What Advisors Can Learn From the Investor Return Gap

Over the 10 years ended December 31, 2025, investors in U.S. mutual funds and ETFs earned an average annual return of 8.7%, compared with 9.9% for the funds themselves. According to Morningstar’s latest Mind the Gap research, that 1.2-percentage-point gap reflects the impact of investors’ purchase and sale decisions. Across the roughly $13.6 trillion asset base covered by the study, Morningstar estimated that the shortfall amounted to nearly $3.8 trillion in foregone wealth.

Key Takeaways

  • Investors gave up 1.2 percentage points a year to poor timing. That gap added up to nearly $3.8 trillion in foregone wealth across the study’s $13.6 trillion asset base.
  • Volatility had a much larger behavioral impact than fees. The gap between investor and fund returns was -0.4% for the least-volatile funds, compared with -2.1% for the most volatile funds.
  • ETF flexibility can come with a behavioral cost. Spot bitcoin ETFs showed a gap of roughly 14 percentage points annually, with investors earning about -5.8% compared with an 8.5% fund return through June 2026.