evil
A record-busting stock market has done little for the prospects of most middle- and working-class Americans, who are falling behind as the labor market stalls and prices rise for the essentials. The way out of the hiring rut is significantly lower borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, but these have the potential to stoke painful inflation once again.
Bond Traders Lean Into ‘Sweet Spot’ Amid Doubts on Fed Path
At BlackRock Inc., PGIM and other Wall Street firms, bond-fund managers are sticking to trades that will likely pay off even if the Federal Reserve’s path is again knocked off course by surprising turns in the economy.
Gold Punches to Record on Rate-Cut Outlook as ETFs Draw in Flows
Gold powered to a record in the week’s opening session after flows into exchange-traded funds hit a three-year high, with investors betting that the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting cycle has further to run. Silver also rose, with year-to-date gains topping 50%.
Private Credit Firms Eye Public Companies as Their Next Target
For years, private credit firms have focused on financing private equity buyouts or closely held companies that had limited access to capital. Now, they are zeroing in on their next frontier: Large public companies that want to diversify their funding mix.
Elliott’s Inner Rottweiler Needs to Bite Pepsi
Something unusual is happening in shareholder activism. The grandmaster of the craft, Elliott Investment Management, has set out a strategy to push shares in US consumer icon PepsiCo Inc. up 50%.
Trump, Xi Call Underway as They Aim to Finalize TikTok Deal
A call between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping is underway, in a discussion that promises to determine the fate of TikTok — and potentially ease trade tensions between the world’s two biggest economies.
Sam Altman Has a Lot of Things Keeping Him Awake at Night
Talking to the former Fox News host Tucker Carlson recently, Altman, the chief executive officer and co-founder of Open AI, was only half-joking when he said he hadn’t “had a good night’s sleep since ChatGPT launched” in November 2022.
SEC Breakthrough Lets Grayscale Launch First Multi-Token ETF
The US Securities and Exchange Commission cleared the way for the first exchange-traded fund bundling a basket of cryptocurrencies, marking a breakthrough for the industry after a swath of approvals largely limited to Bitcoin and Ether.
Apollo Seeks $10 Billion From Insurers With Complex Debt Vehicle
Apollo Global Management Inc. is set to use a rare structure to raise $10 billion from insurers, people with knowledge of the matter said, in the latest illustration of the increasing ties between private capital and annuity providers.
Intel Soars After Nvidia Makes $5 Billion Investment
Nvidia Corp. agreed to invest $5 billion in Intel Corp. and said the two will co-develop chips for PCs and data centers, a surprise move to help prop up an ailing archrival that sent Intel shares soaring.
Nvidia Invests $5 Billion in Intel, Plans to Co-Design Chips
Nvidia Corp. agreed to invest $5 billion in Intel Corp. and said the two will co-develop chips for PCs and data centers, a surprise move to help prop up an ailing archrival that sent Intel shares soaring.
EQT Said to Weigh $1 Billion-Plus US IPO of Waste Firm Reworld
EQT AB is considering a US initial public offering of waste management firm Reworld that could raise $1 billion or more, according to people familiar with the matter.
Tech Stocks Shudder as Rate Cut Sparks Rotation to Cheaper Bets
Wall Street took profits in high flying technology stocks on Wednesday, rotating into cheaper corners of the market after the Federal Reserve delivered a widely expected interest rate cut under what Chair Jerome Powell described as an “unusual” situation of emerging labor-market weakness while inflation remains elevated.
Man Group Goes All-In on ETFs With Hedge-Fund Trades for Masses
The world’s largest publicly listed hedge fund is breaking ranks with tradition — and stepping into the ETF arena under its own name.
The Golden Age of Value Investing Is Over
Over the last decade many of those advantages have been eroded. Pounding the pavement, smiling and dialing were no longer necessary. Because those hard-earned insights were being emailed, tweeted, livestreamed, YouTubed, podcasted and more.
The ‘Smart Money’ is Flashing a Warning for Stocks
For as long as I can remember, institutional investors have been hailed the “smart money” and retail investors derided as rubes.
Crypto Power Struggle Flares as Stripe Nabs Big Stablecoin Win
A stablecoin bidding war on one of crypto’s fastest-growing platforms is offering a preview of the industry’s next phase — and who might control it.
China Tech Stocks Jump as AI Boom Pushes Index to Four-Year High
A blistering rally in Chinese technology shares accelerated on Wednesday as renewed bets on artificial intelligence sent a key gauge to the highest in nearly four years.
Gold Slips From Record High Before Fed’s Rate Decision
Gold dipped from Tuesday’s record as most asset classes saw muted moves ahead of the Federal Reserve interest-rate decision later today.
Dollar Nears a Three-Year Low Ahead of FOMC’s Rate Decision
Bloomberg’s gauge of the dollar approached its lowest level since March 2022 ahead of the Federal Reserve decision, where policymakers are expected to resume cutting interest rates to prop up a weakening labor market.
Fed Rate Cut to Mark Pivot Toward Job Market
Federal Reserve officials are expected to backstop a faltering US labor market by lowering interest rates Wednesday, marking a shift after worries about tariff-induced inflation kept them on hold all year.
Earnings Reports Don’t Need to Be Quarterly
Once again, the president is questioning what purpose is served by publicly traded companies issuing quarterly earnings reports. Not only did Donald Trump raise this issue back in 2018 — so did Barack Obama in 2015.
Stocks Hold Gains on Signs Consumer in Good Shape
Wall Street traders gearing up for the Federal Reserve decision refrained from making big bets as they awaited clues on the path of rates that will shape the outlook for markets over the next few months.
JPMorgan to Cut China, India Share in EM Bond Index
JPMorgan Chase & Co. will cut the weight of the largest bond issuers in its flagship emerging-market index, diverting investor flows from the likes of China and India toward smaller nations.
Gold Rises Close to Record With Fed Seen Cutting Rates This Week
Gold rose near a record high as traders geared up for an anticipated easing of the US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy this week and looked for clues on further rate cuts this year.
Traders Eye Series of Fed Cuts With Bullish Bets at Risk
A key question for investors this week is whether Federal Reserve officials push back against market bets on a series of interest-rate cuts extending into next year.
US Stocks Advance as Traders Await Highly-Anticipated Rate Cut
US equities extended gains early Monday to kick of a high-stakes week for financial markets, with the Federal Reserve largely expected to resume its interest-rate cutting cycle.
T. Rowe Price Launches Blue Bond Fund Backed by Walmart Heir
T. Rowe Price Group Inc. has secured financing from Walmart Inc. heir Lukas Walton’s impact platform for a new corporate bond fund, which will support investments in themes including water security and marine protection in emerging markets.
China Targets Nvidia Over 2020 Deal, Straining Trade Talks
China ruled that Nvidia Corp. violated anti-monopoly laws with a high-profile 2020 deal, ratcheting up the pressure on Washington during sensitive trade negotiations.
Wall Street Expects Rally in Riskiest Stocks to Last 12 Months
The Russell 2000, home to some of the riskiest stocks on the market, has been on a tear — and a spate of Wall Street strategists say the rally is just getting started.
BlackRock Says Fiscal Angst in Global Bond Markets Is Overblown
Rising yields in global government bond markets reflect expectations that interest rates will remain higher, rather than concern over brewing fiscal crises, according to BlackRock Inc.
WisdomTree Puts Private-Debt Exposure on Blockchain at $25 Entry
WisdomTree Inc. launched its first tokenized fund that gives investors exposure to private credit, marking the latest attempt by Wall Street to connect fast-growing markets with blockchain technology.
Corporate America Bets on Fed Cuts With Longer-Dated Holdings
Companies are moving some of the excess cash on their books into longer-term securities, betting that rate cuts from the Federal Reserve will make these holdings more lucrative.
Mortgage Rates Post Biggest Drop in a Year, Spurring Refi Rush
Mortgage rates in the US fell by the most in a year, fueling a surge in refinancing demand from homeowners looking to save money.
US Stocks Advance as CPI Report Buoys Trader Bets on Rate Cuts
US stocks climbed on Thursday, posting fresh records amid hopes that an in-line inflation report will push the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next week.
BlackRock Seeks to Tokenize ETFs After Bitcoin Fund Breakthrough
BlackRock Inc. is exploring how to give one of Wall Street’s biggest investment products a digital makeover.
Treasury Yields Near 2025 Lows as More Fed Easing Is Priced In
Treasuries rose as traders latched onto fresh signs that the US labor market is softening, bolstering their outlook for how much the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates in the coming months.
Fed Rate-Cut Bets Strengthen Lure of Emerging Markets, Eastspring Says
Emerging markets are becoming more attractive as the prospect of an upcoming US rate cut — combined with softer local inflation and relatively low public debt — strengthens the investment case, according to Navin Hingorani, Singapore-based portfolio manager at Eastspring Investments.
Robots Step In More Than Ever When Credit Traders Go on Vacation
Credit traders are increasingly relying on algorithms, decades after they began dominating equity markets, and they have become reliable stand-ins when activity would normally sag. The result has been smoother markets with less volatility and lower trading costs.
Elon Musk Hasn’t Forgotten About Earth Just Yet
It’s tough being a SpaceX competitor no matter if you are building rockets, providing satellite internet or seeking to enter the nascent direct-to-mobile-phone industry.
AI’s $344 Billion ‘Language Model’ Bet Looks Fragile
This year the world’s four largest tech firms will spend $344 billion on AI, mostly on data centers used to train and run so-called large language models (LLMs) like ChatGPT that can process text, audio and visual content.
Managing the S&P 500 Index Still Needs the Human Touch
The third Friday in September is a special day in the financial-market calendar. It’s one of the four days a year the S&P 500 index gets rebalanced. With over $10 trillion of assets passively tracking it, the exercise will affect markets and investors in every corner of the world.
US Core CPI Rises as Expected, Keeping Fed on Track for Rate Cut
Underlying US inflation rose as expected in August, keeping the Federal Reserve on track to cut interest rates next week.
Tech Stocks Are Doing So Well Investors Are Starting to Worry
Technology stocks are rising so far, so fast that some investors are starting to position for the move to lose momentum.
Treasury Investors Ramp Up Bullish Positions Before CPI Data
Investors are leaning into bullish bets on US Treasuries ahead of this week’s inflation report, as a recent run of softer-than-expected data opens the door for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in September and further ease monetary policy in the months ahead.
KKR, Blackstone Help India Become Asia’s Private Equity HQ
Global asset managers from KKR & Co. to Blackstone Inc. are ramping up investments in India and elevating locally-based executives to key regional roles, underscoring the nation’s rise in Asia’s private equity landscape.
Oracle’s $200 Billion Market Cap Surge to Lift It Above JPMorgan
Oracle Corp. is set to vault past stocks such as JPMorgan Chase & Co. to become the 10th most valuable member of the S&P 500, after a blowout cloud business forecast sent its shares soaring.
AI's Path to Profits Is Being Driven by Consumers
Markets naturally see through the lens of businesses. When tech stocks took a dive last month on concerns of an “AI winter,” investors were egged on by a study showing 95% of corporate AI pilot programs failed to deliver any gains in productivity or profit, making all this expensive AI start to look a little useless.
Apple’s Plan B for AI Is Actually Pretty Great: Dave Lee
When all the top tech companies seem to moving in a pack toward artificial intelligence, Apple Inc. has stood startlingly apart.
Nasdaq Seeks Rule Change With SEC to Trade Tokenized Stocks
Nasdaq Inc. is asking regulators to let investors trade tokenized versions of stocks on its exchange, a move that could mark the first big test of blockchain technology inside the core of America’s equity markets.
Klarna IPO, Mergers and Other Deals Don’t Augur a Banking Boom
Buy-now-pay-later firm Klarna Group Plc is among a string of companies bringing US public stock offerings in what looks like an extremely busy September for investment bankers.
Emerging Assets Extend Gains on Weaker Dollar, Fed Cuts Bets
Emerging-market currencies and stocks rose as expectations of an imminent US monetary policy easing pushed the dollar lower and strengthened investor appetite for riskier assets.
Wait for Stablecoins to Whip Up US-China Rivalry
Ever since the birth of Bitcoin in 2009, China has tightened the screws on cryptocurrencies with unfailing regularity: once every four years, in fact. In the coming months, however, the People’s Republic could signal a change in its stance, and the world of money will have to take notice.
US Treasuries Extend Gains as Traders Turn Focus to Inflation
Treasuries edged higher, extending Friday’s gains, as investors shifted their focus to key readings on inflation due later this week.
Apple’s $450 Billion Rally Faces Scrutiny of Product Unveiling
Investors expecting Apple Inc.’s biggest product event of the year to serve as the next catalyst for its recently-revived stock are likely to come away disappointed.
BlackRock Explores Risk Models to Boost Emerging-Markets Finance
BlackRock Inc. is exploring ways to attract more capital to emerging markets, where efforts to finance the transition to a low-carbon economy have so far been slowed by perceptions of risk.
Crypto Asset Manager CoinShares to Go Public in US Via SPAC Deal
Cryptocurrency asset manager CoinShares International Ltd. has agreed to go public in the US through a combination with blank-check company Vine Hill Capital Investment Corp.
Investors Chasing Rally in Gold Miner ETF Face Jobs Heat Check
Investors betting that a torrid rally in gold miners has room to run face a test of their conviction as the US government gets set to deliver jobs data from August.
Singapore Thrived in a US-Led World. Now What?
If you want a glimpse of a changing global order, go to Singapore. That’s what I did last month, when I served as the S. Rajaratnam Professor of Strategic Studies at the Rajaratnam School of International Studies and met extensively with leading thinkers and government officials.
China’s AI Chips Push Is Facing the Ultimate Test
Is China’s artificial intelligence sector finally taking the plunge and shifting away from Nvidia Corp. in favor of homegrown chips?
Xi Has No Choice But to Love Chinese Stocks
Unlike Donald Trump, Chinese President Xi Jinping is not known for caring about stock-market returns.
Not Even the Dutch Know How to Handle Pensions Anymore
The Dutch have long been famous — at least to pension nerds like me — for their retirement system, which is well-funded and well-managed. Now that reputation is in jeopardy: As it turns out, providing generous, guaranteed pensi
Alphabet Within Striking Range of $3 Trillion as Key Risk Clears
Alphabet Inc. shares are suddenly unshackled after a long-awaited antitrust ruling removed a key risk that’s weighed on the stock for months.
Cantor Plans to Hire Dozens of Bankers in Middle East Push
Cantor Fitzgerald LP is planning to hire dozens of bankers in the Middle East in the coming years after the Wall Street firm appointed a veteran EFG Hermes rainmaker to lead its business in the region.
Apple Plans AI-Powered Web Search Tool for Siri to Rival OpenAI, Perplexity
Apple Inc. is planning to launch its own artificial intelligence-powered web search tool next year, stepping up competition with OpenAI and Perplexity AI Inc.
Google’s Antitrust Loss Now Feels a Lot Like Winning
Something close to the best-case scenario emerged for Google on Tuesday when a federal judge outlined its punishments for running an illegal search monopoly. The company will not be forced to sell its Chrome browser or Android operating system.
Modi’s China Reset Is Just Wishful Thinking
If Modi now wants to reach out a hand to the leaders of Eurasia, one might assume it is entirely because India has been insulted and rejected by the US — laden with higher tariffs than almost all its peers, and continually needled by President Donald Trump’s advisers and officials.
BofA Offers Ultra-Wealthy Clients Access to Private Equity Funds
Bank of America Corp. will offer investments in private equity funds to its ultra-wealthy clients, a move that comes as more financial firms give access in alternative assets to a broader swath of millionaires.
Blackstone, State Street Set to Launch Active European CLO ETF
Blackstone Inc. and State Street Investment Management are joining forces to launch an exchange-traded fund tracking European collateralized loan obligations, a move that comes as private markets seek to widen their investor base.
Could Bond Markets Finally Be Making Sense Again?
For decades, betting that long-term bond rates would rise was known as the widow-maker trade: It was simultaneously the most sensible and the most consistently money-losing wager an investor could make.
How to Go From ‘Anywhere But China’ to ‘Buy China’
In the post-pandemic era, one of the ABCs of investing has been “anywhere but China.”
Musk Has a New Master Plan for Tesla. Uh Oh.
The lifespan of Tesla Inc.’s “master plans,” strategic missives from Chief Executive Elon Musk, has declined dramatically. The first held for a decade. The third, just superseded by Master Plan Part IV, didn’t even make its third birthday.
Muni ETF Inflows are Beating Mutual Funds by Two-to-One in 2025
Municipal bond exchange-traded funds drew more than double the amount of cash this year compared to traditional mutual funds focused on the asset class, highlighting the growing popularity of ETFs as an investment vehicle in the space.
Goldman Sees Lucrative Lifelines in Easing Private Equity Logjam
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is looking to capitalize on helping private equity clients saddled with bets they can’t exit.
Google Dodges Chrome Sale in Antitrust Case Ruling; Shares Soar
Google avoided a breakup after a US judge ruled against the government’s most onerous proposals, including a forced sale of its Chrome browser, another court victory for Big Tech in the biggest antitrust case in three decades. The shares jumped.
Does Europe Even Know What Competitiveness Means?
If there’s one thing the European Union’s leaders agree on, it’s that the bloc needs to regain competitiveness — a key prerequisite for meeting urgent challenges such as rebuilding defenses, combatting climate change and reviving economic growth.
Winklevosses’ Crypto Firm Gemini Seeks $317 Million in IPO
Gemini Space Station Inc., a cryptocurrency exchange led by the billionaire Winklevoss twins, seeks to raise as much as $316.7 million in its initial public offering as the latest crypto business in line for a US listing.
Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says US Stock Rally Has Further to Run
US stocks will continue rallying after four months of gains as Federal Reserve interest rate cuts coincide with robust corporate earnings, according to Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson.
Treasury Yields Rise With 30-Year Near 5% Amid Global Bond Slump
US Treasuries were under pressure amid a rout in long-dated European bonds and a surging calendar of corporate debt sales as traders returned from the holiday long weekend.
US Pulls TSMC’s Waiver for China Shipments of Chip Supplies
The US has revoked Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.’s authorization to freely ship essential gear to its main Chinese chipmaking base, potentially curtailing its production capabilities at that older-generation facility.
How Can an Economy This Good Feel This Bad?
On paper, these are good times for the US economy. The latest GDP numbers show growth was at 3.3% in the second quarter. Business investment is up. The unemployment rate remains low, and the inflation rate is reasonable.
The Market Is a Bit Too Sure of the Fed
The market’s attention usually seesaws between corporate fundamentals and monetary policy.
US Consumer Spending Shows Resilience Despite Stubborn Inflation
US consumer spending rose in July by the most in four months, indicating resilient demand in the face of stubborn inflation.
Wineries and Whiskey Makers Tap Private Credit for Financing
Wineries, booze distributors and distilleries are turning to private credit for financing, especially as tariffs and a decline in drinking habits bring more risk to the alcohol industry.
The Biggest Miner Held on to Its Coal for Too Long
Consider coking coal. The high-quality solid fuel used in steelmaking was for many years seen as a jewel in BHP’s crown.
Not Even Buffett’s Confidence Buy Can Spur a Housing Recovery
There’s been renewed optimism about housing in the stock market recently. Mortgage rates have fallen and home improvement giants Home Depot Inc. and Lowe’s Cos Inc. reported an uptick in activity in July.
Stock Bulls Bracing for Bout of September’s Seasonal Turbulence
Investors fretting over signs the bull market in stocks is pushing toward unsustainable levels will soon have another thing to worry about.
World Bank Sells $510 Million of Bonds Backed by Loans to Companies in Developing Markets
The World Bank sold $510 million of bonds backed by loans it gave companies across the developing world, part of its efforts to lure more institutional investors to regions where borrowers have a harder time raising cash.
Can America Get Americans to Buy its Bonds?
President Donald Trump’s efforts to stack the Federal Reserve with economists willing to cut interest rates is providing all the drama this week.
After Years of Pain, Riskiest Stocks Finally See Some Momentum
The Russell 2000 Index last posted an all-time high on Nov. 8, 2021, and is still almost 3% from that level. Unless something drastic happens by Friday, it will mark the small-cap gauge’s longest streak without a record since the dot-com bubble.
US Economy Expands at Revised 3.3% Rate on Stronger Investment
The US economy expanded in the second quarter at a slightly faster pace than initially estimated on a pickup in business investment and an outsize boost from trade.
Nvidia Forecasts Decelerating Growth After Two-Year AI Boom
Nvidia Corp., the world’s most valuable company, gave a tepid revenue forecast for the current period, signaling that growth is decelerating after a staggering two-year boom in artificial intelligence spending.
Bond Market Bonanza Leaves Investors With Razor-Thin Safety Net
Bond investors are accepting the smallest compensation in years in return for taking default risk, as a potent combination of economic optimism and too much cash chasing too few securities skews costs.
China Gets Closer to Finding Its Own Nvidia
A new China-buys-China narrative is taking shape as Beijing steps up its tech rivalry with the US. The world’s second-largest economy not only wants to build generative AI models, but power them with its own hardware, redrawing a supply chain dominated by Nvidia Corp.
If You Had Any Doubts About SpaceX’s Dominance, Look at This
If there were any doubts about SpaceX’s dominance in space, they were swept away after the company pulled off a near-flawless test of its massive Starship rocket late Tuesday.
Hedge Funds Win Review of SEC’s Short Sale Disclosure Rule
A federal appeals court ordered a review of US Securities and Exchange Commission rules that required investors to reveal far more about short selling and related stock lending.
Forget Nvidia. Costco and Walmart Look Scarier.
he safety record of zeppelins was relatively unimpeachable prior to the Hindenburg, and that’s why the deadly disaster so shocked the public and devastated the rigid airship industry.
EM Assets Set to Pull Ahead of Developed Peers, Funds Say
Fund managers say returns on emerging-market assets are set to power ahead of their developed peers, having moved in lockstep since US President Donald Trump unleashed his tariff blitz in April.
Boeing Has the Upper Hand in the Latest Labor Strike
Boeing Co. resumed talks on Monday with union leaders to end a strike that most investors aren’t paying much attention to.
Trash Talk is the Wrong Language for Central Bankers
It's never a great sign when a central bank governor says his country's predicament is a “pretty sad story.” That's how Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey described the UK at the Federal Reserve symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, last week.
Europe’s IPO Market Prepares to Bounce Back From Tariff Turmoil
A group of multi-billion dollar businesses could help stage a comeback for Europe’s market for initial public offerings this fall, compensating for the region’s slowest first half in more than a decade.
US Core Capital Goods Orders Rise, Exceeding All Forecasts
US orders for business equipment increased in July by more than projected, suggesting companies are moving forward on investment plans as some of the trade and tax policy uncertainty gradually diminishes.
Apple’s August Stock Revival Gives Hope to Concerned Investors
Apple Inc.’s stock is showing signs of life after struggling through most of 2025, as the tariff-related risks that have weighed on the company start to ease.
Fed’s Jackson Hole Exposes Hard Road Ahead for Central Bankers
The Federal Reserve’s annual gathering in the Rocky Mountains is usually a time for central bankers and their wonky friends to kick back, discuss a few complicated economic topics and then go for a hike in the shadow of Grand Teton.
A Chinese E-Commerce Glut Is Meeting Resistance in Latin America
An avalanche of cheap Chinese stuff is landing on doorsteps across Latin America. Bargain-hungry consumers are giddy, local retailers are getting pummeled and customs agencies are swamped.
AI Disruption Fear Sparks Investor Scrutiny of Software Stocks
For years software companies were the toast of Wall Street. High profit margins, low capital requirements and vast runway for growth prompted the venture capitalist Marc Andreessen in 2011 to famously declare “software is eating the world.”
Why Boomers Have More Money Than Everyone Else
The difference in wealth and income between the top 1% and the rest of America tends to get more attention, but one of the more striking wealth gaps is generational: Older Americans are far richer than young Americans.
Wall Street Gets the Rally Signals From Powell It Was Hoping For
For much of this month, Wall Street traders piled into stocks and bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve was finally ready to start cutting interest rates again. All they were waiting on was the green light from Jerome Powell to keep the rally going.
Walmart’s Win Doesn’t Mean Retailers Can Relax
Walmart Inc., TJX Cos Inc. and Lowes Cos. each upgraded their forecasts this week; Home Depot Inc. returned to sales growth. All the good news means the retail sector is doing fine, right?
Oracle Rides Major Deals With OpenAI, Nvidia to Turn Around Cloud Business
Oracle Corp.’s Larry Ellison used to scoff at the idea of cloud computing, saying in 2008 that it was “complete gibberish.”
Boomers Are the Next Big Consumer Culture Frontier
Consumer companies can cope with the baby bust. They just have to pivot to baby boomers.
Treasuries Jump as Powell Says Risks May Warrant Cutting Rates
Treasuries soared and traders added to bets on a September interest-rate cut after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated a reduction may be warranted to support the labor market.
Investors Crave Long-Term Debt, But Firms Don’t Want to Sell
Investors are clamoring to buy the one kind of security that few companies want to sell now: long-dated bonds.
Bond Market Rate-Cut Bets Face Powell Reckoning at Jackson Hole
Bond investors are heading into Friday’s much-anticipated Jerome Powell speech largely expecting the Federal Reserve chair will indicate policymakers will start cutting interest rates next month.
Bitcoin-Volatility Collapse Forces Risk-Loving Traders Elsewhere
Bitcoin, once the unruly child of finance, is showing signs of maturity as its wild swings fade, forcing speculative traders to hunt for a new playground.
Wall Street Is Too Complex to Be Left to Humans
A paper from researchers at hedge fund AQR Capital Management and Yale University addresses one of the most important questions in finance: Will artificial intelligence and machine learning replace human researchers and traders?
Mutual Funds Bleed Another $432 Billion as ETF Conversions Grow
Mutual funds are bleeding assets anew, just as their ETF cousins break fresh records.
Google Is Trying Everything to Sell AI to Skeptics
If you’re a tech company not called Apple Inc., getting regular people to pay attention to your smartphone launch is a challenge. Your executives, who simply must be involved, are stuffy, wooden and, more often than not, white and old. Even worse, they’re not famous.
EU, US Lay Out Next Steps on Tariffs to Rebalance Trade Ties
The US and European Union took the next steps to formalize their trade pact, detailing plans that could reduce tariffs on European automobiles within weeks while opening the door to new potential discounts for steel and aluminum.
Vietnam’s Next Big Challenge Is All About Money
Fresh from a bruising tussle with the White House over tariffs, Vietnam is confronting a different but no less delicate challenge.
China’s Economy Needs Help, But Will It Come?
If ever there were conditions that cried out for stimulus, China appears to have met them. Recent gauges of growth and inflation were more than just disappointing.
Big Pullback in Stocks That Many Expected Has Yet to Arrive
Despite Tuesday’s wobble, the narrative that has been fueling the sharp recovery in US equities since April remains supportive as the drivers of the rally are still intact.
Apollo’s Financial Origami is Smart — And Scary
There’s a new fox sniffing around the private credit henhouse. Last year, Apollo Global Management Inc. engineered an innovative trade for its insurance arm Athene Holding Ltd., with the help of an obscure Luxembourg-based firm. It’s fascinating and troubling in equal measure.
US IPO Market Heats Up as AI, Crypto Firms Accelerate Plans
Companies touting their artificial intelligence and crypto-sector ties are speeding up their IPO timelines, after triple-digit first-day pops became a regular feature in this summer’s sizzling US market for new issues.
Wager for Half-Point Rate Reduction Faces Test of Powell Remarks
Traders are piling into one specific options wager that relies on a dovish Federal Reserve slashing interest rates by over a quarter-point next month.
Capital Group Junk Muni ETF’s Assets Jump 639% After Inflow
A high-yield municipal-bond fund run by Capital Group saw the biggest inflow of any US-based exchange-traded fund on Friday, with an infusion of $1.54 billion.
How Pimco Outmaneuvered Apollo, KKR to Win $29 Billion Meta Deal
Morgan Stanley had an unusual message when it approached four of the world’s biggest asset managers in July: they had progressed to the final round of one of the most sought-after private credit deals to date. But if they wanted to get to the finish line, they would need to pair up.
Ethereum’s Big Backers Unleash Billions to Push Into Wall Street
In the grand banking hall of Cipriani 42nd Street in Manhattan last week, crypto advocates gathered beneath marble columns and chandeliers to declare the arrival of a new financial era — one that goes way beyond Bitcoin.
Soho House Agrees to Be Taken Private in $2.7 Billion Deal
A group of investors led by the owner of several boutique New York hotels agreed to take Soho House & Co. private in a $2.7 billion deal for the members’ club operator that’s struggled since its initial public offering.
Sorry, New York. The Era of the Big City May Be Over.
Almost 15 years ago, I had a finance job in Austin which I did from my apartment in Manhattan. Although I was under constant pressure to move to Texas, I argued that because I worked in finance and media, leaving New York would hurt my career, and I’d have to be compensated for that loss.
Is the AI Winter Finally Upon Us?
My takeaway from the GPT-5 launch has been that while AI companies can tout overall performance on various benchmarks, these are becoming increasingly less relevant.
Vanguard Plans for Its Most Expensive ETFs Yet in Active Push
Vanguard Group has filed plans with the Securities and Exchange Commission for its priciest exchange-traded funds yet as the asset management giant seeks to beef up its actively managed lineup.
AI Boom Seen Driving Next Decade of Emerging-Market Returns
Emerging-market funds are pivoting to capture the artificial intelligence craze, with some investors predicting that booming technology spending will drive returns for years to come.
China’s $11 Trillion Stock Market Is a Headache for Both Xi and Trump
At the heart of why consumers in China save so much and spend so little, and why Xi Jinping and Donald Trump will struggle to change that behavior even if they want to, lies the country’s stock market.
Apollo’s Fox Hedge Is Taking Financial Wizardry to a New Level
Advanced Credit Solutions is a tiny finance firm based in Luxembourg that was founded by a Belgian and works with insurers. Despite its outwardly bland appearance, the business it does is anything but.
Advent Said to Weigh Takeover Bid for Swiss Chipmaker U-blox
Advent is working on an offer to acquire U-blox Holding AG in a deal that could value the Swiss maker of positioning chips at more than 1 billion Swiss francs ($1.2 billion), according to people familiar with the matter.
Investors Jump Into Riskiest Assets After US Inflation Report
Traders are snapping up risky assets of all stripes in the hope that falling US interest rates will add rocket fuel to an economy that’s so far been able to withstand the effects of Donald Trump’s trade war.
Apollo’s Head of European Credit Eyes Deals in Defense, AI
Apollo Global Management Inc. is aiming to invest in artificial intelligence, defense and infrastructure in Europe, where trillions in spending is needed, its co-head of European credit Tristram Leach said in a Bloomberg TV interview.
Buyout Firm Main Capital Sees Soaring US Demand for Europe Deals
Main Capital, a Dutch buyout firm focused on software deals, is pushing to more than double its assets under management to €15 billion ($17.5 billion) in the next three years, betting on rising demand from US investors for European assets.
Crypto Firm Bullish Soars 84% in Debut After $1.1 Billion IPO
Bullish shares jumped 84% from the IPO price after the digital-asset exchange operator and owner of media outlet CoinDesk raised $1.1 billion in an initial public offering.
China’s Economy Slows Sharply as Trade War Bites
China’s economy slowed across the board in July with factory activity, investment and retail sales disappointing, suggesting Beijing’s crackdown on destructive price wars and spillovers from Donald Trump’s tariffs are casting a pall over the world’s No. 2 economy.
Hedge Funds Add Microsoft, Netflix in Position Shuffle
Hedge funds added exposure to technology giants including Microsoft Corp. and Netflix Inc. in the second quarter, a stretch that saw an initial surge in volatility due to President Donald Trump’s trade policies but ultimately ended with major benchmarks posting significant gains.
Wall Street’s Dividend Tax Dodge Arrives in Fixed-Income ETFs
A pair of new bond exchange-traded funds is making it easier than ever for investors to avoid taxes on coupon payments.
UnitedHealth Surges After Buffett, Tepper Bet on Turnaround
UnitedHealth Group Inc. shares jumped after funds piled into the company, which has been hampered by a federal probe into its business practices and weakening results.
JPMorgan’s OpenAI Coverage Is Just the Start
Wall Street banks are starting to cover firms that are not publicly traded. JPMorgan Chase & Co. kicked off the trend with a report on OpenAI Inc. Citigroup Inc. followed suit a week later with a list of roughly 100 large private companies it will focus on, predominantly in the tech sector.
Big Business Came Prepared for This White House
President Donald Trump’s chaotic tariff policies have upended global trade and led to questions about whether the days of US exceptionalism and leadership that attracted capital from around the world are over.
The Government Is Right to Limit Your Investment Choices
America is a free country. People are allowed to take all sorts of ill-considered risks.
Nvidia’s Trump Tax of Little Worry to Investors Eyeing AI Riches
President Donald Trump’s move to extract a 15% sales tax from Nvidia Corp. on certain semiconductors sold in China did nothing to damp investor enthusiasm for the world’s most valuable company.
Apple Plots Expansion Into AI Robots, Home Security and Smart Displays
Apple Inc. is plotting its artificial intelligence comeback with an ambitious slate of new devices, including robots, a lifelike version of Siri, a smart speaker with a display and home-security cameras.
US Two-Year, Five-Year Yields Fall to Lowest Levels Since May
US short-dated bonds yields fell to their lowest levels in more than three months, reflecting conviction among traders that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September.
ChatGPT-5 Hasn’t Fully Fixed Its Most Concerning Problem
Sam Altman has a good problem. With 700 million people using ChatGPT on a weekly basis — a number that could hit a billion before the year is out — a backlash ensued when he abruptly changed the product last week.
Perplexity’s Bid for Google Chrome is Mostly Mischief
If you’re fighting an antitrust lawsuit that might end up breaking your company into pieces, one defense is to argue that those pieces would wither away if separated from the mother ship, thus creating a worse outcome for the consumer.
Booming Bitcoin Muscles Into an Old-School Investment Club
Stodgy equity mutual funds have been bleeding cash for years, losing out to cheaper and often better-performing alternatives.
Investors Jump Into Riskiest Assets After US Inflation Report
Traders are snapping up risky assets of all stripes in the hope that falling US interest rates will add rocket fuel to an economy that’s so far been able to withstand the effects of Donald Trump’s trade war.
ETF Rush Sees Filings Land Even Before Debut of Underlying Stock
Crypto exchange Bullish hasn’t gone public yet, but that isn’t stopping an ETF issuer from trying to capitalize on the hype.
The US Oil Shale Industry Is Doing More With Less
The US oil industry is often compared to being on a treadmill: you run fast just to stay still.
Hong Kong’s Economy Has Two Gravity-Defying Puzzles
Hong Kong is confronted with two gravity-defying puzzles this year. Investors are asking why the city’s interest rates are so low, and yet the housing market is so bad.
Treasuries Go 24-7 as Repo Trade Hits Blockchain on a Saturday
In a twist on Wall Street’s traditional market plumbing, some of the biggest names in finance used a crypto blockchain to trade US Treasuries for digital dollars — on a Saturday.
US Stocks Gain as Latest Inflation Data Fuels Rate-Cut Bets
US stocks rose on Tuesday after the latest consumer price index report stoked bets that the Federal Reserve is virtually certain to resume cutting interest rates next month.
China Urges Firms to Avoid Nvidia H20 Chips After Trump Resumes Sales
Beijing has urged local companies to avoid using Nvidia Corp.’s H20 processors, particularly for government-related purposes, complicating the chipmaker’s attempts to recoup billions in lost China revenue after the Trump administration reversed an effective US ban on such sales.
An AI Replay of the Browser Wars, Bankrolled by Google
A quarter of a century ago, when Microsoft Corp. used its dominance of the personal computer market to force people to use Internet Explorer, it famously led to a devastating antitrust lawsuit loss that some believe held the company back for more than a decade.
Lab-Grown Diamonds Are Testing the Power of Markets
The popularity of lab-grown diamonds is making me question the beauty of markets, which is their ability to place a value on pretty much anything.
Stagflation Playbook for S&P 500 Gets Fresh Look Before CPI Data
As the specter of stagflation ripples through equity markets, investors are zeroing in on the upcoming consumer inflation report to see how close the dire economic scenario is to becoming a reality.
Forgotten US Global Bond Funds Face ‘Show-Me-the-Money’ Moment
Jack McIntyre’s US global bond fund, aided by a slumping dollar, is posting one of the best performances in its almost two decades of existence. His challenge is convincing investors that it’s more than just a flash in the pan.
Wells Fargo’s Top Equity Strategist Chris Harvey Leaves Firm
Christopher Harvey, head of equity strategy for Wells Fargo Securities LLC, has left the firm.
A Practical Guide to Fixing the Jobs Data Problem
The Fed has long been criticized for reacting too slowly to economic developments, an inevitable consequence of relying on lagging government data. Now the Fed and BLS are likely to face even more pressure to catch up.
This Economy is Ripe for Fake and Copycat Luxury Goods
When it comes to fakes and dupes, of everything from Lululemon Athletica Inc. leggings to Dior handbags, imitations are most threatening when the real thing isn’t delivering.
Nvidia, AMD to Pay 15% on China AI Chip Sales in US Deal
Nvidia Corp. and Advanced Micro Devices Inc. agreed to pay 15% of their revenues from Chinese AI chip sales to the US government in a deal to secure export licenses, an unusual arrangement that may unnerve both US companies and Beijing.
The AI Building Boom Is Bound to Bust
The AI hyperscalers that are spending hundreds of billions of dollars on data centers have dropped a windfall into the laps of the manufacturers, construction firms, building-materials makers and energy companies that make the build-out possible.
Private Equity’s Courtship of Retail Investors Irks Pensions, Endowments
Some of the world’s biggest investors in private equity are worried they could lose their special status as thousands of retail investors get invited into an asset class that had been reserved for sophisticated clients.
Wall Street and AI Startups are Fighting Over Entry-Level Quants
At a rooftop bar on Manhattan’s Lower East Side, roughly 150 quant researchers met with employees at the artificial-intelligence startup Anthropic who implored them to consider a life away from Wall Street.
Money Is Raining Down on Green-Tech Firms That Have an AI Story
Green firms in the US have found something of a lifeline in artificial intelligence after being bogged down by high interest rates, shrinking funding and, more recently, President Donald Trump’s sharp rollback of support.
Meta Picks Pimco, Blue Owl for $29 Billion Data Center Deal
Meta Platforms Inc. has selected Pacific Investment Management Co. and Blue Owl Capital Inc. to lead a $29 billion financing for its data center expansion in rural Louisiana as the race for artificial intelligence infrastructure heats up, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
Trump’s Tariffs Take Effect in Fresh Test for Global Economy
President Donald Trump’s sweeping new tariffs officially took hold Thursday, as he barrels forward with his turbulent push to reshape global trade.
Youth Is Losing to Experience in This Job Market
Every time there’s fresh evidence of labor market softness, as with the July jobs report, an obvious question is raised about the health of the US economy.
Emerging Currencies Trim Gains on Higher USD as Stocks Hold Rise
Developing-nation currencies pared gains on reports that Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller has emerged as a top Fed chair candidate, raising confidence over the independence of the institution and boosting the dollar.
The Bullish Case for Oil Is Real — But Far, Far Away
When a bet goes wrong, investors are often tempted to hold on, convincing themselves that their short-term trade was always meant to be a long-term position.
Wall Street’s Transition to Faster Trading Is Paying Off for Credit
A long-feared change to Wall Street’s plumbing is paying off — and it’s freeing up billions.
Trump, Apple to Announce Fresh $100 Billion US Investment
President Donald Trump will announce that Apple Inc. will commit to spend another $100 billion on domestic manufacturing, the latest pledge by the tech giant to increase US production of its products as it seeks to avoid punishing tariffs on its flagship iPhones.
Emerging-Market Stocks Fall on Chips Tariff Threat, Taiwan Probe
Semiconductor stocks sent the emerging-market equity benchmark lower as US President Donald Trump’s threat to raise tariffs on the sector and an investigation into a theft of trade secrets at Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. spooked investors. Developing currencies fluctuated.
Bulls Get Another Reason to Worry as Sentiment Gauge Flashes Red
Stock bulls have another reason to worry that the blistering rally in American equities may be about to cool.
Beware Wall Street’s Growing Discord on Earnings
With all the uncertainty around big policy questions that directly affect companies, notably tariffs and immigration, forecasting has become thorny for Wall Street analysts.
US Stocks Extend Gains on Strong Earnings, Rate-Cut Bets
US stocks hovered around their record highs on hopes of September interest-rate cuts and as strong corporate earnings drove the biggest technology shares higher.
BP Finally Moves to Make Itself Investable Again
For too long, British oil company BP Plc denied, obfuscated and played down its troubles. The market and the media, rather than the company, was the issue.
Regional Banks Are Ripe for Mergers as DC Warms to Consolidation
For years, US regional banks have operated under a paradox. Like all companies, they need growth to survive and want to do so predictably.
Emerging Markets Resume Rally on Earnings and Rate-Cut Bets
Emerging markets resumed their rally as the prospect of central bank rate cuts and optimism about earnings boosted risk sentiment.
JPMorgan’s Asset Management Arm Targets Europe Retail Investors in Active ETF Tie-Up
JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s asset management arm is partnering with Dutch online broker Bux to sell its active exchange-traded funds in customized model portfolios, as the Wall Street giant looks to break further into Europe’s retail market.
EM Funds Adjust Bets as ‘Sell the Dollar’ Trade Loses Appeal
The dollar’s bounceback in July is convincing some emerging-market investors to bet it will keep rising in coming months.
Big Tech Earnings Strength Is Bright Light in Murky Stock Market
Wall Street had a lot riding on whether this week’s big-tech earnings would meet increasingly high expectations. By and large, the companies delivered.
Swiss Stocks Decline on US Tariffs, Push for Lower Drug Prices
Swiss stocks dropped as the market reopened after a holiday, on worries about the impact from US President Donald Trump’s punitive 39% export tariff and a push for drugmakers to lower prices.
Unicorns May Throw a Lifeline to Stock Analysts
For years, equity research has struggled to develop a sustainable revenue model. The spectacular growth in private markets may provide the opening that Wall Street analysts have been groping for.
Bond Traders Await Jobs Report for Clues on Fed’s Rate-Cut Path
Investors in US Treasuries will scour employment data Friday for clearer evidence of a hiring slowdown that could open the door to the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September.
Trump Tariff Blitz Unleashes Delayed Shock to Global Economy
Four months after Donald Trump shocked the world and roiled markets by unveiling a placard full of tariff rates at the White House Rose Garden, his revisions unveiled Thursday generated a more subdued response among investors.
The Nimbleness of Corporate America Is on Full Display
The nimbleness of corporate America is on full display this earnings season, with a little assist from fiscal policy.
What Microsoft’s $4 Trillion Market Value Really Means
We are entering a Golden Age of big business. Or, depending on how you look at it, a Dark Age for small business.
Apple and Cook Get a Boost — and Breather — From iPhone Sales
Did tariffs help Apple Inc. to a blowout quarter?
Tariff Shock Puts Team Modi in a Tight Corner
President Donald Trump has put the Indian prime minister in a tight corner. The 25% tariff that he says he’ll impose on US imports from the most-populous nation isn’t significantly higher than the rates he has announced for Southeast Asian countries like Vietnam, Indonesia and the Philippines.
One Way to Ease the US Debt Crisis? Productivity
In a May report on alternative scenarios for the long-term US budget outlook, the Congressional Budget Office estimated the impact of productivity growth that was faster or slower than the 1% annual average in its baseline forecast. It made a big difference.
A Dovish Fed Would Be Nothing to Cheer
The Federal Reserve kept benchmark interest rates unchanged on Wednesday but edged closer to a resumption of cuts, perhaps as soon as the next monetary policy meeting in mid-September.
Who Needs a Digital Euro? Everyone Who Uses Money
Consider the humble bank note. Wrinkled and torn as it may be, it’s the only government-issued legal tender — the only direct obligation of a central bank — to which most people have access.
Meta Pivots on AI Under the Cover of a Superb Quarter
On Wednesday, Mark Zuckerberg addressed every constituency that mattered.
Buyers Came for UK Companies. Now They Come for British Bankers
US buyers have been coming for the UK’s top companies, and now they are coming for its bankers. You can see why London-based boutique Robey Warshaw is selling itself. For New York-based buyer Evercore Inc., it’s more a calculated gamble.
China’s AI Strategy Relies on Frenzy and Frenemies
China’s current AI frenzy represents the best and worst of classic capitalism: The competition propels innovation at a rapid clip, but not all of the companies will survive over the next five or 10 years.
Amazon’s AI Coding Revealed a Dirty Little Secret
Coders who use artificial intelligence to help them write software are facing a growing problem, and Amazon.com Inc. is the latest company to fall victim.
UnitedHealth Slumps as New Outlook Disappoints Wall Street Again
UnitedHealth Group Inc. tumbled after warning its annual profit would be hit harder than Wall Street was expecting, the latest in a series of disappointments from an insurer once known for its reliable growth and predictability.
Trade Flop Shows Europe Can’t Afford to Delay Reforms
Whether the White House “won” its trade negotiations with the European Union is debatable: Americans will now pay more for French wine and German cars, while Europeans get a tax cut on US goods.
Where’s the Trade Deal That Really Matters for Detroit?
Some 15 Super Bowls ago, Chrysler wowed the viewing public with a long car commercial starring Eminem that featured the tagline “Imported From Detroit”.
Europeans, Not Trump, Ended Up Chickening Out
Donald Trump’s world tour of arm-twisting on trade has landed its latest deal: A 15% baseline tariff on European Union goods, lowered from the recently threatened 30%, in return for an apparent smorgasbord of continental investments into the US and huge purchases of energy and military equipment.
Google Is Reaping the Rewards of Its Unfair AI Advantage
With 2 billion monthly users in 200 countries, Google’s AI Overviews can claim to be the most popular generative artificial-intelligence product yet released to the public.
Hello Spartanburg! The Affordability Migration Finds New Homes
A challenging housing market is pulling builders away from metros they’ve long favored to smaller cities, where it’s easier to construct the kinds of homes Americans can afford.
Don’t Be Seduced by Zero-Sum Thinking About the Economy
One idea unites the left and right lately: a zero-sum view of the world. Unfortunately, nice as it would be to hail a rare instance of ideological harmony, both sides are very much mistaken.
Namibia’s Oil Riches May Finally Start to Flow
The world’s hottest postcode for oil exploration is Namibia, attracting a who’s who of the petroleum industry.
EU Reaches Tariff Deal With US to Avert Painful Trade Blow
The US and European Union agreed on a hard-fought deal that will see the bloc face 15% tariffs on most of its exports, including automobiles, staving off a trade war that could have delivered a hammer blow to the global economy.
Silicon Valley’s $4 Billion Gamble on Defense Manufacturing
Every month Neros Inc. makes hundreds of drones designed to drop warheads on adversaries.
S&P 500’s Humming Profit Engine Can Keep Powering Stocks Rally
A solid earnings season shows Corporate America’s profit engine is humming along, potentially easing worries that the record-setting rally in US stocks is starting to overheat.
DeepSeek, Trump’s Plan Steer Agenda at China’s Top AI Forum
Star founders, Beijing officials and deep-pocketed financiers converge on Shanghai by the thousands this weekend to attend China’s most important AI summit. At the top of the agenda: how to propel Beijing’s ambitions to leapfrog the US in artificial intelligence — and profit off that drive.
From Tesla to Microsoft, Companies are Going Vertical Again
Much of the history of the modern corporation could be written in terms of two slogans: Ford’s “from mine to finished car: one organization,” and Apple’s “designed in California, assembled in China.”
Skydance’s Merger With Paramount Global Wins FCC’s Approval
Paramount Global’s merger with Skydance Media was approved by the US Federal Communications Commission, which backed the deal after the Trump administration extracted concessions on the news and entertainment company’s political coverage and diversity practices.
Alphabet Boosted by AI, Cloud Demand as Spending Needs Jump
Alphabet Inc. said demand for artificial intelligence products boosted quarterly sales, and now requires an extreme increase in capital spending — heightening pressure on the company to justify the cost of keeping up in the AI race.
Blackstone Profit Jumps 25% on Retail, Evergreen Fees
Blackstone Inc. reported a 25% jump in distributable earnings for the second quarter, buoyed by profits from its retail and evergreen funds.
College Grads Are Pursuing a New Career Path: Training AI Models
Ever since he picked up a trombone in middle school, Jackson Spellman has wanted to pursue a career in music.
The Fed Needs to Tread Carefully With This Strange Dollar
The US economy hasn’t seen tariffs like these in around 80 years.
Tesla’s Mystery Tour Rolls Past More Weak Earnings
The secret to getting a trillion-dollar valuation on a struggling car company is to convince everyone that you are not in fact a car company.
US Stocks Notch Fresh Record as Trump Reaches Deal With Japan
The record-breaking rally in US equities continued on Wednesday as President Donald Trump reached a trade deal with Japan and investors geared up for the first round of big tech earnings later today.
Bitcoin in Your 401(k)? That’s Not a Risk I Would Take
Crypto does have a future — as a speculative asset that enhances risk for gamblers, the paranoid, and less sophisticated investors, all the while diverting capital from more productive uses.
With Google Deal, Fusion Energy Inches Closer to Reality
In news of the future, Google is buying a boatload of fusion energy. The only problem is that its supplier lacks a power plant, has produced no energy to date, and may never do so on commercially viable terms.
Dimon’s Success Creates Headaches for JPMorgan
“The size, scale and scope of JPMorgan Chase also offer huge advantages,” Jamie Dimon wrote in a letter to shareholders — his first as chief executive officer at the end of 2005.
Cathie Wood’s Ark Bets on Tom Lee’s Ether Treasury Firm BitMine
Cathie Wood snapped up shares of Tom Lee’s BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc., a US-listed Bitcoin miner that recently pivoted to pursue a treasury strategy tied to Ether, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency.
Jack Dorsey’s Tech Vision in Spotlight as Block Enters S&P 500
Jack Dorsey’s Block Inc. joins the coveted S&P 500 on Wednesday, a symbolic milestone that puts the digital finance firm — pursuing everything from mobile banking to Bitcoin mining — under Wall Street’s spotlight.
Crypto Whales Drive $4 Trillion Market Revival on Policy Optimism
A relentless wave of optimism is sweeping the nearly $4 trillion crypto market, driven by a frenzy of Washington policy moves accelerating its assimilation into regulated finance.
Kraft Heinz Failure Is a Cautionary Tale for Many M&A Deals
One of the most totemic deals in the consumer goods industry could soon be unwound – the 2015 combination of HJ Heinz Co. and Kraft Foods Group Inc.
PNC Teams Up With Coinbase to Give Banking Clients Crypto Access
PNC Financial Services Group Inc. formed a partnership with crypto exchange Coinbase Global Inc. to offer its banking customers access to digital-currency services.
Is Wall Street Still Too Bearish on the Impact of Tariffs?
“Liberation Day” feels like a long time ago. Since President Donald Trump shocked markets with sky-high new tariff rates and a hasty U-turn, the S&P 500 Index has rebounded to all-time highs.
Nvidia’s Breakneck Rally Shows Signs of Overheating
Nvidia Corp. traders keep getting reasons to buy the stock, but the breakneck rally is showing signs of overheating.
Activist Investors Target $30 Billion Tied Up in Biotech Stocks
Every so often, activist investors swarm around underperforming companies in a certain industry and pressure them to change strategy. Right now, it’s biotech startups that are flush with cash but still years from successful drug approvals that are in the crosshairs.
US Stocks Flirt With Fresh Record Ahead of Earnings-Heavy Week
US equities advanced on Monday as traders prepared for a busy week of earnings, with big names such as Tesla Inc. and Alphabet Inc. set to report.
Private Equity Cuts Leveraged Loan Banks Out of M&A — and Fees
What do one of the largest private-school operators in the UK, a Spanish waste management company and a European fast food franchise of Burger King have in common? Their private equity owners are readying sales that don’t need debt underwriters.
Invesco Aims to Unlock Hundreds of Millions in Profit From QQQ
It’s a quirk in the booming world of passive investing: Famed tech fund QQQ is the most profitable offering in the $11.7 trillion ETF industry, but Invesco Ltd. earns virtually nothing from running it. Now the asset manager is asking shareholders to change that.
The Battle of the Robotaxis is Beginning
Conventional wisdom has it that the rise of robotaxis is bad for Uber Technologies Inc. and oh so good for Tesla Inc.
Wall Street Signals Stablecoin Fightback as Crypto Bills Advance
In a rare public embrace of the once-shunned world of crypto, the heads of America’s largest banks made one thing clear this week: stablecoins are no longer at the fringe of finance.
Big Tech ‘Acquihiring’ Is an Ugly But Useful Trend
If you’re a venture capitalist, you dream of backing the next billion-dollar startup to one day feast on the returns of a sale.
GE Aerospace Investors Don’t Realize They Have a Cash Machine
GE Aerospace just hit it out of the park on earnings.
US Stocks Rebound After Trump Says No Plans to Fire Powell
The S&P 500 Index finished within striking distance of all-time highs after whipsawing on whether President Donald Trump will fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
EQT Underlying Profit Surges as Exits Climb to €13 Billion
Swedish private equity group EQT AB reported better-than-expected underlying profit in the first half of 2025 as exit volumes jumped and all of its funds performed at or above plan.
Trump’s U-Turn on Nvidia Spurs Talk of Grand Bargain With China
Only a few years ago, the Biden administration declared export controls a “new strategic asset” to help the US maintain “as large a lead as possible” over China in advanced technology. President Donald Trump is now upending that approach.
Feinberg Brings Wall Street Drive to Rare-Earth Minerals Push
Just four months into his tenure at the Pentagon, private equity billionaire Steve Feinberg has landed his first big deal: a $400 million bet on the US’s only miner of rare-earth elements, a key commodity in the rivalry with China.
Goldman Posts Best Stock-Trading Quarter in Wall Street History
Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s stock traders posted the largest revenue haul in Wall Street history, as volatility sparked by the Trump administration’s trade war spurred a second straight record quarter for the unit.
Bitcoin Chases American Dream in Norm-Shattering Mortgage Push
What was once dismissed as a fringe fantasy by a niche band of crypto believers is now being tentatively examined by the government-sponsored entities at the core of the US housing market.
Trump Hails $92 Billion in Investments for AI, Energy Projects
President Donald Trump hailed more than $92 billion in investments in artificial intelligence and energy infrastructure during a visit to Pennsylvania, highlighting his efforts to bolster US competitiveness in the AI field.
JPMorgan and Citi Clients Are Getting Comfortable With Chaos
Chief executive officers in the US and beyond are becoming accustomed to the policy swings of President Donald Trump and are deciding they can pursue growth ambitions regardless.
Qube to Enter US After Building $30 Billion Hedge Fund Giant
In roughly seven years, Qube Research & Technologies has grown into a hedge fund powerhouse without setting foot in the US — the industry’s mecca. That’s about to change.
BlackRock Hits Record $12.5 Trillion in Assets Amid Turmoil
BlackRock Inc. pulled in $46 billion to its investment funds, and assets hit a record $12.5 trillion as clients rode out the volatility of President Donald Trump’s tariff policies in the second quarter.
JPMorgan’s Surprise Dealmaking Gain Shows Tariff Fear Easing
JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s investment bankers eked out a surprise gain in the second quarter, signaling what may be the start of a dealmaking rebound after widespread hesitation tied to US tariff policies.
Apple to Buy Rare Earths From Pentagon-Backed US Producer MP
Apple Inc. has struck a $500 million deal to buy rare-earth minerals from MP Materials Corp., the US producer that just last week secured backing from the Pentagon.
Can Wall Street Help Solve the US Housing Crisis?
Housing affordability has become a flashpoint in the US economy. How can the country be truly wealthy when the bulk of a rising generation can’t afford a home?
Nvidia, AMD to Resume AI Chip Sales to China in US Reversal
Nvidia Corp. and Advanced Micro Devices Inc. plan to resume sales of some AI chips in China after securing Washington’s assurances that such shipments would get approved, a dramatic reversal from the Trump administration’s earlier stance on measures designed to limit Beijing’s AI ambitions.
Emerging Asia Bonds Are the New Standards for Fiscal Control
Bond investors worried about rising fiscal deficits are turning to an unusual haven: emerging markets.
Banks Are Bringing Boots $4.25 Billion Buyout Debt to Market
Banks are looking to sell $2.25 billion of term loans and $2 billion equivalent of bonds for Boots, to help finance its acquisition by US private equity firm Sycamore Partners, according to people familiar with the matter.
Elon Musk Turns to Tesla and SpaceX to Fuel His AI Ambitions
The money behind Elon Musk’s trillion-dollar empire is increasingly flowing in one direction: toward artificial intelligence.
Bitcoin Soars Past $120,000 as US Congress Starts ‘Crypto Week’
Bitcoin breached $120,000 for the first time, with investor enthusiasm showing few signs of dimming as the US House of Representatives prepares to consider key industry legislation during its “Crypto Week” starting Monday.
Apple Faces Calls to Reboot AI Strategy With Shares Slumping
Apple Inc. is facing pressure to shake up its corporate playbook to invigorate its struggling artificial intelligence efforts.
Private Credit Lures the Ultra-Rich Sitting on $3.1 Trillion
At a private markets conference focused on the ultra-rich in London this week, the typically discreet sector was notably candid about its growing interest in private credit.
CLOs Attract Domestic, Foreign Banks, Pushing Up Loan Prices
Banks from Wells Fargo & Co. to smaller Japanese lenders are flocking to top-rated collateralized loan obligation deals, pushing up secondary prices for buyout debt.
Crypto Treasury Firms Swarm Wall Street in SPAC, Merger Boom
A multibillion-dollar capital markets experiment is unfolding on Wall Street, as entrepreneurs use blank-check companies and reverse mergers to take their holdings of digital assets public.
Bitcoin Options Traders Eye $120,000 as Token Extends Record Run
Bitcoin options traders are already setting their sights on higher prices as the original cryptocurrency extends its record-breaking rally for a second day.
Big Banks Are Tired of Losing Recruits to Private Equity
JPMorgan Chase & Co. bosses grew curious last summer as they clocked an unusual number of absences at the training sessions that kicked off their ultra-competitive junior analyst program.
Crypto Renaissance Means It’s Time to Protect Banks
With the price of digital assets testing the boundaries of plausibility, and Congress promising legislation to boost the industry further, now might be a good time for bank regulators to take notice.
Social Security Needs More Than Risky Wagers
I have been a pension nerd since I was 20 years old. So I have been hearing for literally decades that there is a simple, magical solution to all our retirement funding problems: Just take more risk! When the investments pay off, the coffers will be replenished and all will be well.
Zuckerberg’s $100 Million AI Job Offers Are Paying Off
Nothing says talent war like a $100 million job offer. Mark Zuckerberg has been on a hiring blitz for AI’s most revered scientists, sending them cold emails and offering them roles in his new Superintelligence Labs division whose goal is nothing less than to build artificial-intelligence software that’s smarter than humans.
Are Parents Ready to Keep the Bank of Mom and Dad Open?
Young Americans are having trouble becoming fully independent adults. Millennials, who were long ridiculed for being boomerang kids who scurried back to mom and dad’s basement after leaving the security blanket of college, know a thing or two about that.
Huawei Seeks AI Chip Customers in Middle East, Southeast Asia
Huawei Technologies Co. is trying to export small quantities of AI chips to the Middle East and Southeast Asia, an effort to establish a foothold in markets dominated by Nvidia Corp. despite ongoing manufacturing challenges.
Pentagon Invests in Rare Earth Magnet Producer to Back New Plant
Rare earth magnet producer MP Materials Corp. secured a $400 million equity investment from the US Department of Defense to build a new plant, with a $1 billion financing commitment from JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. The shares soared.
Stocks Steady as Traders Look Through Chaos to Corporate Results
US equities swung between small gains and losses at the open Thursday as investors parsed through a slew of tariff headlines and looked ahead to corporate results that are due to start in the earnest next week.
Private Equity-Backed US IPOs Return With Plenty of Leverage
Private equity firms are bringing their portfolio companies back to the US IPO market, testing investor demand for firms that have more debt than other recent listings.
US Treasuries Jump as Strong Auction Calms Investor Jitters
The Treasury market rallied after an auction of 10-year notes drew strong demand, easing concerns that investors will balk at financing swelling US deficits.
First Leveraged CLO ETF Tests Retail Crowd’s Appetite for Risk
Reckoner Capital Management is testing investors’ hunger for a new category of risky bets with an exchange-traded fund that uses leverage to juice returns on collateralized loan obligations.
Wall Street Builds S&P 500 ‘No Dividend’ Fund in New Tax Dodge
Wall Street’s latest tax dodge doesn’t hide in the Cayman Islands or rely on complex derivatives.
Treasury Bulls Unwind Big Bets as Strong Data Pushes Yields Up
Futures traders have been unwinding some large bullish bets on Treasury bonds, adding to the recent upward pressure on US yields after a surprisingly strong jobs report last week.
Wall Street Builds S&P 500 ‘No Dividend’ Fund in New Tax Dodge
Wall Street’s latest tax dodge doesn’t hide in the Cayman Islands or rely on complex derivatives. It’s engineered to turn a publicly traded fund into a tax-minimizing machine that hums quietly on autopilot.
Megabills Didn’t Break the Economy Before and Won’t Now
Opinions of the One Big Beautiful Bill tend toward the extreme. One of its main authors calls it “the greatest piece of Republican legislation in a generation,” while one of its most authoritative critics says it makes him ashamed to be an American.
Trump Is Opening a New Chapter in US Foreign Policy
Nearly six months into Donald Trump’s presidency, a Trump Doctrine is coming into view.
Apple Loses Top AI Models Executive to Meta’s Hiring Spree
Apple Inc.’s top executive in charge of artificial intelligence models is leaving for Meta Platforms Inc., another setback in the iPhone maker’s struggling AI efforts.
What If This Time Really Is Different for Investors?
They have been called “the four most costly words in the annals of investing,” and surely that’s true: This time is different. Still — hear me out! — there are reasons to entertain the possibility that, well, this time really is different.
Asian Economies in Rush to Cut Tariff Deals as US Deadline Moves
Asian countries including Japan and South Korea said they’ll keep pushing for a better deal for their exports to the US after President Donald Trump shifted his tariff deadline to Aug. 1 and tweaked the rates he’s set for many economies.
Robinhood Discussing Tokenized Equities With Regulators
Robinhood Markets Inc. Chief Executive Officer Vlad Tenev said the firm is in talks with regulators over its offering of tokenized equities in Europe, after the launch drew rebuke from companies including OpenAI.
Cathie Wood Bats Away Latest Musk Controversy After Tesla Slide
Cathie Wood, a longtime backer of Elon Musk, is standing by the Tesla Inc. chief executive after a turbulent start to the week that saw shares in the electric vehicle-maker plunge after the billionaire businessman announced he’s forming a new political party.
Stocks Hold Steady on Hope Trade Talks Have Room for Negotiation
US equities were steady at the open on Tuesday as President Donald Trump’s latest tariff warnings left room for hope that he was still open to negotiations.
Brazil's BRICS Fixation Has Delivered Few Benefits
As leaders of the China-led group of emerging-market economies known as the BRICS descend on Rio de Janeiro for their summit starting Sunday, expect the usual coterie of talking heads offering prepared remarks to the media with the city’s iconic Sugarloaf mountain serving as a picturesque backdrop.
Hot Junk Loan Market Hits Stumbling Blocks as Investors Feel Squeeze
A pre-summer frenzy in junk loans is seeing the market start to overheat, prompting investors to get a bit more picky about deals after spreads reached the tightest levels in years.
Taiwan Stock ETFs Lead Inflows in Asia With $19 Billion Haul
Traders are swarming to equity-focused, exchange-traded funds listed in Taiwan, with demand from retail investors and a strong local currency driving up flows.
Trump Sets Aug. 1 Start for Tariffs Ahead of Wednesday Deadline
President Donald Trump plans to announce trade deals and deliver tariff warnings on Monday, as countries negotiated through the weekend to avoid the highest punitive measures on their exports to the US before a Wednesday deadline.
Goldman Sachs Shops High-Yield Debt Deal for Gray Media
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is leading a potential transaction for Gray Media Inc. to help the company refinance some of its existing debt, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
Summit Is in Talks for $15 Billion Partnership With AstraZeneca
AstraZeneca Plc is discussing a partnership deal with Summit Therapeutics Inc. in which it could pay as much as $15 billion over time to license a lung-cancer drug, according to people familiar with the matter.
BlackRock Weighs Selling Stake in Saudi Aramco Gas Pipelines
BlackRock Inc. is considering a sale of its stake in the leasing rights to Saudi Aramco’s natural-gas pipeline network back to the energy giant, according to people familiar with the matter.
Stock Pickers Shine, Sniffing Out Value During Market Tumult
Value investing has long been out of favor in US stocks and last quarter was no different, as an index of beaten-down shares badly trailed the broader market’s furious rally.
Powell Silence on His Future Complicates Trump Fed Chair Search
As President Donald Trump and his advisers begin weighing replacements for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, they’re running into one significant complication: It’s not clear that Powell will leave the US central bank next year.
Wells Fargo to Ramp Up Buying CLOs After Three-Year Retreat
Wells Fargo & Co. is ramping up buying top-rated collateralized loan obligations, after largely staying away from the $1.3 trillion market following interest rate hikes in 2022, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
Trump’s Vietnam Deal Stokes Asia Concern as Trade Deadline Looms
Vietnam’s trade deal with the US is a wake-up call for Asian governments grappling with the reality that higher tariffs are here to stay.
AstraZeneca CEO Wants to Move Listing to US, Times Reports
AstraZeneca Plc’s Chief Executive Officer Pascal Soriot wants to move the drugmaker’s stock listing to the US, the Times reported, in what would be another sign of the UK’s waning status as a magnet for global capital.
Bond Traders Scrap Bets on July Rate Cut After Strong Jobs Data
Treasuries tumbled after a stronger-than-expected jobs report for June prompted traders to exit bets on an interest-rate cut by the Federal Reserve this month.
The Surprising Tariff Lesson Buried in Inflation Data
If the Trump administration’s tariff policies result in higher overall inflation, a scenario that will play out in the coming weeks, the question is who will pay for it.
Today’s Housing Math Favors Buying — Even in Austin
With mortgage rates still near 7%, even relatively wealthy households are choosing to rent rather than buy, and it’s easy to understand why.
Tesla Hit Refresh on Its EVs. It Didn't Work.: Liam Denning
Forget Tesla for a moment. Just imagine an anonymous company with the following characteristics.
Apple, Alphabet and Tesla are Holding the S&P 500 Rally Back
Investors may be tempted to imagine how much higher the S&P 500 Index would be if three of its most influential stocks weren’t lagging behind.
JPMorgan’s Blockchain Unit Explores Tokenizing Carbon Credits
JPMorgan Chase & Co. is developing a new service to tokenize carbon credits and is partnering with a trio of carbon companies for an initial trial.
Treasuries Fall for Second Day With Focus on US Jobs Numbers
Treasuries are set for a second daily drop heading into a double whammy of labor data, following an unexpected jump in US job opening numbers.
Netflix’s Lofty Valuation Has Even Bullish Investors Nervous
Netflix Inc. investors face a dilemma: Continue to bet on a stock that has delivered best-in-class returns over the past year or reconsider shares that increasingly look like they’re priced for perfection.
EU to Accept Trump Universal Tariff but Seeks Key Exemptions
The European Union is willing to accept a trade arrangement with the US that includes a 10% universal tariff on many of the bloc’s exports, but wants the US to commit to lower rates than that on key sectors such as pharmaceuticals, alcohol, semiconductors and commercial aircraft.
Carney Gives Trump a Small Trade Victory in Hunt for Larger Deal
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney handed US President Donald Trump a win in the hope of making bigger gains in trade negotiations.
US Job Openings Unexpectedly Rise to Highest Since November
US job openings unexpectedly rose in May to the highest level since November, largely fueled by leisure and hospitality, and layoffs declined, pointing to a stable labor market despite economic uncertainty.
Hedge Funds Pile In as Big US Banks Soar to All-Time Highs
US lenders are on a tear and hedge funds are snapping up shares at a furious pace, underscoring Wall Street’s increasing conviction that their record-breaking rally has more room to run.
Visa, Mastercard Race to Capture a $253 Billion Crypto Threat
A turf war is breaking out in the vast world of digital payments — and the incumbents are suddenly on defense.
UniCredit to Offer BlackRock Bitcoin ETF-Linked Product for Some Clients
UniCredit SpA will offer its professional clients a structured product tied to BlackRock Inc.’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF that features full protection against losses, as European banks seek new ways to tap into appetite for digital assets.
Europe Should Stop Worrying and Learn to Love Nuclear
Just a few decades ago, Europe led the world in adopting nuclear. It relied on the technology for more than 30% of its electricity and accounted for more than 40% of global production.
S&P 500 Set for Best Quarter Since December 2023
Stocks are wrapping up a stellar quarter at all-time highs amid signs of progress in US trade talks while hopes the Federal Reserve will resume its rate cuts drove Treasuries toward their biggest first-half stretch in five years. The dollar eyed its longest monthly slide since 2017.
Fed Versus Trump on Tariffs Impact Will Soon Be Put to the Test
It’s a widely held belief among economists that President Donald Trump’s tariffs will boost inflation notably over the next few months. But muted price increases so far have called that assumption into question, emboldening the White House and opening up divisions at the Federal Reserve.
Bessent Says Current Yields Mean No Sense in Long Debt Ramp-Up
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent indicated it wouldn’t make sense for the government to ramp up sales of longer-term securities given where yields are today, though he held out hope that interest rates across maturities will be falling as inflation slows.
Stocks are Defying the Naysayers. They Can Keep Going.
The S&P 500 Index just rallied back to all-time highs, brushing off the April tariff shock, the conflict with Iran and the insidious and persistent increase in US continuing jobless claims.
Shell May Still Need M&A After Ruling Out Buying BP
British oil and gas giant Shell Plc has quashed a rumor: It’s not buying BP Plc. But last week’s forceful denial doesn’t address why the M&A chatter gained so much traction, which has less to do with the parlous state of BP than with Shell itself.
A Maybe Mirror Image of SpaceX Is Enough for Some Investors
The digital assets platform Republic is touting plans to give retail investors access to the world’s hottest private companies starting with Elon Musk’s SpaceX via mirror tokens.
Google Is Betting on a Fusion Future in Power Deal With Commonwealth
Alphabet Inc.’s Google has agreed to purchase 200 megawatts of power from Commonwealth Fusion Systems’ planned first commercial plant, which is expected to begin delivering electricity to the grid in the early 2030s.
US Consumer Sentiment Climbs as Inflation Expectations Improve
US consumer sentiment rose sharply in June to a four-month high and inflation expectations improved notably as concerns eased about the economic outlook and personal finances.
China’s AI Dragons Risk Choking Each Other
It’s a story that has played out many times in the history of China’s tech sector. Notoriously fierce competition means that whenever a new craze comes along, scores of rivals emerge ready to pounce.
Five Years From Wirecard, Europe’s Shorts Are Still Unloved
Short selling ought to have gotten easier in Europe since Wirecard AG filed for insolvency five years ago this week.
How to Avoid Bank Safety’s Death by Many Cuts
The Federal Reserve is aiming to lessen the costly fluctuations in bank capital demands created by its annual stress tests. But big lenders are pushing for more relief while the central bank is politically weakened and some board members seem keen to please the White House.
Tesla’s $800 Billion Robotaxi Dream Is Finally Facing Reality
Unlike us mere mortals, time is usually on Tesla Inc.’s side. The launch of its robotaxi service this week has inverted that, and at a moment of particular weakness for the company.
How Small Apartments in Big Buildings Became the US Norm
The US apartment-building boom that began about a decade ago appears to have ended last year, but it did so with a bang. It was the biggest year for apartment completions since 1986 and the biggest year ever for apartments in large buildings — that is, those with 30 to 49 and 50 or more units.
S&P 500 Extends Rally, Closing Just Short of Its All-Time High
US stocks climbed Thursday, ending the day on the cusp of a record as optimism around potential rate cuts stoked risk-on sentiment across financial markets.
Nvidia Breakout Puts $4 Trillion Market Value Within Reach
Two years after Nvidia Corp. made history by becoming the first chipmaker to achieve a $1 trillion market capitalization, an even more remarkable milestone is within its grasp: becoming the first company to reach $4 trillion.
Crypto’s Audacious Bid to Rebuild Stock Market on the Blockchain
First, they came for the currency market. Then, the money market. Now, crypto’s big disruptors are targeting the multi-trillion-dollar heart of global capitalism: the stock market.
Masayoshi Son Hints at Succession Plan While Chasing AI Ambition
Masayoshi Son acknowledged the outlines of a succession plan at SoftBank Group Corp., addressing what may be investors’ single biggest concern regarding the long-term future of the Japanese company.
Lutnick Says US-China Trade Truce Signed, 10 Deals Imminent
The US and China finalized a trade understanding reached last month in Geneva, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said, adding that the White House has imminent plans to reach agreements with a set of 10 major trading partners.
Treasuries Rally, Dollar Slumps as Trump Eyes Powell Successor
The dollar fell and US Treasuries rallied after a report that President Donald Trump is considering naming Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s successor well before the incumbent’s term is scheduled to end next May.
US IPO Stocks Jump Over 50% in 2025 as Investor Appetite for Risk Grows
Roaring returns for US IPOs are driving fresh optimism that activity will pick up steam later this year and into 2026, even as worries over geopolitics and President Donald Trump’s tariffs hang over the market.
To Buy British, Think Bonds and Not Stocks
It's not often that UK stocks are singled out as a "favorite geopolitical hedge," as Citigroup Inc. strategists boldly stated last week. So perhaps the elegant stance would be to simply take the rare praise when it's so kindly offered.
US Firm Backs $760 Million Congo-Rwanda-Burundi Hydropower Plant
A long-delayed plan to build a hydropower plant on the Ruzizi River between Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo received a boost amid US-backed peace talks between the two countries.
Deals Veteran Ken Moelis Sees World ‘Getting Better Every Day’
Ken Moelis, the veteran Wall Street dealmaker, predicted a golden era of prosperity across the globe, shrugging off tariff uncertainty and wars in the Middle East.
SPACs Are Back. What Could Go Wrong This Time?
Following a surge in new listings by special purpose acquisition companies, one can’t help but worry about how astonishingly short Wall Street’s memory is. T
Bond Traders May Have Found the Next Greece
Just when the International Monetary Fund sees slower growth around the globe, the economy the World Bank ranks 112 out of 196 based on gross domestic product is leading everyone – with the opposite outlook.
AQR Bets on Levered Trades in First New US Mutual Funds in Years
AQR Capital Management is doubling down on a strategy that seeks to juice returns with leverage for its first new US mutual funds in four years.
Qatar-Linked Private Bank to Expand BlackRock Wealth Offerings
One of Europe’s largest pure-play banks, which is controlled by members of Qatar’s ruling family, is expanding a partnership with BlackRock Inc. to bolster its investing services.
Dubai and Abu Dhabi’s Haven Status Tested by Mideast Crisis
The United Arab Emirates has managed to thrive during global instability, drawing capital during the Arab Spring, opening up quickly during the pandemic and attracting Russian money after Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine.
Trump Policies Will Cut Deficits Up to $11 Trillion, White House Economist Says
President Donald Trump’s economic policies will reduce US fiscal deficits by up to $11 trillion over the coming decade, according to the White House’s chief economist — a projection at variance with independent analysis.
Wall Street Says Buy Tech as Geopolitical Risks Often Contained
As tensions in the Middle East mounted to start the week, Wall Street strategists had a message for US equities investors: Stay calm and buy into market declines. The call looked prescient on Tuesday after President Donald Trump announced a ceasefire between Israel and Iran.
The Bernanke Consensus on Oil Shocks is Truer Than Ever
If we’ve seen the worst of the oil price shock from the Israel-Iran conflict, then another ostensible impediment to Federal Reserve interest rate cuts may have just disappeared.
Apple Has No Need to Panic-Buy Its Way to AI Glory
Now that the Big Tech conference season is behind us, the smart money in Apple Land is saying that Chief Executive Officer Tim Cook should be preparing to open his checkbook for a huge AI deal, so apparent are the company’s shortcomings.
Millennium's $14 Billion Valuation Hinges on Scarcity
Investors have been waiting years for the chance to buy a stake in hedge fund Millennium Management.
Siemens Is Battling Big Tech for AI Supremacy at Factories
In a new Siemens AG factory that makes large switchboards for data centers in Fort Worth, Texas, artificial intelligence is doing a lot of work.
Fed’s Bowman Says ‘Time Has Come’ to Revisit Key Capital Buffer
Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman warned the current approach to leverage ratio requirements has led to unintended consequences in the market while adding she could support lowering interest rates as soon as July.
Young Investor Demand for Alternative Assets Is Reshaping Wall Street's Playbook
Wall Street has a new favorite investor. They’re young, they’re affluent and they’re skeptical that traditional markets can deliver wealth over the long haul. Shaped by financial crises and fueled by tech optimism, this well-heeled class of Millennials and Gen Z are moving their money into the buzzy world of alternative assets.
Don’t Be Fooled by Treasury Yields
It may seem as if Treasuries are the better bet these days with the US stock market back near record highs and government securities offering respectable yields again. But stocks are still likely to pay more.
Investors Rush to Pour Cash Into $7.4 Trillion US Money-Market Fund Industry
The rush of cash into the US money-market funds is showing few signs of slowing as it secured a record $7.4 trillion in assets.
Dollar Surges as Mideast Escalation Spurs Inflation Risk
The dollar rose to the highest level in nearly a month as US strikes on Iran spurred demand for the haven currency while underscoring the risks posed by climbing oil prices.
Fiserv to Offer Own Stablecoin, Partners With PayPal and Circle
Fiserv Inc. is lauching its own stablecoin and joining with both traditional and crypto payments firms PayPal Holdings Inc. and Circle Internet Group Inc. to develop products for financial institutions and merchants within the banking technology provider’s ecosystem.
US Stocks Gain as Fed’s Waller Offers Hope on July Rate Cut
US stocks rose on Friday as investors returned from the Juneteenth holiday break to evaluate recent comments from a top Federal Reserve official as well as the latest developments in the conflict between Israel and Iran.
Why Cutting Federal Spending to Pre-Pandemic Levels Is So Hard
Given that the bill’s failure to reduce the deficit is due in part to its extension and expansion of the special tax treatment for non-corporate businesses that Johnson insisted on in 2017, which will cost an estimated $820 billion over the next decade, the senator does not make for the most credible of deficit hawks.
Trump’s Trade School Idea Is a $3 Billion Winner
The president recently expressed his support for a great idea: investing an additional $3 billion in trade schools.
The Fed Is Just as Confused as the Rest of Us
The most powerful institution in global finance is as completely and utterly confused as the rest of us.
Bessent’s Top Bank Reform is Good for Markets
US banks seem likely to get the changes they want to an obscure but important rule known as the supplementary leverage ratio.
Nvidia’s ‘Sovereign’ AI Could Win a Prize for Irony
Nvidia Corp. billionaire boss Jensen Huang, clad in his signature leather jacket, has been crisscrossing European capitals and sharing the stage with the likes of Keir Starmer and Emmanuel Macron as he pitches “sovereign” artificial intelligence, a vision of new data centers offering essential compute power within national borders rather than via dominant tech firms from abroad.
Blackstone Sees $200 Billion in Potential European Credit Deals
Blackstone Inc. sees a $200 billion investment opportunity in European credit over the next 10 years, underscoring the region’s appeal to investors looking for alternatives to the US.
Wall Street Fears Hawkish Fed Will Trigger Stock Market Selloff
Not much seems to faze the stock market these days even as risks abound, from war in the Middle East, to trade tensions, to slowing growth. But Wall Street’s biggest fear arrives today when the Federal Reserve meeting ends and Chair Jerome Powell explains the central bank’s outlook.
US Stocks Rise as Investors Await Federal Reserve Rate Decision
US stocks gained on Wednesday with investors looking ahead to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision.
Broadcom’s 340% Rally Has Wall Street Debating If It's Magnificent Seven Material
For more than two years, conversations about the biggest, most important technology companies have revolved around the same seven stocks. Now, some on Wall Street are making the case that Broadcom Inc. should be part of that discussion.
Treasuries Hold Gains as Fed Rate-Cut Expectations Remain Intact
Treasury yields declined Tuesday as US economic data left intact expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least once more in 2025.
More Central Banks Than Ever Plan to Build Up Their Gold Hoards
A record share of the world’s central banks plans to accumulate more gold over the next 12 months, drawn by bullion’s performance during times of crisis and protection against inflation.
Trump Tax Bill to Boost Biden’s Chip Tax Credit to 30%
The Senate’s draft tax bill calls for increasing an investment credit for semiconductor manufacturers, a potential boon for chipmakers that the Trump administration is urging to increase the size of their US projects.
Active ETFs Now Outnumber Passive Funds in Industry Watershed Moment
The ETF market has hit a symbolic turning point: active funds now outnumber passive ones for the first time, marking a sharp break from the industry’s index-tracking origins — even if actively managed assets still account for just a tenth of assets.
Fannie and Freddie Can Never Be Truly Privatized: The Editorial Board
Ever since their near collapse during the 2008 financial crisis, the mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have performed impressively under the conservatorship of the US government.
JPMorgan Names O’Donovan Head of International Consumer Bank
JPMorgan Chase & Co. named Mark O’Donovan head of its international consumer bank, giving him oversight of the firm’s existing consumer offering in the UK, planned launch in Germany and stake in Brazil’s C6 Bank.
Unicorn Juniper Square Sells Picks and Shovels of Private Market Boom
Venture capitalists are betting on a product that’s close to their hearts: software for venture capitalists. Juniper Square Inc., a software provider for VCs and other private investors, has raised $130 million in a deal that values the company at $1.1 billion.
Traders Hold Their Nerve to Ride Bumpy Emerging-Market Rally
Investors are betting the months-long rally in emerging markets has further to run even as tariff threats and escalating geopolitical tensions signal a rocky path ahead.
Meta Gets Out Its Checkbook to Catch Up in the AI Race
It sounded like something that should have come from the sports desk — a $14.3 billion transfer fee for a young up-and-coming prospect as Meta Platforms Inc. looks to rebuild its team for the tough season ahead.
Blackstone Taps Ex-Lazard Top Dealmaker, Aims to Back More Banks
Blackstone Inc. hired Joseph Cassanelli, a banker who drove major Wall Street deals, as the private equity firm prepares to invest more in banks and insurers.
Pre-IPO Marketplace Hiive Eyes Funding as Competition Rises
Hiive Markets Ltd., an online trading platform for shares of venture-backed companies, is hoping to raise as much as $100 million as soon as this year, its chief executive officer said.
JPMorgan Can Retain Junior Bankers With Cash, Not Threats
Investment banks and private equity firms are fighting over the kids again.
The South Is Beating Inflation — But Not Housing
US economic data continue to send mixed signals, keeping uncertainty high on interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve later this year.
The Florida Pension Fund Managers Who've Beaten the S&P 500 Over 50 Years
Unlike most other US public retirement plans of its size, the Tampa Fire & Police Pension Fund doesn’t invest in hedge funds, private equity or private credit.
Cathie Wood Says Trump Era Is Reviving Corporate Risk Appetite
Corporate America is regaining its appetite for risk as expectations build around Donald Trump’s push for deregulation and tax cuts, according to ARK Investment Management founder Cathie Wood.
Vanguard Seeks SEC Approval to Expand Tax-Busting Fund Design
Vanguard Group Inc., the investment giant famous for low-cost index funds, is seeking regulatory approval to expand its signature tax-saving fund structure — as anticipation grows that the Securities and Exchange Commission under Paul Atkins will soon embrace the design en masse.
Options Signal EM Firms’ Outperformance Could Fade: Taking Stock
For US traders, developing-country stocks have been a surprising source of returns as Donald Trump’s trade war roiled the S&P 500 Index.
Harvard and Yale Will Finally Lift the Veil on Private Assets
If I told someone with even a little investing experience that I own an asset that pays like stocks but is stable like bonds, they would probably think I was a huckster or a fool. Yet many of the most sophisticated investors claim to own such a thing.
The Fed Can Now Declare Victory Over Inflation
When it comes to inflation, America has reached a “Mission Accomplished” moment. Rule No. 1 of inflation reports is never to read too much into one report, but there have now been several months of fairly low inflation, so it seems safe to call it: The Fed did its job. Pandemic inflation is over.
BlackRock Targets $400 Billion Private-Market Haul by 2030
BlackRock Inc., the world’s largest asset manager, boosted its annual revenue target for 2030 and set its first-ever firmwide target for private-markets fundraising at $400 billion by then.
US, China Officials Agree on Plan That Awaits Xi, Trump Sign-Off
The US and China capped two days of high-stakes trade talks with a plan to revive the flow of sensitive goods — a framework now awaiting the blessing of Donald Trump and Xi Jinping.
Why is Inflation Defying Tariff Fears?
It’s premature to assume that tariffs won’t push up inflation, but the developments have been pretty encouraging thus far.
Trump Says Again He’ll Set Unilateral Tariffs in Two Weeks
President Donald Trump said he intended to send letters to trading partners in the next one to two weeks setting unilateral tariff rates, ahead of a July 9 deadline to reimpose higher duties on dozens of economies.
Treasuries Rally as Soft Inflation Fuels Bets on Fed Rate Cuts
US Treasuries surged as easing US consumer inflation prompted traders to increase their wagers on more than one Federal Reserve interest-rate cut this year.
London’s Incredible Shrinking Stock Market
Back in 2016, Intercontinental Exchange Inc., the owner of the New York Stock Exchange, revealed that it was considering an offer for the London Stock Exchange Group Plc.
Equity Analysts Are Over Liberation Day Tariffs
Wall Street analyst outlooks are typically bullish. If you aggregate every price target on every S&P 500 Index company and weight them to match the index, it’s exceedingly rare for the overall number to fall.
US Stocks Waffle as Traders Weigh US-China Trade Progress
US stocks oscillated between small gains and losses on Wednesday, as traders look past an upbeat report on cooling consumer prices and assess the outlook for global trade.
US Core Inflation Rises Less Than Forecast for Fourth Month
Underlying US inflation rose in May by less than forecast for the fourth month in a row, suggesting companies are largely holding back on passing higher tariff costs through to consumers.
Stablecoins Bring Crypto to the Mainstream. What Could Go Wrong?
Stablecoins are a special flavor of cryptocurrency. Unlike Bitcoin or countless wildly traded memecoins, whose values rise and fall based on market moods, the most popular versions of these digital tokens are supposed to always be worth $1 each.
Blackstone Plans $500 Billion Europe Investment, CEO Says
Blackstone Inc. is planning to invest as much as $500 billion in Europe over the next 10 years, underlining the continent’s growing appeal to investors during a period of geopolitical flux.
Wary Wall Street Positioning Leaves Room for S&P 500 to Rally
Analysts at firms including Barclays Plc and JPMorgan Chase & Co. see further upside for US stocks, in part because they expect institutional investors to abandon their cautious stance and ramp up exposure to equities.
A College Degree is no Longer a Risk-Free Investment
My unifying theory of finance is that everything goes seriously wrong when people start seeing something — a bond, a mortgage-backed security, a crypto exchange — as risk-free when it isn’t.
Credit Investors Embrace Portfolio Trades as ETF Grip Eases
Investors looking to move big blocks of corporate bonds have long relied on exchange-traded funds listed on stock exchanges to jump in and out of positions. But now, they’re increasingly trading directly in the debt market.
Wall Street Has a Hot Way to Sell Private Assets to the Masses
The push to put private assets in the hands of individual investors is breathing new life into a relatively quiet corner of the asset management industry: interval funds.
US Stocks Fluctuate as US-China Trade Talks Kick Off in London
US stocks flipped between small gains and losses on Monday as investors awaited the outcome of crucial trade talks between Washington and Beijing in London.
Vanguard Set to Challenge BlackRock’s Grip on Ex-China ETF Trade
Vanguard Group Inc. is launching a low-cost fund focused on emerging-market stocks while explicitly avoiding China, muscling into a trade long dominated by BlackRock Inc.
Yale’s $2.5 Billion Private Equity Sale Tests its Vaunted Endowment Model
Yale University’s $41 billion endowment, led for decades by the late investing giant David Swensen, has been the envy – and the blueprint — for many US universities eager to secure their financial future.
Retail Quants May Be the Next Stabilizing Force for Markets
Retail traders using sophisticated quantitative strategies are starting to have a surprising and noticeable impact on financial prices.
Meta Set to Throw Billions at Startup That Leads AI Data Market
Three months after the Chinese artificial intelligence developer DeepSeek upended the tech world with a model that rivaled America’s best, a 28-year-old AI executive named Alexandr Wang came to Capitol Hill to tell policymakers what they needed to do to maintain US dominance.
Apollo Eyes Germany as Private Credit’s Crush on Europe Heats Up
In sauna-like wooden meeting huts scattered around private capital’s annual marquee event in Berlin, executives are looking for the next hot spot.
Why Steel Users Don’t Make More of a Fuss About Tariffs
Iron and steel mills employ about 85,700 people in the US. That’s less than half as many as in 1990 but slightly more than in 2016 and 2017.
Wall Street Has a Hot Way to Sell Private Assets to the Masses
The push to put private assets in the hands of individual investors is breathing new life into a relatively quiet corner of the asset management industry: interval funds.
Treasuries Drop as Strong Jobs Data Curb Bets on Fed Rate Cuts
Treasuries fell as faster-than-expected US job and wage growth prompted traders to trim back bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year.
Tesla Is Being Eaten Alive by Chinese Rivals It Inspired
The biggest story swirling around Tesla Inc. right now concerns Chief Executive Elon Musk’s sudden, if unsurprising, break with a leader who is as calm and unassuming as he is, President Donald Trump. The important story concerns what is happening far from these shores: China.
Financial Repression Won’t Make Interest Rates Lower
The federal government, financial markets and most Americans are all in a state of denial about interest rates.
Private Equity in 401(k)s Isn’t as Smart as It Seems: The Editorial Board
The White House is seriously considering the proposal, at the behest of some of the country’s largest financial firms.
Home Remodeling Bond Sales Surge as Americans Avoid Moving
Wall Street is cranking up the bond machine as US homeowners — finding that buying a new house is out of reach since mortgage rates started climbing in 2022 – are instead getting home equity loans and sprucing up their current properties.
Neuberger Berman Raises $4 Billion for New Secondary Fund
Neuberger Berman has raised more than $4 billion for its latest general partner-led secondary fund, at a time when private equity firms are increasingly looking to monetize assets via continuation vehicles.
SEC’s Crypto Confusion Deepens as Next-Gen ETFs Test Boundaries
A new line of yield-chasing crypto funds is forcing the Securities and Exchange Commission to confront unresolved gaps in its regulatory framework, just as the Trump administration eases oversight of digital assets.
Traders Embrace September Fed Rate Cut Amid Job Market Weakness
Bond traders priced in an earlier start to expected Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts on fresh clues the US job market is losing momentum.
JPMorgan Hands Lake, Seen as a Contender to Succeed Dimon, More Responsibility
JPMorgan Chase & Co. is putting Marianne Lake, one of the leading contenders to one day take over for Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon, in charge of strategic growth and the firm’s fast-growing overseas consumer bank.
Trump-Tied ‘Truth Social Bitcoin ETF’ Edges Closer to Launch
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. appears to be one step closer to launching an exchange-traded fund tied to Bitcoin, joining the crowded field of crypto-investment offerings for the retail masses.
Freed From Scandal, Wells Fargo Sets Its Sights on Growth
After more than a half-decade cleaning up Wells Fargo & Co.’s scandals, the chief executive officer has cleared away the firm’s biggest impediment to growth: the Federal Reserve’s seven-year-old cap on assets.
Starmer Wants US Deal Done in Two Weeks to Save British Steel
Britain is hoping to complete a trade deal with the US in the next two weeks to avoid President Donald Trump’s vast new tariffs on steel, Prime Minister Keir Starmer said Wednesday.
Both Parties Need to Face Fiscal Reality
America’s holiday from history is over: Debt matters again. It is not just that the national debt is so big it cannot be ignored.
US Job Openings Unexpectedly Rose in April and Hiring Picked Up
US job openings unexpectedly rose in April in a fairly broad advance and hiring picked up, indicating demand for workers remains healthy despite heightened economic uncertainty.
Global Stocks Hit Record as Economic Bets Outweigh Trade Jitters
Global equities hit a record high for the first time since February, as signs of a resilient US economy overshadowed uncertainty around trade negotiations.
Inflation Expectations Are Now Just Tariff Expectations
As early signs emerge that tariffs will drive up prices, the Federal Reserve faces a crucial question: Will tariff-induced inflation be short-lived, as the level of prices adjusts to the higher tariffs, or will it persist, as a series of feedback loops lead to further price increases?
Nvidia’s $1 Trillion Rally Has Traders Primed to Ramp Back Up
Nvidia Corp. shares have staged a $1 trillion rebound in two months — and investors are betting the rally has further to go as fears about the chipmaker give way to optimism.
Meta to Buy Nuclear Power From Constellation as AI Demand Soars
Constellation Energy Corp. agreed to sell power from an Illinois nuclear plant to Meta Platforms Inc. as artificial intelligence sends power demand soaring.
Trump Team Signals It Wants to Keep Control of Fannie, Freddie to Boost Budget
Signs are emerging that the Trump administration may be less willing to give up control of mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac than investors have bargained for, as policymakers scrounge for ways to close US budget gaps.
Working Until 70 Isn’t so Bad Provided you Feel 55
Most of us are facing longer working lives, but that also means we need to remain healthier for longer. While linking the pensionable threshold to improving longevity is fair, up to a point...
Why the S&P 500 Is Cruising Through Policy Upheaval
f you are wondering why the S&P 500 Index has held up so well in the past two months, look no further than the technology and communications sectors, which collectively account for nearly half of the index by weighting.
SEC Flags Concerns on Crypto ETFs Offering Staking Rewards
A potentially watershed effort to launch US crypto exchange-traded funds that offer staking rewards is throwing up regulatory doubts, even after the funds said they received initial SEC registration approval.
Goldman Eyes Biggest Fund Yet to Snap Up Discarded Buyout Stakes
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is embarking on its most ambitious effort yet to offer an exit ramp for investors trapped in buyout funds.
Wall Street Sees Deeper Dollar Rout as Currency Nears 2023 Low
Wall Street banks are reinforcing their calls that the dollar will weaken further, hit by interest-rate cuts, slowing economic growth and President Donald Trump’s trade and tax policies.
US Aluminum and Steel Prices Surge as Trump Doubles Tariffs
Futures tracking the prices US manufacturers pay for aluminum and steel surged after President Donald Trump said he will double tariffs on the metals this week.
Mark Zuckerberg Finally Found a Use for His Metaverse — War
For starters, Anduril Industries Inc. is a defense tech company co-founded by Palmer Luckey, the man who created the Oculus VR headset that was acquired by Meta Platforms Inc. for $2 billion in 2014, only for Luckey to be pushed out when it emerged he had financially backed a pro-Trump campaign group.
JPMorgan Said to Hire Citi’s Giatrakos for Private Equity Deals
JPMorgan Chase & Co. is hiring Citigroup Inc. dealmaker Theodoros Giatrakos as it seeks to bolster its business advising private equity firms, people with knowledge of the matter said.
United and JetBlue Can Help Each Other — If Regulators Let Them
You have to give credit to JetBlue Airways Corp. for doggedly pursuing a deal to expand its scale.
A Soft Housing Market Isn’t Just a Florida and Texas Story Now
House prices are falling, and it’s no longer just a Florida and Texas story. Rising inventory across the country and still reluctant buyers mean that those looking to sell face the prospect of more competition and lower prices next spring if they don’t close on a deal soon. For buyers, holding out can mean a better price.
The Bond Market's Faith in America Is Facing a Severe Test
The market for Treasury securities is sending an increasingly troubling signal. As of last week, investors were demanding about 90 extra basis points in yield to compensate for the added risk of lending longer-term to the US government.
The Problem with Asia’s ‘Sell America’ Moment
It’s been a tough few months for believers in the currency market version of Pax Americana.
Stop the Steel! Japan’s Giving Too Much Away in This Deal
The key to buying US Steel Corp. might be a golden share. Nippon Steel Corp. executives might feel it’s their Golden Ticket.
Wall Street Interns Are Safe From AI. Here’s Why
Summer is here. And for a select cohort of college students, that means swapping lecture halls for trading floors and seminar rooms for Wall Street office suites.
If Anything, Bond Markets are Returning to Normal
A lot of people are worried about the level of US interest rates. “I think we should be afraid of the bond market,” billionaire investor Ray Dalio said last week.
Dollar Bounce Is Short-Lived After Trump Tariffs Move Into Limbo
The long-term bearish case for the dollar remained intact after a court ruled that the vast majority of President Donald Trump’s global trade tariffs are illegal, amplifying uncertainty over the US economic outlook.
Goldman, Morgan Stanley Say Trump Can Deploy Other Tariff Tools
Two of Wall Street’s top investment banks cautioned that the impact of a court ruling striking down many of President Donald Trump’s tariff measures may prove limited, given that the administration has other avenues to impose import duties.
Beware Stablecoin Hype in Circle’s $6 Billion IPO
A dollar is a dollar, whether spat out by an ATM or digitally issued on the blockchain. That’s the promise of Circle Internet Group Inc., one of the biggest issuers of stablecoins designed to emulate fiat money like the greenback or the euro, primarily for the purpose of cryptocurrency trading.
KKR Is Fighting Private Equity’s Battle for the UK Stock Market
KKR & Co.’s recent deal for a struggling UK real estate firm was initially remarkable for landing in the midst of the American tariff turmoil. Now facing a domestic counterbid, this US-led buyout has become an emotive symbol of the London stock market’s capitulation to private equity and foreign takeovers.
Gen Z, Don't be Fooled by GenAI Financial Advisers
The wealth management industry is prepared to court its newest potential clients: Gen Z. Instead of trotting out older professionals with decades of experience, companies are utilizing generative AI to develop digital assistants.
Nvidia to Have Final Say on Strong Earnings Season for Big Tech
Nvidia Corp. faces the final test of an earnings season-driven rally that has sent its shares up more than 40% from an April low.
Wall Street’s Rush to Launch Vanguard-Style Funds Draws Warnings
Exchange-traded funds have amassed trillions of dollars by offering investors greater tax efficiency, liquidity and lower costs than mutual funds.
Cantor Fitzgerald Agrees to Buy UBS Hedge Fund Unit O’Connor
Cantor Fitzgerald LP agreed to buy UBS Group AG’s O’Connor unit, ending more than three decades of ownership by the Swiss bank and placing the hedge fund back in control of one of its early founders.
A Glass Plant Shows How US Can Revive Manufacturing
Rising imports of glass containers are just one sign of how the US lost its manufacturing culture.
US Consumer Confidence Jumps Most in Four Years on Trade Truce
US consumer confidence rebounded sharply in May from a near five-year low as the outlook for the economy and labor market improved amid a truce on tariffs.
Trump Accounts? Republicans Have Had Better Ideas
The Republican tax bill contains flashy goodies for families with kids. The flashiest: savings accounts for children — branded Trump Accounts — created and initially funded by the Treasury Department. These will consist of $1,000 in invested assets for each American citizen born through 2028, plus whatever funds parents later add.
The Silver Tsunami Is Keeping the US Economy on Track
There are plenty of reasons to be concerned about the direction of the US economy right now.
The Oil Market Has a Bigger Problem Than a Slowing China – India
India is the stuff of dreams for OPEC and Big Oil: a rapidly developing nation of nearly 1.5 billion people where petroleum consumption is still in its infancy.
Big Banks Can Find Safety in Numbers on a Stablecoin
Banks are contemplating a role for themselves in stablecoins if pending US legislation helps take cryptocurrencies and their gateway products mainstream.
Private Credit Eyes Gap in US Infrastructure as Federal Funding Dips
Private credit firms are seeing an opportunity to finance everything from public transit systems to local utilities as the federal government and banks pull back on funding.
Scared of Long Bonds? Get Used to Them
Long-term interest rates have become much less predictable, and that means volatile prices for long bonds.
Jony Ive and OpenAI Make a Long-Shot Bet to Kill the iPhone
You wouldn’t exactly call it understated. In a video, Sam Altman, co-founder and chief executive officer of OpenAI, jostles through a busy San Francisco sidewalk.
AI 'Washers' Can't Exaggerate Their Way Out of This One
Having raised $445 million from investors including Microsoft Corp. and SoftBank Group Corp., the British firm entered insolvency proceedings this week after a major creditor seized $37 million from its accounts, leaving $5 million in the company’s coffers.
A Building Boom on Federal Land? It Just Might Work
Amid the relentless chaos in Washington — tariffs, trade war, terminally rising deficits — at least one sensible idea has recently emerged: The federal government wants to free up more land to build homes. It’s a great ambition. The devil, as ever, will be in the details.
Bitcoin Options Show Bulls Unbowed With Open Interest at Record
Even though Bitcoin has retreated from record territory, options show that traders remain extremely bullish with open interest reaching an all-time high.
SALT Write-Off, Harvard Tax, Medicaid Cuts: What’s in Trump’s Bill
House Republicans narrowly passed President Donald Trump’s economic package after a series of all-night negotiations and 11th-hour compromises.
US Long-Term Borrowing Costs Surge Over Deficit Concerns
Bond investors are demanding more and more compensation to hold long-dated US debt as global markets grow anxious about the widening fiscal deficit in the world’s biggest economy.
US Tariff Countdown Heats Up Race to Turn Talks Into Deals
Halfway through President Donald Trump’s 90-day freeze on his so-called reciprocal tariffs, a persistent gripe from businesses, consumers and governments facing them is severe uncertainty.
OpenAI to Buy AI Device Startup From Apple Veteran Jony Ive in $6.5 Billion Deal
OpenAI will acquire the AI device startup co-founded by Apple Inc. veteran Jony Ive in a nearly $6.5 billion all-stock deal, joining forces with the legendary designer to make a push into hardware.
Cathie Wood Buys Most TSMC Depositary Receipts in Nearly a Year
Cathie Wood’s funds made their biggest purchase of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. shares in nearly a year, underscoring a change in stance from being mostly sellers of the chipmaker since the third quarter of last year.
America’s Debt Problem is Also a Retirement Problem
The wise minds at Moody’s Investors Service finally acknowledged last week what the other two main credit rating agencies did years ago.
BlackRock Adds to AI-Stocks Bet in $160 Billion Model Portfolios
The world’s largest asset manager is adding to bets on the artificial intelligence within its US model portfolios while trimming its overall equity risk because of tariff uncertainty.
Market Tests Investors’ Nerves as Stocks Sell Off After Auction
Investors dumped US stocks Wednesday afternoon following a disappointing Treasury auction that sent bond yields surging past levels seen during April’s market rout.
Private Equity's Big Guns Are Tearing Up the Rules on Leverage
As one of the world’s largest sovereign wealth funds warned this week that private equity is “very troubled” right now, a spate of recent buyout deals in Europe and the US points to a possible route out of the mire.
US Initial Jobless Claims Decline to Lowest Level in Four Weeks
Applications for US unemployment benefits fell to a four-week low, adding to evidence that the job market remains healthy in the face of growing uncertainty tied to trade policy.
Bitcoin Options Traders Eye $300,000 With Record High In Sight
Bitcoin options traders are setting their sights on much higher prices while the largest cryptocurrency flirts with its fairly recent all-time high.
Nvidia CEO Urges US to Ease AI Curbs After ‘Failure’ With China
Nvidia Corp. chief Jensen Huang blasted the “failure” of US restrictions intended to help contain China’s technological ascent, calling on the White House to lower barriers to AI chip sales before American firms cede that market to up-and-coming rivals such as Huawei Technologies Co.
US Stocks to Power Global Rally, Morgan Stanley Strategists Say
US equities are likely to drive the global rally in the coming months on an improving corporate earnings outlook and a weaker dollar, according to cross-asset strategists at Morgan Stanley.
What Will Central Banks do When Tokens Replace Money?
With mainstream investment products increasingly finding a second home on the blockchain, it’s a good time to ask what role central banks would play if everything they have learned while policing double-entry bookkeeping over the last 350 years becomes irrelevant.
Moody’s Market Jolt Will Leave Its Mark
Moody’s Ratings has followed S&P Global Ratings and Fitch Ratings in stripping the US of its top-notch credit score, lowering it one level to Aa1.
Alphabet Traders Look to Developer Event to Shift AI Narrative
Alphabet Inc.’s investors are looking to this week’s developer conference to see if the company can reset the narrative amid fears that its long-standing market dominance is on shaky ground.
The Man Who Built UnitedHealth Into an Industry Giant Now Has to Turn It Around
Stephen Hemsley never fully dropped the reins when he stepped down as UnitedHealth Group Inc.’s chief executive officer eight years ago. With the health giant in crisis, he’s taking back his old job – and confronting one of the toughest turnaround tasks any executive has ever faced.
Goldman to Boost Middle East Headcount, Eyes Wealth Fund Deals
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is looking to open more offices and boost headcount in the Middle East, joining Wall Street peers expanding in the region to tap its deep pools of capital.
Emerging Market ETFs See Fourth Consecutive Week of Inflows
Traders plowed cash into exchange-traded funds that buy emerging market stocks for a fourth straight week as risk-appetite grew, turning flows this year positive for the first time since early April.
Guess Where Harvard’s Private Equity Will Likely End Up
Imagine an institutional investor that allocates a big chunk of its portfolio to illiquid private assets but then needs to sell some of those investments to raise cash. Or a fund company that makes a fortune on actively managed mutual funds for decades, but its investors move their money to low-cost index trackers.
The Next Great Job Churn Is Already Starting
The geography of employment in the US is being shaped by two distinct trends. The first is low levels of housing churn and, therefore, interstate migration, a normal part of the business cycle that should eventually turn around.
Here’s Proof That the Fed Needn’t Fear a Tokenized World
A new report demonstrating that central banks can port their monetary policy tools into a tokenized financial system is an important step in transforming how we trade securities including stocks and bonds.
S&P 500 Notches Weekly Gain on Big Tech Strength, Trade Optimism
US stocks delivered their second-best weekly gain of the year on Friday, as Big Tech fueled a rally that brought the S&P 500 Index closer to an all-time high set nearly three months ago.
Nvidia Opens AI Ecosystem to Rival Chipmakers to Aid Global Push
Nvidia Corp. Chief Executive Officer Jensen Huang outlined plans to let customers deploy rivals’ chips in data centers built around its technology, a move that acknowledges the growth of in-house semiconductor development by major clients from Microsoft Corp. to Amazon.com Inc.
Treasuries, Dollar Fall as Moody’s Sharpens Focus on US Debt
Long-dated Treasuries fell on Monday as investor attention turned to the US’ ballooning debt after Moody’s Ratings stripped the nation of its last top credit rating.
Wall Street Banks Bet on Emerging Markets After Wasted Years
Wall Street’s emerging-market faithful are finally seeing better returns after missing out for years as US stocks soared.
The Fed Should Correct for Overconfidence in Its Review
In a speech Thursday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted that the central bank’s five-year framework review will focus on the particulars of its maximum employment and stable price goals, as well as efforts to communicate clearly with the public.
Quantum Computing Could Be the Future of Drug Development
One of the first and most promising uses scientists envision for the rapidly evolving technology of quantum computing is a new approach to drug development.
The Embarrassing Transatlantic Divide in Real Estate Stocks
If only Europe could offer property investors the kind of buffet the US provides. For now, its listed real estate sector is fragmented and dysfunctional, the raison d’etre seemingly to create cheap takeover targets for buyout firms.
Trump Says US to Set Tariff Rates for Other Nations in Weeks
President Donald Trump said he would set tariff rates for US trading partners “over the next two to three weeks,” saying his administration lacks the capacity to negotiate deals with all of its trading partners.
India Is Hot Trade Again as Funds Chase Trump-Era Winners
Global funds are pouring money back into India, driving billion-dollar corporate financing deals and sending stocks prices to near a seven-month high, as investors bet that Asia’s third-largest economy can emerge as a winner in President Donald Trump’s trade war.
Buffett’s Berkshire Sat Out Market Drop, Trimmed Bank Stocks
Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. made no major purchases during the market slump that preceded President Donald Trump’s trade war, instead whittling or selling off holdings in financial stocks during the first quarter.
EGA to Build US Aluminum Plant Touted by Trump Next Year
Emirates Global Aluminium plans to start building a $4 billion plant in Oklahoma next year as Donald Trump pushes for massive investments from oil-rich Gulf states to avoid his tariffs.
Student Loans Drive US Delinquency Rate to Highest Since 2020
The share of outstanding US consumer debt that’s in delinquency rose in the first quarter to the highest in five years, reflecting an end to the pandemic-era pause on reporting delinquent student loan payments on credit reports.
Vanguard, RBC BlueBay Scoop Up Battered 30-Year Japanese Bonds
The selloff in Japan’s long-dated bonds is drawing international investors, who expect the securities to rebound as global trade turmoil abates.
Wall Street’s High-Frequency Traders Are Rushing Into Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia is ramping up efforts to lure high frequency trading firms — a campaign that’s already brought in major players from Citadel Securities to Hudson River Trading — as it looks to bolster activity on the Middle East’s largest stock market.
Gold Steadies as Risk Appetite Fades With Fed Rate Path in Focus
Gold steadied as investors pulled away from risky assets and waited for more clues on the Federal Reserve’s rate path.
JPMorgan, Apollo Executives Say US Could Dodge a Recession
JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s chief of global markets strategy said the US could dodge a recession as the probability of that scenario has decreased following better clarity over global trade.
Powell Signals 2020 Fed Framework Language on Chopping Block
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said policymakers are weighing changes to key parts of the framework that guides their monetary policy decisions, including how they think about shortfalls in US employment and approach their inflation target.
A $12 Billion Window Into AI’s Race for Power
The artificial intelligence arms race has prompted a contest for America’s power plants.
Private Credit’s Latest Golden Moment Is Hiding the Cracks
Anyone betting on the end of the private credit boom has been on the back foot of late as the upstart $1.6 trillion asset class has notched up a string of wins. But the industry’s naysayers won’t be conceding defeat just yet.
Buying the Dip Still Works — Even in This New World
Retail investors have won again. When trade tensions flared in early April and about $6.6 trillion in market value vanished from US stocks in just two business days – the fifth-worst two-day drop since the S&P 500’s creation in 1957 – they didn’t panic.
Buffett’s Little Japan Handbook and Other Lessons
Warren Buffett has finally answered a question that has long intrigued investors: What sparked his interest in five Japanese trading houses in 2020, a bet that is now worth more than $25 billion?
US Oil Output Has Peaked. But Don’t Expect a Rapid Decline.
The chain-smoking protagonist of Landman, the American television drama series about the Texas oil industry, puts it better than anyone else: “You want oil to live above 60, but below 90,” says the fictional Tommy Norris. “Seventy-eight dollars a barrel, that’s about perfect.”
How to Cut US Drug Prices Without Hurting Innovation
The price of Wegovy, Novo Nordisk’s blockbuster weight-loss drug, is $1,349 a month in the US; in Germany, it’s $328. The US price for Keytruda, a cancer treatment, is $191,000 a year; in Japan, it’s $44,000.
Buyout Firms Ramp Up Debt Deals to Pay Dividends
Companies are launching a number of debt deals designed to pay out a dividend to their private equity owners, at a time when buyout firms are under pressure to return money to clients.
US Inflation Comes In Softer Than Forecast for a Third Month
US inflation rose by less than forecast in April amid tame prices for clothing and new cars, suggesting little urgency so far by companies to pass along the cost of higher tariffs to consumers.
US Firm Global AI Secures Saudi Investment Worth Billions
Global AI, a US tech firm, plans to collaborate with a Saudi Arabian artificial intelligence venture, Humain, in an agreement expected to be worth billions of dollars, according to a person familiar with the mattter.
Busy Week for Muni Debt Sales Tests Investors Wading Into Market
A wave of municipal-bond sales scheduled for this week will test a recent rebound in buyer demand after investors sold their holdings during April’s market rout.
Traders Eye Longer-Term Options to Hedge Post-Tariff Shock Rally
As April’s volatility storm fades into memory, traders are left balancing calmer markets and the ever-present risk of a fresh round of headline shocks.
Note to Feds: Don’t Destroy Google
For most of human history, an enchanted box that contained all knowledge and answered all questions would’ve been the stuff of allegory. For modern internet users, Google is one more thing to take for granted.
Wall Street Plays Long Game as Deals Go Private
A KKR & Co. debt sale shows how far Wall Street is willing to go to keep leveraged underwriting business from slipping away to private credit after periods of turmoil.
Dollar Surges, Treasuries Fall as US-China Trade Tensions Ease
The dollar soared and Treasuries fell as the trade war between China and the US eased, stoking appetite for risk assets.
Traders’ Guide to US Stocks Most Affected in China Trade Talks
US equity investors will be watching closely as trade talks kick off between the Trump administration and China, with trillions of dollars hanging in the balance for American companies.
Alphabet Shares Take $115 Billion Blow as Search Warnings Blare
For more than a year, Alphabet Inc. shareholders have fretted over long-term risks posed by artificial intelligence to the company’s money-printing search business. This week the threat became much more immediate.
Tech Industry Warns US Investment Pledges Hinge on Research Tax Break
Major tech companies lobbying to salvage a tax deduction for research and development are warning they may pull back from high-profile pledges of new US investments if Congress doesn’t fully reinstate the break.
US Stocks Rise at Open as Investors Look Ahead to China Talks
US stocks opened higher Friday as traders weighed comments from President Donald Trump suggesting that an 80% tariff on China seemed right, just as negotiations between the two countries are set to begin on Saturday.
Wall Street Brings the Bitcoin-Versus-Gold Clash to ETF Masses
The culture clash between Bitcoin enthusiasts and gold bugs is about to be played out in the world of exchange-traded funds.
US Unveils Plans to Fast-Track Deals as Trump Eyes Mideast Funds
The US said it’s developing a fast-track process for screening foreign investments in the US, an effort Trump administration officials expect could smooth the way for billions from wealth funds in the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and Qatar.
US Stocks Advance as Trump Touts Trade Agreement With UK
US stocks climbed at the open Thursday as investors welcomed news of a trade agreement between the US and the UK — a widely anticipated development that some traders say could serve as a blueprint for broader global negotiations
Blackstone, Vanguard, Wellington to Launch Private Markets Fund
Blackstone Inc., Vanguard Group and Wellington Management Co are launching a fund that will invest in public equities, bonds and private markets, as part of their effort to expand private-market offerings to retail clients.
Wall Street Brokers Risk Losing Billions in Fees on SEC Shift
A potential regulatory shift in favor of the ETF industry is expected to shake up the business models of Wall Street brokers, with billions of dollars in revenue at stake.
Apple’s Wandering Eye Is Good for Everyone But Google
In technology, disruption can happen slowly and then all at once. Alphabet Inc.’s Google unit is praying for the former right now.
Tariffs Will Be Bad, But They Won’t Cause a Recession
Markets are desperate for good news about tariffs — or no news at all. It only took a pause on the reciprocal tariffs and vague promises of future trade deals for the bond market to stabilize and stocks to recover.
How Buffett Became the Accidental Model for Smart Succession
Even though Warren Buffett is 94 and decades past the average retirement age, the end of his run as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. was always going to come as a shock.
US Stocks Rise on China Trade Talk Hopes Ahead of Fed Decision
US stocks jumped at the open Wednesday as investors were encouraged by news that the US and China are set to start trade talks this weekend, even as traders awaited the Federal Reserve policy decision later in the day.
Citi Says Fast-Money ETFs Are Shaking Up Flows Across Credit
A time-honored signal heeded by Wall Street’s credit industry — the weekly flow of money — is breaking down.
Ackman Predicts Private Equity Pain for $53 Billion Harvard Endowment
Bill Ackman said Harvard University’s endowment is heading for a painful financial reckoning as it weighs selling some of its private equity holdings while battling the Trump administration over federal research funding.
OpenAI Can't Have Its Money Both Ways
Sam Altman’s reputation for spin was out in full force this week in a published “letter to employees” announcing that he was abandoning plans to turn OpenAI into a for-profit company. Instead, it will “continue to be overseen and controlled” by its nonprofit board.
Welcome the Driverless Trucks
It was a glimpse of a very appealing future: A sleek 18-wheeler powered by Aurora Innovation Inc. trundled down Interstate 45 from Dallas to Houston last week with a trailer full of goods and a completely empty cab. At long last, autonomous trucking may have arrived.
Buffett’s Astonishing Track Record in Five Charts
Warren Buffett, the greatest investor of all time, will step down as chief executive officer of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. at the end of the year. The six-decade track record he leaves behind is so astonishing that mere numbers on a page don’t do it justice.
Morningstar Will Now Call Out Lackluster Private Investments
Morningstar Inc. has been rating stock and bond funds for everyday investors for years. Now it will award gold, silver and bronze medals to less-liquid private asset funds marketed to the masses.
The Stock Market’s Fear Gauge Is Misunderstood
I confess that when the VIX, the Cboe Volatility Index, spikes, I brace for stock market declines. Judging by investors’ anxious reaction to the VIX’s surge following President Donald Trump’s big tariff announcement last month, I’m far from alone.
Microsoft Is Key Holdout for OpenAI Restructuring Plan
After months of public pressure, OpenAI walked back part of its effort to create a more conventional for-profit company, but its restructuring plans still have not received the blessing of a major stakeholder: Microsoft Corp.
Warren Buffett, Investing’s Philosopher King
Now that Warren Buffett, the philosopher king of modern investing, has announced that he will step down as Berkshire Hathaway Inc.’s chief executive officer at the end of the year, it’s a good time to marvel again at his career.
Warren Buffett’s Favorite Valuation Indicator Flashes Buy Signal
A key valuation metric touted by legendary investor Warren Buffett is signaling that equities are relatively cheap, bolstering the case that the sizzling rebound in US stocks has room to run.
Trade Chaos is Part of the Plan for Trump, Nightmare for Powell
Jim Tuchler, a Chicago-area retailer, and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell have a lot in common these days.
Citi Restarts Business of Lending to Buyout Funds After Retreat
Citigroup Inc. is ramping up lending to private equity and private credit groups, working to catch up with peers like JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. after the bank spent years on the sidelines.
Warren Buffett Caps a Career Built on Humility
Warren Buffett is stepping down as chief executive officer of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., the company he built alongside his later partner Charlie Munger for the past six decades.
AI Spending Is the Only Certainty in Silicon Valley Right Now
Ahead of this quarter’s crop of tech earnings, I predicted companies would be reluctant to offer much in the way of forward guidance given the almost Covid-like upheaval of the global economy thanks to President Donald Trump’s tariffs. I was half right: There was some guidance — though it arrived with a large asterisk.
Buffett Hands Successor a Giant Cash Pile and Many Questions
Warren Buffett picked the final minute of his 60th shareholder meeting to drop a long-awaited announcement that was still completely surprising for his fans, most of his board and even his successor.
Lightspeed is Latest Firm to Shift Away From Classic VC Model
Lightspeed Venture Partners, one of Silicon Valley’s largest venture capital firms, has changed its regulatory status to broaden its range of investments — following similar moves by Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz and General Catalyst as they shift away from the traditional VC playbook.
US Payroll Gain of 177,000 Shows Uncertainty Yet to Dent Hiring
US job growth was robust in April and the unemployment rate held steady, suggesting uncertainty over President Donald Trump’s trade policy has yet to have a material impact on hiring plans.
US Stock Futures Extend Gains After Strong Jobs Report
US stock futures rose Friday, putting the S&P 500 Index on track to post the longest winning streak in more than 20 years after a government report showed buoyant hiring in April, providing evidence of resilience in an economy beset by trade pressures.
Apple Hit With Two Downgrades as Tariff and Growth Worries Grow
Apple Inc. received at least two downgrades on Friday, following quarterly results that reinforced concerns over tariffs and its growth potential.
Six Ways the Federal Reserve Can Do a Better Job
The US Federal Reserve is undertaking a major rethink of how it manages the world’s largest economy.
Morgan Stanley Plans to Offer Crypto Trading to E*Trade Clients
Morgan Stanley is working on a plan to add cryptocurrency trading to its E*Trade platform, in what would be the most significant move by a major US bank to help everyday customers buy into the asset class since the Trump administration began removing regulatory barriers.
US Economic Weakness Is Being Exaggerated – For Now
The US economy’s contraction last quarter was something of a head fake, driven by a surge in imports as businesses tried to front-run tariffs.
Microsoft Shares Surge on Strong Quarterly Cloud Growth
Microsoft Corp. shares jumped after the company reported stronger-than-expected quarterly sales and profit growth, suggesting customer demand for cloud services has held steady despite a wave of tariffs and economic turbulence.
US Stock Rally Hits 8th Day, Close to Erasing Post-Tariff Rout
A spate of solid corporate earnings pushed US stocks higher in overnight trading, putting major indexes on track for an eighth straight advance and close to wiping out all of the losses suffered after Donald Trump’s major tariff announcement.
Gen Z’s Hole in the Labor Market Could Soon Grow
The Covid-19 pandemic brought some big shifts in the US labor market. The biggest was the departure of millions of older workers, ending a decades-long rise in employment and labor-force participation rates for those 65 and older.
Meta Earnings Have High Bar to Clear After Shares Outperform
When Meta Platforms Inc. reports earnings on Wednesday afternoon, the social media giant will face a high hurdle to satisfy anxious investors.
Old Wisdom of ‘Sell in May’ Back in Focus as Stock Market Churns
One of the best-known market trends, the “sell in May” effect is backed by decades of historical performance: Investing in a fund that debuted in 1993 and tracks the S&P 500 during the May-October period yielded a cumulative return of 171%, compared to a 731% gain for November-April, an analysis from Bespoke Investment Group found.
US Treasury Looks to Revamp Buyback Program After Recent Tumult
The Treasury Department said it’s now looking at “enhancements” to its buybacks of older US government debt securities, just weeks after Scott Bessent hinted at the potential to beef up the program in the event of any major market turmoil.
Morgan Stanley Offers PE Fund for Wider Swath of Millionaires
Morgan Stanley is launching a private equity fund for its widest audience yet — investors wielding a few million dollars — as asset managers help broader masses into the once-exclusive realm.
Citadel Securities Warns SEC That Private Rooms, 24-Hour Trading Are Emerging Risks
Citadel Securities is urging the Securities and Exchange Commission’s new leadership to examine a list of what it argues are emerging and mounting risks, including opaque trading in so-called private rooms and the push by US stock markets to operate around the clock.
Goldman’s Solomon Says Markets to ‘Settle Down’ After Chaos
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Chief Executive Officer David Solomon said he believed that activity in mergers and public listings will find a comfortable level despite uncertainty that’s led to a slowdown across investment banks.
US Stocks Steady as Traders Assess Earnings, Tariff Headlines
US stocks traded steady on Tuesday as traders digested a slew of corporate earnings results and parsed comments from the White House about trade negotiations.
Bitcoin Devotees Plowed $3 Billion Into ETFs Amid Crypto’s Surge
Cryptocurrency investors waded back into the market last week, riding a surge in Bitcoin.
Porsche and Volvo Become Victims of Deglobalization
Europe’s automakers were huge beneficiaries of globalization, but now the hangover has arrived — and Porsche AG and Volvo Car AB look particularly sickly.
America Needs to Be Strong. Why Weaken Its Banks?
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has a plan to prop up a government-bond market destabilized by Washington’s chaotic economic policies: Let banks load up on federal debt.
Critical Minerals Are a US Headache, Not an Emergency
The panic over the years has inevitably influenced policy even if heeding cooler heads would offer reassurance. Which brings us to the current US administration.
Emerging-Market Stocks Extend Rally Amid Earnings Optimism
Emerging-market stocks rose for a second day, with the benchmark gauge heading for a three-week high amid optimism over corporate earnings.
Private Equity Firms Target Defense Assets Once Seen as Toxic
Private equity firms are scouring for investment opportunities in European defense, chasing the once shunned sector in an effort to benefit from a historic switch to military expansion in the region.
Treasury Market’s ‘New World Order’ Brings Fear of Long Bond
The “Sell America” trade that gripped markets this month has left a potentially lasting dent in investors’ willingness to hold the US government’s longest-maturity debt, a mainstay of its deficit-financing toolkit.
Big Tech’s Earnings Problem Is Estimates May Be Way Too High
The last time Big Tech delivered earnings, Donald Trump had just started his second term, stocks were soaring on expectations of a pro-growth agenda and investors’ main worry was how long it would take companies to convert their artificial intelligence spending into profits.
Star Stock Pickers Must Now Beat Their Clones
It’s harder to make it as a professional stock picker than it used to be, which is saying a lot because it was never easy.
How Trump Could Champion Fair Trade — and Save the WTO
US economic policy is still, let’s say, lacking in strategic clarity. It continues to oscillate; where it will end up is hard to say. But events have yielded some new information: President Donald Trump is alert to “yippy” financial markets.
For Fed’s Powell, Being ‘Mr. Too Late’ Is Better Than Being Wrong
Jerome Powell’s determination to ensure any jump in prices stemming from Donald Trump’s tariffs don’t spread through the economy has earned him the moniker “Mr. Too Late” from the president.
US Stocks Trade Sideways Amid Weak Economic Data, Mixed Earnings
A three-day US stock rally took a breather amid deteriorating consumer sentiment and mixed corporate earnings that raised concerns about the impact of global trade war.
Tesla’s Cure for Musk’s Missteps Is More Musk
Tesla Inc. reported abysmal numbers for the first quarter on Tuesday evening. Naturally, Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk kicked off the call with a discussion on why he must fix America’s finances, facing down an army of alleged moochers.
Crypto Industry Is Hedging Its Bets on Format and Timing of US Legislation
It was supposed to be a slam dunk: once President Donald Trump was reelected, the US crypto industry would get its long-awaited regulatory clarity in the form of fresh new laws to govern the asset class.
US Bonds Rally as Fed’s Hammack Revives Odds of a June Rate Cut
Treasuries jumped after comments by a Federal Reserve official bolstered odds that the central bank will cut interest rates as early as June.
Trump Says He Would Sign Bill Banning Congressional Stock Trades
President Donald Trump said he would “absolutely” sign a bill banning congressional stock trading, saying he was concerned lawmakers could be using insider information for an advantage.
Financial Crisis Seen as a Distant Threat at IMF Meeting
Banking leaders and policymakers gathered for the International Monetary Fund’s spring meetings downplayed the prospect of a looming financial crisis, despite warnings that the US-led trade war threatens global market stability.
Active Fund Management Isn't Dead Just Yet
It’s quite easy to do bad deals in asset management. Option one, overpay for a private capital business in the aggressive dash for growth. Option two, defensively merge your existing fund manager with a regional peer and botch the integration as you try to make savings.
The Dollar’s Slide Is Raising Red Flags for Corporate Earnings
Rising tariffs and the weakening dollar are casting a shadow on companies’ profit guidance this earnings season, with more damage seen unfolding over the coming quarters.
Yale Signals That Private Equity May Have Peaked
As chief investment officer of Yale University for more than three decades, David Swensen redefined institutional investing.
AI Was Already Clouding Tech Earnings. Then Tariffs Hit
The Big Tech stocks are beginning the year’s earnings season with mild optimism. After signs from the White House that President Donald Trump may be softening his scorched-earth tariff plan, the Magnificent Seven stocks have been up more than 6% this week.
Bearish ETF Alarms Blare After a $373 Million Short Bet
A group of ETF traders are betting against a spirited rebound in the stock market, as they pay up for short positions and withdraw money from bullish strategies.
Vanguard CEO Says US Exceptionalism ‘Absolutely’ Hasn’t Peaked
President Donald Trump’s chaotic policies are spurring some investors to “sell America,” but Vanguard Group Chief Executive Officer Salim Ramji said he still believes in the underlying strength of the US economy.
Portfolio Managers See Canada Stock Market as Long-Term Winner
As President Donald Trump’s trade war continues, Canadian equities are poised to outperform their US counterparts, portfolio managers argue.
Tech Giants to Plow $500 Billion Cash Hoard Into More Buybacks
While many investors have been scared away from tech giants at the center of this year’s equity rout, the companies are likely to continue plowing money into buybacks that will offer at least one source of continuing support for the stocks.
US Banks Ride Out Market Turmoil Thanks to Capital Buildup They Opposed
Big US banks are navigating a choppy environment just two years after the last round of turmoil, this time with almost no one questioning the industry’s ability to ride out whatever is coming.
Apollo, Blackstone Lead $4 Billion Loan for Boeing Unit
Private lenders led by Apollo Global Management Inc. and Blackstone Inc. are providing a $4 billion loan to support Thoma Bravo’s acquisition of Boeing Co.’s flight navigation unit and other digital assets, according to people with knowledge of the deal.
US Bonds Have Never Been Risk-Free, and Never Will Be
Practically every financial meltdown or crisis can be traced back to a misunderstanding of which assets are “risk-free.” Investors think they have a risk-free asset — it could be a mortgage-backed security, shares in a Bernie Madoff fund, Greek debt — and are surprised when it turns out not to be.
What Would You Be Willing to Pay for an iPhone?
For simplicity’s sake, let’s boil down the multiple questions facing Apple today into just one: How much are Americans willing to spend on an iPhone?
Bitcoin Rallies 20% During Market Turmoil to Diverge From Tech
Bitcoin advanced to the highest level since early March, fueling optimism that the biggest digital token is finally breaking free of a longstanding tendency to move in tandem with US tech stocks.
Tesla at Risk of a ‘Throwaway Year’ Without a New Narrative From Earnings
Tesla Inc. investors reeling from one of the stock’s worst-ever quarters are once again looking for Elon Musk to inject excitement back into the firm when it reports results Tuesday, as profits slip and the much-awaited debut of a self-driving car remains months away.
Nomura Bets Big on US Market Rebound With $1.8 Billion Deal
Nomura Holdings Inc. is telling clients to stay invested through the turmoil that’s pervaded financial markets during the escalating trade tensions. With its $1.8 billion acquisition of an asset management business, the Japanese brokerage is putting its money where its mouth is.
As US Recession Looms, Banks Brace for Worse
If the US slides into recession, banks will be ready – at least according to commentary on their earnings calls last week.
Singapore Property May Be a Good Place to Hide
A global trade war can’t possibly be good news for a city-state whose exports and imports add up to more than 300% of its gross domestic product. Yet there are good reasons to believe that real estate in Singapore may offer a sanctuary to investors fleeing extreme anxiety.
Ares Says Cash-Hungry Private Equity Investors Face Big Wait
Private equity investors will have to wait even longer before getting back their money back from older funds as global trade turmoil dims hopes of a deal revival, according to the head of Ares Management Corp.’s buyout business.
Investors Want to Know What Firms Are Spending More Than Earning
Wall Street is already looking past what’s expected to be Corporate America’s slowest gain in quarterly earnings in a year, instead focusing on a number that rarely captures the limelight: capital expenditures.
The Dark Side of Surging Bank Trading Revenue
Banks including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. can thank the White House’s aggressive disruptions on tariff policy and other issues for record hauls from equities trading in the first quarter, when market volatility began to surge.
Google, DOJ Go Back to Court to Fight Over Search Monopoly Fix
The US government hasn’t broken up a company since AT&T in 1982. Now it’s trying to persuade a judge to make Alphabet Inc.’s Google next.
Nvidia Investors Balk at Beaten Down Valuation as Risks Mount
Nvidia Corp. shares are trading near their lowest valuation of the artificial intelligence era, but a growing list of perils has investors cautious about taking advantage of the dip.
Hedge Fund Titans Rattled by US Trade Turmoil Eye Mideast Cash
The hedge fund chiefs had gathered for a private event convened by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. at a luxury hotel in the United Arab Emirates capital. It came against the backdrop of tariff-driven turmoil that’s roiled global markets.
Fed’s Hammack Sees Wide-Ranging Possibilities for Economy, Rates
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack said she’s keeping an open mind about the direction of interest rates because of uncertainty over President Donald Trump’s policies and how they will affect the economy.
Netflix Defies Big Tech Slump as Wall Street Seeks Tariff Haven
Audiences worldwide turn to Netflix for escapism. Wall Street is doing the same.
Canadian Investment in US Stocks Hit Record in February Despite Trade Tension
Canadians poured a record amount into US equities in February, even as a movement to boycott US products and vacations gained momentum.
ETFs Highlight Ease of Trading in Three-Day Selloff for Munis
This month’s panic-driven selling across municipal bonds — fueled by the boom in ETFs — is proving a mixed blessing for investors in a normally sedate market corner.
Critical Mineral Stocks Rally on Signs Trump Supports Sector
US critical minerals stocks have soared this week, getting a boost from signs that the Trump administration will favor a sector that’s become a flashpoint in the trade standoff between the US and China.
KKR Will Have to Fight for Private Equity’s Smelliest Deal
KKR & Co. is eyeing one of the riskiest deals going right now — buying the owner of London’s creaking water and sewage system, Thames Water. Giving a private equity firm the chance to profit from fixing the mess Thames got into under past private ownership looks bad but makes sense.
US Treasuries Decline as Powell’s Hawkish Message Sinks In
US Treasuries fell, snapping three days of gains, as traders pared bets on Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts after Chair Jerome Powell reiterated his commitment to keeping inflation in check.
Schwab Trading Tops Estimates as Customers Cope With Volatility
Charles Schwab Corp.’s daily average trades exceeded expectations as retail investors rushed to respond to market volatility in the first three months of the year.
Lilly Soars After Weight-Loss Pill Results Rival Ozempic’s
Eli Lilly & Co. shares surged after data showed its experimental weight-loss pill worked as well as the Ozempic shot, bringing it one step closer to developing a needle-free alternative.
The Financial Crisis of 2025? Better to Be Ready
If there’s one thing investors have learned in recent days, it’s that there’s no way to guess what America will do next. With its on-again, off-again tariffs, the US administration has demonstrated a rare and reckless willingness to shock markets.
US Bond Traders Seek Cues From Powell on Next Move After Rout
A three-day rebound in US Treasuries will be tested on Wednesday as investors await commentary from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell as well as key data and a bond auction.
Nvidia Curbs and ASML Warning Spur Global Tech-Stock Rout
Technology stocks sank as new US government restrictions on the export of Nvidia Corp. chips to China and a disappointing report from ASML Holding NV dimmed the outlook for the semiconductor sector, wiping out more than $180 billion in market value for the two companies alone.
Baffled C-Suites Are a Fresh Hurdle for Markets
Delta Air Lines Inc. and the parent of Frontier Airlines recently yanked earnings guidance for 2025, with JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon saying that he expects “to see more of that.”
Now Is the Time to Ask: How Much Market Risk Can You Take?
Now that the stock market has momentarily stabilized from the shock of President Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, investors have an opportunity to reflect on how their portfolio held up during the past two turbulent weeks.
Billionaires and CEOs Bet on Cheap San Francisco Real Estate
In San Francisco’s financial district, the One Montgomery building evokes the opulence of America’s turn of the 20th century gilded age. With its Tuscan columns, marble staircases and bronze doors, the Renaissance Revival landmark once housed Crocker Bank, named after one of the tycoons who built the western portion of America’s first transcontinental railroad.
EQT’s Asia Buyout Fund Gets $10 Billion, On Track for Target
Swedish firm EQT AB received more than $10 billion in investor commitments for its latest pan-Asia private equity fund, putting it on track to reach its fundraising goal despite the market volatility.
Leveraged ETF Traders Endure Volatile Ride After Chip Bet
After sinking nearly $2 billion into a triple-levered semiconductor fund last week, retail investors are enduring a volatile ride as the Nasdaq 100 swings between gains and losses.
S&P 500 Rises as Traders Parse Earnings and Tariff Developments
US equities extended a rebound into a third session Tuesday as traders weighed the ongoing global trade war against a slew of positive earnings reports from Wall Street banks.
Bond Rebound Relieves Markets Dazed by Week of Trade Turmoil
Wall Street on Monday finally caught a respite from the deep selloffs and unusually sharp swings that have raced through markets ever since President Donald Trump unleashed his global trade war.
Social Security Is Protection From Volatility
This month’s roller-coaster ride through the markets has been more frightening than exhilarating for many Americans, who have more than $44 trillion invested in retirement accounts.
Crypto’s Newest Stablecoin is Inflation-Linked Bond Alternative
A new cryptocurrency aims to occupy the final frontier of investor safety — cash that doesn’t lose purchasing power to inflation.
Trump Warns Tariffs Coming for Electronics After Reprieve
President Donald Trump pledged he will still apply tariffs to phones, computers and popular consumer electronics, downplaying a weekend exemption as a procedural step in his overall push to remake US trade.
Morgan Stanley Stock Traders Deliver Record on Volatility
Morgan Stanley’s stock-traders delivered first-quarter revenue that exceeded analyst predictions, as Wall Street’s biggest banks continue to benefit from turbulence ignited by President Donald Trump’s policies.
Berkshire Yen Bond Deal Is Its Smallest Ever Amid Trade War
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. sold ¥90 billion ($628 million) of bonds on Friday in its smallest yen deal ever in a market rocked by an escalating trade war.
US Producer Prices Unexpectedly Fall, Dragged Down by Energy
US wholesale prices fell in March by the most since October 2023, restrained by energy costs and adding to evidence of muted inflation ahead of the Trump administration’s tariffs on US trading partners.
JPMorgan Stock Traders Notch Record Revenue on Market Chaos
JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s stock traders took in a record haul in the first quarter, boosted by chaotic market moves set off by President Donald Trump’s policy announcements after he took office in January.
Elon Musk Hands Morgan Stanley Earnings Boost With X Debt Sale
Morgan Stanley’s willingness to stick it out with Elon Musk is giving its first-quarter results a healthy boost.
Repairing Social Security’s Finances Can’t Wait
Social Security is at the center of the fiscal emergency that threatens the US. Yet Washington is always reluctant to grapple with it honestly, partly because the issue is misunderstood.
US Inflation Unexpectedly Slows Down Ahead of Tariffs Impact
US inflation cooled broadly in March, indicating some relief for consumers prior to widespread tariffs that risk contributing to price pressures.
US Treasuries Rebound Even as Tariff Rout Haunts Long-Dated Debt
Shorter-term Treasuries gained after an unexpected ebb in US inflation last month calmed bond traders shaken by President Donald Trump’s evolving trade policy.
This US Import Rule Shows How Global Trade Went Wrong
To understand the origin of the free-trade excesses that created record trade deficits and set in motion President Donald Trump’s tariff storm, consider the so-called de minimis exemption.
Bessent Sees ‘Normal Deleveraging’ in Bonds, Warns China on Yuan
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent played down a selloff in US Treasuries, saying that there was nothing systemic at play, and also served warning against China not to attempt to devalue its exchange rate in retaliation for American tariff hikes.
Citadel Securities Pitches Banks on Handling Their Bond Trades
Citadel Securities’ proposal to process trades for a swath of banks is taking shape behind the scenes, focusing on products across fixed-income markets.
Private Equity Firms Ask for Cash to Let Stakes Change Hands
Private equity firms are trying to regain some control after investors took advantage of one of the toughest fundraising environments in years.
Tariffs or Not, Health Care Is Where the Jobs Are
Last week’s employment report offered what may be the last clear picture of the US job market before President Donald Trump’s tariff shock. Overall, it looked pretty healthy, with a 4.2% unemployment rate, 80.4% of the prime-age population employed and 1.9 million nonfarm payroll jobs added over the past 12 months.
Shadow Banks Are Too Big to Stay in the Shadows
When it’s finally completed seven years from now, Citadel LLC’s New York tower will be the second tallest building in the city, after the World Trade Center. It will also loom over the headquarters of JPMorgan Chase & Co. just a few hundred yards south along Park Avenue.
Apple’s Historic Selloff Has Bulls Balking From Tariff Risks
A sharp selloff in shares of Apple Inc. illustrates investor skepticism about its ability to navigate President Donald Trump’s tariffs on China, Vietnam and India — countries all critical to the iPhone maker’s supply chain.
Silence Is Lula's Best Card in Trump's Trade War
That would be my advice for the Brazilian government on how to approach US President Donald Trump’s tariff-palooza.
US Bonds Stabilize After Choppiest Day of Trading in Five Years
US Treasuries tentatively resumed their gains on Tuesday after the wildest day for bond traders since the height of the pandemic in March 2020.
A Rollercoaster Market Means Investors Should Sit Tight
President Donald Trump’s bombshell Liberation Day tariff announcement was greeted with one of the worst two-day US stock market routs on record. Whatever you think of Trump’s tariff policies, they are a huge gamble, and no one knows how things will play out.
Larry Fink to New York: Fix Crime, Filth or Lose More Firms
BlackRock Inc. Chief Executive Officer Larry Fink said New York is plagued by crime and filth and lacks enough good schools, and he called on politicians to make it easier for financial firms to do business in the city.
Trump Rejects Market Rout Fears, Shows Defiance on Tariffs
President Donald Trump and his economic team dismissed investors’ fears of inflation and recession, offering no apologies for the market turmoil sparked by sweeping global tariffs and defiantly insisting a boom is on the horizon.
Traders Add to Bets on 2025 Fed Cuts With Risk of Emergency Move
Traders boosted expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year — and raised the specter of a reduction before the central bank’s next meeting — as the US administration’s tariffs ignite fears of a global recession.
Chinese Stocks Suffer ‘Panic Selling’ as Tariff War Escalates
Chinese shares plunged and sovereign yields neared an all-time low as investors braced themselves for the fall-out of a spiraling trade conflict between the world’s two largest economies.
S&P 500 Is Heading for a Bear Market as Tariffs Hit Everything
President Donald Trump’s trade war has US stocks on track to enter their first bear market since the Covid pandemic.
The New 'Black Gold' Needs More Bulls
To most people, black gold means oil, the substance that helped build the modern world while causing the climate crisis. But a new treasure on the market is getting prospectors excited, not least for the role it could play in fixing the problem fossil fuels created.
Mexico Gets a Tariff Lifeline. Now Sheinbaum Needs a Quick Deal.
By sparing Mexico and Canada from his reciprocal tariffs on Wednesday, US President Donald Trump has kept the pact known as USMCA on life support. That’s no small feat given the animosity shown by the US government toward its neighbors in the past weeks.
Google, Amazon Work to Dethrone Microsoft on Federal Contracts
Alphabet Inc.’s Google and Amazon.com Inc. have found an avenue to profit from Elon Musk’s chaotic Department of Government Efficiency.
US Treasuries Surge as Trade War Overshadows Solid Jobs Data
Traders boosted their bets on Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts this year and US Treasuries rallied as a solid report on American jobs failed to calm markets.
The S&P 500’s Safety Nets Are Gone
President Donald Trump’s new reciprocal tariff policy is straightforwardly bad for the US economy and markets. The only conceivable reason that the S&P 500 Index was down just 4% on Thursday is that investors still don’t believe it will stick. Unfortunately, there’s no quick way out of this quagmire.
Where Will Consumers Go?
Investors crushed the stocks of consumer discretionary companies on Thursday in response to President Donald Trump’s tariff announcement, making little distinction between home goods companies such as Williams-Sonoma Inc., apparel names including Nike Inc. or restaurants such as Cheesecake Factory Inc.
Finance Needs to Be Prepared for the Unexpected
Ideally, nobody would have to worry about the burgeoning and multifaceted realm of nonbank finance: Let hedge funds, securities dealers and the like take whatever risks they want, as long as they bear the full consequences.
Traders Bet on More Fed Cuts With 10-Year Yield Headed Toward 4%
Bond traders ramped up bets on interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve amid concern that Donald Trump’s trade war will backfire on the US economy, sending the yield on benchmark Treasuries toward the closely-watched 4% level.
AI Video Startup Runway Valued at $3 Billion in Funding Round
Runway AI Inc. has raised $308 million in a new round of funding that more than doubles the company’s valuation — a sign of investor enthusiasm for startups building artificial intelligence software that can generate videos.
Meta’s Head of AI Research to Leave, Roiling Investment Push
Meta Platforms Inc.’s head of artificial intelligence research plans to leave the company, creating a high-level vacancy just as Meta seeks to invest and compete aggressively in AI.
Trump’s Tariffs Send Shockwaves Across Global Economy
President Donald Trump imposed the steepest American tariffs in a century as he steps up his campaign to reshape the global economy, sparking threats of retaliation and a selloff in markets around the world.
Goldman Is Opening Up Private Equity Deals to Rich Individuals
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is expanding its private equity offering to wealthy individuals across Wall Street and beyond, in the latest sign of investment firms gradually broadening access to the much sought-after private markets.
US Firms Add 155,000 Jobs in ADP Data, More Than Forecast
Hiring at US companies accelerated last month, rebounding from a weak February marked by severe weather in some regions of the country.
Could Tariffs Raise $700 Billion a Year? Not Without Pain
There’s a lot of uncertainty over whether President Donald Trump will actually go through with all his planned tariffs, whether the economy will stall or go into reverse as a result, and whether Congress will eventually decide that it has had enough of ceding its tariff authority to the president.
OpenAI Shows Too Much Money Can Be a Real Thing
On Monday, OpenAI announced $40 billion in new financing, the largest funding round in history, and one that nearly doubled the artificial intelligence company’s valuation to $300 billion.
US Stocks Fluctuate as Wall Street Braces for Trump Tariffs
US stocks flipped between small gains and losses following the opening bell on Tuesday after closing out their worst quarter in nearly three years, as traders await President Donald Trump’s next tariff deadline on Wednesday.
Reciprocal Tariffs? We’ve Seen This Movie Before
President Donald Trump has pledged to hit countries on Wednesday with “reciprocal tariffs,” whatever that means. In the president’s characterization, the US will raise tariffs to a level that’s suitably high to match the tariff and non-tariff barriers that our exporters face in international markets.
Will US Tariffs Lift the Veil on India’s Drug Safety Problem?
India’s exporters are bracing for President Donald Trump’s tariffs. Some are confident that whatever is announced on Wednesday will not hurt them; others are genuinely uncertain how to manage if they can’t export to the US.
DoubleLine Finds Shelter From Trump Volatility in Latin America
A duo of emerging-market bond veterans at Jeffrey Gundlach’s DoubleLine Capital is taking no chances as Donald Trump rolls out his trade agenda.
US Recession Fear Raises ‘Gray Swan’ Risk for Bond Investors
Investors are fretting that a year-long rally in global credit is papering over the risk that US policy uncertainty tips the world’s largest economy into a recession.
Energy Stocks Defy Market Turmoil in Hunt for Inflation Hedge
The energy sector has pulled off a rare feat: It’s the only industry group in the S&P 500 Index to rise in the month of March.
Wall Street Wants to Buy Stock Market’s Dips, Question Is When
The US stock market is about to conclude its worst quarter compared to the rest of the world since the 1980s.
Larry Fink Vows to Unlock Private Investments for the Masses
BlackRock Inc. Chief Executive Officer Larry Fink pledged to open up private markets to millions of everyday investors, not just the wealthy few, contending individuals should share more of the gains from economic growth.
The Housing Market Will Have Some Bargains This Spring
A standoff between homebuyers and sellers played out in much of the country over the past two years, and particularly in internal migration destinations such as Florida and Texas. The number of homes on the market rose as poor affordability constrained would-be buyers, but sellers rejected offers significantly below the 2022 peaks.
Primark’s CEO Resignation Comes at a Fraught Time
Primark — the fast-growing “cheap chic” clothing brand owned Associated British Foods Plc. — faces a muscular Chinese rival in the form of Shein. The last thing it needs is turmoil in its top ranks.
Don't Rush to Buy in Britain's Broken Property Market
Britain’s property-transaction tax, known as stamp duty, is set to rise sharply. Currently, first-time buyers pay no tax on properties worth up to £425,000 ($550,000). Starting next month, that threshold drops to £300,000, which will result in a charge of £6,250 on a £425,000 purchase.
It’s Not Just America Trying to Halt Clean Energy
It’s not just America and Europe that fear the competitive threat from Chinese clean technology. China itself is scared.
Tesla’s $14 Billion Rally Eclipses a Rout in Other Auto Stocks
As shares of Elon Musk’s Tesla Inc. rally on Thursday, the jump in the size of the company dwarfed the decline in the value of its US rivals as the stocks responded to President Donald Trump’s latest tariff announcements.
Oaktree-Backed Cyanide Maker Expands Into US Battery Industry
Czech chemicals company Draslovka AS is expanding into the growing US battery industry to mitigate risks from trade tensions and volatile prices for energy and materials.
EQT Raises €21.5 Billion for Its Latest Infrastructure Fund
EQT AB has raised €21.5 billion ($23.2 billion) for its latest infrastructure fund — a sum a top executive for the Swedish investment firm says underscores how the energy sector’s funding needs trump an uncertain market for deals.
BlackRock Sees Outcome ETFs Jumping to $650 Billion by 2030
The world’s largest asset manager is betting big on a growing breed of derivatives-powered ETFs that’s shaking up the art of active portfolio management.
China’s Tech Stocks Need More Than Just AI Hype to Extend Rally
With the pause button pressed on this year’s huge AI rally in Chinese tech stocks, clarity on global economic policies and concrete signs of core business improvement may be required to get things rolling again.
Macro Traders From New York to Hong Kong Prep for Tariff Day
From New York to London and Hong Kong, investors are cutting back risk ahead of next week’s tariff announcements, while keeping cash ready to pounce the moment opportunities arise.
Treasury Yield Curve Steepens as Traders Avoid Long-Term Debt
Long-maturity Treasury yields reached the highest levels in a month Thursday as investors demand compensation for the risk that tariffs will spur US inflation.
What Warren Buffett and Li Ka-shing Hoarding Cash Tells Us
One is known as the Oracle of Omaha, the other as Superman. Warren Buffett and Li Ka-shing are the two most revered investors in the West and East.
Tim Cook Is Back in China. Apple Intelligence Isn’t
If you log onto Chinese social media these days, you may encounter many young people expressing the “involution” or neijuan mentality. It’s become a buzzword for a generation of college students and recent graduates beaten down by society’s relentless competition, and roughly translates to rolling inwards.
Everybody’s Gaming the Job Market With AI
A Columbia University student recently shone a light on a disturbing corner of today’s job market. Roy Lee, 21, was fed up with the antiquated way that large tech firms were testing job candidates with computer coding riddles you had to memorize, so he created a tool that his peers could use to beat the system.
Don’t Punish UBS for Doing the Right Thing
When UBS Group AG acquired Credit Suisse in March 2023, its board of directors thought they were doing their duty.
Active Management Lives On in ETFs After $1 Trillion Asset Haul
Total assets held by actively run ETFs in the US have hit the $1 trillion milestone, as investors sink cash into a new generation of strategies — shaking up the passive reputation of this booming corner of money management.
OpenAI Expects Revenue Will Triple to $12.7 Billion This Year
OpenAI expects to more than triple its revenue this year to $12.7 billion, fueled by the strength of its paid artificial intelligence software, according to a person familiar with the matter.
Chat App Discord Is Working With Goldman, JPMorgan on Planned IPO
Discord Inc., a social communications platform popular with video-game players and programmers, is working with Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. on an initial public offering, according to people familiar with the matter.
BlackRock Adds Private Credit, Equity Funds to Model Portfolios
BlackRock Inc., fresh off a $28 billion deal spree to transform into a major player in alternative assets, is integrating complex private investments into its ready-made portfolios for individuals.
Why the Fed Wants to Keep More US Government Debt
The Federal Reserve has raised some questions with its recent decision to slow the pace at which it’s shrinking its more-than-$4-trillion pile of Treasury securities.
What’s Fueling America’s Gold Bar Conspiracy
Fort Knox, home to much of the nation’s gold reserves, doesn’t get many visitors. That may soon change: President Donald Trump and his sidekick, Elon Musk, claim there’s a chance someone has stolen the shiny stuff. They want to visit and see it with their own eyes.
Amazon Allure Grows With Cheaper Shares Than Apple, Walmart
Amazon.com Inc. shares are starting to look like a bargain, a word that has rarely been used to describe the stock.
HSBC Outsourcing Trading Is a Risky Business
Electronic market makers like Citadel Securities LLC and Jane Street Group have been gobbling up market share from investment bank rivals, but to really get ahead they’ll need a helping hand. They might be about to get it from a surprising source: Some of those same banks.
Gambling Is No Longer Investing’s Evil Twin
I suspect many people yawned when the popular online brokerage Robinhood Markets Inc. announced it will offer sports and other prediction market derivatives, starting with betting on the NCAA March Madness basketball games.
SEC, CFTC Leaders Predict Shifting Priorities, Penalty Policies
The Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission are expecting new leadership put in place by the Trump administration to usher in different enforcement priorities and a shift in how firms and individuals pay fines.
Private Equity Pushes for Two-Letter Tax Change to Save Billions
The $5 trillion industry is embarking on a campaign to change the way taxes for indebted businesses are tallied. Leading lobbyists want to tack two letters — DA — back to an earnings formula used to help calculate tax deductions, a change potentially worth billions.
The Economic Data Is as Cloudy as the Outlook
The US economy looks set to disappoint this quarter. A number of economists have lowered their forecast for growth in real gross domestic product due to a widening trade deficit and sluggish consumer spending. An uncertain trade war and tepid labor demand have also clouded the outlook for the rest of 2025. Conflating the two would be a mistake, though.
Risky Bonds Aren’t So Risky in the Long Run
The world is a risky place, and high-yield debt spreads to safe US Treasury securities are close to historic levels of stinginess, signaling complacency in markets — at least on the surface. But legendary investor Howard Marks says that’s the wrong way to look at it and long-term investors should consider allocations to credit.
AI Model Driving Top-Ranked Fund Flashes a Warning on AI Stocks
For years now, way before artificial intelligence became the hot new thing on Wall Street, Daniel Mahr has been making money on stocks, courtesy of his machine-learning model.
US Tech Rout Fuels Wild Bets From Korean Retail Investors
The sense of gloom on Wall Street is putting pressure on some of the most committed backers of American exceptionalism: South Korea’s risk-seeking retail investors.
US Banking Rule Reform Is Too Important to Rush
Banks’ businesses don’t change radically year to year so nor should their capital requirements.
Microsoft Is This Industry’s No. 1 Fan. Others Should Be, Too.
Removing the carbon dioxide we’ve put into the atmosphere and storing it back on Earth might sound like a fantasy, but the sprouts of an entire industry aiming to do just that are emerging.
US Bonds Rise as a Cloudy Economic Path Backs Bets on Fed Cuts
US Treasuries consolidated gains in a choppy trading session with markets remaining confident that policymakers at the Federal Reserve are still on a path toward lower interest rates.
Austerity? US Economic Policy Is All About Growth
Despite the talk of austerity — and amid the possibility of a global trade war, the reality of a stock-market correction and fears of a US recession — there is still a chance that President Donald Trump’s agenda could increase economic growth. As usual, it will depend on the execution.
Don’t Look to the Fed for the Answer to Stagflation
The Federal Reserve’s decision to leave interest rates unchanged was right — but easy to misinterpret.
What Spooked the S&P 500? It Wasn’t the Trade War
The US stock market is on edge. The S&P 500’s recent 10% correction has investors worried, though a highly uncertain policy environment and an unusually top-heavy market obscure just what is spooking stocks.
Citi’s Private Equity ‘Club’ Underwhelmed Billionaire Members
Citigroup Inc. had what looked like the perfect way to grab a slice of the money flowing from wealthy individuals to private equity firms: playing matchmaker between its rich clients and an up-and-coming firm.
Nvidia Plans Massive Outlay on US-Made Electronics, FT Says
Nvidia Corp. aims to spend several hundred billion dollars to procure US-made chips and electronics over the next four years, the Financial Times reported.
EQT Returns $5.4 Billion to Investors After Education Bet Soars
EQT AB will return $5.4 billion to investors this week after completing the sale of a stake in Nord Anglia Education Ltd., marking one of the most profitable recent private equity exits in Asia, people familiar with the matter said.
Elon Musk’s X Raises Almost $1 Billion in New Equity Funding
Elon Musk’s social network X has raised close to $1 billion in new equity from investors, according to people with knowledge of the matter — a deal that gives the company a valuation in line with when Musk took it private in 2022.
The Student Lending Mess Needs to Be Fixed
After years of poor decision-making, the federal government’s $1.64 trillion student loan program is in critical condition. Congress needs to stanch the bleeding — and give serious thought to overhauling this flawed system for the longer term.
The Federal Reserve Is Driving Blind
On the predictable side, the Fed kept policy rates in a range of 4.25%-4.5%, and the rate-setting committee pledged to slow the pace at which it’s allowing securities to roll off its balance sheet.
Musk’s xAI Startup Joins Microsoft-BlackRock $30 Billion AI Fund
Microsoft Corp., the biggest backer of Sam Altman’s OpenAI, and BlackRock Inc., which has an executive on the artificial intelligence startup’s board, are joining forces with one of its chief rivals.
Private Equity Firms Are Getting Rid of Their Equity
Private equity firms are called that because they own stakes in the companies they buy. Today, this assumption is looking ever more outdated.
Investors Look for Fed’s Take on Growth After US Bond Rally
Bond investors will look for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to hit just the right notes in his Wednesday remarks to keep up the momentum behind a rally in the $29 trillion Treasury market.
Google's $32 Billion for Cloud Upstart Is a Leap of Faith
It’s not often you see big tech firms getting pushed around. Upstart Wiz Inc. has just squeezed Google owner Alphabet Inc. to pony up $32 billion for a privately owned five-year-old cybersecurity firm.
Europe’s VAT Hurts the US? Retaliate With a VAT
The Trump administration isn’t satisfied with the mayhem it has already inflicted on global trade and investment.
Investment Bankers Finally Start to Take Trump Literally
Banks needed the right version of Donald Trump to justify their high-flying stock prices. They got the wrong one. The US president’s chaotic and aggressive performance during his first few weeks in the White House has shocked companies, put investment plans and deals on hold and threatens to drag the economy into recession.
Google Agrees to Buy Cloud Security Firm Wiz for $32 Billion
Google parent Alphabet Inc. agreed to acquire cybersecurity firm Wiz Inc. for $32 billion in cash, reaching a deal less than a year after initial negotiations fell apart because the cloud-computing startup wanted to stay independent.
Fed Day Takes on New Meaning in Stock Market Transfixed by Trump
For years, Federal Reserve meetings have been the main event on Wall Street as the central bank fought to contain runaway inflation.
Wall Street Firms Plunge Into Europe’s Booming Active ETF Market
US investment firms are rushing to grab a greater chunk of Europe’s market for active exchange-traded funds, an industry projected to grow to $1 trillion in assets over the coming years.
New US Home Construction Rebounds After Storm-Ridden Month
US housing starts rose in February by more than forecast after a weather-related plunge, led by a pickup in single-family home construction underpinned by builder incentives.
Direct Job Switches Near Four-Year Low in Sign of Weak US Market
The share of US workers making a direct transition from one employer to another has slid near a four-year low, according to the latest data from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, pointing to a weakening labor market.
Disappointing Retail Sales Add to Concerns About US Outlook
Disappointing retail sales last month added to concerns of a pullback in consumer spending in the US, while a pair of business surveys suggested growing caution.
Richard Perry Returns to Hedge Funds After a Nine-Year Hiatus
Richard Perry ran a hedge fund for almost three decades before closing it in 2016. Now he has decided it’s time for a comeback.
Darker Than a Dark Pool? Welcome to Wall Street’s ‘Private Rooms’
A decade after being engulfed by a controversy that culminated in multiple enforcement actions and a regulator clampdown, these off-exchange trading platforms are touting a way to buy and sell stocks that’s even more opaque.
Gen Z’s Job Recession Needs Urgent Attention
Gen Z is right to have negative feelings about the economy. Not only were its oldest members entering the workforce as the pandemic struck, but those in their early to mid-20s are also now bearing the brunt of a labor market that’s largely been frozen in place for the past two years.
We Still Need to Find Out Why Stocks Gains Come at Night
The tendency of stocks to produce all their gains at night, when markets are closed, and systematically lose money during the daylight hours, has baffled researchers for four decades and potentially put retail investors at a disadvantage.
Wall Street Goes All In on Great Crypto Comeback Fueled by Trump
It was only three years ago that a dispute between an infamous crypto billionaire and a titan of the financial establishment became the center of attention at an annual event known as the Davos of the derivatives market.
An ‘Insurance Renaissance’ Is Fueling Private Credit Surge, Says AllianceBernstein
An “insurance renaissance” is quietly reshaping a traditionally sleepy industry as a surge in annuities sales fuels demand for investment products with shorter duration and less liquidity, according to AllianceBernstein, an $806 billion asset manager owned by insurer Equitable.
How to Revive America's 'Golden Middle’
The share of US workers represented by a union ended 2024 at 9.9%. Strip out public sector workers and the rate was 5.9%.
Latest Inflation Readings Put the Federal Reserve in a Bind
Markets will be laser focused on Federal Reserve policy and economic projections next week, looking for signs about where interest rates are heading.
US Mortgage Rates Drop for a Sixth Week to Lowest Since December
The average US 30-year mortgage rate declined for a sixth straight week to the lowest level since early December, sparking a pickup in purchase and refinancing activity.
US Stocks Rebound After Volatile Session on Softer CPI Data
US stocks gained after a volatile session as dip buyers emerged after a cooler-than-forecast February inflation report.
‘Buy The Dip’ Calls Fade as Trump Selloffs Rattle Wall Street
In a few short weeks, President Donald Trump has started silencing the buy-the-dip stock traders who set the tone on Wall Street for the better part of two decades.
Stagflation Trade Emerges as Rare Winner in US Stock Market Rout
There have been few winning strategies to seek refuge in as the stock rout sparked by President Donald Trump’s start-stop tariff war drags on for a third week.
Lip-Bu Tan’s ‘New Intel’ Is the Last Throw of the Dice
After a search for a new chief executive officer that lasted more than three months, Intel Corp. has decided Lip-Bu Tan is the best choice to salvage the company’s future. He’ll take up the most difficult job in the chip business, Bloomberg News reported on Wednesday evening.
US Inflation Eases, Offering Some Relief Ahead of Tariffs
US consumer prices rose at the slowest pace in four months in February, offering some reprieve ahead of tariffs that are expected to drive costs higher.
Trump Metal Tariffs Spark Retaliation Moves, Calls for Talks
President Donald Trump’s 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports came into force Wednesday, triggering concern across export-reliant Asia and immediate reprisals from the European Union and Canada as the global trade war enters a rocky phase.
US Bonds Rebuff Cooler Inflation as Stock Rally Saps Demand
Treasuries fell despite evidence of cooler-than-expected US inflation as the data ignited a rebound in stock prices that eroded demand for bonds.
There’s No Recession Alarm in the Collective Wisdom of Markets
President Donald Trump is attempting the most sweeping transformation of government and policy in decades. The White House is moving furiously to slash spending, expand tariffs, repeal regulations and rewrite tax rules.
SEC Approves Retail-Friendly Blackstone Private Credit Fund
Blackstone Inc. has won approval from the US Securities and Exchange Commission to launch its newest private credit fund, one of the latest efforts to give individuals access to assets that are mostly backed by institutions.
Tariff Worry on Wall Street Pressures Trump to Speed Up Tax Cuts
As Donald Trump’s tariffs send markets into a tailspin, pressure is mounting on the president to speed up his main proposal for juicing the economy: a sweeping tax bill.
US Bonds Rose as Recession Angst Fuels Haven Demand
US Treasuries surged and investors boosted their bets on Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts Monday as fear of a economic slowdown took hold across US markets.
Apple Readies Dramatic Software Overhaul for iPhone, iPad and Mac
Apple Inc. is preparing one of the most dramatic software overhauls in the company’s history, aiming to transform the interface of the iPhone, iPad and Mac for a new generation of users.
Hottest Trade in Bonds Gets Boost From German Spending Plan
One of the bond market’s favorite trades is getting fresh momentum in Europe, as the worst rout in German bonds in more than two decades propels selling of long-term debt.
Strategists See More S&P 500 Volatility as Tariff Fears Kick In
A chorus of Wall Street strategists is warning about rising volatility in the stock market, with Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson the latest to sound the alarm on slumping economic growth amid President Donald Trump’s trade wars.
‘Impossible Trinity’ Conundrum Has Caused a Cash Crunch in Asia
Some of Asia’s biggest central banks are getting a painful refresher in economic theory.
Emerging Markets Decline Amid China Deflation, US Growth Worries
Emerging-market stocks declined for a second day and currencies halted a four-day rally as concerns grew that China’s deflation is spreading to its consumer economy and Donald Trump’s tariffs threaten US growth.
These Unpopular Mortgages May Be the Key to Affordable Housing
A lack of affordability has hindered housing transactions the past two years, frustrating would-be buyers and, more recently, hammering the stocks of developers.
The Fed’s Fixation on a 2% Inflation Target Is Risky
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its policy meeting next week, shifting the market’s focus to signals about what comes next.
Euro Set for Best Week Since 2009 as BofA Boosts Forecast
The euro is set for its best weekly performance in 16 years after Germany’s historic pledge to ramp up spending for defense and infrastructure.
Fed’s Bowman Says Economy’s Neutral Rate Higher Since Covid
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said the neutral level for the central bank’s policy rate had likely risen since the Covid-19 pandemic.
Macron’s Defense Dream Is Getting Caught in Musk's Web
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni is getting cold feet over a proposed €1.5 billion ($1.6 billion) deal with Elon Musk’s SpaceX, according to Bloomberg News. As well she might.
Private Equity’s $24 Billion Walgreens Bid Is Wild
The deal just announced for Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. is above all a massive transaction.
How To Hedge Against AI Stealing Your Job
Will artificial intelligence take my job? This question is really starting to preoccupy me and millions of other white-collar workers. There’s even a word for it — FOBO, or fear of becoming obsolete — and, regrettably, our apprehension isn’t entirely unfounded.
Nasdaq 100 Tumbles Into a Correction as Tech Selloff Intensifies
The Nasdaq 100 Index sank into a correction on Friday, as investors continue to sour on the megacap technology stocks that led the stock market rally over the past two years.
Broadcom Shares Jump as AI Growth Fuels Upbeat Forecast
Broadcom Inc. shares jumped after the chip supplier for Apple Inc. and other big tech companies gave an upbeat forecast, reassuring investors that spending on artificial intelligence computing remains healthy.
Bessent Warns of ‘Detox Period’ for Economy, Touts Trump ‘Call’
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned that the US economy may see some disruption as the Trump administration shifts the basis for growth away from the government and toward the private sector.
Ray Dalio’s ‘All Weather’ Strategy Enters ETF Land During Turmoil
Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio’s famous “All Weather” strategy has arrived in the exchange-traded fund market, just as the kind of macro-driven turmoil it seeks to guard against sweeps global assets.
Emerging-Market Assets Rally as Doubts Mount Over US Growth
Developing-nation assets jumped on bets higher tariffs will slow the US economy and divert investment flows into other markets.
Bernanke Says Recent Price Surge May Impact Inflation Control
The world’s recent experience of faster inflation may make it harder for central banks to control prices in future, former US Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke said.
NYSE President Martin Sees ‘More Normal’ IPO Market In 2025
The market for US initial public offerings should look a lot more like the years prior to the pandemic-fueled boom, according to the head of the New York Stock Exchange.
China’s Inflation Problem Isn’t Just Going Away
China has taken an important symbolic step toward addressing a persistent drag on its economy.
US Jobless Claims Drop, Allaying Concerns About Labor Market
Applications for US unemployment benefits fell last week and returned to muted levels seen at the start of the year, offering some relief after other reports pointed to worsening labor-market conditions.
Europe Is Having the Right Sort of Bond Rout
Euro-area bond yields inevitably leapt like a salmon as Germany unleashed a fiscal bazooka, but compared to previous fixed-income tantrums, it’s not the stuff of all-night summits.
US Recession Odds Are Becoming Unsettlingly High
The notion of a US recession seemed remote just a few months ago, a mere blip on the radar of economic possibilities. More recently, however, that picture has started to change.
Germany’s ‘Whatever It Takes’ Moment Powers European Markets
Germany’s extraordinary spending plans are shaking up the region’s markets, powering European equities past US peers this year and reviving the euro from the brink of parity with the dollar.
Trump to Decide on Canada, Mexico Relief Today, Lutnick Says
President Donald Trump is set to announce changes to the tariffs on Canada and Mexico he slapped on earlier this week, with potential relief for automobiles and other sectors, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said Wednesday.
Microsoft’s Fading AI Mojo Keeps Shares in Lengthy Purgatory
Many major stocks connected to artificial intelligence have lost their luster of late, but perhaps none more so than Microsoft Corp.
Trump Trades Are Upended as Treasury Returns Beat US Stocks
US Treasuries are now outperforming stocks since Donald Trump was elected President, and some strategists say there’s room for those gains to run.
Traders See Three Fed Cuts in 2025 as Tariffs Add to Growth Risk
Traders added to bets on interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve amid concern about the impact of US trade tariffs on global economic growth.
DeepSeek’s ‘Theoretical’ Profit Margins Are Just That
The Chinese artificial intelligence startup that rocked global markets earlier this year with its low-cost and high-performance AI models has outlined a potential path to major profitability.
Hedge Fund-Beating Equities Will Mislead Investors
Alternative investments including hedge funds and real estate will disappear from the portfolios of pension funds and endowments over the next 10 to 20 years, well-known institutional investment consultant Richard Ennis concludes in a recent report.
Where the Stock Market Goes, the US Economy Will Follow
There’s an old Wall Street saying that “the stock market is not the economy.” That’s usually true. But, in this economic cycle, stock market gains have become an increasingly important driver of consumer spending, helping to fuel growth as other areas of the economy cool.
Xi Prepares to Unveil China Stimulus Plan as Trade War Heats Up
President Xi Jinping heads into China’s biggest political huddle of the year with his economy finally getting back some swagger. Donald Trump’s rising tariffs will test Beijing’s ability to sustain that momentum.
Boom in Loss-Limiting Funds With $51 Billion Sparks Backlash
They’re a tempting proposition for anyone getting worried about the bull market’s longevity: exchange-traded funds that keep you from losing money — should stocks suddenly go south.
Big Tech Pain Is Mounting as Risk-Wary Traders Dump Winners
For some time now, there have been plenty of reasons to worry about Big Tech stocks. Stretched valuations after a big run up, heavy spending on artificial intelligence and lofty expectations for future growth. For months, though, none of it seemed to matter.
TSMC Poised to Announce $100 Billion Investment in US Plants
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. plans to invest $100 billion in chips plants in the US over the next four years, a move President Donald Trump is set to announce at the White House later Monday, according to a person familiar with the matter.
Tencent Fires Up AI Race With Model It Says Outdoes DeepSeek
Tencent Holdings Ltd. became the latest tech company to unveil or enhance an AI model intended to eclipse DeepSeek, joining a spate of rollouts since the startup’s emergence energized the US-China technology race.
Bitcoin Down 25% From All-Time High as Crypto Rout Worsens
A week-long rout in Bitcoin deepened amid the recent broader retreat from risky assets in the wake of US President Donald Trump’s tariff threats and crypto sector turmoil, marking a dramatic reality check for one of the most popular Trump trades.
BlackRock, Fidelity Challenge Hedge Funds With Trend-Chaser Bets
Trend-chasing hedge funds are facing a fresh wave of competition from the ETF world, as asset managers make their latest push to open up strategies to the masses that were once reserved for the financial elite.
Ever-Bearish Grantham Insists AI Is a Bubble Waiting to Pop
Artificial intelligence is pushing humanity toward a more efficient future, but like any world-changing technology will eventually crash and hurt investors, according to longtime Wall Street doomsayer Jeremy Grantham.
BlackRock Adds Its Bitcoin ETF to Model Portfolio for First Time
The world’s biggest asset manager is finally allowing Bitcoin into its $150 billion model-portfolio universe.
Treasuries Cling to Best Rally Since July on Mild Inflation Data
Investors in US government bonds are wrapping up their biggest monthly gain since July as the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of underlying inflation rose at a tepid pace in January.
A $5 Million Gold Card for Immigrants Makes Economic Sense
President Donald Trump would like to offer migrants who want to work in the US a “gold card,” akin to a green card, with one significant difference: the price tag.
The Fed’s Hand Might Be Forced to Lower Rates
President Donald Trump may have found a way to force the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates after all.
Hey, Alexa, Do You Finally Have a Real Business Model?
The last time we heard from Amazon.com Inc. Chief Executive Officer Andy Jassy, he was breaking it to investors that his company was forecasting $100 billion in capital expenditures this year — the largest outlay of the tech giants in the pursuit of artificial intelligence.
Small-Cap Stocks’ Gloom Deepens as Executive Sentiment Sours Too
Investor sentiment around small-cap companies is worse than it’s been in months. As it turns out, the mood isn’t much better inside their corporate boardrooms.
Nvidia and Salesforce Leave Bulls Wanting as AI Trade Stalls
Investors hoping that Nvidia Corp.’s earnings would rejuvenate the artificial intelligence trade didn’t exactly get the report they wanted.
Nvidia Sees Mixed Outlook After Two Years of Blowout Results
Nvidia Corp., the chipmaker at the center of an AI spending boom, delivered good-but-not-great quarterly numbers on Wednesday, drawing a muted response from investors accustomed to blowout results.
Big Money Flocks Back to a Levered Trade That Went Bust in 2008
A diversified investment strategy that seeks to juice returns through leverage is finding new love among big money managers — more than a decade after it blew up during the 2008 financial crisis.
BP Asks Shareholders to Pay for Its Mistakes
For the last five years, BP Plc has squandered its shareholders’ money. That’s why, forced by poor returns and the arrival of an activist investor, it finally “reset” its strategy on Wednesday.
Lilly to Spend $27 Billion to Bolster US Drug Manufacturing
Eli Lilly & Co. will spend at least $27 billion to build four US manufacturing plants, the latest company to brace for the potential impact of President Donald Trump’s tariffs.
Nvidia’s Shaken Aura of Invincibility Is Set for Earnings Test
Nvidia Corp.’s earnings are set to dictate whether artificial intelligence can regain its status as the key driver behind Wall Street gains — or trigger more weakness after the Magnificent Seven group of technology stocks fell into correction territory.
US 10-Year Yield Hits 2025 Low as Traders Boost Rate-Cut Bets
Treasuries rallied, led by 10-year yields dropping 10 basis points as traders boosted bets on Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts, with US President Donald Trump’s tariff plans weighing on risk appetite.
BP Has a Final Chance to Return to Big Payouts
For the last five years, BP Plc has put ideology ahead of profitability. This week, its board of directors has a final chance to change direction. If it doesn’t, an investor revolt will follow, and many executives could be out of a job by summer.
The Fed Must See What’s Wrong To Do Its Job Right
The US Federal Reserve has begun a process with vast implications for the global economy: rethinking the framework by which it sets the interest rates that influence prices and lending in the US and just about everywhere else.
A Chinese Alternative to the Magnificent Seven Has Arrived
A strong conviction trade is being shaken. As international stocks are outperforming this year, global investors are asking if their faith in US exceptionalism has gone too far.
Alibaba Plans to Spend $53 Billion on AI in a Major Pivot
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. pledged to invest more than 380 billion yuan ($53 billion) on AI infrastructure such as data centers over the next three years, a major commitment that underscores the e-commerce pioneer’s ambitions of becoming a leader in artificial intelligence.
Trump Targets China With Biggest Salvo So Far in Second Term
The Trump administration took aim at China with a series of moves involving investment, trade and other issues that raises the risk ties may soon worsen between the US and its top economic rival.
JPMorgan Earmarks $50 Billion More for Its Direct-Lending Push
JPMorgan Chase & Co. is dramatically ramping up its direct-lending effort, setting aside an additional $50 billion to capture a bigger chunk of the fast-growing market.
Buffett Offers a Recipe for What Makes America Great
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. released its latest shareholder letter Saturday, and the content is — by and large — the usual timeless Warren Buffett fare.
Computing Power Is Going the Way of Oil in Markets
There are several answers, but an important financial one is that recent fundamental market changes have been much more disruptive for egg buyers than computer-processing users.
Google Wins Salesforce Cloud Deal in Bid to Counter Microsoft
Salesforce Inc. has signed a multibillion-dollar cloud deal with Alphabet Inc.’s Google, part of a larger effort to combine forces and attract corporate customers currently using Microsoft Corp.’s productivity and artificial intelligence products.
Apple Will Add 20,000 US Jobs Amid Threat from Trump Tariffs
Apple Inc., as it seeks relief from US President Donald Trump’s tariffs on goods imported from China, said that it will hire 20,000 new workers and produce AI servers in the US.
Trump Says Cook Shifting Apple Manufacturing From Mexico to US
President Donald Trump told a gathering of governors that Apple Inc. CEO Tim Cook promised him that the company’s manufacturing would shift from Mexico to the US during a meeting at the White House this week.
India’s EV Race With China Depends on Trains
The road to faster adoption of electric vehicles in India will pass through the railways — not the romantic train travel that stirred the imagination of writers for over a century and continues to inspire Bollywood, but efficient high-speed journeys.
Coinbase Says SEC Is Close to Dismissing Enforcement Case
Coinbase Global Inc. said the Securities and Exchange Commission has agreed to drop its lawsuit that accused the largest US cryptocurrency trading platform of running an illegal exchange.
Trump Media’s Finance Pivot Now Includes an Investment Fund
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. is creating a new fund to invest in “America First” companies, a move that could further co-mingle the business and policy interests of President Donald Trump.
Robinhood’s Crypto-Powered Rally Takes a Breather as Analysts Say Gains Priced In
Robinhood Markets Inc. shares are heading for their worst week since August as they pull back from the crypto-fueled surge that followed the election of President Donald Trump.
Banks Pull Debt Deals as Investors Push Back on Aggressive Terms
Banks have pulled a handful of US leveraged loans from the market this month, as investors are pushing back on aggressive pricing and credits with less favorable ratings, even though demand is outweighing the overall supply of deals.
TikTok Owner ByteDance Is Tech Darling Again With $400 Billion-Plus Valuation
At least three of Bytedance Ltd.’s major investors have marked up the TikTok-owner’s valuation to more than $400 billion, a sharp rebound for a Chinese social video leader that has been threatened with a US shutdown.
Wall Street Pushes Back on Tough Margin Rule for Zero-Day Options
Wall Street brokers and dealers are pushing back on a new margin rule that the world’s largest derivatives-clearing house has proposed to address the risk from the boom in zero-day options even after some revisions.
US Existing-Home Sales Drop Back Again With Mortgage Rates at 7%
Sales of existing US homes fell last month for the first time since September, as the combination of high mortgage rates and prices sets a grim backdrop heading into the crucial spring selling season.
Alibaba’s Jumbo Convertible Bond Tops Peers With 38% Gain in ‘25
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. is turning out to be a great investment this year: Not only its shares have jumped more than 60%, its convertible bonds are also up big time.
Booming European Stock Market Leaves Strategists in the Dust
The European stock market’s rally to record highs has caught many strategists by surprise, leaving them racing to catch up and cautious on further gains.
Wall Street Is Selling ETFs That Mimic the Private Equity Boom
Wall Street is still awaiting regulatory approval for the first full-blown private-asset ETFs, but for now opportunistic issuers are continuing to churn out products that claim to replicate the booming asset class — and stretching the definition of “liquid private equity.”
Record US LNG Exports May Give Relief to Buyers in Europe, Asia
US liquefied natural gas exports have extended a record-breaking run as new projects increased production, a trend that could help to ease high prices in Europe and Asia.
Meta Platforms’ Record Winning Streak Puts Stock Split in View
Meta Platforms Inc.’s recent record-breaking, 20-day rally propelled the share price to a level where investors may start calling on the company to split its stock for the first time since going public in 2013.
Bessent Says US ‘Long Way’ From Boosting Longer-Term Debt Sales
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that any move to boost the share of longer-term Treasuries in government debt issuance is some ways off, given current hurdles that include elevated inflation and the Federal Reserve’s quantitative tightening program.
Walmart Profit Forecast Falls Short on Slowing Growth
Walmart Inc. forecast lower-than-expected profit for the full year, suggesting that the uncertain economic environment is hitting even the world’s largest retailer.
Stagflation Is Poised for a Comeback
Might this be the year that stagflation returns to the US? It has been half a century: The last time the US economy had both excessively high inflation and unduly high unemployment was in the mid-1970s, with inflation rates reaching 12.2% in 1974 and unemployment at 8.5% in 1975.
Wall Street’s Utility Players Are Now Profit Machines
If I were to ask investors to name the best businesses in America, I suspect many would point to the Magnificent Seven, and understandably so.
Nvidia Revival Aided by Musk Marks End of Great DeepSeek Panic
The Great DeepSeek Panic of January 2025 is officially over.
What Happens When Private Credit Loans Get in Trouble
Alacrity Solutions found itself in a tough spot. The Indiana-based company helps property and auto insurers manage customer claims by taking calls, sending adjusters into the field and reviewing files.
F1’s Growing US Success Draws Peer-Beating Morgan Stanley Fund
Formula One’s rising popularity in the US has drawn an investment from a top-performing Morgan Stanley fund.
Analysts See ‘Peace Trade’ Crimping Natural Gas Stocks’ Rally
Stocks of North American natural gas exporters are trimming a three-year rally as the White House seeks a swift resolution to the war in Ukraine. Analysts say those companies could suffer even more if sanctions on Russian gas are lifted, adding new competition in their key markets.
Vanguard Overtakes State Street as World’s Biggest ETF
Vanguard has unseated State Street for the title of the world’s biggest exchange-traded fund, ushering in a new world order for the $11 trillion industry.
Tariff Tension Fails to Sway Equity Bulls Expecting Record Run
As tariff tensions and stubbornly high inflation whipsaw US stocks, bullish Wall Street forecasters are urging investors to stay the course.
Musk Debuts Grok-3 AI Chatbot to Rival OpenAI, DeepSeek
Elon Musk’s artificial intelligence startup xAI debuted its updated Grok-3 model, showcasing a version of the chatbot technology to challenge OpenAI days after the billionaire’s unsolicited cash bid to buy the company was rejected.
Higher Rents Are Coming If Interest Rates Don’t Budge
Coming into 2025, hopes for an increase in housing construction were pinned on lower borrowing costs. But with longer-term interest rates remaining stubbornly elevated and the Federal Reserve showing no urgency to ease policy, higher rents and home prices will be needed to drive an increase in production.
Four Reasons to Buy China Tech, and One Fatal Snag
The Hang Seng Tech Index has soared 23% this year, far outpacing the Nasdaq 100’s 5.3% gain. Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and Tencent Holdings Ltd.’s shares are back to their 2022 levels, while EV makers BYD Co. and Xiaomi Corp. hit new record highs.
US Retail Sales Drop by Most in Two Years Amid Fires, Storms
US retail sales slumped in January by the most in nearly two years, indicating an abrupt pullback by consumers after a spending spree in the closing months of 2024.
Alibaba Won’t Solve All of Apple’s China Problems
Apple Inc.’s China business kicked off the Year of the Snake inauspiciously.
Meta Plans Major Investment Into AI-Powered Humanoid Robots
Meta Platforms Inc., after pushing into augmented reality and artificial intelligence, has identified its next big bet: AI-powered humanoid robots.
Hedge Fund Startup That Replaced Analysts With AI Beats the Market
A hedge fund startup that uses artificial intelligence to do work typically handled by analysts has outperformed the global stock market in its first six months while slashing research costs.
Don’t Let Your Love Story End With Financial Infidelity
As we enter Valentine’s Day weekend, financial infidelity isn’t exactly a topic that exudes romance. But lovebirds who don’t make the discussion a foundational piece of their relationship risk adding avoidable strain on their union.
Goldbug FOMO Is Setting Up the Market for a Fall
Markets always look their very best at the top - that's increasingly the case with gold as it nears $3,000 a troy ounce. It's behaving like a Veblen good, an item for which, contrary to the laws of economics, demand increases with price.
Trump Has Us Talking About Trade Again. That’s a Win
For four years, Indians sensed that the US was terrified of the word “trade.” Joint statements after summits buried trade such issues somewhere near the end; officials avoided the question at press conferences, preferring to focus instead on relatively esoteric concerns such as cooperation in space.
Trump Moves to Impose Reciprocal Tariffs as Soon as April
President Donald Trump ordered his administration to consider imposing reciprocal tariffs on numerous trading partners, raising the prospect of a wider campaign against a global system he complains is tilted against the US.
Powell Says New Inflation Data Show Fed Has More Work to Do
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the latest consumer price data show that while the central bank has made substantial progress toward taming inflation, there is still more work to do.
Musk Says xAI’s ‘Scary Smart’ Next Model Chatbot Coming in Weeks
Elon Musk praised his upcoming Grok 3 chatbot as an AI model outperforming everything else that’s been released thus far, and said the world would get to see it in a matter of weeks.
Apple’s Stock-Market Performance Is Increasingly Made in China
Investors in America’s biggest company are increasingly focused on China, where Apple Inc. is striving to win over a crucial customer base while also facing tariff-related risks.
DoubleLine Asks Whether Microsoft Debt Is Safer Than Treasuries
Microsoft Corp. is bigger than most countries’ whole stock markets and its bond rating would be the envy of many nations.
Jeremy Grantham’s GMO Debuts China-Dodging ETF as Trade Tensions Fester
Jeremy Grantham’s Boston-based investment firm is tapping into popular demand on Wall Street for emerging-market strategies that avoid China altogether, as investors prep for fresh disruptions across global supply chains on the back of Donald Trump’s combative trade posture.
US Wholesale Inflation Tops Estimates on Food, Energy Prices
US wholesale prices rose in January by more than forecast on higher food and energy costs, highlighting only limited progress on inflation ahead of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration.
Trump Calls for Lower Interest Rates as Powell Heads to Hill
President Donald Trump called for lower interest rates, seeking to raise pressure on the Federal Reserve as he moves to implement a second-term economic agenda high on tariffs and expanding tax breaks.
El-Erian Sees Fed Holding Rates for Longer Than Markets Expect
The Federal Reserve is set to refrain from cutting interest rates for “quite a while,” following a hotter-than-expected inflation report, according to Mohamed El-Erian.
Buyout Titans Face Early Trump Tests, From Tariffs to Taxes
Private equity firms are facing early tests to the theory that Donald Trump’s return to the White House is a net win for America’s dealmakers.
Nvidia Shares No Longer Bulletproof as DeepSeek Fears Linger
Nvidia Corp. investors have typically rushed to buy the stock on any dips. But the mood since the DeepSeek-driven rout has been different, signaling that fears of a slowdown in AI spending aren’t going away.
David Tepper’s ‘Everything’ China Trade Has a New Plot
Billionaire investor David Tepper has certainly made up his mind. He doubled down on his bet on Chinese stocks last quarter, adding positions in e-commerce platforms Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and JD.com Inc., as well as index funds that track some of the country’s biggest companies.
Gold Hits Record in Volatile Session as Trump Fans Haven Demand
Gold endured a volatile few hours’ trading — rallying to a record, then paring gains — after President Donald Trump imposed tariffs on US steel and aluminum imports, adding to uncertainty in global markets.
Google, SoftBank Back Quantum Startup QuEra in $230 Million Deal
Startup investors including Alphabet Inc.’s Google and SoftBank Group Corp. are betting that quantum computing, often thought of as a fantastical science experiment, is getting closer to having sweeping real-world applications.
OpenAI’s Altman Says Musk ‘Probably Just Trying to Slow Us Down’
OpenAI Chief Executive Officer Sam Altman rebuffed Elon Musk’s $97.4 billion offer to take control of the artificial-intelligence startup for the second time in less than a day, accusing the world’s richest man of making the bid just to gain a competitive advantage.
Goldman Sachs’ Exclusive Investing Club Is a Powerful Draw
Bloomberg’s bonus calculator offers a revealing look at the divergent value of Wall Street employee payouts.
The Black Market for Oil Will Continue to Thrive
Oil smuggling isn’t easy, but it’s so enormously profitable that obstacles only slow it down. Sure, the authorities can make dealing illicit barrels a bit less financially rewarding; ultimately, however, the oil will flow.
Trump Sets 25% Steel, Aluminum Tariffs, Widening Trade Warbloo
President Donald Trump ordered a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports, escalating his efforts to protect politically important US industries with levies hitting some of the country’s closest allies.
Inflation Is Proving Sticky as Fed Chair Powell Heads to the Hill
US inflation showed scant signs of downward momentum at the start of the year, while healthy job growth undergirded the economy, backing the Federal Reserve’s stance to hold the line on interest rates for now.
The Hot Money in Commodities Is Betting on the Tropics
Looking for an investment idea that’s paid off handsomely in commodities markets over the past six months? Try betting on the tropics.
The S&P 500 Is Too Big to Falter on Trump’s Tariffs
If you’re looking to a popular stock market tracker like the S&P 500 Index to gauge the effect of President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs, don’t. It’s likely to be insulated from much of the fallout and therefore fail to reflect the true impact on US businesses.
Robinhood IRA Match Can’t Take the Place of a 401(k)
Everyone should have access to a quality retirement plan. That should not be a radical statement. People deserve to age with dignity and not worry about outliving their savings or paying for necessities like shelter and food.
DeepSeek Fails to Deter $325 Billion Gamble of the Century
At the start of this week, the question was whether the shock of China’s supercheap AI DeepSeek would compel Silicon Valley’s big artificial-intelligence companies to reduce their spending.
Private Equity and 401(k)s Aren’t a Great Match
Some of America’s leading financial firms are hoping to sell the White House on what sounds like a compelling idea: Open employer-sponsored retirement plans to the private investments they manage, so regular folks can reap returns currently reserved for the wealthy.
Investors See High-Grade Debt, MBS as Top Bets of 2025
The best performing US blue-chip bond funds of 2024 are sticking to their winning playbook: investing in debt from riskier blue-chip companies, as well as firms that can handle economic turbulence — and avoiding corporations sensitive to interest-rate risk.
Investors Eye Data Center IPOs to Ride AI Infrastructure Boom
Investors are hungry for a piece of the US data centers powering the artificial intelligence boom, and a handful of initial public offerings expected in 2025 would feed that appetite.
Treasuries Extend Losses as Jobs Report Leaves Fed Path Intact
US government bonds fell as mixed employment data left traders holding tight to expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates steady until later this year.
Bessent Says Trump Wants Lower 10-Year Yields, Not Fed Cuts
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the Trump administration’s focus with regard to bringing down borrowing costs is 10-year Treasury yields, rather than the Federal Reserve’s benchmark short-term interest rate.
Amazon Cloud Needs to Deliver After Microsoft, Alphabet Misses
Amazon.com Inc. shares have largely climbed on the back of two trends: strength in its cloud business and a focus on costs. Now both could be in question.
Principal, Pimco Bet on Debt From Riskier High-Grade Companies
The best performing US blue-chip bond funds of 2024 are sticking to their winning playbook: investing in debt from riskier blue-chip companies, as well as firms that can handle economic turbulence — and avoiding corporations sensitive to interest-rate risk.
The Job Market Is Weaker Than It Looks
The resilience of the labor market over the past year has, in large part, been about strength in sectors such as education, health care and government that are somewhat immune to economic cycles.
‘Debanking’ Dispute Highlights a Real Problem
Why would a bank suddenly shut down a customer’s adequately funded account? Some leading Republicans, echoing tech titans like Marc Andreessen, have warned of a conspiracy among regulators to “debank” conservatives and crypto enthusiasts.
Magnificent Seven’s Slowing Growth Threatens S&P 500 Rally
Last week, DeepSeek’s emergence as an AI threat wiped half a trillion dollars of value off Nvidia Corp. Last night, Alphabet Inc.’s disappointing earnings sparked questions about its capital expenditures and put its stock on pace for the worst drop in more than a year.
Bessent’s Treasury Sticks With Yellen-Era Long-Term Debt Plan
The US Treasury on Wednesday maintained its guidance on keeping sales of longer-term debt unchanged well into 2025, despite newly installed Secretary Scott Bessent having criticized the issuance strategy of his predecessor before he was picked for the job.
Macquarie Shuts US Debt Capital Markets in Private Credit Pivot
Macquarie Group Ltd. is shuttering its US debt capital markets arm, a business that includes leveraged loan origination, syndication and trading, to focus resources on private credit, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
Gold Hits Fresh Record on Haven Demand as Tightness Persists
Gold climbed to a fresh record high, as trade-war worries bolstered haven demand and there were continued signs of short-term tightness in the market.
Vanguard’s Record Fee Cut Puts Rivals BlackRock, Invesco in Tough Spot
Vanguard Group Inc.’s biggest salvo yet in its campaign to cut fees for the investing masses presents industry rivals with a painful choice.
Traders Rush to Safety in Loan ETFs Again on Interest-Rate Pain
Investors plowed record cash into a pair of leveraged loan ETFs last week, in a high-conviction bet that the Federal Reserve will be slow to slash interest rates.
DeepSeek Is Just the Latest Hedge Fund Innovation
Hedge funds have long gotten bad press. Criticized for short selling, corporate agitation or destructive greed, their contribution to economic activity isn’t always clear.
US Exceptionalism Is the Only Game in Town
The dollar and US stocks have benefitted tremendously from recent global portfolio inflows. As of June 2023, the latest data available, foreigners owned a record 17% of US equities.
Bessent Takes the Helm on US Debt Sales After Blasting Yellen
After repeatedly blasting Janet Yellen last year over her department’s strategy for issuing federal debt, it’s now up to Scott Bessent to make the call on sales of Treasuries, with bond dealers conflicted over what he’ll do in a pivotal release due Wednesday.
Vanguard’s Average Fee Is Now Just 0.07% After Biggest-Ever Cut
Vanguard Group has slashed the fees for dozens of its mutual funds and ETFs in a record move that’s likely to send a shock wave through the asset management industry.
US Oil Outpaces Global Price Gains as Tariffs Menace Supply
The US crude benchmark outpaced gains in other oil markets after President Donald Trump announced tariffs that threaten flows from two of America’s biggest foreign suppliers.
Bond Traders Warn of Inflation Shock as US Yield Curve Flattens
US bond markets are flashing a warning to US President Donald Trump that his move to unleash tariffs on top trading partners risks fueling inflation and stymieing growth.
Goldman Knows DeepSeek Affects the Future of Work
I recently asked DeepSeek to model the impact of artificial intelligence on US labor productivity growth.
The Fed’s Best Bet Is Patience as Confusion Reigns
A lot has changed since a new administration took charge on Jan. 20, so the Federal Reserve’s decision last week to maintain its policy rate might seem odd.
Apple’s ‘Best Quarter Ever’ Leaves Much to Be Desired
Apple Inc. described its latest results as its “best quarter ever,” but that’s only true if you stop reading near the top of the press release issued Thursday evening. Overall revenue may have reached record levels, but big questions lurk about large parts of the iPhone maker’s business.
UPS’ Amazon Reduction Is the Right Move
Carol Tomé, chief executive officer of United Parcel Service Inc., is ripping off a Band-Aid in one excruciating shot of pain to fix the courier’s post-pandemic problem with depressed profit margins.
Meta’s Aggressive AI Bet Sets Up Stock’s Longest Gain Since 2015
Meta Platforms Inc. shares are on track for their longest streak of daily gains in almost a decade, with its latest earnings report adding to investor confidence about its strategy with artificial intelligence.
Why Chinese Tech Keeps Surprising the West
DeepSeek didn’t come out of nowhere. But it seemed to catch Silicon Valley and global investors by surprise this week, to the tune of billions of dollars in stock market value.
Extending the 2017 Tax Cuts Would Be Fiscally Reckless
For the new Congress, deciding the fate of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act will present an immediate dilemma. Allowing the law’s provisions to expire as scheduled at the end of the year would effectively raise taxes on tens of millions of Americans.
Credit Skeptics Place a $10 Billion Bet in High-Priced Market
A small band of Wall Street skeptics are moving to protect their credit portfolios against a market priced like nothing in the economy could possibly go wrong.
Boeing’s Rosy Outlook Negates the Need for a Fire Sale
Boeing Co. reported on Tuesday that it burned through $14 billion of cash in 2024 and is likely to post negative cash flow this year as well. Regardless, its shares jumped as much as 7.6%.
DeepSeek Calls for Deep Breaths From Big Tech Over Earnings
By now, almost everyone has heard about DeepSeek, the Chinese-made AI that has taught the US a thing or two about building cheaper artificial intelligence.
Lutnick Says Trump’s Tariffs Will Restore US Economy and Respect
Howard Lutnick, President Donald Trump’s nominee to lead the Commerce Department, offered a detailed defense of tariffs in his confirmation hearing, the clearest signal yet from a cabinet pick that the new administration is prepared to impose the levies on allies and adversaries alike.
Powell Says Fed Doesn’t Need to Be in a Hurry to Lower Rates
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said officials are not in a hurry to lower interest rates, adding the central bank is pausing to see further progress on inflation following a string of rate reductions last year.
Treasuries Slip as Traders Scrutinize Powell’s Inflation Remarks
US Treasuries were lower as traders parsed tweaks to the Federal Reserve’s policy statement regarding progress on the fight against inflation.
Crypto Enters the Debanking Debate With a Weak Case
“Debanking” is about to get a lot of airtime in US politics, but be warned: This debate is a chimera. Crypto enthusiasts, culture warriors and banks all have dogs in the hunt, with each leaning on the others’ interests and narratives to advance their own.
DeepSeek Is Coming for Sam Altman’s Other Company Too
If OpenAI LLC were a listed company, Monday would have been a very bad day for the stock.
Fed’s Balance-Sheet Plans Mystify Wall Street as Officials Meet
Buried in a rote US Treasury survey released on the eve of the latest holiday weekend was a question that all of Wall Street wants the answer to: What’s the Federal Reserve’s plan once it’s done drawing down its crisis-era bond holdings?
How Trump Can Slash Red Tape and Enrich America, Too
Every year, millions of Americans living abroad suffer a profound administrative indignity: complying with a US income-tax regime that treats them like miscreants and complicates the lives even of those who owe nothing.
If Wall Street Wants to Buy More Houses, Let It
New York Governor Kathy Hochul has proposed restrictions on large financial firms buying homes, and state legislators in Virginia and Nebraska have similar ideas.
Microsoft Probing If DeepSeek-Linked Group Improperly Obtained OpenAI Data
Microsoft Corp. and OpenAI are investigating whether data output from OpenAI’s technology was obtained in an unauthorized manner by a group linked to Chinese artificial intelligence startup DeepSeek, according to people familiar with the matter.
Oaktree’s Howard Marks Says Don’t Expect Low-Rate Era to Return
Oaktree Capital Group LLC co-founder Howard Marks says investors who made a fortune in the era of easy money should not expect the same strategies to deliver such exceptional returns in the future.
The Fed Will Duck and Weave on Policy, But Not for Long
When it comes to degrees of difficulty, this week’s Federal Reserve meeting is shaping up as a walk in the park compared to what awaits policymakers down the road.
DeepSeek Exposes Market Risk Hiding in Plain Sight
The S&P 500 Index plummeted as much as 2.3% on Monday over DeepSeek, a Chinese artificial intelligence startup that developed a model competitive with the US’s very best — and, supposedly, on the cheap.
Pimco, Apollo Among Funds Looking at Next $3 Billion of X Debt
Pacific Investment Management Co. is among asset managers looking at buying a portion of $3 billion of debt tied to Elon Musk’s buyout of X, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
Investors to Watch Powell’s Tone as Market Teeters
As the Federal Reserve’s two-day meeting begins, investors have accepted that the central bank probably won’t be cutting interest rates this time.
AI’s Electricity Demand Means Cool New Tech Is Coming to Boring Grids
Bosses at artificial intelligence companies aren’t worried about the end of the world or the start of government regulations. Their biggest worry is more mundane: finding enough electricity to keep servers running at data centers.
Bullish Tech Traders Made Record Wrong-Way ETF Bets Before Rout
Exchange-traded fund investors who placed record bets on the US technology space last week are getting crushed Monday as anxiety over competition from a Chinese startup’s AI model is hitting tech stocks hard.
US Yields Fall to Lowest This Year as Tech Slump Fuels Haven Bid
Treasuries rallied on Monday as investors flocked to the safety of US government bonds after equities slumped in a selloff driven by technology shares.
DeepSeek Buzz Puts Tech Shares on Track for $1 Trillion Drop
Chinese artificial intelligence startup DeepSeek’s latest AI model sparked a $1 trillion rout in US and European technology stocks, as investors questioned bloated valuations for some of America’s biggest companies.
Bitcoin Follows Tech Stocks Lower as New AI App Rattles Markets
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies tumbled, following technology stocks lower, as the emergence of a new Chinese artificial-intelligence model triggered a global selloff in riskier assets.
The Three Forces Shifting the Investment Landscape
Three factors heavily influenced the financial landscape over the last 12 months — AI-focused technological optimism, hoped-for leveling up, and higher government bond yields.
DeepSeek Shows Silicon Valley’s Huge Blindspot on AI
Last year, the chief executive officer of a leading AI firm was asked at a private Silicon Valley dinner about how his company differentiated from others building “foundation models,” the systems underpinning chatbots like ChatGPT.
Tax-Slashing ETF Trailblazer Preps for a Fresh $5 Billion Haul
Four years after handling the first conversion of a hedge fund to an ETF, Wes Gray is gearing up to lead a surge of tax-busting deals aimed at investors big and small.
S&P 500 Sees Best Start for a President Since 1985
The world’s biggest stock market is heading for its best start for a new US president since Ronald Reagan was sworn in to power in 1985.
Pimco, Dodge & Cox Lead Revival in Actively Managed Bond Funds
US bond funds actively managed by industry heavyweights like Pacific Investment Management Co. attracted the most new investment last year as money returned after a two-year dry spell.
Trump's Big AI Goals Start Small: 57 Jobs at a Texas Data Center
In a small Texas city nearly 200 miles west of Dallas, the first data center associated with the $100 billion Stargate venture from OpenAI, SoftBank Group Corp. and Oracle Corp. is taking shape.
Meta to Spend as Much as $65 Billion on AI Efforts in 2025
Meta Platforms Inc. plans to invest as much as $65 billion on projects related to artificial intelligence in 2025, including building a giant new data center and increasing hiring in AI teams, Chief Executive Officer Mark Zuckerberg said Friday.
Crypto’s Richest Man Turns VC Firm Into Giant Family Office
Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, a few months out of prison and worth $70 billion thanks to the relentless crypto rally, is turning the former venture capital arm of his Binance Holdings Ltd. into a family office.
US Existing-Home Sales Pick Up at End of Worst Year Since 1995
Sales of previously owned homes in the US rose for the third straight month in December, entering 2025 with some momentum after the worst year in nearly three decades.
GE Needs a Greater Balance Between Dividends and Buybacks
General Electric Co., known now as GE Aerospace, has reclaimed its position as the largest industrial company by market value as jet engine production and after-market service both ramp up.
America’s Best Stock Picker Keeps Beating Passive Funds
For the third time in four years, the stock picker beating everyone is Fidelity Investments Inc.’s decoder of computer chips, crushing every measure of performance as the more popular passively managed index funds tracking market benchmarks proved little more than also-rans in 2024.
Wall Street’s Tech-Powered Bond Trades Hit Record $1 Trillion
A tech-powered approach to bond trading that helps firms move hundreds of securities in one go has just posted its best year yet.
SpaceX Addition Spurs Flood of New Cash Into Little-Known ETF
An exchange-traded fund from a relatively unknown shop is catching the attention of online traders and gathering flows after investing in Elon Musk’s SpaceX.
Oracle Takes Run at Cloud’s Big Three With Trump-Backed AI Pact
Oracle Corp. has charged out of the gate in 2025, after its best year in a quarter-century.
How Trump’s Protectionism Could Increase Free Trade
Free trade is in trouble. That’s hardly startling news when the US has an avowed protectionist in the White House, but the problem runs deeper than it may at first appear.
Are US Taxes Too High or Too Low? Choose Your Chart
The gap between US federal spending and tax revenue is currently bigger, as a share of gross domestic product, than it’s ever been outside of major war or other crisis.
Saudi Crown Prince Makes $600 Billion Investment and Trade Pledge to Trump
Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman told President Donald Trump he’s willing to expand investments and trade with the US in the coming four years by $600 billion, according to the kingdom’s state-run news agency SPA.
Netflix Shares Soar to Record After Huge Gain in Subscribers
Netflix Inc. shares soared to a record high on Wednesday after the streaming giant reported its biggest quarterly subscriber gain in history, buoyed by its first major live sporting events and the return of Squid Game.
No, Ray Dalio, There's Not a UK Debt Death Spiral
Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio has a new book to promote. So while I am loath to fuel the sales campaign, his latest bomb in an interview with the Financial Times — warning of a “death spiral” for Britain’s sovereign debt — requires a riposte.
SoftBank Joins OpenAI, Oracle in AI Pact Unveiled by Trump
SoftBank Group Corp., OpenAI, and Oracle Corp. are forming a $100 billion joint venture to fund artificial intelligence infrastructure, an effort unveiled with President Donald Trump aimed at speeding development of the emerging technology.
Apple’s Tough January Worsens as Analysts Cut on iPhone Risk
Apple Inc. received a pair of analyst downgrades, in the latest sign that soft iPhone sales are becoming an increasing concern for investors, as artificial intelligence fails to act as a hoped-for growth catalyst.
There Are Stock Gems to Mine Before the Bots Take Over
There’s a lot of chatter on Wall Street about artificial intelligence replacing analysts — the folks at banks and brokerages who tell investors which stocks to buy, hold or sell. The bots should be able to make those recommendations just as well as humans.
Restoring Fiscal Control Can’t Wait Much Longer
Since the start of the new year, the bond market has been urging Congress to come to terms with America’s spiraling budget problems. Soon it might be demanding immediate action.
US Bonds Advance as Trump Delays on Tariffs, Oil Prices Fall
US government bond yields approached their lowest levels of the year after President Donald Trump refrained from immediately implementing tariffs and oil prices declined, easing inflation concerns.
Trump Starts Reshaping US Energy With Focus on Oil and Gas
President Donald Trump launched a sweeping overhaul of US energy policy hours after taking office Monday, putting the weight of the federal government behind fossil-fuel production and pulling back from the fight against climate change.
Trump’s Tariff Shifts Are a Warning for Corporate America to Expect Whiplash
Donald Trump opened his second term as US president with a market-jolting recalibration of his tariff policies, in a sign of turbulence ahead for investors and corporate executives.
The US Gas Comeback Is Real
New Yorkers bowing their heads into a cutting wind is typically a bullish sign for natural gas prices, and this January is no exception.
Raising the SALT Cap Is Supposed to Benefit Whom, Exactly?
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act that President Donald Trump signed into law in December 2017 imposed a $10,000 limit on the amount of state and local taxes that can be deducted on a federal income tax return.
The Definitive Guide to Where the US Has Squeezed Russia’s Oil Flows the Hardest
The latest US sanctions on oil tankers hauling Russian petroleum look set to cause severe disruption across the nation’s export machine, with some of Moscow’s flows at risk of a near wipeout if history is any guide.
BofA’s Hartnett Says Trump Trade to Shield US Stocks From Plunge
Donald Trump’s return to the White House will likely protect US stocks from a big selloff, according to Bank of America Corp. strategists, as investors focus on his protectionist agenda and proposals for lower corporate taxes.
The Fed’s Stress Tests Are Facing a Stress Test
The Federal Reserve faces a reckoning: Sometime soon, it’ll probably have to subject its stress tests to public scrutiny, highlighting serious flaws in what has become its primary tool for ensuring the resilience of the banking system.
Surging Long-Term Rates Stoke GOP Tensions on Paying for Tax Cut
Surging long-term interest rates and stubborn inflation are inflaming divisions among congressional Republicans over paying for the sweeping tax cuts Donald Trump promised, complicating the path to passage with the party’s already tenuous majority.
Trump Team Readies Oil Sanctions Plan for Russia Deal, Iran Squeeze
Advisers to President-elect Donald Trump are crafting a wide-ranging sanctions strategy to facilitate a Russia-Ukraine diplomatic accord in the coming months while at the same time squeezing Iran and Venezuela, people familiar with the matter said.
BlackRock’s Amped Up ETF Taps Into Wall Street’s Stock Anxiety
BlackRock Inc. is tapping into a fast-growing corner of the options-powered ETF world with an offering aimed at Wall Street investors bracing for the S&P 500 to tread water.
MicroStrategy May Soon Rival Amazon, Alphabet in Common Shares
MicroStrategy Inc.’s Michael Saylor may soon have almost as many common shares at his disposal to help fund the company’s Bitcoin buying spree as market behemoths Amazon.com Inc. and Alphabet Inc. have outstanding.
Mexico Cozies Up to Trump With Crackdown on China Trade
First came the raid on a Mexico City shopping center known for selling Chinese-made clothing, toys and electronics
Microsoft’s Stock Revival Hinges on Showing Growth From AI Binge
Microsoft Corp. has plowed tens of billions of dollars into artificial intelligence. With its stock struggling, the key question is how quickly those investments can prove to be successful.
Canada a ‘Good Place to Hide’ If US Stocks Drop, Contrarian Says
Canada’s stock market — where returns have lagged the US for two straight years — might offer investors protection against a downturn in US stocks, a Toronto-based asset manager says.
Elon Musk’s Robotopia Will Bloom in Aging Europe
There will be more humanoid robots than people by 2040, Elon Musk recently bragged.
US Bond ‘Death Spiral’ Risk Brushed Aside by Foreign Funds
Whether you’re speaking with Europe’s largest money manager, Australia’s giant pension funds, or a cash-rich insurer in Japan, there’s a resounding message you’ll hear when it comes to US Treasuries: They are still hard to beat.
Big US Bank Profits Surge as Biden Era Comes to a Close
For all of Wall Street’s excitement about Donald Trump’s growth agenda, the biggest banks are ending the Biden years on a high note.
Wall Street Has Best CPI Day Since at Least 2023: Markets Wrap
Wall Street breathed a sigh of relief after a surprise slowdown in inflation spurred a stock rally and a plunge in bond yields, reinforcing bets the Federal Reserve is on track to keep cutting rates this year.
The Inflation Genie Is Moving to the White House
The latest updates on the labor market and consumer prices show President-elect Donald Trump inherits an economy where inflation is poised to return to the Federal Reserve’s target later this year.
BlackRock Gets Record Client Cash, Revamps Leadership Team
BlackRock Inc. attracted an annual record of $641 billion in client cash, underlining the firm’s global reach across public and, increasingly, private assets as it integrates multibillion-dollar acquisitions and reshapes its leadership.
Goldman Profit Doubles as Stock Traders Score Record Haul
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. cruised past estimates as its equity traders delivered their best year on record.
Nvidia’s $3 Trillion Rally Is On Edge, Wall Street Is Unfazed
Nvidia Corp.’s $3 trillion run-up in market value in the two years since ChatGPT helped trigger an AI frenzy is bigger than any stock rally in history in such a short time span.
The $2 Trillion Home Insurance Nightmare Is Getting Even Worse
On top of the human tragedy they’re still inflicting, the Los Angeles wildfires are exposing a gap between what people thought their homes were worth and what they’ll actually get from insurance companies when those houses have been reduced to ash. Potentially thousands of homeowners are learning it won’t be nearly enough.
Treasuries Surge as Easing Inflation Boosts Fed Rate-Cut Bets
US government bonds surged as benign inflation data prompted traders to resume their bets on additional Federal Reserve interest rate cuts by July.
Wall Street Set for Higher Open on Tariff Report
Wall Street was set for a higher open on Tuesday, though a renewed rise in Treasury yields damped the sentiment boost offered earlier by the prospect of gradually imposed US trade tariffs.
China Weighs Sale of TikTok US to Musk as a Possible Option
Chinese officials are evaluating a potential option that involves Elon Musk acquiring the US operations of TikTok if the company fails to fend off a controversial ban on the short-video app, according to people familiar with the matter.
Traders Brace for Biggest S&P Earnings-Day Reactions Ever
Traders are bracing for one of the most volatile earnings periods in stock market history.
Don’t Bank on Your Banking Job Outlasting AI
Over the past few months, I’ve had occasion to speak at a number of conferences concerned with the impact of artificial intelligence on financial jobs.
Private Equity Does Not Belong in Your 401(k)
Private equity wants access to Americans’ retirement accounts, and is lobbying President-elect Donald Trump’s administration to get it.
Surging Bond Yields Make a Strong Case for Fiscal Sanity
The recent surge in bond yields is directing renewed attention to America’s grim fiscal outlook.
US Reliance on Saudi Oil Is Nearing Its Endgame
For decades, one of Saudi Arabia’s most strategic overseas outposts was a little-known office in New York City that coordinated its oil sales to American clients.
Goldman Sees Dollar Rallying 5% or More as US Growth Dominates
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. has upgraded its dollar forecasts, citing a robust US economy and likely higher tariffs that may slow monetary easing.
Treasuries Selloff Ripples Through World Markets After Jobs Data
Treasuries extended their drop after Friday’s blowout employment report strengthened speculation that the Federal Reserve is poised to pause its interest-rate cuts for virtually all of this year.
OpenAI Emphasizes China Competition in Pitch to a New Washington
OpenAI’s top executives are planning to host events in Washington DC and two key swing states to bolster support for investment in artificial intelligence as the company adapts to the biggest change in the US political landscape since ChatGPT launched.
TSMC Sales Beat Estimates in Boost for AI’s Outlook in 2025
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.’s quarterly sales topped estimates, reinforcing investor hopes that the torrid pace of AI hardware spending will extend into 2025.
Chinese Traders’ Demand for Global Stocks Prompt Rare ETF Halts
Chinese investors’ fierce appetite for overseas shares has triggered rare, full-day suspensions on a pair of exchange-traded funds tracking global equities.
A New World for Facebook and Instagram: Zuckerberg’s Splinternet
When Mark Zuckerberg earnestly looked at a camera and told the world (or President-elect Donald Trump) that he was shutting down all fact-checking on Facebook and Instagram, he left out some important context.
US 30-Year Yield Hits 5% as Traders Push Back Next Fed Rate Cut
US Treasuries plunged as evidence of a resilient labor market pushed traders to shift their expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next interest-rate cut to the second half of the year.
Indonesia’s Showdown With Apple Is Far From Over
Indonesia isn’t taking a step back from its hardball approach to Apple Inc. The showdown has turned into quite a spectacle, but it’s unlikely the wins will be sustainable.
Big-Tech Love - And Fear - Fuels Record Boom for Invesco’s ETFs
Invesco Ltd.’s ETF lineup absorbed a record amount of cash in 2024 from at least two classes of investors: those chasing AI-driven gains, and those shying away from big tech’s sway.
Janus Henderson Takes CLO-Tracking Fund to Europe After US Win
After cementing its position as the dominant player in the US for a niche but highly lucrative investment vehicle, Janus Henderson is looking to try its luck in Europe.
Who’s Afraid of Rising Treasury Yields? Not Stocks
Stock investors have been watching the runup in US Treasury yields with considerable alarm of late.
Boeing Investors Shouldn’t Bank on a GE-Style Windfall
A contestant could be forgiven for guessing Boeing Co., but the correct answer would be General Electric Co., and the talented executive is Larry Culp.
US-China Tech Breakup Is a Race to the Bottom
A messy, ongoing tech breakup between the US and China is forcing a rethink about what the industry might look like for consumers in a decoupled world.
Can Howard Marks Spot a Stock Bubble Twice?
Most people assume that the S&P 500 Index will go up over long holding periods.
Bankers Need the Right Trump Outcome to Justify Stock Optimism
US investment banks have little room for error in their upcoming full-year results.
Fed’s Harker Says More Rate Cuts Are Coming But Timing Uncertain
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker said officials are on track to lower interest rates this year, but the exact timing will depend on what happens with the economy.
Global Bond Selloff Leaves US Treasury Yields Flirting With 5%
The selloffs that keep flaring in the world’s bond markets are pushing yields toward key thresholds amid escalating worries about elevated inflation, tempestuous politics and swelling government debts.
Biden to Further Limit Nvidia AI Chip Exports in Final Push
President Joe Biden’s administration plans one additional round of restrictions on the export of artificial intelligence chips from the likes of Nvidia Corp. just days before leaving office, a final push in his effort to keep advanced technologies out of the hands of China and Russia.
US 30-Year Mortgage Rate Just Shy of 7% Bridles Home Purchases
US mortgage rates edged up to just shy of 7% at the turn of year and a gauge of home-purchase applications tumbled to the lowest level since February, adding to evidence of a struggling housing market.
Trump Gathers SALT-Focused Republicans Before Tax Fight
A cohort of about 20 Republican House members from New York, New Jersey and California was invited to meet with President-elect Donald Trump at his Mar-a-Lago estate Saturday ahead of a looming fight over an extension of his 2017 tax cuts.
Treasury Market Gets First 5% Yield in Sign of What Could Come
The 20-year Treasury bond offered a grim warning as a selloff fueled by inflationary angst gripped global debt markets: 5% yields are already here.
Google’s Most Serious Rival Isn’t Microsoft. It’s a Startup
The AI boom of the past two years has largely been a two-horse race. Alphabet Inc.’s Google and Microsoft Corp.-funded OpenAI have duked it out for customers, while Amazon.com Inc. and Meta Platforms Inc. have nibbled at the margins for market share.
Bitcoin Is Not a Nothing, But Not a Something Either
A few weeks ago, a reader emailed to challenge what he described as our “cautionary, skeptical and net negative” stance on Bitcoin.
ECB's Lagarde Faces a Make-or-Break 2025
Every central banker has a make-or-break moment. As the euro crisis raged in 2012, then-European Central Bank boss Mario Draghi took to describing the common currency as a “bumblebee”:
Privatize the USPS? Not in an Era of Crony Capitalism
President-elect Donald Trump is said to be interested in the privatization of the US Postal Service, a prospect that also appeals to his DOGE project and its allies in Congress.
Fed’s Cook Says Officials Can Be More Cautious With Rate Cuts
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook said policymakers can proceed more cautiously with additional rate cuts, citing a sturdy labor market and recent bumpiness in inflation data.
Nvidia Investors Look to Huang CES Speech to Spark Next Breakout
Nvidia Corp. investors have high hopes that Monday’s speech from CEO Jensen Huang will spark a fresh breakout in the chipmaker’s shares, which have plateaued since November after roaring higher for much of 2024.
Biden’s Steel Move Is No Way to Treat an Ally
The most telling moment in the Biden Administration’s decision to block Nippon Steel Corp.’s attempted takeover of United States Steel Corp. was unintentional.
Gold Investors Stay Bullish for 2025 on Trump Volatility
Money managers are seeing plenty of reasons to remain bullish on gold, following a stellar 2024 that saw the precious metal post its biggest annual gain since 2010.
Biden Bars Offshore Oil Drilling in US Atlantic and Pacific
President Joe Biden is indefinitely blocking offshore oil and gas development in more than 625 million acres of US coastal waters, warning that drilling there is simply “not worth the risks” and “unnecessary” to meet the nation’s energy needs.
MicroStrategy Buys Bitcoin After Adding Preferred Offering
MicroStrategy Inc. bought $101 million of Bitcoin after announcing that it would use perpetual preferred stock as well as common shares and debt to acquire more of the cryptocurrency.
The UK Can Find Its Place in Trump’s America
What happens in the US economy doesn’t always stay there, particularly when it comes to the UK.
Three Ways the Fed's Message Falls Short — and How to Fix Them
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has indicated that the central bank’s communication will be part of its 2025 monetary policy review.
How Trump Can Achieve Sustained 3% GDP Growth
The incoming Trump administration has set a goal of growing the economy by 3% per year, similar to promises made during Donald Trump’s first term in office.
ETF Companies Are Racing to Launch the Next ‘Hot’ Crypto Fund
Purveyors of exchange-traded funds are finding ever more creative — and potentially riskier — ways to lure investors into the crypto craze.
Reserves at Fed Sink Below $3 Trillion to the Lowest Since 2020
The US banking system’s reserves, a key factor in the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep shrinking its balance sheet, tumbled below $3 trillion to the lowest since October 2020.
Biden Blocks Nippon Steel’s $14.1 Billion Takeover of US Steel
President Joe Biden has blocked the $14.1 billion sale of United States Steel Corp. to Nippon Steel Corp., killing a high-profile deal that sparked a political firestorm and tensions between the US and Japan.
Don’t Fear the Froth. Stay Invested Even If Stocks Are Overvalued.
Maybe you have a pile of cash to invest, but you’re terrified of putting it into a US stock market near record highs.
A ‘Made in China’ Crisis Awaits Big Auto
When Jaguar’s “copy nothing” brand reboot hit late last year, one self-styled car enthusiast replied on X: “What the actual hell is this.” Jaguar’s response: “The future.”
Regulation, Deals and Crypto: Fintech Themes to Watch in 2025
The clouds that hung over the financial-technology industry in 2024 appear to be clearing as interest-rate cuts, recoveries in fintech stocks and promises of a looser regulatory environment in the second Trump administration paint a more promising outlook for startups.
Stock Bears Are Going Extinct. Time to Worry?
It’s that time of year when Wall Street soothsayers look ahead 12 months and try to divine the path of US stocks.
Where the Smart Climate Tech Venture Money Is Going in 2025
This year is shaping up to be a dramatic one for climate tech investors.
Chinese Stocks Tumble in Worst Start to a Year Since 2016
Chinese stocks posted their worst start to a year in nearly a decade as investors braced for economic uncertainties with weaker-than-expected manufacturing data and an anticipated hike in tariffs.
The Fed Has to Fix Its Communication Problem
The Federal Reserve has begun one of its reviews of “monetary policy strategy, tools and communications.” This month’s cut in interest rates and investors’ reaction to it underline just why such a review is needed.
A Crypto Optimist’s Guide for 2025
Before I undertake the hard task of predicting where the crypto industry will go in 2025, let’s take a minute to recall where it has been.
What the Housing Industry Needs in 2025
It’s now half a decade since anything in the US housing market could be considered normal. The pandemic boom was followed by a transaction bust, induced by the central bank, that did little to lower sky-high prices.
European Stocks Decline as Year-End Rally on Wall Street Fades
European stocks fell in the penultimate trading session of 2024, a year of modest gains for the region that contrasted with the bullish Wall Street rally.
Crypto’s $205 Billion Stablecoin Market Set to Go Mainstream
While Bitcoin’s surge above $100,000 captivated the headlines in 2024, many financial firms were more focused this year on a different type of cryptocurrency whose price is never meant to rise — or fall for that matter.
Gold’s 27% Advance Stands Out in Mixed Year for Metals Markets
Gold is heading for one of its biggest annual gains this century, with a 27% advance that’s been fueled by US monetary easing, sustained geopolitical risks, and a wave of purchases by central banks.
Where Are Stocks and the Economy Going? Ask Bonds
I will be looking at a few indicators in 2025 to tell me where financial markets are going. Most of them relate to the bond market, because it is both a window into the overall economy and an important component of how stocks and other risky assets are valued.
Bond Vigilantes Are Putting Governments on Notice
On a rather quiet final Friday of the year, I used my Bloomberg Terminal to check how key government bond yields in advanced economies have changed in 2024.
Technology Will Make the Pace of Change Even Faster
Advances in AI, including artificial general intelligence, are very likely to continue — but it’s unclear how much of a difference they’ll make.
BlackRock’s Bitcoin Fund Became ‘Greatest Launch in ETF History’
BlackRock Inc.’s iShares unit offers more than 1,400 exchange-traded funds around the world, yet none of them have performed quite like this.
Bitcoin Rally Fizzles as Token’s Record-Breaking Year Winds Down
A Bitcoin rally is fizzling in the final days of a record-breaking year for the digital asset, as investors assess the remaining impetus from President-elect Donald Trump’s embrace of the cryptocurrency sector.
Treasuries Trade Mixed, With 30-Year Yield Near 2024 Highs
Treasuries were mixed in thin trading as traders absorbed the prospect of a less aggressive path ahead for Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts and priced in greater risk for US long-term debt.
Dollar Eyes Best Year in Almost a Decade
The dollar is headed for its best year in almost a decade as US economic strength reins in expectations for the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting cycle and President-elect Donald Trump’s threats of harsh tariffs underpin bullish bets on the currency.
Tokenization Has Become Wall Street’s Latest Favorite Crypto Buzzword
Tokenization, or the process of creating digital representations of real-world assets on a blockchain, has become one of this year’s buzzwords in both conventional and crypto finance circles.
Boeing Headlines Industrial Prospects and Pitfalls in 2025
The new year will start with plenty of intrigue, especially in manufacturing, aerospace and logistics, the area where I hunt for interesting storylines about how companies navigate opportunities and pitfalls.
OpenAI Mulls Plan for a More Conventional For-Profit Business
OpenAI, founded a decade ago as a research organization, is considering a change to the AI company’s structure that would create a more conventional money-making corporation alongside a nonprofit arm.
Books We Read in 2024 to Prepare Us for the Future
Recommend reading that provides a bed of knowledge for the key themes we think will define 2025. Ours differs from other lists you might see elsewhere at this time of year in that we focus on relevance rather than recency, though there are new books here, too.
Dollar Dominance Is the Key to US Debt and Deficits
The eclipse of the dollar, and with it the ability of the US to borrow on a scale that would cripple any other country, has been long predicted. For at least half a century, skeptics have counted on something — or someone — coming along to knock American assets from their perch. Don't plan for a requiem just yet.
Treasuries Fall as Long Rates Expand Gap Over Short Maturities
Treasuries were under pressure in a holiday-shortened session as investors remain wary to park cash in US government debt that matures in a decade or more.
US Continuing Claims Rise to Highest in More Than Three Years
Recurring applications for US unemployment benefits rose to the highest in more than three years, adding to signs that it is taking longer for out-of-work people to find a job.
The 5 Biggest Forces to Watch in Corporate America
The C-suites and boardrooms of corporate America should be on high alert entering 2025.
In American Debt We Trust — But for How Long?
America’s national debt would have horrified Ronald Reagan.
China Mulls Record $411 Billion Special Bonds, Reuters Says
China’s policymakers plan to sell a record 3 trillion yuan ($411 billion) of special treasury bonds in 2025, Reuters reported on Tuesday, a move aimed at bolstering the slowing economy.
Obamacare Is More Popular and Costlier Than Ever
A rude surprise could be in store for the millions of Americans who get health coverage through the Affordable Care Act. If Congress doesn’t act next year, enhanced premium subsidies will expire by December, causing enrollees’ payments to increase by more than 75% on average.
Good Debt? Bad Debt? There’s No Such Thing
People often make a distinction between “good debt” and “bad debt,” in terms of both personal finances and public spending.
For Emerging Markets, ‘Better Luck Next Year’ Is a Hard Sell
Emerging markets-focused investors have had little to celebrate over the past year.
US Regains Primacy in Crypto Market on Trump Agenda, ETF Demand
The crypto market’s center of gravity is back in the US as 2025 approaches, courtesy of Donald Trump’s reelection to the presidency and widening demand for the nation’s digital-asset funds and derivatives contracts.
Hedge Funds Cut Nuclear Technology Exposure After ‘Hard’ Rally
Some hedge fund managers are sounding the alarm on overvalued nuclear power stocks and scaling back exposure after a stunning rally this year.
MicroStrategy’s Long-Shot S&P 500 Bid Stokes Wall Street Agita
To Michael Saylor’s online fanbase, it’s the next step in the great normalization of crypto: Bitcoin proxy MicroStrategy Inc. enters the S&P 500 next year, forcing the likes of index-tracking funds to buy his controversial company en masse. Whether they like it or not.
Orders for US Business Equipment Rise by Most in Over a Year
Orders placed with US factories for business equipment rebounded in November, posting the strongest monthly advance in over a year.
Bond Traders Face 2025 Amid Most Agonizing Easing in Decades
Bond traders have rarely suffered so much from a Federal Reserve easing cycle. Now they fear 2025 threatens more of the same.
Europe’s Hottest Stock Has an American Architect
Forced to seek a government rescue barely a year ago, Siemens Energy AG was an unlikely candidate for Europe’s best performing stock of 2024.
America Needs to Break Its Debt Addiction — Crisis or Not
This is the first part of a series of Bloomberg Opinion columns exploring the risks related to the US’s rapidly expanding debt and budget deficit.
OpenAI Unveils More Advanced Reasoning Model in Race With Google
OpenAI is preparing to launch a new artificial intelligence model that it said is capable of more advanced human-like reasoning than its current offerings, ratcheting up the competition with rivals such as Alphabet Inc.’s Google.
Billions of Dollars, Bold Action: EMs Battle a Surging Greenback
From Brazil to South Korea, emerging-market central banks are forming a line of defense as a rising dollar pushes their currencies to multi-year lows.
A View to 2025: Enough With the Central Bank Hawks and Doves
Delivering the first cuts in interest rates since the early days of the pandemic was the easy part.
Private Credit Plots Expansion in Bid for $40 Trillion Prize
Private credit firms want more than corporate lending. The largest are laying the groundwork to finance everything from auto loans and residential mortgages to chip manufacturing and data centers in an effort to swell the size of the market by the trillions.
Trump Is Right: Abolish the Debt Ceiling
Amid Donald Trump’s chaotic, last-minute intervention into congressional negotiations about government funding, he has stumbled upon a good idea: He wants to abolish the debt ceiling.
Quantum Computers: Getting Real?
Take it from Niels Bohr: “Those who are not shocked when they first come across quantum theory cannot possibly have understood it.”
Wall Street Needs to Prepare for an AI Winter
Surely one of the silliest things that happened in tech stocks in 2024 was the sudden tumble in Nvidia Corp. shares moments after its fiscal second-quarter earnings release in August.
Bitcoin Slumps as Trump Euphoria Gives Way to Wariness on Fed
Bitcoin extended its slide from this week’s record high to almost 15% as hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve prompted traders to sell an asset that has more than doubled this year.
Twin Boom-and-Bust Hits $10 Trillion ETF Industry in Overdrive
The $10.4 trillion US exchange-traded fund industry’s blockbuster year comes with an asterisk: even amid record inflows and launches, funds are shuttering at a nearly unprecedented clip.
Treasuries Gain as Key Fed Inflation Figures Trail Estimates
US Treasuries gained after a closely watched batch of inflation data came in below expectations, leading traders to lift the outlook for Federal Reserve interest-rate reductions next year.
Central Banks Started a Rates Descent They Can’t Finish
Central banks’ climbdown from the post-pandemic inflation peaks commenced amid both optimism and trepidation.
Wall Street Traders Rush for Exit After Fed’s Rate-Cut Shift
Almost exactly one year after sparking a furious rally in financial markets, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell did the exact opposite on Wednesday, staking out a cautious view on interest-rate cuts in 2025 that stunned investors.
The Fed Is as Clueless as Markets
In normal times, the conduct of monetary policy is a lot like driving a car through a thick fog of uncertainty. You have a general idea of where you’re going, but you want to move slowly to avoid accidents. At the moment, it’s more like driving while double blindfolded — in a car with malfunctioning brakes. The most prudent move is to stop.
US Existing-Home Sales Rise as Buyers Accept High Mortgage Rates
Existing-home sales in the US topped a rate of 4 million in November for the first time in six months as house hunters begrudgingly accept mortgage rates above 6%.
BlackRock ETF Buys First Muni Bonds Issued Through Blockchain
A BlackRock Inc. fund has bought municipal debt issued earlier this year in a first-of-its-kind deal that relies exclusively on blockchain technology.
Walmart’s 78% Surge Leaves Retail Foes Big and Small in Dust
At a time when the American consumer’s resiliency has been questioned amid signs of a slowing economy, Walmart Inc. has thrived. The world’s largest retailer, famed for its discount prices but increasingly known for its pursuits in advertising and an online marketplace, is headed for its best year since 1998.
Bill Gates-Backed Fund Bets $40 Million on Carbon Removal Firm Deep Sky
The clean-tech venture firm founded by Bill Gates is providing a $40 million grant to carbon-capture startup Deep Sky Corp., which seeks to build large-scale facilities to clean carbon from the air.
S&P 500 Buyers Step in Ahead of Fed Meet Despite Narrow Breadth
While concern has grown in the past week that narrowing market breadth has tapped the brakes on the S&P 500 Index’s blistering rally, it turns out that stock bulls are still stepping in to snap up shares ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision.
Bond Traders Target Deeper 2025 Fed Rate Cuts Than Market Expectations
Some bond traders have been boosting options and futures wagers that the Federal Reserve is about to signal deeper interest-rate cuts next year than the market anticipates.
Google Is Pushing Quantum Computing Closer to Reality
Alphabet Inc.’s Google has reanimated excitement over quantum computing with an announcement about how its new chip, Willow, trounced a classical computer to solve a mathematical equation much faster.
The New AI Stock Pickers Are Destined to Disappoint
Meet the new stock pickers. They will remind you of the old stock pickers.
Mutual Fund Conversions Hit Record in ETF Industry’s Epic Year
New exchange-traded funds riding buzzy investment themes are helping fuel record industry growth this year. Yet, it’s also shaping up to be a banner era for money managers revamping their tried-and-tested mutual funds into the tax-efficient product.
Broadcom’s ‘Nvidia Moment’ Has Arrived. Now It Needs to Deliver
Broadcom Inc.’s massive rally after last week’s earnings report is reminiscent of when Nvidia Corp. shares first started to take off back in 2023.
MicroStrategy’s Nasdaq Entry Kicks Off New Era of Momentum Risk
MicroStrategy Inc.’s entry into the Nasdaq 100 opens up the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin to a new — and untapped – investor: the index-tracking juggernauts.
The Trump-Xi Bromance Has a Chance in 2025
Xi Jinping and Donald Trump's bromance could be rekindled in 2025, if both sides play their cards right.
The Federal Reserve Should Wait Before Cutting Again
Investors see recent inflation data as a green light for the Federal Reserve to trim another quarter point from the short-term interest rate.
A 500% Rally Shows the Elon Musk Euphoria for Bold-Faced Fund
From Wall Street funds to small-time day traders, those who dared to bet big on Elon Musk’s business empire are closing out the year with hefty payoffs, as Donald Trump’s US election win turbocharges the fortunes of the world’s richest man.
Bitcoin Rises to Record After Longest Weekly Winning Run Since 2021
Bitcoin rose to a record high on President-elect Donald Trump’s support for digital assets and optimism about the upcoming inclusion of MicroStrategy Inc., an accumulator of the token, in a key US stock gauge.
Wall Street Eyes 2025 Volatility Spikes on Trump Tariffs, Geopolitics
Investors anticipating another calm year in 2025 should be on guard for more shocks like the one seen in August as uncertainty around Donald Trump’s tax and tariff policies threaten to roil markets.
Chip Cities Rise in Japan’s Fields of Dreams
Rice paddies that lay fallow for decades in some of Japan’s most far-flung regions are now its hottest properties.
The Fed Can’t Ignore All of Trump’s Intentions
When US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell faces the media after the central bank’s policy-making meeting next week, he’ll probably get a politically fraught question: How will the Fed incorporate president-elect Donald Trump’s stated plans — including tax cuts, tariffs and deportations — into its economic outlook and monetary policy?
Broadcom Shares Jump After Chipmaker Predicts AI Sales Surge
Broadcom Inc., a chip supplier for Apple Inc. and other big tech companies, rallied in premarket trading after predicting a boom in demand for its artificial intelligence chips.
Fed to Cut Once More Before Slowing Pace in 2025, Economists Say
Federal Reserve officials will lower interest rates this month for a third straight time and pare back the number of rate cuts they anticipate next year, according to economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.
A 500% Rally Shows the Elon Musk Euphoria for Bold-Faced Fund
From Wall Street funds to small-time day traders, those who dared to bet big on Elon Musk’s business empire are closing out the year with hefty payoffs, as Donald Trump’s US election win turbocharges the fortunes of the world’s richest man.
Currencies Drop as China Disappointment Rattles Emerging Markets
Emerging-market currencies in Asia and the South African rand retreated as China’s policy makers appeared to disappoint investors expecting fiscal measures to boost the economic outlook.
Xi Readies Bargaining Chips for US Trade War
China got a head start on a looming trade war with the US by showcasing a new range of tools it’s prepared to use if Donald Trump makes good on his threat to punish the world’s second-biggest economy with tariffs.
Hedge-Fund Startups Dwindle as Managers Battle Pressure on Fees
The near-$5 trillion hedge fund industry is having one of the toughest years in decades in convincing fee-conscious investors to fork out cash for new market players.
Exxon's AI Power Play Aims to Beat Nuclear
To most of us, a power plant is a source of electricity. To Exxon Mobil Corp., it’s a machine that converts natural gas into money. And this is a propitious time for doing that.
Big Tech Is Betting on AI. Should You?
In the two years since ChatGPT burst onto the scene, artificial intelligence has come to dominate investor consciousness more than any other technological breakthrough in the past two decades.
SpaceX Valuation Jumps to About $350 Billion in Insider Deal
SpaceX and its investors have agreed to purchase as much as $1.25 billion of insider shares in a transaction valuing Elon Musk’s rocket and satellite maker at about $350 billion, according to an internal email seen by Bloomberg.
Inflation Anxiety Just Got a Reality Check
Inflation optimists were riding high at the start of 2024. Price pressures seemed to be cooling quickly, and market pricing suggested that the Federal Reserve might lower policy rates by a whopping 1.75 percentage points this year.
US Inflation in Line With Forecasts Solidifies Bets on Fed Cut
US consumer prices rose at a firm pace in November that was in line with expectations, solidifying expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next week.
From TikTok to Nvidia, the Tech War Is Getting Uglier
ByteDance Ltd.’s options for TikTok in the US are looking increasingly desolate, as the tech war between Washington and Beijing boils over.
Google Rolls Out Faster Gemini AI Model to Power Agents
Google debuted a new version of its flagship artificial intelligence model that it said is twice as fast as its previous version and will power virtual agents that assist users.
India Shouldn’t Let Its Data Turn Chinese
India’s institutional strength used to be reflected in the reliability of its national accounts.
Worried About Stocks? $1 Trillion in Buybacks Will Help
December is a big month for stock buybacks, and by month’s end, companies are expected to spend more money repurchasing shares this year than ever before.
Crypto Volatility Picks Up as Trump-Fueled Rally Starts to Fray
A bout of selling buffeted crypto as the optimism sparked by President-elect Donald Trump’s embrace of the sector begins to cool.
Google Invests in Venture to Build Energy Parks for Data Centers
Alphabet Inc.’s Google is investing in mega energy parks that will generate renewable power as the company races to fuel its data centers.
Wall Street Wealth Chiefs See Hottest Money in Private Markets
Morgan Stanley and Citigroup Inc. wealth executives are seeing private markets increasingly shape their businesses, marking a major shift from liquid assets that historically drove financial markets.
Dollar Optimism Is Spreading From Hedge Funds to Asset Managers
A resilient US economy and deepening geopolitical tensions around the world are making asset managers rethink their expectations for a weaker dollar.
Nvidia Hit With China Probe in Escalation of Global Tech Wars
China has opened a probe into Nvidia Corp. over suspicions that the US chipmaker broke anti-monopoly laws around a 2020 deal, taking aim at the AI heavyweight as Washington ramps up sanctions.
The US Can’t Manufacture Its Way to a Thriving Middle Class
he economic-policy consensus that prevails in the US is right about one thing.
ESG Is in Its Flop Era
As a concept, environmentally responsible investing is in its flop era. Right-wing backlash has turned “ESG” into a four-letter word in terrified corporate boardrooms.
Crypto Doesn’t Deserve a Tax Exemption
I am (mostly) bullish on crypto and (usually) skeptical of higher taxes, especially on capital gains.
Wall Street Banks Predict Biggest China Rate Cuts in Decade
China’s central bank will deliver the biggest interest-rate cuts in a decade next year as policymakers intensify efforts to shore up growth and arrest deflation, in the view of a number of Wall Street lenders.
BlackRock’s Big Bet on GIP Puts Fink’s Firm in Local Spotlight
In the port city of Duluth, Minnesota, local activists and Washington-based groups are coalescing to scrutinize — and possibly stall — a $6.2 billion acquisition of a power utility led by Global Infrastructure Partners.
Africans Demand a Bigger Share of Their Natural Resources Wealth
If you thought the detention and subsequent release of Resolute Mining Ltd.’s chief executive by the government of Mali two weeks ago was a one-off, you would have been wrong.
A Bitcoin Reserve Would Be a Bad Deal for Americans
Bitcoin has shot up more than 40% since Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election, in part on hopes that he’ll champion a government reserve devoted entirely to the cryptocurrency.
A $500 Billion Haul Reignites Passive Controversy on Wall Street
The passive-investing juggernaut is picking up speed — and it’s stirring up fresh angst about the dangers posed by the index-tracking boom across Wall Street.
Mid-Caps Could Be the Magnificent Refuge Tech Investors Need
There was a great chart in a recent Goldman Sachs Group Inc. report that got me wondering whether medium-size companies might have superpowers. Here’s my adaptation of the original graphic
Bond Traders Leaning on Fed Rate Cuts Eye Payrolls for Clues
Bond traders seeking support for bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later this month will closely watch Friday’s US employment report for November.
Asness’ AI Twin Heralds End of Human Fund Managers
Hedge fund executive Cliff Asness says artificial intelligence is becoming “annoyingly better” at doing parts of his job.
Bitcoin Soars Past $100,000 on Trump’s Pro-Crypto Pick for SEC
President-elect Donald Trump’s pick of a crypto proponent to be the next head of the US securities regulator lifted Bitcoin to $100,000 for the first time as traders warmed to the prospect of relaxed regulations.
Hedge Funds Make MicroStrategy Wall Street’s Hottest Trade
To sate his multibillion dollar rampant appetite for Bitcoin, Michael Saylor has tapped demand from retail investors transfixed by MicroStrategy Inc.’s more than 500% rally this year. He’s also benefited from hedge funds who care far less where the stock trades.
This Is Not France’s "Truss" Moment
Quite a few observers have described the dramatic fall of the Barnier government in France not just as a political crisis but also an economic and financial crisis.
$8 Billion for Intel Won’t Fix America’s Chip Problem
Since its enactment in 2022, the Chips and Science Act — a $280 billion splurge intended to revive US semiconductor manufacturing — has been at best a mixed success. A $7.9 billion grant to Intel Corp., announced by President Joe Biden’s administration last week, shows how this gravy train may be headed off the rails.
Emerging Currencies Hold Gains After Powell While Won Rebounds
Emerging-market currencies held gains after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said policymakers could move cautiously as they lower interest rates. The South Korean won rebounded on Wednesday as President Yoon Suk Yeol rapidly reversed his martial law declaration.
Fed’s Powell Expects Good Relations With Trump Administration
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell downplayed the prospects of tension with the incoming Trump administration and said he expects officials can move cautiously as they continue lowering interest rates.
China Tech Stocks Left Behind in Traders’ Hunt for AI Winners
China’s major technology stocks have been left behind in this year’s global frenzy over artificial intelligence, and a lack of demand for actual AI usage coupled with geopolitical pressures make it unlikely they can cash in anytime soon.
Health-Care Spending Is Sinking the Federal Budget
The $1.8 trillion federal budget deficit in the fiscal year that ended in September was the third biggest ever in dollar terms, trailing only the pandemic deficits of the 2020 and 2021 fiscal years. As a share of gross domestic product, a better gauge for historical comparisons, it was, at 6.4%, the biggest ever outside of a large war or global crisis.
How the ECB Can Safely Store Its Crisis Toolkit
Next week’s European Central Bank meeting is more important than it might first appear.
BlackRock Pays $12 Billion to Catch Up in Private Credit
The trend is your friend. Or, in Larry Fink’s case, your primary acquisition tickbox.
Tariff Inflation Will Likely Be Transitory, But Fed Won’t Say So
Donald Trump’s tariff barrage may trigger a response from the Federal Reserve that the new president won’t like.
Bond Traders Position for US Treasury Market to Extend Rebound
Bond traders are positioning for the US Treasuries market to extend its recent advance, showing confidence that yields will continue to pull back from the peaks hit after Donald Trump’s election victory.
Dollar Faces Treacherous December on Trump, Rate Risks
Dollar bulls emboldened by Donald Trump’s win are entering a month that has historically punished the greenback.
BlackRock Buys Credit Firm HPS in $12 Billion All-Stock Deal
BlackRock Inc. agreed to buy HPS Investment Partners in an all-stock deal valued at roughly $12 billion, a purchase that will propel the world’s largest asset manager into the highest ranks of private credit.
Enron 2.0 — So Bad It’s Good?
It’s the anniversary of the first-ever controlled nuclear fission chain reaction. And it’s the day that Enron filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in 2001.
Smarter Taxes and Higher Revenues Are Vital in 2025
One of the most important issues for Congress next year is tax reform.
The Fed’s Next Big Policy Rethink Needs Rethinking
Next year, the US Federal Reserve will undertake an exercise with global implications: the periodic monetary policy framework review, at which it rethinks its approach to managing the world’s largest economy.
Investment Banks Will Lose Billions of Dollars to Private Rivals
Big banks have been warning their investors about the competition they face from private credit, electronic market makers and others for some time.
The Wrong Oil Price Is Truthfully a Problem for OPEC+
he best scandals are those that start when someone, somewhere, decides to say something utterly shocking: the truth! A senior official of the OPEC+ oil cartel has said publicly what many thought privately — the group has been keeping oil prices too high, effectively subsidizing its rivals.
Stocks Versus Bonds Dilemma Hits EM Traders as Trump Returns
Investors are scrambling to decide if Donald Trump’s impending return to the White House will sustain or derail the rally in emerging-market bonds witnessed under Joe Biden.
Treasuries Drop as Market Braces for Big Data Week, Fed Speakers
US Treasuries fell on Monday as traders awaited a hefty week of economic data and speeches from Federal Reserve officials that will likely determine expectations for the central bank’s policy decision later this month.
This $7 Trillion Pile Won’t Save the Bulls
The money-market industry just reached a significant milestone with Crane Data reporting that these cash-like funds have amassed a record $7 trillion in assets. There are many ways to think about this development.
ChatGPT’s $8 Trillion Birthday Gift to Big Tech
Saturday marks two years since OpenAI posted an oddly named widget called ChatGPT to the web. Its staffers placed bets on how many users it would accumulate, the highest estimate being 100,000. How wrong they were.
US Bitcoin ETFs Head for Record Monthly Inflow on Trump Optimism
A group of one dozen US Bitcoin exchange-traded funds is on the cusp of a record monthly net inflow, bolstered by the digital asset’s historic surge toward $100,000 on President-elect Donald Trump’s embrace of crypto.
Corporate Bond ETFs Are Fueling a Rise in Monster Block Trades
The boom in portfolio trading, where investors can buy or sell scores of corporate bonds with just a few clicks of a mouse, is fueling mega trades that were rare in credit markets just a few years ago.
Buffett’s Life Advice May Be More Valuable Than His Portfolio
On Monday, Warren Buffett announced that he was donating more than $1 billion in Berkshire Hathaway Inc. shares to four family foundations — a continuation of his commitment to give away the vast majority of his wealth to charity rather than pass it on to his family.
Comcast’s Spinoff Plan Is Too Good to Ditch for Quick Cash
“Think of what we could do together” is a touching line at the denouement of Wicked: Part 1, the movie currently raking it in at the box office for Comcast Corp.’s Universal Pictures.
Payment Scams Are Surging. Banks Need Help
’Tis the season for a surge in financial frauds and scams, a huge and growing problem that caused nearly $500 billion in losses globally last year, along with untold human suffering.
Kneecapping Google Would Be Bad For Tech Competition
We call them “Silicon Valley rivals,” but when you think about it, the big tech titans have mostly stayed in their respective lanes for the past 20 years.
Bessent Has $6.7 Trillion Mountain of Worry Waiting at Treasury
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen came under fire this year from economists such as Nouriel “Dr. Doom” Roubini for stepping up the issuance of short-term Treasury bills.
Trump’s Trade Chief Advocates ‘Strategic Decoupling’ From China
President-elect Donald Trump’s pick for the top trade position sees China as a “generational challenge” to the US and has advocated for a strategic decoupling from the country.
JPMorgan Sees US Equities Extending Global Dominance in 2025
The dominance of US equities over the rest of the world is unlikely to abate unless geopolitical and trade policy risks fade, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists.
In Hot Credit Market, Simple Fixed-Maturity Funds Are Booming
Credit investors squeezed by the tightest spreads in almost 20 years are opting for bare-bones strategies, creating a boom for Europe’s fixed-maturity funds.
US GDP Grows at Solid 2.8% Pace, Helped by Consumer Spending
The US economy expanded at a solid pace in the third quarter, largely powered by a broad-based advance in consumer spending as inflation continued to cool.
MicroStrategy Accelerates Bitcoin Buying With Record Purchase
MicroStrategy Inc. bought a record $5.4 billion in Bitcoin, the third major purchase announced this month by the crypto hedge fund proxy.
Apple Should Have Learned a Chinese Lesson on EVs
High-tech manufacturing in China over the past year has often felt like watching a looking-glass parody of the US.
Bond Market Halts Brutal Run as Buyers Pounce on 4.5% Yields
The US bond market is finally showing signs of steadying after a two-month selloff, with investors starting to swoop in whenever yields test new peaks.
Dollar, US Yields Fall on Bets Bessent Will Dilute Trump Plans
The dollar fell and US government bonds rallied after Donald Trump picked Scott Bessent to run the Treasury, a Wall Street veteran who investors expect will take the sting out of the administration’s more aggressive trade and economic policy proposals.
Gold Tumbles as Traders Mull Treasury Pick and Fed Outlook
Gold tumbled as traders digested Donald Trump’s pick of Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary and looked toward the Federal Reserve’s next interest-rate decision.
Trump Set to Supercharge Options Boom Driven by Retail Investors
Donald Trump’s presidency is set to bring a fresh bout of volatility to markets, supercharging an options boom driven by retail traders.
Booming MicroStrategy ETFs Are Straining Limits at Prime Brokers
Amid a red-hot run in the shares of MicroStrategy Inc. last month, Matt Tuttle got some bad news from the prime brokers for his booming leveraged ETF linked to the shares of the crypto-centric company.
Backdoor Private Credit Funds Are Luring Billions From Insurers
The world’s biggest private credit managers are turning to an obscure investment product to help raise billions from deep-pocketed insurance companies, testing the limits of industry safeguards meant to curb risk.
How Germany Can Make Peace With Trump on Trade
The second coming of Donald Trump is unquestionably bad news for Germany.
Charles Schwab Eyes Spot Crypto Trading Once Regulations Change
Charles Schwab Corp.’s incoming chief executive officer, Rick Wurster, said the firm is looking to offer spot cryptocurrency trading once US regulations make doing so easier — something that’s more likely once President-elect Donald Trump takes office.
Snowflake Shares Soar by Most in Four Years After Strong Outlook
Snowflake Inc. shares surged by the most in more than four years after the company issued a sales outlook that surpassed investors’ expectations, suggesting new products are attracting strong demand.
Goldman Gives the Blockchain Revolution a Home
Most important advances in technology occur when someone combines a variety of innovations in different fields in a commercially successful way.
MicroStrategy's Infinite Money Glitch Won’t Last
“Overheated” is how short-sellers Citron Research described MicroStrategy Inc. on Thursday.
Blackstone Private Credit Fund Taps Debt Market for $1.5 Billion
Blackstone Inc.’s main private credit fund stormed the investment-grade bond market to raise a combined $1.5 billion in a single day, adding to the rush of direct lenders trying to lock in cheaper financing costs.
Fidelity Ramps Up Quant Franchise With Five New Active ETFs
Fidelity Investments is expanding its reach in the competitive world of systematic strategies for the masses, with the launch of five new active ETFs.
Banks Hoping For Looser Trump Reins Are Too Giddy
US banks enjoyed a sharp stock price jump on Donald Trump’s election victory; two weeks later, they’ve held onto those gains. There’s one good reason for this — and several poor ones, all to do with regulation.
Buffett’s $325 Billion Cash Hoard Is an Early Warning Signal
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. reported its stock holdings last week — a widely anticipated quarterly update of Warren Buffett’s latest trades. There were some notable ones, including the addition of Domino’s Pizza Inc. to Berkshire’s portfolio and more trimming of its stake in Apple Inc.
Bitcoin Climbs Closer to $100,000 on Trump’s Support for Crypto
Bitcoin approached the historic $100,000 level, fueled by optimism that President-elect Donald Trump’s support for crypto heralds a boom as the US pivots to friendly regulations in place of a crackdown.
Elon Musk’s Neuralink Cleared to Start Brain Chip Trial in Canada
Canada’s University Health Network said its Toronto Western Hospital would be the first non-US site of a trial for a device created by Neuralink Corp., Elon Musk’s brain-implant company.
Nvidia Says New Chip on Track After Forecast Disappoints
Nvidia Corp. assured investors that its new product lineup can maintain the company’s artificial intelligence-fueled growth run, though the rush to get the chips out the door is proving more costly than expected.
Bitcoin Rises to Record With MicroStrategy Stepping Up Purchases
Bitcoin climbed to a record high for a second consecutive day, with MicroStrategy Inc. accelerating the pace of its massive purchases of the cryptocurrency.
Roubini Launches Treasury-Alternative ETF to Ride Trump-Era Risk
Nouriel Roubini is seizing on Donald Trump’s inflation-threatening policy agenda to make a case for an alternative haven trade to Treasuries in a world of elevated volatility.
Will Trump’s $280 Billion Housing Trophy Stay Out of Reach?
In the months before Donald Trump entered the White House the first time around, speculation mounted that he would release mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac from the federal conservatorship they’d operated under since being bailed out during the global financial crisis.
AI’s Slowdown Is Everyone Else’s Opportunity
The multi-trillion-dollar artificial intelligence boom was built on certainty that generative models would keep getting exponentially better. Spoiler alert: they aren’t.
Bitcoin Sets Another Record Amid US’s Growing Embrace of Crypto
Bitcoin set another all-time high, supported by a series of developments highlighting the deepening embrace of the digital-asset industry in the US under crypto cheerleader Donald Trump.
Trump Should Bring On a Great American Housing Boom
Most Americans, from both parties, say the government needs to increase the supply of affordable housing. For President-elect Donald Trump, that should offer a good opportunity to summon his instincts for development — and self-promotion — to get America building again. Call it the “Trump Building Boom.”
Nvidia Is Helping Google Design Quantum Computing Processors
Nvidia Corp., the chipmaker at the center of a boom in artificial intelligence use, is teaming up with Alphabet Inc.’s Google to pursue another technology once relegated to science fiction: quantum computing.
Google’s Chrome to Fetch Up to $20 Billion If Judge Orders Sale
Alphabet Inc.’s Chrome browser could fetch as much as $20 billion if a judge agrees to a Justice Department proposal to sell the business, in what would be a historic crackdown on one of the world’s biggest tech companies.
America Got the World Driving. Now It’s Going Home
Germany’s Carl Benz might have invented the automobile, but it’s the United States that got us to drive them.
Crypto’s Coming Back. Here’s How to Avert Disaster
The crypto party seems to be getting restarted. Bitcoin is surging and big players are celebrating amid expectations that President-elect Donald Trump will make the US, as he put it, “the crypto capital of the world.”
Holiday Outlooks Due From Major Retailers in Test of US Consumer
Last week’s selloff, which comes on the heels of what has been a generally successful earnings season for Corporate America, has investors bracing for one final test: a reading on the state of the consumer from a series of retail bellwethers who report in the coming days.
Prominent Wall Street Bear Wilson Sets Bullish US Stocks Target
Morgan Stanley strategist Michael Wilson, well known for his bearish views on US equities in recent years, has an outright bullish outlook for 2025.
Trump’s Scoreboard Is the S&P 500, and It’s Wall Street’s Best Hope
If Wall Street learned one thing during Donald Trump’s first term as president, it’s that the stock market is a way he keeps score. At various points he took credit for equities rallies, urged Americans to buy the dip, and even considered firing Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, who he blamed for a selloff.
Musk Escalates Altman Legal Feud, Casting OpenAI as Monopolist
Elon Musk is ramping up his feud with Sam Altman, alleging in a court filing that OpenAI is trying to corner the market for generative artificial intelligence and sacrificing safety in a race to get ahead.
Traders See Just a 50% Chance That Fed Cuts Rates in December
Traders see an interest-rate cut next month as a coin toss as resilient economic data empowers Federal Reserve officials to take a potentially more-cautious approach to easing.
Gold Faces Worst Week Since 2021 as Fed Signals No Rate-Cut Rush
Gold traded near a two-month low, on course for its worst week since June 2021 as traders wind back expectations for a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut next month.
Treasury Yield Surge Draws Buyers After 10-Year Tops 4.5%
The highest Treasury yields in months — reached Friday after a batch of strong economic data cast additional doubt on whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates again next month — proved appealing to bond investors.
China Trade War Is One Trump Doesn’t Have to Fight
This isn’t the same China that greeted Donald Trump after his first win in 2016. The economy, once widely believed on a course to knock the US off its perch as the preeminent commercial power, has since revealed some acute vulnerabilities that don’t seem to be going away. And the president-elect seems to be gearing up for a trade war he no longer needs to fight.
Big Tech Traders Are in Wait-and-See Mode on Trump’s Second Term
Big Tech stocks have had a relatively muted reaction to Donald Trump’s election victory, as investors parse how his second term might play out. So far, many are reserving judgment.
Fink Pushes BlackRock Into High-Stakes Bet on Private Markets
Larry Fink turned to big deals to get BlackRock Inc. out in front of a decade of money gushing into index funds. Now he’s doing the same to make sure his firm isn’t left behind in the stampede into private assets.
Trump’s ‘Epic’ Deregulation Must Preserve Financial Stability
Given that he was just elected, Donald Trump’s plans for financial regulation are, like so much else, a mystery. Yet his campaign’s disdain for the administrative state — and the public’s growing exasperation with red tape — suggests the country is in for a period of bureaucratic humility. Here’s hoping the financial system doesn’t become vulnerable as a result.
Trump Is Right: Expat Taxes Are Too Complicated
President-elect Donald Trump pledged last month to eliminate “the Double Taxation of overseas Americans.” Never mind the clumsy wording — taxes on US citizens working abroad aren’t excessive so much as excessively complicated — this is one campaign promise that may actually be fulfilled, given the Republican control of both houses of Congress. That would be a good thing not only for those Americans but also for America.
US Producer Prices Rise, Risking Pressure in Fed’s Favored Gauge
US producer prices picked up in October, fueled in part by gains in portfolio management costs and other categories that feed into the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge.
Bitcoin Briefly Tops $93,000 on Trump Agenda, Fed Policy Outlook
Bitcoin spiked above $93,000 for a short period as expectations of further interest-rate reductions by the Federal Reserve added to the impetus from President-elect Donald Trump’s pro-crypto stance.
Private Equity Finds Yet Another Way to Keep the Money Coming In
Private equity’s recent splurge of piling ever more debt onto already highly leveraged bets has sparked fears about financial-system risks. Banks, however, are positioning themselves to take advantage.
Traders Ramp Up Bets on a Treasury Selloff After Trump’s Win
Treasuries held on to recent losses ahead of the US inflation report, with traders loading up on bets for further declines in anticipation that Donald Trump’s pledged policies will fan price increases and keep interest rates high.
Bitcoin Rises Above $90,000 as Rally Resumes on Trump Optimism
A surge in Bitcoin that paused earlier Wednesday is regaining steam, sending the original cryptocurrency above $90,000 for the first time, as traders assess the remaining market impact of President-elect Donald Trump’s rhetorical support for crypto.
Trump May Be Good for Crypto — But Bad for Bitcoin
The price of Bitcoin has jumped by more than $20,000 since the Nov. 5 elections in the US, with about one-third of the gains coming with favorable early results for Republicans, and the rest trickling in as Donald Trump’s victory became certain and his party continued to pick up seats in the Senate and House of Representatives.
Wall Street Sees Dollar Soaring More, But Splits on How Much
The US dollar’s rally is gaining momentum alongside Donald Trump’s threat of sweeping tariffs, leaving currency strategists in agreement it has further to rise while war-gaming just how far it will go.
Buffett’s Berkshire Is Being Packaged Into a Leveraged ETF
Warren Buffett created Berkshire Hathaway Inc.’s Class B shares almost 30 years ago to stymie money managers who sought to split the high-priced conglomerate’s stock.
Wall Street’s Higher-for-Longer Rate Brigade Plunges Into Loans
Investors are piling into US leveraged loan ETFs, betting that President-elect Donald Trump’s policies will potentially boost inflation and push the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates higher for longer.
Powell Doesn’t Fear Trump. He Also Can’t Contain Him
The US Federal Reserve and its chair, Jerome Powell, are rightly choosing not to act on any assumptions about what Donald Trump might do as president. That said, if he follows through on his more extreme campaign promises, they’ll struggle to contain the economic consequences — a problem that equity investors ignore at their peril.
The Bitcoin Bubble Isn’t All About Trump
I think I finally understand value of cryptocurrencies: They add some volatility to your portfolio. Maybe that’s why they have found such a champion in Donald Trump, who if nothing else adds some volatility to our politics.
BlackRock Targets Money-Market Fund Business in New ETF Push
BlackRock Inc. is throwing its weight behind an early push to bring exchange-traded funds to money-market investors.
Bitcoin Options Show Traders Betting on $100,000 by Year-End
Bitcoin options traders buoyed by Donald Trump’s election victory are already eyeing a landmark price of $100,000 for the original cryptocurrency, after it surged to a fresh record on hopes for a more crypto-friendly administration.
Can Chevron Win Back Wall Street in 2025?
Mike Wirth became the king of Big Oil on Oct. 7, 2020. That was the day the chief executive officer of Chevron Corp. elbowed out archival Exxon Mobil Corp. to become America’s largest oil corporation by market value. It was the zenith of a honeymoon between Wall Street and Wirth.
Trump Inherits an Economy at a Tricky Time
Donald Trump will inherit, to all appearances, a solid economy when he assumes the presidency in January. After all, the stock market is at record highs, unemployment is low by historical standards and gross domestic product has been expanding at a healthy pace of around 2.5% so far this year.
Bond Market on Risky Path as Traders Regroup From Wild Week
The bond-market selloff unleashed by Donald Trump’s presidential victory last week ended almost as quickly as it began.
Hedge Funds Shorting Tesla Just Lost More Than $5 Billion
Since Donald Trump’s election win, the hedge funds clinging on to bets against Tesla Inc. have lost billions of dollars, as they feel the fallout of the special relationship between the president-elect and Elon Musk.
Lucrative Bonuses for Wall Street CEOs Take Shape on Trump Win
Donald Trump’s return to the White House is already starting to tee up a deluge of bonuses in Wall Street’s corridors of power.
Oil Falls on China Demand Woes Even as Market Remains Rangebound
Oil fell after Chinese stimulus measures disappointed speculators, but not enough to jolt prices from the narrowest trading band since July.
AI Takeoff Turns Data Centers Into America’s New Building Boom
US companies are plowing money into building data centers as they race to get ahead in artificial intelligence.
Banks’ New Trick Could Mean Trouble for Everyone
If you’re unfamiliar with synthetic risk transfers, there’s a chance you’ll hear all about them when the next financial crisis hits. They’re the latest way for big banks to game rules designed to safeguard the system, and they’re growing fast. So far, regulators seem all but oblivious.
Online Travel Firms Show Post-Pandemic Boom Still Has Steam
A few months ago, travel companies were warning that the great post-pandemic boom in consumer travel was losing steam.
S&P 500 Is on Track for Its 50th Record This Year
Stocks rose at the end of their best week in 2024 after solid consumer sentiment data and bets that newly elected President Donald Trump’s pro-growth agenda will keep fueling Corporate America.
Debt, Arms and Nuclear Power Are Key to German Renaissance
The collapse of Germany’s deeply unloved and dysfunctional three-party coalition offers Europe’s biggest economy an opportunity for political and economic renewal. Two important questions arise: Will Germany put aside political squabbles and grab its golden opportunity.
Austin Exposes New York City’s Broken Housing Market
Here’s something that would have seemed pretty much inconceivable two years ago: According to Zillow, home prices have now risen more in New York City and its environs since the beginning of 2020 than in metropolitan Austin, Texas.
Tesla and Detroit’s Automakers Price In a Trump Joyride. Good Luck.
Detroit voted overwhelmingly for Vice President Kamala Harris, but investors in “Detroit” backed President-elect Donald Trump. Shares in General Motors Co. and Ford Motor Co. jumped on news of Trump’s election win, with GM reaching a new high for the year and Ford up by almost 6% on Wednesday, more than double the S&P 500 Index’s gain.
Nvidia Is Clear Winner In a Lackluster Big Tech Earnings Season
Results from tech giants largely underwhelmed this earnings season — but they included plenty of good news for Nvidia Corp.
Does Nvidia’s CEO Dream of Electric Androids?
One of the memorable moments of Nvidia Corp.’s most recent conference for developers came toward the end of the chip giant’s semi-annual event.
AI Will Transform Medicine. There's Just One Catch
Cerebrospinal fluid leaks, caused by tears or holes in the spinal cord, are rare and difficult to identify. Because the symptoms aren’t uncommon — including nausea, neck pain, ringing in the ears and debilitating positional headaches — patients can spend years without a proper diagnosis. Some have been told they have allergies.
Traders Sense an Inflation-Constrained Fed Is Back
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to lower its benchmark federal funds rate by a quarter of a percentage point on Thursday to a range of 4.5% to 4.75%. The big question is how much lower the Fed might go from there during this rate-cutting cycle. The bond market suggests it won’t be as low as some expect or as low as policymakers signaled less than two months back.
Commodities Slide as Trump Win Boosts Dollar, Threatens Trade
Commodities broadly declined on prospects that a stronger dollar and potential trade disputes under a Donald Trump presidency will weaken the appeal of raw materials in global markets.
The LNG Market Will Remain Tight Until 2027
At the height of summer, Europe had hoped that the coming winter would be its last difficult one to secure enough natural gas. By the middle of next year, liquefied natural gas was expected to turn into a buyer’s market, easing the squeeze the region has suffered since Russia invaded Ukraine. No longer.
The ‘Happiness Plateau’ Doesn’t Exist
The idea that money can’t buy you happiness is one of the world’s most persistent tropes. King Midas is granted his wish that everything he touches will turn to gold only to starve to death.
Credit Risk Drops in a Knee-Jerk Reaction to Trump’s Win
Credit risk fell in reaction to Donald Trump’s US presidential win, even though his presidency may be marred by tariffs and possible trade wars.
Palantir Earnings Provide Litmus Test for 140% AI-Fueled Rally
Palantir Technologies Inc.’s premium valuation will be put to the test when the data analysis and software company reports results after the market close on Monday.
Apple Explores Push Into Smart Glasses With ‘Atlas’ User Study
Apple Inc. is exploring a push into smart glasses with an internal study of products currently on the market, setting the stage for the company to follow Meta Platforms Inc. into an increasingly popular category.
Treasuries Slip on Election Day as Volatility Hits One-Year High
Treasuries fell as a strong report on services ahead of Thursday’s Federal Reserve interest-rate decision added to volatility around the US election.
US Bitcoin ETFs Suffer Record Outflows Ahead of Election Day
US exchange-traded funds investing in Bitcoin recorded their highest daily net outflow to date as markets brace for Election Day.
US Voting Day Is Here at Last After a Bruising 2024 Campaign
The 2024 presidential campaign was marked by two assassination attempts, a candidate switch, divisive rhetoric and warnings about the fate of democracy. And that may have only been the beginning.
Bond Traders Greet a Momentous Week With Their Wagers Reeled In
After driving Treasury yields higher for weeks, traders are taking chips off the table before the US election, reluctant to take bold bond bets with the presidential race too close to call.
Typical US Homebuyer More Likely to Be Older, Single and a Woman
The age of a typical homebuyer jumped to an all-time high of 56 in the US, with many young people locked out of the housing market while older owners tap their accumulated home equity for cash purchases or to make large down payments, according to a report.
‘Trump Trade’ Doubts Drag on Dollar, Boosting US Treasuries
Treasury yields fell sharply and the dollar weakened as investors pared bets on Republican Donald Trump prevailing in Tuesday’s US election.
‘Dead Heat’ Election Has S&P 500 in Wavering Mode: Markets Wrap
Stocks struggled for direction, bonds rose and the dollar fell, with polls continuing to depict a tight race in the US presidential election ahead of the Federal Reserve decision.
Ryanair Cuts Passenger Growth Target Amid Boeing Jet Delays
Ryanair Holdings Plc cut its passenger growth target for next year because of delivery delays from aircraft supplier Boeing Co.
Intel, Samsung Results Rallies Seen Short-Lived on AI Challenges
Intel Corp. and Samsung Electronics Co. have shed a total of $227 billion in market value this year on their lack of leadership in artificial intelligence.
Amazon Reassures Investors With Cloud Growth, Cost-Cutting
Amazon.com Inc. reported strong results that showed a company humming on all cylinders, a testament to its efforts to cut and reallocate costs and put the cloud computing and e-commerce giant on sounder footing.
Tech Giants Are Set to Spend $200 Billion This Year Chasing AI
Three months ago, Wall Street punished the world’s largest technology firms for spending enormous amounts to develop artificial intelligence, only to deliver results that failed to justify the costs.
Bond Traders Scour US Jobs Data for Clues on Fed’s Rate Plan
Investors who’ve been hedging against a deeper selloff in US Treasuries are preparing for volatility as Friday’s hurricane- and strike-tinged US employment report offers final clues ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve policy decision.
Brain Tech Is Here and Not as Creepy as You Think
A middle-aged man who works in emergency services in the US had been battling depression and suicidal thoughts for 17 years, unable to sleep most nights and leaving his wife and teen daughter walking on eggshells because of his irritability, before he opted for a shot in the dark.
Squeezed Homebuilders Are Bad News for the Housing Market
Builders are an important part of any plausible fix for the housing shortage in the United States — not only constructing more homes but also finding ways to improve affordability.
Apple Sparks Concerns With Tepid Forecast, China Weakness
Apple Inc., heading into its most critical sales period of the year, sparked fresh concerns about revenue growth and lingering weakness in an intensely competitive China market.
Apple’s AI and Vision Pro Products Don’t Meet Its Standards
Today, Apple is having to become a different type of company. Its two most important products are being developed very much in the full view of the public, and I would say before they have met the previous Apple standard. “It just works” is now “we’re working on it.”
DoubleLine Sees Compelling Case to Buy Asset-Backed Securities Tied to Data Centers
It’s a good time to buy asset-backed securities tied to data centers, according to a October research note from DoubleLine Capital LP, as demand for digital infrastructure is booming and supply is constrained by energy requirements.
Meta Warns of Worsening AI Losses After Sales Narrowly Beat
Meta Platforms Inc. CEO Mark Zuckerberg will ramp up heavy investments in AI and other futuristic technologies, continuing a years-long tug-of-war between the company’s long-term bets and the core advertising business that provides the vast majority of Meta’s revenue.
Open Banking Will Be Great — With Guardrails
For the land of free markets and open competition, the US has surprisingly little choice when it comes to payments. Americans use cards for most of their purchases, and most of those transactions are handled by just two companies, Visa or Mastercard, which levy billions of dollars of fees on the merchants that rely on them.
A Hybrid That America’s Truck Lovers Can Love — for Now
If Elon Musk sold plug-in hybrid vehicles, he surely wouldn’t call them plug-in hybrid vehicles, or PHEVs, or anything else that sounds coined by an engineer. Far too clunky. Surely “Cyborgtruck” would offer a more futuristic spin on these marriages of gasoline and batteries?
JPMorgan Sees Fear Receding in a $1.8 Trillion Loans Market
In a corner of the credit market that regulators last year characterized as a potential hot-bed of greenwashing, there are signs that bankers have been cracking down on corporate pitches.
Gold Rises to Record High as Looming US Election Fans Demand
Gold rose to a record on Wednesday on haven demand before the US election, and held a narrow gain after jobs and GDP data that showed the ongoing resilience of the US economy.
Alphabet’s Pricey AI Bet Pays Off With Cloud, Search Growth
Google parent Alphabet Inc. is showing an expensive foray into artificial intelligence is starting to pay off, delivering better-than-expected sales for its cloud-computing business and driving more usage of its flagship search engine.
Private Credit’s Banking Romance May Turn Sour
To understand the wave of bank partnerships with private-credit fund managers during the past year or so, think back to the boom in mortgage lending through securitization in the early 2000s. The same forces are at work: a huge demand for finance, limited and costly bank capital and investment bankers’ ingenuity and desire to generate business.
BP Needs a Swifter Reality Check on Share Buybacks
In corporate-speak, when a company says a key target is “currently” unchanged but it plans to disclose a “review” soon, you know trouble is coming. And indeed, there’s trouble ahead for BP Plc.
Alphabet Needs More Than Strong Results to Tame Wall of Worries
Alphabet Inc. shares have gone nowhere for months, trailing Magnificent Seven peers as investors struggle to price risks confronting the company. It’s a stretch to believe Tuesday’s results will blow away those concerns.
Wall Street CEOs Tout US Resilience Against Concerns Over Europe
The titans of finance who congregated in Riyadh this week for Saudi Arabia’s annual Davos-style confab were mostly upbeat on the prospects for the US economy, but concerned about more sluggish growth in Europe.
Banks’ New Trick Could Mean Trouble for Everyone
If you’re unfamiliar with synthetic risk transfers, there’s a chance you’ll hear all about them when the next financial crisis hits. They’re the latest way for big banks to game rules designed to safeguard the system, and they’re growing fast. So far, regulators seem all but oblivious.
Weird Things Are Happening in the Bond Market
The US presidential election Nov. 5 is shaping up to be the mother of event risks so you’d think the safest of all havens would be holding up. But it’s not — and that’s only one of the notable anomalies springing up in financial markets. Yields on 10-year US Treasuries have risen nearly 70 basis points since the Federal Reserve's punchy half-point initial rate cut on Sept. 17.
Apple Ships $6 Billion of iPhones From India in Big China Shift
Apple Inc.’s iPhone exports from India jumped by a third in the six months through September, underscoring its push to expand manufacturing in the country and reduce dependence on China.
Yardeni Sees Bond Vigilantes Mustering as US, UK Prep Debt Sales
Wall Street veteran Ed Yardeni says the approaching US election could augur the return of the market’s bond vigilantes as the Treasury Department readies new debt issuance plans.
Bitcoin Traders Refocus on $70,000 With Cash Flowing Into ETFs
Bitcoin traders are targeting the $70,000 price level last reached in June once again after cryptocurrencies briefly dipped across the board late Friday and US exchange-traded funds continued to see steady inflows.
Apple Rolls Out AI Platform Alongside New iMac With M4 Chip
Apple Inc., heralding a “new era” for its devices, started rolling out its first set of Apple Intelligence features and introduced a new 24-inch iMac desktop with a faster, AI-focused M4 processor.
The Porterhouse at Weis Points to Inflation’s Demise
Although Americans say they don’t like paying the current level of prices for goods and services that resulted from the worst bout of inflation in 40 years, they can take comfort from the fact that those prices, while admittedly not coming down in most cases, are actually becoming more affordable.
A Boeing Space Exit Would Be a Win-Win-Win
A true win-win-win situation doesn’t come along often. One could be brewing with a Boeing Co. decision to look at a potential sale — or perhaps more realistically a spinoff — of its space business.
AI Power Demand Might Actually Turn Out to Be Good for Climate
Big energy companies are making the case that skyrocketing electricity demand from data centers — and the need to build more power sources to meet it — will end up being good for the climate.
Haven’t Worked at the Same Place for 10 Years? Join the Club
Been with the same employer for 10 years or more? That doesn’t exactly make you a rarity in the US, where 30.2% of employed wage and salary workers were in that situation as of January 2024, according to data released last month by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. And while this percentage is down from a decade ago, it’s close to where things stood for the much of the 1980s, 1990s and 2000s.
Starmer Looks to Win Over Skeptics With UK Plan to Lead on AI
At his party’s inaugural investment summit last week, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer positioned himself as a champion for artificial intelligence. Appearing alongside former Google Chief Executive Officer Eric Schmidt, Starmer called AI an “opportunity,” rather than something to be scared of, and said his country “needs to run towards” it.
The Inflation Struggle Is Over. Just Don’t Tell Anyone
Even with inflation well and truly on the way down after the most aggressive interest-rate tightening in a generation, central banks are averse to declarations of victory. That the pace of price increases has been reined in without a major economic downturn is an accomplishment that warrants some trumpeting.
The Intelligent Investor Is Still Worth Reading 75 Years Later
When Warren Buffett calls a book on investing “by far the best book about investing ever written,” it is common sense to concede the point.
Stock Investors Grapple With String of Coin-Toss Risk Events
Equity investors face a bewildering sequence of tough-to-predict outcomes and confusing market signals. Patience and a steady hand look like valuable attributes in navigating through the noise.
How a $33 Billion Fund Manager Scored a Perfect Record Betting on Value
To those who argue that value investing has gotten too hard in today’s momentum-chasing, passive-driven world, Scott McBride’s results are a bit of a conundrum.
Economists Boost US Growth, Spending Forecasts Into Early 2025
Economists nudged up quarterly US economic growth projections through early next year on more sanguine views of consumer demand and maintained views that limited inflation will keep the Federal Reserve on a path toward lower borrowing costs.
AI’s Effect on the US Economy Will Be Wildly Uneven
One of the only things growing faster than progress in AI applications is speculation about AI’s effect on the economy. I don’t have all the answers, not by a long shot, but I do think we should expect great unevenness in adaptation, and that itself will alter our world.
Hundreds of ESG Funds Are Being Wound Down, Morningstar Says
Asset managers in Europe and the US have spent 2024 winding down hundreds of ESG funds, as the investment strategy continues to bump up against regulatory headwinds.
US Hospitals Are Hanging by a Thread
As Steward Health Care Systems LLC’s network of hospitals was struggling, it stopped paying some of its vendors. One of those vendors was a supplier of bereavement boxes, the tiny cases used to transport the remains of newborns who don’t survive.
The World Bank Somehow Lost Track of at Least $24 Billion
Imagine if humanity decides it doesn’t have enough amusement parks. All the world’s nations announce they will be financing new ones across the planet. Bankers stand next to models of future parks and hand comically large loan checks to the developers. It’s not nearly enough to end the global amusement-park crisis, but they still win accolades and shareholder approval for doing their part.
Disney’s Happily Ever After Iger Is Finally On Track
Last year, James Gorman told the In Good Company podcast that now that he had stepped down as CEO of Morgan Stanley, he wanted a board role that was more than an easy paycheck. "I want something that is complicated. I like solving problems,” he said.
Say Goodbye to Cheaper Rent and Airfares
It’s inevitable that the market dynamics that have delivered cheaper airfares, used cars and rents in the past year will eventually turn around. One high-profile reminder came from United Airlines’ earnings last week.
US Previously Owned Home Sales Fall to an Almost 14-Year Low
US sales of previously owned homes declined to an almost 14-year low in September as prospective buyers waited for a further decline in mortgage rates and more attractive asking prices.
Treasuries Slide for Third Straight Day as Fed-Cut Bets Wane
Treasury yields climbed for the third straight day amid growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates at a gradual pace and as traders fretted about the potential inflationary implications of the US presidential election.
Vanguard Sticks to Higher-Quality Debt ‘Playbook’ as US Economy Expected to Slow
Vanguard Group Inc. sees more opportunities in the lowest rung of investment-grade bonds, even as spreads for triple-B notes reached their tightest since 1998 last week.
SEC to Increase Scrutiny of AI Tools Used by Brokers, Advisers
The US Securities and Exchange Commission’s examiners will step up scrutiny of financial firms’ use of artificial intelligence next year, the latest sign of regulators’ growing concerns about the emerging technologies.
Bonds Slump Globally as Traders Rethink Fed’s Rate Cut Path
Bonds extended losses as investors mulled the prospect of slower US interest-rate cuts, a trend that risks upending debt positions everywhere.
AI's Power Drain Demands a Novel Solution: Us
Big Tech is going nuclear in its pursuit of artificial intelligence. Power-hungry datacenters are just one part of a broader freak-out over how the US grid will handle even bigger loads including electric vehicles and re-shored factories, plus withstand extreme weather, all while decarbonizing at a reasonable cost.
China Stimulus Is More Than Just One ‘Damn Number’
Ironically, China’s President Xi Jinping has been cornered into the same uncomfortable spot reserved for high-profile chief executives like JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s Jamie Dimon: Impatient stock investors are brushing aside the intricacies of running complex businesses and demanding simplistic numbers to justify their euphoria.
Decade of Big S&P 500 Gains Is Over, Goldman Strategists Say
US stocks are unlikely to sustain their above-average performance of the past decade as investors turn to other assets including bonds for better returns, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategists said.
Fears of False Start for Fed Leave Emerging Markets in Limbo
Price action in some of the world’s most risk-sensitive assets is signaling concern that the Federal Reserve’s decision to begin lowering interest rates may have been premature — or unsustainable.
Hazard-Obsessed Stock Investors Risk Missing a Year-End Rally
Investors laser-focused on the risks looming in the next few weeks may be left unprepared if their worst fears don’t come to pass.
Treasury 10-Year Yields Will Test 5% in Six Months, T. Rowe Says
Benchmark Treasury yields may soon hit a key level on the back of rising inflation expectations and concerns over US fiscal spending, according to T. Rowe Price.
The Energy Transition Is Powered By — Wait for It — Coal
In what should be one of the least surprising developments, global electricity demand is soaring everywhere as the world moves to electrify everything. Out go gasoline cars, in come electric vehicles; out go gas boilers, in come heat pumps; and so on and so forth. That’s the energy transition.
Boeing's Union Finally Has a Labor Deal That Makes Sense
A dark cloud will be hanging over Boeing Co. when it releases its third-quarter earnings report Wednesday morning and Chief Executive Officer Kelly Ortberg, who has only been in the job since August, presides over his first quarterly conference call with analysts for the storied planemaker.
Netflix Beats Wall Street’s Forecasts in Every Major Metric
Netflix Inc. added more than 5 million customers in the third quarter and eclipsed Wall Street’s expectations on every major financial metric despite a new programming slate constrained by last year’s strikes in Hollywood.
IPhone 16 Sales Soar 20% in China Debut as Demand Returns
Sales of Apple Inc.’s newest iPhones in China are up 20% in their first three weeks compared with 2023’s model, a positive sign for a device that struggled this year to gain traction in the world’s largest smartphone market.
How Market Forces Came for the Dinosaurs
Around 110 million years ago, a dinosaur went hunting. Stalking through ferns along a riverbank, he twitched his nose to the wind and caught scent of a plant-eater ahead. His head darted upward. His eyes locked on the target. The dinosaur drew his sickle claws upward, ready to make a lethal strike. But something wasn’t right.
A Bull Run in Emerging Markets Is Overdue and Easily Missed
In China’s resurgent stock market, there’s a lesson for investors about the perils of market timing.
In Space, No One Can Hear Musk's Rivals Scream
Navigating space is hard. It’s expensive, complex, time-consuming and dangerous. And yet you have to hand it to Elon Musk: His SpaceX firm makes it look easy.
Trifecta of Fed Rate-Cut Regret Is an Illusion
We’ve had several weeks of strong data since the Federal Reserve cut policy rates by a half percentage point. It started with a surprisingly robust jobs report, followed by a janky and above-expectations inflation report.
Shakeup in Bond Futures Stands to Reignite Burned Treasury Trade
The unwinding of positions in Treasury futures stands to rekindle a popular bond-market wager that’s been burned as traders pare back expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts.
US Mortgage Rates Climb to 6.52%, Highest Since Early August
US mortgage rates rose sharply for a second straight week, reaching the highest level since early August while prompting steep declines in both home-purchase and refinance activity.
TSMC Hikes Revenue Outlook in Show of Confidence in AI Boom
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. raised its target for 2024 revenue growth after quarterly results beat estimates, allaying concerns about global chip demand and the sustainability of an AI hardware boom.
Boeing Is Flexing the Financial Muscle It Has Left
Boeing Co. is flexing its financial muscle even in light of a crippling labor strike and a disgraceful period of execution that resulted in two deadly plane crashes, the near-disaster of a midair door-panel blowout and whistleblowers who have detailed a culture of putting profit over quality.
BlackRock’s Third Pivot Is Its Most Adventurous Yet
When BlackRock Inc. completed its initial public offering in 1999, it fell a bit flat. There was no first day pop; Founder and Chief Executive Officer Larry Fink didn’t even get to ring the opening bell at the New York Stock Exchange. Valued at just under $900 million, the firm was one of 30 large investment-managers in the US, managing $165 billion of assets.
Toyota Joins With Hyundai's Boston Dynamics on AI-Powered Robots
Toyota Motor Corp.’s research unit and Hyundai Motor Co.’s Boston Dynamics are joining forces to speed up development of humanoid robots with artificial intelligence.
Fitch Sees More Stress for Colleges With Budgets Under Pressure
Fitch Ratings predicts an even gloomier financial outlook for US colleges and universities, with smaller private schools being hit the hardest.
Some Hedge Funds Are Missing a Trick — Volume Alpha
Machine learning is ubiquitous in financial markets, and we tend to associate it with the sexy parts of hedge fund investing: what to buy, what to sell and how to pick a bottom or a top.
Bitcoin Rally Pauses as Traders Assess US Outlook, ETF Inflows
A rally in Bitcoin paused as traders evaluated whether an improving regulatory outlook in the US and rising exchange-traded fund inflows will be sufficient to spur further gains.
Jerome Powell Is Not the Greatest Fed Chair Ever
Even if he does oversee a soft landing for the US economy, Fed Chair Jerome Powell will not deserve a place in the annals of history as the greatest central banker of all time.
Boeing’s Endless Doom Loop Gives No Respite to CEO Ortberg
As Boeing Co. lurches from one crisis to the next, there’s been one constant for the embattled planemaker: Its predicament appears to be only getting worse.
Five Themes for Traders to Watch as Earnings Season Kicks Off
Earnings season is here, and the US stock market’s furious $9 trillion 2024 rally is facing perhaps its biggest test of the year.
AI Will Transform Philanthropy, Too
In an age of accelerating progress in artificial intelligence, everyone is debating AI’s implications for the labor market or national security. There is far less discussion of what AI could or should mean for philanthropy.
Vietnam’s Relationship With Big Tech Is at a Crossroads
Vietnam may be quickly outgrowing its role in the global tech industry as the attractive manufacturing sidepiece to China.
Money Should Work Better. Crypto Can Actually Help
If money makes the world go around, it hasn’t been doing a very good job lately. Beyond developed nations — in eastern Europe, Latin America and Africa — people and businesses are increasingly finding themselves cut off from global payments. An unintended consequence of necessary measures to enforce sanctions and thwart criminals, the trend is doing significant damage to trade and economic growth.
Volatile Bond Market Puts Traders on Defense Amid Fed-Cut Doubts
Bond investors are going on defense as the outlook for the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate cutting path turns more uncertain.
Hedged-Up Wall Street Traders Still Haunted by August Meltdown
Take a snapshot of markets right now, and it’s a picture of health. Stocks are at records, corporate bonds show no signs of worry and commodities remain buoyant on global economic optimism.
Nvidia Rides Fierce Blackwell Demand Toward Stock Record Again
Nvidia Corp.’s shares are roaring back after the company successfully calmed investor concerns about product delays and its long-term growth prospects.
Boeing Needs Some Help to Stem Its Cash Burn and Losses
It’s almost always bad news when a statement from a prominent company hits late on Friday. For those who missed Boeing Co.’s release at 4:30 p.m. New York Time ahead of a three-day weekend for the bond market, Boeing laid out the ugly truth of blowout operating losses at its commercial aircraft and defense businesses during the third quarter, which combined for about $6.4 billion.
Jamie Dimon Is Right. Forget the ‘Damn Number.’
The top corporate conference calls are attended by dozens of Wall Street analysts whose job it is to maintain detailed earnings and valuation models filled with minutiae. Quarter after quarter, they populate their spreadsheets with revenue and cost assumptions to predict exactly what earnings per share will be months and years into the future.
Chinese Stocks Climb as Traders See Hope in Beijing’s Promises
Chinese stocks overcame a bout of early volatility to post their biggest gain in a week on Monday, suggesting that investors are hopeful the government will deliver on its promise of more fiscal support.
Bond Traders’ Big Week Ends With Fed Rate Cuts Even Less Certain
The bond market is growing less convinced by the day that the Federal Reserve will embark on two further interest-rate cuts this year.
When Will Musk’s Robotaxis Actually Arrive?
The key moment during the Tesla Inc. robotaxi event Thursday night came when a member of the audience interrupted Chief Executive Elon Musk’s spiel about the benefits of autonomous vehicles. He had just opined about Airbnb-like fleets of money-earning robotaxis that you could care for like a shepherd tends their flock — stirring stuff, this — presaging “a glorious future” when someone shouted: “When will they be available?”
BlackRock Enters New League With $450 Billion in Alternative Assets
BlackRock Inc. reaching $450 billion in alternative assets is putting a finer point on a case it has been making all year: it’s not just an ETF powerhouse.
JPMorgan’s Silver Lining Still Comes With a Cloud
JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s net interest income was the hot topic of its third-quarter results, much to the irritation of Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon, who grew impatient with quibbling over details of the bank’s outlook on its earnings call on Friday.
US Credit Draws In Foreign Investors Eying Lower Costs to Hedge
Foreign investors have been buying more US corporate bonds, a trend that will likely continue as Federal Reserve monetary easing lowers the cost of hedging and investors hunt for yield.
Hong Kong ETF Investors Make Record Bet on Stock Market Decline
Investors in Hong Kong have bet a record amount on exchange-traded funds that profit when stocks decline, showing how quickly sentiment is shifting following a breakneck rally.
Dollar Extends Weekly Gaining Trend as Traders Trim Fed Cut Bets
Traders are pushing the dollar toward its second-straight weekly gain in anticipation of a slower pace of interest-rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
The IPO Slump Is Fine Unless You’re Jamie Dimon
Two senior Wall Street executives complained this week that over-regulation is discouraging initial public offerings. JPMorgan Chase & Co. CEO Jamie Dimon partly blamed the zeal of securities regulators for the drop in IPOs that began in March 2022, a sentiment echoed by Citadel Securities CEO Peng Zhao.
Musk Shows Tesla Cybercab, Sees Sub-$30,000 Cost and 2026 Production
Elon Musk unveiled Tesla Inc.’s highly anticipated self-driving taxi at a flashy event that was light on specifics, leaving investors questioning how the carmaker expects to achieve its ambitious goals.
For Bond Traders, It’s Wait Till Next Year (Again)
A return to lower yields has been every bond fund manager's dream since the nightmare of 2022. But now, with expectations dashed that they’d get their wish this year, it appears they’ll have to hang their hopes on 2025.
China Has Taken Out an Insurance Policy, Not a Bazooka
With many having characterized China as “uninvestible” just a few months ago, investors’ enthusiastic response in recent weeks to a perceived shift in the authorities’ policy reaction function is also likely to be an overreaction. It grossly oversimplifies the competing priorities of a country with internal imbalances, inefficient resource allocation channels, and exposure to further geopolitical tensions.
US CPI Rises More Than Forecast, Stalling Inflation Progress
Underlying US inflation rose more than forecast in September, representing a pause in the recent progress toward moderating price pressures.
Big Banks Prep for Billions More in Bond Issuance After Earnings
Wall Street banks are expected to launch a barrage of bond sales as soon as next week, capitalizing on ultra-low credit spreads and strong demand from investors after they report quarterly results.
Investors Buying CLOs Are Increasingly Using ETFs, Bank of America Says
Investors who buy bundles of loans packaged into bonds are increasingly using exchange-traded funds to do so, according to a report from Bank of America.
Elon Musk Readies the Robotaxi He Is Betting Tesla’s Future On
Elon Musk went all-in to get robotaxis onto roads, sacrificing a widely anticipated cheaper car, gutting teams focused on other projects and downplaying Tesla Inc.’s sales slowdown.
US Weighs Google Breakup in Historic Big Tech Antitrust Case
The US Justice Department is considering asking a federal judge to force Google to sell off parts of its business in what would be a historic breakup of one of the world’s biggest tech companies.
Why Robinhood Is Seeking Merry Traders Overseas
Britain’s stock-investing culture has been withering for years, with the only real growth coming from consultants, policymakers and commentators generating ideas on how to revive it. So why is Robinhood Markets Inc. so keen to expand in the UK? The draw may be more the country’s enthusiasm for online betting than allocating savings to equities.
Unions Need to Join the 21st Century Economy
It is hard to be “the most pro-union president in American history,” as Joe Biden likes to claim, while also leading an effort to “reimagine and rebuild a new economy,” as he has also promised. That’s because these goals are fundamentally incompatible: America’s unions no longer fit the modern economy.
Google Should Worry About Regulators’ Case Against Its AI Push
If investors in Alphabet Inc. weren’t all that worried at first about the possible consequences of Google losing its search antitrust case, they perhaps should be now.
Is China Breaking Out or Breaking Bad?
China’s recent stimulus announcements sparked a massive rally in its stocks, and a growing chorus of analysts see more gains ahead. Is this a reawakening of the country’s long slumbering stock market or just another false start? Bloomberg Opinion’s Nir Kaissar and Shuli Ren, based in the US and Hong Kong respectively, met online to discuss the risks and opportunities.
How to Think About the Surprising US Jobs Data
Judging from the public commentary, last Friday’s US jobs report confused economists in terms of their understanding of economic developments in the world’s largest economy and the policy approach of the Federal Reserve.
US Bonds Slip Again as Traders Price In Gradual Fed Rate Cuts
The rout in US government debt extended slightly on Tuesday, with longer-dated yields at the highest levels since late July and inflation data later in the week expected to enable Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts.
Wall Street Sees More Room for Defense Stocks’ Torrid Advance
It’s no secret that betting on defense suppliers when geopolitical tensions ratchet higher pays off — at least in the short term. But Wall Street says there’s more to this latest rally.
US Corporate Bond Spreads Rally to Three-Year Low, Bucking Risks
US investment-grade corporate bond spreads have narrowed to the lowest level in more than three years, a clear sign of just how bullish credit investors are even as macro and geopolitical risks mount.
America’s Jobs Market Has Entered the Twilight Zone
The strong gain of 254,000 jobs in September was a welcome surprise after months of cooling in the labor market and reinforced other signs of strength in the US economy. However, one month does not make a trend, and even with the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, a sustained turnaround in hiring will take time.
Raise the $1,000 Limit on Emergency 401(k) Withdrawals
Thanks to new legislation, Americans with retirement plans now have easier access to cash in the event of a financial emergency. A provision in the Secure Act 2.0 that took effect this year allows individuals with 401(k)s and other retirement plans to withdraw up to $1,000 without triggering a 10% early distribution penalty.
Oil Bets Most Bullish in Two Years as Mideast Tension Flares
Oil futures posted their largest gain in more than a year last week. And the frenzy was even bigger in the options market.
Corporate Bonds Gain an Edge Over Stocks as Fed Cuts
The outlook for corporate debt is improving now that the Federal Reserve has begun cutting interest rates, according to the latest Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey.
Bond Traders Buckle Up for ‘No Landing’ After Jobs Surprise
The “no landing” scenario – a situation where the US economy keeps growing, inflation reignites and the Federal Reserve has little room to cut interest rates – had largely disappeared as a bond-market talking point in recent months.
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Private Equity-Backed Texas Housing Development Taps Muni Market
In suburban Texas, a neighborhood complete with an amphitheater, dance hall and goat farm is scheduled to be erected 40 miles from Houston’s downtown — providing municipal-bond investors a window to bet on one of the fastest-growing areas of the US.
Traders Rip Up Bets on Big Fed Cuts as Jobs Data Hits Bonds
Traders slashed their bets on the pace of future Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts after September US employment data blew past estimates and signaled a robust hiring trend.
OpenAI Gets $4 Billion in Credit on Top of $6.6 Billion Fundraise
OpenAI has tapped global banks for a $4 billion revolving line of credit on top of its recent $6.6 billion fundraising, building a massive war chest to stay ahead in the costly race to develop more sophisticated artificial intelligence.
El-Erian Warns Fed After Jobs Data: ‘Inflation Is Not Dead’
Mohamed El-Erian says the Federal Reserve needs to renew its focus on its fight against rising prices after September’s surprisingly hot jobs report served as a reminder that “inflation is not dead.”
Dollar Set for Best Week in Two Years as Big Fed Cut Bets Erased
The dollar is about to notch its best week in two years. Geopolitical unrest, the odds of lower borrowing costs overseas and a resilient US economy are all spurring the world’s reserve currency higher.
Strong Jobs Report Takes Pressure Off Fed for Next Meeting
Surprisingly strong hiring in September has taken pressure off the Federal Reserve by reducing worries over the US labor market, giving policymakers room to continue cutting interest rates at a more gradual pace in coming months.
Meta Unveils AI Video Generator, Taking On OpenAI and Google
Facebook parent Meta Platforms Inc. debuted a new artificial intelligence tool that can generate or edit videos based on a simple text prompt, elevating competition with rivals like OpenAI and Google in the race to develop the world’s most advanced AI technology.
Druckenmiller Is Wary of Fed’s Next Move After Hot Jobs Data
Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller is concerned that the Federal Reserve has boxed itself into a corner when it comes to future interest-rate cuts.
India Won’t Grow Without Taking on the World
Ever since Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced his “Make in India” policies shortly after being elected prime minister in 2014, New Delhi has chased the dream of a prosperous manufacturing sector. There have been some successes — when it comes to making mobile phones, for example.
Retailers Have No Room for Error This Holiday
With interest rates lower, inflation collapsing and wages rising faster than prices, there’s potential for a very happy holiday for US retailers.
One Underappreciated Way to Reduce Inequality: Work More
The various bestselling books on income inequality cite a variety of driving factors. Robert Kuttner blames global capitalism. Paul Krugman pins it on bad domestic economic policies. Thomas Piketty writes of capitalists as if they are rentiers, extracting royalties from the system.
The Fed Needs to Tread Carefully in Twitchy Money Markets
It might not be time to really get nervous about US money markets, but it’s definitely time to pay more attention. Signs of strain emerged as September turned into October this week — it wasn’t completely wild, but the tensions were the worst since early 2020.
Nvidia Insider Share Sales Top $1.8 Billion and More Are Coming
Nvidia Corp. insiders have cashed in on shares worth more than $1.8 billion so far this year — and more selling is on the horizon.
TSMC Gets Single-Stock ETF as Direxion Funds Allow Leverage Bets
Direxion Funds has launched two exchange-traded products that focus on a single emerging-market stock — Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. — allowing investors to make outsized bullish bets on it or take positions against the direction of the market.
Boeing’s Frail Finances Give Strikers All the Power
While a strike by East Coast port workers is strangling the flow of goods from Maine to Texas and grabbing headlines, news of machinists at Boeing Co. about to enter their fourth week of picketing near Seattle has receded a bit into the background.
How My Hard Economic Landing Forecast Went Wrong
I’ve been too pessimistic about the risks of a so-called hard landing for the US economy over the past few years. Although most of my conclusions that led to that view were correct, such an outcome remains very much in doubt.
Tesla Really Needs Musk’s Robotaxis to Live Up to the Hype
Guys, you were so close. If it wasn’t for that last little bounce of Wall Street optimism on the last day of September, Tesla Inc.’s latest sales figure would have beaten estimates — just.
Fidelity Raises First Fund Dedicated to Venture Capital
Fidelity Investments has raised $250 million for its first fund dedicated to venture capital investments, pushing the firm further into private assets.
The Stock Market Is Becoming a Dumping Ground
A lot of people are worried about the shrinking number of public companies in the US, but quality is an even bigger problem than quantity.
Dalio, Abu Dhabi Royal’s G42 Said to Shelve Investment Venture
Ray Dalio’s family office and Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan’s artificial intelligence firm G42 have abandoned plans to set up an asset management venture together in Abu Dhabi, according to people familiar with the matter.
The US Economy’s Landing Isn’t as Soft as We Think
For all the talk of a soft landing in the US, there’s one corner of the economy where the hazard lights are flashing: the $1.6 trillion motor-vehicle lending market, which accounts for around a quarter of non-mortgage consumer credit. For the past three years, bad debts have been rising.
Fink Sees Boom in Infrastructure Fueling Global Economic Growth
BlackRock Inc. Chief Executive Officer Larry Fink said infrastructure is a major component to help stimulate growth in every economy and there’s enough capital in the private sector to fund investment.
Global Debt Binge Brings Record $600 Billion of Bond Sales
Companies and governments around the globe spent the past month streaming into debt markets, seizing on declining interest rates ahead of an uncertain US presidential election that many fear will spur volatility in markets.
Suddenly Asia Is Place to Be as Stocks, Currencies Outperform
Asian assets swung violently over the past three months, rocked by a succession of epochal events that culminated in a giant stimulus boost for China and propelled the region’s equities to world beaters.
Biden Should Intervene in the East Coast Port Strike
The much-anticipated labor strike at ports along the East and Gulf coasts has begun, and the impact is a bit anticlimactic — for now.
In Markets, Crystal Balls Lose to the Many Quiet Voices
Victor Haghani, James White and Jerry Bell of Elm Partners Management conducted a fascinating experiment to investigate the value of getting tomorrow’s headlines today, and the trading acumen of finance students. The results may suggest to some that finance courses need an upgrade...
Market-Boosting Moves in US, China Yet to Convince Economists
A stronger-than-expected pivot to stimulus in the world’s two biggest economies has brightened the market outlook. For economists, the jury is still out.
JPMorgan Slips as Morgan Stanley Sees Fewer Benefits From Rate Cuts
JPMorgan Chase & Co. has been the best performing big bank stock since the Federal Reserve started hiking interest rates more than two years ago. But as the US central bank begins to unwind those moves, Morgan Stanley says it’s time for investors to wait before they buy more shares.
Stocks Are In and Bonds Are Out: Top Trades for the Rest of the Year
US stocks will outperform the nation’s government and corporate bonds for the rest of this year as the Federal Reserve keeps cutting interest rates, the latest Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey shows.
Your Next Financial Adviser Will Be on an App
Just as the industrial revolution changed the way goods are manufactured and consumed, so the technological revolution will do for services. Once something can be made at scale, the market for it can expand and be segmented. The same goes for financial planning.
Gold’s Record Run Can’t Continue Forever, Right?
Gold is what you buy when everything isn’t goldilocks. Inflation, deflation, war, pestilence — gold is a certain anxious state of mind made tangible in a seductive but mostly useless metal. In a weird spin, gold has been enjoying a goldilocks period itself, hitting a new record last week. More that that, it seems almost immune to things that would usually drag it down.
Costco Profit Beats Estimates Amid Moderating Inflation
Costco Wholesale Corp. posted higher-than-expected profit as moderating prices fueled consumer spending and store traffic climbed.
Quarter-Trillion Dollars of Breakups Drive Dealmaking Recovery
Chief executive officers are no longer trying to be all things to all people.
Blame NFL’s Revenue-Sharing Model for David Tepper
If on-field success is a measuring stick, Appaloosa Management co-founder David Tepper’s 2018 purchase of the Carolina Panthers has been a disaster.
The Fed Should Stop Tying Its Hands on Interest Rates
So far, so good. The Federal Reserve’s efforts to engineer a soft landing for the economy are going well.
The Cheating Game Inside the OPEC+ Oil Cartel
Since the beginning of the year, the OPEC+ countries that are subject to output caps have pumped together more than 600,000 barrels a day above their self-imposed limits.
Who’s Really Keeping Ozempic and Wegovy Prices So High?
On Tuesday, congressional leaders spent two hours taking to task Novo Nordisk Chief Executive Officer Lars Fruergaard Jørgensen over the high price of the company’s diabetes and obesity drugs, Ozempic and Wegovy. Now the question is whether those prices will change.
Wall Street’s ETF Assets Hit $10 Trillion Milestone
Assets held by exchange-traded funds in the US hit $10 trillion for the first time as the investor-friendly products continue their relentless takeover of Wall Street.
‘Crystal Ball’ Breaks as Traders Fail to Get Rich in New Study
If investors had known in advance the size of the Federal Reserve’s latest interest-rate cut, would they have made big money on stocks and bonds trading on this market-moving intel?
The $6.3 Trillion Money-Market Industry Just Got Its First ETF
A new exchange-traded fund attempting to carve out a slice of the $6.3 trillion sitting in traditional money-market funds is launching Wednesday.
Bonus-Starved Bankers Are Jumping Ship for Private Credit Riches
At a finance conference in London this summer, four senior investment bankers set about persuading the room that the $1.7-trillion private credit market isn’t a threat to Wall Street. Barely three months later, two of them have jumped ship to seek their fortunes in the upstart asset class.
Blaming Greedflation for High Food Prices Is Misguided
Vice President Kamala Harris’ recent proposal to ban price gouging in the grocery industry has raised tricky questions about the recent history of grocery prices, inflation and market power. Markups in grocery stores appear to be persistently higher than before the pandemic. But don’t rush to the conclusion that market power is the only explanation here.
OpenAI Is Just Like the Rest of Silicon Valley After All
That is much clearer and far more accurate. On Wednesday, Reuters first reported that the company is set to announce a restructuring under which its nonprofit board will lose control over the company’s core business.
Private Equity Calls in Experts to Fix Firms They Can’t Sell
Buyout heavyweights are increasingly resorting to the old-fashioned way of making money — actually running the companies they’ve bought.
Wall Street Drives Office Revival on Manhattan’s Ritziest Street
Financial services companies are office hunting on one of New York City’s fanciest addresses, Park Avenue, and the biggest beneficiary may be a once-beleaguered real estate investment trust that happens to find itself in the right place at the right time.
Sam Altman Is Spreading Himself Too Thin
Sam Altman has his hands in countless projects while also building “mankind’s last invention”: artificial general intelligence, or AI systems that surpass our own cognitive abilities. These galactic aspirations were reinforced on Monday when Altman published a dramatic blog post reminding us that superintelligence will bring prosperity for everyone. It’s just a “few thousand days” away, he added.
We Asked a Nobel Prize-Winning Economist How to Fix Fintech
Financial services, like many institutions, are losing Americans’ trust. That’s a problem. Economies depend on a healthy financial system, as became painfully evident during the 2008 financial crisis, and that system operates largely on trust — confidence that people can access the money in their bank accounts, that their investment accounts are secure, and that their trades will be filled at quoted market prices, to name just a few everyday financial interactions.
Wall Street Has Proven That Trust Can Be Rebuilt
America’s financial industry has long had trust issues. Never mind the Great Financial Crisis of 2007-08; mistrust of the markets dates back to at least 1929, if not the Dutch East India collapse of 1769. But this history has an upside: Financial institutions have a lot of experience creating systems to build, maintain and restore trust — and have learned lessons that can be applied across the economy.
OpenAI Pitched White House on Unprecedented Data Center Buildout
OpenAI has pitched the Biden administration on the need for massive data centers that could each use as much power as entire cities, framing the unprecedented expansion as necessary to develop more advanced artificial intelligence models and compete with China.
AI Market Will Surge to Near $1 Trillion by 2027, Bain Says
The global market for AI-related products is ballooning and will hit as much as $990 billion in 2027, as the technology’s quick adoption disrupts companies and economies, Bain & Co. said.
Intel Doesn’t Need a Takeover. It Needs a Turnaround
They say if there’s ever a Silicon Valley Mount Rushmore, the first face to be chiseled into the stone would be that of Gordon Moore. The Intel Corp. co-founder’s famous prediction about the rate at which semiconductors would improve has provided the bedrock to American technology leadership.
Microsoft’s Three Mile Island Deal Is Great News
At risk of understatement, let’s call it a big deal. Microsoft Corp.’s agreement with Constellation Energy Corp. to reopen the Three Mile Island nuclear plant in Pennsylvania could prove highly consequential — for the green-energy transition and much else besides.
Retail Investors Won on Fees But Are Losing on Risk
Retail investors have won the battle of fees. Brokerage accounts are free. Trading commissions are history. Anyone can own the entire stock market through a single exchange-traded fund for basically nothing. It’s a huge win for investors and terrible for the investment industry.
Rate Cut Kickoff Sparks Rush to Emerging Market Bond ETFs
Investors poured money into exchange-traded funds that buy emerging-market bonds last week as optimism around the Federal Reserve’s easing cycle fueled risk appetite.
Yardeni Says Fed Cut Raises Odds of ‘Outright Melt-Up’ in Stocks
US stocks can soar to fresh highs thanks to the Federal Reserve’s aggressive half-point interest rate cut last week, but it also could cause inflation to resurface if central bankers don’t tread carefully, according to Wall Street strategist Ed Yardeni.
Fed Officials Leave Door Open to Another Large Interest-Rate Cut
A handful of Federal Reserve officials on Monday left open the door to additional large interest-rate cuts, noting that current rates still weigh heavily on the US economy.
Traders, Don’t Fall in Love With Your Machines
Gary Gensler, chief US securities regulator, enlisted Scarlett Johansson and Joaquin Phoenix’s movie “Her” last week to help explain his worries about the risks of artificial intelligence in finance. Money managers and banks are rushing to adopt a handful of generative AI tools and the failure of one of them could cause mayhem, just like the AI companion played by Johansson left Phoenix’s character and many others heartbroken.
Fischer Black Would See Bubbles as Traps for Traders
Cliff Asness, co-founder of AQR Capital Management, made the news recently with the provocative claim that financial markets are getting less efficient. I worked at AQR for 10 years, but long before that I spent nearly two decades as the only mentee the renowned economist Fischer Black ever had. Fischer had a very different view of market efficiency and would, I think, have reached a different conclusion from Cliff’s data.
Stocks’ Post-Fed Rally Risks Adding ‘Accelerant Fuel’ to Selloff
While the stock market rallied after the long-awaited Federal Reserve rate cut last week, there’s a sense of unease accompanying the gains.
Fed’s Bostic Says Large Cut Bolsters Labor Market, Pace Not Set
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said starting the central bank’s cutting cycle with a large move will help bring interest rates closer to neutral levels as the risks between inflation and employment become more balanced.
We Get Either 4% Mortgage Rates or a Stable Job Market
The Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut last week has led many to wonder what it means for mortgage rates. The housing website Redfin noted that some would-be homebuyers aren’t aware that we’ve already seen a steep decline, while others are waiting for mortgage rates to fall more.
America’s Fiscal Exceptionalism Is All Too Real
A popular rebuttal of the idea that the US ought to worry about its surging public debt is, “What about Japan?” America’s taxpayers are currently on the hook for 123% of gross domestic product, exceeding the previous record of 118% in the aftermath of the second world war, and the number is going up.
Good Luck to Qualcomm in Getting Intel Inside
There’s opportunism — and there’s Qualcomm Inc.’s approach to buy Intel Corp. The acquisitive semiconductor giant has an opening to attempt such a momentous deal thanks to the yawning gap between their market capitalizations. The snag is that many obstacles remain to a successful transaction.
Summers Sees Fed Rate Projections Upended, Higher Mortgage Rates
Former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers said inflation will probably prevent the Federal Reserve from lowering interest rates as much as expected in coming years.
Jay Powell Makes a Heckuva Car Salesman
Jay Powell: Federal Reserve Chair, soft-landing pilot … car dealer extraordinaire?
Risky Banks Are Regulators’ Fault
It’s understandable that bank regulators, facing zealous industry opposition, are retreating from their effort to require the biggest lenders to fund their assets with more equity. After all, there hasn’t been a major blowup in 18 months and the banks insist they have more than enough capital.
Where the US and China Can Find Common Ground on AI
Earlier this month, OpenAI released its most-advanced models yet, saying they had the ability to “reason” and solve complex math and coding problems. The industry-leading startup, valued at some $150 billion, also acknowledged that they raised the risk artificial intelligence could be misused to create biological weapons.
A US Soft Landing Will Rest on Increasingly Shaky Ground
Americans might be forgiven for basking in self-satisfaction when it comes to the economy. The country’s most prominent CEO, Jamie Dimon, has called the country’s boom “unbelievable,” and its most stimulating magazine, The Atlantic, has dubbed it a “superstar.”
Dow’s Lack of AI Stocks Puts Blue-Chip Index ‘Behind the Curve’
The rise of artificial intelligence has reordered the American stock market, pushing the likes of Nvidia Corp. and other chipmakers into the upper echelons. There’s one storied corner, though, where the changes wrought by AI haven’t shown up: the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Big Banks Are Split on How Fast Fed Will Cut Interest Rates
Wall Street’s biggest banks are divided over how fast and deep the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates over the next year, setting the stage for jittery financial markets until the outlook clears.
Americans Face Credit Hit as Student Debt Goes Delinquent Again
Millions of Americans are falling behind on student loan payments a year after the pandemic freeze ended – and soon that will start hurting their credit scores.
Microsoft’s AI Power Needs Prompt Revival of Three Mile Island Nuclear Plant
The owner of the shuttered Three Mile Island nuclear plant in Pennsylvania will invest $1.6 billion to revive it, agreeing to sell all the output to Microsoft Corp. as the tech titan seeks carbon-free electricity for data centers to power the artificial intelligence boom.
Apple Wins Big as $250 Billion of Index Trades Hit Wall Street
An action-packed week on Wall Street ends with a bang as index-tracking funds are set to reshuffle $250 billion of shares, just as a “triple witching” trading event hits.
ETF-Volatility Race Heats Up on 200% Leveraged MicroStrategy Bet
An ETF that just last month was dubbed the most volatile to ever hit Wall Street has already been upstaged, after the debut of a competing product that adds even more leverage.
Exciting Economics Is Often Misguided Economics
In the long-running popular series about what’s wrong with economics, there is a new entry: Our profession is too insular. “Economists generally agree that competition is good, and that markets with only a few dominant players are inefficient,” writes the economist David Deming in the Atlantic. “We may need to take a hard look in the mirror.”
The Fed’s Uncertain Destination Troubles the Bond Market
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday began its policy easing with a bang. Much of the focus was on its decision to cut interest rates by half a percentage point from a two-decade high. But the key question for the bond market is where rates will land once all is said and done. Nobody knows for sure, and Chair Jerome Powell injected enough uncertainty to ensure a choppy ride ahead.
Wall Street’s $5.1 Trillion Triple-Witching Is Next Market Test
Just as Wall Street traders come to grips with the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate cut, Friday’s US options expiration threatens to whipsaw the market some more.
Wall Street’s New Era Off to Rocky Start Despite Big Fed Cut
Jerome Powell delivered exactly what traders up and down Wall Street had long hoped for: A big interest-rate cut that would justify this year’s steep rally in stocks and bonds as the era of tight monetary policy finally began to reverse.
Dalio Downplays Next Fed Move as Investors Flag China Risks
The size of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut this week won’t be a game changer for global investors, though risks from China’s slowdown continue to weigh on their minds, according to participants at a regional forum.
Junk Bond Investors Are Getting Ahead of ‘Rate Cutting Party’
The Federal Reserve’s looming rate cuts are fueling a rally in the riskiest corner of the US corporate bond market, but some investors are concerned the party may not last.
SEC Poised to Vote on Overhaul of Stock Pricing, Exchange Fees
The price increments at which thousands of stocks and ETFs are quoted look set for an overhaul Wednesday, when the US Securities and Exchange Commission votes on final rules to reduce them to less than 1 cent.
The Fed Is a Poor Guide for Stock Investors
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to begin cutting interest rates this week as moderating inflation allows the central bank to roll back some of its previous rate increases. I expect that some investors will be tempted to chase stocks given the stubborn conventional wisdom that interest rates and stock prices move in opposite directions. They should reconsider.
New Chatbot ETF Promises to Mimic Warren Buffett, David Tepper
It might just be the most audacious bid on Wall Street to exploit newfangled AI tools to mimic the legends of finance.
Mortgage Market’s Historical Sway Dulled as Fed Gears Up to Ease
The $8 trillion mortgage market can trigger big swings across fixed income when the Federal Reserve shifts interest rates, but investors say this time is different.
Vanguard Buys Dollars Saying Fed Rate-Cut Bets Gone Too Far
Vanguard, one of the world’s biggest asset managers, is buying the dollar this week on the view that market bets on Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts are overdone.
Alphabet’s Antitrust Woes Have Made It a Cheap Buy for Bulls
Alphabet Inc. shares have been struggling for the past two months amid mounting regulatory uncertainty. For some bulls, that’s a buying opportunity.
AI Heralds a New Deal for Old Coal Plants
The new thing in electricity is datacenters. The new new thing is … coal?
Microsoft Plans New $60 Billion Buyback, Raises Dividend 10%
Microsoft Corp. raised its quarterly dividend 10% and unveiled a new $60 billion stock-buyback program, matching the size of a repurchase plan three years ago.
Risk Traders Buy Emerging-Market Bond ETFs Ahead of Fed’s Cut
Investors piled money into exchange-traded funds that buy emerging-market bonds on Friday amid optimism that developing-nation debt will get a boost from a highly anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut this week.
Mortgage Rates Puzzle Is a Worry for Housing and the Fed
There’s a puzzle developing in the housing market — mortgage rates have fallen rapidly to their lowest level since early 2023, but would-be homebuyers don’t seem to care. It’s possible this is just a timing issue with rates falling during the slow season for transactions and election jitters giving buyers additional reason to hold off.
Traders See Half-Point Fed Rate Cut Likelier Than Quarter-Point
Bond traders once again see Federal Reserve policymakers as more likely to cut interest rates by a half point than a quarter point at their meeting this week.
Pimco CEO Roman Says Investors Are Piling into Fixed Income
Investors are adding to their fixed income exposure as imminent interest rate cuts create opportunities, according to Emmanuel Roman, chief executive officer of Pacific Investment Management Co.
BlackRock Warns on Bonds, Saying Fed Rate Bets Are Overdone
BlackRock Inc. strategists turned underweight short-dated US Treasuries from overweight, saying the extent of Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts the market is betting on is unlikely to pan out.
The US Is Locked in a State of Debt Denial
Perhaps it’s unsurprising that Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are saying nothing about the country’s biggest economic-policy challenge – namely, how to rein in public borrowing. With an election to win, they’d rather emphasize lower taxes and/or higher public spending.
The Fed Should Go Big Now. I Think It Will.
The US Federal Reserve faces a crucial decision at its policy-making meeting this week: Ease off slightly on monetary restraint with a 25-basis-point interest-rate cut, or go for a rare 50-basis-point cut to fend off a recession.
Walmart Has Seized the Baton From Nvidia. What?
Consumer staples are one of the sleepiest sectors of the US stock market. Investors buy them for their low volatility and generous dividends, not exhilarating upside potential. But lately, toothpaste, bleach and certain big-box food retailers seem to be acting like the new semiconductors.
China Bond Yields Sink to Record Low With Intervention in Focus
China’s bond traders defied signs of intervention to push sovereign yields to a record low, setting the stage for a showdown with authorities seeking to tame the blistering debt rally.
The Spirit of Fracking Comes to US Lithium Mining
“Fracking” is an expletive in environmental circles. Yet the spirit of shale is creeping into a business with transformational potential for the energy transition. Schlumberger NV, the industrial giant best known for sucking oil and gas from shale, the seabed (and other places besides), this week announced a breakthrough in direct lithium extraction, or DLE.
Epic Yen Rally Is a Lesson in the Lost Art of FX Intervention
Japan's currency is enjoying an epic rally, heading for the biggest quarterly advance in years. That's quite a shift from a few months ago, when yen bulls were few and far between. Who can claim credit for this turnaround?
OpenAI, Nvidia Executives Discuss AI Infrastructure Needs With Biden Officials
OpenAI Chief Executive Officer Sam Altman and Nvidia Corp. CEO Jensen Huang met with senior Biden administration officials and other industry leaders at the White House, where they discussed steps to address massive infrastructure needs for artificial intelligence projects.
Single-Stock ETF Boom Intensifies With 18 Bets on Overseas Firms
The single-stock ETF frenzy is going global, with a new bid to launch products that give US traders a way to bet directly on overseas companies — without fretting about currency risk.
The Fed Has No Choice But to Assume the Worst
Earlier this year, the Federal Reserve seemed to have time on its side. Payrolls were growing at a healthy clip and the unemployment rate hovered near a five-decade low. Even though there were signs that inflation was licked, there didn’t appear to be much harm in keeping interest rates elevated for a while longer — just in case.
Hedge Fund Arb Trade Surfs $140 Billion Wave of Debt Coming Due
In a niche corner of the bond market, an almost $140 billion wave of maturing debt is poised to lend momentum to what is already one of Wall Street’s hottest hedge fund trades.
Private Debt Looks for Growth as Traditional Capital Flatlines
Institutional investors, which have traditionally made up private debt’s largest pool of money, are no longer a source of growth for the $1.7 trillion industry.
Gold Climbs to a Record as US Data Bolster Fed Rate Cut Case
Gold climbed to a record after another faster-than-forecast US inflation print and an uptick in applications for unemployment benefits substantiated bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next week.
Where Money Managers See Dollar Going as Fed Cuts, US Votes
All signs point to a tough few months ahead for investors charting the dollar’s path, after the US presidential debate and a key inflation reading left markets anticipating heightened volatility through year-end.
Powell’s Inertia Leaves the Fed in a Bind After CPI Surprise
In some ways, central banking requires a trader’s instincts. Policymakers need to marry academic rigor with quick reflexes. There is a time for rumination and a time for action.
Big Tech’s Easy Ride Is Coming to an End
Tech companies of a certain size have long expected an easy ride from authorities, and for good reason. They always got it. Apple Inc. for years abused loopholes to pay virtually zero tax in the European Union while generating record profits there, thanks to special treatment from Ireland, where it bases its European headquarters.
Draghi’s Love Letter to Industrial Strategy Risks Heartbreak
Mario Draghi wants Europe to follow the United States and China down the road marked “industrial strategy.” As Europe’s most influential economist — a former head of the European Central Bank, prime minister of Italy and technocrat supreme — Draghi had enormous leeway in preparing his report on European competitiveness.
Wall Street’s Hottest Business Is About to Cool
Banks and shadow banks are meant to exist in separate worlds, but the financial links between them are increasingly seen as a source of potential instability. That’s a problem for banks because the business of forging those ties has lately been among the hottest activities on Wall Street.
US CPI to Show Another Muted Rise as Fed Debates Rate-Cut Size
Forecasters expect a monthly report on US consumer prices to show another month of muted increases, possibly playing into a Federal Reserve debate over how much to cut interest rates.
Goldman’s Kostin Urges Putting Brake on Stock-Index Reshufflings
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. has a message for benchmark managers who are weighing big reshufflings of their indexes to account for a handful of stocks growing to interstellar size: slow down.
US Two-Year Yield Falls to Lowest Since 2022 Ahead of CPI Report
US Treasuries rallied ahead of a closely watched inflation reading that could cement bets on the size of the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate cut this month.
US 30-Year Mortgage Rate Slides to Lowest Since February 2023
US mortgage rates slid last week to the lowest level since February 2023, emboldening homebuyers and spurring a pickup in refinancing applications in welcome news for the real estate market.
State Street, Galaxy Launch Crypto-Linked ETFs Even as Outflows Build
State Street Global Advisors and Galaxy Asset Management are launching a trio of cryptocurrency-focused exchange-traded funds even as investors pull back from spot Bitcoin funds.
The Stocks, Bonds and Currencies Investors Are Watching During the Trump-Harris Debate
Investors weighing election risks ahead of the first US presidential debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are already a lot more jittery than they were before Trump and his onetime opponent, President Joe Biden, met onstage in June.
Apple, Google Lose Multibillion Dollar Court Fights With EU
Apple Inc. lost its court fight over a €13 billion ($14.4 billion) Irish tax bill and Google lost its challenge over a €2.4 billion fine for abusing its market power, in a double boost to the European Union’s crackdown on Big Tech.
Nvidia’s Blackwell Chip Delay Is Center Stage Amid Stock Slump
The next-generation processor was unveiled six months ago, but has faced engineering snags that delayed its release. While Chief Executive Officer Jensen Huang tried to reassure the market last month that revenue from the chip is coming soon, some investors were left wanting for details.
Musk’s AI Side Gig Should Keep Its Distance From Tesla
The all-in view of Tesla Inc. was summed up in a line from a report this summer by one of the more all-in analysts covering the company: “The car is to Tesla what the video game chip is to Nvidia.
Big Oil Faces a ‘Good Sweating.’ Some Aren’t Fit
When John D. Rockefeller wanted to punish a rival, he cut prices to force them to operate at a loss. The father of the modern oil industry had a name for it: a “good sweating.” A century later, OPEC+ is giving Big Oil the modern equivalent of Rockefeller’s time-tested tactics. Not everyone will be fit enough for it.
US Bitcoin ETFs Bleed $1.2 Billion in Longest Run of Net Outflows
US Bitcoin exchange-traded funds have posted their longest run of daily net outflows since listing at the start of the year, part of a wider retreat from riskier assets in a challenging period for global markets.
The Bond Market Rally Rides on How Fast the Fed Cuts Rates
Bond traders who struggled to predict how high the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates are finding the way down just as vexing.
Oracle Cloud Growth Could Cement Wall Street’s Next AI Favorite
Cloud computing has been one of the first industries to get a demonstrable boost from artificial intelligence. Oracle Corp.’s quarterly results on Monday are likely to extend that trend.
Stock-Selloff Fears for September Are Overblown
The US stock market has given us plenty of real and perceived calendar anomalies to think about. There’s the observed tendency for stocks to experience a “Santa Claus rally” (during the last five trading days of the year and the first two of the next) and the weekend effect (where stocks have a habit of slumping on Mondays).
Americans Have a New Piggy Bank to Raid — Their Houses
American consumers have surprised many economists this year by continuing to spend even as their savings shrink and the labor market cools. They’ve been aided in part by pockets of deflation that have boosted their purchasing power on things such as gasoline, automobiles and airfares.
Summers Says Jobs Weakness Makes It Closer Call on Fed Going 50
Former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers said that while the August employment report wasn’t particularly poor, it did make predicting the size of the Federal Reserve’s likely interest-rate cut this month a tougher call.
Amundi Tie-Up Offers US Private Credit to Wealthy Individuals
Amundi SA and First Eagle Investment Management are looking to raise as much as $5 billion for a new private credit strategy that will offer wealthy individuals in Europe, the Middle East and Asia access to private loans made to mid-size US companies.
Nvidia’s $400 Billion Tumble This Week Makes Bitcoin Look Calm
Nvidia Corp. has wiped out more than $400 billion in value this week, weighing on key equity benchmarks as jitters spread over the health of the US economy and an AI trade that may have gotten ahead of itself.
Blue-Chip Company Debt Deluge Hits Record Two-Day Streak
After two days of record sales in the US blue-chip corporate debt market, another 11 companies are looking to sell bonds on Thursday, and demand for the securities is holding strong by key measures.
Voters Love No Tax on Tips, But Split Over $25,000 Housing Help
Former President Donald Trump’s proposals for targeted tax breaks are resonating with battleground-state voters, who overwhelmingly approve of his ideas to eliminate taxes on tipped income and retirement benefits.
Big Fed Rate Cuts Are Needed for the Young and the Jobless
Despite what you may have heard from the doomers, the US labor market is hardly falling apart at the seams. Layoffs are still extraordinarily low and a report Friday showed that the overall unemployment rate slipped to just 4.2%.
OPEC+ Kicks the Can Down a Very Uphill Road
OPEC+ is like a teabag – it only works in hot water. The late Robert Mabro, one of the savviest oil-market observers, liked to say the cartel only got the job done when it was under prolonged financial pain. To judge by its latest actions, OPEC+ has yet to realize it’s inside a warming kettle.
US Job Growth Comes Up Short in Possible Warning Sign for Fed
US hiring fell short of forecasts in August after downward revisions to the prior two months, a development likely to fuel ongoing debate over how much the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates.
Traders Add to Bets on Jumbo Fed Cuts as Data Fuels Bond Rally
US Treasuries gained and traders ramped up their bets that the Federal Reserve will opt for a supersized interest-rate cut this month after a mixed report on the US labor market.
BlackRock Dials Back Risk Across $131 Billion Model Portfolios
The world’s biggest asset manager is taking some chips off the table as markets enter a “new phase” of turbulence ahead of a Federal Reserve interest rate cutting cycle and the US presidential election.
S&P 500 Earnings Hinge on Trump, Harris Tax Plans, Goldman Says
Tax policies touted in the US presidential election could have a big impact on S&P 500 earnings, according to Goldman Sachs Inc. strategists.
Wall Street’s Big Bet on Jumbo Fed Cuts Hangs on US Jobs Report
The bold bet from the likes of Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. that the Federal Reserve will slash interest rates by a half-percentage-point this month faces its biggest test yet from Friday’s US jobs report.
American Drivers Signal a Top in Gasoline Demand
Labor Day weekend, marking the end of the US summer driving season, is typically the year’s last hurrah for gasoline producers. This year, the high-fives were reserved for drivers (and White House occupants): The average pre-long weekend pump price was down 13% from last year after gasoline refining margins collapsed in August. Pump prices have eased further this week.
Jane Street and Citadel Won’t Devour All of Wall Street’s Revenue
Jane Street Group LLC and Citadel Securities are on a tear. First-half revenue at the two predominantly electronic market makers grew about 80% compared with the first six months of 2023, according to Bloomberg News. That’s enough to make traditional Wall Street executives green with envy — but these upstarts aren’t going to completely devour the old guards’ lunch.
US Yield Curve Disinverts as Soft Labor Data Fuels Fed Cut Bets
A key segment of the US Treasury yield curve briefly turned positive as weaker-than-anticipated labor-market data bolstered bets on steep interest-rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
Would-Be Corporate Dip Buyers Armed With Fresh $107 Billion
Equity bulls looking for signs of relief after Tuesday’s stock rout may get a hand from a familiar friend: corporate America.
Bond Volatility in US Eclipses Europe as Recession Angst Rises
Bond traders are bracing for wilder market swings in the US than in Europe, as signs the world’s largest economy is faltering fuel bets on a jumbo interest-rate cut from the Federal Reserve.
Nvidia Rout Has Traders Watching $100-Share Level Amid ‘Vacuum’
The sharp selloff that wiped a record $279 billion off Nvidia Corp.’s market value on Tuesday has traders scouring charts for clues as to where the pain might end.
The Fed Is Containing Yuan Bears. That’s Ironic
After a bruising few years, Asian currencies have suddenly become fashionable again. But this enthusiasm is dependent on words and deeds far away. The direction of global markets is driven overwhelmingly by the US. For now, that means interest-rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
AI Culture Will Be Weirder Than You Can Imagine
There are two radically different visions of our AI future, and they depend on the cost of energy.
Cliff Asness Is ‘Old Man Whinging’ as Markets Get Less Efficient
Cliff Asness says he sounds like an “old man whinging,” but that’s not stopping him from writing 23 pages on his latest thesis: Financial markets these days aren’t what they were.
Shorts Are Circling Some of the AI Boom’s Biggest Question Marks
It’s the story of so many stock market manias: A transformative technology juices a few companies, a bunch of more questionable outfits follow in their wake, and Wall Street buys it all. Then time sorts out what’s real from fake.
Apple Rally Fueled by AI Promises Approaches a Crucial Test
Apple Inc.’s upcoming iPhone release has sent its stock price soaring because of promised artificial-intelligence features. Those gains appear vulnerable, at least in the short term, if history is any guide.
Wall Street Strategists Face Their Own Short Squeeze
Since the pandemic, Wall Street strategists have repeatedly underestimated the performance of the US stock market in their annual projections, leading to a mad dash to boost their outlooks in the back end of the year.
Yes, Let’s Reverse Brexit (a Bit) for Gen Z
What’s the point of Keir Starmer’s massive electoral majority if he remains hesitant to do something for young people on Brexit that’s not just compassionate and sensible, but also very popular?
BLS Data Slipups Are Becoming a Pattern
This can’t keep happening. With trust in government already ebbing, there’s yet one more reason to question the integrity of the office that distributes key data about jobs and prices. The problems at the Bureau of Labor Statistics need to be addressed quickly for the good of financial markets, the economy and public confidence in the state.
King Dollar's Softening Is Good News for Nearly Everyone
Has the tide turned decisively against King Dollar? A fall of around 5% in the greenback versus major currencies in the past two months, pushing the dollar index to a 13-month low, suggests its post-pandemic surge has meaningfully faltered.
Swap Bonds for Commodities in 60/40 Funds, BofA Strategists Say
Investors pursuing widely followed 60/40 strategies should consider swapping out bonds for commodities, according to strategists at Bank of America Corp.
Fed Favored Inflation Gauge’s Mild Gain Sets Stage for Rate Cut
The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of underlying US inflation rose at a mild pace and household spending picked up in July, reinforcing policymakers’ plan to start cutting interest rates next month.
What Jack Nicholson Knew About Forecasting Errors
Forecasting anything, let alone something as complicated as the economy, is fraught. Stretches of decent growth and low inflation that look, in retrospect, like happy days, can be upended by unforeseen events. Covid, the descent into recession and the sharp rebound are just a few examples. Errors, unfortunately, are an unavoidable part of trying to map the future.
Nvidia Investors Must Remember — Hardware Is Hard
There’s an adage in Silicon Valley: Hardware is hard. And expensive. And time-consuming. That’s the case even when you’re a company that’s really good at it — like Nvidia Corp., whose market value has grown to $3 trillion thanks to its extraordinary prowess in the trickiest hardware challenge today: building cutting-edge chips for artificial intelligence.
Nvidia Discusses Joining OpenAI’s Latest Funding Round
Nvidia Corp., the world’s biggest chipmaker, has discussed joining a funding round for OpenAI that would value the artificial intelligence startup at more than $100 billion, according to people familiar with the matter.
One-Day-Only Funds Are Jack Bogle’s Nightmare Brought to Life
The late Jack Bogle — father of the first index fund — famously loathed their exchange-traded offspring, warning that it only incentivize speculative trading among “fruitcakes, nut cases and lunatic fringe.” Fast forward to 2024, and critics warn a new generation of ETFs are designed to do exactly that.
The Fed Is No Longer the Only Game in Town
Last week’s meeting of central bankers in Jackson Hole was a kind of victory lap for the Fed. It may have also marked the peak of its power.
Fed Rate Cuts Are No Magic Fix for Anemic Hiring
Chair Jerome Powell cemented a shift in focus from inflation to employment last week when he said that the Federal Reserve does not seek a further cooling in the labor market. It was a welcome message for those concerned about an economic slowdown. But there are reasons to expect today’s sluggish hiring environment to persist at least into early next year, frustrating job seekers and policymakers alike.
Treasury Yields Rise After Resilient Data Suggests Measured Fed
US Treasury yields edged higher after resilient economic reports prompted traders to slightly trim their expectations for the scope of Federal Reserve easing this year.
Nvidia Pays Price of Lofty Expectations, Stoking Fear for Rivals
Nvidia Corp.’s earnings report needed to be perfect for a stock that’s added nearly $2 trillion in market value in the past year. In the end, a broad beat still sparked a selloff.
With AI Story Intact and Rate Cuts Imminent, Markets Turn Higher
Nvidia Corp.’s earnings report was impressive by virtually any metric — except its own recent history.
Nvidia Tumbles After Disappointing Forecast, Blackwell Chip Snags
Nvidia Corp. failed to live up to investor hopes with its latest results on Wednesday, delivering an underwhelming forecast and news of production snags with its much-awaited Blackwell chips.
Big Tech Dominance Is Forcing Index Superpowers to Rethink Rules
The Big Tech boom is causing headaches for all-powerful index providers on Wall Street, who can send billions of benchmark-tracking dollars on the move with just a stroke of the pen.
Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Tops $1 Trillion in Market Value
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. became the first US company outside of the tech sector to surpass $1 trillion in market value.
Why the Fed Shouldn’t Stop Worrying About Inflation
At the recent central-bank symposium at Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell delivered a widely expected message on interest rates: “The time has come for policy to adjust.” He all but confirmed that the Fed would cut rates by at least a quarter-point when its policymakers next meet in September.
Nvidia’s Earnings Will Test the S&P 500’s $4 Trillion Recovery
The almost $3 trillion rally in Nvidia Corp. shares over the roughly two years since ChatGPT’s unveiling has virtually rewired the US stock market, giving the artificial intelligence chipmaking giant an outsized influence on a bevy of equity indexes.
Fed Embraces Gradualism, a Familiar Policy for Uncertain Times
With a September interest-rate cut all but certain and attention turning to the pace of future reductions, Federal Reserve officials are coalescing around a gradual approach to the last mile of their inflation fight.
NFL Owners Set to Vote on Letting Private Equity Invest in Teams
NFL owners are set to vote on selling stakes in their franchises to private equity, potentially joining a shift by professional sports leagues to attract institutional investors.
California’s EV Dreams Face an Awkward Reality
California wants some insurance against pump prices. But in proposing that oil companies there hold a minimum stockpile of fuels, the state is also, and less obviously, seeking insurance against the complications of its own energy policies. In seeking to kill off gasoline demand but ensure suppliers stay engaged for years to come, the state is confronting one of the central challenges of the energy transition.
When Did the Great Stagnation Actually Begin?
“What happened in 1971?” It is one of the most important and debated questions in US economic history, and new research suggests that the answer may be lurking a few decades earlier — in 1948, to be precise.
Global Money Piles Into Indonesia as Fed Easing Cycle Approaches
Global money has flooded into Indonesia’s financial markets this month, signaling the country’s assets have quickly become a preferred investment destination as the US Federal Reserve’s easing cycle nears.
‘T-Bill and Chill’ Is a Hard Habit for Investors to Break
It’s been the ultimate no-brainer for more than a year: Park your money in super-safe Treasury bills, earn yields of more than 5%, rinse and repeat. Or as billionaire bond investor Jeffrey Gundlach put it last October, “T-bill and chill.”
Nvidia to Keep Surfing Tech Spending Wave: Earnings Week Ahead
Expectations heading into Nvidia Corp.’s Wednesday report are high, with analysts anticipating another strong consensus beat that could prompt the chipmaker to raise its profit guidance.
Powell Ignored the Elephant in the Fed’s Jackson Hole Lodge Jonathan Levin
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday removed all doubt that interest rate cuts are just around the corner. “The time has come for policy to adjust,” he said at his much-hyped annual speech in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, setting off a knee-jerk rally in stocks and bonds.
AI Giants Can Learn a Thing or Two From Mark Zuckerberg
Mark Zuckerberg may have a history of copying of others’ ideas, but when it comes to navigating the generative AI hype cycle, he’s the one forging a smarter path.
Fed Criticism Is Cheap, and It’s Mostly Mistaken
I have listened to people bellyache about the Federal Reserve my entire adult life: Alan Greenspan lowered interest rates too much after the dot-com crash in 2000. Ben Bernanke printed too much money to bail out banks during the 2008 financial crisis.
Trump’s ‘Made in USA’ Bitcoin Threatens China Juggernaut Bitmain’s Reign
For years, a Chinese company has dominated one of the most lucrative corners of the cryptocurrency universe. Rising political tensions, and the prospect of Donald Trump retaking the White House, pose an unprecedented threat to that reign.
Dollar Slumps After Powell Touts Case for Interest-Rate Cuts
The dollar plunged after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirmed expectations that the central bank will cut interest rates next month, sparking a rally in the currencies of major global peers.
‘It’s Just Atrocious’: Jobs Snafu Stokes Fury on Wall Street
There’s no shortage of market-moving events on the docket to keep Wall Street busy right now.
Tesla’s Steep Price Cuts Help Get the Used EV Market Humming
Since early last year, the cars rolling off Tesla Inc.’s California assembly lines have been selling for steadily lower prices. This has had a happy knock-on effect on a car lot just across the freeway from the company’s San Francisco Bay area factory.
Countries Risk Overestimating Debt Capacity, Jackson Hole Paper Shows
Governments in the US and other developed countries, thanks to their central banks, may be deluded over how much debt they can pile up without significantly raising their costs to borrow.
Oaktree Plans to Seek Partner for 3,800 Home Project in Dublin
An Oaktree Capital Management LP venture plans to seek an equity partner to help develop a Dublin project that’s expected to be valued at billions of euro when it’s completed, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
Treasuries Rally as Powell Locks in Bets on a September Rate Cut
Treasuries rallied after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole cemented expectations that the central bank will cut interest rates next month.
Powell Says ‘Time Has Come’ for Fed to Cut Interest Rates
Chair Jerome Powell said the time has come for the Federal Reserve to cut its key policy rate, affirming expectations that officials will begin lowering borrowing costs next month and making clear his intention to prevent further cooling in the labor market.
Private Credit Loses Ground in Fight for Family Office Money
It’s the hottest trade on Wall Street. Everywhere you turn, money managers have upped their investments in private credit, helping the asset class balloon into a $1.7 trillion industry. But there’s one group where interest appears to already be waning — the family office.
Economists See Faster Labor Cooling, Steeper Fed Cuts in Survey
A labor market softening more so than previously thought should spur faster and steeper interest-rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, according to the latest Bloomberg monthly survey of economists.
Is Elon Musk the Bankers’ Moby Dick? Not Yet
Call me Ishmael. The biggest question about an investment banking client like Elon Musk is whether he turns out to be a Moby Dick.
Apple and Alphabet’s Freakish Earnings Broke This Market Barometer
One of the most widely followed gauges of the stock market, for decades a reliable indicator of future returns, has led investors astray in recent years. Its misdirection comes down to the freakish earnings growth of big technology companies such as Apple Inc. and Alphabet Inc.
Meta Shares Are Flying High as Zuckerberg Sells His AI Vision
Technology giants that want to spend big on artificial intelligence and stay in the good graces of investors should take a page out of Meta Platforms Inc.’s playbook.
EM Stocks Getting Cheaper as Investors Cool to Analyst Optimism
Emerging-market stocks are trading at the steepest discount to US equities since the Covid-19 panic in March 2020 as skittish investors look elsewhere for growth opportunities.
Euro Rally Risks Being Abruptly Cut Short by Jerome Powell
The euro’s August gains have been relentless, taking it to a one year high against the dollar on Wednesday, but a cautious tone from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday could turn that momentum around.
Powell Confronts Policy Crossroads With All Eyes on Jackson Hole
Chair Jerome Powell will usher in the next chapter in the Federal Reserve’s inflation battle on Friday, when he’s expected to set the table for an interest-rate cut while reassuring investors that policymakers can stave off a sharp economic slowdown.
Homes Will Be Affordable Again – Just Not Anytime Soon
The worst of the housing affordability crisis is behind us. But the past two years have shown that housing isn’t a bubble that is likely to pop overnight, nor can prices be forced lower in the short term with government intervention. Rising incomes, falling mortgage rates, more construction and thoughtful policy will slowly chip away at the affordability problem.
Bond Traders Amassing Historic Level of Risk on Rate-Cut Bets
Bond traders are taking on a record amount of risk as they bet big on a Treasury market rally fueled by expectations the Federal Reserve will embark on its first interest-rate cut in more than four years.
Nvidia Eyes Return to Record as AI Spending Bonanza Continues
With questions swirling around Federal Reserve policy, the state of the economy and the US presidential race, at least one thing seems clear on Wall Street: spending on artificial intelligence remains a central priority.
Asset Managers Must Invest in Private Markets Now, Bain Says
A wide variety of asset managers need to look at investing in private markets if they want to avoid wipe-out, while revamping their entire strategies to ride the wave, according to Bain & Co.
Fed Confronts Up to a Million US Jobs Vanishing in Revision
US job growth in the year through March was likely far less robust than initially estimated, which risks fueling concerns that the Federal Reserve is falling further behind the curve to lower interest rates.
Citi Says Hedge Funds Are Using Dollars for New Carry Trades
Citigroup Inc. says the carry trade is back, but with a key difference: hedge funds are borrowing US dollars rather than the yen for their wagers on emerging markets.
Amazon’s AI Spending Plans Keep Stock From Joining Tech Rebound
More than any of the megacap technology stocks, Amazon.com Inc.’s big spending ways are coming at the expense of profits, and its shares are being punished as a result.
Welcome to the End of the Biggest Commodity Boom
Oil, copper, soybeans and a handful of others monopolized the attention — but of all commodities, the humble lump of iron ore benefited the most from the Chinese economic boom of the last 25 years.
JPMorgan, Aviva Shrug Off EM Rout on Bet for Soft US Landing
Investors including JPMorgan Asset Management, M&G Investments and Aviva Investors say they seized on the retreat in riskier assets at the start of the month to bolster their holdings of emerging-market bonds.
As Tech Stocks Rebound, High Hedging Costs Indicate Skepticism
The recent rebound in US tech stocks isn’t convincing options traders just yet.
The Stakes Are High for Powell and the Fed at Jackson Hole
This year’s presentation by Chair Jerome Powell is eagerly awaited due to the economic fluidity and financial volatility that the US has been experiencing, and its spillovers to the rest of the world.
How the Treasury Is More Powerful Than the Fed
Decisions made by the Treasury get much less attention than those made by the Federal Reserve, but they can be even more consequential for interest rates — and the entire US economy.
Global Bond Traders Are Seeking Protection From Inflation Threat
Just as bond traders grow more assured that inflation is finally under control, a camp of investors is quietly building up protection against the risk of a future spike in prices.
Texas Instruments Wins $4.6 Billion in Chips Act Grants, Loans
Texas Instruments Inc. is set to receive $1.6 billion in Chips Act grants and $3 billion in loans, the Biden administration announced Friday, marking the latest major award from a program designed to boost American semiconductor manufacturing.
Tech Rally Propels Emerging Stocks to Best Week in Four Months
Emerging-market stocks rallied on Friday, driven by tech companies in Asia, following US data which boosted investor optimism that the world’s biggest economy will avoid a recession.
Oil’s AI Hedge Works, Just Don’t Mention a Recession
Earlier this year, around the time Nvidia Corp.’s market cap eclipsed that of the entire S&P 500 energy sector, I wrote about whether oil and gas stocks might offer a decent hedge when AI-fever breaks. The past several weeks have offered a test.
New US Home Construction Falls to Slowest Pace Since May 2020
New-home construction in the US fell in July to the lowest level since the aftermath of the pandemic as builders respond to weak demand that’s keeping inventory levels high.
We Need to Talk About Taxes
At the end of next year, most of the provisions of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 are set to expire. If nothing is done, taxes will go up. Both presidential contenders say they won’t let this happen and have promised to extend many or most of the law’s changes.
BlackRock Says Blended Finance at ‘Turning Point’ as Deals Grow
BlackRock Inc. says the market for blended finance has now reached a “turning point,” as it targets growth in deals that combine private and public funding.
Wall Street Just Got Its Most Volatile ETF as Risky Bets Boom
In a part of the US market for exchange-traded funds that has become known for increasingly risky products, a new offering has debuted that stands out in the crowd.
Carry Trade That Blew Up Markets Is Attracting Hedge Funds Again
A popular yen-centered carry trade that blew up spectacularly two weeks ago is staging a comeback.
Five Big Questions for the Fed at Jackson Hole
When US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks at next week’s annual economic conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, people will be listening intently for any hint about what the central bank will do with interest rates at its September policy making meeting.
Walmart Shoppers Explain State of the US Economy
If rising layoffs and weakening consumption are going to snowball into a US recession at some point, my interpretation is that the mass of macroeconomic ice crystals is still only about the size of a marble.
Alphabet Shares Face Months of Uncertainty on New Breakup Risk
Alphabet Inc. investors are facing a long period of uncertainty as they grapple with a scenario they previously saw as unlikely: a possible breakup of Google.
Soros, Druckenmiller Pared Megacap Holdings Ahead of Summer Rout
George Soros and Stanley Druckenmiller’s investment firms trimmed their holdings in “Magnificent Seven” stocks before this year’s ebullient run-up in technology companies gave way to a major downturn in mid-July.
Is Private Equity a Threat? We Need a Better Answer
Is private equity a problem? To what extent could this class of investment funds, which manages almost $9 trillion worldwide on behalf of everyone from wealthy individuals to California teachers, cause or propagate the next financial crisis?
The Market May Be Too Aggressive on Fed Rate Cuts
The inflation numbers this week — both for producer and consumer prices — have served to reassure markets in two distinct ways: confirming continued progress in the battle against high price increases and supporting the ongoing shift in the Federal Reserve’s focus from its inflation mandate to its employment mandate.
Buffett’s Apple Sale Brings Value Back to Quality Investing
Warren Buffett’s longtime business partner Charlie Munger brought quality to value investing. Now Buffett is bringing value to quality investing.
Bond Traders Trim Bets on Fed Rate Cuts After Inflation Data
Bond investors pared back their expectations for Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts slightly as data showed US inflation ebbed further in July, reinforcing the case for a quarter-point reduction next month.
Receding AI Stock Euphoria Has Bulls Seeing Some Opportunities
Skeptics had long warned that artificial intelligence-related stocks were in a bubble. Now that some of the froth has come off, bulls see an opportunity.
US Considers a Rare Antitrust Move: Breaking Up Google
A bid to break up Alphabet Inc.’s Google is one of the options being considered by the Justice Department after a landmark court ruling found that the company monopolized the online search market, according to people with knowledge of the deliberations.
UBS’ Yard Sale Is the Star of Its Earnings Show
A year after UBS Group AG completed its emergency takeover of failing rival Credit Suisse, the project is faring better than the Swiss bank dared hope. It’s cut unwanted assets, people and costs faster than it promised — enabling it to deliver forecast-beating profits so far in 2024.
A Break in the Weather: Good News From the World’s Farms
The headlines suggest catastrophe for the global food supply: Biblical heatwaves, floods, storms and wildfires. And yet, in the world’s breadbaskets, the weather has been fair this growing season — so good that we’re facing an oversupply of key agricultural commodities and thus much lower prices than in 2022 and 2023.
There’s Something Fishy About Insiders’ ‘Other’ Trades
Regulators and investors have always had a keen interest in the trades that corporates executives and board members make in their companies’ own shares. The government has to look out for the integrity of financial markets, of course, while investors are eager to ride insiders’ coattails. Unfortunately, it’s never been easy to read the insider tea leaves.
Dimon Says He’s Skeptical Inflation Will Return to Fed’s 2% Target
JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon said he’s skeptical that inflation will return to the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, citing risks including deficit spending and “remilitarization of the world.”
US Producer Prices Rise Less Than Forecast, Dragged by Services
US producer prices rose in July by less than forecast, reflecting the first decline in services costs this year amid an ongoing moderation in inflationary pressures.
How Big Is the Yen Carry Trade, Really?
When two popular trades, such as buying US big tech stocks and selling the Japanese yen, are unraveling at the same time, investors naturally think they are somehow related.
Interest-Rate Cuts Rely on Inconvenient Truths About Inflation
The tricky last yards of closing in on — and then maintaining — the hallowed 2% inflation target that all the major central banks adhere to requires a change of tactics. Over the past two years, a mantra of economic data-dependency has been drummed into us, keeping interest rates higher for longer.
Emerging Stocks, Currencies Diverge as Markets Price Fed Easing
The benchmark indexes for emerging-market equities and currencies, respectively, moved in opposite directions Monday, deepening a trend that emerged last week, when their short-term correlation was interrupted for the first time in 21 years.
Apple and Alphabet’s Freakish Earnings Broke This Market Barometer
One of the most widely followed gauges of the stock market, for decades a reliable indicator of future returns, has led investors astray in recent years. Its misdirection comes down to the freakish earnings growth of big technology companies such as Apple Inc. and Alphabet Inc. But there’s a way to revamp this market barometer as worries about elevated expectations and prices grow.
The Fed Is Too Late to Save the Housing Market This Year
The recent decline in mortgage rates on stronger evidence that the Federal Reserve is poised to ease policy has fueled hopes of better times ahead for companies tied to the housing market. That’s likely true, but the evidence of the past few weeks suggests it’s already too late for a revival this year.
Private Credit Enters Risky Terrain With Huge Bets on Consumers
First the private credit firms came for the banking industry’s lucrative corporate loan business. Now they’re grabbing a chunk of their consumer-lending work. The pressing question for this thriving multi-trillion dollar industry is whether it has timed its latest incursion badly.
Big Tech, Health-Care and High-Yield Stocks Are Dip-Buying Targets
A dizzying start to August, which saw US stocks whiplashed by economic jitters, lackluster earnings and the unwinding of the global yen carry trade, has left Wall Street searching for corners of the market that may have been unfairly punished.
Emerging-Market Currencies Gain, Set for Best Week of 2024
Emerging-market currencies are set to clock their biggest weekly gains of 2024, led by a rise in Brazil’s real on expectations its central bank could raise interest rates later this year.
With US Chips Act Money Mostly Divvied Up, the Real Test Begins
The Biden administration is nearly finished divvying up $39 billion in grants under the Chips and Science Act, the landmark bipartisan legislation aimed at revitalizing the domestic semiconductor industry. The bigger test still lies ahead.
Buffett’s Apple Share Dump Is Set to Reshape Major Stock Gauges
Warren Buffett’s sudden sale of a huge pile of Apple Inc. shares has come with a surprise silver lining for investors in the iPhone maker: Its influence in major stock indexes is set to be fully unleashed.
The S&P Always Looks Good Next to European Stocks
When markets gyrated at the turn of the month, US and Japanese stocks had the cushion of an earlier surge to fall back on. In Europe, the rout hit share prices that had been weakening since May. An earnings season dominated by pessimism from many of the region’s bosses has vindicated investors’ caution.
Fed Seen Rejecting Calls for Jumbo Rate Cut in Economist Survey
A large majority of economists surveyed see only a quarter-point decrease in interest rates coming in September — a finding that’s at odds with calls from some large Wall Street banks for a jumbo cut at the next meeting.
Investor Behind Record $2.7 Billion Bond Bet Says Recession Near
Back in June, a mystery investor made a record wager on long-dated Treasuries, creating waves in the ETF market where trading pros seek clues about sentiment on Wall Street. Now the firm behind that bet has revealed itself, and says its recession call is finally coming to fruition.
Nvidia Value Takes $900 Billion Hit Even as AI Spending Ramps Up
On the surface, Nvidia Corp.’s $900 billion selloff since its June record would suggest the artificial intelligence spending boom that propelled it there is cooling. But the undercurrents tell a far less dire story.
Steven Mnuchin Says It’s Time to Kill the New Treasury Bond He Created
It only takes a quick glance at the US bond curve to realize something is off. One Treasury security — the 20-year — is detached from the rest of the market. It hovers at yields that are far higher than those on the bonds surrounding it — the 10-year and the 30-year.
Gig Economy Emerges as a Bright Spot Amid Gloomy Tech Earnings
It has been a tough earnings season for the technology industry, and markets more broadly.
How Much Should Stocks Correct? Less Than You May Think
The stock selloff of the past month is forcing investors to think about whether the market remains too high, and if so, how far it might fall.
The Fed’s Wild Ride Has Just Begun
Has the US Federal Reserve gone too far in its fight against inflation, tipping the world’s largest economy into a damaging recession?
Beware the Bombs Baked Into Modern Stock Markets
Investor complacency is often blamed when rising stock markets ignore potentially unsettling data for weeks and then viciously sell off. But this very human-sounding characteristic mostly isn’t in the minds of traders: It’s baked into the structure of modern investment strategies.
Corporate America Stampedes Into Debt as Sales Pass $1 Trillion
Corporate borrowers are selling investment-grade bonds at the fastest clip since 2020 as companies take advantage of lower yields to issue debt before the November election.
The Fed Should Resist Placating Markets
Family Feud, a popular game show when I was growing up, would ask contestants to guess how a group of people had answered a specific question. It served as a regular and early reminder for me of the importance of supplementing one’s thinking with external perspectives.
A Recession Wouldn’t Be So Bad This Time
Turmoil in the markets has renewed fears that the US did not escape history after all, that a hard landing — a recession — is coming. Whether this is all a blip from a rising yen or a justified reaction to an actual weakening of the US economy is still unknowable.
America’s Debt Crisis Is Getting Too Big to Solve
Fiscal conservatism has more or less vanished from America’s political landscape. Government borrowing, despite the strong economy, continues to push public debt to record levels – and the presidential contenders and their parties say scarcely a word about it.
Big Tech Traders Struggle to Find Reasons to Buy This Dip
For months investors have faced a dilemma — pay through the nose for technology giants trading at eye-watering multiples, or wait for a cheaper entry point and risk missing out on the year’s biggest bull run.
Goldman Says Buying S&P After 5% Drop Is Usually Profitable
Buying US stocks after a slump of the scale witnessed over the past month has usually been profitable, according to a Goldman Sachs Group Inc. analysis of four decades of data.
Treasury Rally Ignites Debate on How Fast Fed Needs to Cut
A major rally in the $27 trillion Treasury market is laying bare anxiety that the US economy is sliding into recession and the Federal Reserve will need to start aggressively cutting interest rates.
The Fed Should Cut Rates Swiftly — Recession or Not
Friday’s weaker-than-expected jobs report has sparked a robust debate about whether the economy is sliding into recession or whether the rise in the unemployment rate in July was due to a continuing post-pandemic normalization of the labor market.
Buffett's $277 Billion Cash Hoard After Selling Apple Is a Warning
Warren Buffett has been selling a lot of stock, and that revelation is inducing his many admirers to follow suit. His Omaha, Nebraska-based conglomerate, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., reported Saturday that it reduced several positions and slashed its stake in top-holding Apple Inc., a sign to some in markets that the “Oracle of Omaha” was bracing for deep stock-market declines.
Nasdaq 100 Futures Indicate Gauge’s Worst Open in Four Years
The Nasdaq 100 is set for its biggest opening drop in more than four years, with investors bracing for days of volatility amid rising concerns over a slowing US economy and overheated gains in the tech sector.
Global Bond Rally Accelerates as Market Bets on Big Rate Cuts
Global bonds rallied as traders bet the Federal Reserve and fellow central banks will turn more aggressive in cutting interest rates amid mounting concern that economic growth is faltering at a faster pace than expected just weeks ago.
Wall Street’s Bears Warn on Risks to Stocks From Slowing Economy
The US stock plunge is vindicating some of Wall Street’s most prominent bears, who are doubling down with warnings about risks from an economic slowdown.
An Emergency Fed Rate Cut Would Be A Mistake
With stock markets plunging around the world, traders are talking up the prospect of an emergency interest-rate cut from the Federal Reserve after the US central bank passed up the opportunity to ease policy last week. Not only is this highly unlikely, it would be counterproductive.
Bitcoin Plunges, Ether Has Worst Drop Since 2021 as Crypto Sinks
Cryptocurrencies reeled from a bout of risk aversion in global markets on Monday, at one point sending Bitcoin down more than 16% and saddling second-ranked Ether with the steepest fall since 2021.
Bezos’ Wealth Drops by $21 Billion as Amazon Sinks on AI Fears
Jeff Bezos’ wealth slumped by more than $21 billion after Amazon.com Inc. said it planned to continue spending big on artificial intelligence even at the expense of short-term profits.
Munis Extend Rally as Jobs Miss Cements Path to Fed Rate Cut
Municipal bonds extended their rally on Friday after a lackluster jobs number cemented expectations that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates by the end of its next meeting in September.
JPMorgan, Citi See Fed Dealing Two Half-Point Rate Cuts in 2024
Wall Street banks are calling for aggressive interest-rate cuts by the Federal Reserve based on the latest evidence that the labor market is cooling.
Jobs Report Should Put a Jumbo Fed Rate Cut on the Table
In markets and economics, you sometimes have to hold two thoughts in your head simultaneously — an important lesson on a day in which the US unemployment rate unexpectedly surged to its highest in nearly three years.
Even Convertible Arbitrageurs Are Abandoning China
Global investors are gobbling up bonds that can be turned into stocks, feeling good about the prospects and return potentials of smaller companies.
A $1 Trillion Time Bomb Is Ticking in the Housing Market
Cassandras seldom get opportunities to be right about two disasters. Even the original Cassandra scored no notable victories after predicting the fall of Troy. But when a seer who successfully called one catastrophe warns of another coming, you might want to listen.
Big Tech Fails to Convince Wall Street That AI Is Paying Off
Amazon.com Inc., Microsoft Corp. and Alphabet Inc. had one job heading into this earnings season: show that the billions of dollars they’ve each sunk into the infrastructure propelling the artificial intelligence boom is translating into real sales.
Bonds Surge After Soft Jobs Data Raises Pressure on Fed to Cut
The bond-market rally escalated Friday after a report showed that job growth slowed sharply last month, further stoking speculation that the Federal Reserve will start aggressively cutting interest rates to keep the economy from stalling.
Nasdaq 100 Is in Correction Territory With AI Darlings Sinking
The violent rotation from Big Tech plunged the Nasdaq 100 Index into correction territory, wiping out more than $2 trillion in value in just over three weeks, as traders unwound bets that had been minting money for over a year.
Power Plants’ 833% Windfall May Unleash a Political Firestorm
A fifth of Americans are on the hook for an 833% jump in the cost to ensure the lights stay on. The folks being paid that premium, mostly electricity generators in this instance, face that most welcome of problems: What to do with a windfall.
Roubini Confuses Yellen’s Pragmatism for Treasury Activism
Economists Stephen Miran and Nouriel Roubini are making waves by suggesting in a paper published last week that the Treasury Department has actively engineered easier financial conditions by increasing the issuance of short-term bills and, consequently, reducing the share of longer-term notes and bonds, thereby keeping yields lower than they would otherwise be.
Fed on Course for September Rate Cut as Risks to Job Market Grow
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled central bank officials are on course to cut interest rates in September unless inflation progress stalls, citing risks of further labor-market weakening.
Nvidia Adds Record $329 Billion in Value as Volatility Soars
Nvidia Corp.’s wild ride this week is headed for the record books.
US Job Market’s Pandemic Unwind Puts Recession Signals to Test
Predicting a labor-market downturn was never an easy task. But unique post-pandemic dynamics are making it even harder for economists to determine whether a recent uptick in the unemployment rate is signaling trouble ahead.
US Hiring and Wage Growth Both Slowed in ADP July Data
US companies added the fewest number of workers since the start of the year and wage growth slowed, consistent with signs of a softer labor demand.
Pension Funds Are Hooked on Private Equity, No Matter the Risks
Private equity has been in the news frequently in the last few weeks, and not in a good way.
Trump Likes the Idea of a Federal Bitcoin Reserve. Don’t Laugh
Which financial assets a central bank should buy and sell is hardly a novel question. Historically, the US Federal Reserve has focused on shorter-term Treasury securities, but quantitative easing had the Fed buying mortgage securities and quality commercial paper in significant quantities. More generally, central banks often hold gold and foreign currencies.
US Plans to Hold Note, Bond Sales Steady for ‘Several Quarters’
The US Treasury left its quarterly issuance of longer-term debt unchanged for the second straight time, and maintained its guidance that it doesn’t expect to need increasing issuance of notes and bonds for “several quarters.”
History Favors Stock and Bond Bulls Alike When the FOMC Meets
History is on the side of stock and bond bulls as Federal Reserve officials kick off a two-day policy meeting.
Ackman-Backed Tech Founder Tries to Fulfill His ‘Berkshire 2.0’ Promise
Canadian entrepreneur Andrew Wilkinson’s early decision to ditch a career as a journalist and teach himself web design has proved lucrative, making him the majority owner of a technology investment firm worth more than $300 million.
Will Investors Get Good AI News This Week? Don’t Bet on It
Unfortunately, investors have little else to work with given the table scraps of useful data being offered by the tech giants. None of the top companies have yet adequately spelled out the financial performance of AI adoption on their income statements.
Even Boom Economies Can Use a Break. Ask South Korea
For South Korea’s economy, it’s not quite a case of first in, first out. But it could be close: Despite some bullish growth forecasts, interest-rate cuts are coming.
Fed’s First Cut Shouldn’t Tie It Down
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell recently testified that he’d like to see more good news on inflation before cutting interest rates. He got what he asked for.
Big Business Signals to Fed It’s Either Rate Cuts or Job Cuts
When the Federal Reserve signals the likely path of monetary policy to investors this week, including an anticipated start to interest rate cuts in September, it can no longer be complacent about the labor market.
Goldman Sachs Makes Bigger Bet on $129 Billion Muni ETF Market
Goldman Sachs Asset Management is launching four new municipal-bond exchange-traded funds, adding to the $129 billion corner of the state and local government debt market.
Google’s $23 Billion Snub From Wiz Will Sting Them Both
Money talks, but even $23 billion didn’t convince the founders of Wiz Inc. to sell to Alphabet Inc.
Subsidize Solar and Wind Power, Not EVs
Like it or not, the world is going to fall far short of meeting its current goals for reducing carbon emissions.
Want Good Value on a Home? Check Out San Francisco
San Francisco has been the subject of a lot of negative press over the past several years. It was hit hard by the pandemic exodus from cities, the shift to work from home that emptied offices, the crime and homelessness that marred its national reputation, and pledges by corporate leaders such as Elon Musk to relocate their company headquarters elsewhere.
Jamie Dimon’s Crack at Shadowy Proxy Firms Is Resonating
Pressure is again mounting on the proxy advisory firms that recommend how investors should vote on executive pay and other corporate matters. Regulators need to remember who should be prioritized here — investors, not company management.
Treasuries Lead Global Bond Rally as Traders Bet Cuts Are Near
US bonds rallied sharply as signs of a slowing economy and a recent stock-market rout fueled calls for quicker interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, further juicing bets on a steeper yield curve.
Markets Tear Up the Popular Trades That Reached ‘Stupid Levels’
The assumptions that have driven this year’s global financial markets are being rapidly rethought.
Bitcoin, Ether Slide as Risk Aversion Spreads to Crypto Market
Ether, the second-largest token, paced a drop in digital assets following a slump in equities that spread unease in global markets.
$1 Trillion Rout Hits Nasdaq 100 Over AI Jitters in Worst Day Since 2022
Investors soured on the promise of artificial intelligence Wednesday, sparking a $1 trillion rout in the Nasdaq 100 Index as questions swirled over just how long it will take for the substantial investments in the technology to pay off.
The Fed May Be Two Meetings Away From a Policy Mistake
The US inflation rate, which had surged to over 9% two years ago, is now around 3%. Based on current trends, it should settle at 2.5%-3%, a range that most economists would deem consistent with financial stability, including a firm anchoring of inflationary expectations.
Two-Year Treasuries See Record Investor Demand at Auction
Investors flocked to the US Treasury’s monthly sale of two-year notes in a powerful demonstration of faith in Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts beginning this year.
US Spot-Ether ETFs Exceed $100 Million Net Inflow in Debut
US exchange-traded funds investing directly in Ether achieved overall net inflows of $107 million on their first day of trading in launches that will provide a window onto mainstream crypto demand outside of Bitcoin.
I Changed My Mind. The Fed Needs to Cut Rates Now
I’ve long been in the “higher for longer” camp, insisting that the US Federal Reserve must hold short-term interest rates at the current level or higher to get inflation under control.
Will We Ever Learn to Avoid Bubbles?
When he took his first space walk, NASA astronaut Reid Wiseman had a revelation. “I used to think I was scared of heights,” he said. “Now I know I was just scared of gravity.”
SEC Seen Approving Spot-Ether ETFs in Latest Crypto Milestone
Regulators approved the first US exchange-traded funds investing directly in Ether, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency, according to filings and statements from asset managers.
Jamie Dimon’s Handpicked Wall Street Duo Hunts More Market Share
One was in the car with her family, the other had his phone off, when Jamie Dimon began dialing their numbers on a Saturday in January with a question: Could they run a Wall Street operation bigger than Goldman Sachs?
Alphabet Results to Set Tone for Big Tech on Advertising, Cloud
All eyes are on Alphabet Inc.’s earnings report to set the tone for how megacap technology companies fared in the second quarter.
Private Equity Is Illiquid by Design. Why Worry About It?
A recent Financial Times opinion piece laid out how illiquidity makes private equity hazardous for investors. The Bank of England’s Nathanaël Benjamin warns private equity illiquidity is a systemic risk to the financial system.
I Gave Up a 2.6% Mortgage to Upgrade. Will I Regret It?
The mortgage lock-in effect ended in the Levin household shortly before my in-laws arrived from Mexico to celebrate my daughter’s birthday at our home in the Miami area. As usual, my wife and I had no place to put them, and they had to get a room at a Courtyard Marriott.
Berkshire Hathaway Sells More of BYD, Bringing Stake Below 5%
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. has sold off another block of BYD Co. shares, taking its stake in one of the world’s biggest carmakers to under 5% from more than 20% two years ago.
Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Sees US Small Cap Rally Losing Steam
The recent out-performance of US small-caps is facing technical resistance and lacks fundamental drivers to carry on for a longer period of time, according to Morgan Stanley’s chief US equity strategist Mike Wilson.
American Farmers’ Next Hot Commodity Is Canola for Biofuels
Canola oil — invented in Canada 50 years ago as a healthier, shelf-stable cooking fat — may soon venture beyond the world’s kitchen cupboards to a spot in the airways.
The Magnificent Seven Panic Is Over and We Survived
For the better part of 2024, market commentators have bemoaned the fact that a few mega-capitalization stocks, dubbed the Magnificent Seven, appeared to be carrying the entire US market.
Flailing Stock Market to Get a Lifeline From Earnings, Survey Shows
Despite the recent stock market slump that has some Wall Street pros bracing for a summer correction, respondents to Bloomberg’s Markets Live Pulse survey expect the latest round of corporate earnings to reinvigorate the S&P 500 Index.
Modi Put Up Tariff Walls. Now He Must Bring Them Down
Now that a jobs crisis is weakening his hold on power, how serious is Prime Minister Narendra Modi about reviving India’s factories? We will know in next week’s budget, a chance to remedy a disastrous lurch toward protectionism.
The Rice Price Scare is Over — Let’s Learn the Lessons
Wheat and corn are the most actively traded grains in financial markets. But they can’t damage the global economy like rice. The staple for half the world is largely ignored by Wall Street, but it’s the one commodity that really matters for global food security.
Netflix Adds 8 Million Customers, Extending Lead Over Rivals
Netflix Inc. extended its lead over the streaming competition, adding 8.05 million customers in the second quarter and raising estimates for annual sales and profit margins.
Amex Says It’s Going on Marketing Spree as Billings Growth Slows
American Express Co. warned it’s planning to increase spending on marketing in the coming months after billings growth on the payments giant’s credit cards slowed in the second quarter.
Economists Trim US Inflation Forecasts, Paving Way for Fed Cut
Economists trimmed their US inflation projections through the first half of 2025 and see a slightly higher unemployment rate, a combination they expect will encourage the Federal Reserve to start lowering interest rates.
Hedge Funds Have an Election Plan: Sell the Calm, Buy the Chaos
How’s this for an election trade? Sell your winners now so you have cash on hand this fall to do some aggressive buying as the political jockeying heats up.
Britain Has a $5 Billion Bitcoin Stash. Reeves Can Unleash It
Rachel Reeves is going to need some money. The UK’s new Chancellor of the Exchequer has inherited, she says, one of the worst sets of circumstances since World War II.
Copper Set for Worst Week Since 2022 as China Plenum Disappoints
Copper headed for its worst weekly loss since 2022 and iron ore extended a slump toward $100 a ton as a policy meeting in China failed to lay out more stimulus to shore up metals demand.
Airfare War Is Ending Quickly as Carriers Retreat
There’s a new-found religion in the US airline industry, and investors should be thrilled. It’s called discipline.
Trading Desks Disrupted, Bankers Go Home as Outages Sweep Globe
Legions of bankers from Hong Kong and London to Dubai and South Africa were caught up in the global IT outage, leaving some unable to log on to computer systems and hobbling others from making trades.
Fed Prepares for September Cut as Powell Shifts Focus to Jobs
For more than two years, inflation has eclipsed everything else at the Federal Reserve. In a shift eagerly awaited by global markets, that’s poised to change.
Goldman’s Top Stock Analyst Is Waiting for AI Bubble to Burst
Over three decades on Wall Street, Jim Covello has learned how painful it can be to bet against an inflating tech stock bubble. The market has a way of minting riches, month after month, even after it’s clear the latest breakthroughs aren’t playing out quite as expected.
TSMC Hikes Revenue Outlook to Reflect Heated AI Demand
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. lifted projections for 2024 revenue growth after quarterly results beat estimates, reflecting its confidence in the longevity of the global AI spending boom.
Wall Street Senses the Barbarians Are Finally at the Gates
The barbarians are back at the gates. Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. are confident that their most important clients are about to get active after a long spell on the sidelines and help goose the long-awaited revival in investment banking fees.
Fed’s Critics on Inflation Should Now Champion July Cut
Back in 2021, legions of critics lambasted the Federal Reserve for failing to take proactive and forward-looking steps against the emerging inflation threat. Curiously, many of them have gone silent on the risk that the Fed might get caught flatfooted again, this time by failing to cut interest rates soon enough in the face of weaker inflation and a cooling labor market.
‘AI Laggards’ Find Favor as Magnificent Seven Stocks Lose Luster
Wall Street is looking beyond the obvious megacap stocks to find the next leg of the artificial intelligence trade.
Tesla Stock Will Surge 10-Fold on Robotaxis, Ark’s Wood Says
Tesla Inc. forming an autonomous taxi platform will be the catalyst for a roughly 10-fold increase in its share price, Ark Investment Management LLC’s Cathie Wood said, echoing years of bullish predictions about a business the carmaker has yet to stand up.
Wall Street Starts Calling Time on ESG Labels After Backlash
At Institutional Investor, keeper of Wall Street’s version of the Oscars for financial analysts, the winner in one category this year is — nobody.
Goldman Sells $5.5 Billion of Bonds in Post-Earnings Binge
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Wells Fargo & Co. joined rival JPMorgan Chase & Co. in the tapping the US investment-grade market after reporting second-quarter earnings.
Wall Street Economists See Compelling Case for Fed to Cut Now
A growing number of Wall Street economists are cautioning the Federal Reserve is waiting too long to reverse course after raising interest rates to a two-decade high.
Correlations Between Credit and Equities Are Breaking Down
Credit markets are breathing a sigh of relief after inflation data showed price pressures are cooling broadly, but a weakening economy poses fresh risks to corporate debt.
Goldman, Wells Fargo Join Big Banks’ Corporate Bond Sales Binge
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Wells Fargo & Co. are joining rival JPMorgan Chase & Co. in the tapping the US investment-grade bond market after reporting second-quarter earnings.
Insurers Tied to Apollo, KKR Buy Mortgages Outright in New Twist
Yield-hungry insurance firms are adopting an unconventional strategy: they’re skipping mortgage-backed bonds and buying the underlying whole loans outright.
The Housing Market Will Tell the Fed How Much to Cut Rates
It’s been clear since the fall of 2022 that the housing market needed lower interest rates to fix many of its problems including a lack of affordability for buyers, the mortgage rate lock-in dynamic for homeowners, and reduced activity for companies ranging from Home Depot Inc. and Lowe’s Cos. to suppliers of building materials.
The EU Should Be Careful How It Takes On Big Tech
Big tech companies have brought the 21st century some of its greatest innovations. Amazon.com Inc., Google search, Apple Inc.’s iPhone and other digital products have made people’s lives immensely more convenient and productive — a consumer benefit worth, by one estimate, more than $2.5 trillion a year. They deservedly dominate their respective markets.
Yes, You Can Save Too Much for Retirement
A young colleague came to me recently with a shameful admission: Despite the lecturing of her friends and family, as well as her own best intentions, she had not yet signed up for the company 401(k) plan. She lives in an expensive city and is nervous about tying up her money for the next 40 or 50 years.
Apple Hits Record High Again After Being Named Top Pick at Morgan Stanley
Apple Inc. surged to another record high on Monday after the tech giant was named a top pick at Morgan Stanley, with the broker seeing the launch of the company’s artificial intelligence platform triggering a record rush among users to upgrade their smartphones, tablets and computers.
Tax Hikes Seen No Matter Who’s President, Making Muni Bonds Attractive
No matter who wins November’s US presidential election, there’s a growing risk that Americans will be paying higher taxes next year, according to MacKay Shields LLC. That makes muni bonds an attractive shield.
Goldman Sachs Profit Surges as Traders Top Analysts’ Estimates
Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s trading unit powered a surge in earnings in the second quarter.
Gen Z’s Alternative Investing Bug Will Cost Them Dearly
Younger investors are thinking about their investment portfolios all wrong, and it’s not entirely their fault. Ultimately, it’s up to them to recognize where the best long-term returns lie before too much precious time is wasted.
Earnings Expectations Are High for the Right Reasons
Human nature is such that there are always some folks who put a negative spin on obviously good news.
As Tide Goes Out on Private Credit, Smaller Firms Look Exposed
The clubby world of private credit seems to be running out of space for the little guy.
Treasuries Rally as Cool Inflation Boosts Bets on Three Fed Cuts
Treasury yields tumbled after benign inflation data renewed confidence that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least twice this year.
Nuclear Energy Gets a Much-Needed Boost
President Joe Biden, as you’ve no doubt heard, has had a rough few weeks. Yet on Tuesday, he signed a bill into law that could well prove transformative for America’s energy future. Here’s hoping — whatever happens in November’s election — that more progress lies ahead.
The Fed Should Cut Rates Now. Sadly, It Won’t.
Thursday’s wildly encouraging consumer price index report shows that the Federal Reserve should be cutting policy rates at its meeting later this month. Unfortunately, they’ll probably keep us waiting until September.
Wall Street’s Portfolio-Trade Fad Hooks Slow-Moving Muni Market
The boom in portfolio trading is starting to creep into the market for state and local government debt.
Private Equity's Creative Wizardry Is Obscuring Danger Signs
As Pete Stavros addressed the private equity industry’s yearly shindig in Berlin last month, the KKR & Co. executive’s words were slightly less headline grabbing than those of Apollo Global Management’s co-president Scott Kleinman. But they were just as troubling.
Big Bet on Treasuries Needs Benign Inflation Data to Survive
Bond investors who’ve been positioning for a rally in the Treasury market are now looking for an endorsement from Thursday’s US inflation data.
Goldman Strategists Say Big Tech’s AI Splurge Worries Investors
Investors are growing increasingly concerned that US technology megacaps are spending too much on artificial intelligence, according Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategists.
Bain, Reverence Near $3.5 Billion Deal for Envestnet
Bain Capital and Reverence Capital Partners have agreed a deal to take Envestnet Inc., a provider of wealth-management software, private.
Big Banks' Stress Tests Are Still Flawed
By some metrics, the US financial system is in great shape. All 31 banks that underwent the Federal Reserve’s stress tests this year maintained adequate capital even in a “severe” economic scenario.
YouTube Is a $455 Billion Media Giant Hiding in Plain Sight
Investors attach a $2.3 trillion valuation to Alphabet Inc. for its status as an internet search behemoth and AI innovator. Yet even that massive figure underplays YouTube’s true worth, according to analysts at Needham & Co.
M&A Is Back. Bonuses, Not So Much.
Life has been getting busier for investment bankers, but dealmakers aren’t cashing any checks yet. A stream of big-ticket merger and acquisition announcements this year bodes well for future revenue and bonuses, but no one gets paid until deals are completed. And that might not happen until late 2024 or even next year.
Market Strategists Thankfully Abandon S&P 500 Targets
Piper Sandler & Co. is eliminating its price target for the S&P 500 Index. Its Wall Street counterparts should follow suit.
Will AI Ever Pay Off? Those Footing the Bill Are Worrying Already
Tracking down those in the technology industry cautious about artificial intelligence is much like looking for Republicans in San Francisco: There’s plenty of them out there, if you’d care to ask. And lately, they seem to be growing in number.
Microsoft, Apple Drop OpenAI Board Plans as Scrutiny Grows
Microsoft Corp. and Apple Inc. dropped plans to take board roles at OpenAI in a surprise decision that underscores growing regulatory scrutiny of Big Tech’s influence over artificial intelligence.
Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says a 10% Stock Market Correction Is ‘Highly Likely’
Traders should brace for a significant pullback in the stock market as uncertainty swirls around the US presidential campaign, corporate earnings and Federal Reserve policy, according to Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson.
Oaktree’s Howard Marks Sees Opening in Private Equity, Real Estate Pain
Struggling under the weight of interest rates, highly-levered assets within private equity and real estate are promising distressed investors some of the best opportunities in more than a decade, according to Howard Marks, co-chairman and co-founder of Oaktree Capital Management.
Returns of $7.2 Trillion Green Sector Outpaced Only by Tech Stocks
If the companies that derive revenue from products and services that help reduce carbon emissions were taken as a single industry group, they would have had the second-best financial performance of any equity sector over the past decade.
Tech Giants Face Tough Task to Sustain Second Half Stock Rally
The world’s largest technology stocks drove a banner first half for the S&P 500. The question for the rest of the year is whether their strength continues.
The US Housing Crisis Is Really About Low-Wage Jobs
America’s housing crisis is often portrayed as a matter of supply. Depending on whom you ask, the shortfall is anywhere from 1.5 million to 7 million homes. Much of the policy debate focuses on how to close that gap.
The Private Equity Bubble Is About to Deflate
Markets today pose a new existential question: Can there be a bubble in something if it has no price?
Another Green Bubble Is Deflating in Biofuels
The oil company declared its traditional business was all but over. “The demand for fossil oil products will continue to decline,” it said in late 2020 as the pandemic slashed consumption. Even when Covid-19 is over, consumption wouldn’t “recover to previous levels.”
TSMC Shares Soar to Record on Expectations of Tight 2025 Supply
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. rose to a record intraday high in Taipei after Morgan Stanley joined a list of brokers boosting price targets on the chipmaker before its earnings.
Powell to Face Fed Critics in Congress on High Rates, Bank Rules
Jerome Powell will face pressure this week from lawmakers growing impatient for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates and others who are unhappy with its latest plan to boost capital requirements for Wall Street lenders.
Hedge Funds That Piled Into Big Tesla Short Stung by Rally
Hedge funds piled into short bets against Tesla Inc. right before the electric vehicle maker unveiled a set of numbers that triggered a hefty share-price rally.
Labor Market Weakness Keeps Door Open For Canada Rate Cuts
The Canadian labor market unexpectedly lost jobs for the second time in four months, keeping the central bank on track to further cut rates this year.
Supreme Court Sensibly Made Markets Regulation Less Political
Last week, the Supreme Court overturned a decades-old legal doctrine that gave federal regulators the power to interpret unclear laws. This touched off a lot of wild rhetoric about the end of the administrative state.
Ancient Rome Survived High Inflation. We Can, Too
Worried that inflation is coming down too gradually? The Romans had a not-so-subtle solution: Anyone suspected of ratcheting up prices faced execution. If you’re currently anxious about declining fertility across today’s major economies, they had an answer for that, too: Celibacy was discouraged among women, Vestal Virgins excluded. Offenders might forfeit their inheritance.
The US Economic Slowdown Is Looking More Threatening
On the surface, the US employment report for June looked pretty good. Some 206,000 jobs were added, which exceeded the 190,000 median estimate of more than five dozen economists surveyed by Bloomberg. Also, wage growth continued to moderate, easing concern that fast-rising earnings would underpin inflation.
Starmer Vows Stability After Election Victory Exposes Discontent
New British Prime Minister Keir Starmer promised a government of “stability and moderation” after leading his Labour Party to a landslide election victory that ended 14 years of Conservative rule that became characterized by turmoil and infighting.
McDonald’s $5 Meal Tells You Where Prices Are Headed
Between McDonald’s $5 value meal, Taco Bell’s $7 cravings box and budget breakfasts from Starbucks and Wendy’s Co., fast food chains are fighting hard to win over hungry Americans this summer. Why now? It comes down to price-sensitive customers voting with their wallets and forcing companies to chase traffic to grow revenue and profits.
MegazoneCloud Picks JPMorgan, Banks for IPO as AI Interest Grows
MegazoneCloud Corp. has selected firms including a unit of JPMorgan Chase & Co. to help it kickstart an initial public offering that could value one of Asia’s biggest cloud and AI services companies at several billion dollars.
Tesla Shares on Track to Turn Positive for 2024 After $200 Billion Rally
Tesla Inc. shares are set to extend gains for an eighth consecutive session on Friday, putting the stock of the world’s most valuable automaker on track to turn positive for the year.
US Bond Yields Fall as Jobs Report Supports Case for Fed Cuts
US Treasuries gained, pushing yields lower, after a mixed report on the US labor market left traders holding tight to bets that Federal Reserve officials will lower interest rates this year.
Trying to Kill Chinese Tech Only Makes It Stronger
In trying to block China’s climb up the ladder of technological sophistication, the US may inadvertently be giving its rival a hand up.
US Payroll Growth Slows and Jobless Rate Ticks Up to 4.1%
US hiring and wage growth stepped down in June while the jobless rate rose to the highest since late 2021, bolstering prospects that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates in coming months.
Labour’s Win Gives Britain a Chance to Redeem Itself
Ever since Rishi Sunak’s rain-sodden announcement to call a general election on July 4, one question has hung over British politics: Will Labour win by a landslide or just a regular majority?
Gold Set for Weekly Gain as US Jobs Data May Give Clue on Easing
Gold headed for a back-to-back weekly gain on expectations that the Federal Reserve will trim interest rates before year-end, with traders looking ahead to US payrolls data for the next batch of clues on the outlook.
Fed’s Williams Says Inflation Job Not Done Despite Progress
Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said that while inflation has cooled recently toward the Fed’s 2% target, policymakers are still some distance from their goal.
Bezos to Sell $5 Billion of Amazon as Shares Hit Record High
Jeff Bezos disclosed a plan to unload 25 million additional shares of Amazon.com Inc. worth $5 billion on the day the stock hit a fresh record.
EU’s Hard Line on Tech Keeps Users Off the Cutting Edge
As promised, the European Commission is getting tough on big tech. Buoyed by what it sees as the successful implementation of the General Data Protection Regulation, or GDPR, regulators are now going full tilt with their feistier legislation on anti-competitive behavior and improper use of personal data.
Private Funds’ Hundreds of Billions of Opaque Debts Need Light
The dearth of private equity deal-making has been a nightmare for big investment banks used to getting 20% to 30% of their total advisory revenue from the industry.
Gen Z Is Taking Too Much Risk in the Markets
My financial education didn’t have the most auspicious start. I suppose I was lucky that in high school I had a class on basic investing and finance.
Ether ETF Hopefuls Gear Up for Approval as Soon as Mid-July
Asset managers are optimistic that the SEC will greenlight the first US ETFs that invest directly in Ether as soon as mid-July, saying the back and forth with the regulator remains constructive.
Only Musk’s Robotaxi Can Save Tesla Investors Now
Tesla Inc. is, according to its promoters — very much including Chief Executive Elon Musk — an artificial intelligence giant trapped in a carmaker’s body. That much was evident from quarterly sales and production numbers, and the market’s reaction to them, on Tuesday morning.
Wall Street Maps Out What a Trump Win Would Mean for Bonds
Financial giants from Goldman Sachs & Co. to Morgan Stanley and Barclays Plc. are taking a fresh look at how a Donald Trump victory in November could play out in the bond market.
Bridgewater Launches $2 Billion Fund Powered by Machine Learning
Bridgewater Associates is launching a fund that uses machine learning as the primary basis of its decision-making.
Powell Welcomes Recent Data But Fed Needs More Confidence to Cut
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the latest economic data suggest inflation is getting back on a downward path, but added officials would like to see more evidence before lowering interest rates.
US Labor Market Shows Signs of Losing Steam, Putting the Fed on Alert
Economists and some Federal Reserve officials are increasingly on alert that pain could be on the horizon for American workers amid signs the labor market is losing steam.
Hedge Funds Are Just Too Big to Beat the Market
Hedge funds were once the hottest investment around, but they’ve long ceded the spotlight to better performers, including private assets, real estate, technology startups and even cryptocurrencies.
BlackRock Goes From Alternative to Unconventional With PE Data Deal
How alternative can you get? Historically, conventional fund managers have dealt with the threat from private equity and hedge funds by creating or buying alternative investment funds of their own.
Big Names in S&P 500 Overshadow the Risk of a Volatility Jump
Shares of the largest US companies are moving wildly out of sync, creating a sense of calm in the S&P 500 Index not seen in years. But it’s a different story when it comes to the rest of the market.
Tesla Is Running Out of Excuses for Its Prolonged Sales Slump
Tesla Inc. is expected to report another quarter of weaker sales, and it’s running out of alibis.
Trump Ascendancy Has Morgan Stanley Team Touting Steeper Curve
The growing prospect of a Trump presidential victory is making yield curve steepeners an attractive bet as growth will likely slow and inflation quicken under such a scenario, according to Morgan Stanley.
Boeing Should Take a Plea Deal With One Condition
The fallout keeps coming from a door plug that blew off a Boeing Co. 737 Max plane in midair during an Alaska Airlines flight in January.
There’s a New Mr. Yen in Town
Jerome Powell is Mr. Yen. He has been for some time, but it has taken a while for the world to catch on.
Oil Retreats From Two-Month High as Traders Weigh Mixed Outlook
Oil retreated from a nearly two-month high as traders weighed a weakening physical market against escalating Mideast tensions.
A $400 Billion Frenzy as Nvidia, Crypto Boom: ETFs So Far in ‘24
Hype over artificial intelligence, the eagerly anticipated launch of Bitcoin funds, and billions of dollars flowing toward the seemingly unstoppable stock-market surge: ETFs have seen it all and been the beneficiary so far this year.
Bitcoin Eclipsed by Ether, Solana in Crypto Bets Tapping ETF Hype
Bitcoin’s performance is starting to be overshadowed by the Ether and Solana tokens as hype around US cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds shifts to the two smaller digital assets.
US Consumer Sentiment Falls by Less Than Initially Estimated
US consumer sentiment declined in June by less than initially estimated on expectations inflationary pressures will moderate.
Fed’s Daly Says Latest Data Show Monetary Policy Is Working
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly said inflation data out Friday indicates monetary policy is working, but said it’s too early to tell when it will be appropriate to lower borrowing costs.
Buffett Gifts to Gates Foundation to End When He Dies, WSJ Says
Warren Buffett’s donations to the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation will stop when he dies, with his daughter and two sons overseeing a new charitable trust, the Wall Street Journal reported Friday.
Tesla Is About to Lose Its EV Market Majority in the US
Tesla Inc. is on the verge of losing a key bragging right it’s held for the past six years: outselling all EV competitors in the US combined.
Bonds Set for Biggest Monthly Gain in 2024 as Inflation Ebbs
US Treasuries are headed for their biggest monthly rally of the year after the Federal Reserve’s favored inflation gauge decelerated, bolstering expectations for interest-rate cuts starting this year.
The Supreme Court Just Decided the SEC Has Too Much Power
Things just got a little harder for the Securities and Exchange Commission, which henceforth must seek certain civil damages for securities fraud by going to federal court, rather than through its own internal adjudicatory process.
A Trucking Rebound Is Near. For Real This Time.
The US trucking market, which has been in recession for more than a year now, is poised to recover … at some unknowable point in the future.
Zuckerberg’s VR Vision Validated by Apple’s Vision Pro Pullback
As Apple Inc. prepared to introduce its Vision Pro headset a year ago, the worry at Meta Platforms Inc. was that the hardware geniuses in Cupertino were about to unveil a breakthrough in mixed reality, some new take on a computing platform that Chief Executive Officer Mark Zuckerberg had been trying to crack for more than a decade.
The Real Reason to Worry About the Huge US Budget Deficit
The US government’s finances keep looking worse. The latest Congressional Budget Office projections suggest that it will need to borrow an added $400 billion this year to cover its budget deficit — and trillions more over the next decade.
Nvidia’s Wild Stock Swings Put AI Rally Stamina in Spotlight
Big swings in Nvidia Corp. shares have reignited debate about the staying power of the chipmaker’s rally. While the stock’s valuation and threat of competition are major concerns, one variable is key: durability of demand.
FedEx Stokes Investors With Hint of a Freight Deal
FedEx Corp. dropped a bomb on the market Tuesday afternoon with the announcement that it will do an “assessment” of its freight unit. Investors seemed to like the move, pushing up the shares as much as 15%, on the possibility of a windfall and a more pure-play package delivery and logistics company.
The Petrodollar Is Dead, Long Live the Petrodollar
The petrodollar died this month -- or so I learnt via the financial blogosphere. In the past fortnight, Google searches for “petrodollar” have spiked to a record, and viral posts about Saudi Arabia ditching the greenback have ricocheted throughout commodity and currency trading rooms. Apparently, a cataclysmic event has ended American economic hegemony.
Goldman Signals End of an Era in Private Equity With a Big Hire
A long era of easy profits in private equity is gone, and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is digging in deeper for the harder work ahead.
Bond Market in Step With Fed Is About to Slam Into US Election
It took much of the first half of the year for Treasury bond investors to fall in line with a Federal Reserve signaling higher-for-longer interest rates. Now, as they weigh the timing of a second-half pivot, they must also contend with potential wild-card risks from a hotly contested presidential race.
Bond Traders Boldly Bet on 300 Basis Points of Fed Cuts by March
Traders in the US rates options market are embracing a nascent wager on the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate path: a whopping 3 percentage points worth of cuts in the next nine months.
Wall Street Banks Accelerate Buybacks Ahead of Fed Stress Tests
The biggest US banks haven’t waited for this week’s stress tests to signal optimism about their capital levels.
Economic Doomers Just Dived Into the Shallow End of the Pool
After being so consistently wrong in recent years about how the US economy and households would perform coming out of the pandemic, doomsayers should have learned their lesson. But there they were in full force after Pool Corp. said late Monday that it was lowering its earnings outlook because households aren’t installing backyard swimming pools as they once did.
The Fed Needs a Bit More Fight On Tougher Bank Rules
Big US banks look to be getting their way in the fight over tougher capital rules. The Federal Reserve is talking to other regulators about changes to the updated standards that were proposed last July, according to Bloomberg News, which could mean capital demands increasing by less than one-third of what was originally envisaged.
AI's Hunger for Power Can Be Tamed
The artificial intelligence hype that made Nvidia Corp. the world’s biggest company has come with a price for the world’s climate. Data centers housing its powerful chips are gorging power and belching carbon dioxide, and sobering figures now reveal the extent of the problem.
We’ve Already Picked Decoupling’s Low-Hanging Fruit
Declines in foreign direct investment in China bolster the thesis that global companies are turning away from the world’s most-important production hub, continuing the trend of decoupling that has policymakers and corporate leaders looking for alternative manufacturing bases. The truth of the nation’s deteriorating importance isn’t so simple.
Nvidia’s Murky AI Future Isn’t Reflected in Its Price
Every now and then, a company comes along that is so dominant and is growing so quickly that it feels like the only stock anyone cares about. I’m referring, of course, to Nvidia Corp., the chip giant powering artificial intelligence. Its stock has surged 4,000% over the past five years, making it one of the three most valuable businesses in the world alongside heavyweights Microsoft Corp. and Apple Inc.
Jain Global Raises $5.3 Billion, Secures Cash From Abu Dhabi
Bobby Jain has gathered $5.3 billion in commitments for his new multistrategy hedge fund, marking the biggest fundraising haul since ExodusPoint Capital Management’s record debut.
Nvidia Rout Takes Breather as Traders Scour Charts for Support
Nvidia Corp. shares showed signs of steadying after a $430 billion selloff sent traders searching for signals as to where the bottom may be.
How India Can Engineer a Future Beyond Software
In the early 2000s, Alok Nanda’s new colleagues called him the “bumper guy.”
Homebuilders Urgently Need Fed Rate Cuts
New home construction slumped to the weakest level in four years in May, confirming a trend that’s been evolving for the past few months — residential construction is once again acting as a drag on economic growth in the US.
Stocks Face Meager Upside After 2024 Gains, Survey Shows
The S&P 500 Index has likely logged most of the gains it will see this year as investors are growing increasingly nervous about the stock market’s rich valuations, according to the latest Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey.
Nvidia Sales Grow So Fast That Wall Street Can’t Keep Up
Nvidia Corp. is the most expensive stock in the S&P 500 Index, with its shares trading for roughly 23 times the company’s projected sales over the next 12 months.
How Long Can High Rates Last? Bond Markets Say Maybe Forever
Just as optimism is growing among investors that a rally in US Treasuries is about to take off, one key indicator in the bond market is flashing a worrying sign for anyone thinking about piling in.
Anthropic Releases ‘Most Intelligent’ AI Model in Rivalry With OpenAI
Artificial intelligence startup Anthropic is releasing a new AI model that it calls its fastest and most capable yet in a rivalry with OpenAI.
US Existing-Home Sales Fall a Third Month as Prices Set a Record
Sales of existing homes in the US fell for a third straight month in May while prices set another record, underscoring persistent affordability challenges that hobbled the important spring selling season.
High-Grade Company Bonds Increasingly Trade Near Junk Levels
Some money managers that buy junk bonds have been pouring money into investment-grade notes instead, because the yields can be almost as high now.
Pro Athletes Want to Sell You a Stake In Their Earnings. Hard Pass.
Are you bored with the cash, stocks and bonds in your retirement portfolio? Then perhaps it’s time to spice things up with shares in an NFL outside linebacker.
Private Credit Investors in Europe Ditch Extra Leverage on Default Fears
Private credit investors in Europe are abandoning leveraged plays to try to get ahead of a potential wave of defaults.
Xi, Putin Score Wins as More Asia Leaders Aim to Join BRICS
As Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese Premier Li Qiang wrapped up separate meetings in Southeast Asia this week, the two partners in the BRICS economic bloc encountered a region keen to join a group seen as a hedge against Western-led institutions.
Wall Street Bankers Skip Hamptons Summer for Pro Lacrosse League
This summer, countless bankers and financiers will get away to the Hamptons or vacation in Europe. And a handful will be traveling nearly every weekend — to play lacrosse.
Dell, Super Micro Shares Jump on Reports of ‘AI Factory’ for Elon Musk’s xAI
Dell Technologies Inc. shares rose on Thursday after Chief Executive Officer Michael Dell said the company is building a “Dell AI factory” for Elon Musk’s startup xAI alongside Nvidia Corp.
Bitcoin Slumps to More Than One Month Low as Risk Appetite Ebbs
Bitcoin slumped to a more than one-month low with this year’s record-breaking rally showing signs of fatigue in the absence of fresh market catalysts.
Paying Walmart Managers Millions Is Just Good Business
After being on the frontline of the pandemic, then grappling with an edgy public and a spike in shoplifting, its been a tough few years to work retail. But for Walmart Inc. managers, at least, things are looking up.
At Blackstone's $339 Billion Property Arm, the Honeymoon Is Over
Nadeem Meghji was on honeymoon in late 2022 when the biggest storm to have rocked Blackstone Inc.’s property business hit its peak.
All Roads Lead to Nvidia as Tech Sees Record Inflows, Says BofA
The ongoing artificial intelligence frenzy that briefly made Nvidia Corp. the world’s most valuable company this week also drove record inflows into tech funds, said Bank of America Corp. strategists.
Global Bonds Jump as Weak European Data Boosts Rate-Cut Bets
Bonds surged after business activity across Europe encountered an unexpected setback, prompting traders to amp up wagers on monetary easing.
Apple’s AI Rally Puts Valuation at Risk of Outpacing Reality
Apple Inc.’s record-breaking rally has invited skepticism as to whether its artificial intelligence strategy justifies the stock’s valuation.
What a Japanese AI Unicorn Can Teach Silicon Valley
Silicon Valley’s “move fast and break things” mantra propelled tech innovation for the internet age. In the era of artificial intelligence, it should take a leaf out of Japan’s playbook and slow down.
‘Sellers Are Entering the Market’ With S&P Faltering Beyond Tech
Take out the few big tech companies that keep pushing the S&P 500 Index to all time highs and it looks like the engine is running on fumes.
Morgan Stanley Looks to Latin America as Global Tensions Rise
Morgan Stanley is increasing its investments in Latin America as geopolitical conflicts elsewhere in the world give the region increasing prominence in the global economy.
Treasuries Are a Whisker Away From Erasing This Year’s Loss
US Treasuries are on the brink of breaking even during a roller-coaster first half of the year.
New US Home Construction Plunges to Slowest Pace Since June 2020
New home construction in the US slumped in May to the slowest pace in four years, as higher-for-longer interest rates sap the housing industry’s momentum from earlier this year.
China Will Struggle to Undo US Dominance
The hottest thing in global economics is an oldie but a goodie. This market darling is enjoying enviable growth and sucking in capital from around the world. It possesses a vibrant labor market and a currency that's not just a store of value, but increasingly seen as an ascendant strategic asset. And it’s not the China of yesteryear.
Nvidia’s Explosive Growth Masks AI Disillusionment
Does anyone in Silicon Valley know the saying, “The bigger they are, the harder they fall?” Perhaps it’s just a matter of time before they will.
Pimco Warns of More Regional Bank Failures on Property Pain
Pacific Investment Management Co. expects more regional bank failures in the US because of a “very high” concentration of troubled commercial real estate loans on their books.
US Retail Sales Barely Increase In Sign of Consumer Strain
US retail sales barely rose in May and prior months were revised lower, pointing to greater financial strain among consumers.
Strange Things Lurk Under the Hood of the Payroll Numbers
As the monthly nonfarm payroll employment numbers repeatedly blew past economists’ forecasts over the past couple of years, one small sector in particular stood out.
How the Fed Is Helping Make the Case for a Carbon Tax
The longer interest rates stay higher, the stronger the case grows for … a carbon tax.
Nvidia Insiders Cash In on Rally as Share Sales Top $700 Million
Nvidia Corp. insiders have sold shares worth more than $700 million this year as the stock continues to push deeper into record territory amid unrelenting demand for its chips.
Retail Funds Dive Into Quant-Factor ETFs After $48 Billion Haul
Traders are lavishing billions of dollars on quant-powered stock trades, boosting an investing style that’s struggled to gain traction in an era when simple bets on traditional large-cap indexes have paid off handsomely.
Hedge Funds Turn Cautious on Stocks Even as Wall Street Strategists Get Bullish
Wall Street strategists are rushing to raise their targets for the S&P 500 Index, but hedge funds are growing increasingly cautious about equities due to the Federal Reserve’s reluctance to cut interest rates, softer economic data and narrow stock market breadth.
Trading Indicator With 100% Win Rate Signals Sell Long Bonds Now
A technical trading strategy with a perfect trading record this year is signaling that it’s time to sell long-maturity Treasuries after a rally last week.
Lazy Fed Forecasts Are a Disgrace. Let’s Do Better
The Federal Reserve will begin a review of its monetary policy framework later this year, including a potential reconsideration of the ways it communicates with the public. Of great interest is the fate of the dot plot, an anonymous collection of policymakers’ interest rate projections that generates considerable attention each quarter on Wall Street.
Double-Digit US Stock Returns Are in the Past, Bubble or Not
There’s a lot of bubble talk around US stocks. The market has been on fire in recent years. The S&P 500 Index has more than doubled in value since bottoming in March 2020 on Covid fears. It’s also up 14% a year since 2010, including dividends, nearly 5 percentage points a year better than its long-term annual return.
Apple Eyes Best Week Since 2021 on Bet AI iPhones Are Must-Haves
Apple Inc. investors finally have a roadmap for how it will use artificial intelligence — and they’ve responded by pushing the stock toward its best week in more than two years.
Solar Power’s Giants Are Providing More Energy Than Big Oil
The manufacturers of solar equipment, similarly, aren’t in the final analysis providing us with panels of silicon and glass, but machines that can harvest power from the sun. The activities of each group of companies provide a fresh flow of useful energy to the world every year. And by many measures, the solar companies have already overtaken Big Oil.
G-7 Pledges to Step Up Action on Russia Fleet, Energy, Metals
Group of Seven leaders meeting in Italy this week will pledge to tighten enforcement of their price cap on Russian oil, choke the Kremlin’s future energy projects and reduce Moscow’s revenues from metals, according to a statement seen by Bloomberg.
Binance CEO Teng Sees ‘Landmark’ Year as Crypto Goes Mainstream
This is turning out to be a “landmark year” for the crypto industry, Binance Holdings Ltd. Chief Executive Officer Richard Teng said, thanks to growing regulatory clarity, more mainstream adoption and the launch of exchange-traded funds tied to Bitcoin.
AI Is Making Robots Smarter. They’ll Need Boundaries.
Artificial intelligence is sweeping across the economy. It’s showing up in the stock market with Nvidia’s meteoric rise, and the marketing blitz around AI is inescapable, whether from software providers peddling the promise of harnessed data to golf-club makers trumpeting an AI design. Narrow AI is now a real tool, and companies are figuring out how to deploy it.
JPMorgan Asset Management Sees Stocks Powering On In Second Half
A historically strong start to the year for the US stock market should continue into the second half of 2024, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s asset management division.
JPMorgan to Wager on Weight-Loss Boom With $500 Million Fund
JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s asset-management arm raised more than $500 million for a biotech venture-capital fund that will bet on the hottest corner of health care: weight-loss drugs.
Bond Market Splits From Fed Again by Betting on 2024 Rate Cuts
Bond traders loaded back up on interest-rate-cut bets — and even the pushback coming out of the Federal Reserve did little to shake their conviction.
Don’t Legitimize Cornering the Copper Market
When the Hunt brothers cornered the silver market in 1980 by amassing a huge cache of the precious metal, jeweler Tiffany & Co. ran an advertisement in the New York Times denouncing the move: “We think it is unconscionable for anyone to hoard several billion, yes billion, dollars worth of silver and thus drive the price up.”
Apple to ‘Pay’ OpenAI for ChatGPT Through Distribution, Not Cash
When Apple Inc. Chief Executive Officer Tim Cook and his top deputies this week unveiled a landmark arrangement with OpenAI to integrate ChatGPT into the iPhone, iPad and Mac, they were mum on the financial terms.
Only Apple Would Try to Rebrand AI. Will It Succeed?
You have to hand it to Apple Inc. After an embarrassing, tone-deaf ad last month that made the company look oblivious to AI’s impact on the world, its marketing department has now rebranded AI as “Apple Intelligence.” It’s a feat of superiority only the company could pull off.
A Brief Guide to What Really Matters on CPI-Fed Day
Wednesday is shaping up to be a doozy in the US bond market. Following the release of the consumer price index at 8:30 a.m. in Washington, investors will turn to the Federal Reserve’s policy rate decision at 2 p.m., which includes an update to policymakers’ carefully scrutinized economic projections.
US Inflation Broadly Cools in Encouraging Sign for Fed Officials
A key measure of underlying US inflation stepped down for a second month in May, a pleasant surprise for Federal Reserve officials looking for signs that they can start to lower interest rates.
Oracle Shares Set for Record High on AI-Fueled Cloud Growth
Oracle Corp. reported better-than-expected bookings and announced partnership deals with tech rivals, giving a boost to Chairman Larry Ellison’s effort to redefine the software maker as a major competitor in the business of cloud computing.
JPMorgan Risk Swap Ends Up at a Familiar Place: Rival Banks
When JPMorgan Chase & Co. arranged a series of trades to shift the risk of losses from $20 billion of its loans, some of those dangers wound up at a familiar place: rival banks.
GM Approves $6 Billion Stock Buyback on Growth in EVs
General Motors Co. authorized a new $6 billion share buyback plan as improving profitability in its electric vehicle operations allows the automaker to return cash to investors.
Bond Traders Will Follow New Fed Dots All the Way Into 2025
Bond traders who have come to terms with the prospect of higher-for-longer interest rates through 2024 are looking toward this week’s Federal Reserve meeting for clues on how to game out 2025 and beyond.
Fed’s Higher-for-Longer Stance Hits Firms That Expected Rate Cut
American businesses and consumers started the year thinking interest rates would finally come down, making big plans to buy equipment or a house. Now all of that is on hold, slowing large swaths of the economy for the foreseeable future.
Hedge Funds Pile Into Copycat Quant Trades They Once Derided
Wall Street’s half-trillion-dollar business cloning quant trades has some surprising new customers: the very firms whose strategies it mimics.
Watch What Consumers Do, Not How They Feel
Over the past few years, even as they have been gritting their teeth and complaining about higher prices, consumers have been fueling US economic growth. Now their pandemic savings are gone and the labor market is cooling off, raising the question: How much will the economy slow down?
Traders Are Bracing for Volatility on Fed-CPI Double Blow
Whether it’s another move up or a dive down, traders are bracing for added volatility wrought by Wednesday’s dual macroeconomic catalysts: a report on consumer prices in the morning and the Federal Reserve’s rate decision in the afternoon.
Broader Tech Rally Hangs on Fed Getting Closer to Cutting Rate
A broad equity rally isn’t spilling over into the technology sector, where gains are still concentrated in just a few artificial intelligence winners that have become defensive plays amid an uncertain macroeconomic backdrop.
Apple’s $471 Billion Rally Hinges on Whether AI Event Delivers
It’s the moment of truth for Apple Inc.’s artificial intelligence plans — and for the $471 billion rally that has rescued the stock from the doldrums.
Two Companies Will Guide Global Supply Chains
A splintering of global supply chains, driven by both political and business considerations, has hundreds of manufacturers and logistics providers debating where to go next. They’d be well advised to take their cues from two Taiwanese companies who’ve led the charge.
Homes for Sale Are Piling Up, Just Not Where the Buyers Are
Lately the housing market has faced a different conundrum at every turn. This year’s puzzle is the disconnect between an aggressive rise in the number of existing homes for sale and still sluggish transactions.
Tesla Investor’s Suit Targets Vote on Texas Move, Musk Pay
A Tesla Inc. shareholder sued to challenge an upcoming proxy vote about whether the electric-car maker should move its corporate home to Texas and re-approve a $56 billion pay package for co-founder Elon Musk that was thrown out by a Delaware judge.
Here’s Everything Apple Plans to Show at Its AI-Focused WWDC Event
Apple Inc. isn’t typically the first to embrace new product categories — as it famously showed with its iPhone, smartwatch and Vision Pro. All those areas were established before the company showed up, but Apple found a way to make its mark.
US Moves Closer to Tariffs on Asia Solar Panels With Vote
The US government moved closer to imposing new tariffs on solar cells and panels from Southeast Asia after an agency’s initial determination that American manufacturers are being harmed by cheap imports from the region.
Stunning Job Numbers May End Up Being Just OK
The labor market data is full of conflicting signals, but the big picture is that the US economy is in pretty good shape. That’s worth celebrating, irrespective of what the “good news is bad news for interest rates” crowd tells you.
LNG Is Both a Savior and a Curse in Europe
In its moment of most need, back in 2022, the liquified natural gas market saved Europe. Now, that same LNG market is the continent’s new vulnerability. The good news is that the weakness should be short-lived; the bad news is that it won’t go away before the next winter.
Ackman’s Pershing Pitch Shows Why So Few Hedge Funds IPO
There’s a reason so few hedge fund firms seek a stock market listing: Investors don’t like them. The allure of an economic interest in these money machines is tempered by the risks. First, there’s key-person risk. Many such firms are dominated by a single executive.
El-Erian Says Strong Jobs Data Closes Door on July Fed Rate Cut
Stronger-than-expected US May jobs data closes the door on a July Federal Reserve rate cut, Mohamed El-Erian said.
Treasury Yields Surge as Hot Jobs Data Dims Fed Rate-Cut Bets
Treasury yields surged as surprise strength in the US labor market forced traders to pare back their wagers on Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts this year.
Doubts About US Ether ETF Demand Herald Test for Second-Largest Token
Debut US exchange-traded funds for the Ether cryptocurrency may generate much less demand than spot-Bitcoin products, according to analysts, muddying the outlook for the second-largest token.
Cathie Wood Says Ark Is Well Placed in AI After Nvidia Trim
Cathie Wood said Ark Investment Management is well positioned in artificial intelligence assets, even after her company trimmed back on Nvidia Corp. shares before the rally last year.
First-Quarter US Labor Costs Marked Down on Weaker Output, Hours
US labor costs increased in the first quarter by less than previously reported, reflecting downward revisions to economic output and hours worked and consistent with other signs of moderating activity.
‘Everything Is Not Going to Be OK’ in Private Equity, Apollo’s Co-President Says
The private equity industry must face up to the reality of lower valuations, according to Apollo Global Management Inc.’s Scott Kleinman.
Elon Musk Isn’t a Victim No Matter What Tesla Says
It’s a tough gig portraying the world’s third-richest person as a victim, but Tesla Inc.’s board of directors are giving it a go.The question is whether the company’s institutional shareholders will be intimidated into buying that story at a pivotal vote on June 13.
Fragile Banks Won’t Make the US or Europe Stronger
Less than 15 months after the world’s most recent banking crisis, regulators in the US and Europe are already poised to roll back reforms aimed at reducing the risk of further financial disasters. It’s a serious mistake.
NXP, Vanguard to Build $7.8 Billion Singapore Chip Wafer Plant as Tech Firms Hedge Against China
NXP Semiconductors NV is teaming up with a company partly owned by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. to build a $7.8 billion chip wafer plant in Singapore, marking a boost for the island nation’s tech ambitions.
Apple Made Once-Unlikely Deal With Sam Altman to Catch Up in AI
When a 23-year-old Sam Altman took the stage at Apple Inc.’s annual developer conference in 2008, he gushed about being able to use the company’s new App Store to promote his software, a friend-locating service called Loopt.
After $2 Trillion Gain, Nvidia Is Still Irresistible to Many
Its business is massive, its profits are booming and everyone already knows Nvidia Corp. is the hottest stock on Wall Street.
BlackRock, Citadel Back Texas Stock Exchange in Challenge to NYSE
BlackRock Inc., Citadel Securities and other investors are backing an upstart Texas stock market, laying down a challenge to the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq Inc. and signaling a potential boost for a state trying to grab more of the financial services industry.
Intel CEO Takes Aim at Nvidia in Fight for AI Chip Dominance
Intel Corp. Chief Executive Officer Pat Gelsinger took the stage at the Computex show in Taiwan to talk about new products he expects will help turn back the tide of share losses to peers, including AI leader Nvidia Corp.
Fidelity Piles On Pressure in Looming Revenue Plan for ETF Firms
Fidelity Investments is flexing its muscles in efforts to extract payments from ETF firms in exchange for listing and maintaining their products on its massive platform, stoking industry ire.
Majority of Middle-Class Americans Say They Struggle Financially
Almost two-thirds of Americans considered middle class said they are facing economic hardship and don’t anticipate a change for the rest of their lives, according to a poll commissioned by the National True Cost of Living Coalition.
Do You Trust Bill Ackman to Build a $250 Billion Fund Manager?
Celebrity fund manager and activist investor Bill Ackman just sold 10% of his investment management company in a deal that valued Pershing Square at $10.5 billion. An initial public offering could come as soon as next year, the Wall Street Journal has reported.
A Hospital Bankruptcy Offers a Cautionary Tale on Private Equity
As private equity investment in health care has surged to almost $1 trillion over the past decade — funding new technologies, clinical trials and more — a lack of transparency has made it hard to assess whether the industry is also putting patients at risk.
JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley Split on Outlook for Equity Gains
Investors betting on further US equity gains over the coming months will be disappointed, according to strategists at JPMorgan Chase & Co. Their peers at Morgan Stanley disagree.
Nvidia and AMD Square Off in Fight to Take Control of AI
Nvidia Corp. and Advanced Micro Devices Inc.’s chiefs showcased new generations of the chips powering the global boom in AI development, deepening a rivalry that may decide the direction of artificial intelligence design and adoption.
GameStop Shares Surge as Gill’s Reddit Return Shows Huge Bet
GameStop Corp. shares surged after the Reddit account that drove the meme-stock mania of 2021 posted what appeared to be a $116 million position in the video-game retailer.
OPEC+ Says Goodbye to Its $100-a-Barrel Oil Quest
After relentlessly pursuing $100-a-barrel oil, the OPEC+ cartel has all but thrown in the towel. Whether the U-turn is a tactical retreat, or a strategic shift, is still unclear. But for now its impact would be the same: Oil prices would be somewhat lower and global inflation would ease.
Inflation Feels Bad No Matter How You Define It
The people who experience the US economy continue to disagree with the people who measure it, and the most likely reason is inflation: Most Americans still see it as a major problem, while most economists don’t. But this debate recently veered from economics to semantics.
Nvidia’s Founder Leads Parade of CEOs to Summit on Future of AI
Nvidia Corp.’s Jensen Huang will lead a gathering of tech business leaders in Taipei starting Sunday, an unusual opportunity for the industry’s most important executives to come together and figure out the future of computing and AI.
Goldman Sees Obesity-Drug Market Growing to $130 Billion by 2030
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. sees growing potential for the global market for weight-loss drugs by the end of the decade.
America’s Tax Cut Era Must End
For more than two decades, America has pursued a policy as costly as the New Deal of the 1930s or the Great Society of the 1960s, but with a much narrower aim: cut taxes.
Bonds Rally as Inflation Gauge Sustains Fed Rate-Cut Outlook
US government bonds rallied Friday, adding to their monthly gain, after benign inflation data kept alive predictions that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least once this year.
Big Investors Demand Hedge Funds Beat Cash Before Charging Fees
Institutional investors have grown tired of paying fees to hedge funds for what they see as “skill-less returns.”
Inflation Takes Three Years to Fall to 2% in Cleveland Fed Model
Inflation may not return to the US central bank’s 2% target until mid-2027, according to research from Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
UBS Completes Historic Takeover as Credit Suisse Ceases to Exist
UBS Group AG completed the historic acquisition of its former rival Credit Suisse, marking a new chapter for the Swiss financial sector as the defunct bank has formally ceased to exist.
Weakest Parts of the Economy Are Hindering Rate Cuts, Too
When people think about the Federal Reserve and interest rates in 2024, one common view is that economic growth and inflation remain too hot to justify rate cuts. Another is that the labor market and inflation continue to cool, and it will soon be time for rate cuts.
Higher for Longer Rates Mean No Escape From the Debt Squeeze
Companies going bust, mounting credit card debt, higher mortgage bills.
Global Bonds Slide Once Again as Inflation Curbs Rate-Cut Hopes
Global bond investors are coming to terms with the likelihood that interest rates are going to stay high for the foreseeable future.
Dell Escapes Nvidia’s Shadow as Its Own AI Tailwinds Accelerate
Dell Technologies Inc. shares have been acting like market-leader Nvidia Corp. of late, and investors are betting the company will see a similar boost from artificial intelligence.
Stablecoin Risks Grow as Congress Dithers
Congress keeps talking about regulating stablecoins but doing nothing. It’s a lapse that poses growing dangers to investors, the financial system and even (perhaps) national security.
The Fed Thinks It’s Fighting Inflation. Think Again.
To a large and under-appreciated extent, the job of the US Federal Reserve entails chasing an elusive number: r*, or the neutral short-term interest rate. When the Fed’s target rate is above r*, it should restrict growth. When it’s below, it should stimulate economic activity.
Dimon Says ‘Could Be Hell to Pay’ If Private Credit Sours
Jamie Dimon said he expects problems to emerge in private credit and warned that “there could be hell to pay,” particularly as retail clients gain access to the booming asset class.
Treasuries Steady After Selloff Ahead of GDP and Inflation Data
Treasuries pared this week’s sharp losses Thursday after inflation gauges in the US first-quarter economic growth data were unexpectedly revised lower.
Bullish Nvidia Trade Soars as Day Traders Bet on Leveraged ETFs
The latest Nvidia Corp. frenzy is fueling an unprecedented rally in the booming industry of leveraged-up ETFs as retail traders go all-in on the world’s “most important stock.”
Play Video Fed’s Beige Book Points to Modest Growth in US Economy, Prices
The US economy expanded at a “slight or modest” pace across most regions since early April and consumers pushed back against higher prices, the Federal Reserve said in its Beige Book survey of regional business contacts.
Why Nvidia, Not Solar, Has a Place in the Sun
The semiconductor industry is a strange field. Play your cards right, and you can turn $60 billion or so of annual revenue into a $2.62 trillion business. Do things differently, and roughly the same volume of sales might translate into $44 billion of market capitalization.
The US Economy Won’t Be Immune to High Rates Forever
In spite of the highest Federal Reserve policy rates in two decades, the US economy grew about 2.5% last year, unemployment remains low and stocks are near all-time highs, leading many observers to conclude that the economy must have become less interest-rate sensitive — and probably needs permanently high benchmark rates to prevent overheating.
Goldman Racks Up $21 Billion for Its Largest Private Credit Pool
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. has put together $21 billion for private credit wagers, its biggest war chest yet for Wall Street’s buzziest asset class.
BlackRock’s $20 Billion ETF Is Now the World’s Largest Bitcoin Fund
BlackRock Inc.’s iShares Bitcoin Trust has become the world’s largest fund for the original cryptocurrency, amassing almost $20 billion in total assets since listing in the US at the start of the year.
Slow-Moving Property Crisis Means Averting a Greater One
The big news in the $20 trillion US property market last week was that, for the first time since the financial crisis, investors suffered losses on top-rated bonds backed by the mortgage on an office building.
Weight-Loss Drugs Are Coming to Bite a Sugar Industry in Denial
In a room filled with more than 800 sugar traders, Sally Lyons Wyatt, an executive at consumer researcher Circana, had an important message to deliver: Ozempic is coming for your industry.
The ‘Everyone Wins’ Stock Market Is Dead — Ask Target
Target Corp.’s sales slump last quarter marked the latest example of supposed softening in US consumption, making some stock-market investors jittery that recession could still be in the cards.
A Little Regulation Is Just What Crypto Needs
Sometimes industries want to be regulated. It’s not that they favor all of the associated restrictions, but that regulation means legitimation. The mere act of passing laws circumscribes some activities as deserving of legal protection.
The Slowdown in US Electric Vehicle Sales Looks More Like a Blip
After an underwhelming start to the year for US electric-vehicle sales, it might seem easy to conclude that the boom times are over. Sales were flat in the first quarter, Ford dramatically scaled back expansion plans and Tesla laid off 10% of its global workforce.
Wall Street Moves to Fastest Settlement of Trades in a Century
The US stock market is finally as fast as it was about a hundred years ago.
Darpa-Backed Startup Seeks $70 Million to Join AI Chip Goldrush
A Silicon Valley startup backed by the US Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency is seeking at least $70 million more from investors in its quest to to develop an ultra-efficient chip for artificial intelligence technology, according to documents reviewed by Bloomberg.
Options Traders Pile Into Big Short on India Volatility
In a market that’s captured the attention of global finance for allegedly making $1 billion for Jane Street Group, many trading firms are employing a relatively simple strategy: short volatility.
Coinbase’s Supreme Court Loss Is Its Own Fault
To hear the words “Coinbase” and “Supreme Court” in the same breath likely inspires thoughts of the justices jousting over cryptocurrency. But this week’s decision in Coinbase v. Suski is a reminder that even in our clever new era, old principles of contract law often hold sway.
Nvidia Clears the Way for AI Stocks to Keep Powering Higher
Nvidia Corp. just gave the green light to traders betting that the rally in artificial intelligence computing stocks — not to mention its own — has room to run.
Nvidia Stock Surges as Sales Forecast Delivers on AI Hopes
Nvidia Corp., the chipmaker at the center of an artificial intelligence boom, jumped in premarket trading after a bullish sales forecast showed that AI computing spending remains strong.
Fed’s Inflation Debate Shifts to How Much Goods Prices Can Drop
As Federal Reserve officials stare down the last mile in their campaign against inflation, one key question is becoming increasingly central to the debate: Will goods prices continue to fall?
JPMorgan Hunts for Private Credit Firm to Grow in Hot Sector
JPMorgan Chase & Co. is on the hunt to buy a private credit firm to augment its $3.6 trillion asset management arm, as the biggest US bank makes more inroads into Wall Street’s buzziest sector.
The Rise of the Disposable Car
Modern cars are equipped with heaps of electronic devices, many of which are designed to reduce the frequency and severity of accidents. But there’s a catch: The high cost of repairing these systems may mean the vehicle is written-off, or totaled, following a crash.
The New Dream Job Is Working for … the Government?
One of the best parts of being a young college graduate, and naïve to the grim realities of the working world, is being deluded about how great your career will be. Maybe you’ll found the next Nvidia, or win the Nobel Prize in your field, or start a charity that will make the world a better place.
Dollarization or Not, Argentina’s Future Will Be Expensive
The good news is that President Javier Milei seems to be backing away from plans to dollarize the Argentine economy. That is also the bad news.
Hey Target, Walmart Is Coming for You
What happens when the world’s biggest retailer decides it wants what’s yours? Target is about to find out.
Biden Doubles Down on His Student-Loans Mistake
With his signature student-loan-forgiveness plan struck down by the Supreme Court, President Joe Biden is pushing to cancel debts by other means. His latest proposal aims to relieve nearly 30 million borrowers, on top of those who’ve received forgiveness under previous initiatives.
Private Equity Is Bad for Your Health
The bankruptcy of Steward Health has become the latest cautionary tale about private equity’s involvement in health care. Cerberus Capital Management’s purchase in 2010 of several Massachusetts-based nonprofit hospitals was meant to be a life preserver for the struggling chain, but instead its woes deepened, compromising patient care.
Colleges Ramp Up Debt Sales in Frenzied Race for New Students
US university students are up to their ears in debt. And, increasingly, so are many US colleges.
The Fed’s Uniformity on Rates Comes With Risks
Whether traditionally thought of as “hawks” or “doves,” Federal Reserve officials have recently converged to notable uniformity in their policy signaling of high interest rates for longer. This has come at a time when more Wall Street analysts are embracing a wider band of uncertainty for their projections of economic growth and inflation.
Credit Bulls Say Bonds Hold Biggest Edge Over Stocks in Decades
Credit bulls are pointing at a set of metrics to show that high-grade bonds have rarely been this cheap, burnishing the appeal of corporate debt at a time when it’s offering little upside over government securities.
Nvidia Is the Final Hurdle for Mega Tech’s Earnings Victory Lap
A surprisingly strong earnings season for big tech reaches its grand finale Wednesday afternoon when Nvidia Corp., the artificial intelligence chipmaking giant, reports its results and gives a much anticipated outlook that could set the tone for the second half of the year.
Slowing EV Sales Are Upending Banker Climate Strategies
Electric vehicles have swiftly gone from a rare bright spot in the fight against climate change to a cause for concern.
Biden Widens Student Loan Relief to More Than 10% of Borrowers
More than one in 10 Americans with federal student loans have been approved for some measure of debt relief under President Joe Biden, the White House said, as it announced a new round of forgiveness.
What a World Growing Older Fast Means for Investing
Idanna Appio spent 15 years at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York analysing the history of sovereign debt crises. Now, as a fund manager at the $138 billion First Eagle Investments, she’s reached a conclusion: US Treasury bonds are too risky to hold.
Holistic AI Is Now H, a New French Startup With $220 Million Out of the Gate
A French artificial intelligence startup, simply called H, has raised $220 million in initial financing from a slew of billionaires and venture capitalists on the promise of building the next generation of powerful AI tools.
Fed’s Waller Needs ‘Several More’ Months of Good Inflation to Cut Rates
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he needs to see “several more” months of good inflation figures to begin interest-rate cuts, though recent data suggest progress has likely resumed.
Where Do Shadow Banks Get Their Money? Your Deposits
Shadow banking is back. A constellation of less-regulated intermediaries — from insurers to private investment funds — is increasingly taking on the traditional business of banks, making trillions of dollars in risky loans and occupying a central role in the economy.
Bond Rally Built on Inflation Euphoria Faces UK Reality Check
A global bond rally ignited by signs that inflation in the world’s largest economy is finally slowing once again faces a reality check this week.
Speedier Wall Street Trades Are Putting Global Finance On Edge
When US markets reopen next Tuesday after the long weekend, everything will likely seem normal. It’s only after the close and in the following days that any cracks are expected to appear.
Copper’s Boom Story Has Some Truth — and Lots of Hogwash
When Thomas Edison wired his own house in Menlo Park, then a tiny village in New Jersey, he fabricated a primitive cable. As insulation he chose a mix of asphalt, linseed oil and beeswax; for the core, copper wire.
Private Equity Is No Place for Your Nest Egg
Retirement is expensive. If you’re lucky, yours will last a few decades, and you’ll be earning no or very little income. So if you want to have enough money when you retire, you basically have three options: Save more, take more risk with your investments, or work longer.
America Is Joining Its Frenemies Back in the Fossil Fuel Club
Geography, it’s often said, is destiny. The paths nations follow though history are written like a script on the patterns of their rocks, rivers, plains and coasts, in ways that often confound the views of the people who inhabit them. It’s rare for a country to escape that geological fate.
One of the Last Big Bears on Wall Street Turns Bullish on US Stocks
One of Wall Street’s most prominent bears has just turned positive on the outlook for US stocks.
Nevermind Those EVs — Oil Demand Keeps Growing
Like clockwork, the commodities market worries in May about the strength of oil demand heading into the northern hemisphere summer holiday. Nervousness about the seasonal pickup in oil consumption abounds.
JPMorgan Asset Revives Government-Focused Money Market Fund
JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s asset management arm has created a new European money market fund focused on public debt, a kind of investment that largely disappeared when interest rates were negative.
To Save Venezuela, Give Maduro an Exit Strategy
Hopes for regime change in Venezuela have surged in recent weeks, the result of a coalescing political opposition and apparent divisions within President Nicolás Maduro’s ruling socialist party ahead of July 28 elections.
San Francisco's Startups Are on the Mend
The fortunes of Silicon Valley startups rose and fell together like never before in recent years. Partly that was due to the indiscriminate tidal wave of money that washed through venture capital, but it’s also because many business-to-business software startups are closely connected as each other’s customers.
Millennium, Point72 and Elliott Are Among Bitcoin ETF Buyers
When it comes to Bitcoin ETFs, it’s not just the retail trading crowd that’s taking the plunge. It’s now clear that hedge funds, pension funds and banks have also sprinkled capital into the exchange-traded funds after their blockbuster debut that was more than a decade in the making.
David Tepper Scoops Up Alibaba as Hedge Funds Hunt for Bargains in China
Billionaire investor David Tepper loaded up on beaten-down Chinese stocks last quarter while reducing stakes in high-flying US tech firms, leading hedge fund managers who are slowly warming up to China amid a record gap in valuations between the two markets.
Bitcoin’s Correlation With Tech Stocks Jumps to Highest Level Since August
Bitcoin was lumped in with other speculative investments during the run-up of the Federal Reserve’s last tightening cycle, slumping on expectations higher interest rates would damp the appetite for risk.
Treat Buy Now, Pay Later Loans Like Real Debt
It’s been close to two years since the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau indicated it was looking to tighten regulations on popular “buy now, pay later” services. Since then, the sector has grown to $300 billion.
The Future of Robots Is Coming on Two Legs
Most people have seen robots in human form. The Hollywood version has starred in movies for decades. Now there are videos on the internet of real bipedal robots, whether it’s Elon Musk’s Optimus or the incredibly flexible two-legged robot from Boston Dynamics. Agility Robotics has one with legs that bend back at the knees like a flamingo.
Google’s New Search Engine Is Bad News for the Web Economy
For more than two decades, a simple handshake has shaped how people find information online. It works like this: Websites allow Google’s web crawler to index their content so it can appear in search results.
Where’s the Bond Market’s Breaking Point? It’s Not $35 Trillion
Everyone is worried about the excessively high level of US government debt. Everyone, that is, except America’s creditors.
Wall Street’s E-Trading Boom Adds New Fuel to Private-Debt Mania
The rise of electronic trading and growing popularity of portfolio trading has had an unintended consequence for the US corporate bond market: making private credit even more attractive.
BlackRock’s Rieder Says Cut, Not Hike, Would Tame US Inflation
BlackRock Inc.’s Rick Rieder has some advice that bucks conventional wisdom: The best way for the Federal Reserve to temper inflation will be to lower rates, not hold them higher.
Revival of Meme-Stock Frenzy Points to a Frothy US Stock Market
This week’s meme-stock pop is a sign that US equity markets are frothy and potentially peaking, according to the latest Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey.
Hot Commodity Silver Outpaces Gold as Buying Gains Momentum
Gold’s record-setting rally may have captured the headlines this year, but it’s silver that’s running harder and faster as the less glamorous metal benefits from robust financial and industrial demand.
The Dow Hit 40,000. It Doesn’t Matter
Huge news from the markets today: The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit 40,000 points for the first time. The number is splashed across financial news sources the world over (including Bloomberg), even though the index closed back below the threshold by the end of trading.
Jamie Dimon Sees ‘Lot of Inflationary Forces in Front of Us’
The JPMorgan Chase & Co. chief executive officer said significant price pressures are still influencing the US economy and may mean interest rates will be higher for longer than many investors are expecting. Dimon cited costs linked to the green economy, re-militarization, infrastructure spending, trade disputes and large fiscal deficits.
US Housing Starts, Permits Fall Short as Mortgage Rates Rise
New US home construction rose by less than forecast in April and permits for new activity dropped, suggesting the recent rise in mortgage rates is giving builders pause.
The Inflation Battle Is Far From Over
There was white smoke over the Bureau of Labor Statistics, sort of, on Wednesday morning. The key measures of consumer price inflation for April confirmed expectations for a slight decline, and alleviated growing anxiety over a possible reacceleration. Risk assets across the world spent the rest of the day exhaling deeply.
The Long, Slow Decline in Fund Manager Fees May Be Ending
Active exchange-traded funds have seen record inflows in recent years, taking assets under management to $630 billion.
Walmart Beat Inflation. Now It Must Offer More Than Deals
Aside from the big box bloodbath of 2022, when an abrupt halt in buying left Walmart Inc. sitting on too many sweatpants and patio sets, the world’s biggest retailer has been one of the beneficiaries from inflation.
JPMorgan Trading Clients Are Buying Commodities on AI Build-Out
As artificial intelligence rolls out around the globe, will it drive inflation or deflation? The answer is both — one and then the other, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s new global co-heads of sales and research.
The Great ‘Vibecession’ Rages Through an $11 Trillion Stock Boom
Time and again, Jerome Powell has made it clear. Financial conditions, the Federal Reserve’s key lever for cooling the US economy, are tight.
Here Are the Key Takeaways From US CPI Report for April
Here are the key takeaways from the US CPI report for April released Wednesday.
The Dollar Is on a Rampage, But Not on the Attack
An unfortunate byproduct of the dollar’s unexpected surge has been the revival of a bogey that just won’t die: currency wars. The phrase gets thrown about during periods of dislocation in the foreign-exchange market and has the beauty of meaning whatever the person who utters it desires.
Higher for Longer? Rates Could Be Higher Forever
Our holiday from history has come to an end. I am referring not to world peace but to the zero-interest-rate environment so many people expected would last forever.
Alphabet AI Event Will Show Whether Blowout Results Were a Fluke
Alphabet Inc.’s recent results raised hopes that the Google parent can still be a big player in artificial intelligence. Now it has a chance to prove it.
Powell Reiterates Fed Likely to Keep Rates Higher for Longer
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the US central bank needs to be patient as it awaits more evidence that high interest rates are curbing inflation, doubling-down on the need to keep borrowing costs elevated.
Overdue Bills Are Rising With US Debt Delinquencies, Fed Survey Shows
US household debt has reached a record and more borrowers are struggling to keep up.
Bond Traders Await US Inflation Data Behind Half of 2024’s Rout
Nothing has been setting the US bond market’s direction this year more than the monthly inflation figures. This week will be no exception.
Goldman’s ‘No Return’ Market May Still Surprise
Wall Street strategists are worried that US stocks are on a trip to nowhere, but that doesn’t mean you shouldn’t go along for the ride.
Nvidia Rivals Gold as Shield Against Inflation, Survey Shows
The biggest US tech stocks are not only a bet on innovation but also a possible hedge against inflation, according to some respondents in the latest Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey.
Ozempic Maker Novo Nordisk Plans Bond Sale to Fund Expansion
Novo Nordisk A/S plans to sell bonds for the first time in more than two years to help finance its large program to expand production of its blockbuster treatments.
Tariffs and Timidity Are Driving US Carmakers into a Ditch
Faced with the greatest challenge of the 21st century, America is giving up.
Where’s the Bond Market’s Breaking Point? It’s Not $35 Trillion
Everyone is worried about the excessively high level of US government debt. Everyone, that is, except America’s creditors.
This Round of Inflation Data Will Matter Greatly
Here we go again. Brace for the latest dose of critical data on US inflation over the next three days, as the New York Federal Reserve publishes its monthly survey of consumers’ inflation expectations Monday, followed by the Labor Department’s report on producer prices Tuesday and consumer prices Wednesday.
DeepMind CEO Targets $100 Billion-Plus AI Drug Discovery Business With AlphaFold
Google DeepMind has released a new version of AlphaFold, a landmark tool for predicting protein structures, that puts the artificial intelligence software on a path to make breakthroughs in biology research and bolster a business that Google’s AI chief says could be worth north of $100 billion.
Microsoft’s Hedge Against OpenAI Makes Perfect Sense
When Microsoft Corp. invested more than $10 billion for a chunk of OpenAI, scientists inside its storied research division were rankled about being shoved aside for a newer player from outside the company.
Druckenmiller Sold Some Nvidia Stock. Don’t Panic.
In the US stock market, investors have been conditioned to hold onto their winners. The Magnificent Seven were so-named because most of them — both individually and collectively — have delivered consistently extraordinary returns for a decade or so.
We Actually Need to Build More Luxury Homes. Here’s Why
There is broad agreement that the US housing market needs more homes . There is also broad agreement that affordability needs to improve. But it doesn't necessarily follow that we should build more affordable homes.
Oil Extends Two-Day Climb on Renewed Optimism for US Rate Cuts
Oil advanced for a third day to trade at a one-week high as US jobs data supported the case for Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, buoying risk assets including crude.
Apple to Power AI Tools With In-House Server Chips This Year
Apple Inc. will deliver some of its upcoming artificial intelligence features this year via data centers equipped with its own in-house processors, part of a sweeping effort to infuse its devices with AI capabilities.
Zuckerberg’s Free AI Is a Clever Form of Bait
There’s a persistent mystery about Mark Zuckerberg, and it’s not the one about his new chain necklace. The chief executive officer of Meta Platforms Inc. has spent billions of dollars building powerful artificial intelligence models and is giving that technology away for free.
Top Bond Forecasters Diverge as Fed Keeps the Market in Limbo
Anshul Pradhan and Stephen Stanley both saw the current US bond market coming. They just don’t agree on where it’s going.
Private Equity’s $3 Trillion Burden Sparks Hunt for Exit Options
As the market for initial public offerings bounces back after two lifeless years, investors who’ve been impatiently waiting for their payoff are finally getting some returns.
How to Fix America’s Cruel and Unusual Tax Code
It probably escaped your attention, but the Internal Revenue Service recently piloted a program to help Americans cope with their notoriously complex tax system.
Bezos, Zuckerberg Lead Magnificent Seven Insider Stock Sales
Insiders at the Magnificent Seven tech companies are following Jeff Bezos and Mark Zuckerberg in realizing gains from the stocks that have largely powered the boom in US equity markets.
It’s Dangerous to Stay Out of Stocks
Points of Return often argues for caution on stocks. It never argues to get out of them altogether. That’s because history demonstrates that over long time spans it’s very dangerous to be out of the market altogether.
Amazon Commits $9 Billion to Double Singapore Cloud Push
Amazon.com Inc. plans to spend $9 billion expanding its cloud computing infrastructure in Singapore, the latest global tech company to boost investment in Southeast Asia.
US Revokes Intel, Qualcomm Licenses to Sell Chips to Huawei
The US has revoked licenses allowing Huawei Technologies Co. to buy semiconductors from Qualcomm Inc. and Intel Corp., according to people familiar with the matter, further tightening export restrictions against the Chinese telecom equipment maker.
US to Triple Chipmaking Capacity by 2032, Industry Group Says
US chip production is poised to explode in coming years, helping ease a risky dependency on East Asia, according to a projection by the Semiconductor Industry Association.
Buffett Shouldn't Worry About Self-Driving Teslas
At last weekend’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. annual meeting, one shareholder asked Warren Buffett how his auto insurer Geico might fare in the event that autonomous-driving technology succeeds in slashing the number of accidents, as Tesla Inc.’s Elon Musk suggested it would on an earnings call last month.
Zero-Day Options Boom Will Only Grow Even As Some Investors Fear Disaster
Two years after Wall Street’s love affair with fast-twitch stock options began, Bloomberg’s latest Markets Live Pulse survey suggests the unprecedented boom still has room to run — even as almost half of respondents fear an eventual blowup.
At $2 Million Per Minute, Treasuries Mint Cash Like Never Before
For the first time in nearly a generation, fixed income is living up to its name.
Emerging-Market Optimism Hit by Fed as Currencies, Debt Sink
An April rout in emerging-market bonds and currencies has some former bulls turning negative on the outlook for the asset class.
Want to Reduce the Cost of Housing? Build More of It
When it comes to the current debate over housing affordability, I feel like my position has been clear and consistent: Twelve years ago, I wrote a book called The Rent Is Too Damn High. At the same time, I also have to admit that most Americans do not share my preferred solutions.
Bill Gross Is the Bond King, But Diversification Is Emperor
Gross was famous for squeezing out extra yield using corporate bonds, mortgages, derivatives and other instruments.
Apple Rallies Most in 18 Months on Upbeat Forecast, Buyback
Apple Inc. shares jumped the most in almost a year-and-a-half after the company posted stronger-than-expected sales last quarter and predicted a return to growth in the current period, sparking optimism that a slowdown is easing.
Treasuries Soar as Traders Pull Forward Fed Cuts After Jobs Miss
Treasuries surged and traders ramped up bets on how soon the Federal Reserve will begin to cut interest rates this year after a US labor-market report trailed estimates.
Lagging Real Estate Stocks Have Dropped Too Far, Analysts Say
Wall Street analysts see a double-digit upside potential for the S&P 500’s biggest losers this year: real estate stocks.
Google and Microsoft Don’t Care About Fed’s 2% Inflation Goal
As the Federal Reserve acknowledges a setback in its inflation fight, one question looms large: Why hasn’t the economy slowed the way policymakers expected?
How Crazy Would It Be If Warren Buffett Bought Boeing?
Here’s a conversation starter ahead of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.’s annual meeting on Saturday: Warren Buffett should buy Boeing Co.
Bitcoin Faces Worst Month Since FTX Crash With ETF Demand Cooling
The prospect of higher-for-longer interest rates is weighing on crypto, underlined by deepening Bitcoin losses after the token’s worst monthly drop since the collapse of Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX empire in November 2022.
Powell Keeps Rate Cuts on Table But Leaves Timing Less Certain
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell kept hopes alive for an interest-rate cut this year while acknowledging that a burst of inflation has reduced policymakers’ confidence that price pressures are ebbing.
Buffett Devotees Head to Omaha for First Meeting Without Munger
When Berkshire Hathaway Inc. devotees gather in Omaha on Saturday for its annual meeting, there will be a noticeable void on stage.
Index Funds Need to Be Passive, Not Political
The rise of index funds has provided millions of Americans with a cheaper and more efficient way to invest. With more than $23 trillion in assets between them, BlackRock Inc., Vanguard Group Inc. and State Street Corp. have become the top shareholders in many US-listed companies.
Wall Street’s ‘Macro Agnostic’ Tech Trade Shatters ETF Records
Investors are plowing into technology-tracking ETFs at a record clip as conviction builds that the market’s biggest stocks can thrive in almost any economic cycle.
Self-Driving Teslas Can’t Duck the US-China Silicon Curtain
What’s the value of a good story? $82 billion, to judge by Tesla Inc.’s 15% share price gain Monday.
Microsoft to Invest $1.7 Billion in Indonesia for AI, Cloud
Microsoft Corp. will invest $1.7 billion to build out cloud computing and artificial intelligence infrastructure in Indonesia, betting on Southeast Asia’s biggest economy to spur growth.
AI Faces Its ‘Oppenheimer Moment’ During Killer Robot Arms Race
Regulators who want to get a grip on an emerging generation of artificially intelligent killing machines may not have much time left to do so, governments were warned on Monday.
Once Unthinkable Nuclear Plant Revival Is a Reality in US Shift
A month after the US offered $1.5 billion to restart one shuttered nuclear power plant, there’s a growing sense among officials in the industry and government that it may not be the last.
Oil Producers Flush With Cash Cut Reliance on Funding Markets
Last year, the demand for loans from fossil-fuel companies fell 6% year-on-year and that followed a decline of 1% in 2022.
Amazon Earnings to Bring More Scrutiny For AI-Tethered Stocks
Amazon.com Inc.’s “show-me” moment will arrive on Tuesday when its earnings become the latest litmus test on appetite for heavy artificial intelligence spending.
Hong Kong Vies With US in Bitcoin ETF Market After Crypto’s Revival
A batch of exchange-traded funds investing directly in crypto debuted in Hong Kong on Tuesday, heralding potential competition for US Bitcoin products whose popularity stoked a record rally in the digital asset.
Goldman Sees Momentum Traders Buying Stocks in Every Scenario
Momentum traders are modeled to buy equities over the next week regardless of market direction, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s trading desk.
The Fed’s Quantitative Easing Program Cost Too Much
America’s experiment with quantitative easing is almost over. This week, the Federal Reserve will likely announce plans to slow the shrinkage of its balance sheet, foreboding the end of a long period in which it sought to stimulate the economy by holding large quantities of Treasury and mortgage securities.
Stocks Trade for 390 Minutes a Day. Increasingly, Only 10 Matter
The regular market for US equities runs for 390 minutes on a standard trading day. But at the rate things are going, eventually the last 10 might be the only ones that matter.
Bankers Doing Bond Deals Jolted by New Era of Issuer Clauses
Message to bond underwriters: Some big customers are sizing up your ESG credentials.
Why UK Giants Should Think Twice Before Ditching London Listing
The sorry state of Britain's equity markets has been well-documented. Across all UK indexes there have been just three initial public offerings so far this year after over 100 de-listings in 2023. The noise that this is only the beginning is getting louder.
Your Retirement Anxiety Can’t Be Cured Online
The often-cited goal of having a $1 million retirement nest egg needs to be retired itself. Adjusted for inflation , it would take nearly $1.9 million to have the same purchasing power today as in 1999, when the oldest of millennials were just turning 18.
Wall Street Humbled as Fast-Reversing Markets Confound the Pros
With inflation up, economic growth down and two-year Treasury yields testing 5%, Bill Gross sensed the music in markets was fading, and said it was time to get over the likes of the Magnificent Seven.
Alphabet Joins $2 Trillion Club as Results Show AI Strength
Alphabet Inc. closed decisively above a $2 trillion market capitalization for the first time on Friday, as a powerhouse earnings report reassured investors that the Google parent would be a major player in artificial intelligence.
Apple Intensifies Talks With OpenAI for iPhone Generative AI Features
Apple Inc. has renewed discussions with OpenAI about using the startup’s technology to power some new features coming to the iPhone later this year, according to people familiar with the matter.
Investors Seek Billions From SVB’s Husk. Why Regulators Refuse to Pay
The dust had barely settled after Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse last year when savvy investors began lining up for a big payout, based on a hastily written government press release.
Inflation Is Overshadowing US Economic Resilience, Hurting Biden
The US economy is resilient, and it’s bad news for Joe Biden.
Focus on the Right Inflation Data — Not Nightmare Scenarios
Markets are supposed to be forward-looking, so it’s a bit of a mystery that bonds sold off as dramatically as they did on evidence that bad first-quarter inflation was worse than previously understood.
A Strong Economy Doesn’t Necessarily Make the Fed’s Job Harder
The US economy expanded at a strong 3% last year, though growth slowed to a 1.6% annual rate in the first quarter with a drag from imports.
Fed’s Preferred Core Inflation Gauge Rose at Brisk Pace in March
The Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of underlying US inflation rose at a brisk pace in March, reinforcing concerns of persistent price pressures that are likely to delay any interest-rate cuts.
Jamie Dimon Has a Rival in Tech: Silicon Valley Bank
Since Silicon Valley Bank became the second-biggest failure in US history a year ago, other lenders have been trying to take its place in banking the fast-moving, entrepreneurial world of startups and tech companies.
Housing Will Get More Expensive Because of the Fed
It may seem counterintuitive to suggest that today’s high interest rates will fuel shelter inflation down the road. After all, the Federal Reserve has tightened monetary policy to stamp out price pressures in the economy.
High Yields Lure Buyers as US Sells $180 Billion of Treasuries
Demand for Treasuries is holding up as the US government floods the market with more than $180 billion of new debt this week, a testament to the appeal of high yields for shorter-term notes.
Microsoft, Alphabet Face a ‘Show Me’ Moment After Meta Misfire
The stakes are high as two of the biggest artificial intelligence players prepare to unveil results, a day after Meta Platforms Inc. alarmed investors with its forecast.
World’s Biggest Energy Traders Are Returning to Metals Markets
Some of the world’s biggest energy trading companies are returning to metals, years after getting burnt in the notoriously difficult markets.
Ray Dalio’s Famous Trade Is Sputtering, Investors Bailing
It was an irresistible pitch. Give us your money, executives at Ray Dalio’s Bridgewater Associates and other hedge funds said, and we’ll funnel it into a money-minting, sure-thing strategy for the long haul.
Want to Enjoy Your Retirement? Consider Delaying It
The bad news is that most of us will need to work longer. The good news is that, if we do it right, most of us will want to.
The ‘Finternet’ Will Be Here Soon — Are You Ready?
Finance in the 21st century is still too costly, and clubby. Besides, when compared with the instantaneous gratification in other aspects of our digital lives, money appears to move too slowly online.
AI Search Startup Perplexity Valued at $1 Billion in Funding Round
Perplexity AI, a startup using artificial intelligence to build a search engine to compete with Alphabet Inc.’s Google, has raised about $63 million in a new funding round that values the company at more than $1 billion.
Tesla Stock in ‘No Man’s Land’ After 43% Rout Ahead of Earnings
Elon Musk is known to challenge the status quo — and that’s exactly what Tesla Inc.’s investors are worried about right now.
New US Home Sales Jump to Highest Level Since September
Sales of new homes in the US bounced back broadly in March as an abundance of inventory helped drive prices lower.
Don’t Exit Stocks as If You’re a Pension Fund
Rising interest rates and the fear of giving back stock market gains are pushing pension fund managers to move capital from stocks to bonds.
Inflation’s Last Mile Will Test the Fed
The Federal Reserve’s difficult task suddenly looks even harder. The central bank’s goal has been to restrain demand enough to push inflation gently back to its 2% target without tipping the economy into a recession.
Alphabet’s Cash Boom Is Raising Dividend Hopes on Wall Street
Alphabet Inc. is bringing in so much cash that hopes are rising it will take a page out of the Meta Platforms Inc. playbook and start paying a dividend.
US Dollar’s Extended Reign Delivers Stark Wake-Up Call for Markets
The world’s financial markets are encountering a force they didn’t bet on for 2024: A strong dollar is back and looks set to stay.
Climate Change Is Stunting Our Economic Growth
Imagine you were running for king of the world on a platform of slashing economic growth by 20% forever. You’d be lucky to get your own family to vote for you. And yet humanity insists on running the global economy on fossil fuels that are doing exactly that sort of damage.
How JPMorgan’s Cash Call Beat Bank of America
When the Federal Reserve flooded the economy with cash during the Covid-19 pandemic it exacerbated a problem for America’s largest banks: What to do with all the extra deposits.
Copper Homes in on $10,000 a Ton as Supply Angst Continues
Copper traded near $10,000 a ton, hitting a new two-year high on its way, as investors continue to pile in on a bet that miners will struggle to service a surge in demand for the bellwether industrial metal.
Yellen Meets Japan, South Korea Counterparts in Bid to Boost Economic Ties
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen acknowledged the concerns of Japan and South Korea over sharp declines in their currencies during a trilateral meeting of finance chiefs that may offer Tokyo and Seoul more scope to defend the yen and the won.
It’s Time for Earnings to Prove the Bulls Right
Ben Graham, the value investor and Warren Buffett mentor, famously said the market is like a voting machine in the short run, but “in the long run it becomes a weighing machine.”
Too Many Passive Investors? There’s No Such Thing
US markets are doing much better than markets everywhere else, but no one seems to know why. Yes, there are theories: Perhaps it’s the promise of AI, although it remains to be seen how AI will play out and who will profit.
Jamie Dimon Has a New Vision for Money in an AI World
JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon makes no secret that his firm is all-in on artificial intelligence. Now, the head of the world’s biggest bank is laying out his vision for the future of money in an AI world.
King Dollar Risks Becoming Greenback the Bully
When does a strong dollar become too strong? “Right now” would be the cry of most emerging-market currencies, not to mention policymakers in Japan. Even the European Central Bank says it’s paying attention to the foreign exchange market.
Hedge Funds Sell Off Winning Energy Stocks to Buy Soaring Oil
With energy stocks trading near all-time highs and oil climbing as well, hedge funds think they’ve found a trade to capitalize: Sell the shares and pour the profits into buying more crude.
Wall Street Takes New Role as Matchmaker in Private Credit Boom
Banks have found another way to fight back after private lenders have grabbed ever larger pieces of the lucrative business of financing leveraged buyouts.
US Yields at 2024 Highs Lure Buyers Even as Shorts Dominate
The highest US yields since November are beginning to attract some opportunistic buyers, even as negative sentiment remains firmly entrenched throughout the Treasury bond market.
Powell’s US Rates Warning Means Headaches for Rest of the World
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is making life tougher for his peers around the world as the prospect of higher-for-longer US interest rates reduces room for easier policy elsewhere.
US 30-Year Mortgage Rate Rises to a Four-Month High of 7.13%
US mortgage rates climbed to a four-month high last week, potentially signaling a bumpier recovery for the residential real estate market.
TSMC Capex Outlook Key to Next Phase of $340 Billion Stock Rally
With Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. still trading at pedestrian valuations even after surging to a record high, there is potential for its upcoming results to drive the stock even higher.
Crypto Can Turn Pro With a Little Help From Congress
Last July, the House Financial Services Committee approved two major pieces of legislation aimed at creating a regulatory framework for the cryptocurrency industry, the Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act and the Clarity for Payment Stablecoins Act.
The 2% Inflation Target Regime Should Now Be Retired: Marcus Ashworth
With the end of great inflation scare in sight, it's time the central bank hive mind contemplated what it might learn from the failure of its economic models.
El-Erian Says World ‘Frozen’ by Strong Dollar, High US Rates
Policymakers around the world are struggling to confront a surging greenback and lofty US interest rates, according to Mohamed El-Erian.
Biden Has Lost the Plot on Student Debt Relief
As he announced his latest round of student loan forgiveness last week — the previous one was just last month — President Joe Biden was greeted with an unpleasant reminder of why his policy is not only ill-considered but also ill-timed.
It’s Suddenly Lonely Being a Dove on Fed Policy. So Be It.
Fixed-income markets are back in a tizzy over inflation, thanks to the combination of rising risks for energy prices and strong retail sales data — both of which come on the heels of a higher-than-expected consumer price index last week.
Treasury Yields Jump to New 2024 Highs After Hot US Retail Sales
Most US Treasury yields climbed to new year-to-date highs, with the 2-year note’s approaching 5%, after hot retail sales data further eroded investor confidence that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rate cuts this year.
US Regional Banks Dramatically Step Up Loans to Oil and Gas
A group of US regional banks is ratcheting up lending to oil, gas and coal clients, grabbing market share as bigger European rivals back away.
China Industrial Overcapacity Has Peaked, EIU Report Says
China’s overall manufacturing overcapacity has peaked as global demand picks up in consumer sectors, the Economist Intelligence Unit said, predicting trade tensions will persist due to Chinese companies’ rising competitiveness.
JPMorgan Strategists Say Earnings Unlikely to Boost Lofty Stocks
Don’t bank on an upbeat corporate earnings season to drive equities higher as much of the optimism is already priced in following the record-breaking rally this year, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists.
Why Everyone in Finance Is Getting Ripped
Graham Ambrose has never felt stronger. He can barbell back squat 145kg (320 lbs) for four sets of six repetitions and bench-press more than 100kg for a single rep. His friends and colleagues notice that his clothes fit tighter and he’s fond of posting mirror selfies on Instagram.
Growth From Mergers? Here’s What You Want to Hear
Everyone says that mergers and acquisitions mostly fail. Now Bain & Co. brings a challenge to the received wisdom.
Cathie Wood Muscles Into ChatGPT Boom With New OpenAI Stake
Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management has announced that it holds a stake in Silicon Valley artificial intelligence darling OpenAI, a bet that the nascent AI industry will remake the tech landscape.
Enjoy Cheaper Rent While You Can. It Won’t Last.
he current state of the market for renters is akin to being in the eye of a multi-year hurricane. Rents surged in 2021 and 2022, driving a wave of apartment construction that helped to stabilize or even lower prices this year.
Your Plug-In Hybrid SUV Won’t Save the Planet
Back when the electric vehicles revolution appeared unshakable and Tesla Inc. was valued at more than $1 trillion, few of us gave much thought to hybrids. But amid consumer wariness about EVs’ driving range and insufficient public recharging infrastructure, vehicles that combine a combustion engine and electric motor are back in fashion, at least for now.
Apple Signal of AI Intent Unleashes $112 Billion Stock Surge
The stock market has punished Apple Inc. this year for failing to offer a vision of where its future growth will come from. The shares caught a bid Thursday after the tech giant took a step toward providing an answer.
U-Turn on Fed Rate Cut Bets Wipes Out Last Year’s Bond Gains
Investors wagering on an extension of last year’s global bond gains have been served a harsh reality check.
Nuclear Medicine Is Big Pharma’s New Target in Cancer Race
As pharma giants spend billions on acquisitions of startups developing new ways to harness radiation in the fight against cancer, the chief executive officer of Perspective Therapeutics Inc. found himself getting top billing at two different industry gatherings this week.
How China Beat the US in the Great EV Race
The US is somehow home to the most valuable electric vehicle producer in the world and, simultaneously, an also-ran in the race for EVs. How did that happen?
I Turned Down My Dream College. More Kids Should Do the Same.
Choosing a school that enables you to graduate with the least amount of debt, or, even better, with no debt at all, is a message more students need to hear.
Fed Faces a Big Risk, But It’s Not the One Many Think
I have been arguing for almost a year now, here and elsewhere, that US consumer price inflation would become sticky after a period of favorable disinflation going into the end of 2023. Wednesday’s hotter-than-expected data release, the third in a row, is evidence that this scenario is indeed unfolding.
Big Bank Earnings to Test Stocks’ Market-Trouncing Resurgence
The biggest US bank stocks have soared over the past six months, outpacing the S&P 500’s gains. But whether they can maintain that momentum is the big question entering earnings season.
If US Inflation Reflected Rising Home Insurance Costs, It’d Be Even Higher
If the rising price of homeowners insurance were factored into the US Consumer Price Index — a key metric of inflation — it could have added 80 basis points, or about 0.8%, to last year’s CPI increase of 3.4%, according to an analysis from Bloomberg Intelligence.
Biden’s Battle Against Inflation Gets Tougher With Latest Data
A third consecutive month of higher-than-expected inflation data dealt a double-barreled blow to Joe Biden’s political prospects ahead of November’s election, exacerbating concerns voters could punish him over high prices and delaying hopes for Federal Reserve rate cuts the president has predicted.
Powell’s Soft-Landing Dream In Danger as Traders Hedge Inflation
Signs that inflation has yet to release its grip on markets have simmered for weeks. Now they’re boiling over after Wednesday’s hotter-than-forecast consumer price index sent stocks and bonds reeling.
Meta Trades at a Discount to Magnificent Seven After $1 Trillion AI Rally
Meta Platforms Inc.’s record-breaking, artificial intelligence-fueled rally has added $1 trillion in market value since its darkest days of 2022, and yet by some perspectives it’s still trading at a discount.
The Four-Day Work Week Is Decades Away
Some big technological innovations promise to make people more productive, but a four-day work week will not be the norm anytime soon. And legislation imposing it over the next four years would harm the economy.
Sorry, Home Sellers: The 6% Commission Isn’t Going Anywhere
Negotiation is an essential part of buying or selling a home. But for nearly a century, there’s been one part of the process where haggling doesn’t fly: the 5% to 6% standard commission charged by US realtors.
US Core CPI Tops Forecasts Again, Likely Delaying Fed Rate Cuts
A measure of underlying US inflation topped forecasts for a third straight month, heralding a fresh wave of price pressures that will likely delay any Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts until later in the year.
Bond Trader Places Record Futures Bet on Eve of Inflation Data
A block trade in US short-term interest-rate futures Tuesday was the biggest on record and helped drive gains for the Treasury market.
Extreme Market Swings Dominate as Hot Economy, Oil Feed Anxiety
A steady march higher in markets was snapped by a stretch of jarring volatility as traders gave hints there’s a limit to their appetite for hot economic data.
Google Shows AI Model Is Enterprise-Ready After Gemini Mishaps
Google unveiled a host of updates to its artificial intelligence offerings for cloud computing customers, emphasizing that the technology is safe and ready for use in the corporate realm, despite recent stumbles in consumer-facing tools.
Biden Pursues Student-Debt Relief for About 26 Million Americans
President Joe Biden’s alternative student-debt relief plan could forgive loans for as many as 26 million Americans, a far-reaching initiative that will be tested by the same challenges that beset his original program struck down by the Supreme Court.
Blackstone $10 Billion Deal Is Latest Bet Property Near Lows
Blackstone Inc. struck a roughly $10 billion deal for an apartment landlord in the latest sign that the real estate investor sees a ripe moment to pour money into the property market.
The Odds of $100 Oil Are Rising as Supply Shocks Convulse the Market
When oil jumped above $90 a barrel just days ago, military tensions between Israel and Iran were the immediate trigger. But the rally’s foundations went deeper — to global supply shocks that are intensifying fears of a commodity-driven inflation resurgence.
Dimon Likens AI’s Transformational Potential to the Steam Engine
JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon said artificial intelligence may be the biggest issue his bank is grappling with, likened its potential impact to that of the steam engine and said the technology could “augment virtually every job.”
Wall Street Searches for AI Winners Across Emerging Markets
Some of the world’s biggest money managers are searching for the next wave of artificial intelligence winners beyond the US.
Yellen Implores China to Rethink Economic Growth Strategy
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen implored Beijing’s top leaders to fundamentally rethink their economic growth strategy, as she wrapped up a high-stakes trip to China that’s been a balancing act in strengthening bilateral ties while delivering stark criticisms.
How You Can Avoid Getting Lost in the Land of the Titans
The only way to outperform an index is to be different from that index in the right way. For the last few years, there has only been one way to do that. But if the Titans tank, if they flatline or even if they are just joined in their bull market by more sectors and companies, there will be many more.
Beaten-Down Bond Traders Are Betting Jobs Data Means More Losses
A rough start to the year for bond traders risks getting worse with the release of key US employment data on Friday. Treasury yields remain near their highest levels of 2024 ahead of the report, which is forecast to show that solid jobs growth moderated in March.
El-Erian Sees Two Fed Rate Cuts This Year Despite Strong Data
Mohamed El-Erian still expects Federal Reserve officials to cut interest rates twice this year, even as a blockbuster jobs report pushes traders to rethink the timing.
Summers Says Hot Jobs Data Show Neutral Fed Rate ‘Much Higher’
Former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers said that the surge in US payrolls in March illustrates that the Federal Reserve is well off in its estimate of where the neutral interest rate is, and cautioned against any move to lower rates in June.
American Exceptionalism Is on Display in the Bond Market
Many of us have our favorite economic and financial indicators. I’m referring to those indicators that don’t get a lot - if any - attention from the television channels geared toward finance and markets and yet can provide important insights. One of my favorites - the divergence between key US and German fixed-income benchmarks - is at a notable level.
The ‘Great Wealth Transfer’ Is a Delusion
The Great Wealth Transfer sounds like a heist film or a game show. It’s neither.
Wall Street Just Doesn’t Get Retirement
As a retirement economist — not to be confused with a retired economist, which are rare — I often find myself talking to Wall Street types who happen to be in charge of a lot of other people’s money.
Gold Retreats From Record as Traders Weigh Fedspeak, Await Data
Gold retreated after hitting a fresh record as investors weighed remarks from policymakers ahead of a key jobs report due Friday.
Think UK Stocks Are Cheap? Try Buying a Whole Company
Foreign acquirers — mainly from the US — are targeting UK companies again. This time they’re being forced to pay up. Forget the apparent cheap valuations of London stocks when a handful of shares are traded. Buying an entire UK company means burning a hole in your pocket.
Hey Google, Please Set YouTube Free
Shares in Google-parent Alphabet Inc. have lagged competitors so far this year. There is worry its faltering progress in artificial intelligence means the outlook’s not so hot for its core business of selling ads alongside search results. But one part of its empire, minimally detailed on the company’s filings like some side hustle, shows no sign of being knocked from its throne.
Winners of 2023 Bank Crisis Are Finding the New Spotlight Harsh
Two regional banks emerged as winners last year as deposit runs shook their industry. Their fortunes have diverged since: New York Community Bancorp Inc. required a frantic rescue last month. First Citizens BancShares Inc. has stretched its rally to more than double in value.
Fed Blocks Tough Global Climate-Risk Rules for Wall Street Banks
US regulators, led by the Federal Reserve, have thwarted a push to make climate risk a focus of global financial rules, according to people familiar with the matter.
Yellen Eyes Valuable Asset on China Trip: Insight on Economy
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and her team are hoping their second visit to China in nine months, building on a series of bilateral talks, will yield valuable clues to the true state of the world’s No. 2 economy — even if no significant policy agreements are anticipated.
The Fed Is Wrong About How Low Interest Rates Will Go
Financial markets and the US Federal Reserve remain in disagreement on a subject crucial to asset prices and economic growth: how low interest rates will eventually go.
Powell Says Fed Has Time to Assess Data Before Deciding to Cut
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled policymakers will wait for clearer signs of lower inflation before cutting interest rates, even though a recent bump in prices didn’t alter their broader trajectory.
An AI-Rally for Software Makers Will Demand Investor Patience
Investors need more patience for the euphoria about artificial intelligence to lift the stocks of software makers.
Bond Traders Load Up on Bearish Wagers as Rate-Cut Odds Dwindle
Bond traders are piling into bearish bets, fueling a selloff in benchmark Treasury securities, as fresh evidence of robust US growth triggers a recalibration of expectations for Federal Reserve interest-rate policy.
Health Care Is Still Too Costly for Americans
America’s approach to health care is an outlier among the world’s rich countries, and not in a good way. Extraordinarily complex and hideously expensive, it still manages to leave some 26 million people without coverage.
Exxon’s $60 Billion Fight With Chevron Will Reshape Big Oil
The prize is called Stabroek — a series of oil fields off the coast of Guyana, the Latin American nation bordering Venezuela and Brazil. The potential riches are incredible — about 11 billion barrels of oil, worth nearly $1 trillion at current prices.
Wall Street Seizes Bitcoin Volatility With Leveraged, Short ETFs
The frenzy surrounding the launch of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds has yet to lose steam as Wall Street’s latest entrant offers supercharged versions of such products.
Bond Market Sees Fewer Rate Cuts Than Fed, Deepening Losses
For a brief moment last week, the market and the Federal Reserve were on the same page about the pace of monetary easing. It didn’t last long, and Treasuries investors are paying the price.
AI Boom Needs Vertiv Almost as Much as It Needs Nvidia
The artificial intelligence craze has driven Nvidia Corp. to a $2.3 trillion market value from about $360 billion at the beginning of last year, which means the chipmaker is trading at a price that’s 75 times higher than earnings. It is also taking some industrial companies along for the ride with a lot of room to run.
Billions Flood Active ETFs in Hunt for Cheap EM Stocks
As investors scour the globe for under-valued stocks, one increasingly popular destination is actively managed exchange-traded funds that focus on emerging markets.
Lithium Trading Hits Record on CME as Funds Seize Budding Market
Trading of CME Group Inc.’s nearly three-year-old lithium hydroxide futures contract is soaring, with more funds crowding into the budding market as prices of the battery metal falter.
Crash or Soar? Traders Are Preparing for Stock Market Extremes
Investors who just booked profits from one of the strongest first quarters for the S&P 500 Index in decades are preparing for what comes next — whether that’s stocks climbing higher or crashing back to earth.
June Fed Rate-Cut Odds Dip Below 50% After Strong ISM Data
Bond traders priced in less monetary policy easing by the Federal Reserve this year — and briefly set the odds of a first move in June to less than 50% — after a gauge of US manufacturing activity showed expansion for the first time since 2022.
The US Economy’s Resilience Is Now Undeniable
Reasonable people can disagree about whether US disinflation is actually stalling and what it might mean for Federal Reserve monetary policy. But it’s getting much harder to deny the underlying strength of the economy, suggesting central bankers can afford to wait before reducing benchmark interest rates.
Financial Markets Just Delivered a Powerful Reminder
What an impressive start to the year for US stocks! Not only did the S&P 500 Index achieve its largest first-quarter gain since 2019, it did so amidst significant challenges.
The Dollar Is More Armored Division Than Currency
There’s just no getting past the supremacy of the dollar, much as skeptics of American influence wish for it or lonely yen bulls cry for relief. The greenback has been frequently tipped to retreat, only for it to blow away everything in front of it.
What Are the Odds of Enjoying March Madness Now?
Now that gambling has taken a dark turn. Since the Supreme Court’s 2018 decision ending the prohibition on sports gambling in most states, March Madness betting has become easier and more accessible. As a result, more people are betting not against their coworkers, but through online gambling sites.
Dalio Says China Must Fix Debt Problems or Face ‘Lost Decade’
Ray Dalio warned that China should cut its debt and ease monetary policy or face “a lost decade.”
Powell Juices Bond Market Bet on Inflation With Tilt to Jobs
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s increasing focus on protecting the job market is encouraging a swath of bond traders putting bets on inflation rates to remain elevated.
Fed Hawks Put the Dollar on Track for Best Quarter Since 2022
The dollar is poised for its best quarter since late 2022 as Federal Reserve officials push back against the latest bout of rate-cut wagers.
US Pending Home Sales Bounce Back After Slumping in January
Pending sales of previously-owned homes in the US recovered last month after declining at the start of the year, adding to evidence that the housing market is gradually improving.
Amazon Bets $150 Billion on Data Centers Required for AI Boom
Amazon.com Inc. plans to spend almost $150 billion in the coming 15 years on data centers, giving the cloud-computing giant the firepower to handle an expected explosion in demand for artificial intelligence applications and other digital services.
Tesla’s $25,000 Car Means Tossing Out the 100-Year-Old Assembly Line
Tesla Inc. has a plan to fend off cheaper competition from China with a $25,000 electric car. But first it has to overhaul a 100-year-old manufacturing process pioneered by Henry Ford.
Housing-Bond Sales Hit 10-Year High as Mortgage Rates Stay Lofty
State and local governments borrowed nearly $9 billion for affordable housing so far this year — the most for the period in at least a decade — as buying a home in the US remains expensive.
Generative AI Is Coming for Your Bank. Maybe.
Big banks are scrambling to work out what to do with generative artificial intelligence: how to use it to make some of their people smarter or free up others to do only higher-value tasks, and how to ingest and process data more rapidly, speed up decision making and cut costs. Every bank fears their competitors getting good at AI before they do.
Pension Funds to Buy More Infrastructure on Energy Transition
Pension funds around the world are significantly underinvested in infrastructure and will help drive growth as they tip more capital into assets that will be part of the global energy transition, according to a report by IFM Investors.
The Fight Over Bank Capital Keeps Missing the Point
US financial regulators have been working on what’s optimistically known as Basel III Endgame – the long, slow effort to reform global banking rules following the crash of 2008. They’re apparently getting cold feet.
A Dream Run for Homebuilders Is Ending
Homebuilders were one of the big surprise winners in the US economy last year as record-low inventory of existing houses for sale and gently rising prices allowed companies such as KB Home and Lennar Corp. to ramp up construction and maintain high profit margins. Both have said they expect more of the same in 2024 — they may be in for another surprise.
AI Could Have a Surprising Effect on Interest Rates
As improvements in artificial intelligence continue apace, so do questions about how AI will influence economies, asset prices and — the question of the moment — interest rates: Is AI more likely to make them go up or down?
Burned Before, Bond Markets Resume Rate-Cutting Trades Worldwide
Bond traders are cautiously reloading wagers that burned them just weeks ago as the Federal Reserve and key global peers finally appear set to begin reducing interest rates as soon as June.
Morgan Stanley’s ETFs Break $1 Billion With Mutual Fund Flips
Morgan Stanley’s exchange-traded lineup now holds more than $1 billion thanks to the firm’s first-ever mutual-fund conversions.
Banks’ New Trick Won’t Make Their Risks Disappear
One big reason the global financial system nearly collapsed in 2008 was that banks had shifted risks into the shadows, relying on insurance-like instruments that proved incapable of absorbing losses.
Trump’s Social Media Company Is Set to Trade Tuesday on Nasdaq
Former president Donald Trump’s social media startup is set to begin trading Tuesday after completing a blank-check deal that may bring him a financial windfall.
Junk Market Flashes Warning as Fed Eyes Higher Rates for Longer
Junk-rated US companies have seen their interest costs rise after the Federal Reserve’s rate-hike campaign, but profits haven’t kept up, putting a squeeze on finances and underscoring a key risk for investors in high-yield debt as the trend persists.
Investors Can’t Always Trust the Data, and That’s OK
I was attracted to finance because it promised some order amid chaos. Here was this market, with billions of transactions a day — and yet it managed to set a price for each asset, a price that put a literal number on the value of future risks, or more precisely how much people value those risks in the present day.
Resistance Is Futile, But Maybe Not With AI
There is an important warning here for everyone giddy with the recent advances of generative AI. Breathtaking developments in the realm of technology do not render history obsolete. It lives on alongside the latest gadgetry, because the present is not where history ends and the future begins; it is where the past and the future fuse.
AI Sparks Life Into Left-for-Dead Energy Sector
Artificial intelligence is shining its aura on one of the most benighted corners of the stock-market. While two AI hardware firms top the S&P 500 leaderboard so far this year — Super Micro Computer Inc. and Nvidia Corp. — a close third is Constellation Energy Corp...
Fed’s Barr Says Changes to Capital Rules Likely to Be Significant
The Federal Reserve’s top banking regulator said there will likely be significant changes to a controversial plan to force big lenders to hold more capital — another signal that Wall Street’s efforts to scuttle the initial proposal are succeeding.
Reddit Soars 48% in Debut as AI Pitch Gets Warm Reception
Reddit Inc. shares soared 48% above their initial public offering price, as investors embraced the social media company’s vision of profiting from the growth of artificial intelligence.
Microsoft Deal, Apple-Google Talks Show Tech Giants Need AI Help
Earlier this week, Microsoft Corp. named artificial intelligence pioneer Mustafa Suleyman chief of its consumer AI business and hired most of the staff from his Inflection AI startup. A day before, Bloomberg reported that Alphabet Inc.’s Google was in talks to license its Gemini AI engine to Apple Inc.
Giving Intel $20 Billion Exposes American Weakness
Intel Inc. is receiving $20 billion in grants and loans to help finance the expansion of its production capacity in the US, becoming the largest beneficiary by far of the 2022 Chips and Science Act, the cornerstone of President Joe Biden’s plan to reverse a decades-long decline in the US’s share of global semiconductor output.
Tesla Trims Car Output in China as EV Sales Growth Slows
Tesla Inc. has reduced production at its plant in China, according to people familiar with the matter, amid sluggish growth in electric-vehicle sales and intense competition in the world’s biggest auto market.
The AI Assembly Line Ends With Microsoft, Google and Meta
It’s almost impossible for an artificial-intelligence startup to build anything as good as ChatGPT, but Inflection was getting there.
Gold Jumps Above $2,200 an Ounce for First Time on Dovish Fed
Gold surged above $2,200 an ounce for the first time as investors grew more confident about the Federal Reserve’s path for rate cuts, boosting the appeal of non-interest bearing bullion.
US Spot-Bitcoin ETFs Post Largest Three-Day Outflow Since Launch
A group of 10 spot-Bitcoin exchange-traded funds posted its biggest three-day outflow since the products debuted in January, a turnaround from the clamor for exposure that earlier drove to the token to a record high.
Fed Stays on Track for Rate Cuts With One Eye on Bumpy Inflation
Federal Reserve policymakers are largely sticking to their path of interest-rate cuts — for now — after hitting a bump on the road to low and steady inflation.
Asian Stocks Surge to 2022 High on Fed’s Outlook, Tech Rally
A key measure of Asian stocks rose to its highest level since April 2022, powered by technology companies and the Federal Reserve’s supportive comments on the outlook for US interest-rate cuts.
Goldman Plots Course to Become a Top Five Model-Portfolio Player
Goldman Sachs Asset Management is charting a path to break into the top ranks of what’s projected to grow into a more than $10 trillion industry by the end of the decade.
Evaporating US Bitcoin ETF Demand Sends Token to a Two-Week Low
Bitcoin sank to a two-week low before paring losses as demand for dedicated US exchange-traded funds dries up and investors question the Federal Reserve’s scope to lower interest rates quickly.
Real Estate Pain Is Showing Up in an Obscure Investment Product
An obscure investment product used to finance risky real estate projects is facing unprecedented stress as borrowers struggle to repay loans tied to commercial property ventures.
Who’s Waiting on the Fed? Not the Credit Market
The timing and pace of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts will consume economists and market commentators for months to come. But an emerging story in 2024 is that lenders and borrowers are jumping the gun well in advance of any policy easing.
Nvidia Unveils Successor to Its All-Conquering AI Processor
Nvidia Corp. Chief Executive Officer Jensen Huang showed off new chips aimed at extending his company’s dominance of artificial intelligence computing, a position that’s already made it the world’s third-most-valuable business.
BofA Strategists at Odds Over Presence of ‘Euphoria’ in Stocks
Wall Street is so divided on whether the US stock market’s meteoric rise has gone too far, too fast that even Bank of America Corp.’s own strategists disagree.
Wall Street Banks Tap Europe’s Buoyant Bond Market
Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase & Co. are piling into Europe’s bond market to raise money, the first Wall Street banks to do so this year as they take advantage of strong funding conditions.
Biden’s Budget Arithmetic Doesn’t Add Up
President Joe Biden’s new budget isn’t going anywhere. Policy for the current fiscal year is in disarray, to say nothing of the one that starts next October — and things will probably get worse as elections approach.
Five Key Charts to Watch in Global Commodities This Week
Here are five notable charts to consider in global commodity markets as the week gets underway.
US Homebuilder Sentiment Increases to an Eight-Month High
Sentiment among US homebuilders climbed to an eight-month high in March as a limited number of existing homes for sale and mortgage rates that are down from their peak spurred demand.
BlackRock, Man Group Reveal Big Japan Bets Before BOJ Decision
Snap up more Japanese stocks, ratchet up shorts on government debt and keep buying the yen: these are some of the most popular calls from big-name money managers ahead of a central bank meeting that may end the world’s last experiment with negative interest rates.
Markets Showing Signs of Bubble on Big Tech, Crypto Surge, BofA’s Hartnett Says
Markets are showing characteristics of a bubble in the record-setting surge by tech’s so-called Magnificent Seven stocks and the all-time highs in cryptocurrencies, according to Bank of America Corp. Chief Investment Strategist Michael Hartnett.
S&P Would Need to Rise 20% to Look Like 90s Bubble, SocGen Says
If a bubble is forming in US stocks, it has plenty of room to expand before it bursts, according to strategists at Societe Generale SA.
Blackstone Says Time to Buy Real Estate as Prices at Bottom
Real estate prices have bottomed and there’s a great opportunity to move fast and buy assets at beaten-down prices, according to Blackstone Inc. President Jon Gray.
Japan Is Back, China Is Over. The Trouble With Narratives
Japan is back, China is over. Only a few years ago, such an assertion would have been dismissed out of hand. The latter was on the road to economic dominance and the former languished, characterized by endless stimulus that produced little tangible benefit, and doomed by a shrinking population.
American Debt Stings Like Never Before in New Era for Households
After years of managing household budgets through the stress of the worst inflation in a generation, US families are increasingly pressured by a different kind of financial squeeze: The cost of carrying debt.
Bitcoin Extends Retreat From Record as ‘Bubble’ Talk Escalates
Bitcoin extended a retreat from its latest record high amid an intensifying debate about whether the bull run in cryptocurrencies is evidence of speculative froth in global markets.
Gold’s Record-Setting Pace Is Exuberantly Rational
Gold has definitively broken out of the range it's been stuck in since the start of this decade, reaching a record $2,195 per troy ounce this month.
Private Credit Has Had Its 15 Minutes of Fame
Just as private credit is becoming an asset class of its own and private equity houses are finding a new revenue stream away from their bread-and-butter buyout businesses, this burgeoning part of leveraged finance is losing steam.
Tesla's Terrible 2024 Turns the Magnificent 7 Into 6
How bad is 2024 going so far for Tesla Inc.? Well, its stock is down more than Boeing Co., making it the worst performer in the S&P 500 Index.
US Retail Sales Miss Forecasts After Steep Drop in Prior Month
US retail sales rose by less than forecast after a steep drop to start the year, underscoring concerns about the durability of consumer spending.
Nvidia CEO Faces Sky-High Investor Expectations at AI Conference
Nvidia Corp.’s annual artificial intelligence conference is just days away and expectations are high for the semiconductor maker to deliver news that will sustain the blistering rally in its stock.
Bond Traders Prep for New Dot Plot, With Three Cuts in Question
After dialing back their expectations for 2024 Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts substantially since the start of the year, bond traders on Wednesday will take their next cue when policymakers release their own updated projections for their benchmark.
Google’s Bad Gemini Rollout Did the World a Favor
Google’s investors are entitled to be furious about the stunningly incompetent rollout of the company’s Gemini artificial intelligence system. For everybody else, including this grateful Google user and committed technology optimist, it was a blessing.
The Fed Will Slow QT. What Matters Is Where It Stops
With interest-rate cuts off the table for now, the US Federal Reserve will focus on a different topic at next week’s policy-making meeting: when and how to slow quantitative tightening, the process of reducing the vast securities portfolio amassed in previous efforts to support economic activity.
Save Taxes With BOXX? It Is Too Good to Be True
Among the many too-good-to-be-true financial stories is the Alpha Architect 1-3 Month Box ETF, known by its ticker BOXX, that offers Treasury bill yields taxed at capital gains rates.
Corporate Bond Rush Is Breaking Down a Maturity Wall That Everyone Feared
Less than a year ago, investors were gaming out what would happen when billions of dollars of bonds reached maturity dates, leaving borrowers potentially crushed by costly refinancings. Now, those fears are fizzling away, with companies rushing to sell debt to a buoyant market.
Wall Street Sees Risks of Later Start Date for Fed’s QT Tapering
As Federal Reserve officials prepare for an in-depth conversation about its balance sheet at next week’s meeting, Wall Street strategists can only agree that all of the plans being discussed by the central bank carry some growing risks.
Rate-Cut Bets See June as the Kindest Month
Slowly but surely the interest-rate jigsaw puzzle is falling into place. Get ready for the much anticipated shift lower in the global monetary policy cycle by mid-year.
The AI Revolution Needs Chips, Software — and Gas Pipelines
The fervor for all things AI has finally spread to a sector whose own heady start-up phase came about 160 years ago: Pipelines.
No Sign of Bubble Forming for BofA: ‘This Bull Market Has Legs’
Bank of America Corp. sees little evidence to support the worriers on Wall Street who say the stock market has risen too far, too fast and is approaching bubble territory.
Nvidia ETF That Delivers Double Gains Sees Record Flows
Artificial intelligence bulls are increasingly gravitating toward an ETF that amps up bets on Nvidia Corp. as trading volumes and inflows hit all-time highs.
US Core Inflation Tops Forecasts for a Second Straight Month
Underlying US inflation topped forecasts for a second month in February as prices jumped for used cars, air travel and clothes, reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s cautious approach to cutting interest rates.
Trading US Inflation Is Muddying Bond Market’s Auction Gameplan
Bond traders have plenty on their plates the next couple days, even after they absorb a crucial US inflation reading that stands to shape expectations for Federal Reserve policy for months to come.
Tech CEOs Are Addicted to Taking Needless Risks
There’s a new law of the land taking root in Silicon Valley: the more technology makes us laypeople replaceable, the more the technocrats building it are considered indispensable.
What the US Economy Needs Is a Cheap Date
There has been a lot of theorizing about why so many Americans feel worse off economically. True, real wages are now finally increasing, the labor market is great, the stock market is up, and consumers are spending.
Magnificent 7 Stocks Aren’t Too Pricey, JPMorgan Strategist Says
The ranks of Wall Street strategists playing down concerns around a bubble in US technology megacap stocks are growing.
Bond Traders Eye Key US Inflation Report to Game Out Next Bets
This week, the US bond market faces its own Super Tuesday of sorts: the release of fresh inflation data investors will use to predict when the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates.
One of the Most Infamous Trades on Wall Street Is Roaring Back
Forget the artificial-intelligence frenzy — the most-exciting trade on Wall Street right now might just be betting on boring.
US Household Net Worth Rose to Record in 2023 on Stock Holdings
Household wealth in the US increased to a record last year as investors reaped the benefits of a surging stock market and higher home values.
A $70 Billion Investor Prepares for Fed Rate-Hike Risk in 2024
Australia’s QIC Ltd. expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates elevated through the year — or even raise them further — as the US economy powers ahead, a contrarian call that’s increasingly gaining traction.
Financial Crises Are a Feature, Not a Bug, of the US System
It’s a year since the failures of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank – and the renewed cries of “never again.” Almost instantly began inquiries to work out who to blame, as well as hurried efforts to tighten banking rules, raise capital demands and enact laws to make executives pay.
Pandemic Homeowners Are the New Envied (and Hated?) Elite
The pandemic years transformed wealth in the US, sowing the seeds of a new form of inequality.
Bond Market Looks to Jobs Data to Validate Rate-Cut Expectations
Risks are building for bond traders who’ve spent the last couple of weeks adding to bets on Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts this year.
Nvidia Looks Primed for a Stock Split After $1 Trillion Rally
Nvidia Corp’s scorching rally has added more than $1 trillion in value this year alone, sending it well above the level where it last split its shares. Some see the AI giant well placed to do so again.
BofA Says Tech Stocks Post Largest Weekly Outflows on Record
The largest weekly outflow on record for technology stock funds hasn’t dimmed the broader euphoria that is driving US equities to “ferocious” gains, according to Bank of America Corp. strategists.
Cathie Wood, Flying Taxis, and ARK’s Rematch With a Grizzly Bear
The last time Cathie Wood and ARK Investment Management found themselves on the opposite side of a call made by Grizzly Research, they lost tens of millions of dollars. It’s not stopping them from facing down the activist short seller once again.
How to Avoid a Crash in Your New Electric Car
Fisker Inc.’s warning that it may run out of cash within 12 months absent fresh equity or debt raises a new and worrying question for car owners: What happens if the maker of your electric vehicle goes bust?
The Great Resignation Is Now the Big Stay
The Great Resignation is in the rear-view mirror, and the labor market is showing hints of swinging back in the complete opposite direction.
If Only Congress Would Focus on the Deficit That Matters
All the fearmongering in Washington over the $1.5 trillion federal budget deficit hides a truth few politicians would admit — that hefty headline number you hear so much about is an unreliable measure of US fiscal health.
Nvidia ‘Bubble’ Talk Spreads to ESG Investors Who Rode Highs
Concerns that Nvidia Corp.’s stratospheric gains might be unsustainable have spread to ESG investment managers who beat the market last year by betting big on the stock.
Powell Reiterates Fed Needs More Confidence on Inflation to Cut
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reiterated to lawmakers that the US central bank is in no rush to cut interest rates until policymakers are convinced they have won their battle over inflation.
Alphabet’s AI Missteps Are Opportunity For One Fund Manager
Concerns about Alphabet Inc.’s artificial intelligence missteps have weighed heavily on the Google-parent’s stock, but a Boston Partners fund manager believes this has created a golden opportunity for investors.
Spike in Bitcoin Volatility Heralds an Early Test of US ETF Demand
Bitcoin price swings are becoming more intense following the digital asset’s run to a record high, and a key question now is how investors in US exchange-traded funds for the cryptocurrency will react.
A Zero Pay Gap Is the Goal. But What Happens Next?
What happens if we ever get to a zero gender pay gap? If we do hit that milestone, can we declare victory?
Powell in a ‘Delicate Dance’ With Wall Street as Markets Heat Up
Ever since the Federal Reserve began its policy-tightening campaign, Jerome Powell has been happy to ignore one form of inflation: Rising asset prices.
Apple Shares Are Tanking. Here Are Levels Traders Are Watching
Traders are eyeing Apple Inc. after its stock slid below a critical psychological threshold on Tuesday as shares entered a technical correction for the first time since August this month.
Treasuries Hold Modest Gains Ahead of Powell’s Remarks
Treasuries held modest gains ahead of remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and key labor-market data, which are set to test bond investors’ conviction about interest-rate cuts in the US.
Inflation Worrywarts Are Crashing the Party
A curious thing has happened in the US market discourse: In the absence of major concerns about jobs and growth, commentators have started to worry that the economy is too good to keep inflation contained.
Public Pensions Should Be Safe, Not Levered Up
America’s public pension funds have gotten themselves into a bind. They’re responsible for paying trillions of dollars in future retirement benefits to teachers, firefighters, police, and other state and local employees, but their assets fall far short of what’s needed to fulfill those promises.
Bitcoin Is Up But the Future of Money Lies Elsewhere
A new form of digital money is going viral, capturing tens of millions of users, billions of transactions and the attention of global central banks. No, not Bitcoin, which is trading at around $68,000 and closing in on a fresh all-time high.
JPMorgan Sees ‘Froth’ in US Stocks, While Goldman Says Rally Justified
The sharp rally in US stocks this year has left strategists at JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. divided about whether a market bubble is forming.
Americans Now Pay as Much Interest on Other Debt as on Mortgages
US households are now paying roughly as much interest on other kinds of debt, from credit cards to student loans, as they are on their mortgages, according to the latest numbers from the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Crypto Exuberance Is Hitting Overdrive as Ether ETF Battle Looms
Crypto exuberance is hitting overdrive thanks to the game-changing launch of Bitcoin ETFs — with seven issuers now pushing US regulators to greenlight funds tracking Ether, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency.
Has Bidenomics Worked? It’s Too Soon to Say
With the US economy booming, the job market growing and inflation retreating, the consensus is near-unanimous: Bidenomics has been vindicated.
America Blew Almost $2 Trillion. Make It Stop.
The US federal budget seems out of control. Funding spats and debt-ceiling standoffs routinely threaten to force defaults and shutdowns. America's once-unassailable credit rating keeps slipping. Has the government simply become too big to manage?
Does Interest Rate Pain Explain the Consumer Sentiment Gap?
The apparent disconnect between the state of the US economy and voters’ perceptions of it has puzzled economists for months. Unemployment is low, inflation has come way down and real wages are no longer lagging behind.
Private Credit Mania Shrugs Off Mounting Risks in Junk-Bond Market
Private loans are most likely to perform best in credit as other categories of risky corporate debt face more defaults, according to the latest Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey.
As Bond Bears Grumble, Investors From Pimco to DWS Gear Up to Buy the Dip
Traders surprised by this year’s painful rise in bond yields are still looking to snap up US debt given their ongoing assumption the US economy will eventually slow in 2024.
Nvidia Becomes Tesla’s Successor as Market Flips From EV to AI
Nvidia Corp.’s rise is captivating the stock market and driving the S&P 500 Index to new highs. But it also raises cautionary reminders of another investor darling that soared on dreams of a technological transformation, only to tumble back to earth when those hopes turned to disappointment.
Wall Street Turbocharges Bitcoin's Wild Rally and Rakes In Cash
To Jamie Dimon, it's no better than a “pet rock.” To the late Charlie Munger, longtime lieutenant to Warren Buffett, it's “massively stupid.” And to US Senator Elizabeth Warren, it's a great tool if you’re a terrorist, drug dealer or fraudster.
Bitcoin ETF Record Gets Broken Yet Again on $612 Million Inflow
Another day, another record across the booming world of Bitcoin ETFs – fueled by fear of missing out on the latest crypto rally.
China Quants Making Big Cap Bets Weather Stock Turmoil
A group of systematic investors betting on large Chinese companies has emerged largely unscathed from this year’s “quant quake” that’s sparked turmoil in the stock market and a crackdown by regulators.
A Trader’s Guide on What to Watch at China’s Policy Meeting
China’s equity investors will be watching for trading cues from policy priorities and signals about fiscal stimulus at a meeting of the country’s top officials next week.
Pimco Sees Swelling Deficit Dragging Bonds ‘Back to the Future’
Pacific Investment Management Co. is warning that US fiscal profligacy threatens to drag the Treasury market back to 1980s, a time when bond vigilantes demanded far higher compensation to own longer-dated bonds.
A Fed Held Hostage by Data Is Asking for Trouble
It’s right for economic data to influence the Federal Reserve’s policy approach. Yet, there is an important distinction between being informed by the numbers and being held hostage by them — particularly for an institution whose tools operate on the economy with a lag.
The Achilles’ Heel of ETFs Promising 100% Income Yields
One of the hottest products for retail investors the last couple of years is the single-stock option-income exchange-traded fund. While the basic idea is similar to the old and respectable covered-call writing strategy, the modern versions grabbing attention and dollars are supercharged, promising income yields of 100% or more.
Big Tech’s Boom Has Strategists Scrambling to Keep Up With Rally
The frenzy around AI stocks has blindsided Wall Street forecasters, spurring a race among strategists to keep up with a stock market rally that’s already blowing past their expectations when 2024 began.
Fed’s Williams Repeats Rate Cuts Likely Coming Later This Year
Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said he doesn’t see a need for officials to tighten policy further and reiterated that he expects the central bank to cut rates later this year.
Alphabet Faces ‘Clear and Present Danger’ of Falling Short in AI
The only thing that matters to Alphabet Inc. investors is whether it can get artificial intelligence right.
Go Ahead and Break Up With Your Realtor
Like travel agents, real estate agents will need to offer more value and be more available to those willing to pay. They can also be my friend, so long as they don’t charge too high a commission.
The Message in Bezos’ and Zuckerberg’s Stock Sales
With the S&P 500 near all-time highs, insider share sales have picked up at top-performing companies. This quarter alone, Jeff Bezos sold about $9 billion in Amazon.com Inc. stock and Mark Zuckerberg’s net sales of Meta Platforms Inc. amounted to around $850 million.
Need to Sell Your House? It’s Time to Hustle
If you need to sell your home in the next few months, I’d get on with it. As we enter the spring selling season, it’s becoming increasingly clear that the period during which sellers had the leverage in the housing market is over.
New York Still Has Enough Rich People to Pay the Bills
In the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic, many people with the means to do so left New York City and New York state. With state finances in particular highly dependent on high earners’ income taxes, this was a worrying development.
Buffett’s Annual Letter Should Be Required Reading for CEOs
There’s a reason they call him the Oracle of Omaha. For decades now investors have pored over Warren Buffett’s annual letter to shareholders, hoping to soak up whatever wisdom they can from the business icon.
Berkshire and Lilly Race to Shake Tech’s Grip on Trillion-Dollar Club
Big Tech stocks created, and have so far dominated, the trillion-dollar club in the US. For the first time, there’s a race brewing for an outsider to join their ranks.
US Plan to Speed Stock Settlements to Cost Investors $30 Billion
US regulators’ plan to speed up settlement times in securities markets will come at a cost for investors around the world — more than $30 billion annually, according to a new report from Bloomberg Intelligence.
ETF Focused on Cash-Flow Rakes In Billions Despite Snubbing AI Mania
Over the past year and counting, money managers have ramped up exposure to a handful of Big Tech companies – swelling market valuations along the way.
The Big Bond Steepener Is Flopping as the Fed Delays Rate Cuts
What was supposed to be the darling trade of 2024 has unraveled, thanks to the Federal Reserve upending predictions over how fast it would lower interest rates.
Capital One’s Discover Deal Should Aid Competition
Capital One has grown into the ninth-biggest US bank by assets through the relentless promotion of its credit cards, which provide two-thirds of its revenue.
Buffett Could Simply Say He’s Betting Oil Prices Go Up
Not to say Warren Buffett’s folksy observation this weekend on the US oil business is incorrect, but it gets something awfully incorrect...
The US Budget Office Is Frequently Wrong on Purpose
US federal debt will reach a record 116% of gross domestic product by 2034, up from 93% today. That’s according to the Congressional Budget Office.
Risk Models Behind World’s Best Hedge Fund Strategy Are Getting a Lot Harder to Crack
As the best hedge fund strategy of 2023 becomes a magnet for mainstream investors, the risk models it relies on are getting a lot tougher to crack.
Grayscale’s Bitcoin ETF Exodus Reaches $7.4 Billion in First 30 Trading Days
The world’s biggest Bitcoin ETF has reached an inauspicious milestone: an entire month of consecutive outflows.
Treasury Market Tests Appetite for Yield With Another Auction
Investors in US Treasury debt are bracing for another auction, after sales of two- and five-year notes drew only middling demand — despite yields near the highest levels of the year.
BlackRock Says ‘New Regime’ Calls for More Active Management
BlackRock Inc., which capitalized on a decade-long boom in index investing, said investors should rely more heavily on actively managed strategies.
Open-Source Software Is Worth a Lot More Than You Pay for It
Open-source software may well be the greatest “public good” the market economy has ever produced. What it shows is the power of voluntary social cooperation.
What Have You Made on Private Equity? Who Knows?!
There are lies, damned lies and statistics – and then there’s IRR. The internal rate of return metric used by private-capital managers has long had critics in finance and academia because it is easily manipulated and hard to compare with the transparent returns of, say, stocks and bonds.
Warren Buffett Reminds Us of Charlie Munger's Greatest Advice
The Warren Buffett philosophy was never an immutable doctrine frozen in time. In his first shareholder letter after the death of his late, great partner Charlie Munger last November, the Oracle of Omaha reminded investors how important it is to change with the circumstances.
Hedge Funds Unload Tech Stocks After Going All-In Before Nvidia
Hedge funds piled into tech stocks in the weeks before Nvidia Corp. earnings. Now, they’re cashing out and selling at the fastest pace in seven months.
Wall Street Traders Are Too Scared to Fight the AI Rally
For a lesson in the perils of being a skeptic on Wall Street when everyone else is a buyer, consider Rob Arnott, who made a sensible case five months ago that Nvidia Corp. had become a bubble.
Berkshire Inches Toward $1 Trillion Valuation After Results
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. shares rose as much as 5.5% in premarket trading on Monday, set to push the market value of Warren Buffett’s conglomerate even closer to $1 trillion.
US, China Exploring New Debt Relief Options to Avoid Wave of Emerging-Market Defaults
The US and China are discussing new measures to prevent a wave of emerging market sovereign defaults, according to people familiar with the situation, one of the most significant attempts in years at economic cooperation between the rival superpowers.
Fidelity Manager Dumps Nearly All Treasuries on Growth Optimism
A Fidelity International money manager has sold the vast majority of US Treasuries from funds he oversees on expectations the world’s biggest economy still has room to expand.
Yield-Crazed Day Traders Pony Up for ‘169%’ Option-Income ETFs
How many Wall Street buzzwords can you fit into one security? The limit is being tested by a new breed of options-fueled exchange-traded funds making inroads with the retail crowd.
How Do You Profit From Bitcoin ETFs? Investors Face Dilemma
Asset manager VanEck’s Bitcoin ETF is listed under the ticker ‘HODL,’ highlighting a dilemma facing buyers of the popular investment vehicles.
AI Billionaires Club Looks Like a New Gilded Age
After several decades of transformative tech wealth, the AI boom is ushering in another. Not only has Nvidia Corp.’s soaring valuation made co-founder Jensen Huang an extremely wealthy man, but his distant cousin Lisa Su, head of Advanced Micro Devices Inc., is now worth $1.2 billion.
US Productivity Is on the Upswing Again. Will AI Supercharge It?
Three consecutive quarters of strong growth have put productivity either back on trend or well above it, depending on which recent trend line you’re following. Productivity’s sharp rise and fall from 2020 to 2022 was apparently just another one of those weird pandemic phenomena, now disappearing in the rearview mirror.
Boy, This Economy Is Hard to Read. Mea Culpa.
Slower inflation was supposed to be a sign that the economy was cooling, all part of the Federal Reserve’s plan for higher interest rates to restore balance to the economy. For a while, things looked on track.
Cathie Wood Can Only Watch as Nvidia Rides AI Wave She Foresaw
Cathie Wood made a wild prediction almost two years ago: Annual economic growth could accelerate to as much as 50%, thanks to breakthroughs in the world of artificial intelligence.
Wave of Cash Seen Washing Into Credit as Investors Seek Duration
Cash may still be king for the moment, but after more than $1 trillion flowed into money-market funds last year as short-term rates rose, investors are trying to figure out where it goes next.
Major US Stock Indexes Hit Records as Nvidia Rekindles AI Rally
All three major American stock indexes stormed to fresh all-time highs Thursday as Nvidia Corp.’s results rekindled faith that breakthroughs in artificial intelligence will boost profits and give stock prices further room to run.
Seven (More) Samurai to Take On the Magnificent Seven
They call them the Seven Samurai. Analysts from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. caused a stir in Tokyo this week with a well-timed report highlighting a group of stocks that could serve as Japan’s equivalent of the Magnificent Seven that have come to dominate US equities.
‘Thousands’ of New ETFs Seen in $8 Trillion Market’s Next Leap
Outside the Fontainebleau Hotel in Miami, Florida last week, dozens of drones moved slowly through the night sky, projecting the Bitcoin symbol far and wide above one of the largest ETF gatherings of the year.
Quant Factors Swing the Most in Years Beneath Stock Market Calm
To the casual observer, the backdrop to this year’s record-breaking stock rally has been one of epic calm in markets. To Wall Street’s math wizards, it’s been anything but.
Fed Minutes Show Most Officials Flagged Risks of Cutting Rates Too Quickly
Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest gathering show most officials remained more worried about the risk of cutting interest rates too soon than keeping them high for too long and damaging the economy.
A Tale of Two Metals Will Determine the Future of Energy
The world’s biggest miner BHP Group Ltd. grew powerful by building dominant positions in producing the minerals of the future. That makes the challenges it’s facing with two key clean-tech ingredients a sobering lesson for the energy transition.
Capital One's Deal for Discover Could Help Spark an M&A Rush
Capital One Financial Corp.’s $35 billion deal for rival credit card provider Discover Financial Services is more than an opportunistic move on a rival that had a lamentable 2023. The takeover reinforces the impression that corporate leaders are willing to take risks on big M&A again.
Junk-Bond Market Gets Riskier With Erosion in Credit Quality
The $1.4 trillion US junk-bond market is getting junkier, as more debt gets either downgraded or elevated out of the high-yield universe altogether, leaving greater potential risks for investors.
Nvidia’s High-Stakes Earnings Moment Has Entire Market on Edge
Nvidia Corp.’s market-leading advance has left even the bulls questioning if an earnings beat will be enough to propel the AI chipmaker’s shares higher.
Wall Street Brokers Are Coming for the Hot Retail-Options Trade
It’s been blamed for fueling stock volatility and dismissed as the latest case of market speculation gone too far.
Federal Reserve Flight 2024 Hasn’t Landed Yet
Financial markets have lately been intensely focused on the US Federal Reserve’s next moves: How soon will it start cutting interest rates, and how low will it take them this year?
Your 401(k) Will Be Gone Within a Decade
If you are among the 56% of US workers with a retirement plan, I have some bad news for you: Your 401(k) will be gone in 10 years, tops. Not the money, thank goodness — Americans have trillions of dollars in these accounts, and there is an entire industry built around them — but the plans themselves.
Wall Street Banks Are Trying Everything in Fight to Win Underwriting Deals
Investment banks including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Barclays Plc are striving to get a lucrative fee-making machine back in action.
Goldman Lifts S&P 500 Target With Profit Optimism to Drive Rally
Just months after setting a 2024 target for the S&P 500 Index, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategists have boosted their forecast for a second time, reflecting Wall Street’s optimistic outlook for earnings.
Markets Start to Speculate If the Next Fed Move Is Up, Not Down
Investors are beginning to war-game how the Federal Reserve can manage a US economy that just won’t land, with some even debating whether interest-rate hikes will be needed only weeks after a steady run of reductions appeared all but certain.
Fed Expands Shock Scenarios for Banks in Annual Stress Test After SVB Collapse
The Federal Reserve will test banks’ abilities to withstand a broader array of hypothetical shocks this year after the collapse of multiple regional lenders.
US Retail Sales Drop by Most in Nearly a Year After Holidays
US retail sales broadly declined in January, indicating consumers took a breather after a strong holiday shopping season.
In Battered China Stocks, ‘Lottery Ticket’ Trades Gain Favor
In the wreckage of China’s stock market meltdown, some traders are making long-shot bets that officials in Beijing can stoke a recovery.
Inflation Selloff Is a Wake-Up Call for Traders
It’s tempting to dismiss the response to Tuesday’s inflation data as an outsized reaction to a slight miss in numbers that are particularly vulnerable to seasonal noise. Yet the development is also indicative of deeper issues whose influence may well be with us for the next few months and quarters.
Elon, It’s Time for a Tesla Buyback. Ugh.
Tesla Inc. is a car manufacturer that pitches itself, very successfully, as a technology hothouse. So perhaps it will take the most tech-like step possible in 2024: Announce a big stock buyback.
Hedge Fund Investors Are Getting More Demanding About Charges
More hedge funds are agreeing to conditions on their performance fees, reflecting a tougher environment for attracting investors to riskier strategies.
Banks Are Piling Back Into Everything From Mortgage Debt to CLOs
US banks are starting to ramp up purchases of everything from mortgage-backed securities to collateralized loan obligations after nearly two years of cutting back, adding fuel to a multi-month rally across credit markets.
Traders Look to US Price Data as Treasuries Hover Near 2024 Low
Bond traders are turning their attention to the latest reading on inflationary pressures in the US economy as concern mounts the recent selloff has further to run.
Could Recessions Actually Help Save Lives?
There are only two certainties in this world, so the saying goes — death and taxes. The macroeconomist might add recessions to that list. All three of them may well be inevitable, but maybe we can make each of them just a bit less bad.
The Fed Has the Tools to Stop Bank Runs
As New York Community Bancorp Inc. scrambles to shore up its capital to deal with potential loan losses, analysts are watching to see if depositors pull their money.
Wall Street Is Going to Great Lengths to Avoid Chinese Equities
Global money managers, desperate to avoid exposure to sliding Chinese markets, have fresh investing tools at their disposal as pessimism toward the world’s second-largest economy snowballs.
Year’s Highest Treasury Yields Face Test With Slew of US Data
A slate of US economic data is about to put the loftiest Treasury yields this year to the test.
Nearly All Wealth Gained by World’s Rich This Year Comes From AI
Nvidia Corp. co-founder Jensen Huang’s wealth has surged as a blistering rally in AI-related stocks pushed the chipmaker’s market value above Amazon.com Inc.’s for the first time.
Big Tech Rally on Shaky Ground as Rate View Darkens
Warnings that the tech-fueled stock rally had gone too far had been ringing out for weeks. And for weeks, equity bulls pushed the likes of Nvidia Corp. higher, confident that artificial intelligence growth and an on-hold Federal Reserve would help justify nosebleed valuations.
Stock Momentum Slams Into a Wall in S&P 500’s Worst CPI Day In Years
The S&P 500 Index blew past a series of troubling markers in its relentless rally to 5,000. Now, after Tuesday’s rout, investors are staring at a potentially long way down before they find support.
Traders Pull Back Bets on Fed Interest-Rate Cuts Before July
Traders ratcheted down their expectations for a Federal Reserve’s interest-rate cut before July, and Treasury yields soared, after a report showed that inflation remains sticky in the US.
Big Oil Is the Magnificent Seven’s Hedge-in-Waiting
May 17, 1995, a Wednesday, was a historic day for energy stocks. Not that they acted that way: Like the oil price — about $20 a barrel — they were flat. The action was elsewhere: Technology stocks overtook the energy sector’s weighting in the S&P 500 for the first time that day.
Californians Are Dreaming of Lower Taxes
Some Americans like to mock France and Sweden for their high taxes. Yet California — whose economy is bigger than that of both countries — has comparable tax rates, when federal and state tolls are combined, and a new study suggests that they are causing some top earners to leave the state entirely.
Bitcoin’s Bounce Doesn’t Settle the Biggest Worries About Crypto
Digital currencies are back, at least if you ask the crypto faithful. The US Securities and Exchange Commission has at last approved Bitcoin exchange-traded funds— begrudgingly, with a hard nudge from the courts. Renewed investor enthusiasm in risky assets such as technology stocks seems to have rubbed off on tokens, too.
Crunch Time Nears for FX Traders Grappling With Faster Trading
There’s one topic dominating the agenda as FX traders descend on Miami this week: how the currency market can adjust to a fast-approaching change to US stock settlements that stands to shake-up their industry.
BofA Survey Shows Investors Are All In on US Tech Stock Rally
Investors are going “all in” on US technology stocks as they turn the most optimistic about global growth in two years, according to a survey by Bank of America Corp.
Bond Traders Need to Price In Risk of Future Fed Hikes, Citigroup Says
Bond traders have come more in line with the Federal Reserve’s trajectory for the upcoming easing cycle. Strategists at Citigroup Inc. say what’s missing now is traders hedging the risk of a very brief easing cycle followed by rate increases shortly thereafter.
Dow 5,000 Rang in ’90s Boom. What About S&P 5,000?
Everyone knows you’re not supposed to bet on a bubble, but what about a potential bubble?
Mark Zuckerberg’s 20-Year Formula for Success Has Expired
The other day I did something I haven’t done for years. I browsed Facebook. By which I mean: I really took a look around. Good grief, what a mess! It’s like walking round an abandoned amusement park of badly executed ideas.
The Stock Market Is Loving Private Equity’s New Normal
The private equity industry has rediscovered its mojo. The latest updates from the publicly traded firms specializing in the asset class satisfied investors’ appetite for bullish vibes from the leadership teams. As shares in alternative investment managers build on an already strong recovery, the risks of disappointment can only mount.
Bitcoin Eyes Longest Winning Run in a Year as ETFs Attracts Inflows
Bitcoin is flirting with a winning run last seen a year ago, aided by the record-breaking debut of US exchange-traded funds for the token.
Morgan Stanley Says Firms Are Focused on Costs Like Never Before
US companies are discussing cost control on earnings calls at a record rate, amid a push to reallocate funds and invest in new technologies, according to an analysis by Morgan Stanley strategists.
Six Years After Volmageddon, Volatility Fears Resurface in US Stocks
Six years after a famous blowup in the volatility market shattered a lengthy calm in US stocks, the latest Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey reveals growing Wall Street concern over a new boom in trades that bet against equity turbulence.
Bond Traders Cave to the Fed by Dialing Back Their Rate-Cut Bets
Bond traders are finally heeding one of the market’s oldest lessons: Don’t fight the Fed.
US Mortgage Rates Tick Up as Fed Signals Its Fight’s Not Over
Mortgage rates in the US inched higher amid signals that the Federal Reserve is likely to keep its policy steady for some time.
AI Is Driving More Layoffs Than Companies Want to Admit
United Parcel Service Inc.’s largest layoffs in its 116-year history were made possible, in part, by new technologies including artificial intelligence, CEO Carol Tomé said last week. Citing one example, she said that machine learning allows salespeople to put together proposals without having to ask pricing experts for guidance.
Global Share Buybacks Return With a Bang as Stocks Hit Records
Stronger than expected earnings are leading companies on both sides of the Atlantic to announce share buybacks at a blistering pace as 2024 gets going — a potentially crucial pillar of support for global stock markets already trading at all-time highs.
JPMorgan Study on Bitcoin ETF Liquidity Favors BlackRock, Fidelity
The Bitcoin exchange-traded funds started by BlackRock Inc. and Fidelity Investments are gaining a liquidity edge over a larger rival from Grayscale Investments LLC, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists.
New Rules Will Force SPACs to Sober Up
Special purpose acquisition companies have for too long existed in a regulatory gray area. With new rules approved last month, the Securities and Exchange Commission has provided needed clarity for these entities and their investors.
New SEC Rule Will Impair the World's Most Important Market
The SEC is using its authority over dealers to sneak in the back doors of these entities, which will inevitably create new or modified entities to reduce the cost of regulation.
Is TikTok’s Financial Advice Any Good? As an Economist, I Say Yes
TikTok stands accused of poisoning the minds of Gen Z, making them hate America and giving them a distorted view of history. Without getting into all that, I will say this: TikTok is not the worst place to learn about personal finance.
Treasury Yields Reach 2024 Highs With Inflation Back in Focus
Treasury yields rose further — with some reaching year-to-date highs — ahead of inflation data comprising the market’s next test after a string of Treasury auctions went off without a hitch.
Nvidia Nears Amazon’s Market Value as Blazing Rally Drives Ahead
Nvidia Corp.’s stock has rallied so much this year that it’s now threatening to overtake Amazon.com Inc. to become the fourth most valuable US company.
Hedge-Fund Short Sellers Revel in Hidden Cash Perk Like 2007
Hedge funds are paid big bucks for making smart market bets. Yet these days, a simple feature of the financial plumbing — largely overlooked on Wall Street during the low interest-rate era — is helping juice industry returns.
Treasury 30-Year Bond Sale Finds Buyers to Crown Good Refunding
The US government sold $25 billion of 30-year bonds at a lower-than-anticipated yield, soothing investor nerves about demand for longer-dated debt.
Doom Spending Is Not Self-Care
Doom spending is “spending money despite concerns about the economy and foreign affairs to cope with stress,” says the credit-tracking company, and about 27% of Americans say they’re doing it.
The Federal Reserve Isn’t Political. Well, Not Exactly.
In an interview with 60 Minutes that aired Sunday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell was asked “To what degree does politics determine your timing” of when to reduce interest rates? Powell firmly replied that “We do not consider politics in our decisions. We never do. And we never will.”
Top AI Companies Join Government Effort to Set Safety Standards
The top US artificial intelligence companies will participate in a government-led effort intended to craft federal standards on the technology to ensure that it’s deployed safely and responsibly, the Commerce Department said Thursday.
As China Markets Flail, Rest of the World Is Roaring Ahead
This year’s turmoil in China has sparked a stock meltdown, blown up structured financial products, led to public disgruntlement, and now President Xi Jinping has put a new market regulator in control.
Bitcoin Approaches $45,000 With US Spot ETFs Showing Steady Inflows
Bitcoin approached $45,000 for the first time in almost a month with the US exchange-traded funds holding the digital currency seeing a steady inflow of cash from investors and risk appetite rising across financial markets.
US Big-Tech Mania Drives Developed-Market Stocks to Record
A roughly $61 trillion global benchmark of developed-market equities rose to an all-time high on Wednesday, with Wall Street’s technology behemoths leading the way.
US Treasury’s Biggest-Ever 10-Year Auction Garners Solid Demand
The US government sold a record $42 billion of 10-year notes Wednesday at a lower-than-anticipated yield, soothing investor nerves after a recent rout and indicating confidence that the Federal Reserve will eventually cut interest rates.
A Soft Landing for the US Economy Could Slip Away
Stocks and bonds rallied at the end of last year on the hope of a seemingly improbable combination of dynamics playing out to support financial assets in 2024 — cooling inflation, solid economic growth, a resilient labor market, and as much as 150 basis points of interest-rate cuts.
Big Gas Needs to Be a Backup Instead of a Bridge
Natural gas used to sell itself. Emitting less nasties than coal, including carbon dioxide, plus being cheap and homegrown, it was once hailed by former President Barack Obama as a “bridge fuel.”
Amazon Economists Tout New Model to Call Recessions in Real Time
Spotting a recession in real-time, instead of months after the fact, is among the holy grails of forecasting. Two economists at Amazon.com Inc. say they’ve figured out a new way to do it.
Treasuries Brace for Biggest-Ever 10-Year Auction to Test Demand
Bond investors, still reeling from Treasuries’ worst two days in more than a year, are preparing for a new test on Wednesday when the government holds its biggest-ever sale of 10-year debt.
Fed’s Kashkari Sees Two to Three Rate Cuts as Appropriate in 2024
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said officials need to see “a few more months” of inflation data before cutting interest rates, adding that he thinks two to three cuts will likely be appropriate for 2024.
Hedge Funds Trading Treasuries to Be Tagged Dealers by SEC
Hedge funds and proprietary trading firms that regularly trade US Treasuries are set to be labeled as dealers by the Securities and Exchange Commission — a tag that brings greater compliance costs and scrutiny.
Zuckerberg’s Secret Weapon for AI Is Your Facebook Data
For many people, Facebook is the internet, and the number of its users is still growing, according to Meta Platforms Inc.’s latest financial results. But Mark Zuckerberg isn’t just celebrating that continuing growth.
Big Oil’s Boring Quarter Was Great News for Investors
Big Oil has delivered a set of remarkable earnings. Without fanfare, ExxonMobil Corp., Chevron Corp. and Shell Plc all did in the fourth quarter what they’d promised: Start new oil and gas projects; cut costs; return lots of money to shareholders. It’s a model for the notoriously boom-and-bust industry.
Magnificent Seven Implosion Can Wait
Investor worries about market concentration aren’t going away, and it’s easy to understand why: the so-called Magnificent Seven mega-cap growth stocks now constitute about 29% of the S&P 500 Index by market weighting, eliciting ominous comparisons to the peak of the dot-com bubble.
‘Money Dysmorphia’ Traps Millennials and Gen Zers
Never hesitant to rebrand an existing phenomenon, millennials and their Gen Z frenemies are admitting to having “money dysmorphia” — a feeling of insecurity around their financial situation even when the true picture reveals little cause for concern.
Liquidity Is Top Concern for Volatile 2024, JPMorgan Finds
Reliable sources of liquidity are at the top of traders’ minds as they brace for another year of turbulence, according to a JPMorgan Chase & Co. electronic trading survey.
Big Tech Stocks Face High Bar to Sustain Gains in 2024
The Magnificent Seven group of megacap tech stocks need to deliver stellar earnings to keep outperforming the broader market, according to a growing consensus on Wall Street.
Treasuries Suffer Large Two-Day Loss as Fed Message Sinks In
Treasuries are headed for their biggest two-day loss in months as strong economic data reinforced the message of Federal Reserve officials including Chair Jerome Powell that interest-rate cuts are unlikely to begin before May.
EVs Take a Gap Year Awaiting Sub-$30,000 Tesla
The energy transition requires subsidies, policy support and technological progress. Above all, though, it needs people to literally buy into it, and nothing exemplifies that better than electric vehicles.
Why Banks and Airlines Love Rewards Cards More Than You Do
Brian Kelly is The Points Guy, a pioneer in the cottage industry that helps credit card users get the most out of airmiles and other rewards. He got into it when young out of a determination to always fly business class. His motivation? “I’m six-foot-seven!” he says.
Finally, a New Apple Device Really Worth Talking About
By now, we all know the routine: An early start. A line down the street. Apple Inc. store employees whooping and hollering with such coordination it must make Kim Jong Un envious.
China’s Small-Cap Crash Shows What Happens Without Market Rescue
China’s smallest stocks are flashing a warning about the potential downside for the world’s second-largest equity market if Beijing fails to follow through on a highly anticipated rescue campaign.
Traders Look to Bitcoin ETFs to Patch ‘Alameda Gap’ in Crypto Market
The era of US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds is a chance to repair the decay in crypto markets caused by the collapse of the FTX exchange and its sister hedge fund Alameda Research, according to market makers.
American Consumers to Forge Ahead Through Credit Strains and Layoff Threats
American shoppers won’t be deterred by mounting credit-card bills or the recent ripple of layoffs, according to the latest Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey.
Bond Market Rate-Cut Bets Rattled by Powell Pushback, Jobs
The US economy is testing bond traders’ faith that the Federal Reserve will deliver a series of interest-rate cuts this year.
Meta’s Stock Bounce Shows How Big-Ticket Job Cuts Can Pay Off
Layoffs are being mentioned on US earnings calls at the highest rate since the pandemic — and as Meta Platforms Inc. shows, such cost-cutting can pay off for investors.
Goldman Sachs’ Rubner Says US Stock Market ‘Could Go Down a Lot’
If the US stock market goes down a little from here, it “could go down a lot.”
BofA’s Hartnett Says Stock Markets Are Behaving Like Dot-Com Era
The rush into technology stocks is resembling the bubble of 1999, reflecting an assumption that the economy will perform strongly despite tighter monetary policy, according to Bank of America Corp. strategists.
Powell Goes Off Script and Reduces Flexibility
For several months, I have pushed back against the market expectation that the Federal Reserve’s cycle of interest-rate cuts would start as early as March.
Markets Don’t Know What to Expect Anymore, and That’s Good
When it comes to financial markets, nothing is certain. For much of the last few decades, however, it was easy to convince yourself otherwise: Interest rates mostly went in one direction, down, and high inflation was a thing of the past.
Bitcoin ETF Price War Is Trickling Down to Crypto Custodians
Less than a month after the debut of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, the asset managers offering the investment vehicles appear to be seeking ways to bolster their own profitability.
Meta, Amazon Set to Gain by $279 Billion on Strong Earnings
Meta Platforms Inc. and Amazon.com Inc. soared in pre-market trading Friday after delivering quarterly earnings and outlooks that far exceeded Wall Street’s expectations.
Treasuries Surge as Bank Stock Rout Rekindles Fed Rate-Cut Hopes
Treasury yields tumbled Thursday as a second day of declines for US financial stocks led traders to price in a more rapid pace of Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts.
Tesla’s Profit Margins Deserve More Appreciation
For Tesla Inc., being the tenth most valuable company with the greatest market capitalization and fastest growing profitability of any maker of cars and trucks, is seemingly atrocious.
Apple CEO Tim Cook Needs to Start Putting Out Fires
As the market prepares for Apple Inc.’s earnings on Thursday, all I can think is this: Chief Executive Officer Tim Cook has problems. Plenty of them.
The Fed’s Risk Management Is Now the Big Economic Risk
The inflation problem is largely behind us, and most signs suggest that Federal Reserve policymakers know it. So why didn’t they just go ahead and cut rates on Wednesday instead of leaving their target range at 5.25% to 5.5%? Why wait until March or (more likely) May?
Morgan Stanley Bear Mike Wilson Sees Stock Rally Broadening
One of Wall Street’s most prominent bears is now expecting gains in the US equity market to broaden into less loved corners than the big tech companies that have dominated the rally so far.
US Jobless Claims Rise to Two-Month High as Labor Market Cools
Initial and recurring applications for US unemployment benefits both rose to a two-month high, suggesting some slowdown in the labor market.
Apple, Amazon and Meta Take Spotlight as Stock Rally Wavers
Big Tech’s struggle to meet lofty investor expectations this earnings season has taken air out of a record-breaking stock run. Pressure is now on Apple Inc., Amazon.com Inc. and Meta Platforms Inc. to come through on Thursday.
Wall Street Gets Reality Check as Powell Saps Fast Rate-Cut Bets
Jerome Powell delivered a clear message to traders eager for the central bank to start slashing interest rates: Not so fast.
Microsoft Omits the AI Progress Report Investors Wanted
If artificial intelligence is going to live up to the hype, Goldman Sachs analysts said recently, the excitement stage of AI needs to shift drastically this year into a period of meaningful deployment.
The World Is Transitioning to American Oil From Saudi Crude
Picture the scene: Weeks after the world came together at the COP28 summit with a deal for “transitioning away from fossil fuels,” Saudi Arabia, the oil industry’s flagship producer, cancels a planned increase in its crude output capabilities. On paper, it’s the stuff climate activists dream about.
US Increases Quarterly Debt Sale, Sees No More Boosts Coming
The US Treasury boosted the size of its quarterly issuance of longer-term debt for a third straight time and suggested that no more increases are likely until next year.
Microsoft, Alphabet and AMD Struggle to Meet AI Expectations
Microsoft Corp., Alphabet Inc.’s Google and Advanced Micro Devices Inc. — three companies working harder than nearly anyone to weave artificial intelligence into their products — are finding that investor expectations for the technology are hard to meet.
‘It’s All Choppy’: Pimco, DoubleLine, BlackRock Embrace Bond-Market Swings
Trading in bonds these days means having to put up with more frequent market gyrations — and that’s just fine with big investors like Pimco and BlackRock Inc.
China’s Glut, India’s Drought. Two Faces of Liquidity
Lenders in the world’s two most-populous nations are having very different problems with monetary and fiscal taps. In China, creditors are drowning in cheap central bank cash, but loan demand is muted. In India, banks are in the middle of their fastest expansion in a decade, but they’re parched for liquidity.
Reddit Flirts With Wall Street and Potential Disaster
There’s a reason the social network has taken so long to go public: There’s a good chance it might all fall apart.
Americans’ Working Years Need a Better Ending
A comfortable retirement is supposed to be the culmination of the American dream, yet far too many actual Americans are falling short of achieving it. In the spirit of fan fiction, I'd like to set up a better ending.
Federal Reserve’s Dilemma Is a Nice Problem to Have
The latest economic data for the US are better than most dared hope a year ago. Inflation has fallen much faster than the Federal Reserve expected, and so far without the abrupt economic slowdown and higher unemployment that many economists thought likely.
Banks Are Hawking US Recession Hedges Tied to Both Stocks, Bonds
Investors’ lingering fears of recession have prompted Wall Street banks to hawk a complex hedge: exotic options that pay off if stocks fall and bond yields also drop.
Bullish Stock-Market Sentiment Sends Contrarian Signal Ahead of Fed
The stock market’s rally to record highs heading into this week’s Federal Reserve meeting has some of Wall Street’s biggest optimists growing concerned that the good vibes are sending a contrarian signal.
US Treasury Seen Boosting Long-Term Debt Sales One Last Time
Wall Street is widely expecting the US Treasury to announce a final increase to its sales of long-term debt this week, after a steady ramp up in supply that’s sometimes tested buyers’ appetites for funding a widening budget deficit.
Sports Bets and Financial Disasters Share Some Traits
What does a November 2023 hockey bet have to do with the 2008 financial crisis and the Chunnel connecting England to France? A lot, and the relation is key to understanding financial disasters — not to mention getting paid for longshot sports bets and getting from London to Paris safely.
Apple Is Our Hope for Making AI More Private
There’s a price to pay for all the generative AI tools that professionals are using to make themselves more efficient. It’s not just a subscription fee to OpenAI, Microsoft Corp. or some other AI company — it’s their privacy too.
Guaranteed Income Plans Only Work in Studies — So Far
The number of studies showing the success of universal basic income programs continues to mount. The latest comes from the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, which recently released its initial report on a pilot project designed to test the feasibility of so-called UBI.
Stock Market’s Fate Rests on $10 Trillion in Big Tech Earnings
Investors wondering where the S&P 500 is headed, at least for the next month or so, will want to pay attention to three key days this week.
Busy Week for Bonds Won’t Make Things Any Clearer for Traders
Bond traders looking for something to jolt the $27 trillion Treasury market out of its recent rut will probably still be left waiting for answers, even after a busy week packed with a Federal Reserve meeting, the government’s quarterly debt-sale plans and a slew of economic data.
Traders Line Up for ‘Once-in-a-Generation’ Emerging Markets Bet
One of last year’s best wagers in emerging-market debt is getting a fresh boost from bets the Federal Reserve will finally begin cutting interest rates.
Musk Waves Goodbye to Tesla’s Growth Targets
Henceforth, no company should ever say they are experiencing a slowdown. Tesla Inc. has redefined this experience as being “between two major growth waves.”
Fed’s Preferred Core Inflation Gauge Slows to Below 3% Rate
The Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of underlying inflation rose at the slowest annual pace in nearly three years while consumers spent at a robust rate, keeping the debate alive as to whether officials will soon cut borrowing costs.
Largest Bitcoin ETF’s Slowing Outflows Lift Some Recent Crypto Gloom
Bitcoin rose past $41,000 amid a slowdown in outflows from the $20 billion Grayscale Bitcoin Trust that strategists said may help to stanch a two-week slump in the token.
Jamie Dimon’s JPMorgan Successor Will Be Human, Too
Investors will literally beg Jamie Dimon not to retire: One did so at JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s investor day last year. But the chairman and chief executive officer of America’s biggest bank can’t do his job forever.
US Investor Exodus Deals Historic Blow to Global ESG Fund Market
For the first time ever, ESG funds suffered net global outflows amid a major exodus by US investors from environmental, social and governance strategies.
Bet Against the US Superconsumer and Lose
Economic growth is barely positive in the Eurozone, and the Chinese stock market has been in freefall. But for all its doubters, the US economy and markets continue to shock the world. For a moment at least, that’s worth celebrating.
The Fed Tells Banks Not to Be Shy About Asking It for Money
When Brookline Bancorp Inc. needs to borrow short-term cash quickly — part of the regular course of business for the Boston-based lender — it has a range of options. One source of cheap money it’s loath to turn to, however, is the Federal Reserve for fear of setting off alarm bells.
Busting Up the Home Sales Cartel Is Overdue and Necessary
The housing market, a key driver of the economy, has struggled of late. Sales of previously owned US homes just had their worst year since 1995, and affordability recently hit a record low by one measure.
Crypto Is Going Mainstream, Which Means It’s Over
Two big things have happened in the crypto world this month: a public validation and a semi-private snub. Both of them bode poorly for its future.
Microsoft’s Rise to $3 Trillion Took Much More Than Windows
This week, Microsoft joined the $3 trillion club — which so far has only two members, the other being Apple Inc., which first hit the milestone two years ago.
Should I Buy China Shares Now? All You Need to Know After $6 Trillion Rout
China’s authorities are stepping up efforts to stabilize the stock market after a massive selloff. The collapse in valuations since a peak in 2021 makes them the world’s “best value proposition,” according to at least one market veteran.
Wall Street Unleashes Quants in Race for Private-Market Billions
Wall Street is turning to its biggest brains as the battle for supremacy in the world of private assets heats up.
The Bipartisan Tax Deal Is Good But Not Good Enough
After months of talks, lawmakers have reached a bipartisan agreement on changes to the tax code. They’re now struggling to get it passed in time for the new tax-filing season.
It’s Time for the Fed to Slay Its Quantitative-Tightening Demons
The Federal Reserve’s asset purchase program, known as quantitative easing, has twice helped save the US economy — first during the financial crisis and then again with the Covid-19 pandemic.
US 30-Year Yield Reaches Year-to-Date High After Poor Auction
The US 30-year yield climbed to its highest level so far this year Wednesday after poor demand for an auction of five-year notes, a week before the Treasury is expected to announce a heavier borrowing schedule for the February-to-April period.
JPMorgan Says Corporate Bond Markets at Risk of February Gloom
JPMorgan & Chase Co. said US corporate bond spreads are at risk of widening next month, and that February is often a difficult month for the debt.
Credit Traders Are Using Default Swaps to Hedge Their Bets on Interest Rates
Nomura Asset Management’s Richard Hodges began the year by buying credit default swaps, worried that rate-cut bets were becoming too aggressive. He reduced the hedge when the cost of protection increased, and now stands ready to dip in again.
Euro’s Status Languishes as Dollar Still King After 25 Years
The euro celebrates 25 years of virtual existence this month, with its digital creation in 1999 followed by the introduction of physical notes and coins in 2002. It's embedded successfully as the domestic means of exchange within the 20-nation euro zone.
The Last Mile of Inflation Has a Bad Reputation
In the rapidly evolving outlook for interest rates, some things are still sacrosanct. The pace of price increases has slowed significantly, and the argument is now how much — rather than when — borrowing costs will be lowered this year.
US Home Purchase Applications Increase to Highest Since April
Applications for home-purchase mortgages in the US rose to the highest level since April, signaling housing demand is picking up as borrowing costs hold below 7%.
China Funds Attempt to Cool Retail Frenzy Over US Stock ETFs
China’s mutual fund houses are trying to tamp down investors’ enthusiasm for US stocks, putting new restrictions on buying into their products as demand soars.
Goldman Says Momentum Traders to Sell Stocks in ‘Every Scenario’
No matter which way markets go, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. says some traders are modeled to sell stocks over the next week.
US GDP Data Will Showcase Consumer Set to Power Economy in 2024
Forecasters who follow the US economy found themselves in a familiar place after a recent retail sales report: revising up their estimates for GDP.
Who Wants to Be a Trillionaire?
When will the world have its first trillionaire? A recent report from Oxfam International predicts one within a decade, noting that the five wealthiest men in the world are 114% richer today than they were in 2020.
BlackRock's Pricey Infra Deal Will Beget More M&A
It’s a seller’s market for infrastructure asset managers. Conventional and alternative investment firms are falling over themselves to expand in this lucrative area, and M&A is the easiest way for them to leapfrog the competition.
Where Investment Chiefs Are Putting Their Cash in Unstable 2024
This year is already shaping up to be a tough one for investors to navigate, with heightened debate over central bank moves, prospects for economic slowdowns and crucial elections around the world all weighing on fund managers’ minds.
AI Is Much Better at Evolution Than Revolution
We’ve had almost a year now to assess whether Microsoft Corp.’s plan to add ChatGPT to its Bing search engine made any difference in the great battle against Google. It will come as no surprise to learn that it didn’t — Bing’s market share in online search has barely moved.
The Introverts Have Taken Over the US Economy
While many things are getting back to normal, the pandemic profoundly changed American life — sometimes just by speeding up prevailing trends. The technology already existed to allow many Americans to work from home, for example, but the pandemic normalized it.
A Rewiring of the World’s Biggest Bond Market Will Transform Trading
After years of regulatory tinkering, Washington is now forcing through the most rigorous overhaul of the world’s biggest bond market in decades.
Wall Street’s ‘Foolish’ 2024 Trade Is Betting on Early Fed Rate Cuts
The latest warning for investors unleashing dovish monetary wagers across the board: Two thirds of Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse respondents said that betting on early monetary easing is the “most foolish” among popular trades heading into 2024.
Fund Pros Burned in AI Surge Are Giving Up on Active Management
The never-ending rise in technology megacaps is driving stock-picking pros to do something they don’t want to do: give up on beating the benchmark.
Emerging-Market Money Manager Beats 99% of Peers by Ignoring Fed
An emerging-market money manager who is outperforming 99% of his peers says equity investors can make money in 2024 whether the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates or not, by focusing on countries undergoing economic transformations.
China’s $6.3 Trillion Stock Selloff Is Getting Uglier by the Day
Chinese stocks just capped another dismal week, with a gauge of mainland firms listed in Hong Kong languishing at the bottom of global equity index rankings for the year so far.
S&P 500 Wobble Pushes ‘Fear Gauge’ to Highest Since November
A sense of torpor that’s descended on Wall Street’s chief fear gauge since the fall is starting to disappear.
BofA’s Hartnett Says Growth, AI Stocks Are Favorites Again
The stocks that led the rally in 2023 are again traders’ top picks, defying broader outflows, according to Bank of America Corp. strategists.
Everyone Seems to Want Uranium Right Now
A product has just gone up in price by 90% in 12 months. It now costs more than it has in 16 years. Most people would think twice about diving into a market like that.
Shorter Workweek Is Canary of the Labor Market
Corporate America has greeted 2024 with a run of job-cut announcements. The reductions, though modest, seem puzzling at a time when the stock market is flirting with all-time highs and real gross domestic product growth continues to be healthy.
Traders Dust Off 2000s Options Playbook to Cash In on Higher Rates
Citigroup Inc.’s option volume was light on a recent Wednesday, until the session’s last 90 minutes when a wave of trades hit. These weren’t bets on the shares moving — rather, they were part of a long-dormant strategy that’s back in vogue thanks to the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes.
Seismic Bond Shift Has Traders Watching Yield Curve’s Moves
Bond traders are growing convinced that US Treasury yields are on the brink of returning to the way they’ve traded for most of their existence — it’s the how, why and when of the normalization that keeps financial markets bouncing around.
Blackstone and BlackRock Master the Art of Moneymaking
Two major events are shaking up the asset-management world. Blackstone Inc. raised $1.3 billion for its first retail private equity fund, targeting those who have at least $5 million to invest.
Bond Traders Pare Odds of Fed Rate Cut in March
Bond traders abandoned wagers that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in March, pushing swap rates to levels consistent with only about 50% odds of a quarter-point reduction in the federal funds target during the first quarter.
Hedge Funds Cash In on New Year’s Swoon in Most-Shorted Stocks
Fast-money bears are feasting in the new-year equity selloff as traders recalibrate bets on the path of Federal Reserve policy.
Real Estate Stocks Tumble as Traders Reassess March Rate Cut Bets
Real estate stocks were the biggest drag on the S&P 500 Index Wednesday as traders moved back their bets on an interest-rate cut.
Bitcoin ETF Approval Fails Investors
What was Gary Gensler thinking? The chair of the Securities and Exchange Commission cast the tie-breaking vote last week to approve 11 exchange-traded funds based on the spot price of Bitcoin.
Have No Fear of the Fed’s $7 Trillion Stash
The US Federal Reserve faces a monetary-policy challenge above and beyond determining the right level of short-term interest rates: how much and how quickly to reduce the more than $7 trillion in securities still on its balance sheet — holdings it amassed in previous years to help stimulate growth.
US Companies Pay Up to Hedge Debt After Interest-Rate Volatility Soars
Wall Street corporate bond desks are seeing a major increase in demand for hedges as debt issuers grapple with soaring interest-rate volatility.
Fed Can Cut Rates This Year Absent Inflation Rebound, Waller Says
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said the US central bank should take a cautious and systematic approach when it begins cutting interest rates, a process that can start this year absent a rebound in inflation.
Wall Street Forecasters Are Rushing to Lift Stock Outlooks
After sidestepping last year’s scorching stock rally on concern about higher interest rates, Wall Street’s top forecasters can’t get bullish fast enough amid expectations for cuts by mid-year.
The Virtue Economy Is Over
The virtue bubble has not only peaked; it is starting to deflate. For the last few years, the ESG movement has affected both how people invest and what they buy.
ChatGPT May Rival Flash Boys in Transforming Markets
Large language models, such as ChatGPT, are threatening to disrupt most areas of life and work. Financial trading is no exception.
Earnings Will Beat Expectations Only Because the Bar Is Low
Earnings estimates have been slashed so much over the past three months that Wall Street strategists now expect most companies will easily beat analyst forecasts this season.
Nvidia’s Red-Hot 2024 Start a Bright Spot as S&P 500 Eyes Record
Nvidia Corp. is off to its strongest-ever start to a year by one measure, keeping up a blistering rally that saw shares gain nearly 240% in 2023.
Bond Bulls Fixated on Fed-Rate Cuts Risk Getting Smacked Around
Bond traders are growing more convinced that US yields are heading lower as they bet on a series of Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts, yet the path to cheaper borrowing costs is set to be extremely bumpy.
There’s Finally Hope for the Office Real Estate Market
Soaring borrowing costs and plunging prices walloped the global commercial-property market last year. Now, more clarity around values and an urgent need to address looming debt maturities are expected to spark more deals.
JPMorgan Sees a Record $30 Billion Private Debt Changing Hands
Investors seeking liquidity are set to exit their stakes in private credit funds at a record pace this year, according to JPMorgan Asset Management.
Vanguard Spurns Bitcoin ETF, Schwab Dives Right In, While Merrill Evaluates
When it comes to Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, many investors are discovering that approved does not mean available.
The US Debt Is Now $34 Trillion. Don't Worry. Seriously.
US federal government debt ended 2023 at a record $34 trillion. The worries are bipartisan, with both Republicans and Democrats hearing about out-of-control borrowing from their constituents.
Pristine Inflation Data Is Too Much to Expect
The Federal Reserve is likely to cut policy rates this year less than the market expects, and the latest inflation report shows why.
Magnificent Seven Stocks to Give Way to Magnificent Many in 2024
If 2023 was all about the Magnificent Seven on Wall Street, this year is poised to usher in a broader array of winners.
Bitcoin ETF Trades Top $4.6 Billion in ‘Ground-Breaking’ Day
The first US ETFs that directly hold Bitcoin got off to a strong start, with billions of dollars changing hands in a historical first day of trading for the long-sought investment vehicles.
Bond Market Adds to Fed Rate-Cut Bets Despite Inflation Uptick
Bond traders shrugged off higher-than-anticipated inflation readings for December, pricing in a larger total amount of Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts this year beginning in May.
Fed Needs to Tame Rampant Bond Volatility
The Federal Reserve won’t want a repeat of 2023 where 10-year Treasury yields soared from a low of 3.3% in April to peak at 5% in October — only to plummet back to 3.8% by year-end.
Nice Soft Landing, America. But What Comes Next?
Let’s assume the US economy has achieved a rare soft landing, as Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen recently declared. The pandemic-driven disruption is over, jobs recovered, inflation contained.
Bitcoin ETF Hype Is More Memestock Than Gold 2.0
The hype around US spot Bitcoin ETFs has reached meme levels akin to pandemic-era laser eyes: Crypto prices are soaring, hackers are mobilizing and Redditors are pumping. But the promise of game-changing, gold-like adoption looks like a meme too far.
China Stock ETFs See Record Inflows as Mutual Funds Fall Out of Favor
China’s exchange-traded funds attracted record inflows in last year’s equity rout just as actively-managed products fell out of favor, a sign that investor preference is shifting.
AI Tool Helps Fix Faulty Trades Amid Shift to Faster Settlement Times
As the financial industry grapples with the shift to shorter settlement times, banks and broker-dealers will soon have a new artificial intelligence tool to fix and prevent trades that go awry during the settlement process.
US Inflation Accelerates, Tempering Case for Fed to Cut Rates
US inflation accelerated in December as Americans paid more for housing and driving, challenging investor bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates soon.
Shadow Banking Won't Give Jamie Dimon a Rest
JPMorgan Chase & Co. reports earnings on Friday, and Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon is bound to have some choice words about the state of his industry when he sits on a call with investors at 8:30 a.m.
Suburban Millionaires Beware — Private Equity Needs You
Blackstone Inc.’s private equity fund for wealthy individuals is a harbinger of two trends that many expect will transform investment management in the next decade.
BlackRock, Ark Slash Bitcoin ETF Fees Again Ahead of SEC Deadline
Competition among prospective Bitcoin exchange-traded fund issuers intensified, as companies further slashed fees in a bid to make products more attractive to investors ahead of a regulator’s decision on their future.
Nvidia’s Stock Breakout Puts Amazon Within Sight
Just 10 days into the new year and a familiar stock is back near the top of the leaderboard: Nvidia Corp.
‘Magnificent Seven’ Warning, IPO Return Among BofA's 10 Surprises on Wall Street
Geopolitical risk lashes the Magnificent Seven. The IPO machine roars back. Japan emerges as the world’s best developed market.
The Bond Market Rally Is Overlooking a Soaring $2 Trillion Debt Problem
Right around the start of November, two words suddenly disappeared from the chatter in the bond market: debt supply.
Slow-and-Steady Waymo Is Winning the Self-Driving Race
Alphabet Inc.’s self-driving unit Waymo announced on Monday that it plans to unleash its cars onto the freeway in Phoenix “soon.”
Fewer Products Signal Increased Corporate Efficiency
The pandemic taught corporate America a valuable lesson: variety is not necessarily a good thing.
Bitcoin Hovers Under $47,000 as ETF Frenzy Continues
Bitcoin traded just below the $47,000 mark on Tuesday, as investors await a decision from regulators on whether to approve the US’s first exchange-traded fund tied directly to the token.
BlackRock Says Last Year’s Risk Rally Has Legs ‘Well Into 2024’
The monster run in equities and other risk assets that shaped the final stretch of 2023 has room to run well into the new year if inflation continues to ebb, according to strategists at BlackRock Inc.’s Investment Institute.
Investors Are Looking to Share Buybacks to Keep US Stock Market Afloat
Stocks started 2024 with a limp. But that could change this week as earnings season kicks off and companies start announcing their plans for share repurchases, something investors hope will help the market keep last year’s rally running.
Zero-Coupon Treasuries Set Record on Investor Rush to Lock In Yields
A record amount of zero-coupon bonds were created in December as investors scrambled to lock in US government bond yields that were retreating from multiyear highs.
It’s the Time of Year to Kick Yourself Over Online Shopping
Most of us probably spent the 2023 holiday season helping to break a record.
S&P 500 Record-Profit Outlook Is Too Optimistic, Survey Shows
Investors anticipating blockbuster profits in 2024 will be disappointed, according to Bloomberg’s latest Markets Live Pulse survey.
Bond Traders Seize on 4% Yields, Confident Fed Rate Cuts Coming
Traders betting on a 2024 bond rally are unfazed by the recent pullback, seeing it as a chance to seize on elevated yields before the Federal Reserve starts driving down interest rates.
Peconic Hedge Fund Boosts Shorts After Scoring 31% Gain in 2023
Bill Harnisch, whose $1.5 billion hedge fund delivered a market-beating 31% gain last year, is betting the recent bout of euphoric stock buying will peter out.
Bitcoin Edges Lower As Traders Await SEC Bitcoin ETF Move
Bitcoin stumbled on Friday as traders braced for an upcoming decision by the US Securities and Exchange Commission on whether to approve an exchange-traded fund tied directly to the world’s largest cryptocurrency.
Apple’s 2024 Slump Puts Most-Valuable Stock Title at Risk
Apple Inc. is off to its weakest start to a year since 2019, putting its long-standing status as the world’s most valuable stock by market value in jeopardy.
Citi Strategists Say Buy Dips, Don’t Chase Stock Rallies in 2024
There’s no room for double-digit gains again. With less upside expected for global stocks this year than in 2023, Citigroup Inc. strategists say buy at times of weakness and don’t chase rallies.
Whiplashed Bond Traders Are Still Missing the Point
Dueling economic reports whiplashed bond markets on Friday — for all the wrong reasons.
M&A Bankers Confront a Fragile, Stop-Start Year
Investment bankers must at times bore themselves with their talk of “strong pipelines” and “active conversations,” the ever-present characteristics of even the worst markets.
America Spreads the Wealth — and Redistributes It, Too
I have news for you: The United States is becoming more redistributionist. Whether you like it or not.
Bitcoin Reverses Course Ahead of Eagerly Awaited ETF Decision
A slump in Bitcoin on Wednesday saw the cryptocurrency erase almost all gains it had made in the first days of this year, bucking a long-running upswing that outperformed a global malaise in traditional assets.
Fed Sees Rates Staying High for Some Time With Cuts Eyed in 2024
Federal Reserve policymakers agreed last month that it would be appropriate to maintain a restrictive stance “for some time,” while acknowledging they were probably at the peak rate and would begin cutting in 2024.
US Payrolls Pick Up, Wages Gain as Labor Market Stays Solid
US job growth picked up in December and wage gains exceeded expectations, diminishing prospects for a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut in March.
AlphaSimplex Exits Short Bet Against US Bonds After ‘Epic’ Market Shift
AlphaSimplex Group’s Kathryn Kaminski says her firm closed out a more than two-year short bet against US bonds, with its model signaling that it’s starting to become a time to buy as the market emerges from its worst rout in decades.
Coming Rate Cuts Portend a 1980s-Style Economic Resurgence
The key economic question for 2024 is how to think about the interest rate cuts we’re likely to get from the Federal Reserve. Are they good news for the economy as borrowers catch a break, or a sign of impending recession as they were in 2001 and 2007?
Cathie Wood Buys Tesla Shares Just as Wall Street’s View Dims
Cathie Wood has started buying Tesla Inc. shares after selling them for most of last year. Her purchases come at a time when Wall Street’s outlook on the electric vehicle maker is darkening rapidly.
Hedge Funds Cashed In on 2023 Rally That Retail Investors Missed, Bank of America Says
The US stock market had a great 2023 with the S&P 500 Index gaining 24% and the Nasdaq 100 Index having its best year since 1999, but mom-and-pop investors may have missed out on the excitement.
Markets See Fed’s Exit From Quantitative Tightening Nearing
The Federal Reserve is trying to find the right time to start deliberating about how it will extract itself from its balance sheet unwind, a signal that the end might be closer than previously expected.
Smarter Energy Use Is a New Green Bet for Big-Money Investors
A largely invisible driver of the green transition is rapidly gaining backers among some of the world’s largest investors, even as other climate initiatives falter.
Want to Be Wealthy? You Might Try Therapy
Economists are used to the idea that intervening in concrete ways — spending on development projects, for example, or on social services — can improve outcomes. But what about psychological interventions?
2024’s Economy Will Be Just as Unpredictable as 2023’s
Recessions are notoriously difficult to predict. At the end of 2019, for example, many pundits were forecasting a recession simply because the boom had gone on for so long.
Dollar Kicks Off 2024 With Best Day Since March on Fed Doubt
The dollar kicked off the new year with its biggest daily jump since March as traders pared back bets on the scale of the Federal Reserve’s 2024 interest-rate reductions.
Stock Skeptics Say $6 Trillion Cash Waiting on Sidelines Is a Mirage
One often-made argument in favor of stocks says investors should dive in before roughly $6 trillion of money-market cash gets redeployed into equity assets globally.
Stocks, Bonds Drop in Tandem for Worst Start to Year in Decades
Traders hoping that a pan-markets year-end rally would pick up where it left off got the opposite on 2024’s first trading day, a session that featured one of the worst-ever concerted drops in stocks and bonds to start a year.
2024 Will Mark the End of the Post-Pandemic Economy
Economists did not believe it was possible, but they’ve been wrong a lot lately, and in their defense it has only ever happened once (or maybe twice) before: We may be witnessing that rare achievement known as a soft landing.
The Fed Will Set the Pace for Markets More Than Ever This Year
The surge in consumer prices that drove inflation way past central banker’s targets in recent years triggered a wave of interest-rate hikes.
History Bodes Ill for Growth Stocks After Big 2023 Rally
One of the big surprises of 2023 was the resurgence of US growth stocks. The tech-heavy S&P 500 Growth Index outpaced its counterpart Value Index by 7.82 percentage points last year, including dividends, after trailing it badly in 2022.
Bitcoin Topped $45,000 for First Time in Nearly Two Years
Bitcoin surpassed $45,000 for the first time in nearly two years as anticipation of an approval of an exchange-traded fund investing directly in the biggest token intensified.
Treasuries Post First Gain Since 2020 as Fed Pivot Gets Traction
The US Treasury market posted its first annual gain since 2020 as slowing growth and inflation bolstered views that the Federal Reserve’s campaign of interest-rate increases is likely over.
The New Economic Normal Isn’t Anything We’ll Recognize
Ever since the world was hit by a once-in-a-century pandemic, there’s been a lot of talk about “normalization.”
The Dollar Is Set for Its Worst Year Since 2020
The dollar is poised for its worst year since the onset of the pandemic as Wall Street bets the Federal Reserve is set to lower interest rates after reining in prices.
Everything Wall Street Got Wrong in 2023
All across Wall Street, on equities desks and bond desks, at giant firms and niche outfits, the mood was glum. It was the end of 2022 and everyone, it seemed, was game-planning for the recession they were convinced was coming.
America's Top Stock Picker Finds the Beauty in Chips
Since the beginning of the century, when he started following the industry that makes silicon and germanium, whose units are measured in a billionth of a meter, or a nanometer, Adam Benjamin has helped investors profit from the smartest part of the world.
Cathie Wood Goes Big Into ProShares Bitcoin, Dumps Grayscale
One of Cathie Wood’s exchange-traded funds has executed a massive shake-up in its Bitcoin-related holdings as the cryptocurrency rounds out a blockbuster year.
We’re Finally Shaking Off Those ‘Vibecession’ Feelings
The “vibecession” that has confounded economists for the past two years is finally behind us.
New York Can Build More Homes and Save the World
Around the world, major cities are struggling with a severe crisis: Housing has become so expensive that it’s repelling skilled workers, undermining growth and even fomenting political extremism.
It Was a Tough Year for Almost Every Bank Not Named JPMorgan
After a year marred by the biggest US bank failures since the 2008 financial crisis, the nation’s largest lender is on familiar footing — scooping up a weakened rival, reeling in its clients and minting record profits along the way.
Magnificent Seven Loses Importance as Soft Landing Means Risk On
The soft-landing scenario that investors see for next year points to further gains in US stocks. But it also dims the prospect of another stretch of wild outperformance for the technology giants that dominated in 2023.
Wall Street Quants Warm Up to Zero-Day Options Amid Trading Boom
This year’s hottest options trade is catching on with Wall Street’s nerd contingent.
Crypto Hedge Funds Gear Up for ‘Token Mania’ After 2023 Rebound
Crypto hedge funds that survived a bruising 2022 are recovering, and many are thriving. Some are even expecting a banner 2024.
Three Myths About Investing for Retirement
Whatever you’ve been told about your retirement, odds are that it’s wrong. Saving enough for your retirement, and investing the right way, are truly among the hardest of all financial problems. In many ways, it’s more difficult than running a large endowment or hedge fund — and yet we all must do it.
Albert Edwards, Permabear, Sees More Trouble Ahead
Albert Edwards, Societe Generale SA's chief global strategist, hasn't been the top-ranked Extel survey macro analyst for the past 20 years because he's an optimist.
Fed Likely to End Bank Funding Program in March, Wrightson Says
The growing gap between the rate on the Federal Reserve’s nascent funding facility and what the central bank pays institutions parking reserves suggests officials will let the program expire in March, according to Wrightson ICAP.
Goldman’s Painful 2023 Lesson on China Forces Rethink of Emerging Markets
Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s head of global currency, rates and emerging-markets strategy says he’s learned two main lessons from one of the biggest — and most-common — bad calls of 2023: the bet on post-pandemic China’s reopening boom.
The West Has a Bad Case of Temporal Whiplash
Something odd is happening to the world’s most valuable resource. Time is simultaneously speeding up and slowing down. We live in a world of instant communications and superfast internet. We also live in a world of infrastructure projects that crawl along for decades.
US Home Prices Extend Records, Rising for a Ninth Straight Month
Home prices in the US rose for a ninth straight month, reaching a fresh record as buyers battled for a stubbornly tight supply of listings.
How Were So Many Economists So Wrong About the Recession?
Last year at this time, 85% of economists in one poll predicted a recession this year — and that was an optimistic take compared to the 100% probability of a recession forecast two months earlier.
Big Banks Are Copying From Private Credit’s Playbook
On the surface, it was your run-of-the-mill private credit deal. A bunch of heavy hitters in the industry — Oak Hill Advisors, Antares Capital and Golub Capital — were providing half-a-billion dollars to fund the buyout of an engineering firm.
Do You Want Mark Zuckerberg Snooping in Your Closet?
Avi Schiffmann is an entrepreneur with a crazy idea that might become our new reality. Recently, he went on a podcast and then wondered afterwards about how he’d presented himself.
Cevian’s Hopes for UBS Are Probably a Bit Rich
Cevian Capital AB’s $1.3 billion bet on UBS Group AG is unusual in more ways than one. The Stockholm-based investment firm is typically a quiet activist, working behind the scenes to steer management thinking. This time it’s being very public about what looks like a straightforward value play.
Wall Street’s Economic Doomsayers See US Recession Around Corner
A small cadre of Wall Street economists who’ve been surprised by the economy’s resilience in 2023 are doubling down on expecting pain for American households and businesses in the new year.
US Housing Market Shows Signs of Life After Mortgage Rates Fall
Even before the Federal Reserve has begun cutting interest rates, the mere anticipation of such moves is already thawing the US housing market.
Citi Strategists Warn of US Stocks Pullback But Say Buy the Dip
The rally in US stocks is showing signs of fatigue, and investors should be ready to buy into any declines, according to Citigroup Inc. strategists.
Fed and Markets Resume Their Unhealthy Co-Dependency
The Federal Reserve was supposed to leave center stage by the end of the year and let other factors play the leading role in determining asset prices in the advanced world and beyond. Instead, it has written itself an encore act that’s full of confusion.
Quixotic Activist Was Naive About Modern Capitalism
It sounded quixotic, and so it proved. Activist investor Jeff Ubben is winding down his social and environmental impact funds, a project that sought to harness capitalism for the simultaneous benefit of society and shareholders.
Private Credit Should Be Welcomed — and Watched
Since the financial crisis of 2008, policymakers have been cracking down on leverage at banks. As a result, banks cut back on any lending that didn’t seem profitable enough if it wasn’t juiced by leverage.
Vilified Zero-Day Options Blamed by Traders for S&P Decline
This year’s hottest derivatives trade, and perhaps also its most divisive, stole the limelight one final time for 2023 as market watchers cast zero-day options as the villains behind Wednesday’s rally-ending slump in US equities.
What I Got Wrong About Remote Work
The end of one year and the start of another is always a good time to admit one’s mistakes. And I got something wrong — really wrong — about remote work.
Porsche’s Race With Ferrari Is Really No Contest
When Porsche AG sold shares last year, the German sportscar maker hoped to follow in the gilded footsteps of Ferrari NV and achieve a valuation more in line with a luxury goods company rather than a metal-bashing automaker.
Retailers Are Up Against the Grinch This Christmas
A profit warning in the week leading up to Christmas is never a good look. This year’s shock has been provided by Superdry Plc. With just a few shopping days to go until the holiday, investors should be braced for more bad news from other retailers.
Bitcoin Mania Is Relentless With ETF Upstart Touting Carbon Credits
An ETF startup is trying to launch a Bitcoin fund, but with what looks to be an environmentally friendly twist amid continued scrutiny the industry faces around its potentially harmful impacts.
The Hedge Fund Traders Dominating a Massive Bet on Bonds
Jonathan Hoffman, John Bonello and Jonathan Tipermas share more than just similar first names. They’re the driving force behind a gigantic wager on government debt that’s been giving regulators sleepless nights.
Developed-Market Stocks Eye Record as US Leads $11 Trillion Run
A stellar year on Wall Street is propelling the biggest rally since 2019 in the MSCI World Index of developed-market equities, pushing the gauge closer to its record high and leaving emerging-market peers trailing far behind.
Stock Splits Elusive Even After Scorching Chip Rally
This year’s run-up in technology stocks, and particularly chipmakers, has left many with price tags so lofty it may seem like now is the time for firms to split their shares.
Jerome Powell’s Pivot Is a Pretty Big Gamble
The US Federal Reserve and its chair, Jerome Powell, are betting that they can have the best of both worlds — that they’ll be able to defeat excessive inflation without forcing the economy into recession.
Your Money May Not Survive a Quantum Heist
As your credit card is scanned one final time this holiday season, say thanks to prime numbers for keeping the checkout queues short and your money safe. Well, most of the time anyway.
AI Offers Banks New Ways to Repeat Old Mistakes
The extraordinary hype around artificial intelligence this year touched the finance industry, too, but most banks have been rightly cautious about jumping directly onto the bandwagon. In such a tightly regulated business, the costs of getting it wrong could be extreme.
BlackRock’s Rieder Says March Fed Rate Cut Hopes Are Premature
BlackRock’s Rick Rieder said that market expectations for the Federal Reserve to begin cutting interest rates in March are likely too early.
World’s Biggest ETF Sees Record $21 Billion Flow on Stock Rally
An unprecedented amount of cash flowed into the world’s largest and oldest exchange-traded fund last week, as stocks rallied to near-record highs after the Federal Reserve indicated it could cut interest rates next year.
Volatility Quant Soars 64% as Fear Goes Missing on Wall Street
A New York money manager has netted a 64% gain from a strategy riding the big plunge in volatility across the stock market in this expectations-busting year on Wall Street.
Demise of Small Caps Haunts Wall Street in the Age of Big Tech
It’s a temptation many on Wall Street succumbed to recently when small-cap stocks notched two-decade lows versus the S&P 500 – only to rally sharply after the Federal Reserve’s dovish policy surprise last week.
About the Fed’s Great Monetary Pivot
Investors were pleased about the Federal Reserve’s latest policy announcement — perhaps a touch more so than Chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues might wish.
The Fed Runs a Fool’s Errand on Bank Capital Rules
There are many ways a bank can lose money. Top of the list are credit and financial market losses but beneath, there’s a whole taxonomy of issues that industry insiders brand “operational risk.” These result from bad internal processes, people and systems or from external events.
Wall Street’s Profit Outlooks Haven’t Budged as World Changes
The financial world is moving fast, as the Federal Reserve prepares to start cutting interest rates and stock indexes are at or near all-time highs.
Goldman Strategists Lift S&P 500 Forecast a Month After Setting It
Just one month after setting a 2024 target for the S&P 500, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategists increased their forecast as the year-end rally shows no signs of abating.
Long-Dated Treasuries Enter Bull Market as Fed Pivot Feeds Rally
A vehicle used to track longer-dated US government bonds surged into a bull market, as investors seek to end three years of pain on the Federal Reserve’s willingness to consider interest-rate cuts.
Wall Street Is Feeling Good. How About the Rest of Us?
Jerome Powell didn't exactly say "mission accomplished" last week, but that's largely what the markets heard on Wednesday.
The Fed’s Shrinking Balance Sheet Is Worrying a Key Corner of US Financial Markets
As markets staged a monster rally following the Federal Reserve’s shift toward loosening monetary policy, one corner of the financial system had reason to remain on edge.
BofA’s Hartnett Says Flurry of Rate Cut Bets Drive Broad Rally
A rally in this year’s laggards shows investors are now going “all-in” on expectations of a flurry of central bank rate cuts next year, according to Bank of America Corp.’s Michael Hartnett.
Wall Street Is Skeptical That Shoppers Can Keep Spending in 2024
Analysts are growing increasingly doubtful that US consumer spending will hold up into next year, even as American shoppers continue to be surprisingly resilient despite lingering inflation and elevated borrowing costs.
Fidelity, JPMorgan Buck Market by Betting on Stronger Dollar
The dollar will surprise by getting stronger next year as the US economy outperforms, according to some of the world’s biggest money managers.
Gigacasting Will Change How You Buy, Sell and Crash a Car
A major change in automobile manufacturing could pave the way for a revolution in how cars are bought, fixed and resold. Gigacasting, which reduces the number of car panels, has the potential to lower prices but can complicate repairs and transfer costs to owners.
The Stock-Bond Party Is Running Out of Punch
Stronger signaling from the Federal Reserve that interest rate cuts are on the menu in 2024 understandably sent both stocks and bonds soaring on Wednesday.
BlackRock’s Rieder Launches Second ETF After $400 Million Debut
BlackRock Inc. bond chief Rick Rieder is expanding his footprint in the $7.8 trillion ETF industry with the launch of his second fund.
The Year in Industrials: Who Won, Who Lost and Who Improved
The broader industrial economy is set to enter 2024 on shaky footing as an inventory hangover from the supply-chain crisis starts to look more and more like a prelude to underlying demand weakness and the reality of the reshoring boom proves much more nebulous and in flux than the prevailing narrative.
Generation Z Is Getting a Bad Deal on Housing
Becoming a financially secure adult is hard. Establishing yourself in your career, securing a home, starting a family … it’s a struggle as old as the modern economy, maybe even civilization itself. As is the lament of every generation that they have it worse than their forebears.
US Retail Sales Unexpectedly Rise in Solid Start to Holidays
US retail sales unexpectedly picked up in November as lower gasoline prices allowed consumers to spend more to kick off the holiday shopping season.
Powell Ignites 2024 Stock, Bond Gains With Promises of Cuts
US stock and bond prices will see modest gains as the Federal Reserve pivots to cutting interest rates next year, though the easing may not be as aggressive as markets are now expecting.
Alphabet Needs to Show Path to AI Sales in Race with Microsoft
Alphabet Inc. just got a reminder of how important the perception of having a winning AI strategy is for investors.
Wall Street Traders Go All-In on Great Monetary Pivot of 2024
After clashing in recent years, Wall Street traders and the Federal Reserve are – for once – broadly in sync: The great monetary pivot is near as central bankers engineer a once-unthinkable soft landing in the world’s largest economy.
Private Equity Sees an Oligopoly Ripe for Disruption
When private equity firms push into an industry, you know there are decent returns to be made. Just consider their enthusiasm for the arcane business of insuring corporate pensions.
Here’s Why Americans Aren’t Loving the Economy
Experts have been puzzling over a seeming disconnect in America: By most measures the economy is doing well, but it's not giving people much satisfaction or confidence. Could it, they wonder, have something to do with social media, or the human propensity to share bad news first?
Investors Are Unprepared for Stock Shocks, Wells Fargo Strategist Warns
The stock market is getting ahead of itself on bets the Federal Reserve’s fiscal tightening is over, according to Wells Fargo’s Chris Harvey.
Blistering Treasuries Rally Silences Deficit-Obsessed Vigilantes
For most of the summer, the chatter in the bond market about swelling US deficits — and the depressing effect it was having on the price of Treasuries — was incessant.
Risky Exchange-Traded Notes in Spotlight With Arrival of ‘XXXX’
The arrival of a US investment strategy that offers amped-up stock leverage is putting a spotlight on an industry popular with retail traders, but prone to extreme volatility and frequent blow-ups.
Sell S&P 500 in ‘Every Scenario’ Looms as Rally Is Overheating
Even a slight pushback from the Federal Reserve on interest-rate cuts could unravel the relentless stock rally since late October.
Bond Market’s Big Rate-Cut Wager Faces a Reckoning From the Fed
The bond market’s bold bet on US interest-rate cuts is set for its biggest test yet.
US Consumer Prices Pick Up in Bumpy Path Down for Inflation
US consumer prices picked up in November, reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s resolve to keep interest rates elevated in the near term.
Desperate Retail Investors Drive India’s Options Craze
An uncontrolled popular urge to speculate in financial markets is giving regulators a headache everywhere. It is especially worrying in India, where trading in futures and options is now more than 400 times bigger than the underlying cash-market turnover.
Powell Should Let the Numbers Do the Talking on Fed Day
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell faces a communications conundrum at the central bank’s policy meeting this week. Luckily for him, he could just let the Summary of Economic Projections do most of the talking — and avoid unnecessary misunderstandings.
Inflation Is Not on Anyone’s Holiday Gift List
‘Tis the season for headlines about the prices of some very specific items, such as a 16-pound turkey (down from last year) or a Christmas tree (up). None of these prices, however, is a good barometer of the overall cost of living.
Bitcoin Steadies Near $42,000 After Token’s Worst Stretch Since August
Bitcoin traded near $42,000 after a turbulent stretch that lopped almost 8% from the largest digital asset and stirred predictions of more volatility heading into year-end.
Young Investors’ Support for ESG Causes Declines in 2023 ‘Gut Check’
Support for ESG has plummeted among Millennial and Gen Z investors, typically the strongest backers of environmental, social and governance-related issues, as a more turbulent financial outlook tempers enthusiasm, according to a survey from Stanford University and the Hoover Institution.
World’s Largest EM Bond Fund Sees Cash Surge on US Soft Landing
Investors are pouring cash into the world’s largest exchange-traded fund tracking emerging-market debt as confidence mounts that the US Federal Reserve is nearing the end of its aggressive monetary tightening campaign.
Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Sees Drop in Near-Term Profit Views
US company earnings are likely to weaken in the fourth quarter before a rebound in 2024, according to Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson.
Best Bond Forecasters of 2023 Say Rally Is Doomed to Fizzle
The most accurate US bond forecasters of 2023 say the strong year-end rally won’t stretch into 2024.
Low Taxes and High Spending Are a Rich Country Anomaly
Last year was a record one for personal income taxes in the US and close to a record for taxes overall.
Holding an Index Doesn't Mean Job Done on Investing
You’re young. You’ve got a little money to put away every month. You aren’t madly engaged with markets. But you want to invest for the long term in a low-cost, properly diversified manner. What do you do? Ask almost anyone and you will get the same answer.
Decisive Moment Arrives With $4 Trillion Stocks Rally at Stake
Investors are facing a pivotal week as a key measure of inflation that hits Tuesday and the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision on Wednesday are expected to set the tone for the stock market and economy heading into 2024.
A Record High Is in the Cards for US Stocks in 2024
The S&P 500 Index will hit a record high in 2024 as the US avoids sinking into a recession, although a weaker consumer will mean the index gains less than this year’s 20% surge, according to Bloomberg’s latest Markets Live Pulse survey.
This Week Shows What Consumers Do for the US Economy and Vice Versa
Well, the strength of the US economy surprised everyone once again on Friday. We learned that the unemployment rate fell to 3.7% in November, average hourly earnings grew by 0.4%, and 199,000 more jobs were added when economists were expecting around 185,000.
Big Tech’s Ability to Deliver on AI Profits Looms Over S&P 500
The fate of the S&P 500 is increasingly resting on whether a handful of the biggest technology companies can parlay artificial intelligence investments into even higher profits.
US Household Net Worth Falls on Drop in Value of Stock Holdings
US household wealth declined in the third quarter by the most in a year on a drop in the value of stock holdings.
Why Multifamily Is the Next Stress Point in Commercial Real Estate
When it comes to commercial real estate, a lot of attention is obviously paid to offices. But it's not the only sector facing strains.
GMO’s $8 Billion Fund Beats S&P 500 Even Without Nvidia, Tesla
Jeremy Grantham is a famous bubble hunter, quick to point out speculative excess on Wall Street and beyond.
Voters Are Right to Complain About Inflation
Against the odds, the Federal Reserve’s effort to guide the US economy to a soft landing — reducing inflation without causing a recession — seems to be working.
Bitcoin Is Earning Its Place in a Balanced Portfolio
It should be no surprise that Bitcoin sold for over $44,000 this week, more than double its March 13 price. Going back to 2014, it has taken the cryptocurrency an average of nine months and 21 days to double; the milestone came 28 days early this time.
AI Is Likely to Create More Jobs Than It Kills
Artificial intelligence holds far-reaching consequences for modern economies. Many of the jobs we are asked to do will change; a lot of them might disappear altogether.
BofA’s Hartnett Says Bonds Rally May Drag on Stocks in Early ‘24
Stock markets will suffer in the first quarter of 2024 as a rally in bonds would signal sputtering economic growth, according to Bank of America Corp.’s Michael Hartnett.
Bank Stocks Are Cheap But Credit Risks Keep Analysts Wary
A tough year for banks has left shares cheap, but Wall Street analysts are still hesitant to declare it’s all-clear for the sector as concerns over credit markets loom.
Bond Traders to Face a Reality Check With Friday’s Jobs Report
Bond traders who powered a ferocious rally in the $26 trillion US Treasury market are about to find out if they’ve gotten ahead of themselves.
Have the Fed’s Rate Increases Meant Nothing?
Early last year, critics — and there were many — said the Fed was woefully behind the curve on inflation, and that the only way it could win the battle was to push the economy into a damaging recession by raising interest rates very high, very fast.
Options Trading Is Rigged Against Average Investors
Would you gamble your life savings on a few hands of blackjack? Probably not.
Frustrated Homebuyers Are About to Catch a Break
Homebuyers have suffered some severe whiplash in recent months. After all, when mortgage rates hit 8% in late October, it was reasonable to think the housing market would stay on ice throughout the winter.
Global Bond Rally Stalls as BOJ Hike Bets Meets US Jobs Caution
The sizzling global bond rally stalled on Thursday ahead of a key US jobs report, with a slump in Japanese debt adding to the nerves of Treasury traders already fretting that yields had dropped too far.
Beaten-Down Stocks Get Some Revenge After Big Tech’s 2023 Rally
Stock investors are turning to roughed-up corners of the market from small caps to value shares as they seek out bargains with the S&P 500 Index riding a five-week winning streak and soaring almost 9% since the start of November.
US Mortgage Rate Drops to Four-Month Low, Boosting Refinancing
US mortgage rates fell to the lowest level in almost four months last week, spurring the biggest demand for refinancing since February.
Bursting of Pandemic-Stock Bubble Fuels Big Wave of ETF Closures
The notoriously saturated $7.7 trillion ETF industry is this year poised for the second-highest number of closures, as the pandemic-era day trading boom fizzles out.
Constitutional or Not, Wealth Taxes Are Bad Economics
The US Supreme Court heard arguments on Tuesday over a dispute over a $14,279 tax bill — and the slightly more consequential question of what counts as income under the federal tax code, a definition the Biden administration would like to expand.
Bitcoin Hype Will Clash With the Rolex Recession
“BUY BTC.” The logo stamped on this week’s leaked version of the Grand Theft Auto VI trailer, depicting a faux glamorous world of speedboats, supercars and “shoot-em-ups,” was well timed.
The Murky Uses of India’s Private Credit Funds
There are plenty of high-performing private investment vehicles in India, but it’s the few that are being set up for dubious purposes that may bring harsher regulatory scrutiny to the country’s most rapidly expanding asset class.
Wall Street Quants Join Chatbot Boom as AI Gold Rush Intensifies
Jesse Livermore scanned trendlines. Warren Buffett sought a margin of safety. Peter Lynch bet on growth rates. In the long history of markets, trading systems and investment formulas hold an honored place.
Apollo CEO Says It’s Getting Harder to Beat Public Markets
Apollo Global Management Inc.’s Marc Rowan said it’s getting harder for active managers to beat indexes in public markets and that it is easier for investors to find alpha in private markets.
MetLife Downplays Concern Over Commercial Real Estate
MetLife Inc., the biggest US life insurer, downplayed concerns about the faltering commercial real estate market amid signs that occupancy is starting to recover.
Treasury Yields Resume Slide on Latest Sign Labor Market Cooling
Treasury yields resumed their downward slide — with the benchmark 10-year note’s falling to the lowest level since Sept. 1 — after the latest sign of labor-market cooling bolstered bets that a Federal Reserve shift to policy easing isn’t far off.
‘No Bears Left’ Is Worrying Refrain Coming From Wall Street
The message coming from Wall Street is that investor optimism is running dangerously high.
Taiwan’s Big China ETF Bust Shows Extent of Financial Decoupling
Taiwan’s economic and financial decoupling from China has deepened with the near-collapse of what was once the world’s largest Chinese bond exchange-traded fund market.
We’ll Soon See If New Fed Defenses Work Against Money Mayhem
Big central banks are going to keep shrinking their balance sheets next year, pulling money out of the financial system, even if the fight against inflation looks to be won and interest rate cuts begin.
Private Credit Titans Win the Incentive Fee Lottery
The $1.6 trillion private credit market is enjoying a “golden moment,” in the words of one Blackstone Inc. executive, as banks retreat from risky lending and investors flock to funds offering double-digit returns on corporate loans.
McKinsey Sees AI Adding Up to $340 Billion to Wall Street Profit
Banks using generative artificial intelligence tools could boost their earnings by as much as $340 billion annually through increased productivity, according to consultants hoping to help the industry adapt in this fast-moving area.
India Boosts Emerging Market ETFs as US Yields Dip, Dollar Falls
India is once again leading flows into US exchange-traded funds tracking emerging markets, boosting one of the most popular trades in 2023 as declining US yields and a weakening dollar turn investors toward assets in the developing world.
Stifel Sees S&P 500 Delivering Little Returns Into Early 2030s
Don’t look to US stocks for big gains next year — or for at least the next decade. That’s the bold take from Stifel Nicolaus & Co.’s Barry Bannister, one of a few Wall Street strategists who predicted the rally in the first half of 2023.
Did Markets Go Too Far, Too Fast Is Debate to Dominate December
December’s whipsaw opening shows investors may be concerned November’s epic rallies went too far, too fast in anticipating a near-perfect soft landing for the economy.
Private Credit Won't Cause the Next Financial Crisis
The rapid rise of funds that make loans directly to buyout deals and other highly indebted companies — known as private credit — is among the hottest topics in finance.
OpenAI’s Q* Is Alarming for a Different Reason
When news stories emerged last week that OpenAI had been working on a new AI model called Q* (pronounced “q star”), some suggested this was a major step toward powerful, humanlike artificial intelligence that could one day go rogue.
Trading Corporate Bonds Is Still More Art Than Science
Two years ago, the Journal of Finance — the most prestigious journal in the field — retracted a published paper because of data errors, either the first or second withdrawal ever by a top-three finance journal.
Nvidia Insiders Unload Shares After 220% AI Rally
While corporate insiders are increasingly betting on shares of their own firms, bosses at the S&P 500’s best-performing company are cashing in.
Yield Hunt Is Finally Back On for Buyers in Emerging Markets
Across Wall Street, analysts and investors had cheered 2023 as the year of emerging markets, only to be burned by a relentless climb in US Treasury yields. Now, as the Federal Reserve looks set to end its most aggressive monetary tightening campaign in a generation, they’re at it again.
Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says December to Be Rocky for Stocks
US stocks are headed for a rocky end to the year after rallying in November as bond yields fluctuate, according to Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson.
Should You Buy Bitcoin? All You Need to Know After Token Hits $40,000
Bitcoin has jumped more than 140% this year to outstrip other investments like stocks and gold, and optimism for further gains is high.
Bond Market Euphoria Shifts to Debate Over How Low Fed Will Need to Go
A torrid bond market rally shows traders are convinced the Federal Reserve’s rate-rising cycle is over. The debate now turns to when central bankers start cutting, and by how much.
Regional-Bank Debt Is a Bargain to Buyers Betting Worst is Over
Money managers including Invesco Ltd. and Loop Capital Asset Management are bullish on regional-bank bonds, wagering that the debt will perform better than the broader market as fears about funding costs settle down.
Biggest Blowout in Bonds Since the 1980s Sparks Everything Rally
In a year in which little has gone right in the US bond market, November turned out to be a month for the record books.
Powell Brushes Off Rate-Cut Bets as Fed Moves Carefully
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell pushed back against Wall Street’s growing expectations of interest-rate cuts in the first half of 2024, saying the committee will move cautiously with borrowing costs at a 22-year high but retain the option to hike further.
JPMorgan Sees Sky-High Rates Reviving Short-Term Muni Deals
Decades-high interest rates are poised to revive interest in a little-used corner of the municipal-bond market: variable rate deals.
OpenAI Exposes the Clash of Governing Money and Mission
OpenAI’s power brokers seem to have decided that the quickest fix for last week’s dysfunction is to borrow a page from corporate America’s playbook by adding some establishment figures to its board.
Uncertainty Looms Over a November to Remember
November will be etched in the memories of investors as a remarkable month.
Blue-Chip Spreads Rally as Investors Bet Fed is Done Hiking
Risk premiums on US investment-grade corporate bonds have narrowed to the tightest level in nearly two years on expectations that the Federal Reserve has reached the peak of its monetary-tightening cycle.
Billionaire Heirs Have a How-to-Spend-It Problem
“Let me tell you about the very rich. They are different from you and me.” F. Scott Fitzgerald could have added that they are also generationally different from each other.
Bond Traders Schooled on Central Banking 101
On Wall Street and in the financial media, many of us make our living by attempting to say “smart stuff” about the Federal Reserve. Unfortunately in some cases, that creates an incentive to make central banking out to be more complicated than it is.
Bandaged Up OpenAI Faces a Tougher Task Now
“I have never been more excited about the future,” wrote Sam Altman, the reinstated chief executive officer of OpenAI, to his subordinates on Wednesday, in a statement formally announcing his return and the rebuilding of the company’s fractured board.
Charlie Munger and the Fading Art of the Second Banana
Charlie Munger, the longtime vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., who died on Tuesday at the age of 99, will be exalted for many things in the coming days.
Citadel and Its Peers Are Piling Into the Same Trades. Regulators Are Taking Notice
Even Ken Griffin is a little worried. Multimanager funds like Griffin’s Citadel have come to dominate the hedge fund industry, riding a steady run of outperformance to oversee more than $1 trillion, including a healthy dose of leverage.
Munis Haven’t Rallied So Much in a Month Since Paul Volcker Ran the Fed
The last time the municipal bond market rallied so much, it was Paul Volcker — and not Jerome Powell — who was winning a war on inflation.
JPMorgan’s S&P 500 Outlook for 2024 Is Grimmest on Wall Street
As a rush of Wall Street strategists call for all-time highs in US stocks in the year ahead, JPMorgan Chase & Co. stands apart, releasing the gloomiest forecast so far among its peers.
The Charlie Munger Principles to Invest and Live By
Among his many contributions, Munger was a prolific armchair philosopher, whose speeches and interviews included hundreds — maybe thousands — of nuggets about how to invest and live well.
Unhappy American Consumers Will Welcome a Slower Economy
The unhappiness of American consumers despite rapid job and economic growth in the past few years is a hotly debated topic. Is it inflation? High borrowing costs for homes and automobiles? Crowded airports and packed airplanes?
What We Need to Talk About When We Talk About AI
Ever since Alan Turing’s “imitation game,” we’ve been acutely aware of the importance of measuring the capabilities of computers against our own miraculous brains.
US Economy Grew 5.2% in Third Quarter, More Than First Estimated
The US economy grew at an even faster pace in the third quarter than originally estimated, reflecting upward revisions to business investment and government spending.
Global Bonds Surge Toward Best Month Since 2008 Financial Crisis
Global bonds are soaring at the fastest pace since the 2008 financial crisis.
US Steps After SVB Likely Spurred Bond-Fund Outflows, Study Says
US regulators’ swift action in March to ring-fence the banking sector after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank might have had an unintended consequence of driving cash out of bond funds, by enhancing the appeal of deposits.
Bitcoin Retakes $38,000 While Rate Cut Expectations Increase
Bitcoin climbed back above $38,000 on Tuesday amid optimism the US central bank may be closer to lowering borrowing costs if inflation continues to decline.
The $7 Trillion ETF Boom Gets Blamed Again for Dumb Stock Moves
It’s the latest critique of the passive-investing boom: Fresh academic research claims that the relentless flood of index-chasing cash on Wall Street is distorting stock prices and causing extreme market moves.
Adyen-Led Fintech Comeback Faces Wall of Worries
The rebound in Adyen NV and its European fintech peers this month has been notable, but investors should brace for a bumpy road ahead.
Electric Vehicle Subsidy Junkies Can’t Get Higher
BMW AG Chief Executive Officer Oliver Zipse was incredulous when asked this month whether the German premium carmaker would respond to a brutal price war in electric vehicles by cutting production.
How Argentina Could Still Convert to the Dollar
Javier Milei was elected president of Argentina on the strength of a radical promise: that he would replace the highly inflationary Argentine peso with the stable US dollar.
China Is a Rich Country. It Can No Longer Cry Poor on Climate
At the time of the first major climate change conference, in Rio de Janeiro in 1992, China was one of the least developed nations. Its per capita income was below Haiti, Niger and Pakistan.
Economists May Have Been Flying Blind All Along
The pandemic upended many of the things we thought we knew about the economy. Even now, economists struggle to answer such fundamental questions as whether Americans are better off financially.
Virtual Cash Will Survive the Crypto Winter
When the crypto bubble was on the rise, it prompted governments to step up development of their own form of electronic cash, known as central bank digital currencies. Now that enthusiasm for crypto has waned, will CBDCs fade away, too?
Sharp US Stock Rally Is Running Out of Steam, Citi Strategists Say
The rally that led the S&P 500 to one of its best November gains in a century is now running out of steam, according to Citigroup Inc. strategists.
BlackRock Unveils Path to Unleashing $4 Trillion Investment Boom
Researchers working inside a unit of BlackRock Inc. estimate that a reform of public financial institutions could free up as much as $4 trillion in additional investment to help emerging markets tackle the fallout of climate change.
Meme-Stock ETF Shuts After Failing to Attract Day Traders
If investors needed another sign the heyday for meme stocks has passed, an exchange-traded fund designed to ride the pandemic-era rise of retail traders is shuttering after just two years.
Wall Street’s $300 Billion Middleman Rides Model-Portfolio Boom
Brooks Friederich is a little-known figure in the world of investment advisory, even among the Wall Street cognoscenti. Yet every year, the 39-year-old — and his Berwyn, Pennsylvania-based employer Envestnet — helps steer billions of dollars into tailor-made strategies for financial advisers, part of what’s known as the model-portfolio boom.
How to Fix a $2.2 Trillion FX Risk After 50 Years of Trying
It’s finally time to move on from a $2.2 trillion problem by burying Bankhaus Herstatt — a half-century after its collapse.
Is a Hedge Fund More Than Its Founder?
Is a hedge fund anything without its founder? Another batch of well-known hedge fund managers have sold out or moved to liquidate portfolios this month. Their legacies as entrepreneurs underscore the challenges of building a firm that outgrows the key risk-taker.
Private Equity's Bubble Vintage May Fizzle
Private equity firms that spent hundreds of billions of dollars on acquisitions at the top of the market risk a nasty hangover.
‘AI Blowback’ Angst Grips ESG Investors Who Bet Big on Tech
ESG fund managers who turned to big tech as a low-carbon, high-return bet are growing increasingly anxious over the sector’s experimentation with artificial intelligence.
Bond Market’s Dramatic Recovery Is Seen as Opening Act for Broader Revival
The world’s biggest bond market has clawed its way back after spending chunks of 2023 underwater. Now many US debt watchers see the pathway clearing for a real revival.
Billions Wiped Out as Stock-Safety Trade on Wall Street Misfires
Reeling from a bear market last year, beaten-up investors decided to send more than $60 billion to exchange-traded funds focusing on dividends.
Wall Street Throws Caution to the Wind to Keep Up With Stock Rally
It’s the major casualty of November’s sizzling stock rally: Investor caution.
Bond Traders Boost US Recession Bets as Growth Falters
Treasury investors are turning increasingly skeptical the Federal Reserve will deliver a soft landing for the US economy next year, elevating concern of a looming recession over the risks posed by inflation and a swelling budget deficit.
US Consumer Year-Ahead Inflation Expectations Rise Further
US short-term inflation expectations climbed to a seven-month high in November and longer-run price views remained at levels not seen since 2011.
Fed Minutes Show Unity on Cautious Approach to Future Rate Hikes
Federal Reserve policymakers at their most recent meeting united around a strategy to “proceed carefully” on future interest-rate moves and base any further tightening on progress toward their inflation goal.
Annuities Are Back in Fashion, But Are They Safe?
Every time interest rates go up there is a flurry of demand for a product that has been around at least since the Roman Empire — annuities. The insurance industry has already seen rapid growth in annuity sales since 2021 and if rates remain at or move above current levels, demand seems poised to explode.
Struggling Cities Face More Pain From AI Boom
Artificial intelligence is likely to transform our world in many ways, but one that hasn’t received much attention is the technology’s looming impact on real estate. As AI becomes an essential component of both business and daily life, the value of places where those who work on AI want to live will rise, provided these locales have reasonable infrastructure.
Climate Funds Look to Regain Footing After Three Down Years
Growth prospects for renewable energy will be a central plank of discussions when world leaders start gathering next week in Dubai for COP28.
Is a Hedge Fund-Style Investment Right for You?
Former Bridgewater Associates LP executive Bob Elliott’s plan for exchange-traded funds that employ hedge fund strategies has sharpened the debate about whether retail investors should have access to such approaches.
US Pensions to Gorge on Corporate Bonds as Funding Levels Soar
A quirk in retirement fund accounting is making corporate pensions look particularly flush now, giving them more incentive to cut risk by dumping equities and buying bonds.
Altman Returns as OpenAI CEO in Chaotic Win for Microsoft
Sam Altman will return to lead OpenAI less than five days after he was pushed out of one of the world’s most valuable startups, setting off a shock back-and-forth drama that transfixed Silicon Valley and the global AI industry.
Nvidia Fails to Satisfy Lofty Investor Expectations for AI Boom
Nvidia Corp. investors gave a cool reaction to its latest quarterly report, which blew past average analysts’ estimates but failed to satisfy the loftier expectations of shareholders who have bet heavily on an artificial intelligence boom.
Grayscale’s Bitcoin Win Is Still Only Half the Battle
News that a Washington DC Court of Appeals ruled in favor of Grayscale Investments LLC over the Securities and Exchange Commission has ignited hope that a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund will soon be available. Bitcoin prices jumped.
Who Needs a Bitcoin ETF? Actually, the SEC Does
Should the US Securities and Exchange Commission approve an exchange-traded fund focused on the spot market for Bitcoin? The question has yet again gained relevance, thanks to the District of Columbia Court of Appeals, which last week reversed the SEC’s decision to reject a Bitcoin ETF proposed by Grayscale Investments.
Inflation Could Come Back When You Least Expect It
The latest inflation report, showing that price increases slowed in October, suggests that the US just might get the “immaculate disinflation” that everyone is hoping for: Inflation will fall to its pre-pandemic levels and remain there, and the US will avoid a recession. Allow me to make the pessimist’s case that we are not out of the woods yet.
Wood’s Ark, 21Shares Unveil Fee on Pending Spot Bitcoin ETF
Cathie Wood’s ARK Investment Management and digital-asset firm 21Shares just became the first major applicant in the US spot Bitcoin ETF race to list a fee on their planned offering.
If You're in Cash, You Risk Missing Out, Bond Managers of $2.5 Trillion Say
For investors stashing record sums in cash, US bond managers overseeing a combined $2.5 trillion have a bit of advice: It’s time to put that money to work.
Li Ka-shing-Backed WeLab Launches Digital Bank in Indonesia
WeLab Ltd., backed by investors including billionaire Li Ka-shing and Astra International, a unit of Jardine Matheson, is launching a digital bank in Indonesia to tap the young and fast-growing economy.
Alibaba Shock Move Casts Fresh Pall Over China Tech
The shocking decision by Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. to cancel the spinoff of its cloud division is offering a fresh reason for investors to sell China tech stocks in an earnings season yielding mixed results.
Microsoft Ends Weekend of OpenAI Drama With Coup of Its Own
After three days of high drama at the world’s most closely watched startup, which many compared to a coup, Microsoft Corp. capped the weekend with one of its own: The software giant hired ousted OpenAI chief Sam Altman.
A Guide to the AI Safety Debate After Sam Altman’s Ouster
When it comes to artificial intelligence, one of the most commonly debated issues in the technology community is safety — so much so that it has helped lead to the ouster of OpenAI's co-founder Sam Altman, according to Bloomberg News.
Federal Reserve Officials Talk Too Much
There was a time, not so long ago when the Federal Reserve said very little about its policies; its leaders did their utmost to obfuscate rather than clarify. Those days are long gone.
Cathie Wood and Walmart Aren’t Speaking the Same Deflation Language
The deflationistas have been working themselves into a tizzy since Walmart Inc. Chief Executive Officer Doug McMillon warned of a period of declining prices at the big-box retailer in the months to come.
Bonds’ Best Month Since March Faces ‘Sanity Check’ in Auction
The Treasury market’s nascent rally is facing its next big test: a bond auction that will help gauge whether investors are confident 2023’s selloff is over once and for all.
Lasting Recovery in Small Caps Still Elusive as Debt Costs Bite
The powerful rally in small-cap stocks looks like yet another false start rather than a lasting recovery.
Bitcoin ETF Hype Has Wall Street Eyeing $100 Billion Crypto Potential
It’s touted as crypto’s big breakthrough on Wall Street: The imminent arrival of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds that will kick open digital-currency investing to the institutional and retail masses.
Echoes of Bitcoin’s 2021 Record Run Emerge in the Derivatives Market
A burst of activity in Bitcoin derivatives has evoked memories of the period in late 2021 when the token surged to an all-time high.
Treasuries Suffer First Outflows Since 2021 in September Rout
The savage sell-off that hit Treasuries in prior months was driven by concerns a buyers’ strike had hit the $26 trillion bond market. It’s now confirmed: at least one set of investors headed for the exits back in September.
Dear Miami, Taking Wall Street From NYC Won’t Be Easy
For the past decade, South Florida’s politicians and development officials have fanned dreams — which long felt like delusions — of the region reinventing itself as some sort of “Wall Street South.”
US Treasury Market Is Resilient Despite ‘Shocks,’ Official Says
The Treasury Department’s top domestic finance official said the US government debt market has functioned well during a year of outsized interest-rate volatility, a regional banking crisis and the recent hack of the world’s largest bank.
BofA’s Hartnett Says Sell ‘Epic’ Stock Rally as Risks Linger
Investors should offload risky assets after recent gains as technical and macroeconomic headwinds are building, according to Bank of America Corp.’s Michael Hartnett.
The Case for Two Fed Rate Cuts in Early 2024 Is Building
Now that there’s a growing consensus that the Federal Reserve is done raising interest rates — a shift I predicted last month — it’s time to ponder when policymakers will consider cutting rates and by how much.
‘Prime Is Fine’ in Real Estate. Except When It’s Not
A charismatic entrepreneur pulls in wealthy investors to amass a portfolio of some of the finest prime real estate. Banks and bondholders are persuaded to provide the leverage. What could possibly go wrong?
A $100 Billion ETF Flood Offers Little Solace to Active Managers
At first blush, a record $100 billion flood into actively managed exchange-traded funds this year raises a tantalizing prospect: A revival of stock picking even as only Big Tech names outperform the market. Yet, a look under the hood of popular ETFs shows the boom is almost entirely taking place in passive-looking trades.
New US Home Construction Increased Unexpectedly in October
New US home construction unexpectedly picked up in October, indicating builders continue to benefit from a limited supply in the resale market.
Rent Hikes of 2021 and 2022 to Boost CPI Into 2026
Inflation is edging back toward pre-pandemic rates in the US, but rent inflation still has a long way to go. To put it into numbers, the all-items consumer price index was just 3.2% higher in October than a year earlier, but the rent of primary residence index was up 7.2%.
Three Things to Prevent a Treasury Market Meltdown
The market for US Treasury securities is arguably the world’s most important: a haven for investors in turbulent times, and a benchmark for virtually all other assets.
Fintechs Push Mexico Interest Rates to 15% in Battle for Savers
Just a week after Brazil’s Nu Holdings Ltd announced a yield of 15% on its high-yield savings accounts in Mexico, Argentina’s Ualá is raising its own by three percentage points to 15%.
Bitcoin Flirts With $38,000 as Spot ETF Hopes Encourage Bull Run
Bitcoin was in sight of $38,000, a level last seen in May 2022, amid an ongoing rally spurred by expectations of fresh demand for the token from exchange-traded funds.
Goldman’s Kostin Latest on Wall Street to See 2024 Stock Gains
The S&P 500 Index will keep rallying next year and should come close to its record high hit in early 2022, say strategists at Goldman Sachs Group Inc., becoming the latest Wall Street bank to come out with a bullish call.
America’s Top 1% Don’t Make as Much as You Might Think
Can a single self-published paper really refute decades of work by three famous economists? If the paper is the modestly titled “Income Inequality in the United States: Using Tax Data to Measure Long-Term Trends,” then the answer — with qualifications — is yes.
Ken Griffin’s Warning Looms Over Inflation Celebration
On Wall Street, there’s always a lot of excitement around the latest inflation report. Tuesday’s better-than-expected number was an extreme example — bond yields plummeted and stocks surged.
How America Can Get Its Debt Back Under Control
With its $33.7 trillion debt and trillion-dollar budget deficit, the US’s deteriorating fiscal situation is impossible to ignore. To simply balance the budget, a 29% across-the-board cut in spending would be necessary, even if the tax cuts enacted by the Trump administration are allowed to expire at the end of 2025.
Stocks and Bonds Rally as Traders Bet That Fed Hikes Are Done
Professional traders entered November wagering Jerome Powell’s campaign to tame inflation was a long way from being won. Now they’re being forced into risky bets that the battle is over.
Meta Has More Wall Street Fans Than Ever as Rally Nears 300%
For Meta Platforms Inc. bulls, the biggest one-day stock wipeout in history is a fading sight in the rear-view mirror.
Seismic Day for Treasuries Fuels Bets Fed to Slash Rates in 2024
A normal day for markets became something extraordinary after a hotly anticipated report on US inflation gave traders the greenlight to declare that the Federal Reserve’s most aggressive interest-rate hiking cycle in decades is over.
The Job Market Slowdown Is Getting Hard to Ignore
It’s important not to gloss over this reality because a number of signs point to a continuing deterioration so long as the Federal Reserve keeps interest rates at a level that restrains the economy.
Annuities Should Be Boring, Not a Systemic Threat
Every year, millions of Americans send their hard-earned money to life insurance companies, in return for a promise that it will grow and provide them with regular income in old age.
US Companies Opting to Refinance 2024 Debt Face Profit Hit as Higher Rates Bite
Some of the largest US companies face billions of dollars in additional interest costs and hits to their profit if they refinance their 2024 maturities at current rates, with a third of them lacking the cash to repay upcoming debt.
‘Tidal Wave’ of AI Spending to Power Tech Bull Market, Wedbush Says
The promise of artificial intelligence to rewire large swaths of the American economy supercharged tech shares for most of the year before the fever broke this fall. But investors would be remiss in thinking AI’s power to juice returns is over.
Anger Is What’s Driving the US Economy
As it turns out, the big economic story of 2023 is not a recession, as many had predicted — it’s the disconnect between consumer sentiment and behavior.
Retirement Savers Are Getting Ripped Off
Where is the line between selling a financial product and providing investment advice? That question is at the heart of a debate over a new proposal that aims to protect Americans’ retirement savings.
Morgan Stanley Sees Bullish Opportunities for US Assets in 2024
Morgan Stanley’s strategists see US stocks and bonds outperforming their emerging markets peers next year, according to a note to clients.
A $20 Billion Week Marks Market Reopening for EM Bond Sales
Emerging-market borrowers are piling back into global bond markets, selling about $20 billion in dollar notes in just a few days, all too aware that the window of opportunity may snap shut as suddenly as it opened.
Buying Junk Bonds Is the Top Contrarian Trade for 2024
Worries about an economic downturn aren’t enough to dissuade market participants from being bullish on risky debt as their top contrarian trade, according to the latest Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey.
Wall Street Warns of Risks in Push to Rein In Home-Loan Banks
A push by US regulators to rein in the Federal Home Loan Banks risks casting broad ripples through the US financial system, increasing costs to banks by pulling a major force from the nation’s funding markets.
Microsoft Record Leads $1.5 Trillion Nasdaq Surge
Wall Street’s so-called Magnificent Seven has been living up to its name again, but none more so than Microsoft Corp.
Individual Investors Pull Most Cash From US Stocks in Two Years
Individual investors who had been behind the stock market rally this year pulled more money from US equities in October than they have in any month over the past two years.
Nvidia Is Looking Cheap to Some as 220% Rally Stalls
Nvidia bulls are starting to throw around an adjective rarely used for a stock that’s more than tripled in less than a year: cheap.
S&P 500’s Busted Winning Streak Was a Mirage Anyway
The bond market giveth and the bond market taketh away. The S&P 500 Index closed in the red Thursday, blowing its widely-hyped chance at a nine-day winning streak, which would have been its best run since 2004.
What Is the Goal of the 60/40 Portfolio?
I am not a fan of one-size-fits-all financial strategies. Yes, I see the value of making investment as simple as possible, but the right balance of risk and reward is a personal decision, and the most common strategies are either arbitrary or agnostic about crucial details.
Universities Shouldn’t Be Punished for Betting on Private Equity
Moody’s Investors Service recently released a report bluntly entitled, “Private equity exposure increases credit risk for universities with limited wealth.”
‘Dark Matter’ Bond Metric Mesmerizes Wall Street and Washington
It’s the buzz word on Wall Street and in the hallways of the Federal Reserve and Treasury Department. It’s blamed for triggering bond selloffs, shifts in debt auctions and interest-rate policy.
Citi Sees Risk to US Stock Rally After Investors Lock In Profits
The S&P 500’s best week in a year was driven by investors locking in profits on bearish bets, suggesting little room for further gains, according to Citigroup Inc. strategists.
Fed Needs to Forget About Inflation and Focus on Jobs
The inflation scare is barely behind us, and it is already time for the Federal Reserve to focus on recession risks. The recent trajectory of job growth means policymakers can no longer rule out unemployment snowballing in 2024, which should force a shift in how they think about managing their dual mandate.
Ex-Cantor Executives Start Lending Platform for Anticipated Spot Bitcoin ETFs
Several ex-Cantor Fitzgerald executives started a crypto lending platform with the expectation that it will serve operators of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds once they gain US regulatory approval.
Powell Urges Fed Economists to Be Flexible on Forecast Methods
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank must be willing to think beyond the complex mathematical simulations it traditionally uses to forecast the economy.
As Banking Goes Digital, Finance Apps Are Still Too Risky
For years, Americans have been giving their banking data to financial apps such as Venmo, YNAB and Rocket Mortgage. And for years, banks have been trying to figure out how to deal with the security risks. A new proposal from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau suggests a better way.
Why My Recession Rule Could Go Wrong This Time
Alarm bells sounded Friday when we learned that the US unemployment rate rose to 3.9% for October, well above the 50-year low of 3.4% that it hit earlier in the year. The latest reading is still very low, so what’s with the doomsayers telling us a recession has arrived?
Buffett’s $157 Billion Cash Pile Isn’t an Ominous Sign
Everything in the world is relative, including Warren Buffett’s cash position.
US 30-Year Mortgage Rate Tumbles by Most in More Than a Year
The average 30-year mortgage rate plunged last week by the most in more than a year, helping generate the biggest advance in home purchase applications since early June.
Hoisington’s Hunt Says the Bond Rally Is Just Getting Started
Hoisington Investment Management Co. was pummeled by its bullish stance on US bonds in recent years, driving its Treasury fund to some of the industry’s biggest losses as the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes sent prices tumbling.
BlackRock’s $100 Billion Model Makers Are Betting on Megacaps
The team responsible for assembling BlackRock Inc.’s model portfolios is favoring the stock market’s largest companies, potentially unleashing a flood of billions of dollars into technology shares.
UBS Made a Fast Start in Butchering Credit Suisse
Sergio Ermotti promised ruthlessness in reshaping Credit Suisse Group AG, and the chief executive officer of UBS Group AG has been true to his word.
Druckenmiller Mistakes the US Treasury for a Hedge Fund
Billionaire Stan Druckenmiller isn’t letting up on his criticism of US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. Druckenmiller says Yellen committed an epic mistake by failing to meaningfully term out America’s debt when rates were ultra-low — a missed opportunity he’s characterized as “the biggest blunder in the history of the Treasury.”
Record-Setting Push Into Both Ends of Yield Curve Set to Pay Off
A record flood of cash has poured into opposite ends of the US Treasury yield curve this year, seeking either to seize on the highest short-term interest payments in over two decades or profit from a long-bond rally once rates finally peaked.
American Banks Now Look Poised to Stoke the Economy
One consistent overhang in an otherwise pretty good year for the US economy has been tightening credit standards at banks.
Please Don’t Call Inflation Anxiety Delusional
Many commentators are struck by the disconnect between the US economy’s impressive performance of late and the dismal popular view of the very same economy.
The Price of Money Is Going Up, and It’s Not Only Because of the Fed
What’s the most important price in the global economy? The price of oil? The price of semiconductors? The price of a Big Mac? More important than any of these is the price of money. For more than three decades it was falling.
Bond Market Has Fighting Chance to Avoid Historic Losing Streak
A prospect that might have seemed unthinkable just a couple short weeks ago is coming into view for bond traders: The potential for US Treasuries to post an annual gain for the first time since 2020.
Winner-Take-All Rally Spurs Big Distortion Among S&P 500 Members
The S&P 500’s pitch is simple. Own it and get exposure to the biggest of the big among US firms. Lately, it’s gotten harder to maintain that point of distinction.
China Foreign Investment Gauge Turns Negative For First Time
A measure of foreign investment into China turned negative for the first time since records began in 1998, highlighting how foreign companies are pulling money out of the country due to geopolitical tensions and higher interest rates elsewhere.
US Jobs Data Show Broad Cooling After Run of Surprise Strength
US job growth slowed in October by more than expected and the unemployment rate rose to an almost two-year high of 3.9%, indicating that employers’ strong demand for workers is beginning to cool.
Cathie Wood Says Bitcoin Is ‘Digital Gold’ as Deflation Hedge
Cathie Wood says she would unambiguously wager on Bitcoin — rather than gold or cash — to safeguard against the possibility of deflation in the coming decade.
Fed Pause ‘Really Good Time’ to Buy Stocks, Capital Group Says
Capital Group is seeing an opportunity for investors to load up on global equities after the Federal Reserve held rates on Wednesday, signaling an end to its aggressive tightening cycle.
The Tech Gold Rush Is Over. Where’s the Next One?
I remember the exact moment in 2007 when I knew the financial industry was headed for a reckoning. There was no data point that tipped me off, no great insight about the housing market.
Bond Selloff Is Close to Over as Fed Nears End of Hiking Cycle
The selloff in US debt appears close to being over as the Federal Reserve nears winding up its most aggressive rate hikes in a generation.
Treasury Bond Bears Look Ready to Hibernate
Yields on 10-year Treasury notes plummeted 20 basis points on Wednesday, the most since the banking crisis in March. For all the macroeconomic news of the day, it was hard to pinpoint exactly what changed so meaningfully from one trading session to the next.
AI Hangover Weighs On Chipmaker Shares Even With Solid Results
Signs of recovery in smartphone and computer demand have yet to provide the next tailwind for chip stocks as they languish below the heights of this year’s artificial intelligence rally.
American Workers Are the Economy’s True Unsung Heroes
The US economy just enjoyed its strongest quarterly growth outside of the pandemic era since 2014, expanding at a 4.9% annualized rate in the three months ended Sept. 30.
Global Real Estate Fundraising Slumps 71% With Rate Risk
Private real estate fundraising plunged in the third quarter as higher interest rates cooled investor appetites for risk.
Sorry, Gen Z, But Economic Anxiety Isn’t Going Away
Less than a third of Gen Z feels financially secure while just more than half feels “very or extremely worried about not having enough money,” according to a recent study by consulting firm EY. “Welcome, the water’s warm!” says every American millennial.
The Federal Reserve’s Pause Could Go Terribly Wrong
The US Federal Reserve thinks it can take a break. As Fed officials see it, they need only sit back and wait while the monetary tightening they’ve already done gradually takes hold, slowing the economy and pushing inflation back down to the central bank’s 2% target.
Social Security Is Nearing A Crisis
Washington seems determined to ignore the country’s rapidly worsening fiscal picture, but sooner or later policymakers will be forced to pay attention. When they do, they’ll find that changes to Social Security are unavoidable.
Bitcoin Proxy MicroStrategy Questions Own ‘Premium’ With ETFs Looming
MicroStrategy Inc. Chairman Michael Saylor’s strategy of buying Bitcoin may be coming into question as the advent of exchange-traded funds holding the largest cryptocurrency appears imminent.
US Slows Pace of Increase in Quarterly Long-Term Debt Sales
The US Treasury increased its planned sales of longer-term securities by slightly less than most major dealers expected in its quarterly debt-issuance plan, in a move that signals officials may be concerned about the surge in yields over the past several months.
A Strong Safety Net Helps the Whole US Economy
The typical American is a lot richer now than they were just before the pandemic — and this improvement is at least partially due to government support for families and businesses in 2020 and 2021.
Goldman’s Oppenheimer Says US Stocks’ Outperformance Set to End
The significant outperformance of US stocks over the last decade is unlikely to repeat over the coming 10 years, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s chief global equity strategist.
Rising Small Business Bankruptcies Are a Red Herring
Small businesses account for close to half of US private sector employment, so there’s always considerable focus on their prospects, especially during periods of rising interest rates and contracting credit.
US Employment Costs Increase 1.1% on a Pickup in Wage Growth
US employment costs unexpectedly accelerated in the third quarter, heightening concerns that a strong labor market risks keeping inflation above the Federal Reserve’s target.
Credit Strength Is Baffling Fed Watchers Ahead of Rate Decision
To have a shot at taming inflation, the Federal Reserve is intent on tightening financial conditions across the economy. But they haven’t made much of a dent in corporate America yet.
US Cuts Quarterly Borrowing Target to $776 Billion, Still Record
The US Treasury reduced its estimate for federal borrowing for the current quarter thanks to stronger-than-expected revenues, offering some relief for investors concerned about the rapidly widening fiscal deficit.
New Laws to Regulate AI Would Be Premature
All of a sudden there is a flurry of activity around artificial intelligence policy. President Joe Biden is scheduled to issue an executive order on the topic today. An AI safety summit is being held in the UK later this week. And last week, the US Senate held a closed-door forum on research and development in AI.
High-Grade Bond Market Kicks Off Busiest Day Since Labor Day
US blue-chip companies unleashed a wave of bond sales on Monday as borrowers look to sell new debt in a week jam-packed with bond auctions, central bank meetings and fresh economic data.
Quants With $23 Trillion See AI Takeover Even as They Hold Back
The financial world’s computer-loving crowd is preparing for the dawn of a new AI-powered era — but that doesn’t mean they’re ready to fully embrace the technology just yet.
Goldman Lifts US, Global Long-Term Growth Forecasts on AI Boost
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. lifted its long-term growth estimates for the US and many other major economies as generative artificial intelligence is set to boost productivity over the next decade.
Amazon’s New AI Will Make Its Junk Problem Even Worse
Of all the negative articles written about Amazon.com Inc. through the years, one piece in particular stung the company more than most. Claiming that Amazon’s aggressive pursuit of growth had come at the expense of a good shopping experience for its customers, New York magazine this January criticized what it called “The Junkification of Amazon.”
Are Stocks a Better Buy or Bonds With Treasuries at 5%?
The yield on 10-year Treasuries went above 5% last week for the first time since July 2007, when the first Transformers movie was topping the box office and the Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassed 14,000 for the first time in history.
Treasury Rout Lures M&G to Buy More as US Stocks Seen Too Risky
US stocks carry too much risk and buying Treasuries will pay off, according to M&G Plc as the $402 billion fund house navigates the brutal selloff in global markets.
Bitcoin Faces Reality Check if ETF Launches Spark ‘Sell-the-News’ Pivot
Bitcoin has jumped on bets that the first US exchange-traded funds investing directly in the token are set to be approved. The question now is whether an actual green light for the products would spur some profit-taking.
Amazon Strong Results Point Toward Boost for Cloud Business
Amazon.com Inc. Chief Executive Officer Andy Jassy gave investors much of what they wanted this earnings season: robust sales and profit growth along with a hint that the cloud division earnings machine is regaining momentum.
How Low Can It Go? Getting to the Bottom of the Nasdaq Selloff
Momentum has turned in tech stocks and investors awakening from dreams of artificial-intelligence nirvana are back to a less grandiose concern: When will the selling stop?
Why No Recession Yet? Thank the US Consumer
US consumers have kept buying these things despite high inflation and the contractionary policy of the Federal Reserve, and they deserve thanks not only for the recession that still has not come, but for the fast pace of recent economic growth.
The US Needs More Housing. Americans Don’t Want to Build It.
You won’t find this term in any serious economics textbook, but the only clinical way to describe the US housing market is bananas. Affordability is at record lows and mortgage rates are the highest since 2000.
Morgan Stanley’s Ted Pick Says Investment Banking to Lead Next Cycle
Morgan Stanley’s incoming chief executive officer, Ted Pick, said investment banking will lead the next business cycle, and that hiring for that business will help the firm compete with rivals.
S&P 500 Teeters on Brink of Correction as Technicals Break Down
The rout in US stocks has brought the S&P 500 Index to a crucial inflection point. It’s teetering near a correction after breaching 4,200 for the first time since May — a key technical level that may point to a longer-term selloff.
Amazon’s $400 Billion Rally Hinges on Cloud Results
Amazon.com Inc.’s run as one of the best stocks this year will likely come down to the performance of a single business line: cloud computing.
With Housing, Millennials Have Much to Complain About
Since taking a big leap upward in the 1940s and 1950s, the homeownership rate in the US has been remarkably steady since the 1960s, with close to two-thirds of households owning their homes.
Bonds as Diversifiers Aren’t Dead — Just Dormant
Before we get carried away anew with declarations about how “the investing world is forever changing,” it’s worth remembering how fluid the relationship has proved over the past couple of years — and how another twist is always just around the corner.
US Economy Grew at a 4.9% Pace Last Quarter, Fastest Since 2021
The US economy grew at the fastest pace in nearly two years last quarter, fueled by a surge in consumer spending.
Banks Put Bond-Sale Spree on Pause as Market Volatility Ramps Up
Banks are taking a cautious approach in the investment-grade bond market amid some of the wildest swings in Treasuries in recent memory, waiting for pockets of calm to emerge as they seek to borrow before US officials can raise interest rates or tighten regulations further.
For Industrials, the Promised New Era Is On Hold
Maybe this time isn’t all that different for industrial companies. In a normal economic cycle, consumer-facing manufacturers feel the effects of a slowdown first, followed by industrial operations that can convert bookings into sales relatively quickly.
America Is Flirting With Fiscal Breakdown
In the fiscal year that just ended, the US government borrowed $1.7 trillion, more than 6% of gross domestic product. Bear in mind, that was with an economy running hot, with high inflation and more than full employment.
Muni-Bond Yields Have Finally Climbed Enough to Entice Buyers
Municipal-bond yields at the highest in more than a decade are spurring optimism on the part of investment managers, who have been dealing with persistent fund outflows this year as the market has struggled along with the rest of fixed income.
Bond Market’s ‘Vicious Cycle’ Risk Puts Spotlight on Fed’s QT
The worst selloff of longer-term Treasuries in more than four decades is putting a spotlight on the market’s biggest missing buyer: the Federal Reserve.
Stock Pickers Face Mixed Bag From First Big Tech Earnings
The lockstep moves that have gripped the US stock market this month look set to end — at least for a day. A slew of big tech earnings reports sent shares in heavyweights Microsoft Corp. and Alphabet Inc. careening in opposite directions.
What the Federal Funds Rate Isn’t Telling You
Lately, Federal Reserve officials have been paying greater attention to financial conditions – that is, to the influence that market phenomena such as stock prices, bond yields and housing prices have on economic activity, above and beyond the effect of the short-term interest rates that the central bank controls directly.
What Economists Got Wrong About the Great Recession
What do we know, and not know, about macroeconomics? My co-author and I are currently revising our economics textbook — one of our decisions is to emphasize the Great Recession and the pandemic over the Great Depression — so I might be expected to have an answer to this question.
The Charts Revealing Treasuries Switching to Headache From Haven
Wild swings in the “world’s safest asset” are once again acting as a driver for volatility across global markets.
A Major Driver of US Equities in the Past Decade Is Fading Fast
Corporate America’s spending on share buybacks, a driver of the US stock market rally for over a decade, is slowing in the face of higher-for-longer interest rates and an uncertain economic backdrop.
The Fed Pivot That Turbulent Treasuries Need
Greater stability in US Treasuries is needed for the smooth functioning of other segments of the financial market, housing and the economy more broadly, both in America and beyond.
Housing Prices Are High — and Potentially Illusory
Many aspects of the economy are still being buffeted by the ripples from the pandemic, which makes precedents hard to apply, and should make everyone cautious as to their judgments. Housing market data is also, inevitably, reported with a lag.
A Shrinking $1.3 Trillion Securities Market Is Bad News for the Economy
For a fleeting moment this month, investment bankers in leveraged finance — the lucrative lending that oils the wheels of M&A and feeds the $1.3 trillion market for collateralized loan obligations — had rare cause for cheer.
Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says Profit Estimates Are Too High
The odds of a year-end rally in US stocks are fading as investors face a multitude of risks from elevated profit estimates to the Federal Reserve’s policy tightening, according to Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson.
Bitcoin History Supports Bulls After 10% Weekly Jump on ETF Speculation
A Bitcoin rally fueled by optimism about fresh demand from exchange-traded funds may have further to run if history is any guide.
Nvidia Dip-Buyers Burned by US Chip Battle With China
Investors who snapped up shares of Nvidia Corp. at the bottom of last month’s swoon got a harsh reminder of the multiple forces pushing and pulling on the chipmaker’s business prospects.
Bitcoin Climbs Back Above $30,000 Before Latest Grayscale Ruling
Bitcoin topped $30,000 for the second time this week on growing expectations that another favorable court action raises the likelihood that an exchange-traded fund holding the cryptocurrency will finally be approved.
Tesla Valuation Looks Unsustainable to Wall Street Analysts
Tesla Inc.’s price cuts this year show customers are no longer willing to pay a premium for its vehicles. That raises a key question on Wall Street: Does its lofty stock-market valuation make sense anymore?
BofA Sees Near-Term Stock Rally as Signal Flashes Contrarian Buy
Investor positioning in stocks has become so bearish that it’s triggered a “contrarian buy signal” in a custom Bank of America Corp. indicator, setting up the asset class for a short-term rally, according to strategist Michael Hartnett.
How to Keep the Treasuries Market Functioning
The $25.8 trillion market for US Treasury debt is like the circulatory system for the world’s financial markets — everything else relies on it. In recent years blockages have occasionally formed, and central banks have had to step in to restore the money flow.
The US Housing Market Is Now Completely Broken
For the first time since the Federal Reserve started raising interest rates, every part of the housing market is now poised to worsen.
US Weighs Leaning on Banks to Curb Hedge Fund Leveraged Trading
Top US regulators are zeroing in on dangers posed by highly leveraged hedge fund trades, and considering options to rein in risks to the broader financial system.
New ETFs Riding Tesla’s Famous Volatility Arrive on Wall Street
Exchange-traded funds offering investors betting on or against Tesla Inc. two times the returns of the volatile stock launched Thursday, after what seemed like a long-shot bid at winning regulatory approval.
Treasury Loss? You’re Also Paid Back in Depreciating Dollars
Selloffs in Treasuries are compounded by the real loss in the purchasing power of the dollars they are denominated in.
The Tyranny of ESG Has Run Its Course
In 2021, almost two-thirds of respondents said they considered environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors when investing. In 2022, that number was 60%, and this year it’s 53%, according to the annual ESG Attitudes Survey from the Association of Investment Companies.
There's a Good Reason Why Wall Street Is Overpaying Bankers
Few are saying it out loud, but it seems plenty of investment banking leaders think a big rebound in dealmaking and fundraising is around the corner.
Apple Investors Face $340 Billion Hole as Woes Mount
A drumbeat of bad news for Apple Inc. is casting doubt on the argument that the world’s most valuable company is immune to risks related to economic turbulence.
JPMorgan Says 60/40 Portfolio Far From Dead, Set to Trounce Cash
The popular 60/40 portfolio isn’t dead, and in fact is a significantly more compelling investment than cash over the coming decade, according to JPMorgan Asset Management.
Bitcoin-ETF Watchers Circle Friday as Next Key Date in Approval Race
Those closely following the quest for an exchange-traded fund that would hold Bitcoin have Friday circled on their calendars.
The Fed Still Has a Lot of Quantitative Tightening to Do
The US Federal Reserve’s efforts to quell inflation have sent long-term interest rates to their highest level in a generation, putting a lot of stress on banks, companies and anyone looking to finance a new home.
Stop Worrying That AI Will Cause the Market to Crash
According to Gary Gensler, chair of the SEC, a market crash caused by artificial intelligence is “nearly unavoidable.” Like many other regulators, he has called for new regulations on AI to prevent such dire scenarios.
US Economic Data Keep Coming In Stronger and Defying Forecasts
US retail sales exceeded all forecasts and industrial production strengthened last month, fresh evidence of a resilient American consumer whose spending is helping stabilize manufacturing.
Wall Street Worries Over Swelling US Debt Put Fed in Tight Spot
The Federal Reserve faces potential policy pitfalls ahead as it wrestles with how to respond to investor angst about the US government’s $33.5 trillion mountain of debt.
Treasury Liquidity Mostly in Line With Volatility, Fed Economist Says
Treasury-market liquidity has mostly righted itself since the dislocations caused by the several regional bank failures in March, according to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York economist.
SEC’s New Hedge Fund Rules Lack an Accountant’s Precision
The Securities and Exchange Commission recently announced new rules for hedge funds to report on equity short positions. There’s nothing terrible in the rules, but they will impose pointless costs on investors, mainly because they were written by lawyers rather than accountants.
Marks or Ackman? Who You Gonna Trust?
Howard Marks, the legendary credit investor and Oaktree Capital Management co-founder, has historically taken a humble approach to investing: the macro future is essentially unknowable, so active investors should focus on the small-picture things where they can gain an informational advantage.
US Stocks Are Ripe for Earnings-Led Rally as Rates Angst Settles
A robust earnings season could be all it takes to fuel a year-end rally on Wall Street, eclipsing recent jitters from geopolitical tensions.
Bitcoin’s 10% Jump to $30,000 Hints at Trader ‘Playbook’ for ETF Launches
A brief 10% surge in Bitcoin gave traders a glimpse into the possible impact of a looming US Securities & Exchange Commission decision on whether to allow exchange-traded funds that invest directly in the cryptocurrency.
The Federal Deficit Matters Now More Than Ever
A decade ago, the US was deep into a misguided elite-driven freakout about the federal budget deficit. Back then, inflation was low, interest rates were low, and unemployment was high.
Florida’s Battered Orange Growers Are Cashing In on a Housing Boom
Florida’s farmers have spent nearly two decades fending off plagues, freezes and storms that decimated their orange crops. A growing number of them have had enough.
Wall Street Strategists Sound Alarm on Worsening Profit Outlook
The outlook for earnings is weakening and could remain subdued, according to strategists from Morgan Stanley to JPMorgan Chase & Co.
End of Corporate America’s Profit Recession Comes With Concerns
Investors are growing more confident that a year-long slump in profits for Corporate America is about to end. Yet a fragile economic outlook, wary consumers and the highest interest rates in 16 years mean any relief for stocks could be short-lived.
US Housing Affordability Worsens to New Record Low on High Rates
US housing affordability worsened to a fresh record low in August as Americans continue to bend under the weight of soaring mortgage rates and sticky prices.
Bank Stocks Need More Than Solid Earnings to Draw Wary Investors
When US banks kick off the third-quarter earnings season Friday, it will mark the first in a long line of hurdles the group needs to clear in order to assuage investor fears.
Amazon Prime Day Flashes Warning for Retailers
Amazon.com Inc. crowed over this week’s Prime Day sales, boasting that the two-day discount promotion “outpaced” last year’s event. Such a flashy description suggests the unofficial kickoff to the holiday season has set up the broader retail industry for a bright few months.
US Consumer Inflation Expectations Jump to a Five-Month High
US consumers’ year-ahead inflation expectations rose sharply in early October, driving a steep deterioration in Americans' views of their finances as well as sentiment.
The US Economy Is Dynamic Again, But Will It Last?
The pandemic changed many things about the economy — how we work, where we work and who we work with, for starters — but one of the most striking trends has been a big uptick in entrepreneurship.
US Mortgage Rates Rise for a Fifth Week, Topping 7.5%
Mortgage rates in the US rose for the fifth week in a row, topping 7.5% for the first time in more than two decades.
Options Are the Hottest Trade on Wall Street
Crypto may have grabbed headlines last year, but the talk on Wall Street these days is all about options.
Hurting From Rate Hikes? The Fed Looks as If It’s Finally Done
Market pricing, verbal cues from Federal Reserve members and the likely evolution of the economic data over the next couple of months all point in the same direction — the central bank is likely done raising interest rates.
How AI Will Remake the Rules of International Trade
When it comes to international trade and investment, AI will create some obvious winners and losers. It’s the second-order effects that may prove more interesting.
Amazon Strategy Could Unlock $100 Billion in Revenue
Amazon.com Inc.’s next big thing might be lurking in the expensive supply chain apparatus that’s helped transform its e-commerce business into a juggernaut.
The SEC Risks Being Ensnared in Its WhatsApp Trap
“Very strict enforcement” is a euphemism used by the American Automobile Association to warn motorists of places where even minor traffic violations will likely be caught and punished with heavy fines.
It’s Easy to Get Mixed Up Over Mortgage Risks
Most voters aren’t going to get hot under the collar about battles in Washington, DC, over bank capital requirements, but they definitely relate to stories about home loans becoming more expensive or less available. That doesn’t mean debate is straightforward, especially once each side starts throwing numbers around.
Stock Market Can’t Ignore Impact of Rates on Earnings This Season
Stock markets that have refused to buckle under the highest yields since 2007 face a new test. Third-quarter results will shine a light on how much those rates are already hitting profits — and what they’ll do to lofty equity valuations.
Wall Street’s Paper Bond Losses Rear Head Again as Yields Rise
After investment losses tore through the US financial system this year, a fresh slump in bank stocks shows some investors fear the problem — which at its most extreme claimed a handful of lenders — hasn’t gone away.
Housing Groups, Mortgage Lenders Urge Powell to Halt Fed Hikes
Three major housing-industry lobby groups called on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to refrain from raising interest rates any further and to pledge against selling mortgage bonds unless real estate financing stabilizes.
Goldin Took Women’s Careers From Economic Sideshow to Mainstream
Economics is still a male-dominated profession. Among full professors, only 1 out of every 8 is a woman. Among assistant professors, women are a little less than 1 in 3, similar to their share of undergraduate economics majors.
Rout in 10-Year Treasury Notes Is No Wild Aberration
What everyone wants to know now is how much further the selloff will go and how long it will last. I can venture a few educated guesses based on history.
A Hot Options Trade Is Muting Wall Street’s Famous Fear Gauge
For two decades, Amy Wu Silverman has tracked fear and greed across Wall Street by keeping a close eye on the twists and turns in the Cboe Volatility Index.
Hedging Power of Treasuries Tested by Recent Bond Selloff
Even as stocks rallied back during the monetary panic last week, big disruptions in the world of Treasuries threaten fresh pain for a host of hedging strategies on Wall Street.
Musk May Face Someone Else Who’s Ready for a Cage Fight
Denied the dubious spectacle of a cage match between Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg, the world may yet be treated to a contest pitting the Tesla chief executive against an underdog from Indiana.
Lending Risk Is Growing Under the Radar
When Congress voted in 2018 to give regional banks a break from stiffer post-crisis capital rules, it created a two-tier banking system in the US.
Deepening Bond Rout Has BlackRock, Columbia Favoring Short End
Bond investors are coalescing around a segment of the Treasuries market that offers a measure of protection from this year’s brutal rout and also positions them for the recession that some still anticipate.
Yield Surge to Hit US Growth But Still No Recession, Goldman Says
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. economists said the surge in US Treasury yields to historically high levels over the last several weeks will crimp economic growth and sow financial risks, though the bank is still not calling for a recession.
Finance CEOs Who Have Stuck It Out for 11 Years Are Eyeing Exit
Executive search firms are anticipating an uptick in resignations as the average tenure of America’s top finance chiefs grows to the longest of any sector, and those who may have delayed leaving to provide stability through the Covid-19 pandemic look to exit.
Treasuries Tumble With US Payroll Growth Blowing Past Estimates
The bond market’s selloff accelerated after a surge in US hiring raised expectations that the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates again this year.
Corporate America Is Ignoring Jay Powell and Bingeing on Debt
For the past 18 months, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has frantically been trying to break Americans' borrow-and-spend habits. It’s critical to his fight against inflation.
US Hiring Surges, Bolstering Case for Another Fed Rate Hike
US employment unexpectedly surged in September by the most since the start of the year, illustrating a durable labor market and bolstering the case for another Federal Reserve interest-rate hike.
US Higher Education Needs a Revolution. What’s Holding It Back?
When the revolution in higher education finally arrives, how will we know? I have a simple metric: When universities change how they measure faculty work time.
New Construction Torpedoed Austin Rents. Is Miami Next?
South Florida has a reputation as a leading indicator of housing market trouble, so the Cassandras are understandably watching the region closely these days.
Wild Week for Bond Market Spurs Record Trading Frenzy in ETFs
Bill Gross is right: bond ETF activity has been frenzied in the grip of Wall Street turmoil.
EM Rebound Fizzles as US Jobs Data Ruin What’s Left of Bull Case
Emerging-market currencies erased their Friday gains and were poised for a third week of declines as a stronger-than-expected US jobs report underscored global interest rates could remain higher for longer.
The 5% Bond Market Means Pain Is Heading Everyone’s Way
Not so long ago, families, businesses and governments were effectively living in a world of free money.
The US Economy Might Be Stuck in Purgatory for a While
Economists, policymakers and politicians are used to there being two variables that serve as a scorecard for how the public feels about the economy — unemployment and inflation. A year ago, when inflation was at 40-year highs, public unhappiness made sense.
Three Myths About the Bond Market
For the last 40 years, interest rates have gone pretty much one way: down. In the last 18 months, however, rates have crept up, and many are worried they will stay high.
Long Bonds’ Historic 46% Meltdown Rivals Burst of Dot-Com Bubble
Losses on longer-dated Treasuries are beginning to rival some of the most notorious market meltdowns in US history.
Bulls Bet Megacap Stocks Primed For Buyback Boost
Bulls hoping the Nasdaq 100’s best day since August is the start of a meaningful rebound may be about to get a boost from a long-standing ally: tech companies themselves.
Fed’s Bid to Avoid Recession Tested by Yields Nearing 20-Year Highs
The Federal Reserve may be putting its hoped-for soft landing of the economy at risk by tacitly accepting a run-up in long-term interest rates to the highest levels since 2007.
Investors Find Little Reason to Buy Stocks as Rates Fears Spread
It’s getting bleak for equity bulls hoping for a reprieve from the US stock market’s “higher-for-longer” tantrum.
Investors Eye Profit Rebound After Yearlong Earnings Recession
Stock bulls reeling from the worst month of 2023 have at least one reason for optimism: Corporate profits are set to rebound sharply in the fourth quarter.
Five Charts Showing How 5% US Yield Would Cause Turmoil in Markets
As global financial markets reel under the possibility of 5% benchmark Treasury yields, the question on investors’ minds: how much worse could it get?
Lina Khan Is Wrong About Amazon
Why exactly is Federal Trade Commission Chair Lina Khan antagonizing Amazon.com Inc., of all companies?
Private Equity Indigestion Relief Is Meant to Hurt
Helping an investor cash out of a gummed-up buyout fund used to be a niche business. Now it’s mainstream. So-called secondary funds, which offer to buy unwanted private equity holdings, have become widely accepted.
UBS Executive Calls For a Retrofit Revolution in Real Estate
Real estate investors need to allocate considerably more resources to climate-proofing old buildings rather than erecting new structures, to keep up with net zero regulations and avoid being saddled with stranded assets.
Morgan Stanley Sees Rates Risk to Stocks. Bank of America Says Not So Much
A pair of Wall Street’s most prominent US equity strategists are at odds about whether stocks can extend this year’s rally against the reality that interest rates will remain higher for longer.
New ETF Boom Defies Saturation Warnings in $7 Trillion Industry
Money-management firms launched new exchange-traded funds at a rapid pace last month, shaking off fears that the $7 trillion industry is already overrun with low-cost investment vehicles.
Manhattan’s Offices Are Empty. Tokyo Is Adding New Space.
Offices in many of the world’s major cities are struggling to find workers to occupy them. The trend of remote working, triggered by the pandemic, is costing Manhattan “$12 billion a year,” “devastating America’s cities” and “killing London.”
Why Central Banks Will Soon Lend to Hedge Funds
Hedge funds are in regulators’ sights again. Their risk-taking with borrowed money must be better monitored and will sometimes have to be limited, the head of a global group of supervisors told the Financial Times last week.
Market Stress Rises Over Wild Week Ahead Even Without a Shutdown
Investors have shown few signs of panic during a stock market slump that’s pushed the S&P 500 Index into its first losing quarter in a year. But beneath the surface, signs of stress are emerging that go far beyond the just averted US government shutdown.
Severe Crash Is Coming for US Office Properties, Investors Say
Office prices in the US are due for a crash, and the commercial real estate market faces at least another nine months of declines, according to Bloomberg’s latest Markets Live Pulse survey.
The Bull Case for Emerging Markets in 2023 Is Finally Shattering
The third quarter was a story of dashed hopes in emerging markets, with the unraveling of some of the most profitable trades in the asset class.
Bitcoin Is Ending September With First Quarterly Loss This Year
As September comes to a close, Bitcoin is poised to end the quarter on a down note in its first quarterly decline this year.
Once Unthinkable Bond Yields Are Now the New Normal for Markets
It was the week that bond markets finally seemed to grasp what central bankers have been warning all year: higher interest rates are here to stay.
Retailers Are Nervous About Your Student Loans
The level of concern among retail executives over the resumption of student loan payments run the gamut from brushing it off as a non-event to bracing for a big pullback in spending.
The Geography of Working From Home Begins to Shift Again
The Oakland Hills Public Use Microdata Area, or PUMA (a Census Bureau designation that I’ll explain in a moment), in Oakland, California, contains some of the most appealing urban neighborhoods in the US.
Millennials, Keep Your Avocado Toast and Ditch the Dream House
Avocado toast, hard seltzers, and Instagrammable vacations are not the reasons millennials and our Gen Z compatriots have failed to scrimp, save and budget our way into home ownership.
Megacap Slump Is Testing Apple’s Safe-Haven Status
The Fed-induced selloff in technology stocks has traders dusting off their turmoil playbooks. Trouble is, one of the most popular strategies isn’t working: hiding out in Apple Inc.
House Omits Ukraine Funding for Now in Measure to Avert Shutdown
Lawmakers in the US House omitted further aid to Ukraine from a proposal that would keep the government open, signaling that support for funding its fight against the Russian invasion is getting harder.
Make Student Loans Work for Students
Amid the debate over student loans — President Joe Biden’s administration tried and failed to forgive some of the debt, which starts accruing interest this month after a three-year pause — a crucial question has often been overlooked: Who benefits the most from student loans? It’s not necessarily the students.
Jamie Dimon’s 7% Rates May Come Even Without the Fed's Help
The Federal Reserve’s hawks have been back on the speaking circuit,and markets are abuzz that rates may have to move higher than previously expected. Someone apparently just took out a big short position premised on the chances that rates markets underestimate the odds of an increase in November.
Puerto Rico Is Being Far Too Generous With Rich Investors
Since 2012, Puerto Rico has offered investors — primarily mainland Americans — one of the most attractive deals in the world: move to the commonwealth and pay no taxes on interest, dividends or capital gains, all while living on a balmy and culturally vibrant Caribbean island without having to surrender US citizenship.
Powell Can’t Ignore the Elephant in the Room Forever
For all the importance of China’s subpar recovery, the country's woes are notably absent from the plethora of projections and commentary that flow from the Federal Reserve these days. Judging from recent remarks, there's either no problem or nothing sufficiently grave to prod Chair Jay Powell to hint at switching gears. Give it time.
Mark Zuckerberg Manages to Turn His Frown Upside Down
In what has been a hugely disruptive year for social media, Zuckerberg seems to be coming out on top — and enjoying it.
This Year’s Hottest Tech IPO May Be a Transportation Firm
Share debuts among technology companies haven’t inspired confidence this year, with two of the largest offerings sliding below their listing prices within the first week. The next big deal may reignite interest in IPOs because of a unique set of traits.
US Core PCE Prices Post Smallest Monthly Rise Since Late 2020
The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of underlying inflation rose at the slowest monthly pace since late 2020, helping to lay the groundwork for policymakers to forgo an interest-rate hike at their next meeting.
JPMorgan Manager Behind Biggest Active ETF Debuts Fund
The JPMorgan Asset Management money manager at the helm of the largest active exchange-traded fund in the $7.2 trillion industry is coming to market with another equity strategy geared toward investors bracing for a period of uncertainty.
Where Are All the Private Equity Bankruptcies?
Few companies have felt the shock from soaring interest rates as much as those owned by private equity. But thanks to surprisingly resilient earnings and their deep-pocketed owners’ talent for financial engineering most are avoiding disaster.
A Glimmer of Hope in a Dysfunctional Housing Market
Home prices are once again on the rise following a brief decline.
Private Fund Investors Don’t Need the SEC’s Help
If a teacher, electrician or autoworker buys a stock or a share in a mutual fund, the Securities and Exchange Commission aims to ensure they’re investing on a level playing field.
Risks Are Growing of a Double-Dip ‘Vibecession’
The US may be heading back into a “vibecession” — a condition in which consumer confidence and other economic “vibes” decline so much that they threaten to become self-fulfilling prophecies and drag the economy down with them.
Goldman’s Rubner Sees Deeper Stock Losses in a ‘No Rules Market’
The two-month selloff in US stocks threatens to intensify as options dealers on Wall Street and fast-money traders both turn against the market.
Missing ‘Gold Standard’ Economic Data Will Test Alternatives in US Shutdown
The imminent US government shutdown that threatens to delay the publication of key economic data will test policymakers’ and investors’ trust in a range of less-regarded third-party indicators.
Bitcoin's Refuge Appeal Being Touted Again With Shutdown Prospects Rising
The increasing prospects of a US federal government shutdown has some Bitcoin advocates predicting a rally similar to one that happened in response to the regional bank crisis earlier this year.
S&P 500 Options Quirk Mints Billions, Stirring Manipulation Talk
The fate of stock options with a face value of trillions of dollars is being influenced by unusual trading activity in the S&P 500 outside regular market hours, new research has found.
Treasury ‘Term Premium’ Gauge Positive for First Time Since 2021
A key measure of how much bond investors are compensated for holding long-term debt turned positive for the first time since June 2021, reflecting steep increases in longer-maturity Treasury yields.
Transparency Is the Cure for High Hospital Prices
If you are tiring of the green energy revolution and can’t quite get on board with the mission to Mars, yet still would like to join a worthy cause with the potential to transform millions of lives, allow me to make a recommendation: transparent hospital pricing.
Use the Estate Tax to Finance Early Childhood Education
So, here’s an idea: Dedicate the revenue collected from the estate tax into a trust fund that finances early childhood education, spanning childcare to preschool.
Automakers, It Won’t Hurt to Share That Buyback Bounty
Stock buybacks are the perfect target for the United Auto Workers. The freest of free cash flow, they may as well be a billboard saying: “So many dollars, we don’t know what to do with them!”
US Government Shutdown’s Economic Risks Grow the Longer It Lasts
A US government shutdown would have a cascading economic effect, beginning mildly and deepening over time as millions of workers go without salary, private contractors aren’t paid and consumer uncertainty grows over Washington’s dysfunction.
Amazon Makes a Shrewd Move in the AI Arms Race
On Monday, Amazon.com Inc. made a move it hopes can turn around the perception it had fallen behind in the AI arms race.
US Government Needs a Youth Movement. A Shutdown Won’t Help.
One of the longer-term consequences of the looming government shutdown isn’t getting the attention it deserves: The youngest potential recruits are receiving yet another reminder of the challenges of public service, and at a time when they are desperately needed.
Gensler Reminds Hedge Funds He's Still Sheriff of Wall Street
The chair of the Securities and Exchanges Commission has asked staffers to pore over thousands of messages collected from investment firms as part of its probe into industry use of WhatsApp and other non-official messaging channels, according to Reuters.
Nvidia’s Worst Month in a Year Is a Gift For Bulls
Investors that missed out on this year’s dizzying rally in Nvidia Corp. have an attractive entry point this month.
Hedge Funds Cut Stock Leverage at Fastest Pace Since 2020 Crash
As the cross-asset sell-off engulfed Wall Street last week, hedge funds ramped up their bets against stocks while one measure of their market positioning plunged the most since the March 2020 crash.
Bond Traders Roiled by Fed See US Shutdown as Next Big Wild Card
To judge by recent history, a US government shutdown won’t be a huge event for the bond market. If anything, it could even provide a little short-term relief, since Treasuries usually rally when investors need somewhere to hide.
High-Frequency Traders Want Low-Frequency Radio Waves
A group of high-frequency traders, market makers and service providers calling themselves the Shortwave Modernization Coalition has asked the Federal Communications Commission for access to the shortwave band of the radio spectrum, seeking to shave crucial milliseconds off the transmission of data between major financial sectors.
Ackman Doubles Down on Bond Short That’s Still Flawed
Some seven weeks ago, hedge fund investor Bill Ackman laid out his rationale for shorting long-term US bonds, and I took exception.
Bond Market Faces Quandary After Fed Signals It’s Almost Done
Bond investors face the crucial decision of just how much risk to take in Treasuries with 10-year yields at the highest in more than a decade and the Federal Reserve signaling it’s almost done raising rates.
Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Sees Risks Rising for US Consumer Stocks
Consumer stocks, one of the brightest corners of the market this year, are about to lose their shine as risks build for the sector, according to Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson.
Stocks Flash Recession Warning as Trouble Spreads to Industrials
US small-cap and industrial stocks are dropping, typically signals of a recession, but in a year where equities have already beaten expectations some investors are dismissing the moves as little more than noise — for now.
Fed’s Cook Sees Signs of AI Improving US Labor Productivity
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook said the use of artificial intelligence in the economy presents many unanswered questions for policymakers though there is some evidence that it could improve labor productivity.
Wall Street Strategists Turn Ever Bullish Just as Stocks Slump
Call it another case of bad timing for Wall Street strategists. The group, historically known to have a bullish bent, spent most of this year saying US stocks would end lower in 2023. Instead, the S&P 500 Index rallied 16% in the first half.
Treasury Buyback Plan Will Boost Market Resilience, US Debt Official Says
The resilience of the world’s biggest bond market is top priority as US debt officials prepare to start buying back government debt, according to Josh Frost, the Treasury Department’s assistant secretary for financial markets.
Did Powell Just Stamp Out Bankers’ Green Shoots?
Investment bankers were finally starting to believe in the green shoots of capital-markets activity this month, but the Federal Reserve might now have crushed them under hawkish boots.
Private Equity Won’t Diversify Your Portfolio
Low interest rates can lead people to rationalize all sorts of bad ideas: investing in companies that will never make a profit, financing share buybacks with debt, spending billions on terrible streaming content, to name a few.
Stocks Sink Most in Six Months After Recent Runup in Treasury Yields
A bad week on Wall Street turned dismal Thursday after the relentless surge in Treasury yields sapped demand for risk assets. In the end, US stocks suffered the biggest drop in six months as investors recalibrate for a world where rates sit at levels not seen in a generation.
Nvidia CEO Touts India as Major AI Market in Bid to Hedge China Risks
During a five-day tour of India earlier this month, Nvidia Corp. Chief Executive Officer Jensen Huang visited four cities, dined with tech executives and researchers, took numerous selfies, and sat for a one-on-one conversation with Prime Minister Narendra Modi about the AI sector.
Cathie Wood’s Ark Buys Rize ETF in Big Bet on European Growth
Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management has acquired a fellow exchange-traded fund issuer in its biggest push yet into Europe’s nascent market for trend-driven investing.
More Labor Strife Is Coming to the US Economy
Labor strikes aren’t cheap. Equipment sits idle. Supply chains get gummed up. Workers lose wages, shareholders lose profits, governments lose tax revenue. All these effects can have an adverse impact on economic growth, employment and inflation.
Fed’s Debate About ‘Neutral’ Is Mostly an Exercise
The Federal Reserve’s internal debate about the “neutral” real rate of interest is heating up.
Bond Traders See Yields Marching Higher After September Fed Meeting
Bond traders are bracing for Treasury yields to keep pushing higher after the Federal Reserve signaled it’s likely to hold interest rates at lofty levels well into next year.
Amazon Debuts Generative AI Alexa, New Smart Glasses and TV Sticks
Amazon.com Inc. made a pitch to keep Alexa relevant in the age of generative artificial intelligence, promising a set of features that will make the software more conversational.
BlackRock, State Street Among Money Managers Closing ESG Funds
BlackRock Inc. and other money managers spent years rolling out sustainable funds, seeking to capitalize on surging interest in ESG investing. Now they’re abandoning an increasing number of those products in the US amid political backlash and investor scrutiny.
Barr’s Battle Over US Bank Capital Rules Looks Lonely
Banks are never fans of tougher regulation, but they really don’t like the overhaul of US capital rules proposed at the end of July by the Federal Reserve and other finance authorities. Lenders and their lobbyists have come out fighting.
Inflation or Recession? CEOs Will Decide Next Month
Consumers might still be benefiting from inflation pressures abating, but the same is no longer true for corporations.
Treasury Yields at Highest Levels Since 2007 on Price Concerns
US five- and 10-year yields rose to the highest levels since 2007 after hotter-than-anticipated inflation data in Canada and rising oil prices added to global concerns about resurgent price pressures.
Big Seven Face Test on How Far Rally Can Run
Investors have had a lot thrown at them this year: more Federal Reserve tightening, a regional banking crisis, and geopolitical turmoil. And yet US stock indexes are on track for a stellar year.
Only Fund Beating Nasdaq Long-Term Is Defying Stock-Picking Odds
For active managers, the math is stark. Out of thousands of mutual funds, literally only one beat the Nasdaq 100 over the last five, 10 and 15 years. It did so by boiling down stock picks to about two dozen companies and riding almost all of them to gains.
Bond Mountaineers Easily Scale the Maturity Wall
These days, high-yield US bonds yield just 378 basis points over Treasuries, more than 2 percentage points below the 2022 high and close to the narrowest gap since the Federal Reserve started raising interest rates last year.
Will the Fed Start Believing in a Soft Landing?
Can the Federal Reserve engineer a soft landing, in which it defeats excessive inflation without tipping the US economy into recession? This week, Fed officials will offer important clues as to whether that’s achievable.
Sub-50 Cent Price on Treasury Bond Underscores Investor Pain
Fifty cents on the dollar is a very low price in the world of bonds. In most cases, it signals that investors believe the seller of the debt is in such financial distress that it could default.
S&P 500 Marks 100 Days Without 1.5% Drop, First Time Since 2018
US stocks continued their slog through the end of summer, but the S&P 500 Index just notched a resiliency milestone not seen in five years.
The Most Popular Options Trade Turns a $1 Investment Into a $1,000 Stock Bet
There’s an invisible force driving the most popular options trade of the year — one that gives Wall Street pros and day traders alike the power to turn a $1 investment into a $1,000 stock bet.
Bidenomics Is Having an Unusual Effect on Deficits
Economists are playing a game of “can-you-top-this this,” seeing who can ramp up their US economic growth forecasts the most.
Dalio’s Shakespearean Turn Is a Sign of the Times
Playing Shakespeare’s King Lear is the crowning ambition for some actors, but in 2023 we’re seeing superstar hedge fund managers Daniel Och and Ray Dalio trying out for the role in real life.
Fed’s Higher-for-Longer Mantra Has Doubters in Bond Market
Amid signs the bond market has bought into the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates higher for longer, a cohort of investors is placing bets on the economy hitting a wall — and a sharp policy reversal in short order.
Wall Street Comes to Grips With How Wrong It’s Been in 2023
Stock-market strategists who were largely wrong about this year’s rally are finally starting to come to face their mistake, raising year-end targets for the S&P 500 Index.
Bond Market at Risk of Third Annual Loss Needs a Dot-Plot Rescue
Federal Reserve policymakers’ updated forecasts for their benchmark interest rate, due Wednesday, are looming as a key potential decider for a US Treasuries market at risk of a third straight year of losses.
Ray Dalio Says He Doesn’t Want to Hold Bonds, Cash ‘Is Good’
Bridgewater Associates LP founder Ray Dalio said he doesn’t want to own bonds and prefers cash, highlighting difficulties investors face as global central banks try to manage inflation.
BofA’s Hartnett Says Equity Inflows Surge on Soft Landing Hopes
Equity funds saw the biggest weekly inflow in 18 months amid growing investor confidence the US economy is headed for a soft landing, according to Bank of America Corp.
Cathie Wood, Boaz Weinstein Among Winners From Bitcoin Fund Bet
A host of Wall Street funds have minted profits riding the recent crypto fever after Grayscale Investments LLC snagged a big win over America’s top financial watchdog in its bid to create a US Bitcoin ETF.
Why Are Consumers Still So Gloomy? Blame Covid.
Americans are downbeat about the economy, even as inflation rates rapidly decline back toward more normal levels, the unemployment rate has held below 4% for the longest stretch since the late 1960s and economists race to raise their growth forecasts.
Fed Seen Signaling One More Hike and Pushing Out 2024 Rate Cuts
A resilient US economy will prompt the Federal Reserve to pencil in one more interest-rate hike this year and stay at the peak level next year for longer than previously expected, according to economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.
A $4 Trillion ‘Triple Witching’ Event Endangers Stock Market Calm
All week, stock traders have shrugged off everything from hot inflation data in the US to another recession-threatening hike in interest rates over in Europe.
Dow Industrials Paying Price for Leaving Out Amazon and Alphabet
For a lesson in the pitfalls of market timing, consider the Dow Jones Industrial Average, whose refusal of admission to Alphabet Inc. and Amazon.com Inc. has gone from a blessing to a curse in the space of a year.
The Future of Unions Looks Very Different
The labor movement is having a moment. In a tight employment market, there is money to be had — or profits to be more generously shared — and workers have gotten some big wins recently. Even reality TV stars and NFL running backs are getting into it.
What Shifting Stock-Bond Correlations Mean for Your Money
A recent paper analyzing the correlation between stock and bond returns going back to 1875 suggests the relationship of the past quarter century is shifting in an uncertain inflationary environment. The results might stimulate some investors to rethink their portfolio allocations.
Emerging Markets Boosted by Interventions as Rate Fears Grow
Expectations of central-bank interventions are helping to steady emerging-market currencies, even as traders adjust to a higher-for-longer regime for developed market interest rates.
The Bond Market Has Never Sounded Recession Alarms for This Long
The US bond market hasn’t flashed recession warnings so consistently for so long in at least six decades.
Zero-Day Options Boom Is Spilling Into $7.4 Trillion ETF Market
This year’s hottest options trade has found its way into the $7.4 trillion ETF arena for the first time, in the latest push by the financial industry to tap booming demand for stock investments with an income stream.
A Huge Lithium Discovery That Economists Were Expecting
When I first read about the discovery of a vast new deposit of lithium in a volcanic crater along the Nevada-Oregon border, I can’t say that I was surprised.
Two Odes to Elon Musk’s Genius Need a Grain of Salt
This week saw the release of another ode to the genius of Elon Musk, gushingly accepting his pronouncements at face value. Also, Walter Isaacson published a book about him.
New CLO Managers Eye $1.3 Trillion Market, Betting on Return
A flurry of hedge funds, direct lenders and others are expecting a revival of the $1.3 trillion collateralized loan obligation market — and they want to be ready to reap the benefits when it happens.
US Core CPI Picks Up, Keeping Another Fed Hike in Play This Year
Underlying US inflation ran at a faster-than-expected monthly pace in August, leaving the door open for additional interest-rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.
US Is Looking to Offload Nearly $13 Billion of MBS Seized From SVB and Signature
The US government has been looking at ways to offload nearly $13 billion of mortgage bonds it amassed from failed lenders Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, according to people with knowledge of the transactions.
Mergers Will Lead to a Better Banking Industry
For banks in 2023, one message is coming through clearly: Scale is good.
Morgan Stanley Sees Dojo Boosting Tesla’s Value by $500 Billion
Tesla Inc.’s Dojo supercomputer may add as much as $500 billion to the company’s market value through faster adoption of robotaxis and network services, according to Morgan Stanley.
Treasury Bills Yielding 5% Are a Big Hit With Retail Investors
Everyone — from moms and pops to corporate treasurers and the mega asset managers — is piling in, won over by a unique opportunity: To lock in a 5% yield, and protect themselves from uncertainty over the US economy.
BofA Survey Shows ‘Dramatic Shift’ Toward High-Flying US Stocks
Concern over China’s sputtering economy has created a “dramatic shift” in investors’ equity allocation — a rush toward the US and an exodus from emerging markets, Bank of America’s latest global fund manager survey showed.
Bigger Financial Cushions Won’t Solve Banks’ Woes
US banking regulators are back to their old tricks. In the wake of a crisis — this time the March demise of a handful of regional banks — they want banks to fund themselves with more loss-absorbing equity capital.
Fed’s ‘Last Mile’ of Inflation Fight Will Be No Cakewalk
All eyes this week will be on the release of the US consumer price index for August on Wednesday, especially after the sharp reduction in inflation from 9.1% in June 2022 to just more than 3% in July.
Morgan Stanley ‘Last Bull Standing’ on Treasuries as Peers Shift
Morgan Stanley has pushed back against Treasury bears, saying investors should buy US sovereign debt as markets may be too optimistic over the prospect of a soft-landing for the economy.
ETF Investors Pour Cash Into EM’s Non-China Growth Engines
Traders in the $325 billion industry for emerging-market exchange-traded funds are shifting cash toward strategies that focus on brighter spots in the developing world as China’s economy stumbles.
Fear of Stock Market Dive Creeps Back as Hedging Costs Climb
The S&P 500 Index’s surprise 16% rally this year is rewarding traders who bought in early and punishing those who’ve remained skeptical. But fear of a downturn remains.
China Is Being Left Out by a Record Number of New EM Stock Funds
Launches of emerging-market equity funds that exclude China have already reached a record annual high in 2023, as investor concerns grow over weak returns as well as the risks of investing in the nation.
Apple Risks Getting Overtaken by Bigger AI Players, Needham Says
Apple Inc. is by far the world’s largest company, but the trend toward artificial intelligence is poised to upend the power rankings on Wall Street, according to Needham.
Blackstone Says Private Credit Is Coming for Asset-Based Debt
Private credit lenders are just getting started in the world of consumer and asset based finance, according to Rob Camacho, Blackstone Inc.’s co-head of asset based finance within the firm’s Structured Finance Group.
Dollar’s Relentless Rally Set for a Boost From Higher Oil Prices
Surging oil prices are set to power the next leg of the dollar rally, as the US economy benefits from its rise as an energy exporter.
Widening Wealth and Inequality Gaps Have Limits
A staff report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York titled “Capital Management and Wealth Inequality” comes to some remarkable Marxist conclusions.
Wall Street’s Biggest Bear Ditches Call for 11% S&P Drop in 2023
One of Wall Street’s biggest stock-market pessimists dialed back his bearish forecast for the S&P 500 Index.
Apple’s China Troubles Catch Fund Managers Chasing Rally
For months, megacap tech shares powered US stocks to dizzying gains. The market’s engine is now starting to sputter.
BofA’s Hartnett Says Higher-for-Longer Rates Set to Hurt Stocks
The rising threat of interest rates staying higher for longer is likely to dent prospects of a soft landing for the US economy and drive a selloff in stocks over the next two months, according to Bank of America Corp. strategists.
Barclays Has Much at Stake in the Fintech Future
Barclays Plc is trying to work out how to make the best of its payments business in its quest to increase the appeal of its shares. One option is selling a stake in the unit that handles card transactions for shopkeepers and other businesses, Bloomberg News reports.
Cities Need People, People Need Homes. Both Must Wait.
There’s a growing consensus that we need more housing and less office space as cities move forward with plans to transform themselves in a post-pandemic world.
Traders Unfazed as Soft-Landing Calls Stoke Bets on Market Calm
As soft-landing calls engulf Wall Street, traders are betting that a market calm will endure across investing strategies — despite the latest selloff in US stocks and bonds.
Regional Banks May Need to Sell $63 Billion in Bonds Under Rule
US regional banks may need to raise significant amounts of additional debt to comply with new regulatory requirements, but the extra capital might not be enough to prevent future failures, according to research published Wednesday.
21Shares and Cathie Wood’s ARK File for First US Spot-Ether ETF
Crypto exchange-traded-products issuer 21Shares and Cathie Wood’s ARK Investment Management are seeking to offer the first US ETF that invests directly in Ether.
Fed Can’t Disregard Another Inflation Head Fake
Reported inflation has been improving for months, but Federal Reserve policymakers are still understandably worried that it’s a head fake — perhaps none more than Governor Christopher Waller, who has repeatedly referenced the risk of being hoodwinked by the data.
Who Needs a Bitcoin ETF? Actually the SEC Does.
Should the US Securities and Exchange Commission approve an exchange-traded fund focused on the spot market for Bitcoin? The question has yet again gained relevance, thanks to the District of Columbia Court of Appeals, which last week reversed the SEC’s decision to reject a Bitcoin ETF proposed by Grayscale Investments.
Crypto Market-Making Profit Margins Sink 30% in ‘Wake-Up Call’
Market making in digital tokens used to be a font of outsized profitability. The picture today is very different as costs jump and investors avoid a crypto sector scarred by a $2 trillion rout.
Quant Firm Man Numeric Aims to Go 100% Electronic for Credit Trades By 2025
An electronic trading revolution is finally coming to corporate bonds, years after reaching other financial markets.
Fed’s Debt Runoff Is ‘Painless’ at $1 Trillion Mark, With Bigger Test Ahead
The Federal Reserve has now offloaded about $1 trillion of its bond holdings since it began working down its bloated balance sheet last year, with no sign of the kinds of strains in financial markets that spooked policymakers the last time they oversaw such a program.
The AI Hype Has Subsided, But the Revolution Continues
We seem to be in what I can only call an “AI lull.” The initial excitement about ChatGPT, which started in January, has receded. Google searches for ChatGPT peaked in April and are now down significantly, as is customer engagement with ChatGPT.
Vanguard Sees EM High Grade Debt as ‘Rainy Day’ Bet Amid US Risk
Investment grade bonds from select emerging market sovereigns are solid defensive bets if the US slips into recession and China’s economy worsens, according to Vanguard Asset Services.
Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says Too Much Optimism in Stock Prices
US equity investors are in for disappointment as economic growth is set to be weaker than expected this year, according to Morgan Stanley’s staunch bear, Michael Wilson.
Nvidia’s Rally Is Going to Show Traders What a Market Bubble Looks Like, Rob Arnott Says
For years now, stock traders have been getting so rich betting big companies will get even bigger that they’ve forgotten what a bubble looks like. They’re going to find out thanks to Nvidia Corp.
Fed’s Bostic Says US Faces a ‘Shaking Out’ on Refinanced Debts
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said the US economy faces a period of some disruption as debts are refinanced at significantly higher interest rates, putting some pressure on both financial institutions and the government.
US Payrolls Rise by More Than Forecast While Wage Growth Cools
US hiring picked up in August and wage growth slowed, offering a mixed picture of both resilience and moderation in the labor market.
Paging Dr. GPT? Tech Investors Bet AI Finally Poised to Transform Health Care
Top venture firms are betting that rapid advances in artificial intelligence and the public fascination with ChatGPT will help tech startups to transform healthcare after years of Silicon Valley struggling to move the needle in the industry.
Pimco Taps Battered Mortgage Bonds as Credit Gets Expensive
Investors looking for extra yield are driving corporate bonds to some of their tightest valuations of the year, pushing money managers including Pacific Investment Management Co. toward mortgage debt that looks much cheaper.
UBS’s Biggest Win? Escaping Credit Suisse’s Stigma
UBS Group AG faced two big questions about its emergency rescue of Credit Suisse Group AG: How much profit would it make on the bargain deal? And would the distractions or taint of taking over the failing bank hurt its own business?
Weird, Yes, But Housing Really Needs a Slower Economy
The hope for the US resale housing market a year ago was that inflation would peak, interest rates would fall, and lower mortgage rates would help unfreeze the buying and selling of existing homes. That hasn't happened.
The US, Allies See Opportunity and Risk in China’s Slowing Economy
In China’s current economic travails, US and other Group of Seven nations increasingly see evidence of deep-seated structural problems that ultimately will strengthen the West’s hand against a weakening geopolitical competitor.
Active ETFs Cash In on Corporate Reform in Japan
Actively managed exchange-trade funds are set to launch in Tokyo next week, with one asset manager focusing its strategy on corporate Japan’s effort to elevate shareholder returns.
SEC Defers Decisions on Fidelity, BlackRock Bitcoin ETFs
The US Securities and Exchange Commission delayed making a decision again on whether to approve the first US exchange-traded fund that invests directly in Bitcoin, disappointing advocates just days after a court ruling viewed by many as clearing a path for the long-awaited product.
Gutsy Tesla ETF Wants to Time Bets on Famously Volatile Shares
Shares of Tesla Inc. are famously among the most-volatile in the market, but one exchange-traded fund issuer reckons it can time its bets on the electric-vehicle maker to amplify gains and cushion declines.
IPO Drought Is Ending, But Don’t Expect a Deluge
The US market for initial public offerings is finally reopening after the sleepiest stretch in 32 years. Grocery delivery business Instacart, data automation provider Klaviyo and semiconductor designer Arm Holdings Ltd. all filed to go public last week.
Credit Card Debt at $1 Trillion Is a Sign of Consumer Strength
US household finances have reached a milestone by accumulating $1 trillion in credit card debt, which comes with an average interest rate of 20.6%.
Bidenomics Is Good Marketing, Confused Policy
President Joe Biden and his team insist that “Bidenomics” — a term they’ve embraced — is more than a mere bundle of policy initiatives.
Wall Street Prepares for $15 Billion Spree of Risky Buyout Debt
A $15.4 billion wave of debt is set to sweep over leveraged finance markets in September as Wall Street banks rush to lure in yield-hungry investors.
The Ides of Goldman Sachs and the Fate of David Solomon
The New York Times, Wall Street Journal, New York Magazine and The Economist have all piled on, questioning Solomon’s performance in his day job as chief executive officer of Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
Grayscale’s Bitcoin Win Is Still Only Half the Battle
News that a Washington DC Court of Appeals ruled in favor of Grayscale Investments LLC over the Securities and Exchange Commission has ignited hope that a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund will soon be available. Bitcoin prices jumped.
Sure, Consumers' Savings Are Down, But So Is Their Debt
Even with elevated consumer prices and high borrowing costs, Americans continue to spend at a solid clip, complicating the Federal Reserve’s efforts to tame inflation.
Most US College Grads Say Trade Skills Bring Better Job Security
With electricians, plumbers and other professionals in high demand, many Americans fresh out of university are questioning whether their expensive education was worth it.
Bitcoin ETF Deadlines Loom Again for SEC Ahead of Labor Day Weekend
The journey to a potential Bitcoin ETF has so far been long and arduous. But some key decisions in the race are likely coming this week as crypto faithful await to see how things play out this time.
Wall Street Reels From Painful August as Winning Trades Go Sour
The world’s most powerful central bankers have vowed in unison to keep interest rates higher for longer if necessary to tame inflation.
Fusion Research Shouldn’t Be a Nuclear Weapons Side Hustle
If humanity survives for thousands more years, our primary energy source could very likely be nuclear fusion. It’s clean, the fuel is inexhaustible and cheap, and there’s no risk of a meltdown.
Fed’s Job Would Be Easier With Smarter Fiscal Policy
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell briskly dispensed with the idea of raising the central bank’s inflation target in his speech at the Jackson Hole conference last week. But the idea isn’t going away.
Just How Unaffordable Is the US Housing Market?
You hear a lot these days how unaffordable housing has become in the US. One way to think about affordability is to look at home prices relative to household incomes.
Student Loan Payments Restart Will Dent US Housing Market, Survey Finds
The resumption of US student-loan payments in the coming weeks will deal a significant and lasting blow to the housing market, according to a new survey of real estate professionals.
Bitcoin’s Dirty History Offers a Lesson for AI’s Future
Surging interest in artificial intelligence systems will add further strain to global electricity grids with the potential to rival the massive energy consumption of Bitcoin. Thankfully, the premier cryptocurrency has shown us a way to mitigate the impact.
Treasuries Woo Buyers as Juicy Yields Offset Powell Warning
Beaten-down US Treasuries are proving irresistible to some investors even after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said he’s ready to raise interest rates again to choke off inflation.
Powell Has Bond Traders Right Where He Wants Them: Full of Doubt
Jerome Powell has the bond market exactly where he wants it: lacking conviction as to the Federal Reserve’s next steps.
Traders Have S&P 500 Comebacks Fading at Historic Pace
Surprised that the S&P 500 swung into the green Friday? Don’t worry. Just wait. It’ll fall again after the next opening bell.
Powell Signals Fed Will Raise Rates If Needed, Keep Them High
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the US central bank is prepared to raise interest rates further if needed and intends to keep borrowing costs high until inflation is on a convincing path toward the Fed’s 2% target.
Bond Market Losses Are Finally Over, Unless Yields Blow Past 6%
As brutal as it’s been for US bond investors, the math is finally turning in their favor.
AI Won’t Save Tech Stocks From Trouble, BofA’s Hartnett Says
Technology stocks are in trouble, with the buzz around artificial intelligence set to be overshadowed by the effects of higher-for-longer interest rates, according to Bank of America Corp. strategists.
Powell Signals Further Hikes Will Come If Needed
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled the US central bank is prepared to raise interest rates further if needed and keep borrowing costs high until inflation is on a convincing path toward the Fed’s 2% target.
Nvidia Market Reaction Shows US Rally Is Over, Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says
The drop in US stocks on Thursday despite a bumper report from Nvidia Corp. shows the rally this year is “exhausted” and portends more declines to come, according to Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson.
The Dollar Is the Fortress China Struggles to Breach
If this is what a bad year for the dollar looks like, I'll take it. Widespread predictions of a significant retreat after a bumper 2022 haven't come to pass.
Stock Funds Can Be Difficult to Compare. Try This.
The holy grail of stock investing is buying great companies on the cheap. Stock picker Peter Lynch plied a variation of that strategy to fame and fortune in the 1980s using his so-called PEG ratio.
Vanguard Wannabe Faces SEC Battle to Mimic Tax-Slashing Funds
Vanguard Group’s best-of-both-worlds stranglehold over the money-management industry is facing a new kind of challenger.
Bond Traders Are Obsessing Over This Gauge Before Jackson Hole
An abstract interest-rate metric is dominating discussions across trading desks ahead of the Jackson Hole symposium, with investors wondering if Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will weigh in, and bracing for further declines in US Treasuries if he does.
Retail Traders Are Driving Up to 40% of Zero-Day Options Boom
Day traders are far more active in the booming world of zero-day stock options than Wall Street realizes, according to the exchange at the center of the frenzy.
Powell Has Already Hinted at Where He Stands on ‘Neutral’
Central bankers generally believe in an abstract phenomenon known as the neutral real rate of interest, or r-star. It’s the inflation-adjusted rate that should prevail when the economy is balanced with price increases subdued and the labor market healthy.
Bond Buyers Haven’t Had It This Good Since the Financial Crisis
The prospect of global interest rates remaining higher for longer is tipping the case for many investors to switch into bonds from stocks.
Investors Are Dipping Their Toes Into Commodities Again After Months of Outflows
Investors are finally showing signs of losing their antipathy toward commodities.
Bank of America Disputes Goldman Logic on Zero-Day Option Threat to Stocks
The heated debate on the threat posed by the boom in stock derivatives that expire within 24 hours is pitting two of Wall Street’s biggest banks against each other.
Can Oxford and Cambridge Save Harvard From ChatGPT?
Artificial intelligence (AI) is capable not just of disrupting higher education but of blowing it apart. The march of the smart machines is already well advanced. AI can easily pass standardized tests such as the GMAT (Graduate Management Admission Test) and the GRE (Graduate Record Examination) required by graduate schools.
Fanuc’s Road to Redemption Runs Through India (and the Fed)
The Japanese factory automation and robot maker last month lowered its full-year operating income forecast by 24% because of a sharp slowdown in China and high inventories that could linger into next year. Its shares were quickly dumped and have continued to slide.
Nvidia Earnings Are High-Stakes Event for AI-Crazed Markets
Big Tech’s earnings season is wrapping up with a bang: Nvidia Corp., at the center of the artificial intelligence frenzy, is reporting results that could set the tone for global stock markets for the rest of the year.
Vanguard’s Tax-Busting Fund Design Is Getting Its Latest Revamp
Vanguard Group has famously stood apart in the money-management world with its popular mutual funds offering the liquid ETF wrapper.
Investors Say They’ll Stick With Gold as Fed Cycle Nears End
Gold isn’t losing its allure, according to a dozen money managers who all told Bloomberg News they expect to maintain or raise their exposure to the precious metal in the coming 12 months.
Treasury Yields Hit Highest Since 2007 on Elevated Rate Fears
The US bond-market selloff resumed Monday, driving 10-year yields to a 16-year high, as the persistently resilient economy has investors positioning for interest rates to remain elevated even after the Federal Reserve winds up its hikes.
Market Digests $1 Trillion Jump in T-Bill Supply Without Hiccup
The government has issued an eye-watering $1 trillion in Treasury bills since the debt ceiling was suspended in early June. So far, the market hasn’t batted an eye.
A BRICS Common Currency Is Still a Pipe Dream
Paul O’Neill, a former US Treasury secretary, said that if America ever dropped the strong-dollar policy, he would hire a brass band at Yankee Stadium to mark the proclamation.
Kashkari Saw Higher Bond Yields Coming. So Why the Hysteria?
Yields on 10-year Treasury notes have spent 18 sessions trading above 4% this year, but some doomsayers are ready to declare a permanent shift to a higher-yield regime. They attribute it to factors such as demographics, the looming clean-energy transition and large government deficits. And sure, that could be.
Goodbye to the Bull Market for US Treasury Bonds
Who knew that the subject of US Treasury bond yields could inspire such passion? When, in late June, I argued that they were likely to move considerably higher than the then-prevailing 3.75%, I attracted some vehement pushback.
Fed Can’t Celebrate Yet as Investors Expect Rates, Inflation to Remain Elevated
If they’d been offered today’s economy a year ago – with inflation downgraded from emergency to mere headache, still-low unemployment, and growth that’s slowed without stalling – the world’s top central bankers would’ve taken it like a shot.
Americans Say Government Can Do More to Ease Student-Loan Crisis
A pair of polls suggest that student debt will be a key issue for millions of Americans this fall, when monthly bills resume and borrowers can’t lean on President Joe Biden’s forgiveness plan after the nation’s top court tossed it out.
Bruised Stocks Face Week Full of Tests, From Nvidia to Powell
Equity traders reeling from the market’s worst stretch since February face some pivotal events in the days ahead, and a closely watched speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell may not even be the biggest test of all.
Bond Bulls at JPMorgan, Allianz Double Down on a Bet Gone Bad
Convinced a recession in the US was near, some of the world’s most prominent money managers loaded up on government bonds this year in a bold bet that would atone for the punishing losses suffered in 2022.
The US Economy Can't Sustain Its Red-Hot Pace, Right?
Halfway through the third quarter, the economy is looking surprisingly strong. A tracker from the Atlanta branch of the Federal Reserve has real gross domestic product growth, based on the limited data we've gotten so far, tracking at 5.8%, which would be the fastest for a non-pandemic quarter in 20 years.
Is a Hedge Fund-Style Investment Right for You?
Former Bridgewater Associates LP executive Bob Elliott’s plan for exchange-traded funds that employ hedge fund strategies has sharpened the debate about whether retail investors should have access to such approaches.
Argentina’s Future Is With the Dollar
Argentina’s leading presidential candidate, Javier Milei, has some unorthodox ideas about policy (he wants to abolish central banks), politics (he is libertarian) and pets (he has five cloned dogs). One of his proposals, however, is simple common sense: dollarizing Argentina’s economy.
European Banks Aren't Helping Your Savings
European banks are rightly being criticized for failing to pass on interest-rate increases to customers. But is it any wonder they’re so unafraid of losing business? Compared to their US counterparts, European financial institutions often face less competition from alternative cash-like investments.
BofA’s Warning of a ‘5% World’ Sinks in With Yields Pushing Higher
All around the world, bond traders are finally coming to the realization that the rock-bottom yields of recent history might be gone for good.
Options Are All the Rage in Stocks With $2 Trillion Deadline Looming
The fresh boom in stock options that expire within 24 hours has grabbed all the attention on Wall Street trading desks — spurring a Goldman Sachs Group Inc. warning that the activity is fueling the recent market selloff.
Crypto Enthusiasts Stoked by Bitcoin-ETF Hype Shrug Off Ether-Fund Push
Ether-futures ETFs could be coming to the US soon, but the cryptocurrency market doesn’t seem to care.
Wealthy Americans Are Anxious About the Economy, Too
It’s curious: Even as America’s economic trends are improving, Americans’ economic anxieties are worsening — including those of many who have no apparent reason to be worried. Not only are there are polls and statistics that illustrate the point, but there are also anecdotes, lots of anecdotes.
UPS Drivers Deliver a Message to the Federal Reserve
Signs of slowing price pressures and wage growth have generated a lot of excitement about a soft landing for the US economy, where inflation glides back toward 2% without a painful recession.
Fed Saw ‘Significant’ Inflation Risk That May Merit More Hikes
Federal Reserve officials at their policy meeting in July largely remained concerned that inflation would fail to recede and that further interest-rate increases would be needed. At the same time, cracks in that consensus were also becoming more apparent.
Goldman Sachs Blames Zero-Day Options for Fueling S&P 500 Selloff
Look closely at the contours of Tuesday’s tumble in the S&P 500 and fingerprints of a new market force come into focus.
Ex-Bridgewater Executive to Launch Eight Hedge-Fund Style ETFs
Former Bridgewater Associates LP executive Bob Elliott is expanding his firm’s ETF lineup with a variety of hedge fund-like strategies.
The China Surprise We Should Have Seen Coming
In a year of unpleasant surprises from China's economy, here's a development we should have foreseen: The central bank lowered interest rates. With growth disappointing and prices declining, Tuesday's easing from the People's Bank of China ought to have been a no-brainer.
AI Won’t Supercharge the US Economy
It is a radical suggestion, no doubt, but some analysts predict that AI might enable the US economy to achieve an annual growth rate of 30%.
Investors Least Bearish on Stocks Since Pre-Fed Hikes, BofA Says
Investors are the least pessimistic on stocks since February of last year, before the Federal Reserve began one of the most aggressive tightening cycles in decades, according to Bank of America Corp.’s latest global survey of fund managers.
JPMorgan, Western AM See Treasury Gains Even as Bonds Swoon
JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Western Asset Management are among those saying this month’s jump in bond yields represents a buying opportunity, given central banks are getting close to the end of their rate-hike cycles.
Quant-Momentum ETF Is Getting Crushed Even as Stocks Shoot Up
The largest exchange-traded fund focused on high-flying stocks has been losing its edge.
Biggest Treasury ETF Sees Largest Exodus Since 2020 Meltdown
Investors are bailing out of the biggest exchange-traded fund devoted to Treasuries at the fastest pace since markets were hammered during the early months of the pandemic.
Companies That Offer Unlimited Vacations Will Outperform S&P 500, Investors Say
Is unlimited paid time off good for a company's stock price? Most investors think so, according to the latest Markets Live Pulse survey.
Zero-Day Options Cement Presence in Reversal-Ridden Stock Market
The craze for fast-expiring options is ramping to unprecedented heights in a stock market that has lately been given to severe intraday moves. It’s probably not a coincidence.
How Prosperous Is America? Ask UPS Drivers
By the end of the five-year deal that the United Parcel Service and its drivers just agreed to, full-time drivers will make about $170,000 a year, counting healthcare coverage and other benefits. That’s up from $145,000 currently.
Corporate Failure Is a Valuable Asset That’s Hard to Protect
The fraction of enterprise value of large US companies represented by tangible assets — things like real estate and inventory — has fallen from 50% to 20% over the past 15 years.
Beating Inflation Might Still Need Higher Rates
Unpacking the details of last week’s consumer price index report, the news was good: Inflationary pressure continues to slowly subside, while an economic “soft landing” — in which the Federal Reserve is able to stabilize prices without causing a recession — is starting to look more realistic.
No, Small Banks Aren’t Holding the Bag on Half-Empty Towers
One of the scarier financial factoids making the rounds this year is that local and regional banks hold 70% of US commercial real estate debt.
How the Fed Got Drawn Into the Shadows
Bankers are warning that tougher capital rules being proposed by the Federal Reserve and other US regulators will push more risks out of well-regulated lenders and into markets.
Emerging Bonds Disrupt Playbook by Rallying as Treasuries Swoon
The old playbook of selling emerging-market bonds when Treasury yields spike is being upended by the positive dynamics favoring developing-nation debt.
Bond Market Sees No End to Tumult as Fed Casts a Hawkish Shadow
Across Wall Street, there’s growing relief that the Federal Reserve — at long last — may be done raising interest rates. But that doesn’t mean turbulence in the bond market will soon become a thing of the past.
To Bring Back the Office, Bring Back Lunch
It has been nearly two years since corporate America reopened, and employers are still struggling to get people back into the office. Just ask Jamie Dimon, CEO of JP Morgan Chase, who has been pushing for in-office work, yet 30% of his workers remain hybrid and he continues to face pushback.
The Short-Volatility Trade Is Back With ETFs Sucking In Billions
All of a sudden, the short-volatility trade is back on Wall Street as billions of dollars pour into options-selling ETFs like never before.
Market Is Mispricing Impact of Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act, Goldman Says
Analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. say that a number of key green sectors remain meaningfully underpriced.
Emerging Markets Cap Week of Selling Everything With China Link
Investors hammered Chinese assets and those of developing nations relying on its sustained growth a day after US President Joe Biden described the country’s economic woes as a “ticking time bomb.”
Good News on Inflation Comes With an Asterisk
With that, the economy would avoid a recession, interest rates would fall in an orderly fashion, stocks would build on their already impressive gains, and highly levered corporate exposures would be normalized methodically.
Housing Is Fed's Secret Weapon in Battle Against Inflation
The consumer price index report for July showed the smallest back-to-back monthly increase in two years. This is welcome news in the battle to tame inflation but the even better news was buried deep in the report.
Fed Seen Pausing in September After Tame Core-Inflation Report
Federal Reserve policymakers are increasingly likely to leave interest rates unchanged at their next meeting in September after fresh data showed further signs of cooling inflation.
A Week of 1% Moves on the S&P 500 Could Trigger Forced Selling
It could take just a 1% move in the S&P 500 — up or down — every day for a week for the rally in US stocks to come under significant pressure.
Hedge Fund Alum George Noble Shutters New ETF After 59% Plunge
Hedge-fund veteran George Noble’s foray into the exchange-traded fund industry has come to a quick, and painful, end.
Income Ladder Is Difficult to Climb for US Metro Areas
In 1949, the list of the country’s most affluent metropolitan areas was dominated by Midwestern industrial cities.
RIP, Recession. Is It Time to Worry About Inflation Again?
In the spring of 2022, the US economy went through an abrupt shift as consumer spending moved from goods to services. Travel boomed. Retailers slumped. Warehouses overflowed with inventory no one wanted to buy, and factories and the freight industry went through a recessionary adjustment.
Rising Productivity Will Finally Tame Inflation
The latest monthly US jobs report showed a moderation in employment growth, bolstering hopes that the Federal Reserve can stop raising interest rates. Not so fast, say the monetary policy hawks such as former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers.
Treasury Yields Bump Up Risks for Asia Stocks as AI Rally Cools
Inflation concerns are threatening to keep US Treasury yields higher for longer, worsening a slide in Asia stocks as investors sell chip shares after their recent rally.
US Sanctions Help China Supercharge Its Chipmaking Industry
China’s chip industry is growing faster than anywhere else in the world, after US sanctions on local champions from Huawei Technologies Co. to Hikvision spurred appetite for home-grown components.
Is Asia’s Sovereign AI Push an Exercise in Futility?
It’s a rallying cry that every government can get behind. As artificial intelligence seeps into more facets of society — including critical industries like defense, healthcare and financial services — countries want more control over the underlying technology.