Commentary

The Edge Comes from Asking Better Questions

We agree that the economy has appeared remarkably resilient at the aggregate level, and that modest further rate increases may not put overall growth at risk. But the more important question for portfolios is not the level of inflation; it is its sensitivity to rates.

Commentary

Market’s Uneven Response to Higher Rates

In this article, Russ Koesterich discusses how tech strength is hiding broader market weakness, as higher rates begin to weigh on rate-sensitive sectors.

Commentary

Municipal Bonds and AI Data Center Financing

Munis can fund local power, grid, water and wastewater infrastructure; most AI campus capital will be financed in non-municipal markets.​

Commentary

When Strong Earnings Meet Crowded Markets

Second-quarter earnings were strong, particularly in technology, but crowded ownership often determined whether good news was rewarded. The selloff in semiconductors arguably reflected crowded positioning and concerns surrounding the sustainability of the earnings boom. The net result: multiples compressed while earnings revisions held up.

Commentary

Why Momentum Can Still Work

In this article, Russ Koesterich argues that momentum remains supported by strong earnings growth, making the factor attractive despite market risks.

Commentary

When Rates Begin to Bite

In this article, Russ Koesterich explains how strong fundamentals have supported stocks, but rising bond yields may soon begin to challenge market valuations.

Commentary

Tech Selloff Creates an Opportunity

In this article, Russ Koesterich explains how the recent market rotation has pressured tech stocks while creating an attractive long-term buying opportunity.

Commentary

What is Going on With Gold?

Russ Koesterich explains gold’s recent fall and lays out his argument for why investors should continue to hold a modest position in their portfolios.

Commentary

Getting Serious in Summer Markets

The good news is real. The easy trade is not. Growth has held up, artificial intelligence investment is showing up in earnings and capital spending, and fixed income is offering yields that create serious cushion for portfolios.

Commentary

Tech Rally Grounded in Fundamentals

As expectations have shifted toward slower growth, higher inflation, and higher rates, investors have rotated back to sectors like large-cap technology and semiconductors, capable of delivering durable earnings in a tougher macro environment.

Commentary

California Municipals: What Matters Now

California continues to demonstrate fiscal resilience, supported by strong liquidity balances and the absence of projected cash‑flow borrowing through FY 2026–27. However, Medicaid cost pressures, a progressive tax structure highly sensitive to equity market swings, and constitutional spending constraints remain key differentiators between California and other large states.

Commentary

The Equity Outlook After More ‘Magnificent’ Earnings

It’s the first word that comes to mind to describe Q1 2026 U.S. company earnings. S&P 500 earnings growth is looking set to reach 28% year over year (yoy), more than double the consensus estimate of 12% at the start of the reporting season.

Commentary

Energy Stocks, Last Hedge Standing

Equities advanced in April, but hedges remain few and far between, as traditional risk mitigants like bonds and gold continue to show a correlation with stocks.

Commentary

Seeking Innovation Beyond Tech? Insight on Healthcare Stocks

In our Q2 Equity Market Outlook, we identified healthcare as one area where artificial intelligence (AI) is having tangible benefits and presenting investors with new expressions of the AI investment theme. While healthcare may glean some luster from an AI halo, the investment case is also one of counterbalance to the AI juggernaut.

Commentary

Adding AI Resilience to Equity Portfolios

Equity markets are growing more selective around AI exposure this year. In the process, a rotation toward “HALO” sectors deemed less sensitive to AI disruption may be opening an opportunity for investors to diversify beyond AI in value and infrastructure equities.